Memphis at UAB - 2025 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 18th 2025 (4:00 PM EDT)
Memphis -23.5 (59.5) (-2100) Open: -21.5
UAB 31 - Memphis: 24 (American Athletic)

Tigers (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Ryan Silverfield (41 - 21)
Avg Score : 33 - 23 (35 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 4.4 (#38)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)

MEM coming off BYE
Our Line: Memphis -18.5 (SP+ MEM -23.5)
Projected Score: MEM: 39 - UAB: 21 (60)
MEM Win prob: 96% | Cover: 54%
MEM Travel: 212 miles

Blazers (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Trent Dilfer (7 - 17)
Avg Score : 26 - 38 (28 - 38 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)

Matchup
Schedules
MEM Players
UAB Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Memphis's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Memphis vs Chattanooga	-30.5	55.5	W 45 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Memphis at Georgia State	-14.5	57.5	W 38 - 16	U	Y
Sat 9/13	Memphis at Troy	-4.5	51.5	W 28 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/20	Memphis vs Arkansas	+7.0	59.5	W 32 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/27	Memphis at Florida Atlantic	-14.0	62.5	W 55 - 26	O	Y
Sat 10/4	Memphis vs Tulsa	-21.0	54.5	W 45 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18	Memphis at UAB	-23.5	59.5	L 24 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/25	Memphis vs South Florida	+3.5	58.5	W 34 - 31	O	Y
Fri 10/31	Memphis at Rice	-13.5	48.5	W 38 - 14	O	Y
Fri 11/7	Memphis vs Tulane	-3.0	53.5	L 32 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/15	Memphis at East Carolina	+3.0	56.5	L 27 - 31	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/27	Memphis vs Navy	-3.5	57.5	L 17 - 28	U	N
Fri 12/19	Memphis vs NC State	+6.0	56.5	L 7 - 31	U	N

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Memphis's Schedule

UAB's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	UAB vs Alabama State	-21.0	53.5	W 52 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/6	UAB at Navy	+20.5	59.0	L 24 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/13	UAB vs Akron	-12.5	58.5	W 31 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/20	UAB at Tennessee	+39.5	69.5	L 24 - 56	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4	UAB vs Army	+6.5	55.5	L 13 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/11	UAB at Florida Atlantic	+4.5	66.5	L 33 - 53	O	N
Sat 10/18	UAB vs Memphis	+23.5	59.5	W 31 - 24	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1	UAB at UConn	+10.0	61.5	L 19 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/8	UAB at Rice	-1.5	51.5	L 17 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/15	UAB vs North Texas	+17.5	69.5	L 24 - 53	O	N
Sat 11/22	UAB vs South Florida	+21.5	68.5	L 18 - 48	U	N
Sat 11/29	UAB at Tulsa	+9.0	56.5	W 31 - 24	U	Y

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for UAB's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MEM	#23 (.27)	44% (57)	32.5	46% (40)	3.27 (31)	175	41% (71)	270	4.66 (14)	#87 (.19)	40% (47)	23.2	40% (45)	40% (62)	4.05 (96)	48	0.6	1.9
UAB	#85 (.16)	45% (42)	26.4	47% (32)	3.19 (42)	131	44% (48)	262	3.43 (109)	#101 (.23)	45% (104)	38.3	52% (132)	35% (12)	4.24 (110)	73.8	2.2	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MEM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UAB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MEM Offense	13	32.5	35	43.7%	4.66	0.6	23	446	175	270	5.1	46%	54%	46%	41%	12%	.27
UAB Defense	12	38.3	37.7	44.9%	4.24	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	58%	42%	52%	35%	13%	.23

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MEM Defense	13	23.2	20.8	40%	4.05	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	43%	56%	40%	40%	20%	.19
UAB Offense	12	26.4	28.2	44.7%	3.43	2.2	22	393	131	262	4	45%	55%	47%	44%	18%	.16

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Memphis	13	33:14	23.1	46%	52%	5.3	48	0.6	1.9	5.8	1.9	0	32.3
UAB	12	29:26	21.6	38%	46%	8.2	73.8	2.2	1.1	4	1.5	3	27.1

