Memphis at Florida Atlantic - 2025 Matchup Preview
Memphis logo Memphis Tigers at Florida Atlantic OwlsFlorida Atlantic logo
Saturday, September 27th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
FAU Stadium - Boca Raton, FL  (American Athletic)

 
Tigers (3 - 0) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Ryan Silverfield (41 - 21)
Avg Score : 37 - 11 (33 - 12 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11 - 1 (#1)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 4)
FAU coming off BYE
MEM is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Memphis -21.5   (SP+ MEM -21.5)

Projected Score: MEM: 39 - FAU: 17 (56)
MEM Win prob: 95% | Cover: 49%
MEM Travel: 841 miles, 1 hrs behind
Owls (1 - 2) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Zach Kittley (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (56 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#117)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 3)
 
Memphis's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Memphis vs Chattanooga-30.555.5W 45 - 10UY
Sat 9/6 Memphis at Georgia State-14.557.5W 38 - 16UY
Sat 9/13 Memphis at Troy-4.551.5W 28 - 7UY
Sat 9/20 Memphis vs Arkansas+7.063.5
Sat 9/27 Memphis at Florida Atlantic-21.5
Sat 10/4 Memphis vs Tulsa-29
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Memphis at UAB-27
Sat 10/25 Memphis vs South Florida-14
Fri 10/31 Memphis at Rice-23
Fri 11/7 Memphis vs Tulane-13.5
Sat 11/15 Memphis at East Carolina-11
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/27 Memphis vs Navy-16

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Memphis's Schedule
Florida Atlantic's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Florida Atlantic at Maryland+16.557.5L 7 - 39UN
Sat 9/6 Florida Atlantic vs Florida A&M-21.051.0W 56 - 14OY
Sat 9/13 Florida Atlantic at Florida International+2.056.5L 28 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Florida Atlantic vs Memphis+21.5
Sat 10/4 Florida Atlantic at Rice+0.5
Sat 10/11 Florida Atlantic vs UAB-8.5
Sat 10/18 Florida Atlantic at South Florida+14.5
Sat 10/25 Florida Atlantic at Navy+12.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Florida Atlantic vs Tulsa-5
Sat 11/15 Florida Atlantic at Tulane+15.5
Sat 11/22 Florida Atlantic vs UConn+9.5
Sat 11/29 Florida Atlantic vs East Carolina+7.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Florida Atlantic's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MEM#47 (.28)49% (37)3750% (39)3.8 (9)21847% (44)2035.12 (27)#21 (-.03)34% (31)1131% (15)37% (50)1.89 (12)550.71.3
FAU#103 (.1)44% (62)30.347% (56)2.53 (109)13043% (72)3273.93 (69)#107 (.22)36% (49)30.336% (48)37% (46)3.08 (54)61.330.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MEM#23 (.27)44% (57)46% (40)3.27 (31)17541% (71)2704.66 (14)#87 (.19)40% (47)40% (45)40% (62)4.05 (96)480.61.9
FAU#80 (.17)39% (108)40% (107)3.15 (48)18939% (99)2093.19 (122)#90 (.21)41% (54)43% (72)38% (39)3.72 (62)51.61.51.6



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MEM Offense3373348.6%5.120.7224212182035.659%40%50%47%12%.28
FAU Defense330.31436.5%3.080.3 - - - - - 30%70%36%37%16%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MEM Defense31111.534.3%1.891.3 - - - - - 43%56%31%37%24%-.03
FAU Offense330.35644%3.933264571303274.136%64%47%43%19%.1

