Morgan State at South Alabama - 2025 Matchup Preview

Morgan State Bears at South Alabama Jaguars

Saturday, August 30th 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
South Alabama -28.5 (51.5) (0) Open: -28.5 | 51.5
South Alabama 38 - Morgan State: 21

Bears (0 - 2) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 11 - 49 (11 - 49 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -9.5 (SP+ USA -12)
USA Win prob: 97% | Cover: 52%

Jaguars (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Major Applewhite (6 - 6)
Avg Score : 27 - 30 (28 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)

Matchup
Schedules
MORG Players
USA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Morgan State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Morgan State at South Alabama	+28.5	51.5	L 21 - 38	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13	Morgan State at Toledo	+33.5	54.5	L 0 - 60	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Morgan State's Schedule

South Alabama's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	South Alabama vs Morgan State	-28.5	51.5	W 38 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/6	South Alabama vs Tulane	+13.5	51.5	L 31 - 33	O	Y
Sat 9/13	South Alabama at Auburn	+26.5	56.5	L 15 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/20	South Alabama vs Coastal Carolina	-14.5	51.5	L 20 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/27	South Alabama at North Texas	+13.5	63.5	L 22 - 36	U	N
Sat 10/4	South Alabama at Troy	-2.5	46.5	L 24 - 31	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14	South Alabama vs Arkansas State	-8.5	57.5	L 14 - 15	U	N
Thu 10/23	South Alabama at Georgia State	-5.5	54.5	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/1	South Alabama vs Louisiana	-3.5	52.5	L 22 - 31	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	South Alabama at UL Monroe	-4.0	49.5	W 26 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/22	South Alabama vs Southern Miss	+2.5	53.0	W 42 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/29	South Alabama at Texas State	+9.5	62.5	L 26 - 49	O	N

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for South Alabama's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MORG		0%	10.5	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	49	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
USA	#80 (.16)	42% (83)	26.5	43% (77)	3.03 (55)	201	40% (94)	181	4.01 (40)	#117 (.24)	43% (88)	30.4	47% (117)	40% (47)	4.35 (127)	54.9	1	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MORG		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
USA	#5 (.34)	50% (9)		53% (4)	3.57 (6)	199	47% (18)	243	4.66 (13)	#58 (.15)	41% (58)		39% (28)	43% (96)	3.66 (56)	70.8	0.9	1.5

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MORG Offense	2	10.5	10.5	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
USA Defense	12	30.4	28.8	43.2%	4.35	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	54%	44%	47%	40%	15%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MORG Defense	2	49	49	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
USA Offense	12	26.5	27.8	41.5%	4.01	1	21	382	201	181	4.6	60%	38%	43%	40%	13%	.16

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Morgan State	2	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
South Alabama	12	31:08	20.6	43%	54%	6.5	54.9	1	1.3	4.7	1	0	28.6

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MORG Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
USA Defense	12	54% (119)	47% (117)	-	-	-	-	.18 (111)	3.15 (109)	91% (136)	8% (108)	0.92 (51)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MORG Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
USA Offense	12	60% (10)	43% (77)	44.3	201.2	4.6	30 (60)	.14 (59)	3.03 (55)	76% (40)	9% (54)	1.02 (50)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MORG Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
USA Defense	12	44% (19)	40% (47)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (100)	.34 (113)	1.8 (129)	33% (40)	29% (63)	.37 (105)	6% (59)	2.3 (129)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MORG Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
USA Offense	12	38% (125)	40% (94)	17.7	25.8	181.1	7	10.3	13 (86)	6 (34)	.23 (80)	1.5 (81)	31% (56)	27% (102)	.28 (73)	4% (19)	2.1 (32)

Morgan State's Power Ratings
Morgan State's Power Rating: NR
Morgan State's Offense Rating: NR
Morgan State's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Morgan State's 2025 Expected Record: -
Morgan State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Morgan State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Morgan State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average MEAC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Morgan State: South Alabama: -9.42

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Morgan State: South Alabama: -11.9

South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: -9.42 #119
South Alabama's Offense Rating: 5.24 #89
South Alabama's Defense Rating: 17.18 #119
2025 Talent Rating: 562.00 #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
South Alabama's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
South Alabama's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.9 #113
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #80
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.6 #126

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Morgan State Scoring
Offense: 10.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 10.5
Defense: 49 PPG
Defense on Road: 49

Morgan State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
South Alabama 38
Morgan State 22

Total Points: 60

Based on Last 4 Games
South Alabama 38
Morgan State 24

Total Points: 62

Based on Entire Season
South Alabama 38
Morgan State 20

Total Points: 58

South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 26.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.8
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.8

South Alabama's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	08/30	South Alabama	38	Morgan State	21	South Alabama -28.5	Morgan State	51.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
South Alabama	1	0	1 Overs
Morgan State	0	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#NR) MORG at (#119) USA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MORG	USA
Power RatePwr	NR	#119
SP+SP+	NR	#113
Perf GradeGrade	NR	#101
OffenseOff	NR	#88
DefenseDef	NR	#96
Spec TeamsST	NR	#61
TalentTal	NR	#103
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	#101

