App State at Charlotte - 2025 Matchup Preview
App State logo App State Mountaineers vs Charlotte 49ersCharlotte logo
Friday, August 29th 2025 (3:00 PM EDT)
App State -8.5 (53.5) (0)  Open: -8.5 | 53.5
Bank of America Stadium - Charlotte, NC  (Duke’s Mayo Classic)

 
Mountaineers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Dowell Loggains (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 27 - 33 (24 - 40 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.9 - 7.1 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
Our Line: App State -6.5   (SP+ APP -10.5)
Projected Score: APP: 32 - CHAR: 25 (59)
APP Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
APP Travel: 82 miles
49ers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Tim Albin (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 24 - 35 (24 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.5 - 9.5 (#134)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 7)
 
App State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 App State vs Charlotte-8.553.5
Sat 9/6 App State vs Lindenwood-9.5
Sat 9/13 App State at Southern Miss+7.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 App State at Boise State+26
Sat 10/4 App State vs Oregon State+8
Sat 10/11 App State at Georgia State-0.5
Sat 10/18 App State vs Coastal Carolina+0
Sat 10/25 App State at Old Dominion+6
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/6 App State vs Georgia Southern+7.5
Sat 11/15 App State at James Madison+18
Sat 11/22 App State vs Marshall-6
Sat 11/29 App State vs Arkansas State+0

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for App State's Schedule
Charlotte's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Charlotte vs App State+8.553.5
Sat 9/6 Charlotte vs North Carolina+19.5
Sat 9/13 Charlotte vs Monmouth-3
Thu 9/18 Charlotte vs Rice+1
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/3 Charlotte at South Florida+23.5
Sat 10/11 Charlotte at Army+19
Sat 10/18 Charlotte vs Temple-0.5
Fri 10/24 Charlotte vs North Texas+10
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Charlotte at East Carolina+15.5
Sat 11/15 Charlotte vs UTSA+18.5
Sat 11/22 Charlotte at Georgia+50.5
Sat 11/29 Charlotte at Tulane+26.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Charlotte's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
APP#57 (.21)44% (60)26.645% (58)3.01 (75)15743% (62)2733.89 (71)#123 (.3)49% (127)32.951% (130)47% (119)4.78 (132)5721.2
CHAR#116 (.1)37% (122)23.739% (110)2.75 (113)11935% (120)2243.9 (70)#113 (.25)45% (107)35.148% (111)42% (83)3.87 (81)65.31.81
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
APP0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CHAR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
APP Offense1126.624.343.6%3.892244301572734.548%51%45%43%16%.21
CHAR Defense1235.133.345.3%3.871 - - - - - 56%44%48%42%15%.25
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
APP Defense1132.939.749%4.781.2 - - - - - 56%44%51%47%12%.3
CHAR Offense1223.724.237.1%3.91.8173431192243.747%52%39%35%17%.1

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
App State1130:0623.943%59%65721.24.32.1127.6
Charlotte1228:3717.330%42%7.865.31.814.91.2126.1
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
APP Offense1148% (81)45% (58)34.9157.44.513 (105).1 (89)3.01 (75)80% (21)7% (15)0.89 (104)
CHAR Defense1256% (118)48% (111) - - - - .19 (104)3.27 (106)68% (35)8% (114)0.96 (57)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
APP Defense1156% (124)51% (130) - - - - .26 (128)3.41 (125)77% (94)9% (89)1.04 (94)
CHAR Offense1247% (88)39% (110)32.3118.73.716 (90).09 (93)2.75 (113)68% (105)11% (106)1.1 (24)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
APP Offense1151% (53)43% (62)19.835.6272.97.713.823 (41)16 (124).32 (41)1.8 (13)35% (122)37% (15).46 (19)9% (130)2.2 (18)
CHAR Defense1244% (18)42% (83) - - - - - - 10 (66).34 (112)1.8 (122)31% (92)33% (107).57 (132)6% (51)2.4 (133)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
APP Defense1144% (10)47% (119) - - - - - - 4 (125).37 (119)1.5 (46)26% (133)35% (115).38 (100)2% (134)2 (62)
CHAR Offense1252% (46)35% (120)14.829.4224.17.615.216 (87)14 (115).12 (120)1.9 (6)35% (123)29% (96).23 (103)6% (57)2.3 (3)

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: -18.76 #118
App State's Offense Rating: 6.85 #112
App State's Defense Rating: 25.61 #121
2025 Talent Rating: 586.00 #83
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #97
App State's 2025 Expected Record: 4.9 - 7.1
App State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.8 #98
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #94
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #103

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 525.43
Average Power Five Talent: 860.18
Average FBS Talent: 682.74

