App State at Charlotte - 2025 Matchup Preview
App State logo   App State Mountaineers vs Charlotte 49ers  Charlotte logo
Friday, August 29th 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
App State -8.5 (53.5) (-325)  Open: -8.5 | 53.5
App State 34 - Charlotte: 11  (Duke’s Mayo Classic)

 
Mountaineers (5 - 8) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Dowell Loggains (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (22 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.5 - 7.5 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
Our Line: App State -13  (SP+ APP -15.5)
Projected Score: APP: 33 - CHAR: 20 (54)
APP Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
APP Travel: 83 miles
49ers (1 - 11) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tim Albin (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 14 - 36 (17 - 36 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 1 - 11 (#133)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 7)
 
App State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 App State vs Charlotte-8.553.5W 34 - 11UY
Sat 9/6 App State vs Lindenwood-31.556.0W 20 - 13UN
Sat 9/13 App State at Southern Miss-3.055.5L 22 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 App State at Boise State+16.559.5L 14 - 47ON
Sat 10/4 App State vs Oregon State-1.553.5W 27 - 23UY
Sat 10/11 App State at Georgia State-3.055.5W 41 - 20OY
Sat 10/18 App State vs Coastal Carolina-10.548.5L 37 - 45ON
Sat 10/25 App State at Old Dominion+12.560.5L 21 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/6 App State vs Georgia Southern-4.562.5L 23 - 25UN
Sat 11/15 App State at James Madison+21.053.5L 10 - 58ON
Sat 11/22 App State vs Marshall+3.557.5W 26 - 24UY
Sat 11/29 App State vs Arkansas State-1.054.5L 29 - 30ON
Mon 12/29 App State vs Georgia Southern+10.058.5L 10 - 29UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for App State's Schedule
Charlotte's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Charlotte vs App State+8.553.5L 11 - 34UN
Sat 9/6 Charlotte vs North Carolina+16.549.5L 3 - 20UN
Sat 9/13 Charlotte vs Monmouth-3.066.5W 42 - 35OY
Thu 9/18 Charlotte vs Rice+1.541.5L 17 - 28ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/3 Charlotte at South Florida+28.554.5L 26 - 54OY
Sat 10/11 Charlotte at Army+17.545.5L 7 - 24UY
Sat 10/18 Charlotte vs Temple+10.047.5L 14 - 49ON
Fri 10/24 Charlotte vs North Texas+25.560.5L 20 - 54ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Charlotte at East Carolina+29.556.5L 22 - 48OY
Sat 11/15 Charlotte vs UTSA+16.557.5L 7 - 28UN
Sat 11/22 Charlotte at Georgia+42.553.5L 3 - 35UY
Sat 11/29 Charlotte at Tulane+31.552.5L 0 - 27UY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Charlotte's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
APP#57 (.21)44% (60)24.245% (58)3.01 (75)15743% (62)2733.89 (71)#123 (.3)49% (127)29.851% (130)47% (119)4.78 (132)5721.2
CHAR#116 (.1)37% (122)14.339% (110)2.75 (113)11935% (120)2243.9 (70)#113 (.25)45% (107)36.348% (111)42% (83)3.87 (81)65.31.81
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
APP0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CHAR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
APP Offense1124.221.643.6%3.892244301572734.548%51%45%43%16%.21
CHAR Defense1236.335.745.3%3.871 - - - - - 56%44%48%42%15%.25
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
APP Defense1129.837.449%4.781.2 - - - - - 56%44%51%47%12%.3
CHAR Offense1214.317.237.1%3.91.8173431192243.747%52%39%35%17%.1

