Memphis at Rice - 2025 Matchup Preview

Friday, October 31st 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
Memphis -13.5 (48.5) (-700) Open: -13.5 | 54.5
Memphis 38 - Rice: 14 (American Athletic)

Tigers (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Ryan Silverfield (41 - 21)
Avg Score : 33 - 23 (35 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 4.4 (#38)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)

RICE 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Memphis -18 (SP+ MEM -22.5)
Projected Score: MEM: 35 - RICE: 17 (52)
MEM Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
MEM Travel: 490 miles

Owls (5 - 8) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Scott Abell (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 33 (24 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.1 - 7.9 (#85)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)

Matchup
Schedules
MEM Players
RICE Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Memphis's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Memphis vs Chattanooga	-30.5	55.5	W 45 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Memphis at Georgia State	-14.5	57.5	W 38 - 16	U	Y
Sat 9/13	Memphis at Troy	-4.5	51.5	W 28 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/20	Memphis vs Arkansas	+7.0	59.5	W 32 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/27	Memphis at Florida Atlantic	-14.0	62.5	W 55 - 26	O	Y
Sat 10/4	Memphis vs Tulsa	-21.0	54.5	W 45 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18	Memphis at UAB	-23.5	59.5	L 24 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/25	Memphis vs South Florida	+3.5	58.5	W 34 - 31	O	Y
Fri 10/31	Memphis at Rice	-13.5	48.5	W 38 - 14	O	Y
Fri 11/7	Memphis vs Tulane	-3.0	53.5	L 32 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/15	Memphis at East Carolina	+3.0	56.5	L 27 - 31	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/27	Memphis vs Navy	-3.5	57.5	L 17 - 28	U	N
Fri 12/19	Memphis vs NC State	+6.0	56.5	L 7 - 31	U	N

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Memphis's Schedule

Rice's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Rice at Louisiana	+14.5	49.5	W 14 - 12	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Rice vs Houston	+13.5	38.5	L 9 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/13	Rice vs Prairie View A&M	-29.5	48.5	W 38 - 17	O	N
Thu 9/18	Rice at Charlotte	-1.5	41.5	W 28 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/27	Rice at Navy	+14.0	45.5	L 13 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/4	Rice vs Florida Atlantic	-4.5	54.5	L 21 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/11	Rice at UTSA	+8.5	48.5	L 13 - 61	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25	Rice vs UConn	+10.5	48.5	W 37 - 34	O	Y
Fri 10/31	Rice vs Memphis	+13.5	48.5	L 14 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/8	Rice vs UAB	+1.5	51.5	W 24 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22	Rice vs North Texas	+18.5	57.0	L 24 - 56	O	N
Sat 11/29	Rice at South Florida	+28.5	57.5	L 3 - 52	U	N
Fri 1/2	Rice vs Texas State	+19.5	55.5	L 10 - 41	U	N

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for Rice's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MEM	#23 (.27)	44% (57)	32.5	46% (40)	3.27 (31)	175	41% (71)	270	4.66 (14)	#87 (.19)	40% (47)	23.2	40% (45)	40% (62)	4.05 (96)	48	0.6	1.9
RICE	#126 (.05)	35% (127)	19.1	36% (127)	2.7 (118)	115	35% (121)	239	3.27 (119)	#60 (.16)	37% (11)	32.9	40% (37)	34% (4)	3.72 (62)	57.4	1.8	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MEM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
RICE		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MEM Offense	13	32.5	35	43.7%	4.66	0.6	23	446	175	270	5.1	46%	54%	46%	41%	12%	.27
RICE Defense	12	32.9	32	37%	3.72	1	-	-	-	-	-	55%	45%	40%	34%	17%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MEM Defense	13	23.2	20.8	40%	4.05	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	43%	56%	40%	40%	20%	.19
RICE Offense	12	19.1	23.9	35.5%	3.27	1.8	18	354	115	239	4.6	37%	62%	36%	35%	20%	.05

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Memphis	13	33:14	23.1	46%	52%	5.3	48	0.6	1.9	5.8	1.9	0	32.3
Rice	12	28:40	18.3	35%	35%	7.1	57.4	1.8	1	6.3	2.7	2	32.6

