App State at Georgia State - 2025 Matchup Preview
App State logo   App State Mountaineers at Georgia State Panthers  Georgia State logo
Saturday, October 11th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
App State -3 (55.5) (-155)  Open: -4.5
App State 41 - Georgia State: 20  (Sun Belt)

 
Mountaineers (5 - 8) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Dowell Loggains (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (22 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.5 - 7.5 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 5)
GAST 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: App State -4  (SP+ APP -13)

Projected Score: APP: 30 - GAST: 26 (56)
APP Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
APP Travel: 230 miles
Panthers (1 - 11) (2 - 10 - 0)
Coach Dell McGee (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 20 - 38 (22 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 1 - 11 (#133)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 6)
 
App State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 App State vs Charlotte-8.553.5W 34 - 11UY
Sat 9/6 App State vs Lindenwood-31.556.0W 20 - 13UN
Sat 9/13 App State at Southern Miss-3.055.5L 22 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 App State at Boise State+16.559.5L 14 - 47ON
Sat 10/4 App State vs Oregon State-1.553.5W 27 - 23UY
Sat 10/11 App State at Georgia State-3.055.5W 41 - 20OY
Sat 10/18 App State vs Coastal Carolina-10.548.5L 37 - 45ON
Sat 10/25 App State at Old Dominion+12.560.5L 21 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/6 App State vs Georgia Southern-4.562.5L 23 - 25UN
Sat 11/15 App State at James Madison+21.053.5L 10 - 58ON
Sat 11/22 App State vs Marshall+3.557.5W 26 - 24UY
Sat 11/29 App State vs Arkansas State-1.054.5L 29 - 30ON
Mon 12/29 App State vs Georgia Southern+10.058.5L 10 - 29UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 0

Predictions for App State's Schedule
Georgia State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Georgia State at Ole Miss+38.562.5L 7 - 63ON
Sat 9/6 Georgia State vs Memphis+14.557.5L 16 - 38UN
Sat 9/13 Georgia State vs Murray State-31.563.5W 37 - 21UN
Sat 9/20 Georgia State at Vanderbilt+27.553.5L 21 - 70ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Georgia State vs James Madison+19.552.5L 7 - 14UY
Sat 10/11 Georgia State vs App State+3.055.5L 20 - 41ON
Sat 10/18 Georgia State at Georgia Southern+6.558.5L 24 - 41ON
Thu 10/23 Georgia State vs South Alabama+5.554.5L 31 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Georgia State at Coastal Carolina+7.056.5L 27 - 40ON
Sat 11/15 Georgia State vs Marshall+9.559.5L 18 - 30UN
Sat 11/22 Georgia State at Troy+9.551.0L 19 - 31UN
Sat 11/29 Georgia State at Old Dominion+29.058.5L 10 - 27UY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Georgia State's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
APP#57 (.21)44% (60)24.245% (58)3.01 (75)15743% (62)2733.89 (71)#123 (.3)49% (127)29.851% (130)47% (119)4.78 (132)5721.2
GAST#92 (.15)41% (90)19.842% (92)2.94 (86)13441% (79)2563.85 (76)#121 (.28)48% (123)37.849% (119)46% (118)4.42 (120)49.11.61.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
APP0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
GAST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
APP Offense1124.221.643.6%3.892244301572734.548%51%45%43%16%.21
GAST Defense1237.830.347.6%4.421.4 - - - - - 58%42%49%46%14%.28
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
APP Defense1129.837.449%4.781.2 - - - - - 56%44%51%47%12%.3
GAST Offense1219.821.541.2%3.851.6213901342564.542%58%42%41%18%.15

