App State at Charlotte - 2025 Matchup Preview
App State logo App State Mountaineers vs Charlotte 49ersCharlotte logo
Friday, August 29th 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
App State -8.5 (53.5) (-325)  Open: -8.5 | 53.5
App State 34 - Charlotte: 11  (Duke’s Mayo Classic)

 
Mountaineers (5 - 8) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Dowell Loggains (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (22 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.5 - 7.5 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
Our Line: App State -13  (SP+ APP -15.5)
Projected Score: APP: 34 - CHAR: 21 (54)
APP Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
APP Travel: 82 miles
49ers (1 - 11) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tim Albin (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 14 - 36 (17 - 36 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 1 - 11 (#133)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 7)
 
App State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 App State vs Charlotte-8.553.5W 34 - 11UY
Sat 9/6 App State vs Lindenwood-31.556.0W 20 - 13UN
Sat 9/13 App State at Southern Miss-3.055.5L 22 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 App State at Boise State+16.559.5L 14 - 47ON
Sat 10/4 App State vs Oregon State-1.553.5W 27 - 23UY
Sat 10/11 App State at Georgia State-3.055.5W 41 - 20OY
Sat 10/18 App State vs Coastal Carolina-10.548.5L 37 - 45ON
Sat 10/25 App State at Old Dominion+12.560.5L 21 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/6 App State vs Georgia Southern-4.562.5L 23 - 25UN
Sat 11/15 App State at James Madison+21.053.5L 10 - 58ON
Sat 11/22 App State vs Marshall+3.557.5W 26 - 24UY
Sat 11/29 App State vs Arkansas State-1.054.5L 29 - 30ON
Mon 12/29 App State vs Georgia Southern+10.058.5L 10 - 29UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for App State's Schedule
Charlotte's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Charlotte vs App State+8.553.5L 11 - 34UN
Sat 9/6 Charlotte vs North Carolina+16.549.5L 3 - 20UN
Sat 9/13 Charlotte vs Monmouth-3.066.5W 42 - 35OY
Thu 9/18 Charlotte vs Rice+1.541.5L 17 - 28ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/3 Charlotte at South Florida+28.554.5L 26 - 54OY
Sat 10/11 Charlotte at Army+17.545.5L 7 - 24UY
Sat 10/18 Charlotte vs Temple+10.047.5L 14 - 49ON
Fri 10/24 Charlotte vs North Texas+25.560.5L 20 - 54ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Charlotte at East Carolina+29.556.5L 22 - 48OY
Sat 11/15 Charlotte vs UTSA+16.557.5L 7 - 28UN
Sat 11/22 Charlotte at Georgia+42.553.5L 3 - 35UY
Sat 11/29 Charlotte at Tulane+31.552.5L 0 - 27UY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Charlotte's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
APP#93 (.13)41% (85)24.243% (73)2.99 (58)11440% (85)2423.69 (71)#77 (.18)45% (109)29.845% (97)45% (114)4.18 (116)58.91.41.4
CHAR#136 (-.01)34% (133)14.334% (134)2.13 (135)8235% (123)2042.73 (131)#124 (.26)54% (136)36.355% (136)53% (135)4.16 (114)50.81.91.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
APP#57 (.21)44% (60)45% (58)3.01 (75)15743% (62)2733.89 (71)#123 (.3)49% (127)51% (130)47% (119)4.78 (132)5721.2
CHAR#116 (.1)37% (122)39% (110)2.75 (113)11935% (120)2243.9 (70)#113 (.25)45% (107)48% (111)42% (83)3.87 (81)65.31.81



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
APP Offense1324.221.641.5%3.691.4193561142423.942%56%43%40%17%.13
CHAR Defense1236.335.753.9%4.161.3 - - - - - 51%47%55%53%11%.26
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
APP Defense1329.837.444.7%4.181.4 - - - - - 45%53%45%45%17%.18
CHAR Offense1214.317.234.2%2.731.916286822042.744%54%34%35%19%-.01