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
App State1130:0623.943%59%65721.24.32.1127.6
Charlotte1228:3717.330%42%7.865.31.814.91.2126.1
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
APP Offense1148% (81)45% (58)34.9157.44.513 (105).1 (89)3.01 (75)80% (21)7% (15)0.89 (104)
CHAR Defense1256% (118)48% (111) - - - - .19 (104)3.27 (106)68% (35)8% (114)0.96 (57)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
APP Defense1156% (124)51% (130) - - - - .26 (128)3.41 (125)77% (94)9% (89)1.04 (94)
CHAR Offense1247% (88)39% (110)32.3118.73.716 (90).09 (93)2.75 (113)68% (105)11% (106)1.1 (24)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
APP Offense1151% (53)43% (62)19.835.6272.97.713.823 (41)16 (124).32 (41)1.8 (13)35% (122)37% (15).46 (19)9% (130)2.2 (18)
CHAR Defense1244% (18)42% (83) - - - - - - 10 (66).34 (112)1.8 (122)31% (92)33% (107).57 (132)6% (51)2.4 (133)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
APP Defense1144% (10)47% (119) - - - - - - 4 (125).37 (119)1.5 (46)26% (133)35% (115).38 (100)2% (134)2 (62)
CHAR Offense1252% (46)35% (120)14.829.4224.17.615.216 (87)14 (115).12 (120)1.9 (6)35% (123)29% (96).23 (103)6% (57)2.3 (3)

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: -15.18  #120
App State's Offense Rating: 4.88  #119
App State's Defense Rating: 20.06  #109
2025 Talent Rating: 650.00  #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
App State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.5 - 7.5
App State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.4  #111
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0  #100
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.2  #122

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 564.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
App State: -15.18   Charlotte: -26.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
App State: -11.4   Charlotte: -26.7




Charlotte's Power Ratings
Charlotte's Power Rating: -26.05  #135
Charlotte's Offense Rating: -0.08  #134
Charlotte's Defense Rating: 25.32  #132
2025 Talent Rating: 588.00  #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 3  #65
Charlotte's 2025 Expected Record: 1.0 - 11.0
Charlotte's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -26.7  #134
Charlotte's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.5  #132
Charlotte's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.8  #132

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


App State Scoring
Offense: 24.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.6
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.4

App State's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
App State 33
Charlotte 20


Projected Total Points: 54
Charlotte Scoring
Offense: 14.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 17.2
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 35.7

Charlotte's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202508/29Charlotte11App State34App State -8.5App State53.5Under
202009/12App State35Charlotte20Appalachian State -17Charlotte59.0Under
201909/07App State56Charlotte41Appalachian State -23Charlotte54.0Over
201809/08Charlotte9App State45Appalachian State -14.5App State48.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Charlotte022 Overs
App State422 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 20 - 40 - 20 - 2
Road Teams2 - 24 - 02 - 02 - 0

