Louisiana at South Alabama - 2025 Matchup Preview

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns at South Alabama Jaguars

Saturday, November 1st 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
South Alabama -3.5 (52.5) (-180) Open: -4.5
Louisiana 31 - South Alabama: 22 (Sun Belt)

Ragin' Cajuns (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Michael Desormeaux (23 - 17)
Avg Score : 26 - 29 (24 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 6.5 (#75)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)

ULL 2nd straight Road Game
ULL is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: South Alabama -1 (SP+ ULL -3)
Projected Score: ULL: 25 - USA: 26 (52)
USA Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
ULL Travel: 240 miles

Jaguars (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Major Applewhite (6 - 6)
Avg Score : 27 - 30 (28 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)

Matchup
Schedules
ULL Players
USA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Louisiana's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Louisiana vs Rice	-14.5	49.5	L 12 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/6	Louisiana vs McNeese	-19.0	50.0	W 34 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/13	Louisiana at Missouri	+27.5	47.5	L 10 - 52	O	N
Sat 9/20	Louisiana at Eastern Michigan	-2.5	51.5	L 31 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/27	Louisiana vs Marshall	+2.5	47.5	W 54 - 51	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11	Louisiana at James Madison	+18.5	44.5	L 14 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/18	Louisiana vs Southern Miss	+4.5	54.5	L 10 - 22	U	N
Sat 10/25	Louisiana at Troy	+7.0	47.5	L 23 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/1	Louisiana at South Alabama	+3.5	52.5	W 31 - 22	O	Y
Sat 11/8	Louisiana vs Texas State	+3.5	62.5	W 42 - 39	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/20	Louisiana at Arkansas State	+2.5	54.5	W 34 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/29	Louisiana vs UL Monroe	-10.5	47.5	W 30 - 27	O	N
Wed 12/17	Louisiana vs Delaware	-1.5	60.5	L 13 - 20	U	N

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 3

Predictions for Louisiana's Schedule

South Alabama's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	South Alabama vs Morgan State	-28.5	51.5	W 38 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/6	South Alabama vs Tulane	+13.5	51.5	L 31 - 33	O	Y
Sat 9/13	South Alabama at Auburn	+26.5	56.5	L 15 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/20	South Alabama vs Coastal Carolina	-14.5	51.5	L 20 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/27	South Alabama at North Texas	+13.5	63.5	L 22 - 36	U	N
Sat 10/4	South Alabama at Troy	-2.5	46.5	L 24 - 31	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14	South Alabama vs Arkansas State	-8.5	57.5	L 14 - 15	U	N
Thu 10/23	South Alabama at Georgia State	-5.5	54.5	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/1	South Alabama vs Louisiana	-3.5	52.5	L 22 - 31	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	South Alabama at UL Monroe	-4.0	49.5	W 26 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/22	South Alabama vs Southern Miss	+2.5	53.0	W 42 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/29	South Alabama at Texas State	+9.5	62.5	L 26 - 49	O	N

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 3

Predictions for South Alabama's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULL	#101 (.12)	39% (109)	26	42% (84)	2.9 (76)	183	35% (128)	161	3.45 (93)	#90 (.19)	46% (124)	29.2	48% (126)	45% (109)	3.33 (39)	46.5	1.5	1.4
USA	#80 (.16)	42% (83)	26.5	43% (77)	3.03 (55)	201	40% (94)	181	4.01 (40)	#117 (.24)	43% (88)	30.4	47% (117)	40% (47)	4.35 (127)	54.9	1	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULL	#16 (.3)	45% (47)		42% (91)	3.24 (35)	159	47% (17)	242	4.27 (32)	#97 (.22)	48% (126)		53% (133)	44% (105)	4.43 (121)	44.5	0.6	1.4
USA	#5 (.34)	50% (9)		53% (4)	3.57 (6)	199	47% (18)	243	4.66 (13)	#58 (.15)	41% (58)		39% (28)	43% (96)	3.66 (56)	70.8	0.9	1.5