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
App State1326:0119.533%63%6.358.91.41.45.42.2128
Charlotte1228:0615.635%46%6.150.81.91.341.2127.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
APP Offense1342% (121)43% (73)291143.911 (99).07 (92)2.99 (58)67% (96)8% (29)0.77 (131)
CHAR Defense1251% (89)55% (136) - - - - .22 (129)3.33 (130)81% (125)7% (129)0.86 (20)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
APP Defense1345% (16)45% (97) - - - - .05 (44)2.8 (55)70% (57)10% (57)0.82 (10)
CHAR Offense1244% (114)34% (134)30.381.82.75 (122)-.15 (136)2.13 (135)61% (125)12% (122)0.66 (136)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
APP Offense1356% (15)40% (85)21.836.8241.86.611.123 (33)11 (108).23 (79)1.6 (60)33% (99)33% (35).33 (59)9% (133)1.9 (107)
CHAR Defense1247% (58)53% (135) - - - - - - 7 (123).34 (112)1.3 (6)24% (136)35% (128).42 (120)4% (135)2 (75)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
APP Defense1353% (122)45% (114) - - - - - - 12 (22).31 (96)1.5 (52)32% (55)32% (93).36 (103)7% (24)2.2 (116)
CHAR Offense1254% (24)35% (123)18.831.62046.510.914 (86)13 (108).13 (118)1.8 (13)35% (126)25% (122).12 (129)7% (99)1.9 (109)

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: -11.03  #112
App State's Offense Rating: 3.41  #105
App State's Defense Rating: 14.44  #108
2025 Talent Rating: 650.00  #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
App State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.5 - 7.5
App State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.6  #108
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0  #92
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0  #119

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
App State: -11.03   Charlotte: -24.04

SP+ Ratings Matchup
App State: -10.6   Charlotte: -26.2




Charlotte's Power Ratings
Charlotte's Power Rating: -24.04  #135
Charlotte's Offense Rating: -0.08  #129
Charlotte's Defense Rating: 21.80  #132
2025 Talent Rating: 588.00  #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 3  #65
Charlotte's 2025 Expected Record: 1.0 - 11.0
Charlotte's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -26.2  #134
Charlotte's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.7  #132
Charlotte's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3  #133

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


App State Scoring
Offense: 24.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.6
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.4

App State's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
App State 34
Charlotte 21


Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
App State 31
Charlotte 26

Total Points: 57

Based on Entire Season
App State 29
Charlotte 25

Total Points: 54
Charlotte Scoring
Offense: 14.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 17.2
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 35.7

Charlotte's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202508/29Charlotte11App State34App State -8.5App State53.5Under
202009/12App State35Charlotte20Appalachian State -17Charlotte59.0Under
201909/07App State56Charlotte41Appalachian State -23Charlotte54.0Over
201809/08Charlotte9App State45Appalachian State -14.5App State48.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Charlotte022 Overs
App State422 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 20 - 40 - 20 - 2
Road Teams2 - 24 - 02 - 02 - 0