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
App State1130:0623.943%59%65721.24.32.1127.6
Georgia State1229:5820.736%37%5.149.11.61.441.5030.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
APP Offense1148% (81)45% (58)34.9157.44.513 (105).1 (89)3.01 (75)80% (21)7% (15)0.89 (104)
GAST Defense1258% (130)49% (119) - - - - .22 (115)3.36 (117)79% (104)8% (124)0.95 (51)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
APP Defense1156% (124)51% (130) - - - - .26 (128)3.41 (125)77% (94)9% (89)1.04 (94)
GAST Offense1242% (118)42% (92)301344.513 (105).06 (105)2.94 (86)67% (108)10% (83)0.95 (74)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
APP Offense1151% (53)43% (62)19.835.6272.97.713.823 (41)16 (124).32 (41)1.8 (13)35% (122)37% (15).46 (19)9% (130)2.2 (18)
GAST Defense1242% (5)46% (118) - - - - - - 9 (76).38 (124)1.6 (80)29% (108)38% (125).46 (123)6% (60)1.8 (11)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
APP Defense1144% (10)47% (119) - - - - - - 4 (125).37 (119)1.5 (46)26% (133)35% (115).38 (100)2% (134)2 (62)
GAST Offense1258% (15)41% (79)22.637.4255.86.811.321 (51)13 (103).24 (78)1.6 (66)33% (98)32% (59).37 (54)7% (114)2.1 (53)

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: -15.18  #120
App State's Offense Rating: 4.88  #119
App State's Defense Rating: 20.06  #109
2025 Talent Rating: 650.00  #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
App State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.5 - 7.5
App State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.4  #111
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0  #100
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.2  #122

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 564.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
App State: -15.18   Georgia State: -17.41

SP+ Ratings Matchup
App State: -11.4   Georgia State: -24.5




Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: -17.41  #122
Georgia State's Offense Rating: 8.02  #100
Georgia State's Defense Rating: 23.34  #128
2025 Talent Rating: 596.00  #94
Blue Chip Ratio: 4  #56
Georgia State's 2025 Expected Record: 1.0 - 11.0
Georgia State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -24.5  #133
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.6  #116
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 41.1  #134

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 564.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


App State Scoring
Offense: 24.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.6
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.4

App State's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
App State 30
Georgia State 26


Projected Total Points: 56
Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 19.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.5
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.3

Georgia State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 9 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/11Georgia State20App State41App State -3App State55.5Over
202410/26App State33Georgia State26App State -7.5Georgia State59.0Push
202311/11Georgia State14App State42Georgia State -2.5App State62.5Under
202210/19App State42Georgia State17Appalachian State -9.5App State60.5Under
202110/02Georgia State16App State45Appalachian State -10.5App State54.5Over
202011/14App State17Georgia State13Appalachian State -18Georgia State63.0Under
201911/16Georgia State27App State56Appalachian State -15App State61.0Over
201811/17App State45Georgia State17Appalachian State -27.5App State54.5Over
201711/25Georgia State10App State31Appalachian State -6App State50.5Under
201610/01App State17Georgia State3Appalachian State -21Georgia State52.0Under
201510/10Georgia State3App State37Appalachian State -18App State61.0Under
201411/01App State44Georgia State0Appalachian State -5.5App State0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Georgia State034 Overs
App State1296 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 63 - 93 - 40 - 5
Road Teams6 - 69 - 35 - 04 - 3

