Toledo at Western Michigan Game Matchup
Toledo logo Toledo Rockets at Western Michigan BroncosWestern Michigan logo
Saturday, September 20th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Waldo Stadium - Kalamazoo, MI  (Mid-American)

 
Rockets (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jason Candle (72 - 40)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (22 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.6 - 2.4 (#12)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 11)
WMU is playing their 4th straight game
TOL is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Toledo -13.5   (SP+ TOL -13.5)
Projected Score: TOL: 34 - WMU: 21 (56)
TOL Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
TOL Travel: 111 miles
Broncos (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Lance Taylor (10 - 14)
Avg Score : 29 - 31 (40 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#117)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
 
Toledo's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Toledo at Kentucky+11.50.0
Sat 9/6 Toledo vs Western Kentucky-13
Sat 9/13 Toledo vs Morgan State-22
Sat 9/20 Toledo at Western Michigan-13.5
Sat 9/27 Toledo vs Akron-20.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Toledo at Bowling Green-9.5
Sat 10/18 Toledo vs Kent State-27.5
Sat 10/25 Toledo at Washington State-6
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/5 Toledo vs Northern Illinois-12
Wed 11/12 Toledo at Miami (OH)-7.5
Sat 11/22 Toledo vs Ball State-23.5
Sat 11/29 Toledo at Central Michigan-9.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 10
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 10
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Western Michigan's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Western Michigan at Michigan State+17.50.0
Sat 9/6 Western Michigan vs North Texas+7
Sat 9/13 Western Michigan at Illinois+34
Sat 9/20 Western Michigan vs Toledo+13.5
Sat 9/27 Western Michigan vs Rhode Island-6
Sat 10/4 Western Michigan at Massachusetts-2.5
Sat 10/11 Western Michigan vs Ball State-7.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Western Michigan at Miami (OH)+8.5
Sat 11/1 Western Michigan vs Central Michigan+1.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/11 Western Michigan vs Ohio+11
Tue 11/18 Western Michigan at Northern Illinois+9.5
Tue 11/25 Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan+5.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Western Michigan's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL#111 (.11)41% (95)28.338% (120)2.66 (121)11144% (46)2273.55 (99)#20 (.09)40% (43)23.242% (60)38% (35)3.87 (79)46.71.31.3
WMU#43 (.24)45% (33)28.945% (59)3.05 (62)18446% (27)1874.11 (49)#122 (.29)49% (128)31.348% (115)51% (132)4.38 (119)39.211.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Offense1328.322.240.8%3.551.3183391112273.546%53%38%44%16%.11
WMU Defense1331.327.249.1%4.381.6 - - - - - 56%44%48%51%18%.29
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Defense1323.221.339.8%3.871.3 - - - - - 52%48%42%38%19%.09
WMU Offense1328.939.845.2%4.11119371184187555%45%45%46%15%.24

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Toledo1325:0618.436%50%5.446.71.31.36.22.1231.4
Western Michigan1329:5819.535%59%4.139.211.64.21.5131.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Offense1346% (96)38% (120)31.5111.33.512 (114)-.04 (127)2.66 (121)57% (130)10% (74)0.83 (125)
WMU Defense1356% (123)48% (115) - - - - .19 (105)3.18 (96)76% (84)10% (66)1.01 (81)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Defense1352% (83)42% (60) - - - - .11 (66)3.01 (69)77% (89)12% (31)0.95 (48)
WMU Offense1355% (35)45% (59)36.8184.2528 (25).18 (43)3.05 (62)75% (53)10% (64)1.07 (33)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Offense1353% (41)44% (46)19.231227.27.311.826 (26)7 (26).26 (67)1.6 (61)31% (65)27% (108).18 (115)6% (76)2 (68)
WMU Defense1344% (12)51% (132) - - - - - - 8 (93).44 (127)1.5 (31)27% (125)33% (103).33 (81)8% (19)1.9 (39)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Defense1348% (51)38% (35) - - - - - - 10 (66).08 (11)1.5 (29)34% (38)29% (39).22 (34)7% (35)2 (43)
WMU Offense1345% (100)46% (27)16.324.91877.511.518 (68)9 (48).32 (40)1.5 (98)28% (16)31% (71).27 (91)6% (59)1.9 (108)

Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: -1.41 #68
Toledo's Offense Rating: 13.54 #72
Toledo's Defense Rating: 14.95 #68
2025 Talent Rating: 678.00 #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #62
Toledo's 2025 Expected Record: 9.6 - 2.4
Toledo's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.4 #71
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #77
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #63

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 528.62
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Toledo: -1.41   Western Michigan: -15.065

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo: -1.4   Western Michigan: -14.8




Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: -15.065 #127
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: 7.29 #111
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: 27.62 #131
2025 Talent Rating: 542.00 #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Western Michigan's 2025 Expected Record: 4.1 - 7.9
Western Michigan's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.8 #117
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.7 #112
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.5 #116

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 528.62
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Toledo Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.2
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.3

Toledo's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 34
Western Michigan 21