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULL Offense	13	26	23.8	38.7%	3.45	1.5	19	344	183	161	4.6	57%	41%	42%	35%	16%	.12
USA Defense	12	30.4	28.8	43.2%	4.35	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	54%	44%	47%	40%	15%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULL Defense	13	29.2	32.8	46.1%	3.33	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	48%	45%	14%	.19
USA Offense	12	26.5	27.8	41.5%	4.01	1	21	382	201	181	4.6	60%	38%	43%	40%	13%	.16

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Louisiana	13	29:58	18.9	41%	55%	5.9	46.5	1.5	1.4	4.5	1.7	2	27.6
South Alabama	12	31:08	20.6	43%	54%	6.5	54.9	1	1.3	4.7	1	0	28.6

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULL Offense	13	57% (22)	42% (84)	39.6	182.9	4.6	26 (40)	.13 (62)	2.9 (76)	71% (75)	11% (110)	0.99 (58)
USA Defense	12	54% (119)	47% (117)	-	-	-	-	.18 (111)	3.15 (109)	91% (136)	8% (108)	0.92 (51)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULL Defense	13	53% (109)	48% (126)	-	-	-	-	.18 (115)	3.29 (126)	73% (80)	9% (103)	0.99 (89)
USA Offense	12	60% (10)	43% (77)	44.3	201.2	4.6	30 (60)	.14 (59)	3.03 (55)	76% (40)	9% (54)	1.02 (50)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULL Offense	13	41% (120)	35% (128)	14.4	26.2	161.2	6.1	11.2	12 (121)	14 (119)	.15 (115)	1.6 (45)	33% (108)	26% (110)	.21 (102)	5% (44)	1.9 (108)
USA Defense	12	44% (19)	40% (47)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (100)	.34 (113)	1.8 (129)	33% (40)	29% (63)	.37 (105)	6% (59)	2.3 (129)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULL Defense	13	45% (29)	45% (109)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (55)	.27 (81)	1.5 (32)	26% (133)	28% (44)	.31 (75)	5% (104)	2.3 (133)
USA Offense	12	38% (125)	40% (94)	17.7	25.8	181.1	7	10.3	13 (86)	6 (34)	.23 (80)	1.5 (81)	31% (56)	27% (102)	.28 (73)	4% (19)	2.1 (32)

Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: -12.00 #120
Louisiana's Offense Rating: 2.57 #110
Louisiana's Defense Rating: 14.57 #109
2025 Talent Rating: 568.00 #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Louisiana's 2025 Expected Record: 6.5 - 6.5
Louisiana's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.7 #100
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #75
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #116

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisiana: -12.00 South Alabama: -9.42

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisiana: -8.7 South Alabama: -11.9

South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: -9.42 #119
South Alabama's Offense Rating: 5.24 #89
South Alabama's Defense Rating: 17.18 #119
2025 Talent Rating: 562.00 #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
South Alabama's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
South Alabama's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.9 #113
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #80
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.6 #126

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.8
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Louisiana's 2025 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
South Alabama 26
Louisiana 25

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
South Alabama 25
Louisiana 22

Total Points: 47

Based on Entire Season
South Alabama 29
Louisiana 27

Total Points: 56

South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 26.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.8
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.8

