Louisiana at South Alabama - 2025 Matchup Preview
Louisiana logo   Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns at South Alabama Jaguars  South Alabama logo
Saturday, November 1st 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
South Alabama -3.5 (52.5) (-180)  Open: -4.5
Louisiana 31 - South Alabama: 22  (Sun Belt)

 
Ragin' Cajuns (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Michael Desormeaux (23 - 17)
Avg Score : 26 - 29 (24 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 6.5 (#75)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
ULL 2nd straight Road Game
ULL is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: South Alabama -2  (SP+ ULL -2.5)

Projected Score: ULL: 26 - USA: 28 (54)
USA Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
ULL Travel: 732 miles
Jaguars (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Major Applewhite (6 - 6)
Avg Score : 27 - 30 (28 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
 
Louisiana's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Louisiana vs Rice-14.549.5L 12 - 14UN
Sat 9/6 Louisiana vs McNeese-19.050.0W 34 - 10UY
Sat 9/13 Louisiana at Missouri+27.547.5L 10 - 52ON
Sat 9/20 Louisiana at Eastern Michigan-2.551.5L 31 - 34ON
Sat 9/27 Louisiana vs Marshall+2.547.5W 54 - 51OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Louisiana at James Madison+18.544.5L 14 - 24UY
Sat 10/18 Louisiana vs Southern Miss+4.554.5L 10 - 22UN
Sat 10/25 Louisiana at Troy+7.047.5L 23 - 35ON
Sat 11/1 Louisiana at South Alabama+3.552.5W 31 - 22OY
Sat 11/8 Louisiana vs Texas State+3.562.5W 42 - 39OY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/20 Louisiana at Arkansas State+2.554.5W 34 - 30OY
Sat 11/29 Louisiana vs UL Monroe-10.547.5W 30 - 27ON
Wed 12/17 Louisiana vs Delaware-1.560.5L 13 - 20UN

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 3

Predictions for Louisiana's Schedule
South Alabama's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 South Alabama vs Morgan State-28.551.5W 38 - 21ON
Sat 9/6 South Alabama vs Tulane+13.551.5L 31 - 33OY
Sat 9/13 South Alabama at Auburn+26.556.5L 15 - 31UY
Sat 9/20 South Alabama vs Coastal Carolina-14.551.5L 20 - 38ON
Sat 9/27 South Alabama at North Texas+13.563.5L 22 - 36UN
Sat 10/4 South Alabama at Troy-2.546.5L 24 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14 South Alabama vs Arkansas State-8.557.5L 14 - 15UN
Thu 10/23 South Alabama at Georgia State-5.554.5W 38 - 31OY
Sat 11/1 South Alabama vs Louisiana-3.552.5L 22 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 South Alabama at UL Monroe-4.049.5W 26 - 14UY
Sat 11/22 South Alabama vs Southern Miss+2.553.0W 42 - 35OY
Sat 11/29 South Alabama at Texas State+9.562.5L 26 - 49ON

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 3

Predictions for South Alabama's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ULL#16 (.3)45% (47)2642% (91)3.24 (35)15947% (17)2424.27 (32)#97 (.22)48% (126)29.253% (133)44% (105)4.43 (121)44.50.61.4
USA#5 (.34)50% (9)26.553% (4)3.57 (6)19947% (18)2434.66 (13)#58 (.15)41% (58)30.439% (28)43% (96)3.66 (56)70.80.91.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ULL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ULL Offense142623.844.5%4.270.620401159242553%47%42%47%11%.3
USA Defense1330.428.840.9%3.661.5 - - - - - 48%52%39%43%16%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ULL Defense1429.232.848.4%4.431.4 - - - - - 50%50%53%44%13%.22
USA Offense1326.527.849.8%4.660.9224421992435.851%49%53%47%14%.34

