Marshall at App State - 2025 Matchup Preview

Marshall Thundering Herd at App State Mountaineers

Saturday, November 22nd 2025 (2:30 PM EST)
Marshall -3.5 (57.5) (-185) Open: -4.5 | 54.5
App State 26 - Marshall: 24 (Sun Belt)

Thundering Herd (5 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Tony Gibson (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 31 - 30 (30 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#86)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)

Wind: 19.9 MPH
MRSH 2nd straight Road Game
MRSH is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Marshall -2 (SP+ MRSH -5.5)
Projected Score: MRSH: 30 - APP: 28 (59)
MRSH Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
MRSH Travel: 158 miles

Mountaineers (5 - 8) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Dowell Loggains (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (27 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.5 - 7.5 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)

Matchup
Schedules
MRSH Players
APP Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Marshall's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Marshall at Georgia	+39.5	55.5	L 7 - 45	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Marshall vs Missouri State	-7.0	53.5	L 20 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/13	Marshall vs Eastern Kentucky	-14.5	49.5	W 38 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/20	Marshall at Middle Tennessee	-2.5	46.5	W 42 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/27	Marshall at Louisiana	-2.5	47.5	L 51 - 54	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11	Marshall vs Old Dominion	+14.5	57.5	W 48 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/18	Marshall vs Texas State	+3.0	65.5	W 40 - 37	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/30	Marshall at Coastal Carolina	-7.5	55.5	L 27 - 44	O	N
Sat 11/8	Marshall vs James Madison	+13.5	53.5	L 23 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/15	Marshall at Georgia State	-9.5	59.5	W 30 - 18	U	Y
Sat 11/22	Marshall at App State	-3.5	57.5	L 24 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/29	Marshall vs Georgia Southern	-10.5	61.5	L 19 - 24	U	N

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3

Predictions for Marshall's Schedule

App State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	App State vs Charlotte	-8.5	53.5	W 34 - 11	U	Y
Sat 9/6	App State vs Lindenwood	-31.5	56.0	W 20 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/13	App State at Southern Miss	-3.0	55.5	L 22 - 38	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27	App State at Boise State	+16.5	59.5	L 14 - 47	O	N
Sat 10/4	App State vs Oregon State	-1.5	53.5	W 27 - 23	U	Y
Sat 10/11	App State at Georgia State	-3.0	55.5	W 41 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/18	App State vs Coastal Carolina	-10.5	48.5	L 37 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/25	App State at Old Dominion	+12.5	60.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/6	App State vs Georgia Southern	-4.5	62.5	L 23 - 25	U	N
Sat 11/15	App State at James Madison	+21.0	53.5	L 10 - 58	O	N
Sat 11/22	App State vs Marshall	+3.5	57.5	W 26 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/29	App State vs Arkansas State	-1.0	54.5	L 29 - 30	O	N
Mon 12/29	App State vs Georgia Southern	+10.0	58.5	L 10 - 29	U	N

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 2

Predictions for App State's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MRSH	#58 (.19)	45% (37)	30.8	43% (68)	3.05 (47)	198	48% (17)	208	3.89 (53)	#65 (.16)	39% (33)	30.3	37% (12)	42% (73)	3.62 (64)	59.9	1.3	1.8
APP	#93 (.13)	41% (85)	24.2	43% (73)	2.99 (58)	114	40% (85)	242	3.69 (71)	#77 (.18)	45% (109)	29.8	45% (97)	45% (114)	4.18 (116)	58.9	1.4	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MRSH	#60 (.21)	43% (66)		45% (47)	3.35 (18)	203	40% (88)	181	3.93 (66)	#47 (.13)	40% (46)		43% (75)	37% (21)	3.87 (79)	42.5	0.7	1.5
APP	#57 (.21)	44% (60)		45% (58)	3.01 (75)	157	43% (62)	273	3.89 (71)	#123 (.3)	49% (127)		51% (130)	47% (119)	4.78 (132)	57	2	1.2

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MRSH Offense	12	30.8	30.2	45.1%	3.89	1.3	21	406	198	208	4.8	57%	42%	43%	48%	13%	.19
APP Defense	13	29.8	26.7	44.7%	4.18	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	45%	53%	45%	45%	17%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MRSH Defense	12	30.3	35.8	38.9%	3.62	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	37%	42%	16%	.16
APP Offense	13	24.2	27	41.5%	3.69	1.4	19	356	114	242	3.9	42%	56%	43%	40%	17%	.13

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Marshall	12	30:05	21.3	35%	44%	6.8	59.9	1.3	1.8	6.1	2.3	3	32.2
App State	13	26:01	19.5	33%	63%	6.3	58.9	1.4	1.4	5.4	2.2	1	28

