Georgia State at Old Dominion - 2025 Matchup Preview
Georgia State logo Georgia State Panthers at Old Dominion MonarchsOld Dominion logo
Saturday, November 29th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Foreman Field - Norfolk, VA  (Sun Belt)

 
Panthers (1 - 2) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Dell McGee (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 20 - 41 (7 - 63 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#128)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 6)
GAST 2nd straight Road Game
GAST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Old Dominion -22.5   (SP+ ODU -15)

Projected Score: GAST: 20 - ODU: 42 (62)
ODU Win prob: 95% | Cover: 53%
GAST Travel: 505 miles
Monarchs (2 - 1) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Ricky Rahne (20 - 30)
Avg Score : 38 - 20 (54 - 6 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.9 - 3.1 (#25)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
 
Georgia State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Georgia State at Ole Miss+38.562.5L 7 - 63ON
Sat 9/6 Georgia State vs Memphis+14.557.5L 16 - 38UN
Sat 9/13 Georgia State vs Murray State-31.563.5W 37 - 21UN
Sat 9/20 Georgia State at Vanderbilt+26.553.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Georgia State vs James Madison+21.5
Sat 10/11 Georgia State vs App State+8
Sat 10/18 Georgia State at Georgia Southern+5
Thu 10/23 Georgia State vs South Alabama+12.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Georgia State at Coastal Carolina+9
Sat 11/15 Georgia State vs Marshall+4.5
Sat 11/22 Georgia State at Troy+16
Sat 11/29 Georgia State at Old Dominion+22.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Georgia State's Schedule
Old Dominion's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Old Dominion at Indiana+23.554.5L 14 - 27UY
Sat 9/6 Old Dominion vs North Carolina Central-22.050.5W 54 - 6OY
Sat 9/13 Old Dominion at Virginia Tech+5.550.5W 45 - 26OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Old Dominion vs Liberty-4
Sat 10/4 Old Dominion vs Coastal Carolina-15.5
Sat 10/11 Old Dominion at Marshall-10.5
Sat 10/18 Old Dominion at James Madison+6.5
Sat 10/25 Old Dominion vs App State-11.5
Sat 11/1 Old Dominion at UL Monroe-17
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/13 Old Dominion vs Troy-9
Sat 11/22 Old Dominion at Georgia Southern-14.5
Sat 11/29 Old Dominion vs Georgia State-22.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Old Dominion's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GAST#94 (.13)37% (116)2030% (131)2.11 (128)13542% (76)2321.17 (134)#128 (.39)54% (133)40.753% (128)59% (134)4.88 (117)80.71.71
ODU#9 (.49)51% (29)37.751% (38)3.57 (23)24652% (27)2166.43 (1)#36 (.03)45% (107)19.755% (132)32% (32)2.84 (45)74.71.72
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GAST#92 (.15)41% (90)42% (92)2.94 (86)13441% (79)2563.85 (76)#121 (.28)48% (123)49% (119)46% (118)4.42 (120)49.11.61.4
ODU#47 (.22)42% (71)45% (55)3.24 (34)21140% (89)1934.75 (6)#71 (.17)39% (33)38% (22)40% (64)3.64 (50)54.21.71.4



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GAST Offense320736.6%1.171.7163681352324.347%53%30%42%20%.13
ODU Defense319.7645%2.842 - - - - - 57%43%55%32%21%.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GAST Defense340.76354%4.881 - - - - - 57%41%53%59%16%.39
ODU Offense337.75450.7%6.431.7224622462167.653%46%51%52%13%.49

