Arkansas at Memphis - 2025 Matchup Preview
Arkansas logo Arkansas Razorbacks at Memphis TigersMemphis logo
Saturday, September 20th 2025 (12:00 PM EDT)
Arkansas -7 (63.5) (-270)  Open: -5.5
Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium - Memphis, TN

 
Razorbacks (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Sam Pittman (29 - 31)
Avg Score : 48 - 21 (35 - 41 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 (#90)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 7) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
ARK 2nd straight Road Game
MEM is playing their 4th straight game
ARK is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Memphis -2   (SP+ ARK -2)

Projected Score: ARK: 30 - MEM: 32 (63)
ARK Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
ARK Travel: 245 miles
Tigers (3 - 0) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Ryan Silverfield (41 - 21)
Avg Score : 37 - 11 (45 - 10 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11 - 1 (#1)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 4)
 
Arkansas's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Arkansas vs Alabama A&M-45.562.5W 52 - 7UN
Sat 9/6 Arkansas vs Arkansas State-23.562.0W 56 - 14OY
Sat 9/13 Arkansas at Ole Miss+3.560.5L 35 - 41ON
Sat 9/20 Arkansas at Memphis-7.063.5
Sat 9/27 Arkansas vs Notre Dame+0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Arkansas at Tennessee+9
Sat 10/18 Arkansas vs Texas A&M+4.5
Sat 10/25 Arkansas vs Auburn+6
Sat 11/1 Arkansas vs Mississippi State-4
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Arkansas at LSU+10
Sat 11/22 Arkansas at Texas+11
Sat 11/29 Arkansas vs Missouri+6

Total: Elite: 8, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 7, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Arkansas's Schedule
Memphis's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Memphis vs Chattanooga-30.555.5W 45 - 10UY
Sat 9/6 Memphis at Georgia State-14.557.5W 38 - 16UY
Sat 9/13 Memphis at Troy-4.551.5W 28 - 7UY
Sat 9/20 Memphis vs Arkansas+7.063.5
Sat 9/27 Memphis at Florida Atlantic-21.5
Sat 10/4 Memphis vs Tulsa-29
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Memphis at UAB-27
Sat 10/25 Memphis vs South Florida-14
Fri 10/31 Memphis at Rice-23
Fri 11/7 Memphis vs Tulane-13.5
Sat 11/15 Memphis at East Carolina-11
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/27 Memphis vs Navy-16

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Memphis's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARK#5 (.55)56% (12)47.758% (12)3.98 (3)24556% (13)3245.55 (11)#108 (.22)49% (122)20.757% (133)42% (82)3.93 (86)5411.3
MEM#47 (.28)49% (37)3750% (39)3.8 (9)21847% (44)2035.12 (27)#21 (-.03)34% (31)1131% (15)37% (50)1.89 (12)550.71.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARK#27 (.25)48% (13)52% (5)3.23 (38)16844% (41)2483.95 (64)#45 (.13)42% (66)39% (32)44% (100)3.31 (22)56.31.71
MEM#23 (.27)44% (57)46% (40)3.27 (31)17541% (71)2704.66 (14)#87 (.19)40% (47)40% (45)40% (62)4.05 (96)480.61.9



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARK Offense347.73556.5%5.551295692453246.947%52%58%56%11%.55
MEM Defense3111034.3%1.891.3 - - - - - 43%56%31%37%24%-.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARK Defense320.74148.7%3.931.3 - - - - - 46%54%57%42%19%.22
MEM Offense3374548.6%5.120.7224212182035.659%40%50%47%12%.28

