Tulsa at Memphis - 2025 Matchup Preview
Tulsa logo Tulsa Golden Hurricane at Memphis TigersMemphis logo
Saturday, October 4th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium - Memphis, TN  (American Athletic)

 
Golden Hurricane (1 - 2) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Tre Lamb (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 24 - 23 (14 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.6 - 8.4 (#122)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 6)
MEM is playing their 6th straight game
TLSA is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Memphis -29   (SP+ MEM -23)

Projected Score: TLSA: 9 - MEM: 38 (47)
MEM Win prob: 96% | Cover: 42%
TLSA Travel: 342 miles
Tigers (3 - 0) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Ryan Silverfield (41 - 21)
Avg Score : 37 - 11 (45 - 10 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11 - 1 (#1)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 4)
 
Tulsa's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Tulsa vs Abilene Christian-5.059.5W 35 - 7UY
Sat 9/6 Tulsa at New Mexico State-3.052.5L 14 - 21UN
Sat 9/13 Tulsa vs Navy+14.052.5L 23 - 42ON
Fri 9/19 Tulsa at Oklahoma State+13.555.5
Sat 9/27 Tulsa vs Tulane+13
Sat 10/4 Tulsa at Memphis+29
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/16 Tulsa at East Carolina+15.5
Sat 10/25 Tulsa vs Temple+7
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Tulsa at Florida Atlantic+5
Sat 11/15 Tulsa vs Oregon State+6
Sat 11/22 Tulsa at Army+7
Sat 11/29 Tulsa vs UAB-5.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 5, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 5, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule
Memphis's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Memphis vs Chattanooga-30.555.5W 45 - 10UY
Sat 9/6 Memphis at Georgia State-14.557.5W 38 - 16UY
Sat 9/13 Memphis at Troy-4.551.5W 28 - 7UY
Sat 9/20 Memphis vs Arkansas+7.063.5
Sat 9/27 Memphis at Florida Atlantic-21.5
Sat 10/4 Memphis vs Tulsa-29
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Memphis at UAB-27
Sat 10/25 Memphis vs South Florida-14
Fri 10/31 Memphis at Rice-23
Fri 11/7 Memphis vs Tulane-13.5
Sat 11/15 Memphis at East Carolina-11
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/27 Memphis vs Navy-16

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Memphis's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TLSA#99 (.11)41% (88)2437% (111)2.61 (103)18347% (49)2203.82 (79)#68 (.13)44% (102)23.343% (90)45% (103)3.83 (83)40.71.31.7
MEM#47 (.28)49% (37)3750% (39)3.8 (9)21847% (44)2035.12 (27)#21 (-.03)34% (31)1131% (15)37% (50)1.89 (12)550.71.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TLSA#124 (.06)34% (131)35% (128)2.88 (97)15133% (126)2393.54 (100)#127 (.31)42% (75)38% (23)46% (115)4.7 (130)511.91.3
MEM#23 (.27)44% (57)46% (40)3.27 (31)17541% (71)2704.66 (14)#87 (.19)40% (47)40% (45)40% (62)4.05 (96)480.61.9



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TLSA Offense3241441.4%3.821.3244031832204.950%49%37%47%13%.11
MEM Defense3111034.3%1.891.3 - - - - - 43%56%31%37%24%-.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TLSA Defense323.32144.3%3.831.7 - - - - - 56%43%43%45%14%.13
MEM Offense3374548.6%5.120.7224212182035.659%40%50%47%12%.28

