South Alabama Jaguars at North Texas Mean Green
Saturday, September 27th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Apogee Stadium - Denton, TX
Jaguars (1 - 2) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Major Applewhite (6 - 6)
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (15 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 5.4 (#69)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
Coach Major Applewhite (6 - 6)
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (15 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 5.4 (#69)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
UNT is playing their 5th straight game
USA is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: North Texas -13 (SP+ UNT -5)
Projected Score: USA: 22 - UNT: 35 (57)
UNT Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
USA Travel: 562 miles
USA is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: North Texas -13 (SP+ UNT -5)
Projected Score: USA: 22 - UNT: 35 (57)
UNT Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
USA Travel: 562 miles
Mean Green (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Eric Morris (11 - 13)
Avg Score : 48 - 13 (55 - 5 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 2 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 6)
Coach Eric Morris (11 - 13)
Avg Score : 48 - 13 (55 - 5 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 2 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 6)
| South Alabama's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | South Alabama vs Morgan State | -28.5 | 51.5 | W 38 - 21 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | South Alabama vs Tulane | +13.5 | 51.5 | L 31 - 33 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | South Alabama at Auburn | +26.5 | 56.5 | L 15 - 31 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | South Alabama vs Coastal Carolina | -14.5 | 50.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | South Alabama at North Texas | +13 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | South Alabama at Troy | +1 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/14 | South Alabama vs Arkansas State | -12.5 | |||||
| Thu 10/23 | South Alabama at Georgia State | -12.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | South Alabama vs Louisiana | -7 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | South Alabama at UL Monroe | -12 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | South Alabama vs Southern Miss | -2 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | South Alabama at Texas State | +6.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for South Alabama's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| North Texas's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | North Texas vs Lamar | -27.5 | 63.5 | W 51 - 0 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | North Texas at Western Michigan | -12.0 | 56.0 | W 33 - 30 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | North Texas vs Washington State | -6.5 | 57.5 | W 59 - 10 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | North Texas at Army | -1.5 | 52.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | North Texas vs South Alabama | -13 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 10/10 | North Texas vs South Florida | -3.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | North Texas vs UTSA | -7 | |||||
| Fri 10/24 | North Texas at Charlotte | -19 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | North Texas vs Navy | -5.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | North Texas at UAB | -16.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | North Texas at Rice | -12.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | North Texas vs Temple | -8.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for North Texas's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USA | #64 (.22) | 44% (61) | 28 | 44% (69) | 3.29 (37) | 174 | 44% (64) | 192 | 4.3 (52) | #109 (.23) | 47% (117) | 28.3 | 51% (122) | 41% (76) | 5.38 (130) | 31.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| UNT | #18 (.4) | 46% (49) | 47.7 | 50% (40) | 3.45 (28) | 159 | 45% (57) | 267 | 5.7 (6) | #14 (-.06) | 33% (26) | 13.3 | 35% (35) | 30% (19) | 2.25 (23) | 48.7 | 0.3 | 2.3 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USA | #5 (.34) | 50% (9) | 53% (4) | 3.57 (6) | 199 | 47% (18) | 243 | 4.66 (13) | #58 (.15) | 41% (58) | 39% (28) | 43% (96) | 3.66 (56) | 70.8 | 0.9 | 1.5 | ||
| UNT | #45 (.23) | 42% (70) | 40% (109) | 2.75 (111) | 153 | 44% (39) | 298 | 3.91 (69) | #98 (.22) | 44% (98) | 47% (106) | 42% (79) | 4.03 (93) | 52.5 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USA Offense | 3 | 28 | 15 | 44.2% | 4.3 | 1.7 | 21 | 366 | 174 | 192 | 4.2 | 64% | 36% | 44% | 44% | 13% | .22 |
| UNT Defense | 3 | 13.3 | 5 | 33.1% | 2.25 | 2.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 64% | 36% | 35% | 30% | 15% | -.06 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USA Defense | 3 | 28.3 | 31 | 46.9% | 5.38 | 1.7 | - | - | - | - | - | 60% | 40% | 51% | 41% | 16% | .23 |
| UNT Offense | 3 | 47.7 | 55 | 46.5% | 5.7 | 0.3 | 24 | 426 | 159 | 267 | 4.8 | 41% | 57% | 50% | 45% | 12% | .4 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Alabama | 3 | 27:46 | 20.7 | 36% | 60% | 5 | 31.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 5.7 | 1.7 | 0 | 29.7 |
| North Texas | 3 | 28:27 | 24.3 | 50% | 67% | 5.3 | 48.7 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 6.3 | 2.3 | 0 | 39.1 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USA Offense | 3 | 64% (9) | 44% (69) | 41.3 | 174.3 | 4.2 | 5 (62) | .13 (71) | 3.29 (37) | 78% (41) | 10% (93) | 0.91 (85) |