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arkansas329:572972%0%65411.36.72.3027.1
Memphis331:4022.347%75%5.7550.71.39.33228.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARK Offense347% (89)58% (12)35.3245.36.98 (26).51 (3)3.98 (3)100% (1)5% (10)1.24 (24)
MEM Defense343% (24)31% (15) - - - - -.18 (10)2.21 (22)44% (15)16% (7)0.96 (74)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARK Defense346% (40)57% (133) - - - - .16 (104)2.78 (69)76% (96)11% (51)0.71 (18)
MEM Offense359% (21)50% (39)39.3218.35.611 (8).3 (31)3.8 (9)83% (28)9% (80)1.09 (41)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARK Offense352% (49)56% (13)22.733.33249.714.312 (3)2 (60).63 (13)1.7 (30)28% (48)52% (2).84 (6)6% (96)2.2 (47)
MEM Defense356% (115)37% (50) - - - - - - 4 (12).11 (39)1.6 (84)40% (10)29% (71).34 (88)7% (38)2.2 (106)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARK Defense354% (99)42% (82) - - - - - - 2 (56).28 (91)1.6 (91)27% (123)37% (118).46 (109)8% (26)1.9 (62)
MEM Offense340% (117)47% (44)18.325202.78.111.12 (102)1 (23).35 (60)1.5 (65)27% (35)31% (69).25 (89)3% (16)2.2 (38)

Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 18.05 #34
Arkansas's Offense Rating: 28.44 #9
Arkansas's Defense Rating: 10.39 #84
2025 Talent Rating: 816.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #33
Arkansas's 2025 Expected Record: 5.4 - 6.6
Arkansas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.9 #25
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.9 #11
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #46

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas: 18.05   Memphis: 17.81

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas: 13.9   Memphis: 11.9




Memphis's Power Ratings
Memphis's Power Rating: 17.81 #32
Memphis's Offense Rating: 19.59 #34
Memphis's Defense Rating: 0.87 #30
2025 Talent Rating: 776.00 #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #49
Memphis's 2025 Expected Record: 11.0 - 1.0
Memphis's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.9 #29
Memphis's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #14
Memphis's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #55

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 47.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 35
Defense: 20.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 41

Arkansas's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Memphis 32
Arkansas 30


Total Points: 63

Memphis Scoring
Offense: 37 PPG
Offense at Home: 45
Defense: 11 PPG
Defense at Home: 10

Memphis's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Memphis000 Overs
Arkansas000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#34) Arkansas Info
Power Rating: 18.05 #34
Offense Rating: 28.44 #9
Defense Rating: 10.39 #84
Overall SP+ Rating: 13.9 #25
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.9 #11
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #46
Talent Rating: 816.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #33
Expected Record: 5.4 - 6.6

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
Great Offense Success Rate of 56%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.55 PPO
Great Run Success 58%
Great Pass Success 56%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.93 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 57%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position

Arkansas has lost 1 straight
Arkansas has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Arkansas Notes
(8/17) Def front 7 biggest issue, pass rush SEC worst
(5/23) Hogs getting picked clean by portal, NIL bad
(5/23) OL returns 3/5. 5 portals. Best left via portal
(5/18) WR J Anthony a track star, hasn't played much
(5/15) WR top 5 are portals, 7 total. Blake (Char) good
(5/12) WR core bolted due to T Green? DBs a big issue
(5/11) OL has top 20 exp, 63% returning, 37% portals
(3/18) QB Green back, electric but inconsistent LY
(3/18) RBs rebuild. Good Run game LY needs RB1
(3/18) Def lacked ballers, pressure, TO's

Arkansas Highlights
Arkansas has Really Good Running Game (#8)
Arkansas offense is efficent (#12)
Arkansas offense is explosive (#15)
Arkansas has a top Offensive Line (#3)
Arkansas offense is good in red zone (#11)
Arkansas offense is good on 3rd downs
Arkansas does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#7)

Arkansas Secondary is very good (#26)

Arkansas Deficiencies
Arkansas has a bad defense (#122)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatMEMARK
OverallOver#33#17
OffenseOff#38#15
DefenseDef#39#39
Special TeamsST#78#34
PassingPass#24#20
RushingRush#72#6
Run BlockRBLK#28#52
Pass BlockPBLK#36#14
Route RunningWR Rt#51#38
TacklingTkl#116#16
Run DefenseR Def#23#61
Pass Rush DefPRush#66#16
Coverage DefCov#38#36

