Louisiana at South Alabama - 2025 Matchup Preview
Louisiana logo Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns at South Alabama JaguarsSouth Alabama logo
Saturday, November 1st 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Hancock Whitney Stadium - Mobile, AL  (Sun Belt)

 
Ragin' Cajuns (1 - 2) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Michael Desormeaux (23 - 17)
Avg Score : 19 - 25 (10 - 52 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 (#90)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
ULL 2nd straight Road Game
ULL is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: South Alabama -7   (SP+ USA -5)

Projected Score: ULL: 25 - USA: 32 (56)
USA Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
ULL Travel: 240 miles
Jaguars (1 - 2) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Major Applewhite (6 - 6)
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (35 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 5.4 (#69)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
 
Louisiana's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Louisiana vs Rice-14.549.5L 12 - 14UN
Sat 9/6 Louisiana vs McNeese-19.050.0W 34 - 10UY
Sat 9/13 Louisiana at Missouri+27.547.5L 10 - 52ON
Sat 9/20 Louisiana at Eastern Michigan-2.551.5
Sat 9/27 Louisiana vs Marshall-6
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Louisiana at James Madison+16
Sat 10/18 Louisiana vs Southern Miss+3
Sat 10/25 Louisiana at Troy+5.5
Sat 11/1 Louisiana at South Alabama+7
Sat 11/8 Louisiana vs Texas State+6
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/20 Louisiana at Arkansas State-3
Sat 11/29 Louisiana vs UL Monroe-12.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Louisiana's Schedule
South Alabama's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 South Alabama vs Morgan State-28.551.5W 38 - 21ON
Sat 9/6 South Alabama vs Tulane+13.551.5L 31 - 33OY
Sat 9/13 South Alabama at Auburn+26.556.5L 15 - 31UY
Sat 9/20 South Alabama vs Coastal Carolina-14.550.5
Sat 9/27 South Alabama at North Texas+13
Sat 10/4 South Alabama at Troy+1
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14 South Alabama vs Arkansas State-12.5
Thu 10/23 South Alabama at Georgia State-12.5
Sat 11/1 South Alabama vs Louisiana-7
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 South Alabama at UL Monroe-12
Sat 11/22 South Alabama vs Southern Miss-2
Sat 11/29 South Alabama at Texas State+6.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for South Alabama's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ULL#104 (.1)35% (125)18.746% (59)3.05 (62)19423% (133)593.57 (93)#88 (.17)48% (119)25.352% (127)43% (92)4.06 (92)43.70.71
USA#64 (.22)44% (61)2844% (69)3.29 (37)17444% (64)1924.3 (52)#109 (.23)47% (117)28.351% (122)41% (76)5.38 (130)31.71.71.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ULL#16 (.3)45% (47)42% (91)3.24 (35)15947% (17)2424.27 (32)#97 (.22)48% (126)53% (133)44% (105)4.43 (121)44.50.61.4
USA#5 (.34)50% (9)53% (4)3.57 (6)19947% (18)2434.66 (13)#58 (.15)41% (58)39% (28)43% (96)3.66 (56)70.80.91.5



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ULL Offense318.71035.4%3.570.71525419459656%43%46%23%20%.1
USA Defense328.32746.9%5.381.7 - - - - - 60%40%51%41%16%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ULL Defense325.35248.2%4.061 - - - - - 62%37%52%43%10%.17
USA Offense32834.544.2%4.31.7213661741924.264%36%44%44%13%.22