| UNT Defense | 3 | 64% (130) | 35% (35) | - | - | - | - | -.01 (44) | 2.44 (38) | 73% (75) | 11% (48) | 1.01 (82) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USA Defense | 3 | 60% (122) | 51% (122) | - | - | - | - | .21 (111) | 3.12 (105) | 94% (125) | 10% (61) | 0.92 (68) |
| UNT Offense | 3 | 41% (121) | 50% (40) | 33.3 | 159.3 | 4.8 | 9 (17) | .42 (9) | 3.45 (28) | 57% (114) | 8% (56) | 1.28 (20) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USA Offense | 3 | 36% (127) | 44% (64) | 16 | 21.7 | 191.7 | 8.9 | 12 | 6 (34) | 1 (23) | .37 (53) | 1.7 (23) | 26% (32) | 30% (81) | .28 (83) | 3% (31) | 2.1 (54) |
| UNT Defense | 3 | 36% (7) | 30% (19) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 (12) | -.13 (12) | 1.4 (34) | 37% (29) | 30% (77) | .19 (55) | 3% (118) | 1.7 (39) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USA Defense | 3 | 40% (15) | 41% (76) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 (87) | .26 (88) | 1.4 (39) | 30% (92) | 32% (90) | .27 (70) | 6% (66) | 1.7 (38) |
| UNT Offense | 3 | 57% (20) | 45% (57) | 23.7 | 33.7 | 266.7 | 7.9 | 11.3 | 9 (13) | 0 (1) | .42 (40) | 1.6 (61) | 24% (18) | 46% (12) | .8 (10) | 4% (45) | 1.9 (88) |
South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: -7.76 #101
South Alabama's Offense Rating: 11.42 #76
South Alabama's Defense Rating: 19.18 #114
2025 Talent Rating: 562.00 #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
South Alabama's 2025 Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4
South Alabama's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.3 #79
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #72
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #93
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
South Alabama's Power Rating: -7.76 #101
South Alabama's Offense Rating: 11.42 #76
South Alabama's Defense Rating: 19.18 #114
2025 Talent Rating: 562.00 #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
South Alabama's 2025 Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4
South Alabama's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.3 #79
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #72
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #93
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
South Alabama: -7.76 North Texas: 7.24
SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Alabama: -3.3 North Texas: 1.2
South Alabama: -7.76 North Texas: 7.24
SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Alabama: -3.3 North Texas: 1.2
North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: 7.24 #59
North Texas's Offense Rating: 13.27 #66
North Texas's Defense Rating: 4.99 #55
2025 Talent Rating: 618.00 #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
North Texas's 2025 Expected Record: 10.0 - 2.0
North Texas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #66
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #27
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #101
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
North Texas's Power Rating: 7.24 #59
North Texas's Offense Rating: 13.27 #66
North Texas's Defense Rating: 4.99 #55
2025 Talent Rating: 618.00 #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
North Texas's 2025 Expected Record: 10.0 - 2.0
North Texas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #66
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #27
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #101
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 28 PPG
Offense on Road: 15
Defense: 28.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 31
South Alabama's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Offense: 28 PPG
Offense on Road: 15
Defense: 28.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 31
South Alabama's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
North Texas 35
South Alabama 22
Total Points: 57
North Texas 35
South Alabama 22
Total Points: 57
North Texas Scoring
Offense: 47.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 55
Defense: 13.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 5
North Texas's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0
Offense: 47.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 55
Defense: 13.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 5
North Texas's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 08/31 | South Alabama | 38 | North Texas | 52 | North Texas | South Alabama -6.0 | North Texas | 61.5 | Over |
| 2012 | 11/10 | North Texas | 24 | South Alabama | 14 | North Texas |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Texas | 2 | 1 | 1 Overs |
| South Alabama | 0 | 0 | 0 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 1 - 1 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 1 - 1 | 1 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 1 - 0 |
(#101) South Alabama Info
Power Rating: -7.76 #101
Offense Rating: 11.42 #76
Defense Rating: 19.18 #114
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.3 #79
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #72
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #93
Talent Rating: 562.00 #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 36%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.3 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Poor OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.38 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
South Alabama has lost 3 straight
South Alabama has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
South Alabama Notes
(8/30) Meh W over Morgan, Davenport decent, Def ?