Weather Forecast
Playing in Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ARK | MEM
Depth Chart: ARK | MEM
Rosters: ARK | MEM
(#32) Memphis Info
Power Rating: 17.81 #32
Offense Rating: 19.59 #34
Defense Rating: 0.87 #30
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.9 #29
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #14
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #55
Talent Rating: 776.00 #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #49
Expected Record: 11.0 - 1.0

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 40%
Good Offense Success Rate of 49%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5.12 PPO
Good Run Success 50%
Good Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 34%
Great in Scoring Position 1.89 PPO
Great Run Def Success 31%
Avg Pass Def Success 37%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position

Memphis has won 3 straight
Memphis has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Memphis Notes
(8/13) Real $$, biggest NIL spender in the G5
(8/13) QB Lewis a weapon (Nev), wins QB1 job in fall
(6/17) 4* QB AJ Hill was the only blue chip QB to G5
(5/23) Memphis was 5-1 in 1 score games LY
(5/11) 61% of OL exp comes from portal adds
(4/12) RB looks very thin. No portals after Amos left
(4/8) OL 2/5 back, 6 portals. X. Hill (OT) left in spring
(3/22) WR rebuild. 3 portals, watch Caldwell (FCS)
(3/22) Def replacing most, 17 portals added, 8 DBs
(3/22) Near last in return prod, over 50% roster new

Memphis Highlights
Memphis is Undefeated vs Spread
Memphis in Undefeated
Memphis is Undefeated at Home
Memphis is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Memphis has Really Good Running Game (#20)
Memphis has a top Offensive Line (#9)
Memphis offense is good in red zone (#27)
Memphis offense is good on 3rd downs
Memphis does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#14)

Memphis Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Memphis defense is really good in red zone (#12)
Memphis has a good run defense (#15)
Memphis Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#11)
Memphis Defensive Line is very good (#22)
Memphis Front 7 is disruptive (#7)
Memphis has a great TO Margin (#28)
Memphis defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)

Memphis Deficiencies


  
Arkansas's OC Bobby Petrino
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Taylen Green639269%8661129.4
KJ Jackson5771%1061015.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Taylen Green3230729.664
Michael Washington3126038.453
Braylen Russell2510324.18
Rodney Hill73705.318
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
O'Mega Blake (Tr)18266314.830
Jalen Brown (Tr)10114211.429
CJ Brown9111212.326
Raylen Sharpe (Tr)7107215.337

View Arkansas's Full Roster
Arkansas's DC Travis Williams
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavian Sorey Jr.232120
Stephen Dix Jr.231000
Julian Neal (Tr)211004
Caleb Wooden (Tr)142000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quincy Rhodes Jr.93330
Phillip Lee (Tr)123240
Miguel Mitchell111100
Shakur Smalls (Tr)51101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Julian Neal (Tr)211004
Kani Walker (Tr)131004
Keshawn Davila00001

Memphis's OC Tim Cramsey
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brendon Lewis (Tr)557573%608218.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Sutton Smith4124746.050
Brendon Lewis (Tr)3219025.922
Frank Peasant (Tr)1611617.318
Makari Bodiford216333.09
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jamari Hawkins9176019.650
Cortez Braham9153117.030
Sutton Smith75207.439
Jadon Thompson (Tr)246023.040

View Memphis's Full Roster
Memphis's DC Jordon Hankins
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sam Brumfield (Tr)174310
William Whitlow Jr.153120
Everett Roussaw Jr. (Tr)155212
Demarco Ward (Tr)140010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sam Brumfield (Tr)174310
Everett Roussaw Jr. (Tr)155212
Jalen Bell (Tr)113210
Drue Watts (Tr)142142
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Omarion Cooper (Tr)90003
Everett Roussaw Jr. (Tr)155212
Drue Watts (Tr)142142