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Louisiana325:001532%40%643.70.714.31.7026.6
South Alabama327:4620.736%60%531.71.71.75.71.7029.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ULL Offense356% (34)46% (59)32.7194.365 (62).33 (26)3.05 (62)38% (135)15% (130)1.37 (13)
USA Defense360% (122)51% (122) - - - - .21 (111)3.12 (105)94% (125)10% (61)0.92 (68)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ULL Defense362% (127)52% (127) - - - - .24 (115)3.16 (108)78% (100)8% (98)0.99 (80)
USA Offense364% (9)44% (69)41.3174.34.25 (62).13 (71)3.29 (37)78% (41)10% (93)0.91 (85)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ULL Offense343% (102)23% (133)8.721.359.32.86.91 (123)1 (23)-.2 (134)0.9 (136)35% (113)27% (97).23 (95)5% (68)1.8 (99)
USA Defense340% (15)41% (76) - - - - - - 1 (87).26 (88)1.4 (39)30% (92)32% (90).27 (70)6% (66)1.7 (38)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ULL Defense337% (9)43% (92) - - - - - - 2 (56).18 (59)1.2 (19)25% (129)26% (48).13 (37)3% (131)1.6 (26)
USA Offense336% (127)44% (64)1621.7191.78.9126 (34)1 (23).37 (53)1.7 (23)26% (32)30% (81).28 (83)3% (31)2.1 (54)

Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: -11.49 #108
Louisiana's Offense Rating: 6.10 #98
Louisiana's Defense Rating: 17.58 #110
2025 Talent Rating: 568.00 #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Louisiana's 2025 Expected Record: 5.4 - 6.6
Louisiana's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.7 #94
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #103
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #95

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisiana: -11.49   South Alabama: -3.03

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisiana: -8.7   South Alabama: -3.3




South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: -3.03 #101
South Alabama's Offense Rating: 11.42 #76
South Alabama's Defense Rating: 19.18 #114
2025 Talent Rating: 562.00 #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
South Alabama's 2025 Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4
South Alabama's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.3 #79
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #72
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #93

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 18.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 10
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 52

Louisiana's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
South Alabama 32
Louisiana 25


Total Points: 56

South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 28 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.5
Defense: 28.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 27

South Alabama's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/16Louisiana22South Alabama24South AlabamaLouisiana -6.5South Alabama60.0Under
202310/28South Alabama20Louisiana33LouisianaSouth Alabama -11.5Louisiana55.0Under
202210/01Louisiana17South Alabama20South AlabamaSouth Alabama -8.5Louisiana47.0Under
202110/02South Alabama18Louisiana20LouisianaLouisiana -12South Alabama52.5Under
202011/14Louisiana38South Alabama10LouisianaLouisiana -14Louisiana53.0Under
201911/16South Alabama27Louisiana37LouisianaLouisiana -27.5South Alabama52.5Over
201811/17Louisiana48South Alabama38LouisianaLouisiana -19South Alabama66.0Over
201711/04South Alabama14Louisiana19LouisianaSouth Alabama -6Louisiana51.5Under
201609/17Louisiana28South Alabama23LouisianaLouisiana -3.5Louisiana53.0Under
201511/12South Alabama32Louisiana25South AlabamaLouisiana -1.5South Alabama57.0Push
201411/01Louisiana19South Alabama9LouisianaLouisiana -7Louisiana57.0Under
201312/07South Alabama30Louisiana8South AlabamaSouth Alabama -1.5South Alabama0
201211/24Louisiana52South Alabama30Louisiana
TeamWinsCoversO/U
South Alabama462 Overs
Louisiana968 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 68 - 44 - 44 - 0
Road Teams6 - 74 - 80 - 44 - 4

(#108) Louisiana Info
Power Rating: -11.49 #108
Offense Rating: 6.10 #98
Defense Rating: 17.58 #110
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.7 #94
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #103
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #95
Talent Rating: 568.00 #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Expected Record: 5.4 - 6.6

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 43%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.57 PPO
Avg Run Success 46%
Awful Pass Success 23%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.06 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 52%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Louisiana has lost 6 straight
Louisiana has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Louisiana Notes
(9/4) QB Walker Howard likely out for the season
(9/4) 4 straight years starting QB has been injured
(8/30) Offense awful in bad L to Rice, Howard terrible
(8/28) Don't love HC Desormeaux so far
(8/19) QB1 Walker Howard named starter Aug 19th
(8/1) Off has great potential, but slow & methodical
(8/1) Pot. co favs in SB West, but Def must improve
(8/1) QB W Howard (Miss) huge pickup, 5* croot.
(8/1) Def real bad LY, replacing a ton, 1 portal?
(7/13) Little return but only 5 portals. Trust depth

Louisiana Highlights
Louisiana defense does not give up big plays (#26)
Louisiana has a great TO Margin (#28)