Projected Total Points: 56
Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.8
Defense: 31.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Western Michigan's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/23Toledo49Western Michigan31ToledoToledo -21.5Western Michigan52.5Over
202211/25Western Michigan20Toledo14Western MichiganToledo -8.5Western Michigan50.5Under
202110/23Toledo34Western Michigan15ToledoWestern Michigan -1.5Toledo54.5Under
202011/11Western Michigan41Toledo38Western MichiganWestern Michigan -1.5Western Michigan58.5Over
201910/05Toledo31Western Michigan24ToledoToledo -1.5Toledo74.0Under
201810/25Western Michigan24Toledo51ToledoWestern Michigan -4Toledo69.0Over
201711/24Toledo37Western Michigan10ToledoToledo -12Toledo62.0Under
201611/25Western Michigan55Toledo35Western MichiganWestern Michigan -9.5Western Michigan71.5Over
201511/27Toledo30Western Michigan35Western MichiganToledo -7Western Michigan58.0Over
201410/04Western Michigan19Toledo20ToledoToledo -10Western Michigan0
201310/05Toledo47Western Michigan20ToledoToledo -19Toledo0
201209/29Western Michigan17Toledo37Toledo
201111/08Toledo66Western Michigan63Toledo
201009/18Western Michigan24Toledo37Toledo
200910/10Toledo26Western Michigan58Western Michigan
200811/15Western Michigan27Toledo17Western Michigan
200709/29Toledo28Western Michigan42Western Michigan
200609/09Western Michigan31Toledo10Western Michigan
200509/10Toledo56Western Michigan23Toledo
200410/09Western Michigan33Toledo59Toledo
200311/22Toledo34Western Michigan17Toledo
200111/06Toledo41Western Michigan35Toledo
200009/22Western Michigan21Toledo14Western Michigan
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Western Michigan965 Overs
Toledo1454 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 88 - 35 - 33 - 0
Road Teams8 - 153 - 80 - 33 - 5

(#68) Toledo Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.41 #68
Offense Rating: 13.54 #72
Defense Rating: 14.95 #68
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.4 #71
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #77
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #63
Talent Rating: 678.00 #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #62
Expected Record: 9.6 - 2.4

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.55 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.87 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Toledo Notes
(5/11) One of CFB's most exp'd OLs, 95% is returning
(5/2) WR Vandeross a weapon, have decent depth
(3/22) QB Gleason 2nd yr starter. Good, but TO prone
(3/22) RBs Walendzak back, Trayanum (UK) nice add
(3/22) OL 5/5 back. Poss best G5 line, best MAC
(3/22) Candle good HC, but drops bad games a lot
(3/22) Class of the MAC TY, OC/DC both vet's.
Toledo     Ratings Matchup     Western Michigan
Power #68
#127
Off #72
#111
Def #68
#131
Talent #76
#100
SP+ #71
#117
SP+ Off #77
#112
SP+ Def #63
#116

Previous Matchups
Toledo beat Western Michigan in 2023 (49-31)
Western Michigan beat Toledo in 2022 (20-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Waldo Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TOL | WMU
Depth Chart: TOL | WMU
Rosters: TOL | WMU
(#127) Western Michigan Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -15.065 #127
Offense Rating: 7.29 #111
Defense Rating: 27.62 #131
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.8 #117
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.7 #112
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.5 #116
Talent Rating: 542.00 #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Expected Record: 4.1 - 7.9

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.11 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Good Pass Success 46%
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.38 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Awful Pass Def Success 51%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Western Michigan Notes
(3/26) QB Lowry was backup LY, limited options
(3/26) RB Buckley was co starter LY, limited depth
(3/26) WR rebuild, 3 portal adds. Have depth
(3/26) OL good LY, 2/5 back. 3 P4 portal adds
(3/26) Def awful LY, replace a lot. 7 portal adds
(3/26) New DC O'Leary was S coach at ND


  
Toledo's OC Mike Hallett
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tucker Gleason20733562%24572277.3
John Alan Richter436764%497407.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Connor Walendzak12245713.732
Tucker Gleason8833063.835
Willie Shaw III4619034.113
Trayvon Rudolph (Tr)14179212.860
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Junior Vandeross73763410.573
Trayvon Rudolph (Tr)37403110.948
Thomas Zsiros12148112.325
Eric Holley1412609.040

View Toledo's Full Roster
Toledo's DC Vince Kehres
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Braden Awls673107
Emmanuel Mcneil-Warren612104
Avery Smith5010013
Louce Julien (Tr)437411
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Dunn257420
Louce Julien (Tr)437411
Malachi Davis194210
Esean Carter162100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Avery Smith5010013
Braden Awls673107
Nasir Bowers352004

Western Michigan's OC Walt Bell
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Broc Lowry4850%21002.6
Ryan Millmore010%0010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalen Buckley12065785.561
Broc Lowry2212335.640
Palmer Domschke126026.026
Tre' Hartwell3401.34
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Malique Dieudonne12209217.443
Tailique Williams (Tr)16165010.324
Jalen Buckley129808.224
Mareyohn Hrabowski339113.015

View Western Michigan's Full Roster
Western Michigan's DC Chris O'Leary
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tate Hallock845005
Aaron Wofford642114
Tyson Lee263135
Rodney McGraw223110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyson Lee263135
Rodney McGraw223110
Popeye Williams192150
Aaron Wofford642114
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tate Hallock845005
Tyson Lee263135
Aaron Wofford642114