Morgan State at South Alabama - 2025 Matchup Preview
Morgan State logo   Morgan State Bears at South Alabama Jaguars  South Alabama logo
Saturday, August 30th 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
South Alabama -28.5 (51.5) (0)  Open: -28.5 | 51.5
South Alabama 38 - Morgan State: 21

 
Bears (0 - 2) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 11 - 49 (11 - 49 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -9.5  (SP+ USA -13)
USA Win prob: 97% | Cover: 52%
Jaguars (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Major Applewhite (6 - 6)
Avg Score : 27 - 30 (28 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
 
Morgan State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Morgan State at South Alabama+28.551.5L 21 - 38OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 Morgan State at Toledo+33.554.5L 0 - 60ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Morgan State's Schedule
South Alabama's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 South Alabama vs Morgan State-28.551.5W 38 - 21ON
Sat 9/6 South Alabama vs Tulane+13.551.5L 31 - 33OY
Sat 9/13 South Alabama at Auburn+26.556.5L 15 - 31UY
Sat 9/20 South Alabama vs Coastal Carolina-14.551.5L 20 - 38ON
Sat 9/27 South Alabama at North Texas+13.563.5L 22 - 36UN
Sat 10/4 South Alabama at Troy-2.546.5L 24 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14 South Alabama vs Arkansas State-8.557.5L 14 - 15UN
Thu 10/23 South Alabama at Georgia State-5.554.5W 38 - 31OY
Sat 11/1 South Alabama vs Louisiana-3.552.5L 22 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 South Alabama at UL Monroe-4.049.5W 26 - 14UY
Sat 11/22 South Alabama vs Southern Miss+2.553.0W 42 - 35OY
Sat 11/29 South Alabama at Texas State+9.562.5L 26 - 49ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for South Alabama's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MORG0%10.50%000%000%490%0%0000
USA#5 (.34)50% (9)26.553% (4)3.57 (6)19947% (18)2434.66 (13)#58 (.15)41% (58)30.439% (28)43% (96)3.66 (56)70.80.91.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MORG0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MORG Offense110.510.50%00000000%0%0%0%0%
USA Defense1330.428.840.9%3.661.5 - - - - - 48%52%39%43%16%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MORG Defense149490%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
USA Offense1326.527.849.8%4.660.9224421992435.851%49%53%47%14%.34

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Morgan State10:000NAN%0%0000000100
South Alabama1329:2021.539%68%8.270.80.91.55.61.6429.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MORG Offense10%0%000000%0%0
USA Defense1348% (38)39% (28) - - - - .09 (53)2.78 (32)71% (51)10% (78)1.05 (98)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MORG Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
USA Offense1351% (67)53% (4)34.1199.25.832 (14).33 (3)3.57 (6)82% (12)10% (79)1.06 (40)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MORG Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
USA Defense1352% (98)43% (96) - - - - - - 16 (10).24 (73)1.5 (32)32% (69)30% (55).15 (8)6% (59)1.7 (5)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MORG Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
USA Offense1349% (68)47% (18)19.530243.28.112.521 (51)6 (10).36 (27)1.5 (101)29% (27)33% (49).48 (15)4% (14)2.2 (14)

Morgan State's Power Ratings
Morgan State's Power Rating: NR
Morgan State's Offense Rating: NR
Morgan State's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Morgan State's 2025 Expected Record: -
Morgan State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Morgan State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Morgan State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average MEAC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Morgan State:    South Alabama: -9.705

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Morgan State:    South Alabama: -12.7




South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: -9.705  #109
South Alabama's Offense Rating: 9.74  #89
South Alabama's Defense Rating: 21.45  #119
2025 Talent Rating: 562.00  #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
South Alabama's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
South Alabama's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.7  #114
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.4  #82
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.0  #125

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 564.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Morgan State Scoring
Offense: 10.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 10.5
Defense: 49 PPG
Defense on Road: 49

Morgan State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
South Alabama 38
Morgan State 20

Projected Total Points: 58
South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 26.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.8
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.8