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tulsa328:5724.338%67%6.740.71.31.76.72.7026.9
Memphis331:4022.347%75%5.7550.71.39.33228.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TLSA Offense350% (71)37% (111)37.71834.95 (62).04 (97)2.61 (103)59% (108)6% (27)1.2 (30)
MEM Defense343% (24)31% (15) - - - - -.18 (10)2.21 (22)44% (15)16% (7)0.96 (74)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TLSA Defense356% (111)43% (90) - - - - .04 (59)2.62 (51)68% (61)10% (72)0.94 (72)
MEM Offense359% (21)50% (39)39.3218.35.611 (8).3 (31)3.8 (9)83% (28)9% (80)1.09 (41)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TLSA Offense349% (69)47% (49)23.73722069.34 (72)3 (92).2 (89)1.1 (132)32% (85)26% (105).14 (110)7% (104)2 (61)
MEM Defense356% (115)37% (50) - - - - - - 4 (12).11 (39)1.6 (84)40% (10)29% (71).34 (88)7% (38)2.2 (106)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TLSA Defense343% (25)45% (103) - - - - - - 3 (28).22 (72)1.3 (28)31% (91)36% (114).42 (102)4% (110)2 (73)
MEM Offense340% (117)47% (44)18.325202.78.111.12 (102)1 (23).35 (60)1.5 (65)27% (35)31% (69).25 (89)3% (16)2.2 (38)

Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: -10.98 #107
Tulsa's Offense Rating: 4.03 #110
Tulsa's Defense Rating: 15.01 #101
2025 Talent Rating: 628.00 #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Tulsa's 2025 Expected Record: 3.6 - 8.4
Tulsa's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.1 #108
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.7 #101
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #109

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: -10.98   Memphis: 17.81

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: -11.1   Memphis: 11.9




Memphis's Power Ratings
Memphis's Power Rating: 17.81 #32
Memphis's Offense Rating: 19.59 #34
Memphis's Defense Rating: 0.87 #30
2025 Talent Rating: 776.00 #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #49
Memphis's 2025 Expected Record: 11.0 - 1.0
Memphis's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.9 #29
Memphis's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #14
Memphis's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #55

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense on Road: 14
Defense: 23.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 21

Tulsa's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Memphis 38
Tulsa 9


Total Points: 47

Memphis Scoring
Offense: 37 PPG
Offense at Home: 45
Defense: 11 PPG
Defense at Home: 10

Memphis's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202211/10Memphis26Tulsa10MemphisMemphis -7Memphis62.0Under
202110/09Tulsa35Memphis29TulsaTulsa -3Tulsa60.5Over
201910/26Tulsa41Memphis42MemphisMemphis -10Tulsa59.5Over
201811/10Memphis47Tulsa21MemphisMemphis -16.5Memphis66.0Over
201711/03Tulsa14Memphis41MemphisMemphis -14.5Memphis81.0Under
201610/29Memphis30Tulsa59TulsaMemphis -7.5Tulsa74.5Over
201510/23Tulsa42Memphis66MemphisMemphis -11.5Memphis75.5Over
201410/31Memphis40Tulsa20MemphisMemphis -21Tulsa0
201010/02Memphis7Tulsa48Tulsa
200911/27Tulsa33Memphis30Tulsa
200610/21Memphis14Tulsa35Tulsa
200509/24Tulsa37Memphis31Tulsa
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Memphis645 Overs
Tulsa642 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 64 - 43 - 21 - 2
Road Teams6 - 64 - 42 - 12 - 3

(#107) Tulsa Info
Power Rating: -10.98 #107
Offense Rating: 4.03 #110
Defense Rating: 15.01 #101
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.1 #108
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.7 #101
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #109
Talent Rating: 628.00 #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 3.6 - 8.4

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 41%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.82 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Avg Pass Success 47%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.83 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 43%
Poor Pass Def Success 45%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Tulsa has lost 4 straight
Tulsa has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Tulsa Notes
(9/13) QB1 Kirk Francis out vs Navy (concussion)
(5/23) QB Francis, meh LY but was a Fr. Depth??
(5/23) RB rebuild. 4 portals, nothing special looking
(5/23) WR complete rebuild. 5 good looking portals
(5/23) OL bad LY, 1/5 back, 8 portal adds, some exp
(5/23) Def awful LY, return some, 12 meh portals
(5/23) New HC Lamb a fast riser, ETSU LY, G. Webb
(3/24) Roster looks rough, year 0 situation

Tulsa Highlights
Tulsa defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Tulsa Deficiencies
Tulsa Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#117)
Tulsa run game is really bad (#111)
Tulsa has a bad defense (#102)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatMEMTLSA
OverallOver#33#43
OffenseOff#38#83
DefenseDef#39#5
Special TeamsST#78#65
PassingPass#24#81
RushingRush#72#40
Run BlockRBLK#28#99
Pass BlockPBLK#36#68
Route RunningWR Rt#51#83
TacklingTkl#116#31
Run DefenseR Def#23#5
Pass Rush DefPRush#66#2
Coverage DefCov#38#63

