South Alabama at UL Monroe - 2025 Matchup Preview
South Alabama logo South Alabama Jaguars at UL Monroe WarhawksUL Monroe logo
Saturday, November 15th 2025 (3:30 PM EST)
South Alabama -4 (49.5) (-185)  Open: -3.5
South Alabama 26 - UL Monroe: 14  (Sun Belt)

 
Jaguars (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Major Applewhite (6 - 6)
Avg Score : 27 - 30 (25 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
USA coming off BYE
ULM coming off BYE
Our Line: South Alabama -0.5  (SP+ USA -9)

Projected Score: USA: 26 - ULM: 25 (51)
USA Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
USA Travel: 269 miles
Warhawks (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Bryant Vincent (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 17 - 32 (18 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#117)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
 
South Alabama's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 South Alabama vs Morgan State-28.551.5W 38 - 21ON
Sat 9/6 South Alabama vs Tulane+13.551.5L 31 - 33OY
Sat 9/13 South Alabama at Auburn+26.556.5L 15 - 31UY
Sat 9/20 South Alabama vs Coastal Carolina-14.551.5L 20 - 38ON
Sat 9/27 South Alabama at North Texas+13.563.5L 22 - 36UN
Sat 10/4 South Alabama at Troy-2.546.5L 24 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14 South Alabama vs Arkansas State-8.557.5L 14 - 15UN
Thu 10/23 South Alabama at Georgia State-5.554.5W 38 - 31OY
Sat 11/1 South Alabama vs Louisiana-3.552.5L 22 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 South Alabama at UL Monroe-4.049.5W 26 - 14UY
Sat 11/22 South Alabama vs Southern Miss+2.553.0W 42 - 35OY
Sat 11/29 South Alabama at Texas State+9.562.5L 26 - 49ON

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 3

Predictions for South Alabama's Schedule
UL Monroe's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 UL Monroe vs St. Francis (PA)-31.047.0W 29 - 0UN
Sat 9/6 UL Monroe at Alabama+34.050.0L 0 - 73ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 UL Monroe at UTEP+5.547.5W 31 - 25OY
Sat 9/27 UL Monroe vs Arkansas State-1.555.5W 28 - 16UY
Sat 10/4 UL Monroe at Northwestern+12.543.5L 7 - 42ON
Sat 10/11 UL Monroe at Coastal Carolina-3.046.5L 8 - 23UN
Sat 10/18 UL Monroe vs Troy+4.545.5L 14 - 37ON
Sat 10/25 UL Monroe at Southern Miss+14.048.5L 21 - 49ON
Sat 11/1 UL Monroe vs Old Dominion+16.555.5L 6 - 31UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 UL Monroe vs South Alabama+4.049.5L 14 - 26UN
Sat 11/22 UL Monroe at Texas State+20.559.5L 14 - 31UY
Sat 11/29 UL Monroe at Louisiana+10.547.5L 27 - 30OY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 3, Poor: 1

Predictions for UL Monroe's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USA#80 (.16)42% (83)26.543% (77)3.03 (55)20140% (94)1814.01 (40)#117 (.24)43% (88)30.447% (117)40% (47)4.35 (127)54.911.3
ULM#115 (.09)36% (125)16.636% (127)2.7 (113)16338% (110)1603.19 (118)#87 (.19)41% (57)31.940% (43)42% (74)4.21 (118)651.60.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USA#5 (.34)50% (9)53% (4)3.57 (6)19947% (18)2434.66 (13)#58 (.15)41% (58)39% (28)43% (96)3.66 (56)70.80.91.5
ULM#94 (.15)37% (121)40% (102)2.93 (87)17333% (128)1353.33 (117)#89 (.2)47% (120)53% (134)39% (53)4.12 (99)43.31.31.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USA Offense1226.525.241.5%4.011213822011814.660%38%43%40%13%.16
ULM Defense1231.92240.9%4.210.8 - - - - - 51%48%40%42%14%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USA Defense1230.43243.2%4.351.3 - - - - - 54%44%47%40%15%.24
ULM Offense1216.618.236.5%3.191.6173221631604.654%43%36%38%21%.09