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MEM Offense	13	46% (99)	46% (40)	34.2	175.1	5.1	33 (12)	.22 (26)	3.27 (31)	69% (93)	7% (17)	1.06 (38)
RICE Defense	12	55% (112)	40% (37)	-	-	-	-	.16 (85)	3.06 (80)	76% (83)	11% (45)	1.07 (103)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MEM Defense	13	43% (5)	40% (45)	-	-	-	-	.09 (50)	2.64 (20)	64% (22)	12% (20)	1.13 (120)
RICE Offense	12	37% (132)	36% (127)	24.8	114.5	4.6	14 (98)	-.03 (126)	2.7 (118)	86% (3)	10% (63)	1 (55)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MEM Offense	13	54% (33)	41% (71)	23.8	36.8	270.5	7.3	11.3	25 (31)	6 (10)	.31 (42)	1.6 (47)	30% (44)	34% (40)	.47 (16)	5% (32)	2.1 (61)
RICE Defense	12	45% (24)	34% (4)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (93)	.16 (33)	1.7 (109)	34% (30)	24% (4)	.19 (23)	6% (70)	2.1 (81)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MEM Defense	13	56% (130)	40% (62)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (52)	.28 (90)	1.7 (93)	34% (40)	30% (70)	.43 (112)	8% (13)	2.4 (134)
RICE Offense	12	62% (4)	35% (121)	24.3	39.8	239	6	9.8	17 (79)	13 (103)	.11 (121)	1.5 (97)	38% (129)	25% (119)	.17 (119)	10% (133)	1.9 (104)

Memphis's Power Ratings
Memphis's Power Rating: 1.53 #61
Memphis's Offense Rating: 16.31 #50
Memphis's Defense Rating: 14.78 #75
2025 Talent Rating: 776.00 #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #49
Memphis's 2025 Expected Record: 8.6 - 4.4
Memphis's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.6 #39
Memphis's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #21
Memphis's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #75

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Memphis: 1.53 Rice: -13.535

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Memphis: 7.6 Rice: -14.8

Rice's Power Ratings
Rice's Power Rating: -13.535 #125
Rice's Offense Rating: 2.31 #127
Rice's Defense Rating: 19.58 #104
2025 Talent Rating: 554.00 #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Rice's 2025 Expected Record: 5.1 - 7.9
Rice's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.8 #120
Rice's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #119
Rice's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #112

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Memphis Scoring
Offense: 32.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 35
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8

Memphis's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Memphis 35
Rice 17

Projected Total Points: 52

Rice Scoring
Offense: 19.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.9
Defense: 32.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 32

Rice's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/31	Rice	14	Memphis	38	Memphis -13.5	Memphis	48.5	Over
2024	11/08	Memphis	27	Rice	20	Memphis -7.5	Rice	50.5	Under
2012	10/06	Memphis	14	Rice	10
2011	10/08	Rice	28	Memphis	6
2008	09/06	Memphis	35	Rice	42
2007	10/20	Rice	35	Memphis	38

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Rice	2	1	1 Overs
Memphis	4	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 3	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1
Road Teams	3 - 3	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0

(#61) MEM at (#125) RICE

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MEM	RICE
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#61	#125
SP+SP+	#39	#120
Perf GradeGrade	#40	#123
OffenseOff	#42	#107
DefenseDef	#58	#124
Spec TeamsST	#64	#96
TalentTal	#60	#107
Blue ChipsBC%	#49	#101

Memphis Notes(12/18) Hired OC Kevin Decker (ODU's OC)
(12/11) Hired HC Charles Huff (So Miss/Marshall).
(11/28) 3 game losing streak to finish. Silverfield a poor job
(11/16) 2 L's when CFP was in sights. Finish vs Navy
(10/25) QB Brendon Lewis will play vs S. Florida
(10/19) Def torched by UAB, Off sputtered w/o QB Lewis
(10/10) Def much better than anticipated, 2nd in AAC in YPP
(9/24) Off run game mauled Arkansas, QB Lewis a runner
(9/19) Run heavy Off so far, took care of cupcakes
(8/13) Real $$, biggest NIL spender in the G5
(8/13) QB Lewis a weapon (Nev), wins QB1 job in fall
(6/17) 4* QB AJ Hill was the only blue chip QB to G5
Memphis Injury Report

Rice Notes(10/25) Huge W over UConn, 300 yds rushing, 4 TDs
(10/24) Down to QB4? Won't know QB1 till UConn game
(9/18) Option team w/ a good punter. Love 'em
(9/18) Team is really undersized, but play hard
(9/18) QB Jenkins can scoot, but passing not strong
(8/30) 200+ yds rushing in huge W over Louisiana
(8/25) QB1 Chase Jenkins starter, was WR LY at times
(6/6) RB Balthazar (CCU) hurt LY, but will be a factor
(6/6) Pass rush huge ? Have LBs, DB looks decent.
(6/6) QB - Warner left (Fresno). Who can run option?
(6/6) Def was bad, have some exp. 4 portal adds
(6/6) Really hard job, minimal portal. Option great idea
Rice Injury Report

