Coastal Carolina at South Alabama - 2025 Matchup Preview
Coastal Carolina logo Coastal Carolina Chanticleers at South Alabama JaguarsSouth Alabama logo
Saturday, September 20th 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
South Alabama -14.5 (51.5) (-675)  Open: -14.0
Coastal Carolina 38 - South Alabama: 20  (Sun Belt)

 
Chanticleers (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Tim Beck (14 - 11)
Avg Score : 22 - 33 (24 - 41 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.2 - 6.8 (#81)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 6)
USA is playing their 4th straight game
CCU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: South Alabama -6.5  (SP+ USA -2)

Projected Score: CCU: 24 - USA: 30 (54)
USA Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
CCU Travel: 569 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Jaguars (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Major Applewhite (6 - 6)
Avg Score : 27 - 30 (28 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
 
Coastal Carolina's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Coastal Carolina at Virginia+12.557.5L 7 - 48UN
Sat 9/6 Coastal Carolina vs Charleston Southern-28.549.0W 13 - 0UN
Sat 9/13 Coastal Carolina vs East Carolina+7.058.0L 0 - 38UN
Sat 9/20 Coastal Carolina at South Alabama+14.551.5W 38 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Coastal Carolina at Old Dominion+18.553.5L 7 - 47ON
Sat 10/11 Coastal Carolina vs UL Monroe+3.046.5W 23 - 8UY
Sat 10/18 Coastal Carolina at App State+10.548.5W 45 - 37OY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/30 Coastal Carolina vs Marshall+7.555.5W 44 - 27OY
Sat 11/8 Coastal Carolina vs Georgia State-7.056.5W 40 - 27OY
Sat 11/15 Coastal Carolina at Georgia Southern+3.059.5L 40 - 45ON
Sat 11/22 Coastal Carolina at South Carolina+24.050.0L 7 - 51ON
Sat 11/29 Coastal Carolina vs James Madison+24.054.5L 10 - 59ON
Tue 12/30 Coastal Carolina vs Louisiana Tech+10.051.0L 14 - 23UY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Coastal Carolina's Schedule
South Alabama's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 South Alabama vs Morgan State-28.551.5W 38 - 21ON
Sat 9/6 South Alabama vs Tulane+13.551.5L 31 - 33OY
Sat 9/13 South Alabama at Auburn+26.556.5L 15 - 31UY
Sat 9/20 South Alabama vs Coastal Carolina-14.551.5L 20 - 38ON
Sat 9/27 South Alabama at North Texas+13.563.5L 22 - 36UN
Sat 10/4 South Alabama at Troy-2.546.5L 24 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14 South Alabama vs Arkansas State-8.557.5L 14 - 15UN
Thu 10/23 South Alabama at Georgia State-5.554.5W 38 - 31OY
Sat 11/1 South Alabama vs Louisiana-3.552.5L 22 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 South Alabama at UL Monroe-4.049.5W 26 - 14UY
Sat 11/22 South Alabama vs Southern Miss+2.553.0W 42 - 35OY
Sat 11/29 South Alabama at Texas State+9.562.5L 26 - 49ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for South Alabama's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CCU#107 (.1)38% (118)22.243% (75)2.78 (103)15332% (133)1463.82 (58)#99 (.2)44% (100)33.144% (92)45% (112)3.63 (65)48.41.51.4
USA#80 (.16)42% (83)26.543% (77)3.03 (55)20140% (94)1814.01 (40)#117 (.24)43% (88)30.447% (117)40% (47)4.35 (127)54.911.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CCU#73 (.18)40% (98)43% (81)3.05 (63)17337% (112)2024.24 (36)#94 (.21)43% (90)46% (98)41% (72)4.12 (101)63.81.31.7
USA#5 (.34)50% (9)53% (4)3.57 (6)19947% (18)2434.66 (13)#58 (.15)41% (58)39% (28)43% (96)3.66 (56)70.80.91.5



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CCU Offense1322.22437.7%3.821.5162981531464.556%42%43%32%18%.1
USA Defense1230.428.843.2%4.351.3 - - - - - 54%44%47%40%15%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CCU Defense1333.141.344.1%3.631.4 - - - - - 50%48%44%45%15%.2
USA Offense1226.527.841.5%4.011213822011814.660%38%43%40%13%.16