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Louisiana1429:1219.743%64%5.444.50.61.43.91.5228.5
South Alabama1329:2021.539%68%8.270.80.91.55.61.6429.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ULL Offense1453% (52)42% (91)31.6158.9526 (36).2 (33)3.24 (35)76% (44)6% (6)1.07 (31)
USA Defense1348% (38)39% (28) - - - - .09 (53)2.78 (32)71% (51)10% (78)1.05 (98)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ULL Defense1450% (61)53% (133) - - - - .24 (121)3.36 (118)82% (116)7% (125)0.87 (18)
USA Offense1351% (67)53% (4)34.1199.25.832 (14).33 (3)3.57 (6)82% (12)10% (79)1.06 (40)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ULL Offense1447% (80)47% (17)18.427.5241.98.813.122 (46)7 (26).41 (10)1.6 (50)28% (17)29% (97).39 (48)5% (29)2.3 (9)
USA Defense1352% (98)43% (96) - - - - - - 16 (10).24 (73)1.5 (32)32% (69)30% (55).15 (8)6% (59)1.7 (5)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ULL Defense1450% (77)44% (105) - - - - - - 15 (18).21 (53)1.4 (11)28% (121)34% (108).33 (84)5% (97)1.9 (33)
USA Offense1349% (68)47% (18)19.530243.28.112.521 (51)6 (10).36 (27)1.5 (101)29% (27)33% (49).48 (15)4% (14)2.2 (14)

Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: -13.69  #114
Louisiana's Offense Rating: 5.81  #115
Louisiana's Defense Rating: 19.50  #104
2025 Talent Rating: 568.00  #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 1%  #88
Louisiana's 2025 Expected Record: 6.5 - 6.5
Louisiana's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.1  #105
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.3  #84
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.0  #113

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 564.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisiana: -13.69   South Alabama: -9.705

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisiana: -10.1   South Alabama: -12.7




South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: -9.705  #109
South Alabama's Offense Rating: 9.74  #89
South Alabama's Defense Rating: 21.45  #119
2025 Talent Rating: 562.00  #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
South Alabama's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
South Alabama's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.7  #114
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.4  #82
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.0  #125

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 564.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.8
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Louisiana's 2025 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
South Alabama 28
Louisiana 26


Projected Total Points: 54
South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 26.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.8
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.8

South Alabama's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/01South Alabama22Louisiana31South Alabama -3.5Louisiana52.5Over
202411/16Louisiana22South Alabama24Louisiana -6.5South Alabama60.0Under
202310/28South Alabama20Louisiana33South Alabama -11.5Louisiana55.0Under
202210/01Louisiana17South Alabama20South Alabama -8.5Louisiana47.0Under
202110/02South Alabama18Louisiana20Louisiana -12South Alabama52.5Under
202011/14Louisiana38South Alabama10Louisiana -14Louisiana53.0Under
201911/16South Alabama27Louisiana37Louisiana -27.5South Alabama52.5Over
201811/17Louisiana48South Alabama38Louisiana -19South Alabama66.0Over
201711/04South Alabama14Louisiana19South Alabama -6Louisiana51.5Under
201609/17Louisiana28South Alabama23Louisiana -3.5Louisiana53.0Under
201511/12South Alabama32Louisiana25Louisiana -1.5South Alabama57.0Push
201411/01Louisiana19South Alabama9Louisiana -7Louisiana57.0Under
201312/07South Alabama30Louisiana8South Alabama -1.5South Alabama0
201211/24Louisiana52South Alabama30
TeamWinsCoversO/U
South Alabama463 Overs
Louisiana1078 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 78 - 54 - 54 - 0
Road Teams7 - 75 - 80 - 45 - 4