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Memphis331:4022.347%75%5.7550.71.39.33228.4
Florida Atlantic328:4426.339%44%6.761.330.36.31229.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MEM Offense359% (21)50% (39)39.3218.35.611 (8).3 (31)3.8 (9)83% (28)9% (80)1.09 (41)
FAU Defense330% (1)36% (48) - - - - .06 (66)2 (10)0% (1)8% (97)0.86 (51)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MEM Defense343% (24)31% (15) - - - - -.18 (10)2.21 (22)44% (15)16% (7)0.96 (74)
FAU Offense336% (133)47% (56)32130.34.12 (109).01 (104)2.53 (109)100% (1)8% (65)0.98 (63)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MEM Offense340% (117)47% (44)18.325202.78.111.12 (102)1 (23).35 (60)1.5 (65)27% (35)31% (69).25 (89)3% (16)2.2 (38)
FAU Defense370% (136)37% (46) - - - - - - 0.29 (98)1.6 (93)43% (3)28% (65).27 (69)8% (25)1.9 (55)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MEM Defense356% (115)37% (50) - - - - - - 4 (12).11 (39)1.6 (84)40% (10)29% (71).34 (88)7% (38)2.2 (106)
FAU Offense364% (2)43% (72)32.752.7326.76.2108 (18)9 (136).15 (102)1.5 (89)33% (99)32% (64).5 (41)11% (134)2.3 (25)

Memphis's Power Ratings
Memphis's Power Rating: 18.72 #32
Memphis's Offense Rating: 19.59 #34
Memphis's Defense Rating: 0.87 #30
2025 Talent Rating: 776.00 #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #49
Memphis's 2025 Expected Record: 11.0 - 1.0
Memphis's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.9 #29
Memphis's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #14
Memphis's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #55

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Memphis: 18.72   Florida Atlantic: -5.965

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Memphis: 11.9   Florida Atlantic: -9.7




Florida Atlantic's Power Ratings
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: -5.965 #99
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: 4.73 #108
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: 11.96 #90
2025 Talent Rating: 658.00 #83
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Florida Atlantic's 2025 Expected Record: 3.9 - 8.1
Florida Atlantic's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.7 #102
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #98
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #103

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Memphis Scoring
Offense: 37 PPG
Offense on Road: 33
Defense: 11 PPG
Defense on Road: 11.5

Memphis's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Memphis 39
Florida Atlantic 17


Total Points: 56

Florida Atlantic Scoring
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 56
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 14

Florida Atlantic's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202012/23Florida Atlantic10Memphis25MemphisMemphis -9Memphis52.5Under
200712/21Florida Atlantic44Memphis27Florida Atlantic
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida Atlantic100 Overs
Memphis111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 11 - 01 - 00 - 0

(#32) Memphis Info
Power Rating: 18.72 #32
Offense Rating: 19.59 #34
Defense Rating: 0.87 #30
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.9 #29
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #14
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #55
Talent Rating: 776.00 #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #49
Expected Record: 11.0 - 1.0

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 40%
Good Offense Success Rate of 49%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5.12 PPO
Good Run Success 50%
Good Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 34%
Great in Scoring Position 1.89 PPO
Great Run Def Success 31%
Avg Pass Def Success 37%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position

Memphis has lost 1 straight
Memphis has won 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Memphis Notes
(8/13) Real $$, biggest NIL spender in the G5
(8/13) QB Lewis a weapon (Nev), wins QB1 job in fall
(6/17) 4* QB AJ Hill was the only blue chip QB to G5
(5/23) Memphis was 5-1 in 1 score games LY
(5/11) 61% of OL exp comes from portal adds
(4/12) RB looks very thin. No portals after Amos left
(4/8) OL 2/5 back, 6 portals. X. Hill (OT) left in spring
(3/22) WR rebuild. 3 portals, watch Caldwell (FCS)
(3/22) Def replacing most, 17 portals added, 8 DBs
(3/22) Near last in return prod, over 50% roster new

Memphis Highlights
Memphis is Undefeated vs Spread
Memphis in Undefeated

Memphis has Really Good Running Game (#20)
Memphis has a top Offensive Line (#9)
Memphis offense is good in red zone (#27)
Memphis offense is good on 3rd downs
Memphis does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#14)

Memphis Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Memphis defense is really good in red zone (#12)
Memphis has a good run defense (#15)
Memphis Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#11)
Memphis Defensive Line is very good (#22)
Memphis Front 7 is disruptive (#7)
Memphis has a great TO Margin (#28)
Memphis defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)