South Alabama's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202508/30South Alabama38Morgan State21South Alabama -28.5Morgan State51.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
South Alabama101 Overs
Morgan State010 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#) MORG at (#109) USA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMORGUSA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #109
SP+SP+NR #114
Perf GradeGradeNR #110
OffenseOffNR #92
DefenseDefNR #112
Spec TeamsSTNR #94
TalentTalNR #103
Blue ChipsBC%NR #101
South Alabama Notes
(10/15) HC Applewhite & staff on thin ice after 0-6 streak
(10/15) Strange trend, 7 pts 1Q, 0 2Q in past 3 games
(9/21) Off bad, Def worse. Flags, TO's, not buttoned up
(8/30) Meh W over Morgan, Davenport decent, Def ?
(8/1) Hit hard by portal, talent down TY, bowl is ?
(8/1) OL was decent LY, 4/5 back. 7 portals. Looks good
(7/13) QB1 Davenport likely, started 1, Pryon (GT) add
(5/23) New OC Petrino downgrade from Ezell (Wake)
(4/14) Losing QB Lopez (portal) huge blow, esp in spring
(3/24) RB Bullock a good one, lost Bothwell to MSU
(3/24) WR rebuild. Voisin/Eager have exp. Some depth
(3/24) Def was OK LY, 7 portal adds, replace a lot
South Alabama Injury Report
Morgan State on Offense
CategoryCat
MORG OffUSA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #112
SuccessSucNR #58
ExplosiveExpNR #80
PPAPPANR #58
PowerPwrNR #119
SP+SP+NR #125
Pts POPPONR #56
HavocHavNR #70
Morgan State Run Game
CategoryCat
MORG OffUSA Def
Run GameRunNR #131
Run SuccessRSucNR #28
Run ExplRExpNR #98
PPAExpNR #53
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #32
Stuff RateStuffNR #85
TackleTak -  #124
Morgan State Pass Game
CategoryCat
MORG OffUSA Def
Pass GamePassNR #46
Pass SuccessPSucNR #96
Pass ExplPExlNR #32
PPAExpNR #73
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #131
F7 HavocF7NR #78
DB HavocDBNR #59
South Alabama on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 38%
CategoryCatUSA OffMORG Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #92NR
SuccessSuc #9NR
ExplosiveExp #76NR
PPAPPA #5NR
PowerPwr #89NR
SP+SP+ #82NR
Pts POPPO #13NR
HavocHav #39NR
South Alabama Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 38%
CategoryCat
USA OffMORG Def
Run GameRun #6NR
Run SuccessRSuc #4NR
Run ExplRExp #40NR
PPAExp #3NR
Run BlockR Blk #135 -
OL YdsOLY #6NR
Stuff RateStuff #18NR
TackleTak - NR
South Alabama Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 38%
CategoryCatUSA OffMORG Def
Pass GamePass #113NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #18NR
Pass ExplPExl #101NR
PPAExp #27NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #78NR
F7 HavocF7 #79NR
DB HavocDB #14NR
Program Comparison
USA 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

MORG 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Hancock Whitney Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
South Alabama -28.5 (51.5)
South Alabama won vs Morgan State this year (38-21)

Previous Matchups
South Alabama beat Morgan State last year (38-21)

  
MORG's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Raymond Moore III7714155%878876.2
Kobe Muasau7611765%824437.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Randall Nauden11955854.767
Jason Collins Jr.9436353.923
Raymond Moore III7631554.123
Dorian Harris5323304.423
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Justin Perry22405518.443
Malique Leatherbury31310210.064
Joseph Kennerly24241110.025
Rahmise Jones6120020.044

View Morgan State's Full Roster

MORG's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eric Hunter171101
Hiroshi Carr121000
Josiah Blake121000
Blanche Gold112010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Lance Byndon41100
Eric Hunter171101
Kimani Stafford II11100
Kristopher Boyd10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eric Hunter171101
Julian Noel30001
Matthew McDonald10000

USA's OC Rob Ezell (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bishop Davenport20029468%20721267.0
Jared Hollins121675%101106.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kentrel Bullock2181085145.064
Keenan Phillips12662234.954
Bishop Davenport11632692.856
PJ Martin6032625.438
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Voisin67775411.665
Jeremy Scott24417417.474
Anthony Eager4033918.548
Miller McCrumby (Tr)1512808.532

View South Alabama's Full Roster

USA's DC Will Windham (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Blayne Myrick846033
Christopher Wallace Jr.734000
Darius McKenzie714111
Tirrell Johnson Jr.546131
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Thomas163220
Nathan Jennings132200
Achilles Woods122110
Darius McKenzie714111
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nehemiah Chandler (Tr)3130013
Ty Goodwill355007
Jayvon Henderson (Tr)272005