Marshall at Georgia State - 2025 Matchup Preview
Marshall logo Marshall Thundering Herd at Georgia State PanthersGeorgia State logo
Saturday, November 15th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Georgia State Stadium - Atlanta, GA  (Sun Belt)

 
Thundering Herd (1 - 2) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Tony Gibson (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 24 (7 - 45 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#99)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
Our Line: Marshall -4.5   (SP+ MRSH -9.5)
Projected Score: MRSH: 29 - GAST: 25 (54)
MRSH Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
MRSH Travel: 342 miles
Panthers (1 - 2) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Dell McGee (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 20 - 41 (27 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#128)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 6)
 
Marshall's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Marshall at Georgia+39.555.5L 7 - 45UY
Sat 9/6 Marshall vs Missouri State-7.053.5L 20 - 21UN
Sat 9/13 Marshall vs Eastern Kentucky-14.549.5W 38 - 7UY
Sat 9/20 Marshall at Middle Tennessee-2.546.5
Sat 9/27 Marshall at Louisiana+6
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Marshall vs Old Dominion+10.5
Sat 10/18 Marshall vs Texas State+9.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/30 Marshall at Coastal Carolina+2
Sat 11/8 Marshall vs James Madison+14.5
Sat 11/15 Marshall at Georgia State-4.5
Sat 11/22 Marshall at App State+6
Sat 11/29 Marshall vs Georgia Southern-7

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Marshall's Schedule
Georgia State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Georgia State at Ole Miss+38.562.5L 7 - 63ON
Sat 9/6 Georgia State vs Memphis+14.557.5L 16 - 38UN
Sat 9/13 Georgia State vs Murray State-31.563.5W 37 - 21UN
Sat 9/20 Georgia State at Vanderbilt+26.553.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Georgia State vs James Madison+21.5
Sat 10/11 Georgia State vs App State+8
Sat 10/18 Georgia State at Georgia Southern+5
Thu 10/23 Georgia State vs South Alabama+12.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Georgia State at Coastal Carolina+9
Sat 11/15 Georgia State vs Marshall+4.5
Sat 11/22 Georgia State at Troy+16
Sat 11/29 Georgia State at Old Dominion+22.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Georgia State's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MRSH#126 (-)27% (136)21.729% (133)2.35 (120)17621% (134)1093.4 (101)#122 (.33)45% (108)24.345% (98)47% (109)5 (121)52.30.71
GAST#94 (.13)37% (116)2030% (131)2.11 (128)13542% (76)2321.17 (134)#128 (.39)54% (133)40.753% (128)59% (134)4.88 (117)80.71.71
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MRSH#60 (.21)43% (66)45% (47)3.35 (18)20340% (88)1813.93 (66)#47 (.13)40% (46)43% (75)37% (21)3.87 (79)42.50.71.5
GAST#92 (.15)41% (90)42% (92)2.94 (86)13441% (79)2563.85 (76)#121 (.28)48% (123)49% (119)46% (118)4.42 (120)49.11.61.4



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MRSH Offense321.7726.9%3.40.7132841761094.462%36%29%21%15%-
GAST Defense340.729.554%4.881 - - - - - 57%41%53%59%16%.39
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MRSH Defense324.34545.3%51 - - - - - 51%48%45%47%16%.33
GAST Offense32026.536.6%1.171.7163681352324.347%53%30%42%20%.13

