South Alabama at Georgia State Game Matchup
South Alabama logo South Alabama Jaguars at Georgia State PanthersGeorgia State logo
Thursday, October 23rd 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Georgia State Stadium - Atlanta, GA  (Sun Belt)

 
Jaguars (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Major Applewhite (6 - 6)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (26 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.6 - 4.4 (#40)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
GAST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: South Alabama -11.5   (SP+ USA -11)
Projected Score: USA: 33 - GAST: 22 (59)
USA Win prob: 77% | Cover: 45%
USA Travel: 300 miles, 1 hrs behind
Panthers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Dell McGee (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 24 - 34 (24 - 31 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.2 - 8.8 (#130)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 8)
 
South Alabama's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 South Alabama vs Morgan State-20.5
Sat 9/6 South Alabama vs Tulane+4
Sat 9/13 South Alabama at Auburn+22.5
Sat 9/20 South Alabama vs Coastal Carolina-11
Sat 9/27 South Alabama at North Texas-2.5
Sat 10/4 South Alabama at Troy+1
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14 South Alabama vs Arkansas State-11
Thu 10/23 South Alabama at Georgia State-11.5
Sat 11/1 South Alabama vs Louisiana-6.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 South Alabama at UL Monroe-9.5
Sat 11/22 South Alabama vs Southern Miss-8.5
Sat 11/29 South Alabama at Texas State+0.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for South Alabama's Schedule
Georgia State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Georgia State at Ole Miss+36.50.0
Sat 9/6 Georgia State vs Memphis+16
Sat 9/13 Georgia State vs Murray State-7
Sat 9/20 Georgia State at Vanderbilt+24.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Georgia State vs James Madison+16
Sat 10/11 Georgia State vs App State-0
Sat 10/18 Georgia State at Georgia Southern+15.5
Thu 10/23 Georgia State vs South Alabama+11.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Georgia State at Coastal Carolina+8
Sat 11/15 Georgia State vs Marshall-3
Sat 11/22 Georgia State at Troy+14.5
Sat 11/29 Georgia State at Old Dominion+9

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Georgia State's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USA#5 (.34)50% (9)34.453% (4)3.57 (6)19947% (18)2434.66 (13)#58 (.15)41% (58)25.239% (28)43% (96)3.66 (56)70.80.91.5
GAST#92 (.15)41% (90)23.842% (92)2.94 (86)13441% (79)2563.85 (76)#121 (.28)48% (123)33.849% (119)46% (118)4.42 (120)49.11.61.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
GAST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USA Offense1334.425.549.8%4.660.9224421992435.851%49%53%47%14%.34
GAST Defense1233.831.247.6%4.421.4 - - - - - 58%42%49%46%14%.28
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USA Defense1325.222.840.9%3.661.5 - - - - - 48%52%39%43%16%.15
GAST Offense1223.823.741.2%3.851.6213901342564.542%58%42%41%18%.15

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
South Alabama1329:2021.539%68%8.270.80.91.55.61.6429.3
Georgia State1229:5820.736%37%5.149.11.61.441.5030.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USA Offense1351% (67)53% (4)34.1199.25.832 (14).33 (3)3.57 (6)82% (12)10% (79)1.06 (40)
GAST Defense1258% (130)49% (119) - - - - .22 (115)3.36 (117)79% (104)8% (124)0.95 (51)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USA Defense1348% (38)39% (28) - - - - .09 (53)2.78 (32)71% (51)10% (78)1.05 (98)
GAST Offense1242% (118)42% (92)301344.513 (105).06 (105)2.94 (86)67% (108)10% (83)0.95 (74)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USA Offense1349% (68)47% (18)19.530243.28.112.521 (51)6 (10).36 (27)1.5 (101)29% (27)33% (49).48 (15)4% (14)2.2 (14)
GAST Defense1242% (5)46% (118) - - - - - - 9 (76).38 (124)1.6 (80)29% (108)38% (125).46 (123)6% (60)1.8 (11)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USA Defense1352% (98)43% (96) - - - - - - 16 (10).24 (73)1.5 (32)32% (69)30% (55).15 (8)6% (59)1.7 (5)
GAST Offense1258% (15)41% (79)22.637.4255.86.811.321 (51)13 (103).24 (78)1.6 (66)33% (98)32% (59).37 (54)7% (114)2.1 (53)

South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: -2.23 #70
South Alabama's Offense Rating: 16.39 #50
South Alabama's Defense Rating: 18.62 #94
2025 Talent Rating: 550.00 #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
South Alabama's 2025 Expected Record: 7.6 - 4.4
South Alabama's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.4 #76
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.4 #74
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #81

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 527
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
South Alabama: -2.23   Georgia State: -14.085

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Alabama: -3.4   Georgia State: -14.3




Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: -14.085 #119
Georgia State's Offense Rating: 6.96 #112
Georgia State's Defense Rating: 25.83 #123
2025 Talent Rating: 544.00 #99
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #82
Georgia State's 2025 Expected Record: 3.2 - 8.8
Georgia State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.3 #114
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #91
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.6 #129

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 527
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 34.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.5
Defense: 25.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.8

South Alabama's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
South Alabama 33
Georgia State 22

Projected Total Points: 59
Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.7
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.2

Georgia State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202011/21South Alabama14Georgia State31Georgia StateGeorgia State -3.5Georgia State58.5Under
201911/23Georgia State28South Alabama15Georgia StateGeorgia State -9.5Georgia State57.0Under
201710/26Georgia State21South Alabama13Georgia StateGeorgia State -1Georgia State50.5Under
201610/29South Alabama13Georgia State10South AlabamaSouth Alabama -3.5Georgia State47.5Under
201511/21Georgia State24South Alabama10Georgia StateGeorgia State -1Georgia State60.5Under
201410/18South Alabama30Georgia State27South AlabamaSouth Alabama -17Georgia State0
201311/30Georgia State17South Alabama38South AlabamaSouth Alabama -9South Alabama0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Georgia State460 Overs
South Alabama315 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 23 - 43 - 20 - 2
Road Teams2 - 54 - 32 - 02 - 3

(#70) South Alabama Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.23 #70
Offense Rating: 16.39 #50
Defense Rating: 18.62 #94
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.4 #76
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.4 #74
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #81
Talent Rating: 550.00 #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Expected Record: 7.6 - 4.4

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Great Offense Success Rate of 50%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.66 PPO
Great Run Success 53%
Great Pass Success 47%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.66 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


South Alabama Notes
(5/23) New OC Petrino downgrade from Ezell (Wake)
(4/17) Davenport likely QB1, #2 LY, started Ohio game
(4/14) Losing QB Lopez (portal) huge blow, esp in spring
(3/24) RB Bullock a good one, lost Bothwell to MSU
(3/24) WR rebuild. Voisin/Eager have exp. Some depth
(3/24) OL was decent LY, 4/5 back. 4 portals. Looks good
(3/24) Def was OK LY, 7 portal adds, replace a lot
South Alabama     Ratings Matchup     Georgia State
Power #70
#119
Off #50
#112
Def #94
#123
Talent #96
#99
SP+ #76
#114
SP+ Off #74
#91
SP+ Def #81
#129

Weather Forecast
Playing in Georgia State Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: USA | GAST
Depth Chart: USA | GAST
Rosters: USA | GAST
(#119) Georgia State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -14.085 #119
Offense Rating: 6.96 #112
Defense Rating: 25.83 #123
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.3 #114
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #91
Defense SP+ Rating: 38.6 #129
Talent Rating: 544.00 #99
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #82
Expected Record: 3.2 - 8.8

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.42 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Awful Pass Def Success 46%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position


Georgia State Notes
(5/2) WR 3 portals, retaining Ted Hurst a huge win
(3/24) QB Veilleux back, JAG. 2 portals added.
(3/24) RB Brock back, need new depth. Some options
(3/24) OL poor LY, 1/5 back. 7 portals, 4 P4. Jump?
(3/24) Def poor LY, only 3 portals? Need #2 CB/S
(3/24) HC McGee adding talent, using Atlanta.
(3/24) New OC Jackson former Browns HC (NFL)
(3/24) New DC Pearson 1st time FBS DC.


  
South Alabama's OC Paul Petrino
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bishop Davenport487961%604317.6
Zach Pyron (Tr)356554%409236.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kentrel Bullock15283275.559
Bishop Davenport3716114.450
Zach Pyron (Tr)3611543.220
PJ Martin139817.545
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Voisin34407012.028
Kentrel Bullock15153110.228
Anthony Eager10133213.338
Miller McCrumby (Tr)117907.213

View South Alabama's Full Roster
South Alabama's DC Will Windham
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Blayne Myrick1018232
Darius McKenzie724104
Wesley Miller592004
Ed Smith IV234230
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Parker Shattuck113301
Tyler Thomas194300
Blayne Myrick1018232
Ed Smith IV234230
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Darius McKenzie724104
Wesley Miller592004
Blayne Myrick1018232

Georgia State's OC Hue Jackson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Christian Veilleux16629157%204713117.0
Cameran Brown (Tr)4944%11011.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Simmons11066426.073
Cameran Brown (Tr)883010.422
Rashad Amos (Tr)97508.342
Christian Veilleux287412.623
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ted Hurst56961917.276
Jordan Simmons2118308.752
DJ Riles2017208.627
Jordan Ford662110.319

View Georgia State's Full Roster
Georgia State's DC Travis Pearson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josiah Robinson627423
Damaine Wilson391000
Henry Bryant306421
Ian Mathews260042
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Henry Bryant306421
Josiah Robinson627423
Marlin Dean (Tr)62240
Jordan Simmons20000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josiah Robinson627423
D-Icey Hopkins230003
Ian Mathews260042