Murray State at Georgia State - 2025 Matchup Preview

Murray State Racers at Georgia State Panthers

Saturday, September 13th 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
Georgia State -31.5 (63.5) (-10000) Open: 0.0
Georgia State 37 - Murray State: 21

Racers (0 - 2) (2 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 16 - 41 (16 - 41 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

GAST 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -16.5 (SP+ GAST -24)
GAST Win prob: 97% | Cover: 39%

Panthers (1 - 11) (2 - 10 - 0)
Coach Dell McGee (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 20 - 38 (22 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 1 - 11 (#133)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)

Matchup
Schedules
MURR Players
GAST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Murray State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13	Murray State at Georgia State	+31.5	63.5	L 21 - 37	U	Y
Sat 9/20	Murray State at Jacksonville State	+35.5	60.5	L 10 - 45	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Murray State's Schedule

Georgia State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Georgia State at Ole Miss	+38.5	62.5	L 7 - 63	O	N
Sat 9/6	Georgia State vs Memphis	+14.5	57.5	L 16 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/13	Georgia State vs Murray State	-31.5	63.5	W 37 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/20	Georgia State at Vanderbilt	+27.5	53.5	L 21 - 70	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4	Georgia State vs James Madison	+19.5	52.5	L 7 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/11	Georgia State vs App State	+3.0	55.5	L 20 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/18	Georgia State at Georgia Southern	+6.5	58.5	L 24 - 41	O	N
Thu 10/23	Georgia State vs South Alabama	+5.5	54.5	L 31 - 38	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8	Georgia State at Coastal Carolina	+7.0	56.5	L 27 - 40	O	N
Sat 11/15	Georgia State vs Marshall	+9.5	59.5	L 18 - 30	U	N
Sat 11/22	Georgia State at Troy	+9.5	51.0	L 19 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/29	Georgia State at Old Dominion	+29.0	58.5	L 10 - 27	U	Y

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Georgia State's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MURR		0%	15.5	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	41	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
GAST	#88 (.14)	41% (90)	19.8	43% (74)	2.89 (78)	124	40% (88)	254	3.39 (100)	#126 (.27)	46% (122)	37.8	45% (104)	47% (122)	4.45 (128)	67.9	1.4	0.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MURR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
GAST	#92 (.15)	41% (90)		42% (92)	2.94 (86)	134	41% (79)	256	3.85 (76)	#121 (.28)	48% (123)		49% (119)	46% (118)	4.42 (120)	49.1	1.6	1.4

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MURR Offense	2	15.5	15.5	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
GAST Defense	12	37.8	30.3	45.5%	4.45	0.5	-	-	-	-	-	56%	42%	45%	47%	13%	.27

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MURR Defense	2	41	41	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
GAST Offense	12	19.8	21.5	41%	3.39	1.4	20	378	124	254	4.1	43%	56%	43%	40%	16%	.14

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Murray State	2	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Georgia State	12	30:10	19.6	39%	44%	8.6	67.9	1.4	0.5	4.8	1.5	0	25.8

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MURR Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
GAST Defense	12	56% (128)	45% (104)	-	-	-	-	.18 (113)	3.17 (114)	77% (110)	8% (120)	0.97 (75)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MURR Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
GAST Offense	12	43% (119)	43% (74)	30.5	123.8	4.1	9 (122)	.06 (94)	2.89 (78)	63% (119)	9% (69)	0.87 (111)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MURR Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
GAST Defense	12	42% (8)	47% (122)	-	-	-	-	-	-	3 (123)	.43 (130)	1.6 (109)	28% (125)	37% (134)	.48 (131)	5% (104)	2 (73)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MURR Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
GAST Offense	12	56% (16)	40% (88)	24	39.6	254.4	6.4	10.6	22 (42)	11 (60)	.24 (71)	1.6 (58)	33% (107)	32% (50)	.32 (62)	7% (102)	2 (76)

Murray State's Power Ratings
Murray State's Power Rating: NR
Murray State's Offense Rating: NR
Murray State's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Murray State's 2025 Expected Record: -
Murray State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Murray State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Murray State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average OVC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Murray State: Georgia State: -16.44

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Murray State: Georgia State: -23.8

Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: -16.44 #126
Georgia State's Offense Rating: 4.33 #97
Georgia State's Defense Rating: 18.41 #126
2025 Talent Rating: 596.00 #94
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Georgia State's 2025 Expected Record: 1.0 - 11.0
Georgia State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -23.8 #133
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.8 #117
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 41.8 #134

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Murray State Scoring
Offense: 15.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.5
Defense: 41 PPG
Defense on Road: 41

Murray State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 2
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Georgia State 33
Murray State 25

Total Points: 58

Based on Last 4 Games
Georgia State 36
Murray State 25

Total Points: 61

Based on Entire Season
Georgia State 31
Murray State 25

Total Points: 56

Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 19.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.5
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.3

Georgia State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/13	Georgia State	37	Murray State	21	Georgia State -31.5	Murray State	63.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Georgia State	1	0	0 Overs
Murray State	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#NR) MURR at (#126) GAST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MURR	GAST
Power RatePwr	NR	#126
SP+SP+	NR	#133
Perf GradeGrade	NR	#128
OffenseOff	NR	#129
DefenseDef	NR	#114
Spec TeamsST	NR	#81
TalentTal	NR	#94
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	#56