(8/1) Running more of a balanced, pro style offense
(8/1) Hit hard by portal, talent down TY, bowl is ?
(8/1) OL was decent LY, 4/5 back. 7 portals. Looks good
(7/13) QB1 Davenport likely, started 1, Pryon (GT) add
(5/23) New OC Petrino downgrade from Ezell (Wake)
(4/14) Losing QB Lopez (portal) huge blow, esp in spring
(3/24) RB Bullock a good one, lost Bothwell to MSU
(3/24) WR rebuild. Voisin/Eager have exp. Some depth
(3/24) Def was OK LY, 7 portal adds, replace a lot
South Alabama Highlights
South Alabama does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#26)
South Alabama defense does not give up big plays (#28)
South Alabama Deficiencies
South Alabama has a bad TO Margin (#107)
South Alabama Fumbles a Lot (#128)
South Alabama has a bad defense (#117)
South Alabama has a bad defensive line (#105)
South Alabama has a bad red zone defense (#130)
Power Rating: -7.76 #101
Offense Rating: 11.42 #76
Defense Rating: 19.18 #114
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.3 #79
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #72
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #93
Talent Rating: 562.00 #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 36%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.3 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Poor OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.38 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
South Alabama has lost 3 straight
South Alabama has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
South Alabama Notes
(8/30) Meh W over Morgan, Davenport decent, Def ?
(8/1) Running more of a balanced, pro style offense
(8/1) Hit hard by portal, talent down TY, bowl is ?
(8/1) OL was decent LY, 4/5 back. 7 portals. Looks good
(7/13) QB1 Davenport likely, started 1, Pryon (GT) add
(5/23) New OC Petrino downgrade from Ezell (Wake)
(4/14) Losing QB Lopez (portal) huge blow, esp in spring
(3/24) RB Bullock a good one, lost Bothwell to MSU
(3/24) WR rebuild. Voisin/Eager have exp. Some depth
(3/24) Def was OK LY, 7 portal adds, replace a lot
South Alabama Highlights
South Alabama does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#26)
South Alabama defense does not give up big plays (#28)
South Alabama Deficiencies
South Alabama has a bad TO Margin (#107)
South Alabama Fumbles a Lot (#128)
South Alabama has a bad defense (#117)
South Alabama has a bad defensive line (#105)
South Alabama has a bad red zone defense (#130)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | UNT | USA |
| OverallOver | #10 | #82 |
| OffenseOff | #27 | #72 |
| DefenseDef | #14 | #90 |
| Special TeamsST | #39 | #61 |
| PassingPass | #8 | #69 |
| RushingRush | #25 | #32 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #47 | #97 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #45 | #105 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #46 | #33 |
| TacklingTkl | #4 | #117 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #18 | #104 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #68 | #89 |
| Coverage DefCov | #14 | #48 |
(#59) North Texas Info
Power Rating: 7.24 #59
Offense Rating: 13.27 #66
Defense Rating: 4.99 #55
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #66
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #27
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #101
Talent Rating: 618.00 #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 10.0 - 2.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 41%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 46%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.7 PPO
Good Run Success 50%
Avg Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 33%
Good in Scoring Position 2.25 PPO
Good Run Def Success 35%
Great Pass Def Success 30%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
North Texas has lost 1 straight
North Texas has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
North Texas Notes
(9/15) Mestemaker, Off has been great, WR deep
(8/18) QB1 rFr. Drew Mestemaker has won the job
(7/23) Sleeper, took SHSU Def best in the portal
(7/23) QB Poffenbarger big time @ FCS Albany '23-'24
(3/23) RB rebuild, McGill/Sibley? 3 Portal adds
(3/23) WR rebuild, have 5 exp options. Evans (SHSU)
(3/23) Def bad LY, 9 DL, 7 DB portal adds, new DC
(3/23) New DC Cassity was SHSU DC, Alb Chr before
(3/22) 8 portals from SHSU (4 starters) with DC
North Texas Highlights
North Texas in Undefeated
North Texas is Undefeated at Home
North Texas is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
North Texas offense is explosive (#20)
North Texas has a top Offensive Line (#28)
North Texas offense is good in red zone (#6)
North Texas offense is good on 3rd downs
North Texas has a really good defense (#26)
North Texas defense is really good in red zone (#23)
North Texas has a good pass defense (#19)
