South Alabama at UL Monroe - 2025 Matchup Preview
South Alabama logo South Alabama Jaguars at UL Monroe WarhawksUL Monroe logo
Saturday, November 15th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Malone Stadium - Monroe, LA  (Sun Belt)

 
Jaguars (1 - 2) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Major Applewhite (6 - 6)
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (15 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 5.4 (#69)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
USA coming off BYE
ULM coming off BYE
Our Line: South Alabama -12   (SP+ USA -17)

Projected Score: USA: 34 - ULM: 22 (55)
USA Win prob: 79% | Cover: 45%
USA Travel: 269 miles
Warhawks (1 - 1) (0 - 2 - 0)
Coach Bryant Vincent (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 15 - 37 (29 - 37 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.9 - 9.1 (#130)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 10)
 
South Alabama's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 South Alabama vs Morgan State-28.551.5W 38 - 21ON
Sat 9/6 South Alabama vs Tulane+13.551.5L 31 - 33OY
Sat 9/13 South Alabama at Auburn+26.556.5L 15 - 31UY
Sat 9/20 South Alabama vs Coastal Carolina-14.550.5
Sat 9/27 South Alabama at North Texas+13
Sat 10/4 South Alabama at Troy+1
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14 South Alabama vs Arkansas State-12.5
Thu 10/23 South Alabama at Georgia State-12.5
Sat 11/1 South Alabama vs Louisiana-7
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 South Alabama at UL Monroe-12
Sat 11/22 South Alabama vs Southern Miss-2
Sat 11/29 South Alabama at Texas State+6.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for South Alabama's Schedule
UL Monroe's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 UL Monroe vs St. Francis (PA)-31.047.0W 29 - 0UN
Sat 9/6 UL Monroe at Alabama+34.050.0L 0 - 73ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 UL Monroe at UTEP+5.547.5
Sat 9/27 UL Monroe vs Arkansas State+2.5
Sat 10/4 UL Monroe vs Northwestern+22.5
Sat 10/11 UL Monroe at Coastal Carolina+9
Sat 10/18 UL Monroe vs Troy+10.5
Sat 10/25 UL Monroe at Southern Miss+18
Sat 11/1 UL Monroe vs Old Dominion+17
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 UL Monroe vs South Alabama+12
Sat 11/22 UL Monroe at Texas State+21
Sat 11/29 UL Monroe at Louisiana+12.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 7, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 7, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UL Monroe's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USA#64 (.22)44% (61)2844% (69)3.29 (37)17444% (64)1924.3 (52)#109 (.23)47% (117)28.351% (122)41% (76)5.38 (130)31.71.71.7
ULM#46 (.29)35% (127)14.538% (105)3.14 (52)20232% (121)893.88 (75)#127 (.37)51% (130)36.553% (128)50% (120)6.6 (136)4320.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USA#5 (.34)50% (9)53% (4)3.57 (6)19947% (18)2434.66 (13)#58 (.15)41% (58)39% (28)43% (96)3.66 (56)70.80.91.5
ULM#94 (.15)37% (121)40% (102)2.93 (87)17333% (128)1353.33 (117)#89 (.2)47% (120)53% (134)39% (53)4.12 (99)43.31.31.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USA Offense3281544.2%4.31.7213661741924.264%36%44%44%13%.22
ULM Defense236.536.550.7%6.60.5 - - - - - 44%55%53%50%9%.37
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USA Defense328.33146.9%5.381.7 - - - - - 60%40%51%41%16%.23
ULM Offense214.52934.7%3.88216291202895.456%41%38%32%26%.29

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
South Alabama327:4620.736%60%531.71.71.75.71.7029.7
UL Monroe228:1715.542%67%4.54320.53.51.5028
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USA Offense364% (9)44% (69)41.3174.34.25 (62).13 (71)3.29 (37)78% (41)10% (93)0.91 (85)
ULM Defense244% (28)53% (128) - - - - .19 (107)3.64 (134)100% (127)6% (125)0.71 (17)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USA Defense360% (122)51% (122) - - - - .21 (111)3.12 (105)94% (125)10% (61)0.92 (68)
ULM Offense256% (39)38% (105)37.52025.42 (109).38 (14)3.14 (52)100% (1)20% (135)1.49 (8)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USA Offense336% (127)44% (64)1621.7191.78.9126 (34)1 (23).37 (53)1.7 (23)26% (32)30% (81).28 (83)3% (31)2.1 (54)
ULM Defense255% (103)50% (120) - - - - - - 1 (87).54 (125)1.5 (60)23% (132)35% (108).65 (126)3% (128)2.1 (82)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USA Defense340% (15)41% (76) - - - - - - 1 (87).26 (88)1.4 (39)30% (92)32% (90).27 (70)6% (66)1.7 (38)
ULM Offense241% (112)32% (121)1222894.17.42 (102)2 (60).2 (90)1.8 (16)41% (134)35% (43).64 (24)6% (89)2.3 (27)

