Memphis at Florida Atlantic - 2025 Matchup Preview
Memphis logo Memphis Tigers at Florida Atlantic OwlsFlorida Atlantic logo
Saturday, September 27th 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
Memphis -14 (62.5) (-575)  Open: -14.0
Memphis 55 - Florida Atlantic: 26  (American Athletic)

 
Tigers (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Ryan Silverfield (41 - 21)
Avg Score : 33 - 23 (35 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 4.4 (#38)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 5)
Rain Predicted
FAU coming off BYE
MEM is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Memphis -14  (SP+ MEM -16.5)

Projected Score: MEM: 38 - FAU: 24 (63)
MEM Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
MEM Travel: 841 miles, 1 hrs behind
Owls (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Zach Kittley (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 30 - 36 (37 - 36 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 5)
 
Memphis's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Memphis vs Chattanooga-30.555.5W 45 - 10UY
Sat 9/6 Memphis at Georgia State-14.557.5W 38 - 16UY
Sat 9/13 Memphis at Troy-4.551.5W 28 - 7UY
Sat 9/20 Memphis vs Arkansas+7.059.5W 32 - 31OY
Sat 9/27 Memphis at Florida Atlantic-14.062.5W 55 - 26OY
Sat 10/4 Memphis vs Tulsa-21.054.5W 45 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Memphis at UAB-23.559.5L 24 - 31UN
Sat 10/25 Memphis vs South Florida+3.558.5W 34 - 31OY
Fri 10/31 Memphis at Rice-13.548.5W 38 - 14OY
Fri 11/7 Memphis vs Tulane-3.053.5L 32 - 38ON
Sat 11/15 Memphis at East Carolina+3.056.5L 27 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/27 Memphis vs Navy-3.557.5L 17 - 28UN
Fri 12/19 Memphis vs NC State+6.056.5L 7 - 31UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 5, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Memphis's Schedule
Florida Atlantic's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Florida Atlantic at Maryland+16.557.5L 7 - 39UN
Sat 9/6 Florida Atlantic vs Florida A&M-21.051.0W 56 - 14OY
Sat 9/13 Florida Atlantic at Florida International+2.056.5L 28 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Florida Atlantic vs Memphis+14.062.5L 26 - 55ON
Sat 10/4 Florida Atlantic at Rice+4.554.5W 27 - 21UY
Sat 10/11 Florida Atlantic vs UAB-4.566.5W 53 - 33OY
Sat 10/18 Florida Atlantic at South Florida+20.572.5L 13 - 48UN
Sat 10/25 Florida Atlantic at Navy+14.563.5L 32 - 42OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Florida Atlantic vs Tulsa-4.560.5W 40 - 21OY
Sat 11/15 Florida Atlantic at Tulane+16.560.5L 24 - 35UY
Sat 11/22 Florida Atlantic vs UConn+6.064.0L 45 - 48OY
Sat 11/29 Florida Atlantic vs East Carolina+6.566.5L 3 - 42UN

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Florida Atlantic's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MEM#23 (.27)44% (57)32.546% (40)3.27 (31)17541% (71)2704.66 (14)#87 (.19)40% (47)23.240% (45)40% (62)4.05 (96)480.61.9
FAU#80 (.17)39% (108)29.540% (107)3.15 (48)18939% (99)2093.19 (122)#90 (.21)41% (54)36.343% (72)38% (39)3.72 (62)51.61.51.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MEM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
FAU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MEM Offense1332.53543.7%4.660.6234461752705.146%54%46%41%12%.27
FAU Defense1236.335.540.6%3.721.6 - - - - - 52%47%43%38%16%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MEM Defense1323.220.840%4.051.9 - - - - - 43%56%40%40%20%.19
FAU Offense1229.537.239.2%3.191.520398189209554%45%40%39%17%.17

