Marshall at App State - 2025 Matchup Preview
Marshall logo Marshall Thundering Herd at App State MountaineersApp State logo
Saturday, November 22nd 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Kidd Brewer Stadium - Boone, NC  (Sun Belt)

 
Thundering Herd (1 - 2) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Tony Gibson (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 24 (7 - 45 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#99)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
MRSH 2nd straight Road Game
MRSH is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: App State -6   (SP+ MRSH -0.5)

Projected Score: MRSH: 20 - APP: 26 (45)
APP Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
MRSH Travel: 158 miles
Mountaineers (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Dowell Loggains (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 25 - 21 (20 - 13 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 5.4 (#69)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 6)
 
Marshall's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Marshall at Georgia+39.555.5L 7 - 45UY
Sat 9/6 Marshall vs Missouri State-7.053.5L 20 - 21UN
Sat 9/13 Marshall vs Eastern Kentucky-14.549.5W 38 - 7UY
Sat 9/20 Marshall at Middle Tennessee-2.546.5
Sat 9/27 Marshall at Louisiana+6
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Marshall vs Old Dominion+10.5
Sat 10/18 Marshall vs Texas State+9.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/30 Marshall at Coastal Carolina+2
Sat 11/8 Marshall vs James Madison+14.5
Sat 11/15 Marshall at Georgia State-4.5
Sat 11/22 Marshall at App State+6
Sat 11/29 Marshall vs Georgia Southern-7

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Marshall's Schedule
App State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 App State vs Charlotte-8.553.5W 34 - 11UY
Sat 9/6 App State vs Lindenwood-31.556.0W 20 - 13UN
Sat 9/13 App State at Southern Miss-3.055.5L 22 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 App State at Boise State+17
Sat 10/4 App State vs Oregon State+4.5
Sat 10/11 App State at Georgia State-8
Sat 10/18 App State vs Coastal Carolina-6.5
Sat 10/25 App State at Old Dominion+11.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/6 App State vs Georgia Southern-10.5
Sat 11/15 App State at James Madison+16
Sat 11/22 App State vs Marshall-6
Sat 11/29 App State vs Arkansas State-8

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for App State's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MRSH#126 (-)27% (136)21.729% (133)2.35 (120)17621% (134)1093.4 (101)#122 (.33)45% (108)24.345% (98)47% (109)5 (121)52.30.71
APP#105 (.1)48% (38)25.358% (11)3.44 (29)16241% (85)3573.21 (109)#78 (.15)39% (69)20.741% (81)38% (60)4.23 (96)812.71.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MRSH#60 (.21)43% (66)45% (47)3.35 (18)20340% (88)1813.93 (66)#47 (.13)40% (46)43% (75)37% (21)3.87 (79)42.50.71.5
APP#57 (.21)44% (60)45% (58)3.01 (75)15743% (62)2733.89 (71)#123 (.3)49% (127)51% (130)47% (119)4.78 (132)5721.2



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MRSH Offense321.7726.9%3.40.7132841761094.462%36%29%21%15%-
APP Defense320.71339.3%4.231.7 - - - - - 44%56%41%38%27%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MRSH Defense324.34545.3%51 - - - - - 51%48%45%47%16%.33
APP Offense325.32048.4%3.212.7265191623574.544%56%58%41%15%.1