North Texas has a great TO Margin (#11)
North Texas defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
North Texas Deficiencies
Power Rating: 7.24 #59
Offense Rating: 13.27 #66
Defense Rating: 4.99 #55
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #66
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #27
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #101
Talent Rating: 618.00 #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 10.0 - 2.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 41%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 46%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.7 PPO
Good Run Success 50%
Avg Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 33%
Good in Scoring Position 2.25 PPO
Good Run Def Success 35%
Great Pass Def Success 30%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
North Texas has lost 1 straight
North Texas has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
North Texas Notes
(9/15) Mestemaker, Off has been great, WR deep
(8/18) QB1 rFr. Drew Mestemaker has won the job
(7/23) Sleeper, took SHSU Def best in the portal
(7/23) QB Poffenbarger big time @ FCS Albany '23-'24
(3/23) RB rebuild, McGill/Sibley? 3 Portal adds
(3/23) WR rebuild, have 5 exp options. Evans (SHSU)
(3/23) Def bad LY, 9 DL, 7 DB portal adds, new DC
(3/23) New DC Cassity was SHSU DC, Alb Chr before
(3/22) 8 portals from SHSU (4 starters) with DC
North Texas Highlights
North Texas in Undefeated
North Texas is Undefeated at Home
North Texas is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
North Texas offense is explosive (#20)
North Texas has a top Offensive Line (#28)
North Texas offense is good in red zone (#6)
North Texas offense is good on 3rd downs
North Texas has a really good defense (#26)
North Texas defense is really good in red zone (#23)
North Texas has a good pass defense (#19)
North Texas has a great TO Margin (#11)
North Texas defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
North Texas Deficiencies
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bishop Davenport | 47 | 64 | 73% | 567 | 6 | 1 | 8.9 |
| Jared Hollins | 1 | 1 | 100% | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentrel Bullock | 63 | 291 | 3 | 4.6 | 20 |
| PJ Martin | 22 | 88 | 1 | 4.0 | 16 |
| Bishop Davenport | 22 | 79 | 1 | 3.6 | 16 |
| Keenan Phillips | 15 | 58 | 0 | 3.9 | 12 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Voisin | 19 | 266 | 4 | 14.0 | 65 |
| Anthony Eager | 12 | 115 | 1 | 9.6 | 34 |
| Jeremy Scott | 5 | 74 | 1 | 14.8 | 34 |
| Miller McCrumby (Tr) | 5 | 61 | 0 | 12.2 | 32 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Dozier (Tr) | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Darius McKenzie | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Christopher Wallace Jr. | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Wesley Miller | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Jennings | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Tirrell Johnson Jr. | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Dominic Wiseman | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| E'Mauri Smiley | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Goodwill | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Nehemiah Chandler (Tr) | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Wesley Miller | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Mestemaker | 66 | 94 | 70% | 764 | 9 | 0 | 8.1 |
| Reese Poffenbarger (Tr) | 5 | 7 | 71% | 36 | 0 | 0 | 5.1 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makenzie McGill | 31 | 170 | 3 | 5.5 | 27 |
| Jayden Becks (Tr) | 16 | 78 | 2 | 4.9 | 16 |
| Kiefer Sibley | 13 | 76 | 2 | 5.8 | 30 |
| Caleb Hawkins | 13 | 68 | 1 | 5.2 | 16 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wyatt Young | 10 | 160 | 2 | 16.0 | 46 |
| Cameron Dorner | 9 | 121 | 2 | 13.4 | 25 |
| Miles Coleman | 11 | 108 | 0 | 9.8 | 24 |
| Simeon Evans (Tr) | 7 | 90 | 0 | 12.9 | 30 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Whitter | 25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Trey Fields (Tr) | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ethan Wesloski | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Ethan Day (Tr) | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keviyan Huddleston (Tr) | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Ethan Day (Tr) | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Zhaiylen Scott | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Joshua Pierce (Tr) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinton Hammonds | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Bryan Allen Jr. | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Da'Veawn Armstead (Tr) | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |