Coastal Carolina at South Alabama - 2025 Matchup Preview
Coastal Carolina logo Coastal Carolina Chanticleers at South Alabama JaguarsSouth Alabama logo
Saturday, September 20th 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
South Alabama -14.5 (50.5) (-625)  Open: -14.0
Hancock Whitney Stadium - Mobile, AL  (Sun Belt)

 
Chanticleers (1 - 2) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Tim Beck (14 - 11)
Avg Score : 7 - 29 (7 - 48 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#105)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 6)
USA is playing their 4th straight game
CCU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: South Alabama -11   (SP+ USA -12)

Projected Score: CCU: 20 - USA: 31 (52)
USA Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
CCU Travel: 569 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Jaguars (1 - 2) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Major Applewhite (6 - 6)
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (35 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 5.4 (#69)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
 
Coastal Carolina's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Coastal Carolina at Virginia+12.557.5L 7 - 48UN
Sat 9/6 Coastal Carolina vs Charleston Southern-28.549.0W 13 - 0UN
Sat 9/13 Coastal Carolina vs East Carolina+7.058.0L 0 - 38UN
Sat 9/20 Coastal Carolina at South Alabama+14.550.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Coastal Carolina at Old Dominion+15.5
Sat 10/11 Coastal Carolina vs UL Monroe-9
Sat 10/18 Coastal Carolina at App State+6.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/30 Coastal Carolina vs Marshall-2
Sat 11/8 Coastal Carolina vs Georgia State-9
Sat 11/15 Coastal Carolina at Georgia Southern-1.5
Sat 11/22 Coastal Carolina at South Carolina+29
Sat 11/29 Coastal Carolina vs James Madison+15

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Coastal Carolina's Schedule
South Alabama's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 South Alabama vs Morgan State-28.551.5W 38 - 21ON
Sat 9/6 South Alabama vs Tulane+13.551.5L 31 - 33OY
Sat 9/13 South Alabama at Auburn+26.556.5L 15 - 31UY
Sat 9/20 South Alabama vs Coastal Carolina-14.550.5
Sat 9/27 South Alabama at North Texas+13
Sat 10/4 South Alabama at Troy+1
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14 South Alabama vs Arkansas State-12.5
Thu 10/23 South Alabama at Georgia State-12.5
Sat 11/1 South Alabama vs Louisiana-7
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 South Alabama at UL Monroe-12
Sat 11/22 South Alabama vs Southern Miss-2
Sat 11/29 South Alabama at Texas State+6.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for South Alabama's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CCU#128 (-.01)38% (104)6.745% (65)2.89 (80)13533% (120)1581.67 (130)#87 (.16)43% (91)28.740% (74)46% (107)3.43 (67)653.30.7
USA#64 (.22)44% (61)2844% (69)3.29 (37)17444% (64)1924.3 (52)#109 (.23)47% (117)28.351% (122)41% (76)5.38 (130)31.71.71.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CCU#73 (.18)40% (98)43% (81)3.05 (63)17337% (112)2024.24 (36)#94 (.21)43% (90)46% (98)41% (72)4.12 (101)63.81.31.7
USA#5 (.34)50% (9)53% (4)3.57 (6)19947% (18)2434.66 (13)#58 (.15)41% (58)39% (28)43% (96)3.66 (56)70.80.91.5



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CCU Offense36.7738.3%1.673.3192931351583.951%47%45%33%24%-.01
USA Defense328.32746.9%5.381.7 - - - - - 60%40%51%41%16%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CCU Defense328.74842.8%3.430.7 - - - - - 50%49%40%46%14%.16
USA Offense32834.544.2%4.31.7213661741924.264%36%44%44%13%.22

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Coastal Carolina329:1319.331%50%7.3653.30.740.7026.6
South Alabama327:4620.736%60%531.71.71.75.71.7029.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CCU Offense351% (69)45% (65)351353.92 (109).07 (91)2.89 (80)89% (16)13% (123)0.89 (88)
USA Defense360% (122)51% (122) - - - - .21 (111)3.12 (105)94% (125)10% (61)0.92 (68)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CCU Defense350% (67)40% (74) - - - - .02 (56)2.86 (78)60% (34)6% (124)0.85 (47)
USA Offense364% (9)44% (69)41.3174.34.25 (62).13 (71)3.29 (37)78% (41)10% (93)0.91 (85)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CCU Offense347% (79)33% (120)18.334.31584.68.60 (133)6 (132).03 (125)1.4 (99)34% (108)25% (109)-.07 (130)11% (135)1.7 (111)
USA Defense340% (15)41% (76) - - - - - - 1 (87).26 (88)1.4 (39)30% (92)32% (90).27 (70)6% (66)1.7 (38)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CCU Defense349% (69)46% (107) - - - - - - 2 (56).35 (109)1.5 (65)30% (97)34% (103).34 (92)8% (26)1.6 (32)
USA Offense336% (127)44% (64)1621.7191.78.9126 (34)1 (23).37 (53)1.7 (23)26% (32)30% (81).28 (83)3% (31)2.1 (54)

Coastal Carolina's Power Ratings
Coastal Carolina's Power Rating: -12.19 #110
Coastal Carolina's Offense Rating: 1.85 #124
Coastal Carolina's Defense Rating: 14.04 #98
2025 Talent Rating: 560.00 #105
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Coastal Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 4.6 - 7.4
Coastal Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.4 #121
Coastal Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.3 #113
Coastal Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.7 #120

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Coastal Carolina: -12.19   South Alabama: -3.03

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Coastal Carolina: -15.4   South Alabama: -3.3




South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: -3.03 #101
South Alabama's Offense Rating: 11.42 #76
South Alabama's Defense Rating: 19.18 #114
2025 Talent Rating: 562.00 #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
South Alabama's 2025 Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4
South Alabama's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.3 #79
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #72
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #93

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Coastal Carolina Scoring
Offense: 6.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 7
Defense: 28.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 48

Coastal Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
South Alabama 31
Coastal Carolina 20


Total Points: 52

South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 28 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.5
Defense: 28.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 27

South Alabama's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202111/26South Alabama21Coastal Carolina27Coastal CarolinaCoastal Carolina -14.5South Alabama55.5Under
202011/07Coastal Carolina23South Alabama6Coastal CarolinaCoastal Carolina -17Push56.5Under
201811/23South Alabama31Coastal Carolina28South AlabamaCoastal Carolina -1South Alabama58.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
South Alabama121 Overs
Coastal Carolina202 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 12 - 00 - 02 - 0
Road Teams1 - 20 - 20 - 20 - 0

(#110) Coastal Carolina Info
Power Rating: -12.19 #110
Offense Rating: 1.85 #124
Defense Rating: 14.04 #98
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.4 #121
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.3 #113
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.7 #120
Talent Rating: 560.00 #105
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 4.6 - 7.4

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 38%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 1.67 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Awful Pass Success 33%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.43 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 40%
Poor Pass Def Success 46%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Coastal Carolina has lost 1 straight
Coastal Carolina has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Coastal Carolina Notes
(8/21) QB E. Brown out for season in fall camp
(8/1) Off looks bad on paper, Defense looks worse
(8/1) WR top 3 back, 5 portals, Hinton (FCS) shifty
(8/1) Def really bad LY, replacing most. 17 portals
(7/22) HC Beck meh, fired OC/DC LY. Bad 2nd year
(7/22) New DC Johnson was great at La Tech LY
(3/24) OC Hollingshead was co-OC WKU, Leach tree
(3/23) QB Brown (PT Starter SJSU)/Morris (MD/NC St)
(3/23) RB rebuild. John (UMass) added, some depth
(3/23) OL 5/5 back, but bad LY. 2 portals. Jump TY?