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MRSH Offense	12	57% (19)	43% (68)	41.4	198.2	4.8	23 (40)	.05 (100)	3.05 (47)	63% (120)	8% (38)	0.85 (119)
APP Defense	13	45% (16)	45% (97)	-	-	-	-	.05 (44)	2.8 (55)	70% (57)	10% (57)	0.82 (10)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MRSH Defense	12	51% (76)	37% (12)	-	-	-	-	.04 (28)	2.6 (16)	63% (17)	10% (53)	0.99 (88)
APP Offense	13	42% (121)	43% (73)	29	114	3.9	11 (99)	.07 (92)	2.99 (58)	67% (96)	8% (29)	0.77 (131)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MRSH Offense	12	42% (117)	48% (17)	18.2	27.9	207.9	7.5	11.4	18 (50)	6 (7)	.38 (28)	1.5 (84)	28% (23)	31% (61)	.31 (65)	5% (25)	2.1 (33)
APP Defense	13	53% (122)	45% (114)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (22)	.31 (96)	1.5 (52)	32% (55)	32% (93)	.36 (103)	7% (24)	2.2 (116)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MRSH Defense	12	48% (59)	42% (73)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (12)	.33 (109)	1.8 (133)	34% (37)	29% (66)	.21 (35)	6% (81)	1.9 (42)
APP Offense	13	56% (15)	40% (85)	21.8	36.8	241.8	6.6	11.1	23 (33)	11 (108)	.23 (79)	1.6 (60)	33% (99)	33% (35)	.33 (59)	9% (133)	1.9 (107)

Marshall's Power Ratings
Marshall's Power Rating: -7.36 #96
Marshall's Offense Rating: 4.53 #94
Marshall's Defense Rating: 11.89 #93
2025 Talent Rating: 608.00 #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Marshall's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Marshall's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.2 #89
Marshall's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #54
Marshall's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #121

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Marshall: -7.36 App State: -8.315

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Marshall: -5.2 App State: -10.6

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: -8.315 #112
App State's Offense Rating: 3.41 #105
App State's Defense Rating: 14.44 #108
2025 Talent Rating: 650.00 #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
App State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.5 - 7.5
App State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.6 #108
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #92
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #119

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Marshall Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.2
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.8

Marshall's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Marshall 30
App State 28

Total Points: 59

Based on Last 4 Games
Marshall 33
App State 29

Total Points: 62

Based on Entire Season
Marshall 29
App State 29

Total Points: 58

App State Scoring
Offense: 24.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 27
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.7

App State's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/22	App State	26	Marshall	24	Marshall -3.5	App State	57.5	Under
2024	10/05	Marshall	52	App State	37	Marshall -3	Marshall	56.5	Over
2023	11/04	App State	31	Marshall	9	Appalachian State -3.0	App State	57.5	Under
2022	11/12	Marshall	28	App State	21	Appalachian State -2.0	Marshall	47.5	Over
2021	09/23	App State	31	Marshall	30	Appalachian State -7	Marshall	59.0	Over
2020	09/19	Marshall	17	App State	7	Appalachian State -6	Marshall	60.5	Under
2002	08/31	Marshall	50	App State	17

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
App State	3	2	3 Overs
Marshall	4	4	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 0	5 - 1	2 - 1	3 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 7	1 - 5	0 - 3	1 - 2

(#96) MRSH at (#112) APP

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MRSH	APP
Power RatePwr	#96	#112
SP+SP+	#89	#108
Perf GradeGrade	#57	#90
OffenseOff	#80	#98
DefenseDef	#31	#53
Spec TeamsST	#106	#36
TalentTal	#92	#84
Blue ChipsBC%	#65	#101

Marshall Notes(10/19) Avg 44 PPG in last 5, won last 2 as underdogs
(10/12) Off scorching hot, killed ODU, pass/run 220+
(9/21) Killed M Tenn, QB Del Rio-Wilson good/efficient
(8/30) Turner/Long/Rio-Wilson all played vs UGA
(8/26) QB1 Del Rio-Wilson, J. Long, Z. Turner listed OR
(8/1) Year 0 for Gibson & staff, 62 new players
(8/1) WR added 11 portals! Scattered not great
(8/1) Def complete rebuild. 30 portal adds (of 59!)
(8/1) HC Huff pushed out, opted out of bowl
(8/1) New OC Smith was RichRod's OC @ Jax St
(3/22) 3/4 of roster is new, along with staff
(3/22) QB Rio-Wilson(SU), Turner(JS), Shockey(NC St)
Marshall Injury Report

App State Notes(10/19) Horrific home loss to C Car, Run Def mauled 240+
(10/19) So QB JJ Kohl taken over for Swann (was injured)
(9/22) App has lost 5 straight road games into Boise St
(8/30) Swann great vs Char, Run game decent, Def imp
(8/1) Poss worst DL in SBC, 7 portal adds are meh
(8/1) Entire new team, portals meh, no bowl TY
(8/1) Def bottomed out LY. DL weak. LB avg, CB OK
(8/1) Don't love Loggains hire, SC was done w/ him
(7/13) WR rebuild, Stroman exp'd, 4 portal adds
(6/3) Watch WR J Barnes (A Peay) 1k yds, slot guy
(6/3) QB JJ Kohl (ISU) had best spring, Swann (LSU)?
(6/3) OL 3/5 back, bad LY. 8 portals, weak in spring
App State Injury Report