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Coastal Carolina1325:5315.834%56%5.848.41.51.44.81.4230.5
South Alabama1231:0820.643%54%6.554.911.34.71028.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CCU Offense1356% (24)43% (75)34.3152.84.515 (88).1 (75)2.78 (103)73% (61)11% (120)1.03 (46)
USA Defense1254% (119)47% (117) - - - - .18 (111)3.15 (109)91% (136)8% (108)0.92 (51)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CCU Defense1350% (68)44% (92) - - - - .16 (103)3.04 (99)64% (19)10% (68)1.05 (110)
USA Offense1260% (10)43% (77)44.3201.24.630 (60).14 (59)3.03 (55)76% (40)9% (54)1.02 (50)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CCU Offense1342% (112)32% (133)14.826.9145.65.49.814 (114)11 (119).14 (116)1.8 (11)35% (123)28% (95).17 (116)7% (99)1.9 (89)
USA Defense1244% (19)40% (47) - - - - - - 6 (100).34 (113)1.8 (129)33% (40)29% (63).37 (105)6% (59)2.3 (129)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CCU Defense1348% (68)45% (112) - - - - - - 11 (38).31 (101)1.5 (56)30% (97)31% (89).38 (111)5% (98)2.1 (97)
USA Offense1238% (125)40% (94)17.725.8181.1710.313 (86)6 (34).23 (80)1.5 (81)31% (56)27% (102).28 (73)4% (19)2.1 (32)

Coastal Carolina's Power Ratings
Coastal Carolina's Power Rating: -18.21  #133
Coastal Carolina's Offense Rating: -2.55  #135
Coastal Carolina's Defense Rating: 15.66  #114
2025 Talent Rating: 560.00  #105
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Coastal Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 6.2 - 6.8
Coastal Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.0  #117
Coastal Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2  #91
Coastal Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.0  #129

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Coastal Carolina: -18.21   South Alabama: -9.42

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Coastal Carolina: -14.0   South Alabama: -11.9




South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: -9.42  #119
South Alabama's Offense Rating: 5.24  #89
South Alabama's Defense Rating: 17.18  #119
2025 Talent Rating: 562.00  #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
South Alabama's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
South Alabama's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.9  #113
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5  #80
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.6  #126

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Coastal Carolina Scoring
Offense: 22.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 33.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 41.3

Coastal Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
South Alabama 30
Coastal Carolina 24


Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
South Alabama 35
Coastal Carolina 20

Total Points: 56

Based on Entire Season
South Alabama 32
Coastal Carolina 26

Total Points: 58
South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 26.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.8
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.8

South Alabama's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/20South Alabama20Coastal Carolina38South Alabama -14.5Coastal Carolina51.5Over
202111/26South Alabama21Coastal Carolina27Coastal Carolina -14.5South Alabama55.5Under
202011/07Coastal Carolina23South Alabama6Coastal Carolina -17Push56.5Under
201811/23South Alabama31Coastal Carolina28Coastal Carolina -1South Alabama58.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
South Alabama122 Overs
Coastal Carolina312 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 22 - 10 - 12 - 0
Road Teams2 - 21 - 20 - 21 - 0