Memphis Deficiencies

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatFAUMEM
OverallOver#59#33
OffenseOff#76#38
DefenseDef#48#39
Special TeamsST#17#78
PassingPass#99#24
RushingRush#86#72
Run BlockRBLK#61#28
Pass BlockPBLK#21#36
Route RunningWR Rt#48#51
TacklingTkl#73#116
Run DefenseR Def#18#23
Pass Rush DefPRush#69#66
Coverage DefCov#81#38

Weather Forecast
Playing in FAU Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MEM | FAU
Depth Chart: MEM | FAU
Rosters: MEM | FAU
(#99) Florida Atlantic Info
Power Rating: -5.965 #99
Offense Rating: 4.73 #108
Defense Rating: 11.96 #90
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.7 #102
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #98
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #103
Talent Rating: 658.00 #83
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Expected Record: 3.9 - 8.1

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 64%, Run: 36%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.93 PPO
Avg Run Success 47%
Bad Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 36%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.08 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 36%
Avg Pass Def Success 37%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Florida Atlantic has lost 1 straight
Florida Atlantic has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Florida Atlantic Notes
(8/30) Vetkamp 4 Int vs MD? Run Off awful. Woof
(6/5) Over bet watch, unless Def portals hit big
(6/5) WR rebuild. 5 portal adds. Messer (WKU) good
(6/5) OL complete rebuild. Least exp'd line in CFB
(6/5) OL 1/5 back, 3 PT players, 4 portals. Looks bad
(6/5) 20 portal adds on Def, 9 DL, 9 DBs. Bad LY
(5/17) Kittley Air Raid offense lead by Veltkamp, fun
(3/24) QB Veltkamp a big portal+ from WKU LY
(3/24) New HC Kittley was OC at T Tech. Likely OC
(3/24) RB complete rebuild. No portals, some depth

Florida Atlantic Highlights
Florida Atlantic is Undefeated at Home
Florida Atlantic is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Florida Atlantic Defensive Line is very good (#10)
Florida Atlantic Secondary is very good (#25)
Florida Atlantic defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)

Florida Atlantic Deficiencies
Florida Atlantic has a bad TO Margin (#135)
Florida Atlantic throws a Lot of Interceptions (#136)
Florida Atlantic does not Sack the QB (#112)
Florida Atlantic gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#104)
Florida Atlantic Does Not Stuff Runs (#119)


  
Memphis's OC Tim Cramsey
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brendon Lewis (Tr)557573%608218.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Sutton Smith4124746.050
Brendon Lewis (Tr)3219025.922
Frank Peasant (Tr)1611617.318
Makari Bodiford216333.09
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jamari Hawkins9176019.650
Cortez Braham9153117.030
Sutton Smith75207.439
Jadon Thompson (Tr)246023.040

View Memphis's Full Roster
Memphis's DC Jordon Hankins
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sam Brumfield (Tr)174310
William Whitlow Jr.153120
Everett Roussaw Jr. (Tr)155212
Demarco Ward (Tr)140010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sam Brumfield (Tr)174310
Everett Roussaw Jr. (Tr)155212
Jalen Bell (Tr)113210
Drue Watts (Tr)142142
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Omarion Cooper (Tr)90003
Everett Roussaw Jr. (Tr)155212
Drue Watts (Tr)142142

Florida Atlantic's OC Vacant
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Caden Veltkamp (Tr)9013865%880876.4
Zach Gibson (Tr)71547%82025.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Gemari Sands3323207.037
Xavier Terrell237003.014
Kaden Shields-Dutton116015.513
Caden Veltkamp (Tr)232110.912
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Easton Messer (Tr)2521318.530
Asaad Waseem (Tr)14163311.631
Jayshon Platt10146114.638
Dom Henry9127214.140

View Florida Atlantic's Full Roster
Florida Atlantic's DC Brett Dewhurst
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christopher Keys161000
Dillion Williams (Tr)140002
Khmari Johnson (Tr)122000
Zyere Horton121000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Leon Hart Jr. (Tr)21100
Wilky Denaud92100
Deshaun Batiste (Tr)71110
Christopher Keys161000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Terez Reid (Tr)92003
Wendol Philord51002
Damarius McGhee (Tr)20002