Memphis on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	MEM Off	RICE Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#42	#124
SuccessSuc	#57	#11
ExplosiveExp	#26	#99
PPAPPA	#23	#60
PowerPwr	#50	#104
SP+SP+	#21	#112
Pts POPPO	#14	#62
HavocHav	#18	#55

Memphis Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	MEM Off	RICE Def
Run GameRun	#32	#101
Run SuccessRSuc	#40	#37
Run ExplRExp	#38	#103
PPAExp	#26	#85
Run BlockR Blk	#26	-
OL YdsOLY	#31	#80
Stuff RateStuff	#49	#110
TackleTak	-	#115

Memphis Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	MEM Off	RICE Def
Pass GamePass	#46	#130
Pass SuccessPSuc	#71	#4
Pass ExplPExl	#47	#109
PPAExp	#42	#33
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#51	#76
F7 HavocF7	#17	#45
DB HavocDB	#32	#70

Rice on Offense

Option Offense 71%, Pass: 28%
CategoryCat	RICE Off	MEM Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#107	#58
SuccessSuc	#127	#47
ExplosiveExp	#36	#123
PPAPPA	#126	#87
PowerPwr	#127	#75
SP+SP+	#119	#75
Pts POPPO	#119	#96
HavocHav	#123	#11

Rice Run Game

Option Offense 71%, Pass: 28%
CategoryCat	RICE Off	MEM Def
Run GameRun	#129	#14
Run SuccessRSuc	#127	#45
Run ExplRExp	#55	#120
PPAExp	#126	#50
Run BlockR Blk	#90	-
OL YdsOLY	#118	#20
Stuff RateStuff	#81	#14
TackleTak	-	#99

Rice Pass Game

Option Offense 71%, Pass: 28%
CategoryCat	RICE Off	MEM Def
Pass GamePass	#77	#112
Pass SuccessPSuc	#121	#62
Pass ExplPExl	#97	#93
PPAExp	#121	#90
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#112	#120
F7 HavocF7	#63	#20
DB HavocDB	#133	#13

Program Comparison
RICE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

MEM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rice Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 71° - Wind: 9 mph

Rematch from Week 10
Memphis 13.5 (48.5)
Memphis won at Rice this year (38-14)

Previous Matchups
Memphis beat Rice last year (38-14)
Memphis beat Rice in 2024 (27-20)

MEM's OC Tim Cramsey (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Brendon Lewis (Tr)	253	368	69%	2673	16	7	7.3
AJ Hill	19	32	59%	223	1	1	7.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Sutton Smith	102	669	7	6.6	84
Brendon Lewis (Tr)	151	660	9	4.4	27
Gregory DeRosiers	99	563	7	5.7	90
Frank Peasant (Tr)	63	279	7	4.4	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cortez Braham	63	889	8	14.1	73
Jamari Hawkins	38	623	2	16.4	57
Marcello Bussey	27	287	0	10.6	40
Brady Kluse	22	240	2	10.9	25

View Memphis's Full Roster

MEM's DC Jordon Hankins (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Sam Brumfield (Tr)	90	11	5	2	0
Kamari Wilson (Tr)	78	7	1	1	4
Chris Bracy (Tr)	71	7	0	1	9
Drue Watts (Tr)	69	11	4	10	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Sam Brumfield (Tr)	90	11	5	2	0
Drue Watts (Tr)	69	11	4	10	2
Everett Roussaw Jr. (Tr)	58	7	3	1	4
William Whitlow Jr.	31	6	3	2	5

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chris Bracy (Tr)	71	7	0	1	9
Jeremiah Jordan	19	2	1	0	6
Omarion Cooper (Tr)	39	1	0	0	6

RICE's OC Vince Munch (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Chase Jenkins	119	172	69%	1025	9	2	6.0
Drew Devillier	10	21	48%	123	1	0	5.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Quinton Jackson	180	889	6	4.9	73
Chase Jenkins	151	531	5	3.5	34
Daelen Alexander	74	392	3	5.3	57
DAndre Hardeman Jr.	76	302	2	4.0	36

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Aaron Turner	63	398	4	6.3	55
Drayden Dickmann	37	323	3	8.7	46
Tyson Thompson	8	105	2	13.1	37
Payton Matthews	4	93	0	23.3	54

View Rice's Full Roster

RICE's DC Jon Kay (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Andrew Awe	93	9	4	3	2
Ty Anthony Morris	79	9	3	3	3
Tony Anyanwu	63	8	7	3	1
Marcus Williams	61	4	0	1	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tony Anyanwu	63	8	7	3	1
Michael Daley	15	5	5	2	2
Andrew Awe	93	9	4	3	2
Ty Anthony Morris	79	9	3	3	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Omari Porter	31	1	1	8
Khary Crump	14	0	0	6
Marcus Williams	61	4	1	5