(#112) APP at (#135) CHAR
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatAPPCHAR
Power RatePwr #112 #135
SP+SP+ #108 #134
Perf GradeGrade #90 #132
OffenseOff #98 #111
DefenseDef #53 #133
Spec TeamsST #36 #123
TalentTal #84 #97
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #65
App State Notes
(10/19) Horrific home loss to C Car, Run Def mauled 240+
(10/19) So QB JJ Kohl taken over for Swann (was injured)
(9/22) App has lost 5 straight road games into Boise St
(8/30) Swann great vs Char, Run game decent, Def imp
(8/1) Poss worst DL in SBC, 7 portal adds are meh
(8/1) Entire new team, portals meh, no bowl TY
(8/1) Def bottomed out LY. DL weak. LB avg, CB OK
(8/1) Don't love Loggains hire, SC was done w/ him
(7/13) WR rebuild, Stroman exp'd, 4 portal adds
(6/3) Watch WR J Barnes (A Peay) 1k yds, slot guy
(6/3) QB JJ Kohl (ISU) had best spring, Swann (LSU)?
(6/3) OL 3/5 back, bad LY. 8 portals, weak in spring
App State Injury Report
Charlotte Notes
(10/19) Team is awful, Off is bad but Def is worse.
(10/4) QB1 is now Zach Wilcke, played OK in USF blowout
(10/4) Off is still really bad, can't run. 3 QBs thru wk 6
(10/2) QB1 Connor Harrell out for season (knee), Loftis QB1
(9/18) WR E. Jai Mason a baller to watch. QB meh
(9/18) Run Off awful, Run Def bad. Not much hope
(9/18) Tim Albin very good coach but roster is bad
(8/30) QB Harrell bad, Run game putrid vs App St
(8/30) Def torched for 580+ vs App St, Pass D worse?
(3/24) QB Connor Harrell (NC) or G Loftis (Duke)
(3/24) RB rebuild. Chaney (Lou) added, depth?
(3/24) WR complete rebuild. 5 portals.
Charlotte Injury Report
App State on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat
APP OffCHAR Def
Perf GradePerf #98 #133
SuccessSuc #85 #136
ExplosiveExp #97 #5
PPAPPA #93 #124
PowerPwr #105 #132
SP+SP+ #92 #133
Pts POPPO #71 #114
HavocHav #99 #134
App State Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat
APP OffCHAR Def
Run GameRun #87 #129
Run SuccessRSuc #73 #136
Run ExplRExp #131 #20
PPAExp #92 #129
Run BlockR Blk #99 -
OL YdsOLY #58 #130
Stuff RateStuff #27 #132
TackleTak -  #127
App State Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat
APP OffCHAR Def
Pass GamePass #74 #130
Pass SuccessPSuc #85 #135
Pass ExplPExl #60 #6
PPAExp #79 #112
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #115 #131
F7 HavocF7 #29 #129
DB HavocDB #133 #135
Charlotte on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 44%
CategoryCatCHAR OffAPP Def
Perf GradePerf #111 #53
SuccessSuc #133 #109
ExplosiveExp #50 #44
PPAPPA #136 #77
PowerPwr #129 #108
SP+SP+ #132 #119
Pts POPPO #131 #116
HavocHav #122 #42
Charlotte Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat
CHAR OffAPP Def
Run GameRun #136 #24
Run SuccessRSuc #134 #97
Run ExplRExp #136 #10
PPAExp #136 #44
Run BlockR Blk #103 -
OL YdsOLY #135 #55
Stuff RateStuff #127 #78
TackleTak -  #61
Charlotte Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 44%
CategoryCatCHAR OffAPP Def
Pass GamePass #87 #105
Pass SuccessPSuc #123 #114
Pass ExplPExl #13 #52
PPAExp #118 #96
Pass Block/RushP Blk #123 #9
F7 HavocF7 #122 #57
DB HavocDB #99 #24
Program Comparison
CHAR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

APP 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bank of America Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 77°
Rematch from Week 1
App State 8.5 (53.5)
App State won at Charlotte this year (34-11)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
APP's OC Vacant (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
AJ Swann (Tr)13022259%14941086.7
J.J. Kohl (Tr)13321662%14651226.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rashod Dubinion (Tr)17486845.039
Jaquari Lewis12456364.527
J.J. Kohl (Tr)305011.732
Khamani Alexander72804.06
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaden Barnes (Tr)55608711.159
Dalton Stroman32569417.872
Davion Dozier (Tr)20448522.468
Izayah Cummings (Tr)37374110.130

View App State's Full Roster

APP's DC D. J. Smith (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Colton Phares899223
Zyeir Gamble663004
DJ Burks652005
Elijah Mc-Cantos521002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kevin Abrams-Verwayne397552
Aiden Benton345460
Caleb Sandstrom (Tr)194432
Thomas Davis256320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Johnson4010011
DJ Burks652005
Emory Floyd Jr. (Tr)471004

CHAR's OC Todd Fitch (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Grayson Loftis (Tr)12823255%1415886.1
Conner Harrell (Tr)649667%737427.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rod Gainey Jr.7426013.537
Cameren Smith (Tr)6222003.513
Jariel Cobb (Tr)5119003.721
C.J. Stokes4814913.121
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Javen Nicholas (Tr)60740512.364
Sean Brown36508114.146
E. Jai Mason31423413.662
Miles Burris1413409.618

View Charlotte's Full Roster

CHAR's DC Nate Faanes (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Reid Williford746420
Kadin Schmitz (Tr)651032
Ja'Qurious Conley640002
Shay Taylor (Tr)626260
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Reid Williford746420
Curtis Simpson (Tr)315341
Shay Taylor (Tr)626260
Yamil Talib284251
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Thailand Baldwin (Tr)200004
Derrick Edwards191002
Gavin Shipman (Tr)101002