South Alabama's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/01	South Alabama	22	Louisiana	31	South Alabama -3.5	Louisiana	52.5	Over
2024	11/16	Louisiana	22	South Alabama	24	Louisiana -6.5	South Alabama	60.0	Under
2023	10/28	South Alabama	20	Louisiana	33	South Alabama -11.5	Louisiana	55.0	Under
2022	10/01	Louisiana	17	South Alabama	20	South Alabama -8.5	Louisiana	47.0	Under
2021	10/02	South Alabama	18	Louisiana	20	Louisiana -12	South Alabama	52.5	Under
2020	11/14	Louisiana	38	South Alabama	10	Louisiana -14	Louisiana	53.0	Under
2019	11/16	South Alabama	27	Louisiana	37	Louisiana -27.5	South Alabama	52.5	Over
2018	11/17	Louisiana	48	South Alabama	38	Louisiana -19	South Alabama	66.0	Over
2017	11/04	South Alabama	14	Louisiana	19	South Alabama -6	Louisiana	51.5	Under
2016	09/17	Louisiana	28	South Alabama	23	Louisiana -3.5	Louisiana	53.0	Under
2015	11/12	South Alabama	32	Louisiana	25	Louisiana -1.5	South Alabama	57.0	Push
2014	11/01	Louisiana	19	South Alabama	9	Louisiana -7	Louisiana	57.0	Under
2013	12/07	South Alabama	30	Louisiana	8	South Alabama -1.5	South Alabama	0
2012	11/24	Louisiana	52	South Alabama	30

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
South Alabama	4	6	3 Overs
Louisiana	10	7	8 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 7	8 - 5	4 - 5	4 - 0
Road Teams	7 - 7	5 - 8	0 - 4	5 - 4

(#120) ULL at (#119) USA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ULL	USA
Power RatePwr	#120	#119
SP+SP+	#100	#113
Perf GradeGrade	#121	#101
OffenseOff	#120	#88
DefenseDef	#113	#96
Spec TeamsST	#116	#61
TalentTal	#102	#103
Blue ChipsBC%	#88	#101

Louisiana Notes(11/21) Was 2-6, won 3 straight to stay in bowl fight
(11/20) QB Lunch Winfield a find. Program changer?
(10/19) 1-4 run, can't Pass and teams know it. Killing Off
(9/20) Def allowed 400 yds to EMU? WTF the deal here?
(9/20) Pass Off bottom 10 in CFB, Def is awful.
(9/4) QB Daniel Beale (rFr) now starter this year
(9/4) QB Walker Howard likely out for the season
(9/4) 4 straight years starting QB has been injured
(8/30) Offense awful in bad L to Rice, Howard terrible
(8/28) Don't love HC Desormeaux so far
(8/19) QB1 Walker Howard named starter Aug 19th
(8/1) Off has great potential, but slow & methodical
Louisiana Injury Report

South Alabama Notes(10/15) HC Applewhite & staff on thin ice after 0-6 streak
(10/15) Strange trend, 7 pts 1Q, 0 2Q in past 3 games
(9/21) Off bad, Def worse. Flags, TO's, not buttoned up
(8/30) Meh W over Morgan, Davenport decent, Def ?
(8/1) Hit hard by portal, talent down TY, bowl is ?
(8/1) OL was decent LY, 4/5 back. 7 portals. Looks good
(7/13) QB1 Davenport likely, started 1, Pryon (GT) add
(5/23) New OC Petrino downgrade from Ezell (Wake)
(4/14) Losing QB Lopez (portal) huge blow, esp in spring
(3/24) RB Bullock a good one, lost Bothwell to MSU
(3/24) WR rebuild. Voisin/Eager have exp. Some depth
(3/24) Def was OK LY, 7 portal adds, replace a lot
South Alabama Injury Report

Louisiana on Offense

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	ULL Off	USA Def
Perf GradePerf	#120	#96
SuccessSuc	#109	#88
ExplosiveExp	#93	#72
PPAPPA	#101	#117
PowerPwr	#110	#119
SP+SP+	#75	#126
Pts POPPO	#93	#127
HavocHav	#79	#94

Louisiana Run Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	ULL Off	USA Def
Run GameRun	#70	#112
Run SuccessRSuc	#84	#117
Run ExplRExp	#58	#51
PPAExp	#62	#111
Run BlockR Blk	#68	-
OL YdsOLY	#76	#109
Stuff RateStuff	#108	#102
TackleTak	-	#129

Louisiana Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	ULL Off	USA Def
Pass GamePass	#126	#31
Pass SuccessPSuc	#128	#47
Pass ExplPExl	#45	#129
PPAExp	#115	#113
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#92	#130
F7 HavocF7	#110	#108
DB HavocDB	#44	#59

