App State at Georgia State Game Matchup
App State logo App State Mountaineers at Georgia State PanthersGeorgia State logo
Saturday, October 11th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Georgia State Stadium - Atlanta, GA  (Sun Belt)

 
Mountaineers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Dowell Loggains (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 27 - 33 (24 - 40 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.9 - 7.1 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
GAST 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Georgia State -0   (SP+ APP -5.5)

Projected Score: APP: 30 - GAST: 30 (58)
GAST Win prob: 49% | Cover: 49%
APP Travel: 230 miles
Panthers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Dell McGee (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 24 - 34 (24 - 31 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.2 - 8.8 (#130)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 8)
 
App State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 App State vs Charlotte-8.50.0
Sat 9/6 App State vs Lindenwood-9
Sat 9/13 App State at Southern Miss+8
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 App State at Boise State+26.5
Sat 10/4 App State vs Oregon State+8.5
Sat 10/11 App State at Georgia State+0
Sat 10/18 App State vs Coastal Carolina+0.5
Sat 10/25 App State at Old Dominion+6.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/6 App State vs Georgia Southern+8
Sat 11/15 App State at James Madison+18.5
Sat 11/22 App State vs Marshall-5.5
Sat 11/29 App State vs Arkansas State+0.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for App State's Schedule
Georgia State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Georgia State at Ole Miss+36.50.0
Sat 9/6 Georgia State vs Memphis+16
Sat 9/13 Georgia State vs Murray State-7
Sat 9/20 Georgia State at Vanderbilt+24.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Georgia State vs James Madison+16
Sat 10/11 Georgia State vs App State-0
Sat 10/18 Georgia State at Georgia Southern+15.5
Thu 10/23 Georgia State vs South Alabama+11.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Georgia State at Coastal Carolina+8
Sat 11/15 Georgia State vs Marshall-3
Sat 11/22 Georgia State at Troy+14.5
Sat 11/29 Georgia State at Old Dominion+9

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Georgia State's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
APP#57 (.21)44% (60)26.645% (58)3.01 (75)15743% (62)2733.89 (71)#123 (.3)49% (127)32.951% (130)47% (119)4.78 (132)5721.2
GAST#92 (.15)41% (90)23.842% (92)2.94 (86)13441% (79)2563.85 (76)#121 (.28)48% (123)33.849% (119)46% (118)4.42 (120)49.11.61.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
APP0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
GAST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
APP Offense1126.624.343.6%3.892244301572734.548%51%45%43%16%.21
GAST Defense1233.831.247.6%4.421.4 - - - - - 58%42%49%46%14%.28
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
APP Defense1132.939.749%4.781.2 - - - - - 56%44%51%47%12%.3
GAST Offense1223.823.741.2%3.851.6213901342564.542%58%42%41%18%.15

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
App State1130:0623.943%59%65721.24.32.1127.6
Georgia State1229:5820.736%37%5.149.11.61.441.5030.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
APP Offense1148% (81)45% (58)34.9157.44.513 (105).1 (89)3.01 (75)80% (21)7% (15)0.89 (104)
GAST Defense1258% (130)49% (119) - - - - .22 (115)3.36 (117)79% (104)8% (124)0.95 (51)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
APP Defense1156% (124)51% (130) - - - - .26 (128)3.41 (125)77% (94)9% (89)1.04 (94)
GAST Offense1242% (118)42% (92)301344.513 (105).06 (105)2.94 (86)67% (108)10% (83)0.95 (74)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
APP Offense1151% (53)43% (62)19.835.6272.97.713.823 (41)16 (124).32 (41)1.8 (13)35% (122)37% (15).46 (19)9% (130)2.2 (18)
GAST Defense1242% (5)46% (118) - - - - - - 9 (76).38 (124)1.6 (80)29% (108)38% (125).46 (123)6% (60)1.8 (11)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
APP Defense1144% (10)47% (119) - - - - - - 4 (125).37 (119)1.5 (46)26% (133)35% (115).38 (100)2% (134)2 (62)
GAST Offense1258% (15)41% (79)22.637.4255.86.811.321 (51)13 (103).24 (78)1.6 (66)33% (98)32% (59).37 (54)7% (114)2.1 (53)

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: -19.76 #123
App State's Offense Rating: 6.35 #114
App State's Defense Rating: 26.11 #124
2025 Talent Rating: 548.00 #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
App State's 2025 Expected Record: 4.9 - 7.1
App State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.8 #98
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #94
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #103

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 527
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
App State: -19.76   Georgia State: -14.085

SP+ Ratings Matchup
App State: -8.8   Georgia State: -14.3




Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: -14.085 #119
Georgia State's Offense Rating: 6.96 #112
Georgia State's Defense Rating: 25.83 #123
2025 Talent Rating: 544.00 #99
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #82
Georgia State's 2025 Expected Record: 3.2 - 8.8
Georgia State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.3 #114
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #91
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.6 #129

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 527
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