Coastal Carolina Highlights
Coastal Carolina Secondary is very good (#26)

Coastal Carolina Deficiencies
Coastal Carolina has a really bad Offense
Coastal Carolina has a bad TO Margin (#136)
Coastal Carolina Fumbles a Lot (#128)
Coastal Carolina Commits a Lot of Penalties (#103)
Coastal Carolina throws a Lot of Interceptions (#132)
Coastal Carolina offense is really bad (#104)
Coastal Carolina offense is not Explosive (#110)
Coastal Carolina offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#130)
Coastal Carolina pass game is really bad (#120)
Coastal Carolina offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Coastal Carolina does not Sack the QB (#122)
Coastal Carolina Does Not Stuff Runs (#116)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatUSACCU
OverallOver#82#76
OffenseOff#72#84
DefenseDef#90#64
Special TeamsST#61#86
PassingPass#69#82
RushingRush#32#88
Run BlockRBLK#97#38
Pass BlockPBLK#105#86
Route RunningWR Rt#33#93
TacklingTkl#117#58
Run DefenseR Def#104#69
Pass Rush DefPRush#89#73
Coverage DefCov#48#47

Weather Forecast
Playing in Hancock Whitney Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: CCU | USA
Depth Chart: CCU | USA
Rosters: CCU | USA
(#101) South Alabama Info
Power Rating: -3.03 #101
Offense Rating: 11.42 #76
Defense Rating: 19.18 #114
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.3 #79
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #72
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #93
Talent Rating: 562.00 #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 36%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.3 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Poor OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.38 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

South Alabama has lost 2 straight
South Alabama has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 1 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

South Alabama Notes
(8/30) Meh W over Morgan, Davenport decent, Def ?
(8/1) Running more of a balanced, pro style offense
(8/1) Hit hard by portal, talent down TY, bowl is ?
(8/1) OL was decent LY, 4/5 back. 7 portals. Looks good
(7/13) QB1 Davenport likely, started 1, Pryon (GT) add
(5/23) New OC Petrino downgrade from Ezell (Wake)
(4/14) Losing QB Lopez (portal) huge blow, esp in spring
(3/24) RB Bullock a good one, lost Bothwell to MSU
(3/24) WR rebuild. Voisin/Eager have exp. Some depth
(3/24) Def was OK LY, 7 portal adds, replace a lot

South Alabama Highlights
South Alabama does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#26)

South Alabama defense does not give up big plays (#28)

South Alabama Deficiencies
South Alabama has a bad TO Margin (#107)
South Alabama Fumbles a Lot (#128)
South Alabama has a bad defense (#117)
South Alabama has a bad defensive line (#105)
South Alabama has a bad red zone defense (#130)


  
Coastal Carolina's OC Drew Hollingshead
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
MJ Morris (Tr)335857%265044.6
Tad Hudson224549%209024.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dominic Knicely1813707.652
Ja'Vin Simpkins2510914.416
Jalen John (Tr)217303.511
Jevon Edwards93804.214
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Robby Washington (Tr)9100011.139
Bryson Graves995010.621
Cameron Wright782011.723
Malick Meiga65909.819

View Coastal Carolina's Full Roster
Coastal Carolina's DC Jeremiah Johnson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shane Bruce181000
Myles Mooyoung (Tr)161002
Dre Pinckney160000
Xamarion Gordon161002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ezekiel Durham-Campbell (Tr)82221
Aamarii Notice (Tr)51100
Shane Bruce181000
Fredd Adams20000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ja'Marion Wayne (Tr)151005
Myles Mooyoung (Tr)161002
Xamarion Gordon161002

South Alabama's OC Paul Petrino
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bishop Davenport476473%567618.9
Jared Hollins11100%8008.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kentrel Bullock6329134.620
PJ Martin228814.016
Bishop Davenport227913.616
Keenan Phillips155803.912
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Voisin19266414.065
Anthony Eager1211519.634
Jeremy Scott574114.834
Miller McCrumby (Tr)561012.232

View South Alabama's Full Roster
South Alabama's DC Will Windham
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caleb Dozier (Tr)200000
Darius McKenzie190000
Christopher Wallace Jr.173000
Wesley Miller170001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nathan Jennings22200
Tirrell Johnson Jr.114100
Dominic Wiseman31100
E'Mauri Smiley51100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ty Goodwill142005
Nehemiah Chandler (Tr)70003
Wesley Miller170001