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Marshall328:021327%25%6.352.30.718.33.7024.1
Georgia State330:4815.732%56%1080.71.716.71.7026.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MRSH Offense362% (13)29% (133)40175.74.46 (49)-.08 (128)2.35 (120)0% (136)8% (58)0.67 (128)
GAST Defense357% (113)53% (128) - - - - .41 (133)3.42 (127)90% (123)10% (61)1.14 (105)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MRSH Defense351% (79)45% (98) - - - - .1 (88)2.68 (57)67% (53)11% (56)1.07 (94)
GAST Offense347% (88)30% (131)31.3135.34.32 (109)-.18 (134)2.11 (128)56% (118)12% (117)1.2 (29)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MRSH Offense336% (126)21% (134)10.719.7108.75.510.22 (102)1 (23).09 (118)2 (5)36% (116)11% (136).09 (118)7% (104)3.3 (1)
GAST Defense341% (17)59% (134) - - - - - - 2 (56).61 (130)1.6 (76)23% (133)42% (129).41 (99)6% (73)1.7 (42)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MRSH Defense348% (56)47% (109) - - - - - - 3 (28).57 (128)1.9 (124)34% (60)35% (106).34 (90)5% (88)1.9 (63)
GAST Offense353% (47)42% (76)20.732232.37.311.26 (34)4 (121).41 (43)1.8 (14)35% (109)33% (54).42 (50)7% (114)2.6 (10)

Marshall's Power Ratings
Marshall's Power Rating: -17.69 #123
Marshall's Offense Rating: 1.93 #123
Marshall's Defense Rating: 19.62 #118
2025 Talent Rating: 608.00 #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Marshall's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Marshall's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.3 #98
Marshall's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #96
Marshall's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #103

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Marshall: -17.69   Georgia State: -18.005

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Marshall: -9.3   Georgia State: -18.8




Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: -18.005 #135
Georgia State's Offense Rating: 2.00 #121
Georgia State's Defense Rating: 26.96 #132
2025 Talent Rating: 596.00 #94
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Georgia State's 2025 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Georgia State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.8 #127
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #108
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.1 #133

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Marshall Scoring
Offense: 21.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 7
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 45

Marshall's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Marshall 29
Georgia State 25


Total Points: 54

Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 20 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.5
Defense: 40.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.5

Georgia State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/17Marshall35Georgia State20MarshallMarshall -9.5Marshall51.5Over
202310/14Georgia State41Marshall24Georgia StateGeorgia State -2Georgia State53.5Over
202211/26Marshall28Georgia State23MarshallMarshall -6.5Georgia State45.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Georgia State123 Overs
Marshall210 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 02 - 12 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 31 - 20 - 01 - 2

(#123) Marshall Info
Power Rating: -17.69 #123
Offense Rating: 1.93 #123
Defense Rating: 19.62 #118
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.3 #98
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #96
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #103
Talent Rating: 608.00 #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 36%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 27%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.4 PPO
Awful Run Success 29%
Awful Pass Success 21%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Awful in Scoring Position 5 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 45%
Poor Pass Def Success 47%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Marshall has lost 6 straight
Marshall has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Marshall Notes
(8/26) QB1 Del Rio-Wilson, J. Long, Z. Turner listed OR
(8/1) Year 0 for Gibson & staff, 62 new players
(8/1) WR added 11 portals! Scattered not great
(8/1) Def complete rebuild. 30 portal adds (of 59!)
(8/1) HC Huff pushed out, opted out of bowl
(8/1) New OC Smith was RichRod's OC @ Jax St
(3/22) 3/4 of roster is new, along with staff
(3/22) QB Rio-Wilson(SU), Turner(JS), Shockey(NC St)
(3/22) RB Houston back, Barbie (McNeese) added
(3/22) OL 2/5 back, 6 portal adds.

Marshall Highlights
Marshall Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Marshall Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#13)
Marshall has a great TO Margin (#28)
Marshall defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Marshall Deficiencies
Marshall offense is really bad (#136)
Marshall offense is not Explosive (#104)
Marshall Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#129)
Marshall offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#101)
Marshall run game is really bad (#133)
Marshall pass game is really bad (#134)
Marshall offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Marshall has a bad defense (#108)
Marshall gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#122)
Marshall has a bad red zone defense (#121)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatGASTMRSH
OverallOver#93#82
OffenseOff#80#99
DefenseDef#93#63
Special TeamsST#104#108
PassingPass#49#90
RushingRush#74#93
Run BlockRBLK#96#83
Pass BlockPBLK#104#76
Route RunningWR Rt#44#95
TacklingTkl#59#67
Run DefenseR Def#93#32
Pass Rush DefPRush#95#71
Coverage DefCov#84#87