South Alabama on Offense

Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 38%
CategoryCat	USA Off	ULL Def
Perf GradePerf	#88	#113
SuccessSuc	#83	#124
ExplosiveExp	#94	#37
PPAPPA	#80	#90
PowerPwr	#89	#109
SP+SP+	#80	#116
Pts POPPO	#40	#39
HavocHav	#30	#111

South Alabama Run Game

Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 38%
CategoryCat	USA Off	ULL Def
Run GameRun	#10	#111
Run SuccessRSuc	#77	#126
Run ExplRExp	#50	#89
PPAExp	#59	#115
Run BlockR Blk	#133	-
OL YdsOLY	#55	#126
Stuff RateStuff	#26	#106
TackleTak	-	#90

South Alabama Pass Game

Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 38%
CategoryCat	USA Off	ULL Def
Pass GamePass	#107	#85
Pass SuccessPSuc	#94	#109
Pass ExplPExl	#81	#32
PPAExp	#80	#81
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#51	#112
F7 HavocF7	#54	#103
DB HavocDB	#19	#104

Program Comparison
USA 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

ULL 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Hancock Whitney Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 70°

Rematch from Week 10
South Alabama -3.5 (52.5)
Louisiana won at South Alabama this year (31-22)

Previous Matchups
South Alabama beat Louisiana last year (24-22)
Louisiana beat South Alabama in 2023 (33-20)
South Alabama beat Louisiana in 2022 (20-17)

ULL's OC Tim Leger (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
D'Wayne' Winfield	127	215	59%	1555	11	7	7.2
Daniel Beale	42	84	50%	385	1	4	4.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Bill Davis	158	763	6	4.8	76
Zylan Perry	138	689	8	5.0	84
D'Wayne' Winfield	152	667	9	4.4	42
Steven Blanco	30	156	2	5.2	34

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Shelton Sampson Jr. (Tr)	32	537	6	16.8	45
Robert Williams	25	309	0	12.4	44
Charles Robertson	15	250	1	16.7	45
Caden Jensen	29	231	1	8.0	40

View Louisiana's Full Roster

ULL's DC Jim Salgado (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaden Dugger	124	13	4	1	3
Terrence Williams	95	3	1	0	0
Brent Gordon Jr.	62	1	0	1	11
Tyree Skipper	55	1	1	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Lawson	52	15	5	9	1
Jaden Dugger	124	13	4	1	3
Jaelen Crider	25	4	3	1	1
Cameron Whitfield	30	2	1	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brent Gordon Jr.	62	1	0	1	11
Courtline Flowers	48	3	1	0	4
Jaden Dugger	124	13	4	1	3

USA's OC Paul Petrino (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Bishop Davenport	200	294	68%	2072	12	6	7.0
Jared Hollins	12	16	75%	101	1	0	6.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kentrel Bullock	218	1085	14	5.0	64
Keenan Phillips	126	622	3	4.9	54
Bishop Davenport	116	326	9	2.8	56
PJ Martin	60	326	2	5.4	38

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Devin Voisin	67	775	4	11.6	65
Jeremy Scott	24	417	4	17.4	74
Anthony Eager	40	339	1	8.5	48
Miller McCrumby (Tr)	15	128	0	8.5	32

View South Alabama's Full Roster

USA's DC Will Windham (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Blayne Myrick	84	6	0	3	3
Christopher Wallace Jr.	73	4	0	0	0
Darius McKenzie	71	4	1	1	1
Tirrell Johnson Jr.	54	6	1	3	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Tyler Thomas	16	3	2	2
Nathan Jennings	13	2	2	0
E'Mauri Smiley	15	1	1	1
Emmanuel Waller (Tr)	14	3	1	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Nehemiah Chandler (Tr)	31	3	13
Ty Goodwill	35	5	7
Jayvon Henderson (Tr)	27	2	5