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MEM Offense	13	46% (99)	46% (40)	34.2	175.1	5.1	33 (12)	.22 (26)	3.27 (31)	69% (93)	7% (17)	1.06 (38)
UAB Defense	12	58% (131)	52% (132)	-	-	-	-	.26 (127)	3.64 (134)	88% (132)	7% (132)	0.87 (17)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MEM Defense	13	43% (5)	40% (45)	-	-	-	-	.09 (50)	2.64 (20)	64% (22)	12% (20)	1.13 (120)
UAB Offense	12	45% (108)	47% (32)	32.6	131	4	9 (125)	.1 (85)	3.19 (42)	80% (21)	12% (111)	0.73 (132)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MEM Offense	13	54% (33)	41% (71)	23.8	36.8	270.5	7.3	11.3	25 (31)	6 (10)	.31 (42)	1.6 (47)	30% (44)	34% (40)	.47 (16)	5% (32)	2.1 (61)
UAB Defense	12	42% (4)	35% (12)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (93)	.18 (43)	1.8 (121)	29% (113)	32% (92)	.32 (74)	6% (62)	1.8 (10)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MEM Defense	13	56% (130)	40% (62)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (52)	.28 (90)	1.7 (93)	34% (40)	30% (70)	.43 (112)	8% (13)	2.4 (134)
UAB Offense	12	55% (28)	44% (48)	23.7	37.1	261.6	7.1	11.1	24 (38)	16 (124)	.25 (71)	1.5 (94)	31% (59)	31% (73)	.4 (40)	6% (79)	2.1 (37)

Memphis's Power Ratings
Memphis's Power Rating: 1.53 #61
Memphis's Offense Rating: 16.31 #50
Memphis's Defense Rating: 14.78 #75
2025 Talent Rating: 776.00 #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #49
Memphis's 2025 Expected Record: 8.6 - 4.4
Memphis's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.6 #39
Memphis's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #21
Memphis's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #75

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Memphis: 1.53 UAB: -13.87

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Memphis: 7.6 UAB: -15.8

UAB's Power Ratings
UAB's Power Rating: -13.87 #124
UAB's Offense Rating: 8.41 #96
UAB's Defense Rating: 25.35 #132
2025 Talent Rating: 530.00 #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #79
UAB's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
UAB's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.8 #125
UAB's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #80
UAB's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.8 #132

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Memphis Scoring
Offense: 32.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 35
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8

Memphis's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Memphis 39
UAB 21

Projected Total Points: 60

UAB Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.2
Defense: 38.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 37.7

UAB's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/18	UAB	31	Memphis	24	Memphis -23.5	UAB	59.5	Under
2024	11/16	Memphis	53	UAB	18	Memphis -16	Memphis	62.0	Over
2023	10/21	UAB	21	Memphis	45	Memphis -7.5	Memphis	61.5	Over
2012	11/17	UAB	9	Memphis	46
2011	11/12	Memphis	35	UAB	41
2010	11/20	UAB	31	Memphis	15
2009	11/14	Memphis	21	UAB	31
2008	10/02	UAB	30	Memphis	33
2007	11/17	Memphis	25	UAB	9
2006	10/07	UAB	35	Memphis	29
2005	11/01	Memphis	20	UAB	37
2004	09/25	UAB	35	Memphis	28
2003	10/04	Memphis	10	UAB	24
2002	09/28	UAB	31	Memphis	17
2001	10/27	Memphis	14	UAB	17
2000	10/13	UAB	13	Memphis	9

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UAB	11	1	2 Overs
Memphis	5	2	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 8	2 - 1	1 - 0	1 - 1
Road Teams	8 - 8	1 - 2	1 - 1	0 - 1

(#61) MEM at (#124) UAB

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MEM	UAB
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#61	#124
SP+SP+	#39	#125
Perf GradeGrade	#40	#121
OffenseOff	#42	#56
DefenseDef	#58	#136
Spec TeamsST	#64	#134
TalentTal	#60	#111
Blue ChipsBC%	#49	#79

Memphis Notes(12/18) Hired OC Kevin Decker (ODU's OC)
(12/11) Hired HC Charles Huff (So Miss/Marshall).
(11/28) 3 game losing streak to finish. Silverfield a poor job
(11/16) 2 L's when CFP was in sights. Finish vs Navy
(10/25) QB Brendon Lewis will play vs S. Florida
(10/19) Def torched by UAB, Off sputtered w/o QB Lewis
(10/10) Def much better than anticipated, 2nd in AAC in YPP
(9/24) Off run game mauled Arkansas, QB Lewis a runner
(9/19) Run heavy Off so far, took care of cupcakes
(8/13) Real $$, biggest NIL spender in the G5
(8/13) QB Lewis a weapon (Nev), wins QB1 job in fall
(6/17) 4* QB AJ Hill was the only blue chip QB to G5
Memphis Injury Report

UAB Notes(12/10) Worst program in AAC. Will be ‘26 doormat
(12/4) Interim HC Alex Mortensen has been hired full time
(10/19) Off good, Def great in Memphis W after Dilfer fired
(10/12) HC Dilfer finally fired after 2-4, 3 straight L's
(10/12) Interim HC is OC Alex Mortensen
(10/11) 3 straight L's, defense is horrific, Fire Dilfer already
(9/17) Last 2 games: 55 points 1st half, 0 in 2nd
(8/30) Def torched by Ala. St, 300 pass, 200 rush
(8/30) Run Off good vs Ala St, Kitna decent, we'll see
(6/14) RB Jackson has 2k yds past two years (Utep/FCS)
(6/14) Def poor LY, added 17 portals, 5 DL, 10 DBs
(6/14) WR Milliner had decent Fr year, 3 portals, meh
UAB Injury Report