South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: -7.76 #101
South Alabama's Offense Rating: 11.42 #76
South Alabama's Defense Rating: 19.18 #114
2025 Talent Rating: 562.00 #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
South Alabama's 2025 Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4
South Alabama's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.3 #79
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #72
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #93

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
South Alabama: -7.76   UL Monroe: -17.75

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Alabama: -3.3   UL Monroe: -20.2




UL Monroe's Power Ratings
UL Monroe's Power Rating: -17.75 #129
UL Monroe's Offense Rating: 5.33 #101
UL Monroe's Defense Rating: 25.65 #131
2025 Talent Rating: 398.00 #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
UL Monroe's 2025 Expected Record: 2.9 - 9.1
UL Monroe's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.2 #128
UL Monroe's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.2 #131
UL Monroe's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #117

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 28 PPG
Offense on Road: 15
Defense: 28.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 31

South Alabama's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
South Alabama 34
UL Monroe 22


Total Points: 55

UL Monroe Scoring
Offense: 14.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 36.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 36.5

UL Monroe's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/26South Alabama46UL Monroe17South AlabamaSouth Alabama -7.0South Alabama45.0Over
202310/07UL Monroe7South Alabama55South AlabamaSouth Alabama -11South Alabama51.5Over
202210/15South Alabama41UL Monroe34South AlabamaSouth Alabama -17UL Monroe51.0Over
202110/23UL Monroe41South Alabama31UL MonroeSouth Alabama -13.5UL Monroe51.5Over
202010/24South Alabama38UL Monroe14South AlabamaSouth Alabama -14.5South Alabama56.5Under
201909/28UL Monroe30South Alabama17UL MonroeLouisiana Monroe -14.5South Alabama59.5Under
201811/10South Alabama10UL Monroe38UL MonroeLouisiana Monroe -7.5UL Monroe63.0Under
201710/21South Alabama33UL Monroe23South AlabamaSouth Alabama -3.5South Alabama55.5Over
201611/05UL Monroe42South Alabama35UL MonroeSouth Alabama -13.5UL Monroe49.5Over
201311/23South Alabama36UL Monroe14South AlabamaSouth Alabama -3South Alabama0
201210/27UL Monroe38South Alabama24UL Monroe
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UL Monroe546 Overs
South Alabama663 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 26 - 44 - 22 - 2
Road Teams2 - 94 - 62 - 22 - 4

(#101) South Alabama Info
Power Rating: -7.76 #101
Offense Rating: 11.42 #76
Defense Rating: 19.18 #114
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.3 #79
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #72
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #93
Talent Rating: 562.00 #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 36%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.3 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Poor OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.38 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

South Alabama has lost 8 straight
South Alabama has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

South Alabama Notes
(8/30) Meh W over Morgan, Davenport decent, Def ?
(8/1) Running more of a balanced, pro style offense
(8/1) Hit hard by portal, talent down TY, bowl is ?
(8/1) OL was decent LY, 4/5 back. 7 portals. Looks good
(7/13) QB1 Davenport likely, started 1, Pryon (GT) add
(5/23) New OC Petrino downgrade from Ezell (Wake)
(4/14) Losing QB Lopez (portal) huge blow, esp in spring
(3/24) RB Bullock a good one, lost Bothwell to MSU
(3/24) WR rebuild. Voisin/Eager have exp. Some depth
(3/24) Def was OK LY, 7 portal adds, replace a lot

South Alabama Highlights
South Alabama does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#26)

South Alabama defense does not give up big plays (#28)