Morgan State Injury Report

South Alabama Notes(10/15) HC Applewhite & staff on thin ice after 0-6 streak
(10/15) Strange trend, 7 pts 1Q, 0 2Q in past 3 games
(9/21) Off bad, Def worse. Flags, TO's, not buttoned up
(8/30) Meh W over Morgan, Davenport decent, Def ?
(8/1) Hit hard by portal, talent down TY, bowl is ?
(8/1) OL was decent LY, 4/5 back. 7 portals. Looks good
(7/13) QB1 Davenport likely, started 1, Pryon (GT) add
(5/23) New OC Petrino downgrade from Ezell (Wake)
(4/14) Losing QB Lopez (portal) huge blow, esp in spring
(3/24) RB Bullock a good one, lost Bothwell to MSU
(3/24) WR rebuild. Voisin/Eager have exp. Some depth
(3/24) Def was OK LY, 7 portal adds, replace a lot
South Alabama Injury Report

Morgan State on Offense


CategoryCat	MORG Off	USA Def
Perf GradePerf	NR	#96
SuccessSuc	NR	#88
ExplosiveExp	NR	#72
PPAPPA	NR	#117
PowerPwr	NR	#119
SP+SP+	NR	#126
Pts POPPO	NR	#127
HavocHav	NR	#94

Morgan State Run Game


CategoryCat	MORG Off	USA Def
Run GameRun	NR	#112
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	#117
Run ExplRExp	NR	#51
PPAExp	NR	#111
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	#109
Stuff RateStuff	NR	#102
TackleTak	-	#129

Morgan State Pass Game


CategoryCat	MORG Off	USA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	#31
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	#47
Pass ExplPExl	NR	#129
PPAExp	NR	#113
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	#130
F7 HavocF7	NR	#108
DB HavocDB	NR	#59

South Alabama on Offense

Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 38%
CategoryCat	USA Off	MORG Def
Perf GradePerf	#88	NR
SuccessSuc	#83	NR
ExplosiveExp	#94	NR
PPAPPA	#80	NR
PowerPwr	#89	NR
SP+SP+	#80	NR
Pts POPPO	#40	NR
HavocHav	#30	NR

South Alabama Run Game

Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 38%
CategoryCat	USA Off	MORG Def
Run GameRun	#10	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#77	NR
Run ExplRExp	#50	NR
PPAExp	#59	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#133	-
OL YdsOLY	#55	NR
Stuff RateStuff	#26	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

South Alabama Pass Game

Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 38%
CategoryCat	USA Off	MORG Def
Pass GamePass	#107	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#94	NR
Pass ExplPExl	#81	NR
PPAExp	#80	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#51	NR
F7 HavocF7	#54	NR
DB HavocDB	#19	NR

Program Comparison
USA 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

MORG 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Hancock Whitney Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 81° - Wind: 6 mph

Rematch from Week 1
South Alabama -28.5 (51.5)
South Alabama won vs Morgan State this year (38-21)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

MORG's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Raymond Moore III	77	141	55%	878	8	7	6.2
Kobe Muasau	76	117	65%	824	4	3	7.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Randall Nauden	119	558	5	4.7	67
Jason Collins Jr.	94	363	5	3.9	23
Raymond Moore III	76	315	5	4.1	23
Dorian Harris	53	233	0	4.4	23

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Justin Perry	22	405	5	18.4	43
Malique Leatherbury	31	310	2	10.0	64
Joseph Kennerly	24	241	1	10.0	25
Rahmise Jones	6	120	0	20.0	44

View Morgan State's Full Roster

MORG's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Eric Hunter	17	1	1	0	1
Hiroshi Carr	12	1	0	0	0
Josiah Blake	12	1	0	0	0
Blanche Gold	11	2	0	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Lance Byndon	4	1	1	0
Eric Hunter	17	1	1	1
Kimani Stafford II	1	1	1	0
Dae'Jeaun Dennis	1	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Eric Hunter	17	1	1	1
Julian Noel	3	0	0	1
Kimani Stafford II	1	1	1	0

USA's OC Paul Petrino (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Bishop Davenport	200	294	68%	2072	12	6	7.0
Jared Hollins	12	16	75%	101	1	0	6.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kentrel Bullock	218	1085	14	5.0	64
Keenan Phillips	126	622	3	4.9	54
Bishop Davenport	116	326	9	2.8	56
PJ Martin	60	326	2	5.4	38

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Devin Voisin	67	775	4	11.6	65
Jeremy Scott	24	417	4	17.4	74
Anthony Eager	40	339	1	8.5	48
Miller McCrumby (Tr)	15	128	0	8.5	32

View South Alabama's Full Roster

USA's DC Will Windham (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Blayne Myrick	84	6	0	3	3
Christopher Wallace Jr.	73	4	0	0	0
Darius McKenzie	71	4	1	1	1
Tirrell Johnson Jr.	54	6	1	3	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Tyler Thomas	16	3	2	2
Nathan Jennings	13	2	2	0
E'Mauri Smiley	15	1	1	1
Emmanuel Waller (Tr)	14	3	1	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Nehemiah Chandler (Tr)	31	3	13
Ty Goodwill	35	5	7
Jayvon Henderson (Tr)	27	2	5