Tulsa at Memphis Game Matchup
Tulsa logo Tulsa Golden Hurricane at Memphis TigersMemphis logo
Saturday, October 4th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium - Memphis, TN  (American Athletic)

 
Golden Hurricane (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Tre Lamb (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 25 - 43 (21 - 40 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.5 - 8.5 (#128)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 9)
MEM is playing their 6th straight game
TLSA is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Memphis -22   (SP+ MEM -18)

Projected Score: TLSA: 20 - MEM: 42 (63)
MEM Win prob: 96% | Cover: 52%
TLSA Travel: 342 miles
Tigers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Ryan Silverfield (41 - 21)
Avg Score : 36 - 24 (38 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 2.9 (#16)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)
 
Tulsa's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Tulsa vs Abilene Christian-6
Sat 9/6 Tulsa at New Mexico State+1.5
Sat 9/13 Tulsa vs Navy+10.5
Sat 9/20 Tulsa at Oklahoma State+19.5
Sat 9/27 Tulsa vs Tulane+18.5
Sat 10/4 Tulsa at Memphis+22
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/16 Tulsa at East Carolina+12.5
Sat 10/25 Tulsa vs Temple-3
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Tulsa at Florida Atlantic+6.5
Sat 11/15 Tulsa vs Oregon State+12
Sat 11/22 Tulsa at Army+17
Sat 11/29 Tulsa vs UAB+0.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule
Memphis's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Memphis vs Chattanooga-25.5
Sat 9/6 Memphis at Georgia State-16
Sat 9/13 Memphis at Troy-4
Sat 9/20 Memphis vs Arkansas+5
Sat 9/27 Memphis at Florida Atlantic-13.5
Sat 10/4 Memphis vs Tulsa-22
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Memphis at UAB-14
Sat 10/25 Memphis vs South Florida-4
Fri 10/31 Memphis at Rice-16
Fri 11/7 Memphis vs Tulane-1
Sat 11/15 Memphis at East Carolina-7
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/27 Memphis vs Navy-9.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Memphis's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TLSA#124 (.06)34% (131)2535% (128)2.88 (97)15133% (126)2393.54 (100)#127 (.31)42% (75)42.538% (23)46% (115)4.7 (130)511.91.3
MEM#23 (.27)44% (57)35.746% (40)3.27 (31)17541% (71)2704.66 (14)#87 (.19)40% (47)23.840% (45)40% (62)4.05 (96)480.61.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TLSA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MEM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TLSA Offense122521.334.1%3.541.920390151239447%53%35%33%18%.06
MEM Defense1323.819.140%4.051.9 - - - - - 43%56%40%40%20%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TLSA Defense1242.540.342.2%4.71.3 - - - - - 48%52%38%46%15%.31
MEM Offense1335.738.143.7%4.660.6234461752705.146%54%46%41%12%.27

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tulsa1229:4420.437%32%5.9511.91.36.61.5328.9
Memphis1333:1423.146%52%5.3480.61.95.81.9032.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TLSA Offense1247% (93)35% (128)37.5151.4411 (116)-.03 (125)2.88 (97)74% (65)12% (110)0.9 (102)
MEM Defense1343% (5)40% (45) - - - - .09 (50)2.64 (20)64% (22)12% (20)1.13 (120)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TLSA Defense1248% (40)38% (23) - - - - .11 (65)2.82 (40)69% (42)11% (42)1.2 (130)
MEM Offense1346% (99)46% (40)34.2175.15.133 (12).22 (26)3.27 (31)69% (93)7% (17)1.06 (38)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TLSA Offense1253% (43)33% (126)20.736.4238.66.611.523 (41)12 (85).16 (104)1.8 (21)34% (116)22% (131).17 (118)6% (77)2.2 (16)
MEM Defense1356% (130)40% (62) - - - - - - 11 (52).28 (90)1.7 (93)34% (40)30% (70).43 (112)8% (13)2.4 (134)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TLSA Defense1252% (97)46% (115) - - - - - - 9 (76).51 (131)1.9 (133)32% (64)33% (100).45 (118)4% (130)2.3 (132)
MEM Offense1354% (33)41% (71)23.836.8270.57.311.325 (31)6 (10).31 (42)1.6 (47)30% (44)34% (40).47 (16)5% (32)2.1 (61)

Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: -19.65 #122
Tulsa's Offense Rating: 3.21 #125
Tulsa's Defense Rating: 22.86 #108
2025 Talent Rating: 558.00 #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #82
Tulsa's 2025 Expected Record: 3.5 - 8.5
Tulsa's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.6 #120
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.3 #103
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.8 #124

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 532.14
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: -19.65   Memphis: 4.565

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: -15.6   Memphis: 2.1




Memphis's Power Ratings
Memphis's Power Rating: 4.565 #60
Memphis's Offense Rating: 17.51 #46
Memphis's Defense Rating: 15.48 #73
2025 Talent Rating: 714.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #44
Memphis's 2025 Expected Record: 9.1 - 2.9
Memphis's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.1 #53
Memphis's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #23
Memphis's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #94

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 532.14
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31


Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 25 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.3
Defense: 42.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 40.3