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Memphis1333:1423.146%52%5.3480.61.95.81.9032.3
Florida Atlantic1230:2219.535%47%6.651.61.51.65.71.4128.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MEM Offense1346% (99)46% (40)34.2175.15.133 (12).22 (26)3.27 (31)69% (93)7% (17)1.06 (38)
FAU Defense1252% (86)43% (72) - - - - .16 (87)3.09 (86)83% (124)10% (65)1.05 (97)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MEM Defense1343% (5)40% (45) - - - - .09 (50)2.64 (20)64% (22)12% (20)1.13 (120)
FAU Offense1254% (41)40% (107)38189.2524 (45).2 (34)3.15 (48)64% (118)12% (113)1.28 (2)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MEM Offense1354% (33)41% (71)23.836.8270.57.311.325 (31)6 (10).31 (42)1.6 (47)30% (44)34% (40).47 (16)5% (32)2.1 (61)
FAU Defense1247% (45)38% (39) - - - - - - 11 (52).28 (94)1.8 (129)34% (33)32% (88).35 (91)6% (52)2.2 (108)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MEM Defense1356% (130)40% (62) - - - - - - 11 (52).28 (90)1.7 (93)34% (40)30% (70).43 (112)8% (13)2.4 (134)
FAU Offense1245% (98)39% (99)17.129.2208.67.212.214 (108)11 (72).19 (96)1.6 (51)33% (105)32% (65).39 (46)5% (37)2.1 (43)

Memphis's Power Ratings
Memphis's Power Rating: 1.53  #61
Memphis's Offense Rating: 16.31  #50
Memphis's Defense Rating: 14.78  #75
2025 Talent Rating: 776.00  #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 6%  #49
Memphis's 2025 Expected Record: 8.6 - 4.4
Memphis's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.6  #39
Memphis's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.3  #21
Memphis's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3  #75

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Memphis: 1.53   Florida Atlantic: -9.46

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Memphis: 7.6   Florida Atlantic: -8.7




Florida Atlantic's Power Ratings
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: -9.46  #120
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: 7.75  #101
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: 22.97  #126
2025 Talent Rating: 658.00  #83
Blue Chip Ratio: 1  #88
Florida Atlantic's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Florida Atlantic's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.7  #98
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8  #64
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1  #131

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Memphis Scoring
Offense: 32.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 35
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8

Memphis's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Memphis 38
Florida Atlantic 24


Projected Total Points: 63
Florida Atlantic Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.2
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 35.5

Florida Atlantic's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/27Florida Atlantic26Memphis55Memphis -14Memphis62.5Over
202012/23Florida Atlantic10Memphis25Memphis -9Memphis52.5Under
200712/21Florida Atlantic44Memphis27
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida Atlantic101 Overs
Memphis221 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 20 - 20 - 00 - 2
Road Teams2 - 12 - 02 - 00 - 0