App State Scoring
Offense: 26.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.3
Defense: 32.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 39.7

App State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
App State 30
Georgia State 30


Projected Total Points: 58
Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.7
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.2

Georgia State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/26App State33Georgia State26App StateApp State -7.5Georgia State59.0Push
202311/11Georgia State14App State42App StateGeorgia State -2.5App State62.5Under
202210/19App State42Georgia State17App StateAppalachian State -9.5App State60.5Under
202110/02Georgia State16App State45App StateAppalachian State -10.5App State54.5Over
202011/14App State17Georgia State13App StateAppalachian State -18Georgia State63.0Under
201911/16Georgia State27App State56App StateAppalachian State -15App State61.0Over
201811/17App State45Georgia State17App StateAppalachian State -27.5App State54.5Over
201711/25Georgia State10App State31App StateAppalachian State -6App State50.5Under
201610/01App State17Georgia State3App StateAppalachian State -21Georgia State52.0Under
201510/10Georgia State3App State37App StateAppalachian State -18App State61.0Under
201411/01App State44Georgia State0App StateAppalachian State -5.5App State0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Georgia State033 Overs
App State1186 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 53 - 83 - 40 - 4
Road Teams5 - 68 - 34 - 04 - 3

(#123) App State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -19.76 #123
Offense Rating: 6.35 #114
Defense Rating: 26.11 #124
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.8 #98
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #94
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #103
Talent Rating: 548.00 #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Expected Record: 4.9 - 7.1

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.89 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.78 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Awful Pass Def Success 47%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


App State Notes
(3/27) QB portals Swann (LSU) or Kohl (ISU)?
(3/23) RB rebuild. Dubinion (Ark), Keith (Tenn) added
(3/23) WR rebuild, Stroman exp'd, 3 portal adds
(3/23) OL 3/5 back, bad LY. 5 portal adds (3 FBS)
(3/23) Def bad LY, return some. DL weak. CB's good?
(3/23) Loggains was S Car OC, in for fired S. Clark
(3/23) Loggains will OC, DC Smith co-DC @ Mizzu
App State     Ratings Matchup     Georgia State
Power #123
#119
Off #114
#112
Def #124
#123
Talent #98
#99
SP+ #98
#114
SP+ Off #94
#91
SP+ Def #103
#129

Previous Matchups
App State beat Georgia State last year (33-26)
App State beat Georgia State in 2023 (42-14)
App State beat Georgia State in 2022 (42-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Georgia State Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: APP | GAST
Depth Chart: APP | GAST
Rosters: APP | GAST
(#119) Georgia State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -14.085 #119
Offense Rating: 6.96 #112
Defense Rating: 25.83 #123
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.3 #114
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #91
Defense SP+ Rating: 38.6 #129
Talent Rating: 544.00 #99
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #82
Expected Record: 3.2 - 8.8

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.42 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Awful Pass Def Success 46%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position


Georgia State Notes
(5/2) WR 3 portals, retaining Ted Hurst a huge win
(3/24) QB Veilleux back, JAG. 2 portals added.
(3/24) RB Brock back, need new depth. Some options
(3/24) OL poor LY, 1/5 back. 7 portals, 4 P4. Jump?
(3/24) Def poor LY, only 3 portals? Need #2 CB/S
(3/24) HC McGee adding talent, using Atlanta.
(3/24) New OC Jackson former Browns HC (NFL)
(3/24) New DC Pearson 1st time FBS DC.


  
App State's OC Vacant
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
AJ Swann (Tr)2450%10002.5
Billy Wiles010%0010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rashod Dubinion (Tr)5633526.023
Khalifa Keith (Tr)2110014.823
Jaylon Calhoun1202.02
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Dalton Stroman20307515.447
Rashod Dubinion (Tr)1612207.623
Kanen Hamlett43528.819
Izayah Cummings (Tr)333011.019

View App State's Full Roster
App State's DC D. J. Smith
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyle Arnholt542020
DJ Burks523000
Thomas Davis356410
Jordan Favors331004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Thomas Davis356410
Shawn Collins163241
Rondarius Porter (Tr)71100
Kevin Abrams-Verwayne91110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Favors331004
Cristian Conyer (Tr)90003
Ethan Johnson220012

Georgia State's OC Hue Jackson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Christian Veilleux16629157%204713117.0
Cameran Brown (Tr)4944%11011.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Simmons11066426.073
Cameran Brown (Tr)883010.422
Rashad Amos (Tr)97508.342
Christian Veilleux287412.623
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ted Hurst56961917.276
Jordan Simmons2118308.752
DJ Riles2017208.627
Jordan Ford662110.319

View Georgia State's Full Roster
Georgia State's DC Travis Pearson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josiah Robinson627423
Damaine Wilson391000
Henry Bryant306421
Ian Mathews260042
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Henry Bryant306421
Josiah Robinson627423
Marlin Dean (Tr)62240
Jordan Simmons20000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josiah Robinson627423
D-Icey Hopkins230003
Ian Mathews260042