Previous Matchups
Marshall beat Georgia State last year (35-20)
Georgia State beat Marshall in 2023 (41-24)
Marshall beat Georgia State in 2022 (28-23)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Georgia State Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MRSH | GAST
Depth Chart: MRSH | GAST
Rosters: MRSH | GAST
(#135) Georgia State Info
Power Rating: -18.005 #135
Offense Rating: 2.00 #121
Defense Rating: 26.96 #132
Overall SP+ Rating: -18.8 #127
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #108
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.1 #133
Talent Rating: 596.00 #94
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 1.17 PPO
Awful Run Success 30%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 54%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.88 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 53%
Awful Pass Def Success 59%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Georgia State has lost 6 straight
Georgia State has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 1 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

Georgia State Notes
(8/1) DBs full rebuild, could struggle badly early
(8/1) RB all new, decent portal adds, have depth
(8/1) OL poor LY, 1/5 back. 8 portals, 4 P4. Jump?
(8/1) Def poor LY, only 9 portals? Can't stop run
(8/1) Probably a year away from bowl, 3-4 win team
(7/13) HC McGee crootin big, #1 SBC class
(5/2) WR 3 portals, retaining Ted Hurst a huge win
(3/24) QB Veilleux back, JAG. 2 portals added.
(3/24) New OC Jackson former Browns HC (NFL)
(3/24) New DC Pearson 1st time FBS DC.

Georgia State Highlights
Georgia State offense is explosive (#7)

Georgia State Deficiencies
Georgia State has a really bad Offense
Georgia State has a bad TO Margin (#107)
Georgia State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#133)
Georgia State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
Georgia State offense is really bad (#116)
Georgia State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#131)
Georgia State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#134)
Georgia State run game is really bad (#131)
Georgia State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Georgia State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Georgia State has a bad defense (#133)
Georgia State Does Not Stuff Runs (#127)
Georgia State has a bad defensive line (#127)
Georgia State has a bad red zone defense (#117)


  
Marshall's OC Rod Smith
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Zion Turner (Tr)193161%183015.9
JacQai Long41625%25001.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Zion Turner (Tr)1711016.526
Justin Williams-Thomas (Tr)1810025.637
Joshon Barbie229614.428
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson (Tr)166213.919
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Xayvion Turner-Bradshaw (Tr)579015.844
Toby Payne561012.226
Justin Williams-Thomas (Tr)341113.730
Antonio Harmon (Tr)134034.034

View Marshall's Full Roster
Marshall's DC Shannon Morrison
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kerion Martin (Tr)264220
Cannon Lewis (Tr)201100
Cameron Smith (Tr)154101
Jibreel Al-Amin (Tr)143222
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Braydin Ward73342
Kerion Martin (Tr)264220
Tyas Martin (Tr)72200
Jibreel Al-Amin (Tr)143222
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Braydin Ward73342
Daytione Smith50002
Jibreel Al-Amin (Tr)143222

Georgia State's OC Hue Jackson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
TJ Finley (Tr)324768%351137.5
Cameran Brown (Tr)253768%257406.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rashad Amos (Tr)2614015.429
Branson Robinson (Tr)187904.447
Cameran Brown (Tr)135814.522
TJ Peyton455013.849
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ted Hurst18275215.352
Javon Robinson (Tr)10146214.644
Leo Blackburn (Tr)75818.321
Camden Overton (Tr)552110.420

View Georgia State's Full Roster
Georgia State's DC Travis Pearson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josiah Robinson204100
Jordan Huff (Tr)151002
Deuce Fillmore140001
Deuce Walker130000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josiah Robinson204100
Alex Mullings21100
D-Icey Hopkins103100
Marlin Dean (Tr)103120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Damaine Wilson110003
Jordan Huff (Tr)151002
Bernard Causey III (Tr)62102