Marshall at Georgia State - 2025 Matchup Preview

Marshall Thundering Herd at Georgia State Panthers

Saturday, November 15th 2025 (2:00 PM EST)
Marshall -9.5 (59.5) (-340) Open: -5.5
Marshall 30 - Georgia State: 18 (Sun Belt)

Thundering Herd (5 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Tony Gibson (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 31 - 30 (30 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#86)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)

Our Line: Marshall -10 (SP+ MRSH -18.5)
Projected Score: MRSH: 36 - GAST: 26 (62)
MRSH Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
MRSH Travel: 342 miles

Panthers (1 - 11) (2 - 10 - 0)
Coach Dell McGee (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 20 - 38 (22 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 1 - 11 (#133)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)

Matchup
Schedules
MRSH Players
GAST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Marshall's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Marshall at Georgia	+39.5	55.5	L 7 - 45	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Marshall vs Missouri State	-7.0	53.5	L 20 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/13	Marshall vs Eastern Kentucky	-14.5	49.5	W 38 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/20	Marshall at Middle Tennessee	-2.5	46.5	W 42 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/27	Marshall at Louisiana	-2.5	47.5	L 51 - 54	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11	Marshall vs Old Dominion	+14.5	57.5	W 48 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/18	Marshall vs Texas State	+3.0	65.5	W 40 - 37	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/30	Marshall at Coastal Carolina	-7.5	55.5	L 27 - 44	O	N
Sat 11/8	Marshall vs James Madison	+13.5	53.5	L 23 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/15	Marshall at Georgia State	-9.5	59.5	W 30 - 18	U	Y
Sat 11/22	Marshall at App State	-3.5	57.5	L 24 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/29	Marshall vs Georgia Southern	-10.5	61.5	L 19 - 24	U	N

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3

Predictions for Marshall's Schedule

Georgia State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Georgia State at Ole Miss	+38.5	62.5	L 7 - 63	O	N
Sat 9/6	Georgia State vs Memphis	+14.5	57.5	L 16 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/13	Georgia State vs Murray State	-31.5	63.5	W 37 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/20	Georgia State at Vanderbilt	+27.5	53.5	L 21 - 70	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4	Georgia State vs James Madison	+19.5	52.5	L 7 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/11	Georgia State vs App State	+3.0	55.5	L 20 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/18	Georgia State at Georgia Southern	+6.5	58.5	L 24 - 41	O	N
Thu 10/23	Georgia State vs South Alabama	+5.5	54.5	L 31 - 38	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8	Georgia State at Coastal Carolina	+7.0	56.5	L 27 - 40	O	N
Sat 11/15	Georgia State vs Marshall	+9.5	59.5	L 18 - 30	U	N
Sat 11/22	Georgia State at Troy	+9.5	51.0	L 19 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/29	Georgia State at Old Dominion	+29.0	58.5	L 10 - 27	U	Y

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 4

Predictions for Georgia State's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MRSH	#58 (.19)	45% (37)	30.8	43% (68)	3.05 (47)	198	48% (17)	208	3.89 (53)	#65 (.16)	39% (33)	30.3	37% (12)	42% (73)	3.62 (64)	59.9	1.3	1.8
GAST	#88 (.14)	41% (90)	19.8	43% (74)	2.89 (78)	124	40% (88)	254	3.39 (100)	#126 (.27)	46% (122)	37.8	45% (104)	47% (122)	4.45 (128)	67.9	1.4	0.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MRSH	#60 (.21)	43% (66)		45% (47)	3.35 (18)	203	40% (88)	181	3.93 (66)	#47 (.13)	40% (46)		43% (75)	37% (21)	3.87 (79)	42.5	0.7	1.5
GAST	#92 (.15)	41% (90)		42% (92)	2.94 (86)	134	41% (79)	256	3.85 (76)	#121 (.28)	48% (123)		49% (119)	46% (118)	4.42 (120)	49.1	1.6	1.4

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MRSH Offense	12	30.8	30.2	45.1%	3.89	1.3	21	406	198	208	4.8	57%	42%	43%	48%	13%	.19
GAST Defense	12	37.8	30.3	45.5%	4.45	0.5	-	-	-	-	-	56%	42%	45%	47%	13%	.27

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MRSH Defense	12	30.3	35.8	38.9%	3.62	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	37%	42%	16%	.16
GAST Offense	12	19.8	21.5	41%	3.39	1.4	20	378	124	254	4.1	43%	56%	43%	40%	16%	.14

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Marshall	12	30:05	21.3	35%	44%	6.8	59.9	1.3	1.8	6.1	2.3	3	32.2
Georgia State	12	30:10	19.6	39%	44%	8.6	67.9	1.4	0.5	4.8	1.5	0	25.8