Marshall on Offense

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	MRSH Off	APP Def
Perf GradePerf	#80	#53
SuccessSuc	#37	#109
ExplosiveExp	#120	#44
PPAPPA	#58	#77
PowerPwr	#94	#108
SP+SP+	#54	#119
Pts POPPO	#53	#116
HavocHav	#30	#42

Marshall Run Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	MRSH Off	APP Def
Run GameRun	#94	#24
Run SuccessRSuc	#68	#97
Run ExplRExp	#119	#10
PPAExp	#100	#44
Run BlockR Blk	#103	-
OL YdsOLY	#47	#55
Stuff RateStuff	#47	#78
TackleTak	-	#61

Marshall Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	MRSH Off	APP Def
Pass GamePass	#66	#105
Pass SuccessPSuc	#17	#114
Pass ExplPExl	#84	#52
PPAExp	#28	#96
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#69	#9
F7 HavocF7	#38	#57
DB HavocDB	#25	#24

App State on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	APP Off	MRSH Def
Perf GradePerf	#98	#31
SuccessSuc	#85	#33
ExplosiveExp	#97	#129
PPAPPA	#93	#65
PowerPwr	#105	#93
SP+SP+	#92	#121
Pts POPPO	#71	#64
HavocHav	#99	#67

App State Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	APP Off	MRSH Def
Run GameRun	#87	#6
Run SuccessRSuc	#73	#12
Run ExplRExp	#131	#88
PPAExp	#92	#28
Run BlockR Blk	#99	-
OL YdsOLY	#58	#16
Stuff RateStuff	#27	#25
TackleTak	-	#35

App State Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	APP Off	MRSH Def
Pass GamePass	#74	#61
Pass SuccessPSuc	#85	#73
Pass ExplPExl	#60	#133
PPAExp	#79	#109
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#115	#87
F7 HavocF7	#29	#53
DB HavocDB	#133	#81

Program Comparison
APP 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

MRSH 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kidd Brewer Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 60° - Wind: 20 mph

Rematch from Week 13
Marshall 3.5 (57.5)
App State won vs Marshall this year (26-24)

Previous Matchups
Marshall beat App State last year (52-37)
App State beat Marshall in 2023 (31-9)
Marshall beat App State in 2022 (28-21)

MRSH's OC Rod Smith (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson (Tr)	171	256	67%	2043	17	5	8.0
Zion Turner (Tr)	40	59	68%	409	1	1	6.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson (Tr)	159	658	6	4.1	24
Antwan Roberts	90	512	4	5.7	54
Michael Allen (Tr)	77	385	4	5.0	68
Joshon Barbie	56	249	5	4.4	28

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Demarcus Lacey (Tr)	65	769	5	11.8	68
De'Andre Tamarez (Tr)	32	395	2	12.3	44
Toby Payne	36	387	3	10.8	48
Adrian Norton (Tr)	28	383	5	13.7	41

View Marshall's Full Roster

MRSH's DC Shannon Morrison (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Boogie Trotter	73	3	1	3	5
Kerion Martin (Tr)	67	6	2	7	1
Cameron Smith (Tr)	66	5	2	3	8
Javae Gilmore (Tr)	56	10	2	8	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Braydin Ward	18	6	5	4	2
Paul Hutson III (Tr)	37	6	3	3	0
Jibreel Al-Amin (Tr)	51	6	3	4	2
Jamaal Whyce (Tr)	29	5	3	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cameron Smith (Tr)	66	5	2	3	8
Boogie Trotter	73	3	1	3	5
Daytione Smith	50	2	0	0	4

APP's OC Vacant (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
AJ Swann (Tr)	130	222	59%	1494	10	8	6.7
J.J. Kohl (Tr)	133	216	62%	1465	12	2	6.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rashod Dubinion (Tr)	174	868	4	5.0	39
Jaquari Lewis	124	563	6	4.5	27
J.J. Kohl (Tr)	30	50	1	1.7	32
Khamani Alexander	7	28	0	4.0	6

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaden Barnes (Tr)	55	608	7	11.1	59
Dalton Stroman	32	569	4	17.8	72
Davion Dozier (Tr)	20	448	5	22.4	68
Izayah Cummings (Tr)	37	374	1	10.1	30

View App State's Full Roster

APP's DC D. J. Smith (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Colton Phares	89	9	2	2	3
Zyeir Gamble	66	3	0	0	4
DJ Burks	65	2	0	0	5
Elijah Mc-Cantos	52	1	0	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kevin Abrams-Verwayne	39	7	5	5	2
Aiden Benton	34	5	4	6	0
Caleb Sandstrom (Tr)	19	4	4	3	2
Thomas Davis	25	6	3	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Ethan Johnson	40	1	11
DJ Burks	65	2	5
Emory Floyd Jr. (Tr)	47	1	4