Georgia State at Old Dominion - 2025 Matchup Preview
Georgia State logo   Georgia State Panthers at Old Dominion Monarchs  Old Dominion logo
Saturday, November 29th 2025 (2:00 PM EST)
Old Dominion -29.0 (58.5) (-5000)  Open: -26.5 | 59.5
Old Dominion 27 - Georgia State: 10  (Sun Belt)

 
Panthers (1 - 11) (2 - 10 - 0)
Coach Dell McGee (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 20 - 38 (18 - 45 on Road)
Record Prediction: 1 - 11 (#133)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
GAST 2nd straight Road Game
GAST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Old Dominion -20.5  (SP+ ODU -30)

Projected Score: GAST: 18 - ODU: 38 (56)
ODU Win prob: 96% | Cover: 42%
GAST Travel: 505 miles
Monarchs (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Ricky Rahne (20 - 30)
Avg Score : 32 - 19 (34 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 3.8 (#33)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
Georgia State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Georgia State at Ole Miss+38.562.5L 7 - 63ON
Sat 9/6 Georgia State vs Memphis+14.557.5L 16 - 38UN
Sat 9/13 Georgia State vs Murray State-31.563.5W 37 - 21UN
Sat 9/20 Georgia State at Vanderbilt+27.553.5L 21 - 70ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Georgia State vs James Madison+19.552.5L 7 - 14UY
Sat 10/11 Georgia State vs App State+3.055.5L 20 - 41ON
Sat 10/18 Georgia State at Georgia Southern+6.558.5L 24 - 41ON
Thu 10/23 Georgia State vs South Alabama+5.554.5L 31 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Georgia State at Coastal Carolina+7.056.5L 27 - 40ON
Sat 11/15 Georgia State vs Marshall+9.559.5L 18 - 30UN
Sat 11/22 Georgia State at Troy+9.551.0L 19 - 31UN
Sat 11/29 Georgia State at Old Dominion+29.058.5L 10 - 27UY

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 5

Predictions for Georgia State's Schedule
Old Dominion's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Old Dominion at Indiana+23.554.5L 14 - 27UY
Sat 9/6 Old Dominion vs North Carolina Central-22.050.5W 54 - 6OY
Sat 9/13 Old Dominion at Virginia Tech+5.550.5W 45 - 26OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Old Dominion vs Liberty-14.553.5W 21 - 7UN
Sat 10/4 Old Dominion vs Coastal Carolina-18.553.5W 47 - 7OY
Sat 10/11 Old Dominion at Marshall-14.557.5L 24 - 48ON
Sat 10/18 Old Dominion at James Madison+3.047.5L 27 - 63ON
Sat 10/25 Old Dominion vs App State-12.560.5W 24 - 21UN
Sat 11/1 Old Dominion at UL Monroe-16.555.5W 31 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/13 Old Dominion vs Troy-9.553.5W 33 - 0UY
Sat 11/22 Old Dominion at Georgia Southern-10.062.0W 45 - 10UY
Sat 11/29 Old Dominion vs Georgia State-29.058.5W 27 - 10UN
Wed 12/17 Old Dominion vs South Florida+4.052.5W 24 - 10UY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 6
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Old Dominion's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GAST#92 (.15)41% (90)19.842% (92)2.94 (86)13441% (79)2563.85 (76)#121 (.28)48% (123)37.849% (119)46% (118)4.42 (120)49.11.61.4
ODU#47 (.22)42% (71)3245% (55)3.24 (34)21140% (89)1934.75 (6)#71 (.17)39% (33)18.538% (22)40% (64)3.64 (50)54.21.71.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GAST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ODU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GAST Offense1219.81841.2%3.851.6213901342564.542%58%42%41%18%.15
ODU Defense1218.58.538.8%3.641.4 - - - - - 53%46%38%40%16%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GAST Defense1237.845.347.6%4.421.4 - - - - - 58%42%49%46%14%.28
ODU Offense123234.342.4%4.751.7204042111935.455%44%45%40%16%.22