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
South Alabama1231:0820.643%54%6.554.911.34.71028.6
UL Monroe1229:3717.433%38%7.3651.60.85.51.9026.8
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USA Offense1260% (10)43% (77)44.3201.24.630 (60).14 (59)3.03 (55)76% (40)9% (54)1.02 (50)
ULM Defense1251% (82)40% (43) - - - - .08 (55)2.83 (58)74% (93)10% (66)1.03 (103)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USA Defense1254% (119)47% (117) - - - - .18 (111)3.15 (109)91% (136)8% (108)0.92 (51)
ULM Offense1254% (35)36% (127)35.7162.64.612 (119).05 (106)2.7 (113)78% (28)13% (129)1.11 (14)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USA Offense1238% (125)40% (94)17.725.8181.1710.313 (86)6 (34).23 (80)1.5 (81)31% (56)27% (102).28 (73)4% (19)2.1 (32)
ULM Defense1248% (60)42% (74) - - - - - - 5 (75).31 (100)1.7 (116)31% (82)32% (97).36 (104)5% (110)2.1 (112)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USA Defense1244% (19)40% (47) - - - - - - 6 (100).34 (113)1.8 (129)33% (40)29% (63).37 (105)6% (59)2.3 (129)
ULM Offense1243% (105)38% (110)14.325.2159.66.311.215 (75)12 (108).21 (91)1.8 (7)37% (134)26% (113).16 (117)8% (119)2.3 (6)

South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: -11.94  #119
South Alabama's Offense Rating: 5.24  #89
South Alabama's Defense Rating: 17.18  #119
2025 Talent Rating: 562.00  #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
South Alabama's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
South Alabama's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.9  #113
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5  #80
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.6  #126

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
South Alabama: -11.94   UL Monroe: -12.375

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Alabama: -11.9   UL Monroe: -20.7




UL Monroe's Power Ratings
UL Monroe's Power Rating: -12.375  #103
UL Monroe's Offense Rating: 3.62  #103
UL Monroe's Defense Rating: 12.67  #100
2025 Talent Rating: 398.00  #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 4  #56
UL Monroe's 2025 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
UL Monroe's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.7  #131
UL Monroe's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.3  #127
UL Monroe's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.2  #124

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 26.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.2
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 32

South Alabama's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
South Alabama 26
UL Monroe 25


Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
South Alabama 31
UL Monroe 20

Total Points: 51

Based on Entire Season
South Alabama 26
UL Monroe 25

Total Points: 51
UL Monroe Scoring
Offense: 16.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.2
Defense: 31.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 22

UL Monroe's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/15UL Monroe14South Alabama26South Alabama -4South Alabama49.5Under
202410/26South Alabama46UL Monroe17South Alabama -7.0South Alabama45.0Over
202310/07UL Monroe7South Alabama55South Alabama -11South Alabama51.5Over
202210/15South Alabama41UL Monroe34South Alabama -17UL Monroe51.0Over
202110/23UL Monroe41South Alabama31South Alabama -13.5UL Monroe51.5Over
202010/24South Alabama38UL Monroe14South Alabama -14.5South Alabama56.5Under
201909/28UL Monroe30South Alabama17Louisiana Monroe -14.5South Alabama59.5Under
201811/10South Alabama10UL Monroe38Louisiana Monroe -7.5UL Monroe63.0Under
201710/21South Alabama33UL Monroe23South Alabama -3.5South Alabama55.5Over
201611/05UL Monroe42South Alabama35South Alabama -13.5UL Monroe49.5Over
201311/23South Alabama36UL Monroe14South Alabama -3South Alabama0
201210/27UL Monroe38South Alabama24
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UL Monroe546 Overs
South Alabama774 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 36 - 54 - 22 - 3
Road Teams3 - 95 - 63 - 22 - 4