Murray State Injury Report

Georgia State Notes(10/23) QB Cameran Brown taken over for TJ Finley (awful)
(10/23) This defense is shameful, DC Travis Pearson no good
(10/20) Most penalized team in CFB, have had 4 gms of 13+
(10/12) Too many paycheck games & now killed by App? Oof
(9/30) 3 paycheck games + FCS, know nothing about GSU
(8/1) DBs full rebuild, could struggle badly early
(8/1) RB all new, decent portal adds, have depth
(8/1) OL poor LY, 1/5 back. 8 portals, 4 P4. Jump?
(8/1) Def poor LY, only 9 portals? Can't stop run
(8/1) Probably a year away from bowl, 3-4 win team
(7/13) HC McGee crootin big, #1 SBC class
(5/2) WR 3 portals, retaining Ted Hurst a huge win
Georgia State Injury Report

Murray State on Offense


CategoryCat	MURR Off	GAST Def
Perf GradePerf	NR	#114
SuccessSuc	NR	#122
ExplosiveExp	NR	#81
PPAPPA	NR	#126
PowerPwr	NR	#126
SP+SP+	NR	#134
Pts POPPO	NR	#128
HavocHav	NR	#121

Murray State Run Game


CategoryCat	MURR Off	GAST Def
Run GameRun	NR	#100
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	#104
Run ExplRExp	NR	#75
PPAExp	NR	#113
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	#114
Stuff RateStuff	NR	#126
TackleTak	-	#46

Murray State Pass Game


CategoryCat	MURR Off	GAST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	#100
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	#122
Pass ExplPExl	NR	#109
PPAExp	NR	#130
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	#108
F7 HavocF7	NR	#120
DB HavocDB	NR	#104

Georgia State on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	GAST Off	MURR Def
Perf GradePerf	#129	NR
SuccessSuc	#90	NR
ExplosiveExp	#64	NR
PPAPPA	#88	NR
PowerPwr	#97	NR
SP+SP+	#117	NR
Pts POPPO	#100	NR
HavocHav	#79	NR

Georgia State Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	GAST Off	MURR Def
Run GameRun	#124	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#74	NR
Run ExplRExp	#111	NR
PPAExp	#94	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#135	-
OL YdsOLY	#78	NR
Stuff RateStuff	#96	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Georgia State Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	GAST Off	MURR Def
Pass GamePass	#58	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#88	NR
Pass ExplPExl	#58	NR
PPAExp	#71	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#130	NR
F7 HavocF7	#69	NR
DB HavocDB	#102	NR

Program Comparison
GAST 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Poor G5

MURR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Georgia State Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 79° - Wind: 6 mph

Rematch from Week 3
Georgia State -31.5 (63.5)
Georgia State won vs Murray State this year (37-21)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

MURR's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jim Ogle	165	276	60%	1767	9	13	6.4
Baxter Wright	69	92	75%	577	2	1	6.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jawaun Northington	157	765	6	4.9	66
Jordan Washington	86	340	3	4.0	24
Baxter Wright	55	150	2	2.7	11
Tyrell Campbell	26	135	1	5.2	24

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Darius Cannon	76	726	3	9.6	65
Lucas Desjardins	45	526	2	11.7	33
J'Kalon Carter	30	371	3	12.4	48
Jordan Washington	22	202	1	9.2	60

View Murray State's Full Roster

MURR's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL
Dylan Rowsey	22	0
Klayton Ingram	12	0
Conlee Crossno	12	1
Shadon Shannon	9	0

Sacks	Tack	PD
Dylan Rowsey	22	0
Tomorris Green	3	0
Jerome Logan	0	1
Jimmy Fomby	1	0

Pass D	Tack	PD
Marion Ponds	7	5
Bryan Pulley	5	3
Jerome Logan	0	1

GAST's OC Hue Jackson (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
TJ Finley (Tr)	127	201	63%	1244	6	7	6.2
Cameran Brown (Tr)	119	184	65%	1259	13	1	6.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jordan Simmons	97	543	2	5.6	92
Cameran Brown (Tr)	61	284	4	4.7	22
Rashad Amos (Tr)	63	267	2	4.2	29
Branson Robinson (Tr)	46	148	1	3.2	47

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ted Hurst	71	1004	6	14.1	70
Javon Robinson (Tr)	58	599	4	10.3	46
Grant Hollier	21	288	4	13.7	52
Jordan Simmons	28	192	1	6.9	32

View Georgia State's Full Roster

GAST's DC Travis Pearson (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Josiah Robinson	96	8	2	1	1
Jaylen Jones	66	5	0	0	1
Kedrick Walker	57	7	3	1	0
D-Icey Hopkins	51	3	1	0	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jartavius Flounoy	22	6	3	1	1
Kedrick Walker	57	7	3	1	0
Josiah Robinson	96	8	2	1	1
Richard Kramer (Tr)	13	2	2	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Bernard Causey III (Tr)	19	2	1	6
D-Icey Hopkins	51	3	1	5
Jordan Huff (Tr)	47	1	0	4