Power Ratings Matchup
App State: -18.76   Charlotte: -20.29

SP+ Ratings Matchup
App State: -8.8   Charlotte: -19.4




Charlotte's Power Ratings
Charlotte's Power Rating: -20.29 #130
Charlotte's Offense Rating: 1.99 #130
Charlotte's Defense Rating: 23.17 #109
2025 Talent Rating: 466.00 #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #61
Charlotte's 2025 Expected Record: 2.5 - 9.5
Charlotte's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.4 #133
Charlotte's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #120
Charlotte's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.5 #128

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 528.57
Average Power Five Talent: 860.18
Average FBS Talent: 682.74


App State Scoring
Offense: 26.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.3
Defense: 32.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 39.7

App State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
App State 32
Charlotte 25


Projected Total Points: 59
Charlotte Scoring
Offense: 23.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.2
Defense: 35.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.3

Charlotte's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202009/12App State35Charlotte20App StateAppalachian State -17Charlotte59.0Under
201909/07App State56Charlotte41App StateAppalachian State -23Charlotte54.0Over
201809/08Charlotte9App State45App StateAppalachian State -14.5App State48.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Charlotte022 Overs
App State311 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 10 - 30 - 20 - 1
Road Teams1 - 23 - 01 - 02 - 0

(#118) App State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -18.76 #118
Offense Rating: 6.85 #112
Defense Rating: 25.61 #121
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.8 #98
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #94
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #103
Talent Rating: 586.00 #83
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #97
Expected Record: 4.9 - 7.1

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.89 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.78 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Awful Pass Def Success 47%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


App State Notes
(7/13) WR rebuild, Stroman exp'd, 4 portal adds
(6/3) Watch WR J Barnes (A Peay) 1k yds, slot guy
(6/3) QB JJ Kohl (ISU) had best spring, Swann (LSU)?
(6/3) OL 3/5 back, bad LY. 8 portals, weak in spring
(3/23) RB rebuild. Dubinion (Ark), Keith (Tenn) added
(3/23) Def bad LY, return some. DL weak. CB's good?
(3/23) Loggains was S Car OC, in for fired S. Clark
(3/23) Loggains will OC, DC Smith co-DC @ Mizzu
App State     Ratings Matchup     Charlotte
Power #118
#130
Off #112
#130
Def #121
#109
Talent #83
#115
SP+ #98
#133
SP+ Off #94
#120
SP+ Def #103
#128

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bank of America Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: APP | CHAR
Depth Chart: APP | CHAR
Rosters: APP | CHAR
(#130) Charlotte Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -20.29 #130
Offense Rating: 1.99 #130
Defense Rating: 23.17 #109
Overall SP+ Rating: -19.4 #133
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #120
Defense SP+ Rating: 38.5 #128
Talent Rating: 466.00 #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #61
Expected Record: 2.5 - 9.5

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.9 PPO
Poor Run Success 39%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.87 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Charlotte Notes
(3/24) QB Connor Harrell (NC) or G Loftis (Duke)
(3/24) RB rebuild. Chaney (Lou) added, depth?
(3/24) WR complete rebuild. 5 portals.
(3/24) OL rebuild 1/5 back. Only 1 portal add?


  
App State's OC Vacant
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
AJ Swann (Tr)2450%10002.5
Billy Wiles010%0010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rashod Dubinion (Tr)5633526.023
Khalifa Keith (Tr)2110014.823
Jaden Barnes (Tr)250125.036
Jaylon Calhoun1202.02
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaden Barnes (Tr)581066918.473
Dalton Stroman20307515.447
Rashod Dubinion (Tr)1612207.623
Kanen Hamlett43528.819

View App State's Full Roster
App State's DC D. J. Smith
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyle Arnholt542020
DJ Burks523000
Thomas Davis356410
Jordan Favors331004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Thomas Davis356410
Shawn Collins163241
Rondarius Porter (Tr)71100
Kevin Abrams-Verwayne91110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Favors331004
Cristian Conyer (Tr)90003
Ethan Johnson220012

Charlotte's OC Todd Fitch
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Conner Harrell (Tr)213757%282217.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Donald Chaney Jr. (Tr)5017833.627
Henry Rutledge117206.533
Conner Harrell (Tr)165513.416
Rod Gainey Jr.103403.411
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Henry Rutledge108218.228
Miles Burris264032.048
Donald Chaney Jr. (Tr)76208.919
Justin Olson235017.525

View Charlotte's Full Roster
Charlotte's DC Nate Faanes
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shay Taylor (Tr)7411434
Reid Williford746222
Treyveon McGee332001
Ja'Qurious Conley262110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shay Taylor (Tr)7411434
Reid Williford746222
Donovan Spellman32100
Ja'Qurious Conley262110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shay Taylor (Tr)7411434
Thailand Baldwin (Tr)233003
Reid Williford746222