(#119) USA at (#103) ULM
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSAULM
Power RatePwr #119 #103
SP+SP+ #113 #131
Perf GradeGrade #101 #72
OffenseOff #88 #67
DefenseDef #96 #43
Spec TeamsST #61 #82
TalentTal #103 #126
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #56
South Alabama Notes
(10/15) HC Applewhite & staff on thin ice after 0-6 streak
(10/15) Strange trend, 7 pts 1Q, 0 2Q in past 3 games
(9/21) Off bad, Def worse. Flags, TO's, not buttoned up
(8/30) Meh W over Morgan, Davenport decent, Def ?
(8/1) Hit hard by portal, talent down TY, bowl is ?
(8/1) OL was decent LY, 4/5 back. 7 portals. Looks good
(7/13) QB1 Davenport likely, started 1, Pryon (GT) add
(5/23) New OC Petrino downgrade from Ezell (Wake)
(4/14) Losing QB Lopez (portal) huge blow, esp in spring
(3/24) RB Bullock a good one, lost Bothwell to MSU
(3/24) WR rebuild. Voisin/Eager have exp. Some depth
(3/24) Def was OK LY, 7 portal adds, replace a lot
South Alabama Injury Report
UL Monroe Notes
(10/24) QB1 & QB2 Armenta & Herring doubtful vs So Miss
(10/12) Off has flushed, bad L @ C Car, 15 pts last 2 games
(10/9) Lost both kickers, holding search on campus
(9/21) Run Off better vs UTEP, QB Armenta still JAG-
(9/17) Offense is awful, no expl and can't protect QB
(9/17) Best Off weapon is small body RB McReynolds
(8/28) QB1 Armenta JAG- arm, has some mobility
(8/1) Can ULM get any QB play to help Run Off?
(8/1) RB McReynolds, P-Smith & watch for Fr D Ford
(8/1) Slow, run heavy Off (62%) to shorten, help D
(8/1) Secondary looks decent, Run Def awful again
(7/13) Smaller Def wore down LY, bigger in '25
UL Monroe Injury Report
South Alabama on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 38%
CategoryCat
USA OffULM Def
Perf GradePerf #88 #43
SuccessSuc #83 #57
ExplosiveExp #94 #121
PPAPPA #80 #87
PowerPwr #89 #100
SP+SP+ #80 #124
Pts POPPO #40 #118
HavocHav #30 #100
South Alabama Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 38%
CategoryCat
USA OffULM Def
Run GameRun #10 #34
Run SuccessRSuc #77 #43
Run ExplRExp #50 #103
PPAExp #59 #55
Run BlockR Blk #133 -
OL YdsOLY #55 #58
Stuff RateStuff #26 #87
TackleTak -  #48
South Alabama Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 38%
CategoryCat
USA OffULM Def
Pass GamePass #107 #59
Pass SuccessPSuc #94 #74
Pass ExplPExl #81 #116
PPAExp #80 #100
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #51 #70
F7 HavocF7 #54 #66
DB HavocDB #19 #110
UL Monroe on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 43%, Run: 54%
CategoryCatULM OffUSA Def
Perf GradePerf #67 #96
SuccessSuc #125 #88
ExplosiveExp #6 #72
PPAPPA #115 #117
PowerPwr #103 #119
SP+SP+ #127 #126
Pts POPPO #118 #127
HavocHav #134 #94
UL Monroe Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 43%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
ULM OffUSA Def
Run GameRun #51 #112
Run SuccessRSuc #127 #117
Run ExplRExp #14 #51
PPAExp #106 #111
Run BlockR Blk #59 -
OL YdsOLY #113 #109
Stuff RateStuff #130 #102
TackleTak -  #129
UL Monroe Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 43%, Run: 54%
CategoryCatULM OffUSA Def
Pass GamePass #113 #31
Pass SuccessPSuc #110 #47
Pass ExplPExl #7 #129
PPAExp #91 #113
Pass Block/RushP Blk #3 #130
F7 HavocF7 #129 #108
DB HavocDB #119 #59
Program Comparison
ULM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

USA 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Malone Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 81° - Wind: 12 mph
Rematch from Week 12
South Alabama 4.0 (49.5)
South Alabama won at UL Monroe this year (26-14)

Previous Matchups
South Alabama beat UL Monroe last year (46-17)
South Alabama beat UL Monroe in 2023 (55-7)
South Alabama beat UL Monroe in 2022 (41-34)

  
USA's OC Paul Petrino (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bishop Davenport20029468%20721267.0
Jared Hollins121675%101106.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kentrel Bullock2181085145.064
Keenan Phillips12662234.954
Bishop Davenport11632692.856
PJ Martin6032625.438
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Voisin67775411.665
Jeremy Scott24417417.474
Anthony Eager4033918.548
Miller McCrumby (Tr)1512808.532

View South Alabama's Full Roster

USA's DC Will Windham (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Blayne Myrick846033
Christopher Wallace Jr.734000
Darius McKenzie714111
Tirrell Johnson Jr.546131
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Thomas163220
Nathan Jennings132200
E'Mauri Smiley151110
Emmanuel Waller (Tr)143120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nehemiah Chandler (Tr)3130013
Ty Goodwill355007
Jayvon Henderson (Tr)272005

ULM's OC Bryant Vincent (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Aidan Armenta14725258%16191286.4
Landon Graves194048%185224.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Zachary Palmer-Smith11566045.756
Braylon McReynolds (Tr)12461435.074
Dorian Lewis2719507.272
Tyrell Reed Jr. (Tr)3513703.919
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jonathan Bibbs26383314.768
Nic Trujillo (Tr)23368416.052
JP Coulter21234011.139
Jacob Godfrey16191211.937

View UL Monroe's Full Roster

ULM's DC Earnest Hill (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Noah Flemmings8010321
Jabari Tiller468301
Seidrion Langston363000
Marcus Ross (Tr)356220
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D'Arco Perkins-McAllister (Tr)344417
Dylan Howell195440
Noah Flemmings8010321
Kevontay Wells334340
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D'Arco Perkins-McAllister (Tr)344417
David Godsey Jr.260005
Jyren Ester193004