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Georgia State330:4815.732%56%1080.71.716.71.7026.4
Old Dominion325:3721.738%100%7.774.71.7282.3026
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GAST Offense347% (88)30% (131)31.3135.34.32 (109)-.18 (134)2.11 (128)56% (118)12% (117)1.2 (29)
ODU Defense357% (114)55% (132) - - - - .13 (97)3.26 (116)56% (26)13% (30)0.78 (32)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GAST Defense357% (113)53% (128) - - - - .41 (133)3.42 (127)90% (123)10% (61)1.14 (105)
ODU Offense353% (56)51% (38)32.3245.77.610 (10).42 (7)3.57 (23)71% (67)8% (62)1.42 (10)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GAST Offense353% (47)42% (76)20.732232.37.311.26 (34)4 (121).41 (43)1.8 (14)35% (109)33% (54).42 (50)7% (114)2.6 (10)
ODU Defense343% (22)32% (32) - - - - - - 3 (28)-.09 (14)1.2 (21)23% (131)31% (81).33 (87)8% (26)1.6 (27)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GAST Defense341% (17)59% (134) - - - - - - 2 (56).61 (130)1.6 (76)23% (133)42% (129).41 (99)6% (73)1.7 (42)
ODU Offense346% (83)52% (27)16.324.3216.38.913.25 (54)3 (92).57 (16)1.6 (44)27% (39)44% (19).67 (21)5% (56)2.2 (37)

Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: -22.21 #135
Georgia State's Offense Rating: 2.00 #121
Georgia State's Defense Rating: 26.96 #132
2025 Talent Rating: 596.00 #94
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
Georgia State's 2025 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Georgia State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.8 #127
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #108
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.1 #133

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: -22.21   Old Dominion: 1.855

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: -18.8   Old Dominion: -3.5




Old Dominion's Power Ratings
Old Dominion's Power Rating: 1.855 #75
Old Dominion's Offense Rating: 15.86 #48
Old Dominion's Defense Rating: 13.65 #96
2025 Talent Rating: 328.00 #130
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #79
Old Dominion's 2025 Expected Record: 8.9 - 3.1
Old Dominion's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5 #81
Old Dominion's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #72
Old Dominion's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #94

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 20 PPG
Offense on Road: 7
Defense: 40.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 63

Georgia State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Old Dominion 42
Georgia State 20


Total Points: 62

Old Dominion Scoring
Offense: 37.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 54
Defense: 19.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 6

Old Dominion's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/12Georgia State14Old Dominion21Old DominionGeorgia State -3Old Dominion53.0Under
202311/25Old Dominion25Georgia State24Old DominionOld Dominion -2Georgia State49.5Under
202210/29Georgia State31Old Dominion17Georgia StateGeorgia State -3.5Georgia State53.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Old Dominion210 Overs
Georgia State123 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 11 - 21 - 20 - 0
Road Teams1 - 22 - 10 - 02 - 1

(#135) Georgia State Info
Power Rating: -22.21 #135
Offense Rating: 2.00 #121
Defense Rating: 26.96 #132
Overall SP+ Rating: -18.8 #127
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #108
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.1 #133
Talent Rating: 596.00 #94
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 1.17 PPO
Awful Run Success 30%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 54%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.88 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 53%
Awful Pass Def Success 59%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Georgia State has lost 8 straight
Georgia State has lost 5 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Georgia State Notes
(8/1) DBs full rebuild, could struggle badly early
(8/1) RB all new, decent portal adds, have depth
(8/1) OL poor LY, 1/5 back. 8 portals, 4 P4. Jump?
(8/1) Def poor LY, only 9 portals? Can't stop run
(8/1) Probably a year away from bowl, 3-4 win team
(7/13) HC McGee crootin big, #1 SBC class
(5/2) WR 3 portals, retaining Ted Hurst a huge win
(3/24) QB Veilleux back, JAG. 2 portals added.
(3/24) New OC Jackson former Browns HC (NFL)
(3/24) New DC Pearson 1st time FBS DC.

Georgia State Highlights
Georgia State offense is explosive (#7)

Georgia State Deficiencies
Georgia State has a really bad Offense
Georgia State has a bad TO Margin (#107)
Georgia State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#133)
Georgia State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
Georgia State offense is really bad (#116)
Georgia State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#131)
Georgia State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#134)
Georgia State run game is really bad (#131)
Georgia State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Georgia State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Georgia State has a bad defense (#133)
Georgia State Does Not Stuff Runs (#127)
Georgia State has a bad defensive line (#127)
Georgia State has a bad red zone defense (#117)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatODUGAST
OverallOver#34#93
OffenseOff#23#80
DefenseDef#62#93
Special TeamsST#66#104
PassingPass#14#49
RushingRush#32#74
Run BlockRBLK#93#96
Pass BlockPBLK#34#104
Route RunningWR Rt#9#44
TacklingTkl#86#59
Run DefenseR Def#89#93
Pass Rush DefPRush#87#95
Coverage DefCov#17#84