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Georgia State1229:5820.736%37%5.149.11.61.441.5030.6
Old Dominion1227:5919.743%64%6.254.21.71.46.21.9027.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GAST Offense1242% (118)42% (92)301344.513 (105).06 (105)2.94 (86)67% (108)10% (83)0.95 (74)
ODU Defense1253% (101)38% (22) - - - - .1 (61)3.01 (71)77% (94)11% (49)1.03 (91)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GAST Defense1258% (130)49% (119) - - - - .22 (115)3.36 (117)79% (104)8% (124)0.95 (51)
ODU Offense1255% (34)45% (55)39.5211.35.427 (30).21 (30)3.24 (34)67% (108)11% (105)1.16 (8)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GAST Offense1258% (15)41% (79)22.637.4255.86.811.321 (51)13 (103).24 (78)1.6 (66)33% (98)32% (59).37 (54)7% (114)2.1 (53)
ODU Defense1246% (32)40% (64) - - - - - - 12 (39).28 (95)1.8 (126)35% (24)31% (78).4 (104)5% (98)2.3 (129)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GAST Defense1242% (5)46% (118) - - - - - - 9 (76).38 (124)1.6 (80)29% (108)38% (125).46 (123)6% (60)1.8 (11)
ODU Offense1244% (104)40% (89)16.327.8192.66.911.917 (79)9 (48).27 (61)1.6 (41)33% (107)30% (86).36 (56)5% (30)2.2 (17)

Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: -15.32  #122
Georgia State's Offense Rating: 8.02  #100
Georgia State's Defense Rating: 23.34  #128
2025 Talent Rating: 596.00  #94
Blue Chip Ratio: 4%  #56
Georgia State's 2025 Expected Record: 1.0 - 11.0
Georgia State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -24.5  #133
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.6  #116
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 41.1  #134

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 564.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: -15.32   Old Dominion: 0.59

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: -24.5   Old Dominion: 5.9




Old Dominion's Power Ratings
Old Dominion's Power Rating: 0.59  #101
Old Dominion's Offense Rating: 6.98  #108
Old Dominion's Defense Rating: 16.70  #91
2025 Talent Rating: 328.00  #130
Blue Chip Ratio: 2  #79
Old Dominion's 2025 Expected Record: 9.2 - 3.8
Old Dominion's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9  #49
Old Dominion's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6  #39
Old Dominion's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.7  #48

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 564.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 19.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 18
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 45.3

Georgia State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 9 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Projected Score
Old Dominion 38
Georgia State 18


Projected Total Points: 56
Old Dominion Scoring
Offense: 32 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.3
Defense: 18.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.5

Old Dominion's 2025 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29Old Dominion27Georgia State10Old Dominion -29.0Georgia State58.5Under
202410/12Georgia State14Old Dominion21Georgia State -3Old Dominion53.0Under
202311/25Old Dominion25Georgia State24Old Dominion -2Georgia State49.5Under
202210/29Georgia State31Old Dominion17Georgia State -3.5Georgia State53.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Old Dominion310 Overs
Georgia State134 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 11 - 31 - 30 - 0
Road Teams1 - 33 - 10 - 03 - 1

