Georgia State at Georgia Southern Game Matchup
Georgia State logo Georgia State Panthers at Georgia Southern EaglesGeorgia Southern logo
Saturday, October 18th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Paulson Stadium - Statesboro, GA  (Sun Belt)

 
Panthers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Dell McGee (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 24 - 34 (24 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.2 - 8.8 (#130)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 8)
GASO 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Georgia Southern -15.5   (SP+ GASO -10)

Projected Score: GAST: 21 - GASO: 36 (57)
GASO Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
GAST Travel: 176 miles
Eagles (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Clay Helton (20 - 18)
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (31 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.9 - 4.1 (#33)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
 
Georgia State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Georgia State at Ole Miss+36.50.0
Sat 9/6 Georgia State vs Memphis+16
Sat 9/13 Georgia State vs Murray State-7
Sat 9/20 Georgia State at Vanderbilt+24.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Georgia State vs James Madison+16
Sat 10/11 Georgia State vs App State-0
Sat 10/18 Georgia State at Georgia Southern+15.5
Thu 10/23 Georgia State vs South Alabama+11.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Georgia State at Coastal Carolina+8
Sat 11/15 Georgia State vs Marshall-3
Sat 11/22 Georgia State at Troy+14.5
Sat 11/29 Georgia State at Old Dominion+9

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Georgia State's Schedule
Georgia Southern's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Georgia Southern at Fresno State+1.50.0
Sat 9/6 Georgia Southern at USC+17
Sat 9/13 Georgia Southern vs Jacksonville State-18
Sat 9/20 Georgia Southern vs Maine-20
Sat 9/27 Georgia Southern at James Madison+8
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 Georgia Southern vs Southern Miss-7.5
Sat 10/18 Georgia Southern vs Georgia State-15.5
Sat 10/25 Georgia Southern at Arkansas State-5
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/6 Georgia Southern at App State-8
Sat 11/15 Georgia Southern vs Coastal Carolina-10
Sat 11/22 Georgia Southern vs Old Dominion-9
Sat 11/29 Georgia Southern at Marshall-11

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 9
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 9
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Georgia Southern's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GAST#92 (.15)41% (90)23.842% (92)2.94 (86)13441% (79)2563.85 (76)#121 (.28)48% (123)33.849% (119)46% (118)4.42 (120)49.11.61.4
GASO#68 (.19)43% (65)2846% (44)2.84 (101)12840% (85)2384.57 (17)#105 (.23)45% (108)27.647% (109)44% (102)3.81 (71)48.31.71.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GAST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
GASO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GAST Offense1223.82441.2%3.851.6213901342564.542%58%42%41%18%.15
GASO Defense1327.625.845.5%3.811.5 - - - - - 47%53%47%44%14%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GAST Defense1233.836.547.6%4.421.4 - - - - - 58%42%49%46%14%.28
GASO Offense132831.342.9%4.571.7223661282383.846%53%46%40%17%.19

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Georgia State1229:5820.736%37%5.149.11.61.441.5030.6
Georgia Southern1330:0921.845%75%5.648.31.71.54.61.6127.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GAST Offense1242% (118)42% (92)301344.513 (105).06 (105)2.94 (86)67% (108)10% (83)0.95 (74)
GASO Defense1347% (27)47% (109) - - - - .18 (99)3.1 (87)72% (60)8% (106)1 (79)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GAST Defense1258% (130)49% (119) - - - - .22 (115)3.36 (117)79% (104)8% (124)0.95 (51)
GASO Offense1346% (95)46% (44)33.8128.23.824 (45).15 (57)2.84 (101)78% (36)11% (94)0.99 (57)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GAST Offense1258% (15)41% (79)22.637.4255.86.811.321 (51)13 (103).24 (78)1.6 (66)33% (98)32% (59).37 (54)7% (114)2.1 (53)
GASO Defense1353% (108)44% (102) - - - - - - 13 (31).28 (97)1.5 (52)31% (89)32% (94).35 (89)5% (100)2 (54)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GAST Defense1242% (5)46% (118) - - - - - - 9 (76).38 (124)1.6 (80)29% (108)38% (125).46 (123)6% (60)1.8 (11)
GASO Offense1353% (39)40% (85)22.234.2237.8710.721 (51)11 (72).23 (86)1.5 (84)31% (60)33% (48).39 (43)6% (65)2 (90)

Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: -18.87 #119
Georgia State's Offense Rating: 6.96 #112
Georgia State's Defense Rating: 25.83 #123
2025 Talent Rating: 544.00 #99
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #82
Georgia State's 2025 Expected Record: 3.2 - 8.8
Georgia State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.3 #114
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #91
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.6 #129

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 527
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: -18.87   Georgia Southern: -1.09

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: -14.3   Georgia Southern: -4.0




Georgia Southern's Power Ratings
Georgia Southern's Power Rating: -1.09 #76
Georgia Southern's Offense Rating: 15.20 #60
Georgia Southern's Defense Rating: 18.38 #92
2025 Talent Rating: 586.00 #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #73
Georgia Southern's 2025 Expected Record: 7.9 - 4.1
Georgia Southern's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 #78
Georgia Southern's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #63
Georgia Southern's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #95

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 527
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.5

Georgia State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Georgia Southern 36
Georgia State 21


Projected Total Points: 57
Georgia Southern Scoring
Offense: 28 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.3
Defense: 27.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.8

Georgia Southern's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/28Georgia State21Georgia Southern38Georgia SouthernGeorgia State -3.5Georgia Southern57.5Over
202310/26Georgia Southern44Georgia State27Georgia SouthernGeorgia State -1.0Georgia Southern63.0Over
202210/08Georgia State41Georgia Southern33Georgia StateGeorgia State -2.5Georgia State67.5Over
202110/30Georgia Southern14Georgia State21Georgia StateGeorgia State -6Georgia State55.0Under
202011/28Georgia State30Georgia Southern24Georgia StateGeorgia State -2.5Georgia State51.5Over
201911/30Georgia Southern38Georgia State10Georgia SouthernGeorgia Southern -6.5Georgia Southern56.0Under
201811/24Georgia State14Georgia Southern35Georgia SouthernGeorgia Southern -10Georgia Southern60.0Under
201711/04Georgia Southern17Georgia State21Georgia StateGeorgia State -5.5Georgia Southern50.5Under
201611/19Georgia State30Georgia Southern24Georgia StateGeorgia Southern -3.5Georgia State47.5Over
201512/05Georgia Southern7Georgia State34Georgia StateGeorgia Southern -22Georgia State57.0Under
201410/25Georgia State31Georgia Southern69Georgia SouthernGeorgia Southern -15Georgia Southern0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Georgia Southern565 Overs
Georgia State655 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 66 - 53 - 23 - 3
Road Teams6 - 55 - 63 - 32 - 3

(#119) Georgia State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -18.87 #119
Offense Rating: 6.96 #112
Defense Rating: 25.83 #123
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.3 #114
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #91
Defense SP+ Rating: 38.6 #129
Talent Rating: 544.00 #99
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #82
Expected Record: 3.2 - 8.8

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.42 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Awful Pass Def Success 46%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position


Georgia State Notes
(5/2) WR 3 portals, retaining Ted Hurst a huge win
(3/24) QB Veilleux back, JAG. 2 portals added.
(3/24) RB Brock back, need new depth. Some options
(3/24) OL poor LY, 1/5 back. 7 portals, 4 P4. Jump?
(3/24) Def poor LY, only 3 portals? Need #2 CB/S
(3/24) HC McGee adding talent, using Atlanta.
(3/24) New OC Jackson former Browns HC (NFL)
(3/24) New DC Pearson 1st time FBS DC.
Georgia State     Ratings Matchup     Georgia Southern
Power #119
#76
Off #112
#60
Def #123
#92
Talent #99
#86
SP+ #114
#78
SP+ Off #91
#63
SP+ Def #129
#95

Previous Matchups
Georgia Southern beat Georgia State last year (38-21)
Georgia Southern beat Georgia State in 2023 (44-27)
Georgia State beat Georgia Southern in 2022 (41-33)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Paulson Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: GAST | GASO
Depth Chart: GAST | GASO
Rosters: GAST | GASO
(#76) Georgia Southern Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.09 #76
Offense Rating: 15.20 #60
Defense Rating: 18.38 #92
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 #78
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #63
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #95
Talent Rating: 586.00 #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #73
Expected Record: 7.9 - 4.1

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.57 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.81 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Georgia Southern Notes
(4/7) WR Brown (Aub) impressive. QB as good depth
(3/24) QB French back. Helton (WKU) added
(3/24) RB Arnold, Mbadinga exp'd. Gibbs big croot
(3/24) WR Cobb/Dallas back (2/3 LY). Have depth
(3/24) OL 4/5 back, T Williams also exp'd. Looks good
(3/24) Def not good LY, 6 portal adds. Could improve?
(3/24) Helton has bowled every year. Good job


  
Georgia State's OC Hue Jackson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Christian Veilleux16629157%204713117.0
Cameran Brown (Tr)4944%11011.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Simmons11066426.073
Cameran Brown (Tr)883010.422
Rashad Amos (Tr)97508.342
Christian Veilleux287412.623
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ted Hurst56961917.276
Jordan Simmons2118308.752
DJ Riles2017208.627
Jordan Ford662110.319

View Georgia State's Full Roster
Georgia State's DC Travis Pearson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josiah Robinson627423
Damaine Wilson391000
Henry Bryant306421
Ian Mathews260042
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Henry Bryant306421
Josiah Robinson627423
Marlin Dean (Tr)62240
Jordan Simmons20000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josiah Robinson627423
D-Icey Hopkins230003
Ian Mathews260042

Georgia Southern's OC Ryan Aplin
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
JC French26941066%283117116.9
Dalen Cobb030%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
OJ Arnold6231535.132
JC French11823822.019
David Mbadinga5822933.929
Josh Dallas43719.314
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Josh Dallas46614613.359
Dalen Cobb52599411.555
River Helms (Tr)19228212.033
Marcus Sanders Jr.9158117.643

View Georgia Southern's Full Roster
Georgia Southern's DC Brandon Bailey
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jusfin Meyers613111
Brendan Harrington (Tr)551011
Chance Gamble482007
Davon Hicks431100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Davion Rhodes226310
Isaac Walker234233
Jusfin Meyers613111
Jacob Ferguson194120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chance Gamble482007
Tracy Hill Jr.360013
Isaac Walker234233