(#120) APP at (#122) GAST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatAPPGAST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #120 #122
SP+SP+ #111 #133
Perf GradeGrade #94 #130
OffenseOff #100 #128
DefenseDef #54 #122
Spec TeamsST #77 #90
TalentTal #84 #94
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #56
App State Notes
(10/19) Horrific home loss to C Car, Run Def mauled 240+
(10/19) So QB JJ Kohl taken over for Swann (was injured)
(9/22) App has lost 5 straight road games into Boise St
(8/30) Swann great vs Char, Run game decent, Def imp
(8/1) Poss worst DL in SBC, 7 portal adds are meh
(8/1) Entire new team, portals meh, no bowl TY
(8/1) Def bottomed out LY. DL weak. LB avg, CB OK
(8/1) Don't love Loggains hire, SC was done w/ him
(7/13) WR rebuild, Stroman exp'd, 4 portal adds
(6/3) Watch WR J Barnes (A Peay) 1k yds, slot guy
(6/3) QB JJ Kohl (ISU) had best spring, Swann (LSU)?
(6/3) OL 3/5 back, bad LY. 8 portals, weak in spring
App State Injury Report
Georgia State Notes
(10/23) QB Cameran Brown taken over for TJ Finley (awful)
(10/23) This defense is shameful, DC Travis Pearson no good
(10/20) Most penalized team in CFB, have had 4 gms of 13+
(10/12) Too many paycheck games & now killed by App? Oof
(9/30) 3 paycheck games + FCS, know nothing about GSU
(8/1) DBs full rebuild, could struggle badly early
(8/1) RB all new, decent portal adds, have depth
(8/1) OL poor LY, 1/5 back. 8 portals, 4 P4. Jump?
(8/1) Def poor LY, only 9 portals? Can't stop run
(8/1) Probably a year away from bowl, 3-4 win team
(7/13) HC McGee crootin big, #1 SBC class
(5/2) WR 3 portals, retaining Ted Hurst a huge win
Georgia State Injury Report
App State on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat
APP OffGAST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #100 #122
SuccessSuc #60 #123
ExplosiveExp #28 #46
PPAPPA #57 #121
PowerPwr #119 #128
SP+SP+ #100 #134
Pts POPPO #71 #120
HavocHav #66 #109
App State Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat
APP OffGAST Def
Run GameRun #82 #111
Run SuccessRSuc #58 #119
Run ExplRExp #104 #51
PPAExp #89 #115
Run BlockR Blk #83 -
OL YdsOLY #75 #117
Stuff RateStuff #87 #111
TackleTak -  #45
App State Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat
APP OffGAST Def
Pass GamePass #97 #113
Pass SuccessPSuc #62 #118
Pass ExplPExl #13 #80
PPAExp #41 #124
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #117 #109
F7 HavocF7 #15 #124
DB HavocDB #130 #60
Georgia State on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCatGAST OffAPP Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #128 #54
SuccessSuc #90 #127
ExplosiveExp #46 #53
PPAPPA #92 #123
PowerPwr #100 #109
SP+SP+ #116 #122
Pts POPPO #76 #132
HavocHav #108 #132
Georgia State Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
GAST OffAPP Def
Run GameRun #127 #28
Run SuccessRSuc #92 #130
Run ExplRExp #74 #94
PPAExp #105 #128
Run BlockR Blk #130 -
OL YdsOLY #86 #125
Stuff RateStuff #94 #113
TackleTak -  #48
Georgia State Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCatGAST OffAPP Def
Pass GamePass #63 #91
Pass SuccessPSuc #79 #119
Pass ExplPExl #66 #46
PPAExp #78 #119
Pass Block/RushP Blk #132 #17
F7 HavocF7 #83 #89
DB HavocDB #114 #134
Program Comparison
GAST 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Poor G5

APP 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Georgia State Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 7
App State 3.0 (55.5)
App State won at Georgia State this year (41-20)

Previous Matchups
App State beat Georgia State last year (41-20)
App State beat Georgia State in 2024 (33-26)
App State beat Georgia State in 2023 (42-14)

  
APP's OC Vacant (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
AJ Swann (Tr)13022259%14941086.7
J.J. Kohl (Tr)13321662%14651226.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rashod Dubinion (Tr)17486845.039
Jaquari Lewis14061864.427
Matthew Wilson1211019.228
J.J. Kohl (Tr)305011.732
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Dalton Stroman35665419.072
Jaden Barnes (Tr)55608711.159
Davion Dozier (Tr)20448522.468
Izayah Cummings (Tr)37374110.130

View App State's Full Roster

APP's DC D. J. Smith (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Colton Phares10110223
DJ Burks732005
Zyeir Gamble724004
Kyle Arnholt561110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kevin Abrams-Verwayne437552
Aiden Benton385580
Caleb Sandstrom (Tr)224432
Thomas Davis256320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Johnson4420011
Emory Floyd Jr. (Tr)491005
DJ Burks732005

GAST's OC Jim Chaney (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
TJ Finley (Tr)12720163%1244676.2
Cameran Brown (Tr)11918465%12591316.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Simmons9754325.692
Cameran Brown (Tr)6128444.722
Rashad Amos (Tr)6326724.229
Branson Robinson (Tr)4614813.247
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ted Hurst711004614.170
Javon Robinson (Tr)58599410.346
Grant Hollier21288413.752
Jordan Simmons2819216.932

View Georgia State's Full Roster

GAST's DC Travis Pearson (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josiah Robinson968211
Jaylen Jones665001
Kedrick Walker577310
D-Icey Hopkins513105
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jartavius Flounoy226311
Kedrick Walker577310
Josiah Robinson968211
Richard Kramer (Tr)132200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bernard Causey III (Tr)192106
D-Icey Hopkins513105
Jordan Huff (Tr)471004