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MRSH Offense	12	57% (19)	43% (68)	41.4	198.2	4.8	23 (40)	.05 (100)	3.05 (47)	63% (120)	8% (38)	0.85 (119)
GAST Defense	12	56% (128)	45% (104)	-	-	-	-	.18 (113)	3.17 (114)	77% (110)	8% (120)	0.97 (75)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MRSH Defense	12	51% (76)	37% (12)	-	-	-	-	.04 (28)	2.6 (16)	63% (17)	10% (53)	0.99 (88)
GAST Offense	12	43% (119)	43% (74)	30.5	123.8	4.1	9 (122)	.06 (94)	2.89 (78)	63% (119)	9% (69)	0.87 (111)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MRSH Offense	12	42% (117)	48% (17)	18.2	27.9	207.9	7.5	11.4	18 (50)	6 (7)	.38 (28)	1.5 (84)	28% (23)	31% (61)	.31 (65)	5% (25)	2.1 (33)
GAST Defense	12	42% (8)	47% (122)	-	-	-	-	-	-	3 (123)	.43 (130)	1.6 (109)	28% (125)	37% (134)	.48 (131)	5% (104)	2 (73)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MRSH Defense	12	48% (59)	42% (73)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (12)	.33 (109)	1.8 (133)	34% (37)	29% (66)	.21 (35)	6% (81)	1.9 (42)
GAST Offense	12	56% (16)	40% (88)	24	39.6	254.4	6.4	10.6	22 (42)	11 (60)	.24 (71)	1.6 (58)	33% (107)	32% (50)	.32 (62)	7% (102)	2 (76)

Marshall's Power Ratings
Marshall's Power Rating: -7.36 #96
Marshall's Offense Rating: 4.53 #94
Marshall's Defense Rating: 11.89 #93
2025 Talent Rating: 608.00 #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Marshall's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Marshall's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.2 #89
Marshall's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #54
Marshall's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #121

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Marshall: -7.36 Georgia State: -16.44

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Marshall: -5.2 Georgia State: -23.8

Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: -16.44 #126
Georgia State's Offense Rating: 4.33 #97
Georgia State's Defense Rating: 18.41 #126
2025 Talent Rating: 596.00 #94
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Georgia State's 2025 Expected Record: 1.0 - 11.0
Georgia State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -23.8 #133
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.8 #117
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 41.8 #134

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Marshall Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.2
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.8

Marshall's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Marshall 36
Georgia State 26

Total Points: 62

Based on Last 4 Games
Marshall 35
Georgia State 33

Total Points: 68

Based on Entire Season
Marshall 32
Georgia State 27

Total Points: 59

Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 19.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.5
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.3

Georgia State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 9 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/15	Georgia State	18	Marshall	30	Marshall -9.5	Marshall	59.5	Under
2024	10/17	Marshall	35	Georgia State	20	Marshall -9.5	Marshall	51.5	Over
2023	10/14	Georgia State	41	Marshall	24	Georgia State -2	Georgia State	53.5	Over
2022	11/26	Marshall	28	Georgia State	23	Marshall -6.5	Georgia State	45.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Georgia State	1	2	3 Overs
Marshall	3	2	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 1	2 - 2	2 - 1	0 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 3	2 - 2	1 - 0	1 - 2

(#96) MRSH at (#126) GAST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MRSH	GAST
Power RatePwr	#96	#126
SP+SP+	#89	#133
Perf GradeGrade	#57	#128
OffenseOff	#80	#129
DefenseDef	#31	#114
Spec TeamsST	#106	#81
TalentTal	#92	#94
Blue ChipsBC%	#65	#56

Marshall Notes(10/19) Avg 44 PPG in last 5, won last 2 as underdogs
(10/12) Off scorching hot, killed ODU, pass/run 220+
(9/21) Killed M Tenn, QB Del Rio-Wilson good/efficient
(8/30) Turner/Long/Rio-Wilson all played vs UGA
(8/26) QB1 Del Rio-Wilson, J. Long, Z. Turner listed OR
(8/1) Year 0 for Gibson & staff, 62 new players
(8/1) WR added 11 portals! Scattered not great
(8/1) Def complete rebuild. 30 portal adds (of 59!)
(8/1) HC Huff pushed out, opted out of bowl
(8/1) New OC Smith was RichRod's OC @ Jax St
(3/22) 3/4 of roster is new, along with staff
(3/22) QB Rio-Wilson(SU), Turner(JS), Shockey(NC St)
Marshall Injury Report

Georgia State Notes(10/23) QB Cameran Brown taken over for TJ Finley (awful)
(10/23) This defense is shameful, DC Travis Pearson no good
(10/20) Most penalized team in CFB, have had 4 gms of 13+
(10/12) Too many paycheck games & now killed by App? Oof
(9/30) 3 paycheck games + FCS, know nothing about GSU
(8/1) DBs full rebuild, could struggle badly early
(8/1) RB all new, decent portal adds, have depth
(8/1) OL poor LY, 1/5 back. 8 portals, 4 P4. Jump?
(8/1) Def poor LY, only 9 portals? Can't stop run
(8/1) Probably a year away from bowl, 3-4 win team
(7/13) HC McGee crootin big, #1 SBC class
(5/2) WR 3 portals, retaining Ted Hurst a huge win
Georgia State Injury Report

