Memphis at Florida Atlantic - 2025 Matchup Preview
Memphis logo Memphis Tigers at Florida Atlantic OwlsFlorida Atlantic logo
Saturday, September 27th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
FAU Stadium - Boca Raton, FL  (American Athletic)

 
Tigers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Ryan Silverfield (41 - 21)
Avg Score : 36 - 24 (34 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 2.9 (#15)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)
FAU coming off BYE
MEM is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Memphis -13   (SP+ MEM -16.5)

Projected Score: MEM: 37 - FAU: 24 (58)
MEM Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
MEM Travel: 841 miles, 1 hrs behind
Owls (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Zach Kittley (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 30 (29 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#106)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 9)
 
Memphis's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Memphis vs Chattanooga-25
Sat 9/6 Memphis at Georgia State-15.5
Sat 9/13 Memphis at Troy-3.5
Sat 9/20 Memphis vs Arkansas+5.5
Sat 9/27 Memphis at Florida Atlantic-13
Sat 10/4 Memphis vs Tulsa-21.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Memphis at UAB-13.5
Sat 10/25 Memphis vs South Florida-3.5
Fri 10/31 Memphis at Rice-16
Fri 11/7 Memphis vs Tulane-0.5
Sat 11/15 Memphis at East Carolina-6.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/27 Memphis vs Navy-9

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Memphis's Schedule
Florida Atlantic's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Florida Atlantic at Maryland+16.557.5
Sat 9/6 Florida Atlantic vs Florida A&M-9.5
Sat 9/13 Florida Atlantic vs Florida International+1.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Florida Atlantic vs Memphis+13
Sat 10/4 Florida Atlantic at Rice-0.5
Sat 10/11 Florida Atlantic vs UAB-3.5
Sat 10/18 Florida Atlantic at South Florida+17
Sat 10/25 Florida Atlantic at Navy+11.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Florida Atlantic vs Tulsa-6.5
Sat 11/15 Florida Atlantic at Tulane+20
Sat 11/22 Florida Atlantic vs UConn+7.5
Sat 11/29 Florida Atlantic vs East Carolina+4

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Florida Atlantic's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MEM#23 (.27)44% (57)35.746% (40)3.27 (31)17541% (71)2704.66 (14)#87 (.19)40% (47)23.840% (45)40% (62)4.05 (96)480.61.9
FAU#80 (.17)39% (108)25.940% (107)3.15 (48)18939% (99)2093.19 (122)#90 (.21)41% (54)30.343% (72)38% (39)3.72 (62)51.61.51.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MEM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
FAU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MEM Offense1335.733.543.7%4.660.6234461752705.146%54%46%41%12%.27
FAU Defense1230.329.740.6%3.721.6 - - - - - 52%47%43%38%16%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MEM Defense1323.83440%4.051.9 - - - - - 43%56%40%40%20%.19
FAU Offense1225.928.539.2%3.191.520398189209554%45%40%39%17%.17

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Memphis1333:1423.146%52%5.3480.61.95.81.9032.3
Florida Atlantic1230:2219.535%47%6.651.61.51.65.71.4128.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MEM Offense1346% (99)46% (40)34.2175.15.133 (12).22 (26)3.27 (31)69% (93)7% (17)1.06 (38)
FAU Defense1252% (86)43% (72) - - - - .16 (87)3.09 (86)83% (124)10% (65)1.05 (97)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MEM Defense1343% (5)40% (45) - - - - .09 (50)2.64 (20)64% (22)12% (20)1.13 (120)
FAU Offense1254% (41)40% (107)38189.2524 (45).2 (34)3.15 (48)64% (118)12% (113)1.28 (2)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MEM Offense1354% (33)41% (71)23.836.8270.57.311.325 (31)6 (10).31 (42)1.6 (47)30% (44)34% (40).47 (16)5% (32)2.1 (61)
FAU Defense1247% (45)38% (39) - - - - - - 11 (52).28 (94)1.8 (129)34% (33)32% (88).35 (91)6% (52)2.2 (108)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MEM Defense1356% (130)40% (62) - - - - - - 11 (52).28 (90)1.7 (93)34% (40)30% (70).43 (112)8% (13)2.4 (134)
FAU Offense1245% (98)39% (99)17.129.2208.67.212.214 (108)11 (72).19 (96)1.6 (51)33% (105)32% (65).39 (46)5% (37)2.1 (43)

Memphis's Power Ratings
Memphis's Power Rating: 1.02 #63
Memphis's Offense Rating: 17.20 #46
Memphis's Defense Rating: 16.18 #76
2025 Talent Rating: 690.00 #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #47
Memphis's 2025 Expected Record: 9.1 - 2.9
Memphis's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.1 #53
Memphis's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #23
Memphis's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #94

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 528
Average Power Five Talent: 860.18
Average FBS Talent: 682.68

Power Ratings Matchup
Memphis: 1.02   Florida Atlantic: -11.31

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Memphis: 2.1   Florida Atlantic: -14.4