(#122) GAST at (#101) ODU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatGASTODU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #122 #101
SP+SP+ #133 #49
Perf GradeGrade #130 #40
OffenseOff #128 #60
DefenseDef #122 #19
Spec TeamsST #90 #99
TalentTal #94 #130
Blue ChipsBC% #56 #79
Georgia State Notes
(10/23) QB Cameran Brown taken over for TJ Finley (awful)
(10/23) This defense is shameful, DC Travis Pearson no good
(10/20) Most penalized team in CFB, have had 4 gms of 13+
(10/12) Too many paycheck games & now killed by App? Oof
(9/30) 3 paycheck games + FCS, know nothing about GSU
(8/1) DBs full rebuild, could struggle badly early
(8/1) RB all new, decent portal adds, have depth
(8/1) OL poor LY, 1/5 back. 8 portals, 4 P4. Jump?
(8/1) Def poor LY, only 9 portals? Can't stop run
(8/1) Probably a year away from bowl, 3-4 win team
(7/13) HC McGee crootin big, #1 SBC class
(5/2) WR 3 portals, retaining Ted Hurst a huge win
Georgia State Injury Report
Old Dominion Notes
(12/2) QB Colton Joseph will enter portal. Huge loss
(10/21) Killed by JMU, Def dogwalked, Rush Off tanked, 3 TO
(10/12) Def torched in awful L vs Marshall. Season derailer?
(10/7) Off is dropping big time #'s, Monarchs #1 SBC team?
(10/7) QB Colton Joseph is the best QB no one has heard of
(9/15) Joseph torched VT, great W for ODU, Off good
(9/7) LB Henderson retired. Big loss & blow to Def
(8/30) Run game good vs IU, Run Def torched 300+
(8/1) QB Joseph back, mobile. Good red zone runner
(8/1) WR/TE rebuild, little exp. Rahne like units though
(8/1) Def Avg LY, returns a ton. Added 8 DB portals
(8/1) Emerging team with upward trajectory this year
Old Dominion Injury Report
Georgia State on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
GAST OffODU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #128 #19
SuccessSuc #90 #33
ExplosiveExp #46 #116
PPAPPA #92 #71
PowerPwr #100 #91
SP+SP+ #116 #48
Pts POPPO #76 #50
HavocHav #108 #68
Georgia State Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
GAST OffODU Def
Run GameRun #127 #46
Run SuccessRSuc #92 #22
Run ExplRExp #74 #91
PPAExp #105 #61
Run BlockR Blk #130 -
OL YdsOLY #86 #71
Stuff RateStuff #94 #68
TackleTak -  #110
Georgia State Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
GAST OffODU Def
Pass GamePass #63 #3
Pass SuccessPSuc #79 #64
Pass ExplPExl #66 #126
PPAExp #78 #95
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #132 #80
F7 HavocF7 #83 #49
DB HavocDB #114 #98
Old Dominion on Offense
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatODU OffGAST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #60 #122
SuccessSuc #71 #123
ExplosiveExp #16 #46
PPAPPA #47 #121
PowerPwr #108 #128
SP+SP+ #39 #134
Pts POPPO #6 #120
HavocHav #76 #109
Old Dominion Run Game
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
ODU OffGAST Def
Run GameRun #56 #111
Run SuccessRSuc #55 #119
Run ExplRExp #8 #51
PPAExp #30 #115
Run BlockR Blk #110 -
OL YdsOLY #34 #117
Stuff RateStuff #39 #111
TackleTak -  #45
Old Dominion Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatODU OffGAST Def
Pass GamePass #74 #113
Pass SuccessPSuc #89 #118
Pass ExplPExl #41 #80
PPAExp #61 #124
Pass Block/RushP Blk #28 #109
F7 HavocF7 #105 #124
DB HavocDB #30 #60
Program Comparison
ODU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

GAST 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Foreman Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 14
Old Dominion -29.0 (58.5)
Old Dominion won vs Georgia State this year (27-10)

Previous Matchups
Old Dominion beat Georgia State last year (27-10)
Old Dominion beat Georgia State in 2024 (21-14)
Old Dominion beat Georgia State in 2023 (25-24)

  
GAST's OC Jim Chaney (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
TJ Finley (Tr)12720163%1244676.2
Cameran Brown (Tr)11918465%12591316.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Simmons9754325.692
Cameran Brown (Tr)6128444.722
Rashad Amos (Tr)6326724.229
Branson Robinson (Tr)4614813.247
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ted Hurst711004614.170
Javon Robinson (Tr)58599410.346
Grant Hollier21288413.752
Jordan Simmons2819216.932

View Georgia State's Full Roster

GAST's DC Travis Pearson (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josiah Robinson968211
Jaylen Jones665001
Kedrick Walker577310
D-Icey Hopkins513105
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jartavius Flounoy226311
Kedrick Walker577310
Josiah Robinson968211
Richard Kramer (Tr)132200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bernard Causey III (Tr)192106
D-Icey Hopkins513105
Jordan Huff (Tr)471004

ODU's OC Kevin Decker (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Colton Joseph17328860%261921109.1
Quinn Henicle174043%184004.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Colton Joseph1571011136.478
Trequan Jones10579267.593
Devin Roche11163445.767
Ke'Travion Hargrove (Tr)6426844.229
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tre' Brown III38762420.198
Ja'Cory Thomas41714517.455
Na'eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding51667613.146
Ke'Travion Hargrove (Tr)6192232.080

View Old Dominion's Full Roster

ODU's DC Blake Seiler (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mario Easterly802034
Jerome Carter763022
Jeremy Mack Jr.7510633
Jahleel Culbreath7110330
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jeremy Mack Jr.7510633
Jackson Forrest527510
Kris Trinidad337443
Javen Gibson245410
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brandon Crutchfield350006
Zion Frink601006
Nickendre Stiger (Tr)463005