(#133) CCU at (#119) USA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCCUUSA
Power RatePwr #133 #119
SP+SP+ #117 #113
Perf GradeGrade #119 #101
OffenseOff #126 #88
DefenseDef #101 #96
Spec TeamsST #54 #61
TalentTal #105 #103
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #101
Coastal Carolina Notes
(12/11) Hired HC Ryan Beard (Missouri St). Good hire
(11/30) Fired HC Tim Beck after 6-6, 20-17 run in 3 yrs
(11/21) QB Samari Collier was better, but he's now injured
(10/19) Great W @ App St, 2 straight to save a lost season
(10/19) Playing multiple QBs including Samari Collier, meh
(10/12) 312 yds passing total last 3 games, somehow 2-1
(9/21) Big W vs S Al, box score L, OG'd but forced 3 TOs
(9/17) QB Morris benched, QB1 Hudson no better
(9/17) Team looks on a rapid descent w/ little hope
(9/15) Off #'s are bottom 20, scored 20 pts in 3 games
(8/21) QB E. Brown out for season in fall camp
(8/1) Off looks bad on paper, Defense looks worse
Coastal Carolina Injury Report
South Alabama Notes
(10/15) HC Applewhite & staff on thin ice after 0-6 streak
(10/15) Strange trend, 7 pts 1Q, 0 2Q in past 3 games
(9/21) Off bad, Def worse. Flags, TO's, not buttoned up
(8/30) Meh W over Morgan, Davenport decent, Def ?
(8/1) Hit hard by portal, talent down TY, bowl is ?
(8/1) OL was decent LY, 4/5 back. 7 portals. Looks good
(7/13) QB1 Davenport likely, started 1, Pryon (GT) add
(5/23) New OC Petrino downgrade from Ezell (Wake)
(4/14) Losing QB Lopez (portal) huge blow, esp in spring
(3/24) RB Bullock a good one, lost Bothwell to MSU
(3/24) WR rebuild. Voisin/Eager have exp. Some depth
(3/24) Def was OK LY, 7 portal adds, replace a lot
South Alabama Injury Report
Coastal Carolina on Offense
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
CCU OffUSA Def
Perf GradePerf #126 #96
SuccessSuc #118 #88
ExplosiveExp #47 #72
PPAPPA #107 #117
PowerPwr #135 #119
SP+SP+ #91 #126
Pts POPPO #58 #127
HavocHav #117 #94
Coastal Carolina Run Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
CCU OffUSA Def
Run GameRun #110 #112
Run SuccessRSuc #75 #117
Run ExplRExp #46 #51
PPAExp #75 #111
Run BlockR Blk #63 -
OL YdsOLY #103 #109
Stuff RateStuff #82 #102
TackleTak -  #129
Coastal Carolina Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
CCU OffUSA Def
Pass GamePass #129 #31
Pass SuccessPSuc #133 #47
Pass ExplPExl #11 #129
PPAExp #116 #113
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #37 #130
F7 HavocF7 #120 #108
DB HavocDB #99 #59
South Alabama on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 38%
CategoryCatUSA OffCCU Def
Perf GradePerf #88 #101
SuccessSuc #83 #100
ExplosiveExp #94 #99
PPAPPA #80 #99
PowerPwr #89 #114
SP+SP+ #80 #129
Pts POPPO #40 #65
HavocHav #30 #91
South Alabama Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 38%
CategoryCat
USA OffCCU Def
Run GameRun #10 #83
Run SuccessRSuc #77 #92
Run ExplRExp #50 #110
PPAExp #59 #103
Run BlockR Blk #133 -
OL YdsOLY #55 #99
Stuff RateStuff #26 #96
TackleTak -  #122
South Alabama Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 38%
CategoryCatUSA OffCCU Def
Pass GamePass #107 #103
Pass SuccessPSuc #94 #112
Pass ExplPExl #81 #56
PPAExp #80 #101
Pass Block/RushP Blk #51 #65
F7 HavocF7 #54 #68
DB HavocDB #19 #98
Program Comparison
USA 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

CCU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Hancock Whitney Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 82°
Rematch from Week 4
South Alabama -14.5 (51.5)
Coastal Carolina won at South Alabama this year (38-20)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
CCU's OC Drew Hollingshead (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tad Hudson11420556%942454.6
Samari Collier387849%489726.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ja'Vin Simpkins11556724.946
Samari Collier7042976.185
Dominic Knicely6437635.959
Jevon Edwards5733515.943
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cameron Wright24274111.444
Bryson Graves2923128.024
Robby Washington (Tr)2423129.639
Jameson Tucker10197219.775

View Coastal Carolina's Full Roster

CCU's DC Jeremiah Johnson (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xamarion Gordon623005
Ja'Marion Wayne (Tr)562006
Dontae Lunan537011
Tray Brown459311
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ezekiel Durham-Campbell (Tr)408681
Tray Brown459311
Sawyer Goram-Welch233201
Noah Arinze (Tr)276231
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ja'Marion Wayne (Tr)562006
Xamarion Gordon623005
Myles Woods441005

USA's OC Paul Petrino (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bishop Davenport20029468%20721267.0
Jared Hollins121675%101106.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kentrel Bullock2181085145.064
Keenan Phillips12662234.954
Bishop Davenport11632692.856
PJ Martin6032625.438
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Voisin67775411.665
Jeremy Scott24417417.474
Anthony Eager4033918.548
Miller McCrumby (Tr)1512808.532

View South Alabama's Full Roster

USA's DC Will Windham (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Blayne Myrick846033
Christopher Wallace Jr.734000
Darius McKenzie714111
Tirrell Johnson Jr.546131
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Thomas163220
Nathan Jennings132200
E'Mauri Smiley151110
Emmanuel Waller (Tr)143120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nehemiah Chandler (Tr)3130013
Ty Goodwill355007
Jayvon Henderson (Tr)272005