Marshall on Offense

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	MRSH Off	GAST Def
Perf GradePerf	#80	#114
SuccessSuc	#37	#122
ExplosiveExp	#120	#81
PPAPPA	#58	#126
PowerPwr	#94	#126
SP+SP+	#54	#134
Pts POPPO	#53	#128
HavocHav	#30	#121

Marshall Run Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	MRSH Off	GAST Def
Run GameRun	#94	#100
Run SuccessRSuc	#68	#104
Run ExplRExp	#119	#75
PPAExp	#100	#113
Run BlockR Blk	#103	-
OL YdsOLY	#47	#114
Stuff RateStuff	#47	#126
TackleTak	-	#46

Marshall Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	MRSH Off	GAST Def
Pass GamePass	#66	#100
Pass SuccessPSuc	#17	#122
Pass ExplPExl	#84	#109
PPAExp	#28	#130
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#69	#108
F7 HavocF7	#38	#120
DB HavocDB	#25	#104

Georgia State on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	GAST Off	MRSH Def
Perf GradePerf	#129	#31
SuccessSuc	#90	#33
ExplosiveExp	#64	#129
PPAPPA	#88	#65
PowerPwr	#97	#93
SP+SP+	#117	#121
Pts POPPO	#100	#64
HavocHav	#79	#67

Georgia State Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	GAST Off	MRSH Def
Run GameRun	#124	#6
Run SuccessRSuc	#74	#12
Run ExplRExp	#111	#88
PPAExp	#94	#28
Run BlockR Blk	#135	-
OL YdsOLY	#78	#16
Stuff RateStuff	#96	#25
TackleTak	-	#35

Georgia State Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	GAST Off	MRSH Def
Pass GamePass	#58	#61
Pass SuccessPSuc	#88	#73
Pass ExplPExl	#58	#133
PPAExp	#71	#109
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#130	#87
F7 HavocF7	#69	#53
DB HavocDB	#102	#81

Program Comparison
GAST 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Poor G5

MRSH 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Georgia State Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 73° - Wind: 7 mph

Rematch from Week 12
Marshall 9.5 (59.5)
Marshall won at Georgia State this year (30-18)

Previous Matchups
Marshall beat Georgia State last year (35-20)
Georgia State beat Marshall in 2023 (41-24)
Marshall beat Georgia State in 2022 (28-23)

MRSH's OC Rod Smith (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson (Tr)	171	256	67%	2043	17	5	8.0
Zion Turner (Tr)	40	59	68%	409	1	1	6.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson (Tr)	159	658	6	4.1	24
Antwan Roberts	90	512	4	5.7	54
Michael Allen (Tr)	77	385	4	5.0	68
Joshon Barbie	56	249	5	4.4	28

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Demarcus Lacey (Tr)	65	769	5	11.8	68
De'Andre Tamarez (Tr)	32	395	2	12.3	44
Toby Payne	36	387	3	10.8	48
Adrian Norton (Tr)	28	383	5	13.7	41

View Marshall's Full Roster

MRSH's DC Shannon Morrison (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Boogie Trotter	73	3	1	3	5
Kerion Martin (Tr)	67	6	2	7	1
Cameron Smith (Tr)	66	5	2	3	8
Javae Gilmore (Tr)	56	10	2	8	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Braydin Ward	18	6	5	4	2
Paul Hutson III (Tr)	37	6	3	3	0
Jibreel Al-Amin (Tr)	51	6	3	4	2
Jamaal Whyce (Tr)	29	5	3	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cameron Smith (Tr)	66	5	2	3	8
Boogie Trotter	73	3	1	3	5
Daytione Smith	50	2	0	0	4

GAST's OC Hue Jackson (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
TJ Finley (Tr)	127	201	63%	1244	6	7	6.2
Cameran Brown (Tr)	119	184	65%	1259	13	1	6.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jordan Simmons	97	543	2	5.6	92
Cameran Brown (Tr)	61	284	4	4.7	22
Rashad Amos (Tr)	63	267	2	4.2	29
Branson Robinson (Tr)	46	148	1	3.2	47

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ted Hurst	71	1004	6	14.1	70
Javon Robinson (Tr)	58	599	4	10.3	46
Grant Hollier	21	288	4	13.7	52
Jordan Simmons	28	192	1	6.9	32

View Georgia State's Full Roster

GAST's DC Travis Pearson (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Josiah Robinson	96	8	2	1	1
Jaylen Jones	66	5	0	0	1
Kedrick Walker	57	7	3	1	0
D-Icey Hopkins	51	3	1	0	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jartavius Flounoy	22	6	3	1	1
Kedrick Walker	57	7	3	1	0
Josiah Robinson	96	8	2	1	1
Richard Kramer (Tr)	13	2	2	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Bernard Causey III (Tr)	19	2	1	6
D-Icey Hopkins	51	3	1	5
Jordan Huff (Tr)	47	1	0	4