Florida Atlantic's Power Ratings
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: -11.31 #101
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: 7.49 #107
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: 20.71 #101
2025 Talent Rating: 642.00 #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #97
Florida Atlantic's 2025 Expected Record: 4.6 - 7.4
Florida Atlantic's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.4 #115
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #109
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.4 #114

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 528
Average Power Five Talent: 860.18
Average FBS Talent: 682.68


Memphis Scoring
Offense: 35.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.5
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 34

Memphis's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Memphis 37
Florida Atlantic 24


Projected Total Points: 58
Florida Atlantic Scoring
Offense: 25.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.5
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.7

Florida Atlantic's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202012/23Florida Atlantic10Memphis25MemphisMemphis -9Memphis52.5Under
200712/21Florida Atlantic44Memphis27Florida Atlantic
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida Atlantic100 Overs
Memphis111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 11 - 01 - 00 - 0

(#63) Memphis Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 1.02 #63
Offense Rating: 17.20 #46
Defense Rating: 16.18 #76
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.1 #53
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #23
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #94
Talent Rating: 690.00 #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #47
Expected Record: 9.1 - 2.9

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.66 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.05 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 40%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Memphis Notes
(6/17) 4* QB AJ Hill was the only blue chip QB to G5
(5/23) Memphis was 5-1 in 1 score games LY
(5/11) 61% of OL exp comes from portal adds
(4/12) RB looks very thin. No portals after Amos left
(4/8) OL 2/5 back, 6 portals. X. Hill (OT) left in spring
(3/22) WR rebuild. 3 portals, watch Caldwell (FCS)
(3/22) Def replacing most, 17 portals added, 8 DBs
(3/22) Near last in return prod, over 50% roster new
(3/22) QB Lewis a real weapon (Nev), huge add
Memphis     Ratings Matchup     Florida Atlantic
Power #63
#101
Off #46
#107
Def #76
#101
Talent #71
#80
SP+ #53
#115
SP+ Off #23
#109
SP+ Def #94
#114

Weather Forecast
Playing in FAU Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MEM | FAU
Depth Chart: MEM | FAU
Rosters: MEM | FAU
(#101) Florida Atlantic Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -11.31 #101
Offense Rating: 7.49 #107
Defense Rating: 20.71 #101
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.4 #115
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #109
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.4 #114
Talent Rating: 642.00 #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #97
Expected Record: 4.6 - 7.4

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.19 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.72 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Florida Atlantic Notes
(6/5) Over bet watch, unless Def portals hit big
(6/5) WR rebuild. 5 portal adds. Messer (WKU) good
(6/5) OL complete rebuild. Least exp'd line in CFB
(6/5) OL 1/5 back, 3 PT players, 4 portals. Looks bad
(6/5) 20 portal adds on Def, 9 DL, 9 DBs. Bad LY
(5/17) Kittley Air Raid offense lead by Veltkamp, fun
(3/24) QB Veltkamp a big portal+ from WKU LY
(3/24) New HC Kittley was OC at T Tech. Likely OC
(3/24) RB complete rebuild. No portals, some depth


  
Memphis's OC Tim Cramsey
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brendon Lewis (Tr)21131268%22901677.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Brendon Lewis (Tr)15777584.967
Gregory DeRosiers3122837.446
Makari Bodiford1510617.140
Frank Peasant (Tr)104924.930
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Gregory DeRosiers2117548.325
Marcello Bussey10147114.736
Brady Kluse590018.034
Jadon Thompson (Tr)688214.733

View Memphis's Full Roster
Memphis's DC Jordon Hankins
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Everett Roussaw Jr. (Tr)758341
Drue Watts (Tr)655103
Sam Brumfield (Tr)613201
Cam Burden (Tr)573002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
William Whitlow Jr.248531
Everett Roussaw Jr. (Tr)758341
Isaiah Green (Tr)283240
Sam Brumfield (Tr)613201
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chauncey Logan (Tr)232003
Drue Watts (Tr)655103
Chris Bracy (Tr)180002

Florida Atlantic's OC Vacant
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Caden Veltkamp (Tr)25838966%310825108.0
Zach Gibson (Tr)10215168%1004726.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Xavier Terrell14261318.693
Caden Veltkamp (Tr)11315071.325
Gemari Sands3111723.822
Kasen Weisman157114.717
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Easton Messer (Tr)55793414.464
Jabari Smith17296317.476
Sean Wilson8121115.168
Dom Henry680013.319

View Florida Atlantic's Full Roster
Florida Atlantic's DC Brett Dewhurst
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jackson Ambush686202
Wendol Philord416104
Dillion Williams (Tr)340001
Cecil Doggette Jr.327330
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cecil Doggette Jr.327330
Jackson Ambush686202
Gavench Marcelin84210
Wendol Philord416104
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Wendol Philord416104
Cameron Goggins160002
Jackson Ambush686202