Tulsa's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Memphis 42
Tulsa 20


Projected Total Points: 63
Memphis Scoring
Offense: 35.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.1
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.1

Memphis's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202211/10Memphis26Tulsa10MemphisMemphis -7Memphis62.0Under
202110/09Tulsa35Memphis29TulsaTulsa -3Tulsa60.5Over
201910/26Tulsa41Memphis42MemphisMemphis -10Tulsa59.5Over
201811/10Memphis47Tulsa21MemphisMemphis -16.5Memphis66.0Over
201711/03Tulsa14Memphis41MemphisMemphis -14.5Memphis81.0Under
201610/29Memphis30Tulsa59TulsaMemphis -7.5Tulsa74.5Over
201510/23Tulsa42Memphis66MemphisMemphis -11.5Memphis75.5Over
201410/31Memphis40Tulsa20MemphisMemphis -21Tulsa0
201010/02Memphis7Tulsa48Tulsa
200911/27Tulsa33Memphis30Tulsa
200610/21Memphis14Tulsa35Tulsa
200509/24Tulsa37Memphis31Tulsa
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Memphis645 Overs
Tulsa642 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 64 - 43 - 21 - 2
Road Teams6 - 64 - 42 - 12 - 3

(#122) Tulsa Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -19.65 #122
Offense Rating: 3.21 #125
Defense Rating: 22.86 #108
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.6 #120
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.3 #103
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.8 #124
Talent Rating: 558.00 #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #82
Expected Record: 3.5 - 8.5

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 34%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.54 PPO
Awful Run Success 35%
Awful Pass Success 33%
Poor OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.7 PPO
Good Run Def Success 38%
Awful Pass Def Success 46%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Tulsa Notes
(5/23) QB Francis, meh LY but was a Fr. Depth??
(5/23) RB rebuild. 4 portals, nothing special looking
(5/23) WR complete rebuild. 5 good looking portals
(5/23) OL bad LY, 1/5 back, 8 portal adds, some exp
(5/23) Def awful LY, return some, 12 meh portals
(5/23) New HC Lamb a fast riser, ETSU LY, G. Webb
(3/24) Roster looks rough, year 0 situation
Tulsa     Ratings Matchup     Memphis
Power #122
#60
Off #125
#46
Def #108
#73
Talent #91
#69
SP+ #120
#53
SP+ Off #103
#23
SP+ Def #124
#94

Previous Matchups
Memphis beat Tulsa in 2022 (26-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TLSA | MEM
Depth Chart: TLSA | MEM
Rosters: TLSA | MEM
(#60) Memphis Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.565 #60
Offense Rating: 17.51 #46
Defense Rating: 15.48 #73
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.1 #53
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #23
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #94
Talent Rating: 714.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #44
Expected Record: 9.1 - 2.9

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.66 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.05 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 40%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Memphis Notes
(5/23) Memphis was 5-1 in 1 score games LY
(5/11) 61% of OL exp comes from portal adds
(4/12) RB looks very thin. No portals after Amos left
(4/8) OL 2/5 back, 6 portals. X. Hill (OT) left in spring
(3/22) WR rebuild. 3 portals, watch Caldwell (FCS)
(3/22) Def replacing most, 17 portals added, 8 DBs
(3/22) Near last in return prod, over 50% roster new
(3/22) QB Lewis a real weapon (Nev), huge add


  
Tulsa's OC Ty Darlington
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kirk Francis14925359%1585966.3
Stephen Kittleman33100%510017.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Viron Ellison Jr.6235315.732
Ajay Allen (Tr)2418327.656
Sevion Morrison (Tr)2716426.138
Dominic Richardson (Tr)3110903.510
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Zion Steptoe15203013.534
Grayson Tempest1613808.643
CJ Johnson II11121011.023
Viron Ellison Jr.149016.423

View Tulsa's Full Roster
Tulsa's DC Mike Gray
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Drew451002
Chris Thompson Jr.445110
Buddha Garrett381003
Nunu Campbell381002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
J'Dan Burnett (Tr)213321
Joah Cash (Tr)163211
Ashton Williams192100
Chris Thompson Jr.445110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keuan Parker200004
Buddha Garrett381003
Jordan Drew451002

Memphis's OC Tim Cramsey
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brendon Lewis (Tr)21131268%22901677.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Brendon Lewis (Tr)15777584.967
Gregory DeRosiers3122837.446
Makari Bodiford1510617.140
Jamari Hawkins43107.810
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Gregory DeRosiers2117548.325
Marcello Bussey10147114.736
Brady Kluse590018.034
Jadon Thompson (Tr)688214.733

View Memphis's Full Roster
Memphis's DC Jordon Hankins
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Everett Roussaw Jr. (Tr)758341
Drue Watts (Tr)655103
Sam Brumfield (Tr)613201
Cam Burden (Tr)573002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
William Whitlow Jr.248531
Everett Roussaw Jr. (Tr)758341
Isaiah Green (Tr)283240
Sam Brumfield (Tr)613201
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chauncey Logan (Tr)232003
Drue Watts (Tr)655103
Chris Bracy (Tr)180002