(#114) ULL at (#109) USA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatULLUSA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #114 #109
SP+SP+ #105 #114
Perf GradeGrade #111 #110
OffenseOff #116 #92
DefenseDef #102 #112
Spec TeamsST #67 #94
TalentTal #102 #103
Blue ChipsBC% #88 #101
Louisiana Notes
(11/21) Was 2-6, won 3 straight to stay in bowl fight
(11/20) QB Lunch Winfield a find. Program changer?
(10/19) 1-4 run, can't Pass and teams know it. Killing Off
(9/20) Def allowed 400 yds to EMU? WTF the deal here?
(9/20) Pass Off bottom 10 in CFB, Def is awful.
(9/4) QB Daniel Beale (rFr) now starter this year
(9/4) QB Walker Howard likely out for the season
(9/4) 4 straight years starting QB has been injured
(8/30) Offense awful in bad L to Rice, Howard terrible
(8/28) Don't love HC Desormeaux so far
(8/19) QB1 Walker Howard named starter Aug 19th
(8/1) Off has great potential, but slow & methodical
Louisiana Injury Report
South Alabama Notes
(10/15) HC Applewhite & staff on thin ice after 0-6 streak
(10/15) Strange trend, 7 pts 1Q, 0 2Q in past 3 games
(9/21) Off bad, Def worse. Flags, TO's, not buttoned up
(8/30) Meh W over Morgan, Davenport decent, Def ?
(8/1) Hit hard by portal, talent down TY, bowl is ?
(8/1) OL was decent LY, 4/5 back. 7 portals. Looks good
(7/13) QB1 Davenport likely, started 1, Pryon (GT) add
(5/23) New OC Petrino downgrade from Ezell (Wake)
(4/14) Losing QB Lopez (portal) huge blow, esp in spring
(3/24) RB Bullock a good one, lost Bothwell to MSU
(3/24) WR rebuild. Voisin/Eager have exp. Some depth
(3/24) Def was OK LY, 7 portal adds, replace a lot
South Alabama Injury Report
Louisiana on Offense
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat
ULL OffUSA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #116 #112
SuccessSuc #47 #58
ExplosiveExp #25 #80
PPAPPA #16 #58
PowerPwr #115 #119
SP+SP+ #84 #125
Pts POPPO #32 #56
HavocHav #10 #70
Louisiana Run Game
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat
ULL OffUSA Def
Run GameRun #80 #131
Run SuccessRSuc #91 #28
Run ExplRExp #31 #98
PPAExp #33 #53
Run BlockR Blk #51 -
OL YdsOLY #35 #32
Stuff RateStuff #50 #85
TackleTak -  #124
Louisiana Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat
ULL OffUSA Def
Pass GamePass #123 #46
Pass SuccessPSuc #17 #96
Pass ExplPExl #50 #32
PPAExp #10 #73
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #100 #131
F7 HavocF7 #6 #78
DB HavocDB #29 #59
South Alabama on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 38%
CategoryCatUSA OffULL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #92 #102
SuccessSuc #9 #126
ExplosiveExp #76 #7
PPAPPA #5 #97
PowerPwr #89 #104
SP+SP+ #82 #113
Pts POPPO #13 #121
HavocHav #39 #121
South Alabama Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 38%
CategoryCat
USA OffULL Def
Run GameRun #6 #112
Run SuccessRSuc #4 #133
Run ExplRExp #40 #18
PPAExp #3 #121
Run BlockR Blk #135 -
OL YdsOLY #6 #118
Stuff RateStuff #18 #107
TackleTak -  #94
South Alabama Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 38%
CategoryCatUSA OffULL Def
Pass GamePass #113 #67
Pass SuccessPSuc #18 #105
Pass ExplPExl #101 #11
PPAExp #27 #53
Pass Block/RushP Blk #78 #106
F7 HavocF7 #79 #125
DB HavocDB #14 #97
Program Comparison
USA 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

ULL 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Hancock Whitney Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 10
South Alabama -3.5 (52.5)
Louisiana won at South Alabama this year (31-22)

Previous Matchups
Louisiana beat South Alabama last year (31-22)
South Alabama beat Louisiana in 2024 (24-22)
Louisiana beat South Alabama in 2023 (33-20)

  
ULL's OC Tim Leger (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
D'Wayne' Winfield12721659%15551177.2
Daniel Beale428450%385144.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bill Davis15876364.876
Zylan Perry13868985.084
D'Wayne' Winfield15266794.442
Steven Blanco3015625.234
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Shelton Sampson Jr. (Tr)32537616.845
Robert Williams25309012.444
Charles Robertson15250116.745
Caden Jensen2923118.040

View Louisiana's Full Roster

ULL's DC Jim Salgado (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaden Dugger12413413
Terrence Williams953100
Brent Gordon Jr.6210111
Tyree Skipper551102
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Lawson5215591
Jaden Dugger12413413
Jaelen Crider254311
Cameron Whitfield302130
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brent Gordon Jr.6210111
Courtline Flowers483104
Jaden Dugger12413413

USA's OC Rob Ezell (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bishop Davenport20029468%20721267.0
Jared Hollins121675%101106.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kentrel Bullock2181085145.064
Keenan Phillips12662234.954
Bishop Davenport11632692.856
PJ Martin6032625.438
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Voisin67775411.665
Jeremy Scott24417417.474
Anthony Eager4033918.548
Miller McCrumby (Tr)1512808.532

View South Alabama's Full Roster

USA's DC Will Windham (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Blayne Myrick846033
Christopher Wallace Jr.734000
Darius McKenzie714111
Tirrell Johnson Jr.546131
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Thomas163220
Nathan Jennings132200
Achilles Woods122110
Darius McKenzie714111
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nehemiah Chandler (Tr)3130013
Ty Goodwill355007
Jayvon Henderson (Tr)272005