Previous Matchups
Old Dominion beat Georgia State last year (21-14)
Old Dominion beat Georgia State in 2023 (25-24)
Georgia State beat Old Dominion in 2022 (31-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Foreman Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: GAST | ODU
Depth Chart: GAST | ODU
Rosters: GAST | ODU
(#75) Old Dominion Info
Power Rating: 1.855 #75
Offense Rating: 15.86 #48
Defense Rating: 13.65 #96
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5 #81
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #72
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #94
Talent Rating: 328.00 #130
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #79
Expected Record: 8.9 - 3.1

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
Good Offense Success Rate of 51%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 6.43 PPO
Good Run Success 51%
Good Pass Success 52%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Avg in Scoring Position 2.84 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 55%
Good Pass Def Success 32%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Old Dominion has lost 8 straight
Old Dominion has lost 4 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Old Dominion Notes
(9/7) LB Henderson retired. Big loss & blow to Def
(8/30) Run game good vs IU, Run Def torched 300+
(8/1) QB Joseph back, mobile. Good red zone runner
(8/1) WR/TE rebuild, little exp. Rahne like units though
(8/1) Def Avg LY, returns a ton. Added 8 DB portals
(8/1) Emerging team with upward trajectory this year
(8/1) QB Joseph, like all ODU, must limit TOs
(5/23) ODU was 3-6 in 1 score games LY
(5/16) Best G5 LB core w/ Henderson back from inj?
(3/24) RB rebuild, Duke/Roche have exp. Little depth

Old Dominion Highlights
Old Dominion is Undefeated vs Spread
Old Dominion is Undefeated at Home
Old Dominion is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Old Dominion has Really Good Running Game (#7)
Old Dominion offense is efficent (#29)
Old Dominion offense is explosive (#13)
Old Dominion has a top Offensive Line (#23)
Old Dominion offense is good in red zone (#1)
Old Dominion defense does not give up big plays (#4)
Old Dominion Front 7 is disruptive (#30)
Old Dominion Secondary is very good (#26)
Old Dominion defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Old Dominion Deficiencies
Old Dominion has a bad TO Margin (#107)
Old Dominion Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
Old Dominion has a bad defense (#107)
Old Dominion has a bad defensive line (#116)


  
Georgia State's OC Hue Jackson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
TJ Finley (Tr)324768%351137.5
Cameran Brown (Tr)253768%257406.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rashad Amos (Tr)2614015.429
Branson Robinson (Tr)187904.447
Cameran Brown (Tr)135814.522
TJ Peyton455013.849
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ted Hurst18275215.352
Javon Robinson (Tr)10146214.644
Leo Blackburn (Tr)75818.321
Camden Overton (Tr)552110.420

View Georgia State's Full Roster
Georgia State's DC Travis Pearson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josiah Robinson204100
Jordan Huff (Tr)151002
Deuce Fillmore140001
Deuce Walker130000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josiah Robinson204100
Alex Mullings21100
D-Icey Hopkins103100
Marlin Dean (Tr)103120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Damaine Wilson110003
Jordan Huff (Tr)151002
Bernard Causey III (Tr)62102

Old Dominion's OC Kevin Decker
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Colton Joseph466868%629539.3
Quinn Henicle3560%20004.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Colton Joseph29294410.178
Trequan Jones18264414.793
Maurki James237913.410
Ke'Travion Hargrove (Tr)156804.512
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ja'Cory Thomas11193117.538
Na'eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding10140214.044
Tre' Brown III10136113.645
TJ Lott454113.534

View Old Dominion's Full Roster
Old Dominion's DC Blake Seiler
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mario Easterly261011
Jeremy Mack Jr.203201
Jerome Carter200001
Jahleel Culbreath162110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jeremy Mack Jr.203201
Javen Gibson62210
Jahleel Culbreath162110
Cole Daniels72101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Botros Alisandro (Tr)160004
Zion Frink90003
Nickendre Stiger (Tr)161002