Memphis on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	MEM Off	UAB Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#42	#136
SuccessSuc	#57	#104
ExplosiveExp	#26	#21
PPAPPA	#23	#101
PowerPwr	#50	#132
SP+SP+	#21	#132
Pts POPPO	#14	#110
HavocHav	#18	#118

Memphis Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	MEM Off	UAB Def
Run GameRun	#32	#129
Run SuccessRSuc	#40	#132
Run ExplRExp	#38	#17
PPAExp	#26	#127
Run BlockR Blk	#26	-
OL YdsOLY	#31	#134
Stuff RateStuff	#49	#130
TackleTak	-	#130

Memphis Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	MEM Off	UAB Def
Pass GamePass	#46	#136
Pass SuccessPSuc	#71	#12
Pass ExplPExl	#47	#121
PPAExp	#42	#43
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#51	#104
F7 HavocF7	#17	#132
DB HavocDB	#32	#62

UAB on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	UAB Off	MEM Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#56	#58
SuccessSuc	#42	#47
ExplosiveExp	#126	#123
PPAPPA	#85	#87
PowerPwr	#96	#75
SP+SP+	#80	#75
Pts POPPO	#109	#96
HavocHav	#106	#11

UAB Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	UAB Off	MEM Def
Run GameRun	#83	#14
Run SuccessRSuc	#32	#45
Run ExplRExp	#132	#120
PPAExp	#85	#50
Run BlockR Blk	#50	-
OL YdsOLY	#42	#20
Stuff RateStuff	#26	#14
TackleTak	-	#99

UAB Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	UAB Off	MEM Def
Pass GamePass	#79	#112
Pass SuccessPSuc	#48	#62
Pass ExplPExl	#94	#93
PPAExp	#71	#90
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#50	#120
F7 HavocF7	#111	#20
DB HavocDB	#79	#13

Program Comparison
UAB 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Poor G5

MEM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Protective Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 87° - Wind: 9 mph

Rematch from Week 8
Memphis 23.5 (59.5)
UAB won vs Memphis this year (31-24)

Previous Matchups
UAB beat Memphis last year (31-24)
Memphis beat UAB in 2024 (53-18)
Memphis beat UAB in 2023 (45-21)

MEM's OC Tim Cramsey (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Brendon Lewis (Tr)	253	368	69%	2673	16	7	7.3
AJ Hill	19	32	59%	223	1	1	7.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Sutton Smith	102	669	7	6.6	84
Brendon Lewis (Tr)	151	660	9	4.4	27
Gregory DeRosiers	99	563	7	5.7	90
Frank Peasant (Tr)	63	279	7	4.4	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cortez Braham	63	889	8	14.1	73
Jamari Hawkins	38	623	2	16.4	57
Marcello Bussey	27	287	0	10.6	40
Brady Kluse	22	240	2	10.9	25

View Memphis's Full Roster

MEM's DC Jordon Hankins (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Sam Brumfield (Tr)	90	11	5	2	0
Kamari Wilson (Tr)	78	7	1	1	4
Chris Bracy (Tr)	71	7	0	1	9
Drue Watts (Tr)	69	11	4	10	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Sam Brumfield (Tr)	90	11	5	2	0
Drue Watts (Tr)	69	11	4	10	2
Everett Roussaw Jr. (Tr)	58	7	3	1	4
William Whitlow Jr.	31	6	3	2	5

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chris Bracy (Tr)	71	7	0	1	9
Jeremiah Jordan	19	2	1	0	6
Omarion Cooper (Tr)	39	1	0	0	6

UAB's OC Alex Mortensen (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jalen Kitna	223	337	66%	2462	13	11	7.3
Ryder Burton (Tr)	62	98	63%	708	7	5	7.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jevon Jackson (Tr)	167	900	5	5.4	58
Isaiah Jacobs	79	342	4	4.3	23
Solomon Beebe	56	338	6	6.0	81
Nate Rogers	13	84	2	6.5	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Iverson Hooks	72	927	7	12.9	51
BJ Hawkins Jr.	41	540	5	13.2	68
Corri Milliner	24	341	3	14.2	49
Solomon Beebe	31	284	0	9.2	43

View UAB's Full Roster

UAB's DC Steve Russ (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Devin Hightower (Tr)	81	3	1	2	0
Jeremiah Vessel (Tr)	54	1	1	0	2
AJ Brown	53	0	0	0	0
Eamon Smalls	50	4	1	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Chris Burge	32	5	4	7
Jonathan Allen	34	3	2	1
Eddy Toussom	46	7	2	3
Eli Ennis (Tr)	11	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Tamarion Crumpley (Tr)	18	2	0	6
Delvon Gulley (Tr)	19	1	1	3
Perry Fisher (Tr)	21	0	0	3