Murray State at Georgia State - 2025 Matchup Preview

Murray State Racers at Georgia State Panthers

Saturday, September 13th 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
Georgia State -31.5 (63.5) (-10000) Open: 0.0
Georgia State 37 - Murray State: 21

Racers (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 21 - 37 (21 - 37 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

GAST 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -18 (SP+ GAST -19)
GAST Win prob: 97% | Cover: 39%

Panthers (1 - 2) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Dell McGee (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 20 - 41 (27 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#128)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)

Matchup
Schedules
MURR Players
GAST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Murray State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13	Murray State at Georgia State	+31.5	63.5	L 21 - 37	U	Y
Sat 9/20	Murray State at Jacksonville State	-10.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Murray State's Schedule

Georgia State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Georgia State at Ole Miss	+38.5	62.5	L 7 - 63	O	N
Sat 9/6	Georgia State vs Memphis	+14.5	57.5	L 16 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/13	Georgia State vs Murray State	-31.5	63.5	W 37 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/20	Georgia State at Vanderbilt	+26.5	53.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4	Georgia State vs James Madison	+21.5
Sat 10/11	Georgia State vs App State	+8
Sat 10/18	Georgia State at Georgia Southern	+5
Thu 10/23	Georgia State vs South Alabama	+12.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8	Georgia State at Coastal Carolina	+9
Sat 11/15	Georgia State vs Marshall	+4.5
Sat 11/22	Georgia State at Troy	+16
Sat 11/29	Georgia State at Old Dominion	+22.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Georgia State's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MURR		0%	21	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	37	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
GAST	#94 (.13)	37% (116)	20	30% (131)	2.11 (128)	135	42% (76)	232	1.17 (134)	#128 (.39)	54% (133)	40.7	53% (128)	59% (134)	4.88 (117)	80.7	1.7	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MURR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
GAST	#92 (.15)	41% (90)		42% (92)	2.94 (86)	134	41% (79)	256	3.85 (76)	#121 (.28)	48% (123)		49% (119)	46% (118)	4.42 (120)	49.1	1.6	1.4

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MURR Offense	1	21	21	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
GAST Defense	3	40.7	29.5	54%	4.88	1	-	-	-	-	-	57%	41%	53%	59%	16%	.39

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MURR Defense	1	37	37	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
GAST Offense	3	20	26.5	36.6%	1.17	1.7	16	368	135	232	4.3	47%	53%	30%	42%	20%	.13

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Murray State	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Georgia State	3	30:48	15.7	32%	56%	10	80.7	1.7	1	6.7	1.7	0	26.4

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MURR Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
GAST Defense	3	57% (113)	53% (128)	-	-	-	-	.41 (133)	3.42 (127)	90% (123)	10% (61)	1.14 (105)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MURR Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
GAST Offense	3	47% (88)	30% (131)	31.3	135.3	4.3	2 (109)	-.18 (134)	2.11 (128)	56% (118)	12% (117)	1.2 (29)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MURR Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
GAST Defense	3	41% (17)	59% (134)	-	-	-	-	-	-	2 (56)	.61 (130)	1.6 (76)	23% (133)	42% (129)	.41 (99)	6% (73)	1.7 (42)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MURR Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
GAST Offense	3	53% (47)	42% (76)	20.7	32	232.3	7.3	11.2	6 (34)	4 (121)	.41 (43)	1.8 (14)	35% (109)	33% (54)	.42 (50)	7% (114)	2.6 (10)

Murray State's Power Ratings
Murray State's Power Rating: #NR
Murray State's Offense Rating: #NR
Murray State's Defense Rating: #NR
2025 Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Murray State's 2025 Expected Record: -
Murray State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Murray State's Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Murray State's Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A

Average Talent
Average OVC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Murray State: Georgia State: -18.005

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Murray State: Georgia State: -18.8

Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: -18.005 #135
Georgia State's Offense Rating: 2.00 #121
Georgia State's Defense Rating: 26.96 #132
2025 Talent Rating: 596.00 #94
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Georgia State's 2025 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Georgia State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.8 #127
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #108
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.1 #133

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Murray State Scoring
Offense: 21 PPG
Offense on Road: 21
Defense: 37 PPG
Defense on Road: 37

Murray State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Georgia State 30
Murray State 28

Total Points: 58

Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 20 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.5
Defense: 40.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.5

Georgia State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/13	Georgia State	37	Murray State	21	Georgia State	Georgia State -31.5	Murray State	63.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Georgia State	1	0	0 Overs
Murray State	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#NR) Murray State Info
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -

Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Murray State Highlights
Murray State is Undefeated vs Spread

