Coastal Carolina at South Alabama - 2025 Matchup Preview
Coastal Carolina logo Coastal Carolina Chanticleers at South Alabama JaguarsSouth Alabama logo
Saturday, September 20th 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
South Alabama -14.5 (51.5) (-675)  Open: -14.0
Coastal Carolina 38 - South Alabama: 20  (Sun Belt)

 
Chanticleers (5 - 3) (4 - 4 - 0)
Coach Tim Beck (14 - 11)
Avg Score : 22 - 28 (24 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.4 - 5.6 (#68)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 6)
USA is playing their 4th straight game
CCU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: South Alabama -3  (SP+ CCU -2.5)

Projected Score: CCU: 26 - USA: 29 (55)
USA Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
CCU Travel: 569 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Jaguars (2 - 7) (3 - 6 - 0)
Coach Major Applewhite (6 - 6)
Avg Score : 25 - 30 (25 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.9 - 9.1 (#125)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
 
Coastal Carolina's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Coastal Carolina at Virginia+12.557.5L 7 - 48UN
Sat 9/6 Coastal Carolina vs Charleston Southern-28.549.0W 13 - 0UN
Sat 9/13 Coastal Carolina vs East Carolina+7.058.0L 0 - 38UN
Sat 9/20 Coastal Carolina at South Alabama+14.551.5W 38 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Coastal Carolina at Old Dominion+18.553.5L 7 - 47ON
Sat 10/11 Coastal Carolina vs UL Monroe+3.046.5W 23 - 8UY
Sat 10/18 Coastal Carolina at App State+10.548.5W 45 - 37OY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/30 Coastal Carolina vs Marshall+7.555.5W 44 - 27OY
Sat 11/8 Coastal Carolina vs Georgia State-7.056.5
Sat 11/15 Coastal Carolina at Georgia Southern+0.5
Sat 11/22 Coastal Carolina at South Carolina+19.5
Sat 11/29 Coastal Carolina vs James Madison+19

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Coastal Carolina's Schedule
South Alabama's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 South Alabama vs Morgan State-28.551.5W 38 - 21ON
Sat 9/6 South Alabama vs Tulane+13.551.5L 31 - 33OY
Sat 9/13 South Alabama at Auburn+26.556.5L 15 - 31UY
Sat 9/20 South Alabama vs Coastal Carolina-14.551.5L 20 - 38ON
Sat 9/27 South Alabama at North Texas+13.563.5L 22 - 36UN
Sat 10/4 South Alabama at Troy-2.546.5L 24 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14 South Alabama vs Arkansas State-8.557.5L 14 - 15UN
Thu 10/23 South Alabama at Georgia State-5.554.5W 38 - 31OY
Sat 11/1 South Alabama vs Louisiana-3.552.5L 22 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 South Alabama at UL Monroe+1
Sat 11/22 South Alabama vs Southern Miss+9.5
Sat 11/29 South Alabama at Texas State+11.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for South Alabama's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CCU#115 (.08)39% (115)22.145% (61)2.86 (64)17732% (134)1433.9 (66)#85 (.17)41% (64)28.139% (33)43% (94)3.25 (29)5021.6
USA#77 (.16)41% (87)24.943% (76)3.12 (33)19439% (104)1854.04 (51)#111 (.21)44% (107)29.747% (122)41% (67)4.31 (113)58.61.11.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CCU#73 (.18)40% (98)43% (81)3.05 (63)17337% (112)2024.24 (36)#94 (.21)43% (90)46% (98)41% (72)4.12 (101)63.81.31.7
USA#5 (.34)50% (9)53% (4)3.57 (6)19947% (18)2434.66 (13)#58 (.15)41% (58)39% (28)43% (96)3.66 (56)70.80.91.5



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CCU Offense822.124.338.9%3.92183211771434.659%40%45%32%18%.08
USA Defense929.727.644.5%4.311.2 - - - - - 59%41%47%41%14%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CCU Defense828.13841%3.251.6 - - - - - 49%50%39%43%16%.17
USA Offense924.92541.3%4.041.1193791941854.560%39%43%39%13%.16