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Marshall328:021327%25%6.352.30.718.33.7024.1
App State331:4826.341%50%8.3812.71.79.33028
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MRSH Offense362% (13)29% (133)40175.74.46 (49)-.08 (128)2.35 (120)0% (136)8% (58)0.67 (128)
APP Defense344% (26)41% (81) - - - - .02 (53)2.35 (32)78% (100)17% (5)0.84 (45)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MRSH Defense351% (79)45% (98) - - - - .1 (88)2.68 (57)67% (53)11% (56)1.07 (94)
APP Offense344% (105)58% (11)36.31624.53 (95).11 (83)3.44 (29)74% (62)6% (25)0.54 (134)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MRSH Offense336% (126)21% (134)10.719.7108.75.510.22 (102)1 (23).09 (118)2 (5)36% (116)11% (136).09 (118)7% (104)3.3 (1)
APP Defense356% (110)38% (60) - - - - - - 4 (12).28 (95)1.7 (107)37% (24)30% (72).37 (95)10% (8)2.2 (100)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MRSH Defense348% (56)47% (109) - - - - - - 3 (28).57 (128)1.9 (124)34% (60)35% (106).34 (90)5% (88)1.9 (63)
APP Offense356% (29)41% (85)27.745.3357.37.912.96 (34)4 (121).1 (117)1.5 (76)31% (77)36% (38).34 (67)9% (131)1.8 (98)

Marshall's Power Ratings
Marshall's Power Rating: -17.69 #123
Marshall's Offense Rating: 1.93 #123
Marshall's Defense Rating: 19.62 #118
2025 Talent Rating: 608.00 #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Marshall's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Marshall's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.3 #98
Marshall's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #96
Marshall's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #103

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Marshall: -17.69   App State: -7.325

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Marshall: -9.3   App State: -9.6




App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: -7.325 #106
App State's Offense Rating: 6.10 #98
App State's Defense Rating: 16.15 #105
2025 Talent Rating: 650.00 #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
App State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4
App State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.6 #100
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #100
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #100

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Marshall Scoring
Offense: 21.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 7
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 45

Marshall's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
App State 26
Marshall 20


Total Points: 45

App State Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 20
Defense: 20.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 13

App State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/05Marshall52App State37MarshallMarshall -3Marshall56.5Over
202311/04App State31Marshall9App StateAppalachian State -3.0App State57.5Under
202211/12Marshall28App State21MarshallAppalachian State -2.0Marshall47.5Over
202109/23App State31Marshall30App StateAppalachian State -7Marshall59.0Over
202009/19Marshall17App State7MarshallAppalachian State -6Marshall60.5Under
200208/31Marshall50App State17Marshall
TeamWinsCoversO/U
App State213 Overs
Marshall442 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 04 - 12 - 12 - 0
Road Teams0 - 61 - 40 - 21 - 2

(#123) Marshall Info
Power Rating: -17.69 #123
Offense Rating: 1.93 #123
Defense Rating: 19.62 #118
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.3 #98
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #96
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #103
Talent Rating: 608.00 #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 36%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 27%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.4 PPO
Awful Run Success 29%
Awful Pass Success 21%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Awful in Scoring Position 5 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 45%
Poor Pass Def Success 47%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Marshall has lost 7 straight
Marshall has lost 5 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Marshall Notes
(8/26) QB1 Del Rio-Wilson, J. Long, Z. Turner listed OR
(8/1) Year 0 for Gibson & staff, 62 new players
(8/1) WR added 11 portals! Scattered not great
(8/1) Def complete rebuild. 30 portal adds (of 59!)
(8/1) HC Huff pushed out, opted out of bowl
(8/1) New OC Smith was RichRod's OC @ Jax St
(3/22) 3/4 of roster is new, along with staff
(3/22) QB Rio-Wilson(SU), Turner(JS), Shockey(NC St)
(3/22) RB Houston back, Barbie (McNeese) added
(3/22) OL 2/5 back, 6 portal adds.

Marshall Highlights
Marshall Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Marshall Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#13)
Marshall has a great TO Margin (#28)
Marshall defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Marshall Deficiencies
Marshall offense is really bad (#136)
Marshall offense is not Explosive (#104)
Marshall Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#129)
Marshall offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#101)
Marshall run game is really bad (#133)
Marshall pass game is really bad (#134)
Marshall offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Marshall has a bad defense (#108)
Marshall gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#122)
Marshall has a bad red zone defense (#121)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatAPPMRSH
OverallOver#56#82
OffenseOff#62#99
DefenseDef#41#63
Special TeamsST#93#108
PassingPass#45#90
RushingRush#24#93
Run BlockRBLK#70#83
Pass BlockPBLK#95#76
Route RunningWR Rt#62#95
TacklingTkl#78#67
Run DefenseR Def#18#32
Pass Rush DefPRush#26#71
Coverage DefCov#57#87