Murray State Deficiencies
Murray State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCat	GAST	MURR
OverallOver	#93	—
OffenseOff	#80	—
DefenseDef	#93	—
Special TeamsST	#104	—
PassingPass	#49	—
RushingRush	#74	—
Run BlockRBLK	#96	—
Pass BlockPBLK	#104	—
Route RunningWR Rt	#44	—
TacklingTkl	#59	—
Run DefenseR Def	#93	—
Pass Rush DefPRush	#95	—
Coverage DefCov	#84	—

Rematch from Week 3
Georgia State -31.5 (63.5)
Georgia State won vs Murray State this year (37-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Georgia State Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MURR | GAST
Depth Chart: MURR | GAST
Rosters: MURR | GAST

(#135) Georgia State Info
Power Rating: -18.005 #135
Offense Rating: 2.00 #121
Defense Rating: 26.96 #132
Overall SP+ Rating: -18.8 #127
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #108
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.1 #133
Talent Rating: 596.00 #94
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 1.17 PPO
Awful Run Success 30%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 54%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.88 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 53%
Awful Pass Def Success 59%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Georgia State has lost 2 straight
Georgia State has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 1 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

Georgia State Notes
(8/1) DBs full rebuild, could struggle badly early
(8/1) RB all new, decent portal adds, have depth
(8/1) OL poor LY, 1/5 back. 8 portals, 4 P4. Jump?
(8/1) Def poor LY, only 9 portals? Can't stop run
(8/1) Probably a year away from bowl, 3-4 win team
(7/13) HC McGee crootin big, #1 SBC class
(5/2) WR 3 portals, retaining Ted Hurst a huge win
(3/24) QB Veilleux back, JAG. 2 portals added.
(3/24) New OC Jackson former Browns HC (NFL)
(3/24) New DC Pearson 1st time FBS DC.

Georgia State Highlights
Georgia State offense is explosive (#7)

Georgia State Deficiencies
Georgia State has a really bad Offense
Georgia State has a bad TO Margin (#107)
Georgia State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#133)
Georgia State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
Georgia State offense is really bad (#116)
Georgia State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#131)
Georgia State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#134)
Georgia State run game is really bad (#131)
Georgia State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Georgia State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Georgia State has a bad defense (#133)
Georgia State Does Not Stuff Runs (#127)
Georgia State has a bad defensive line (#127)
Georgia State has a bad red zone defense (#117)

Murray State's OC

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jim Ogle	64	102	63%	618	3	4	6.1
Baxter Wright	2	2	100%	21	0	0	10.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jawaun Northington	45	156	3	3.5	18
Jordan Washington	25	65	1	2.6	21
Tyrell Campbell	10	53	0	5.3	18
Baxter Wright	6	10	1	1.7	8

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Darius Cannon	26	198	0	7.6	22
Lucas Desjardins	14	167	1	11.9	33
Cam Bulluck	8	112	1	14.0	37
Jalen Richmond	6	59	0	9.8	22

View Murray State's Full Roster

Murray State's DC

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dylan Rowsey	10	0	0	0	0
Klayton Ingram	6	0	0	0	0
Shadon Shannon	5	0	0	0	0
Trace Ruckman	5	0	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dylan Rowsey	10	0	0	0	0
Brooks Esplin	2	0	0	0	0
Harlem Phillips	1	0	0	0	0
Cameron Daniels	1	0	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	PD
Bryan Pulley	2	2
Marion Ponds	4	2
Jerome Logan	0	1

Georgia State's OC Hue Jackson

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
TJ Finley (Tr)	32	47	68%	351	1	3	7.5
Cameran Brown (Tr)	25	37	68%	257	4	0	6.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rashad Amos (Tr)	26	140	1	5.4	29
Branson Robinson (Tr)	18	79	0	4.4	47
Cameran Brown (Tr)	13	58	1	4.5	22
TJ Peyton	4	55	0	13.8	49

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ted Hurst	18	275	2	15.3	52
Javon Robinson (Tr)	10	146	2	14.6	44
Leo Blackburn (Tr)	7	58	1	8.3	21
Camden Overton (Tr)	5	52	1	10.4	20

View Georgia State's Full Roster

Georgia State's DC Travis Pearson

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Josiah Robinson	20	4	1	0
Jordan Huff (Tr)	15	1	0	2
Deuce Fillmore	14	0	0	1
Deuce Walker	13	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Josiah Robinson	20	4	1	0
Alex Mullings	2	1	1	0
D-Icey Hopkins	10	3	1	0
Marlin Dean (Tr)	10	3	1	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Damaine Wilson	11	0	0	3
Jordan Huff (Tr)	15	1	0	2
Bernard Causey III (Tr)	6	2	1	2