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Coastal Carolina828:3517.537%50%5.85021.651.5030.2
South Alabama929:5919.442%57%7.158.61.11.24.70.9027.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CCU Offense859% (14)45% (61)38.8177.34.612 (88).13 (60)2.86 (64)74% (57)11% (114)0.99 (54)
USA Defense959% (133)47% (122) - - - - .17 (113)3.19 (120)91% (134)9% (102)0.89 (39)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CCU Defense849% (60)39% (33) - - - - .07 (65)2.9 (90)65% (34)9% (80)1.09 (121)
USA Offense960% (10)43% (76)43.1193.74.517 (60).15 (48)3.12 (33)75% (47)9% (56)0.96 (64)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CCU Offense840% (126)32% (134)14.827.5143.35.29.78 (114)9 (119).07 (127)1.7 (19)33% (103)28% (88).15 (115)7% (101)2 (67)
USA Defense941% (4)41% (67) - - - - - - 4 (100).31 (102)1.6 (105)31% (81)28% (45).28 (71)6% (78)2.1 (107)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CCU Defense850% (80)43% (94) - - - - - - 8 (38).26 (86)1.5 (57)33% (54)30% (82).32 (86)6% (65)2 (71)
USA Offense939% (127)39% (104)16.925.4185.47.31112 (86)5 (34).18 (94)1.5 (82)31% (63)26% (106).27 (88)4% (17)2.1 (50)

Coastal Carolina's Power Ratings
Coastal Carolina's Power Rating: -13.86  #124
Coastal Carolina's Offense Rating: -2.55  #136
Coastal Carolina's Defense Rating: 11.31  #89
2025 Talent Rating: 560.00  #105
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Coastal Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 6.4 - 5.6
Coastal Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5  #110
Coastal Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.3  #103
Coastal Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.7  #110

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Coastal Carolina: -13.86   South Alabama: -9.11

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Coastal Carolina: -10.5   South Alabama: -12.8




South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: -9.11  #111
South Alabama's Offense Rating: 5.70  #94
South Alabama's Defense Rating: 16.12  #116
2025 Talent Rating: 562.00  #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
South Alabama's 2025 Expected Record: 2.9 - 9.1
South Alabama's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.8  #118
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0  #96
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.3  #120

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Coastal Carolina Scoring
Offense: 22.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.3
Defense: 28.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 38

Coastal Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 3
Record vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
South Alabama 29
Coastal Carolina 26


Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
South Alabama 33
Coastal Carolina 28

Total Points: 61

Based on Entire Season
South Alabama 29
Coastal Carolina 26

Total Points: 55
South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 24.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 25
Defense: 29.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.6

South Alabama's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/20South Alabama20Coastal Carolina38South Alabama -14.5Coastal Carolina51.5Over
202111/26South Alabama21Coastal Carolina27Coastal Carolina -14.5South Alabama55.5Under
202011/07Coastal Carolina23South Alabama6Coastal Carolina -17Push56.5Under
201811/23South Alabama31Coastal Carolina28Coastal Carolina -1South Alabama58.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
South Alabama122 Overs
Coastal Carolina312 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 22 - 10 - 12 - 0
Road Teams2 - 21 - 20 - 21 - 0

