Lindenwood at App State - 2025 Matchup Preview
Lindenwood logo Lindenwood Lions at App State MountaineersApp State logo
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
App State -31.5 (56.0) (0)  Open: -31.0 | 53.0
App State 20 - Lindenwood: 13

 
Lions (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 13 - 20 (13 - 20 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -7.5   (SP+ APP -10)
APP Win prob: 97% | Cover: 39%
Mountaineers (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Dowell Loggains (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 25 - 21 (20 - 13 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 5.4 (#69)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
 
Lindenwood's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/6 Lindenwood at App State+31.556.0L 13 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Lindenwood at Miami (OH)-10

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Lindenwood's Schedule
App State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 App State vs Charlotte-8.553.5W 34 - 11UY
Sat 9/6 App State vs Lindenwood-31.556.0W 20 - 13UN
Sat 9/13 App State at Southern Miss-3.055.5L 22 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 App State at Boise State+17
Sat 10/4 App State vs Oregon State+4.5
Sat 10/11 App State at Georgia State-8
Sat 10/18 App State vs Coastal Carolina-6.5
Sat 10/25 App State at Old Dominion+11.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/6 App State vs Georgia Southern-10.5
Sat 11/15 App State at James Madison+16
Sat 11/22 App State vs Marshall-6
Sat 11/29 App State vs Arkansas State-8

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for App State's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LIN0%130%000%000%200%0%0000
APP#105 (.1)48% (38)25.358% (11)3.44 (29)16241% (85)3573.21 (109)#78 (.15)39% (69)20.741% (81)38% (60)4.23 (96)812.71.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LIN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
APP#57 (.21)44% (60)45% (58)3.01 (75)15743% (62)2733.89 (71)#123 (.3)49% (127)51% (130)47% (119)4.78 (132)5721.2



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIN Offense113130%00000000%0%0%0%0%
APP Defense320.71339.3%4.231.7 - - - - - 44%56%41%38%27%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIN Defense120200%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
APP Offense325.32048.4%3.212.7265191623574.544%56%58%41%15%.1

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Lindenwood10:000NAN%0%0000000100
App State331:4826.341%50%8.3812.71.79.33028
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIN Offense10%0%000000%0%0
APP Defense344% (26)41% (81) - - - - .02 (53)2.35 (32)78% (100)17% (5)0.84 (45)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIN Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
APP Offense344% (105)58% (11)36.31624.53 (95).11 (83)3.44 (29)74% (62)6% (25)0.54 (134)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIN Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
APP Defense356% (110)38% (60) - - - - - - 4 (12).28 (95)1.7 (107)37% (24)30% (72).37 (95)10% (8)2.2 (100)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIN Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
APP Offense356% (29)41% (85)27.745.3357.37.912.96 (34)4 (121).1 (117)1.5 (76)31% (77)36% (38).34 (67)9% (131)1.8 (98)

Lindenwood's Power Ratings
Lindenwood's Power Rating: #NR
Lindenwood's Offense Rating: #NR
Lindenwood's Defense Rating: #NR
2025 Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Lindenwood's 2025 Expected Record: -
Lindenwood's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Lindenwood's Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Lindenwood's Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A

Average Talent
Average OVC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Lindenwood:    App State: -7.325

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Lindenwood:    App State: -9.6




App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: -7.325 #106
App State's Offense Rating: 6.10 #98
App State's Defense Rating: 16.15 #105
2025 Talent Rating: 650.00 #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
App State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4
App State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.6 #100
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #100
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #100

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Lindenwood Scoring
Offense: 13 PPG
Offense on Road: 13
Defense: 20 PPG
Defense on Road: 20

Lindenwood's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
App State 22
Lindenwood 15

Total Points: 37

App State Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 20
Defense: 20.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 13

App State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06App State20Lindenwood13App StateApp State -31.5Lindenwood56.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
App State100 Overs
Lindenwood011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#NR) Lindenwood Info
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -


Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Lindenwood Highlights
Lindenwood is Undefeated vs Spread


Lindenwood Deficiencies
Lindenwood has a really bad Offense

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatAPPLIN
OverallOver#56—
OffenseOff#62—
DefenseDef#41—
Special TeamsST#93—
PassingPass#45—
RushingRush#24—
Run BlockRBLK#70—
Pass BlockPBLK#95—
Route RunningWR Rt#62—
TacklingTkl#78—
Run DefenseR Def#18—
Pass Rush DefPRush#26—
Coverage DefCov#57—

Rematch from Week 2
App State -31.5 (56.0)
App State won vs Lindenwood this year (20-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kidd Brewer Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: LIN | APP
Depth Chart: LIN | APP
Rosters: LIN | APP
(#106) App State Info
Power Rating: -7.325 #106
Offense Rating: 6.10 #98
Defense Rating: 16.15 #105
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.6 #100
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #100
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #100
Talent Rating: 650.00 #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44%
Good Offense Success Rate of 48%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.21 PPO
Great Run Success 58%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Bad OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 39%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.23 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 41%
Avg Pass Def Success 38%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

App State has won 1 straight
Record at home: 1 - 0 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

App State Notes
(8/1) Poss worst DL in SBC, 7 portal adds are meh
(8/1) Entire new team, portals meh, no bowl TY
(8/1) Def bottomed out LY. DL weak. LB avg, CB OK
(8/1) Don't love Loggains hire, SC was done w/ him
(7/13) WR rebuild, Stroman exp'd, 4 portal adds
(6/3) Watch WR J Barnes (A Peay) 1k yds, slot guy
(6/3) QB JJ Kohl (ISU) had best spring, Swann (LSU)?
(6/3) OL 3/5 back, bad LY. 8 portals, weak in spring
(3/23) RB rebuild. Dubinion (Ark), Keith (Tenn) added
(3/23) Loggains will OC, DC Smith co-DC @ Mizzu

App State Highlights
App State is Undefeated at Home

App State has a top Offensive Line (#29)
App State does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#15)

App State Defense Sacks the QB a lot

App State Front 7 is disruptive (#5)
App State Secondary is very good (#8)
App State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)

App State Deficiencies
App State has a really bad Offense at Home
App State has a bad TO Margin (#131)
App State Fumbles a Lot (#128)
App State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#121)
App State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
App State offense is not Explosive (#127)
App State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#109)


  
Lindenwood's OC
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Nate Glantz589959%781327.9
Pops Battle010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jared Rhodes4011122.815
Steve Hall156704.516
Robert Giaimo119019.019
Christopher Bennett Jr.115015.015
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Drew Krobath13242018.641
Rico Bond15182212.126
Jalen Smith8119014.930
Darrin Fugitt10107010.737

View Lindenwood's Full Roster
Lindenwood's DC
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sanjay Strickland131100
Alex Dawkins70000
Zach Lewis71000
Jacob Waller60000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sanjay Strickland131100
Jesse Smith20000
Jayden Patrick10001
Zach Neilsen10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eric Gant20002
Jayden Patrick10001
Sam Owens10001

App State's OC Vacant
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
AJ Swann (Tr)6510363%878548.5
Noah Gillon112446%109004.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rashod Dubinion (Tr)7140025.626
Jaquari Lewis114814.410
AJ Swann (Tr)94605.119
Khamani Alexander41403.56
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaden Barnes (Tr)24337314.059
Dalton Stroman15294119.672
Izayah Cummings (Tr)16172010.830
William Fowles574014.819

View App State's Full Roster
App State's DC D. J. Smith
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Colton Phares214001
Dylan Hasz (Tr)141001
Thomas Davis134210
Ja'Den Mcburrows (Tr)112011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Thomas Davis134210
Caleb Sandstrom (Tr)52210
Aiden Benton62210
Kevin Abrams-Verwayne102222
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Johnson71004
Zyeir Gamble81002
Kevin Abrams-Verwayne102222