Previous Matchups
Marshall beat App State last year (52-37)
App State beat Marshall in 2023 (31-9)
Marshall beat App State in 2022 (28-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kidd Brewer Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MRSH | APP
Depth Chart: MRSH | APP
Rosters: MRSH | APP
(#106) App State Info
Power Rating: -7.325 #106
Offense Rating: 6.10 #98
Defense Rating: 16.15 #105
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.6 #100
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #100
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #100
Talent Rating: 650.00 #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44%
Good Offense Success Rate of 48%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.21 PPO
Great Run Success 58%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Bad OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 39%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.23 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 41%
Avg Pass Def Success 38%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

App State has lost 8 straight
App State has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

App State Notes
(8/1) Poss worst DL in SBC, 7 portal adds are meh
(8/1) Entire new team, portals meh, no bowl TY
(8/1) Def bottomed out LY. DL weak. LB avg, CB OK
(8/1) Don't love Loggains hire, SC was done w/ him
(7/13) WR rebuild, Stroman exp'd, 4 portal adds
(6/3) Watch WR J Barnes (A Peay) 1k yds, slot guy
(6/3) QB JJ Kohl (ISU) had best spring, Swann (LSU)?
(6/3) OL 3/5 back, bad LY. 8 portals, weak in spring
(3/23) RB rebuild. Dubinion (Ark), Keith (Tenn) added
(3/23) Loggains will OC, DC Smith co-DC @ Mizzu

App State Highlights
App State is Undefeated at Home

App State has a top Offensive Line (#29)
App State does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#15)

App State Defense Sacks the QB a lot

App State Front 7 is disruptive (#5)
App State Secondary is very good (#8)
App State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)

App State Deficiencies
App State has a really bad Offense at Home
App State has a bad TO Margin (#131)
App State Fumbles a Lot (#128)
App State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#121)
App State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
App State offense is not Explosive (#127)
App State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#109)


  
Marshall's OC Rod Smith
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Zion Turner (Tr)193161%183015.9
JacQai Long41625%25001.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Zion Turner (Tr)1711016.526
Justin Williams-Thomas (Tr)1810025.637
Joshon Barbie229614.428
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson (Tr)166213.919
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Xayvion Turner-Bradshaw (Tr)579015.844
Toby Payne561012.226
Justin Williams-Thomas (Tr)341113.730
Antonio Harmon (Tr)134034.034

View Marshall's Full Roster
Marshall's DC Shannon Morrison
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kerion Martin (Tr)264220
Cannon Lewis (Tr)201100
Cameron Smith (Tr)154101
Jibreel Al-Amin (Tr)143222
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Braydin Ward73342
Kerion Martin (Tr)264220
Tyas Martin (Tr)72200
Jibreel Al-Amin (Tr)143222
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Braydin Ward73342
Daytione Smith50002
Jibreel Al-Amin (Tr)143222

App State's OC Vacant
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
AJ Swann (Tr)6510363%878548.5
Noah Gillon112446%109004.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rashod Dubinion (Tr)7140025.626
Jaquari Lewis114814.410
AJ Swann (Tr)94605.119
Khamani Alexander41403.56
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaden Barnes (Tr)24337314.059
Dalton Stroman15294119.672
Izayah Cummings (Tr)16172010.830
William Fowles574014.819

View App State's Full Roster
App State's DC D. J. Smith
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Colton Phares214001
Dylan Hasz (Tr)141001
Thomas Davis134210
Ja'Den Mcburrows (Tr)112011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Thomas Davis134210
Caleb Sandstrom (Tr)52210
Aiden Benton62210
Kevin Abrams-Verwayne102222
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Johnson71004
Zyeir Gamble81002
Kevin Abrams-Verwayne102222