South Alabama Deficiencies
South Alabama has a bad TO Margin (#107)
South Alabama Fumbles a Lot (#128)
South Alabama has a bad defense (#117)
South Alabama has a bad defensive line (#105)
South Alabama has a bad red zone defense (#130)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatULMUSA
OverallOver#68#82
OffenseOff#48#72
DefenseDef#77#90
Special TeamsST#97#61
PassingPass#47#69
RushingRush#47#32
Run BlockRBLK#32#97
Pass BlockPBLK#33#105
Route RunningWR Rt#90#33
TacklingTkl#60#117
Run DefenseR Def#86#104
Pass Rush DefPRush#65#89
Coverage DefCov#83#48

Previous Matchups
South Alabama beat UL Monroe last year (46-17)
South Alabama beat UL Monroe in 2023 (55-7)
South Alabama beat UL Monroe in 2022 (41-34)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Malone Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: USA | ULM
Depth Chart: USA | ULM
Rosters: USA | ULM
(#129) UL Monroe Info
Power Rating: -17.75 #129
Offense Rating: 5.33 #101
Defense Rating: 25.65 #131
Overall SP+ Rating: -20.2 #128
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.2 #131
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #117
Talent Rating: 398.00 #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Expected Record: 2.9 - 9.1

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 41%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.88 PPO
Poor Run Success 38%
Awful Pass Success 32%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 51%
Awful in Scoring Position 6.6 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 53%
Awful Pass Def Success 50%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

UL Monroe has lost 8 straight
UL Monroe has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

UL Monroe Notes
(8/1) Can ULM get any QB play to help Run Off?
(8/1) RB McReynolds, P-Smith & watch for Fr D Ford
(8/1) Slow, run heavy Off (62%) to shorten, help D
(8/1) Secondary looks decent, Run Def awful again
(7/13) Smaller Def wore down LY, bigger in '25
(6/11) RB Palmer-Smith (Rich) a pot. gamechanger
(5/19) QB Armenta some exp (JAG) vs Sr. Herring
(5/19) RB 4 portals added to replace Hardy (Mizzu)
(5/19) WR awful LY, some exp but big ? plus TEs
(5/19) OL 2-3 starters back, bad LY. 1 portal add?

UL Monroe Highlights
UL Monroe is Undefeated at Home

UL Monroe offense is explosive (#4)
UL Monroe commits very few Penalties (#6)

UL Monroe Deficiencies
UL Monroe has a really bad Offense
UL Monroe offense is really bad (#127)
UL Monroe run game is really bad (#105)
UL Monroe pass game is really bad (#121)
UL Monroe Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
UL Monroe does not Sack the QB (#112)
UL Monroe has a bad defense (#130)
UL Monroe Does Not Stuff Runs (#136)
UL Monroe has a bad defensive line (#134)
UL Monroe has a bad red zone defense (#136)


  
South Alabama's OC Paul Petrino
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bishop Davenport476473%567618.9
Jared Hollins11100%8008.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kentrel Bullock6329134.620
PJ Martin228814.016
Bishop Davenport227913.616
Keenan Phillips155803.912
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Voisin19266414.065
Anthony Eager1211519.634
Jeremy Scott574114.834
Miller McCrumby (Tr)561012.232

View South Alabama's Full Roster
South Alabama's DC Will Windham
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caleb Dozier (Tr)200000
Darius McKenzie190000
Christopher Wallace Jr.173000
Wesley Miller170001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nathan Jennings22200
Tirrell Johnson Jr.114100
Dominic Wiseman31100
E'Mauri Smiley51100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ty Goodwill142005
Nehemiah Chandler (Tr)70003
Wesley Miller170001

UL Monroe's OC Bryant Vincent
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Aidan Armenta203754%123123.3
Landon Graves4757%55107.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Braylon McReynolds (Tr)1813707.674
Tyrell Reed Jr. (Tr)135304.119
Dorian Lewis95205.821
Aidan Armenta74316.132
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tyler Griffin554110.819
JP Coulter43007.511
Rico Powers Jr.32809.318
Jacob Godfrey32107.025

View UL Monroe's Full Roster
UL Monroe's DC Earnest Hill
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D'Arco Perkins-McAllister (Tr)122200
Korian Wilson111000
Noah Flemmings101001
Kam Canterbury100000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D'Arco Perkins-McAllister (Tr)122200
Dylan Howell31110
Davin Anderson20000
Julian Nixon10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Billy Pullen20001
Noah Flemmings101001
D'Arco Perkins-McAllister (Tr)122200