Louisiana Deficiencies
Louisiana has a really bad Offense
Louisiana offense is really bad (#125)
Louisiana Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#101)
Louisiana pass game is really bad (#133)
Louisiana offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Louisiana has a bad defense (#119)
Louisiana Does Not Stuff Runs (#106)
Louisiana has a bad defensive line (#108)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatUSAULL
OverallOver#82#106
OffenseOff#72#103
DefenseDef#90#100
Special TeamsST#61#115
PassingPass#69#112
RushingRush#32#24
Run BlockRBLK#97#36
Pass BlockPBLK#105#83
Route RunningWR Rt#33#107
TacklingTkl#117#103
Run DefenseR Def#104#102
Pass Rush DefPRush#89#62
Coverage DefCov#48#71

Previous Matchups
South Alabama beat Louisiana last year (24-22)
Louisiana beat South Alabama in 2023 (33-20)
South Alabama beat Louisiana in 2022 (20-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Hancock Whitney Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ULL | USA
Depth Chart: ULL | USA
Rosters: ULL | USA
(#101) South Alabama Info
Power Rating: -3.03 #101
Offense Rating: 11.42 #76
Defense Rating: 19.18 #114
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.3 #79
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #72
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #93
Talent Rating: 562.00 #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 36%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.3 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Poor OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.38 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

South Alabama has lost 7 straight
South Alabama has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 1 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

South Alabama Notes
(8/30) Meh W over Morgan, Davenport decent, Def ?
(8/1) Running more of a balanced, pro style offense
(8/1) Hit hard by portal, talent down TY, bowl is ?
(8/1) OL was decent LY, 4/5 back. 7 portals. Looks good
(7/13) QB1 Davenport likely, started 1, Pryon (GT) add
(5/23) New OC Petrino downgrade from Ezell (Wake)
(4/14) Losing QB Lopez (portal) huge blow, esp in spring
(3/24) RB Bullock a good one, lost Bothwell to MSU
(3/24) WR rebuild. Voisin/Eager have exp. Some depth
(3/24) Def was OK LY, 7 portal adds, replace a lot

South Alabama Highlights
South Alabama is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs

South Alabama does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#26)

South Alabama defense does not give up big plays (#28)

South Alabama Deficiencies
South Alabama has a bad TO Margin (#107)
South Alabama Fumbles a Lot (#128)
South Alabama has a bad defense (#117)
South Alabama has a bad defensive line (#105)
South Alabama has a bad red zone defense (#130)


  
Louisiana's OC Tim Leger
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Daniel Beale153642%91102.5
Walker Howard (Tr)102246%88014.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Zylan Perry3022617.584
Bill Davis3619125.336
Steven Blanco1310017.734
Walker Howard (Tr)94715.225
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Shelton Sampson Jr. (Tr)563012.625
Kedarius Wade225012.519
Caden Jensen51803.65
Robert Williams21809.09

View Louisiana's Full Roster
Louisiana's DC Jim Salgado
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaden Dugger243100
Terrence Williams212100
Jake St. Andre151000
Tyree Skipper140001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaden Dugger243100
Caleb Kibodi111100
Jaelen Crider41100
Trae Tomlinson (Tr)81110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brent Gordon Jr.80001
Tyree Skipper140001
Jalen Clark121001

South Alabama's OC Paul Petrino
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bishop Davenport476473%567618.9
Jared Hollins11100%8008.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kentrel Bullock6329134.620
PJ Martin228814.016
Bishop Davenport227913.616
Keenan Phillips155803.912
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Voisin19266414.065
Anthony Eager1211519.634
Jeremy Scott574114.834
Miller McCrumby (Tr)561012.232

View South Alabama's Full Roster
South Alabama's DC Will Windham
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caleb Dozier (Tr)200000
Darius McKenzie190000
Christopher Wallace Jr.173000
Wesley Miller170001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nathan Jennings22200
Tirrell Johnson Jr.114100
Dominic Wiseman31100
E'Mauri Smiley51100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ty Goodwill142005
Nehemiah Chandler (Tr)70003
Wesley Miller170001