(#61) MEM at (#120) FAU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMEMFAU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #61 #120
SP+SP+ #39 #98
Perf GradeGrade #40 #106
OffenseOff #42 #87
DefenseDef #58 #114
Spec TeamsST #64 #73
TalentTal #60 #83
Blue ChipsBC% #49 #88
Memphis Notes
(12/18) Hired OC Kevin Decker (ODU's OC)
(12/11) Hired HC Charles Huff (So Miss/Marshall).
(11/28) 3 game losing streak to finish. Silverfield a poor job
(11/16) 2 L's when CFP was in sights. Finish vs Navy
(10/25) QB Brendon Lewis will play vs S. Florida
(10/19) Def torched by UAB, Off sputtered w/o QB Lewis
(10/10) Def much better than anticipated, 2nd in AAC in YPP
(9/24) Off run game mauled Arkansas, QB Lewis a runner
(9/19) Run heavy Off so far, took care of cupcakes
(8/13) Real $$, biggest NIL spender in the G5
(8/13) QB Lewis a weapon (Nev), wins QB1 job in fall
(6/17) 4* QB AJ Hill was the only blue chip QB to G5
Memphis Injury Report
Florida Atlantic Notes
(10/12) 2 straight W's, QB Veltkamp heating up
(9/24) Fastest Off in CFB, snap every 18 seconds
(9/24) Off TOs a huge issue, Success #'s both sides bad
(9/24) Def is awful and hasn't played good Off either
(9/24) Most pass heavy offense, throwing 50 times a game
(8/30) Vetkamp 4 Int vs MD? Run Off awful. Woof
(6/5) Over bet watch, unless Def portals hit big
(6/5) WR rebuild. 5 portal adds. Messer (WKU) good
(6/5) OL complete rebuild. Least exp'd line in CFB
(6/5) OL 1/5 back, 3 PT players, 4 portals. Looks bad
(6/5) 20 portal adds on Def, 9 DL, 9 DBs. Bad LY
(5/17) Kittley Air Raid offense lead by Veltkamp, fun
Florida Atlantic Injury Report
Memphis on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
MEM OffFAU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #42 #114
SuccessSuc #57 #54
ExplosiveExp #26 #117
PPAPPA #23 #90
PowerPwr #50 #126
SP+SP+ #21 #131
Pts POPPO #14 #62
HavocHav #18 #61
Memphis Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
MEM OffFAU Def
Run GameRun #32 #105
Run SuccessRSuc #40 #72
Run ExplRExp #38 #97
PPAExp #26 #87
Run BlockR Blk #26 -
OL YdsOLY #31 #86
Stuff RateStuff #49 #79
TackleTak -  #69
Memphis Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
MEM OffFAU Def
Pass GamePass #46 #118
Pass SuccessPSuc #71 #39
Pass ExplPExl #47 #129
PPAExp #42 #94
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #51 #72
F7 HavocF7 #17 #65
DB HavocDB #32 #52
Florida Atlantic on Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 36%
CategoryCatFAU OffMEM Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #87 #58
SuccessSuc #108 #47
ExplosiveExp #5 #123
PPAPPA #80 #87
PowerPwr #101 #75
SP+SP+ #64 #75
Pts POPPO #122 #96
HavocHav #89 #11
Florida Atlantic Run Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 36%
CategoryCat
FAU OffMEM Def
Run GameRun #125 #14
Run SuccessRSuc #107 #45
Run ExplRExp #2 #120
PPAExp #34 #50
Run BlockR Blk #125 -
OL YdsOLY #48 #20
Stuff RateStuff #66 #14
TackleTak -  #99
Florida Atlantic Pass Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 36%
CategoryCatFAU OffMEM Def
Pass GamePass #46 #112
Pass SuccessPSuc #99 #62
Pass ExplPExl #51 #93
PPAExp #96 #90
Pass Block/RushP Blk #41 #120
F7 HavocF7 #113 #20
DB HavocDB #37 #13
Program Comparison
FAU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average G5

MEM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in FAU Stadium
Conditions: Rain
Temp: 84°( - Hum: 79%)
- Wind: 7 mph
Rain: 0.016
Rematch from Week 5
Memphis 14.0 (62.5)
Memphis won at Florida Atlantic this year (55-26)

Previous Matchups
Memphis beat Florida Atlantic last year (55-26)

  
MEM's OC Tim Cramsey (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brendon Lewis (Tr)25336869%26731677.3
AJ Hill193259%223117.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Sutton Smith10266976.684
Brendon Lewis (Tr)15166094.427
Gregory DeRosiers9956375.790
Frank Peasant (Tr)6327974.419
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cortez Braham63889814.173
Jamari Hawkins38623216.457
Marcello Bussey27287010.640
Brady Kluse22240210.925

View Memphis's Full Roster

MEM's DC Jordon Hankins (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sam Brumfield (Tr)9011520
Kamari Wilson (Tr)787114
Chris Bracy (Tr)717019
Drue Watts (Tr)69114102
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sam Brumfield (Tr)9011520
Drue Watts (Tr)69114102
Everett Roussaw Jr. (Tr)587314
William Whitlow Jr.316325
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris Bracy (Tr)717019
Jeremiah Jordan192106
Omarion Cooper (Tr)391006

FAU's OC Vacant (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Caden Veltkamp (Tr)34551467%365224177.1
Zach Gibson (Tr)315359%323336.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Gemari Sands10546504.437
Kaden Shields-Dutton8346065.550
Xavier Terrell5416113.014
Easton Messer (Tr)351117.039
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Easton Messer (Tr)1001029610.355
Asaad Waseem (Tr)69726510.544
Jayshon Platt46720515.748
Dom Henry40575414.490

View Florida Atlantic's Full Roster

FAU's DC Brett Dewhurst (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Stolsky (Tr)862112
Leon Hart Jr. (Tr)835201
Dillion Williams (Tr)622003
Christopher Keys471001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deshaun Batiste (Tr)234430
Josh Roberts225320
Wilky Denaud295300
Cecil Doggette Jr.247320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Terez Reid (Tr)424008
Damarius McGhee (Tr)300004
Jayden Sweeney (Tr)412034