(#124) CCU at (#111) USA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCCUUSA
Power RatePwr #124 #111
SP+SP+ #110 #118
Perf GradeGrade #116 #102
OffenseOff #125 #86
DefenseDef #89 #99
Spec TeamsST #42 #49
TalentTal #105 #103
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #101
Coastal Carolina Notes
(10/19) Great W @ App St, 2 straight to save a lost season
(10/19) Playing multiple QBs including Samari Collier, meh
(10/12) 312 yds passing total last 3 games, somehow 2-1
(9/21) Big W vs S Al, box score L, OG'd but forced 3 TOs
(9/17) QB Morris benched, QB1 Hudson no better
(9/17) Team looks on a rapid descent w/ little hope
(9/15) Off #'s are bottom 20, scored 20 pts in 3 games
(8/21) QB E. Brown out for season in fall camp
(8/1) Off looks bad on paper, Defense looks worse
(8/1) WR top 3 back, 5 portals, Hinton (FCS) shifty
(8/1) Def really bad LY, replacing most. 17 portals
(7/22) HC Beck meh, fired OC/DC LY. Bad 2nd year
Coastal Carolina Injury Report
South Alabama Notes
(10/15) HC Applewhite & staff on thin ice after 0-6 streak
(10/15) Strange trend, 7 pts 1Q, 0 2Q in past 3 games
(9/21) Off bad, Def worse. Flags, TO's, not buttoned up
(8/30) Meh W over Morgan, Davenport decent, Def ?
(8/1) Hit hard by portal, talent down TY, bowl is ?
(8/1) OL was decent LY, 4/5 back. 7 portals. Looks good
(7/13) QB1 Davenport likely, started 1, Pryon (GT) add
(5/23) New OC Petrino downgrade from Ezell (Wake)
(4/14) Losing QB Lopez (portal) huge blow, esp in spring
(3/24) RB Bullock a good one, lost Bothwell to MSU
(3/24) WR rebuild. Voisin/Eager have exp. Some depth
(3/24) Def was OK LY, 7 portal adds, replace a lot
South Alabama Injury Report
Coastal Carolina on Offense
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat
CCU OffUSA Def
Perf GradePerf #125 #99
SuccessSuc #115 #107
ExplosiveExp #88 #36
PPAPPA #115 #111
PowerPwr #136 #116
SP+SP+ #103 #120
Pts POPPO #66 #113
HavocHav #123 #101
Coastal Carolina Run Game
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat
CCU OffUSA Def
Run GameRun #110 #107
Run SuccessRSuc #61 #122
Run ExplRExp #54 #39
PPAExp #60 #113
Run BlockR Blk #48 -
OL YdsOLY #64 #120
Stuff RateStuff #62 #99
TackleTak -  #130
Coastal Carolina Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat
CCU OffUSA Def
Pass GamePass #134 #38
Pass SuccessPSuc #134 #67
Pass ExplPExl #19 #105
PPAExp #127 #102
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #49 #131
F7 HavocF7 #114 #102
DB HavocDB #101 #78
South Alabama on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 61%, Pass: 38%
CategoryCatUSA OffCCU Def
Perf GradePerf #86 #89
SuccessSuc #87 #64
ExplosiveExp #114 #106
PPAPPA #77 #85
PowerPwr #94 #89
SP+SP+ #96 #110
Pts POPPO #51 #29
HavocHav #29 #77
South Alabama Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 61%, Pass: 38%
CategoryCat
USA OffCCU Def
Run GameRun #8 #87
Run SuccessRSuc #76 #33
Run ExplRExp #64 #121
PPAExp #48 #65
Run BlockR Blk #124 -
OL YdsOLY #33 #90
Stuff RateStuff #24 #108
TackleTak -  #112
South Alabama Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 61%, Pass: 38%
CategoryCatUSA OffCCU Def
Pass GamePass #119 #84
Pass SuccessPSuc #104 #94
Pass ExplPExl #82 #57
PPAExp #94 #86
Pass Block/RushP Blk #77 #55
F7 HavocF7 #56 #80
DB HavocDB #17 #65
Program Comparison
USA 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

CCU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Hancock Whitney Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 82°
Rematch from Week 4
South Alabama -14.5 (51.5)
Coastal Carolina won at South Alabama this year (38-20)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
CCU's OC Drew Hollingshead (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tad Hudson5610354%447334.3
MJ Morris (Tr)356058%304145.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ja'Vin Simpkins7039825.746
Dominic Knicely5033626.759
Samari Collier5423754.439
Jevon Edwards3421116.243
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Bryson Graves2119719.424
Robby Washington (Tr)17173110.239
Malcolm Gillie (Tr)6156226.069
Cameron Wright12130110.824

View Coastal Carolina's Full Roster

CCU's DC Jeremiah Johnson (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ja'Marion Wayne (Tr)391006
Xamarion Gordon371004
Shane Bruce342000
Dre Pinckney321001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ezekiel Durham-Campbell (Tr)266571
Noah Arinze (Tr)203221
Ibrahim Diawara106220
Tray Brown317211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ja'Marion Wayne (Tr)391006
Xamarion Gordon371004
Fredd Adams70003

USA's OC Paul Petrino (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bishop Davenport15022766%16641257.3
Jared Hollins22100%5002.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kentrel Bullock16072984.624
Keenan Phillips8045215.754
PJ Martin6032625.438
Bishop Davenport8323152.856
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Voisin50654413.165
Jeremy Scott16312319.574
Anthony Eager2819917.134
Brendan Jenkins (Tr)9117113.030

View South Alabama's Full Roster

USA's DC Will Windham (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Blayne Myrick605022
Christopher Wallace Jr.593000
Darius McKenzie592010
Wesley Miller462001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nathan Jennings82200
Tyler Thomas143220
E'Mauri Smiley141110
Tirrell Johnson Jr.446131
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nehemiah Chandler (Tr)2520010
Ty Goodwill253006
Brian Dillard70004