Previous Matchups
Memphis beat Tulsa in 2022 (26-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TLSA | MEM
Depth Chart: TLSA | MEM
Rosters: TLSA | MEM
(#32) Memphis Info
Power Rating: 17.81 #32
Offense Rating: 19.59 #34
Defense Rating: 0.87 #30
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.9 #29
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #14
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #55
Talent Rating: 776.00 #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #49
Expected Record: 11.0 - 1.0

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 40%
Good Offense Success Rate of 49%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5.12 PPO
Good Run Success 50%
Good Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 34%
Great in Scoring Position 1.89 PPO
Great Run Def Success 31%
Avg Pass Def Success 37%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position

Memphis has lost 2 straight
Memphis has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Memphis Notes
(8/13) Real $$, biggest NIL spender in the G5
(8/13) QB Lewis a weapon (Nev), wins QB1 job in fall
(6/17) 4* QB AJ Hill was the only blue chip QB to G5
(5/23) Memphis was 5-1 in 1 score games LY
(5/11) 61% of OL exp comes from portal adds
(4/12) RB looks very thin. No portals after Amos left
(4/8) OL 2/5 back, 6 portals. X. Hill (OT) left in spring
(3/22) WR rebuild. 3 portals, watch Caldwell (FCS)
(3/22) Def replacing most, 17 portals added, 8 DBs
(3/22) Near last in return prod, over 50% roster new

Memphis Highlights
Memphis is Undefeated vs Spread
Memphis in Undefeated
Memphis is Undefeated at Home
Memphis is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Memphis has Really Good Running Game (#20)
Memphis has a top Offensive Line (#9)
Memphis offense is good in red zone (#27)
Memphis offense is good on 3rd downs
Memphis does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#14)

Memphis Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Memphis defense is really good in red zone (#12)
Memphis has a good run defense (#15)
Memphis Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#11)
Memphis Defensive Line is very good (#22)
Memphis Front 7 is disruptive (#7)
Memphis has a great TO Margin (#28)
Memphis defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)

Memphis Deficiencies


  
Tulsa's OC Ty Darlington
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Baylor Hayes (Tr)365467%324226.0
Kirk Francis335461%318215.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dominic Richardson (Tr)5329625.657
Ajay Allen (Tr)1811016.140
Braylin Presley149907.128
Baylor Hayes (Tr)122722.324
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Zion Booker (Tr)2321419.336
Micah Tease (Tr)7119017.027
Mekhi Miller (Tr)95806.48
Brody Foley (Tr)352217.322

View Tulsa's Full Roster
Tulsa's DC Mike Gray
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ray Coney (Tr)362011
Zach Williams200001
Lento Smith Jr. (Tr)151000
Tim Hardiman (Tr)140020
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
J'Dan Burnett (Tr)105401
Byron Turner Jr. (Tr)74410
Nahki Johnson (Tr)123100
Ray Coney (Tr)362011
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Green130002
Ray Coney (Tr)362011
J'Dan Burnett (Tr)105401

Memphis's OC Tim Cramsey
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brendon Lewis (Tr)557573%608218.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Sutton Smith4124746.050
Brendon Lewis (Tr)3219025.922
Frank Peasant (Tr)1611617.318
Makari Bodiford216333.09
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jamari Hawkins9176019.650
Cortez Braham9153117.030
Sutton Smith75207.439
Jadon Thompson (Tr)246023.040

View Memphis's Full Roster
Memphis's DC Jordon Hankins
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sam Brumfield (Tr)174310
William Whitlow Jr.153120
Everett Roussaw Jr. (Tr)155212
Demarco Ward (Tr)140010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sam Brumfield (Tr)174310
Everett Roussaw Jr. (Tr)155212
Jalen Bell (Tr)113210
Drue Watts (Tr)142142
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Omarion Cooper (Tr)90003
Everett Roussaw Jr. (Tr)155212
Drue Watts (Tr)142142