(#120) APP at (#135) CHAR
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatAPPCHAR
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #120 #135
SP+SP+ #111 #134
Perf GradeGrade #94 #129
OffenseOff #100 #113
DefenseDef #54 #132
Spec TeamsST #77 #129
TalentTal #84 #97
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #65
App State Notes
(10/19) Horrific home loss to C Car, Run Def mauled 240+
(10/19) So QB JJ Kohl taken over for Swann (was injured)
(9/22) App has lost 5 straight road games into Boise St
(8/30) Swann great vs Char, Run game decent, Def imp
(8/1) Poss worst DL in SBC, 7 portal adds are meh
(8/1) Entire new team, portals meh, no bowl TY
(8/1) Def bottomed out LY. DL weak. LB avg, CB OK
(8/1) Don't love Loggains hire, SC was done w/ him
(7/13) WR rebuild, Stroman exp'd, 4 portal adds
(6/3) Watch WR J Barnes (A Peay) 1k yds, slot guy
(6/3) QB JJ Kohl (ISU) had best spring, Swann (LSU)?
(6/3) OL 3/5 back, bad LY. 8 portals, weak in spring
App State Injury Report
Charlotte Notes
(10/19) Team is awful, Off is bad but Def is worse.
(10/4) QB1 is now Zach Wilcke, played OK in USF blowout
(10/4) Off is still really bad, can't run. 3 QBs thru wk 6
(10/2) QB1 Connor Harrell out for season (knee), Loftis QB1
(9/18) WR E. Jai Mason a baller to watch. QB meh
(9/18) Run Off awful, Run Def bad. Not much hope
(9/18) Tim Albin very good coach but roster is bad
(8/30) QB Harrell bad, Run game putrid vs App St
(8/30) Def torched for 580+ vs App St, Pass D worse?
(3/24) QB Connor Harrell (NC) or G Loftis (Duke)
(3/24) RB rebuild. Chaney (Lou) added, depth?
(3/24) WR complete rebuild. 5 portals.
Charlotte Injury Report
App State on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat
APP OffCHAR Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #100 #132
SuccessSuc #60 #107
ExplosiveExp #28 #85
PPAPPA #57 #113
PowerPwr #119 #132
SP+SP+ #100 #132
Pts POPPO #71 #81
HavocHav #66 #87
App State Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat
APP OffCHAR Def
Run GameRun #82 #130
Run SuccessRSuc #58 #111
Run ExplRExp #104 #57
PPAExp #89 #104
Run BlockR Blk #83 -
OL YdsOLY #75 #106
Stuff RateStuff #87 #100
TackleTak -  #129
App State Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat
APP OffCHAR Def
Pass GamePass #97 #122
Pass SuccessPSuc #62 #83
Pass ExplPExl #13 #122
PPAExp #41 #112
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #117 #121
F7 HavocF7 #15 #114
DB HavocDB #130 #51
Charlotte on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 44%
CategoryCatCHAR OffAPP Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #113 #54
SuccessSuc #122 #127
ExplosiveExp #2 #53
PPAPPA #116 #123
PowerPwr #134 #109
SP+SP+ #132 #122
Pts POPPO #70 #132
HavocHav #92 #132
Charlotte Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat
CHAR OffAPP Def
Run GameRun #136 #28
Run SuccessRSuc #110 #130
Run ExplRExp #24 #94
PPAExp #93 #128
Run BlockR Blk #104 -
OL YdsOLY #113 #125
Stuff RateStuff #109 #113
TackleTak -  #48
Charlotte Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 44%
CategoryCatCHAR OffAPP Def
Pass GamePass #77 #91
Pass SuccessPSuc #120 #119
Pass ExplPExl #6 #46
PPAExp #120 #119
Pass Block/RushP Blk #126 #17
F7 HavocF7 #106 #89
DB HavocDB #57 #134
Program Comparison
CHAR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

APP 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bank of America Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
App State 8.5 (53.5)
App State won at Charlotte this year (34-11)

Previous Matchups
App State beat Charlotte last year (34-11)

  
APP's OC Vacant (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
AJ Swann (Tr)13022259%14941086.7
J.J. Kohl (Tr)13321662%14651226.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rashod Dubinion (Tr)17486845.039
Jaquari Lewis14061864.427
Matthew Wilson1211019.228
J.J. Kohl (Tr)305011.732
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Dalton Stroman35665419.072
Jaden Barnes (Tr)55608711.159
Davion Dozier (Tr)20448522.468
Izayah Cummings (Tr)37374110.130

View App State's Full Roster

APP's DC D. J. Smith (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Colton Phares10110223
DJ Burks732005
Zyeir Gamble724004
Kyle Arnholt561110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kevin Abrams-Verwayne437552
Aiden Benton385580
Caleb Sandstrom (Tr)224432
Thomas Davis256320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Johnson4420011
Emory Floyd Jr. (Tr)491005
DJ Burks732005

CHAR's OC Todd Fitch (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Grayson Loftis (Tr)12823255%1415886.1
Conner Harrell (Tr)649667%737427.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rod Gainey Jr.7426013.537
Cameren Smith (Tr)6222003.513
Jariel Cobb (Tr)5119003.721
C.J. Stokes4814913.121
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Javen Nicholas (Tr)60740512.364
Sean Brown36508114.146
E. Jai Mason31423413.662
Miles Burris1413409.618

View Charlotte's Full Roster

CHAR's DC Nate Faanes (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Reid Williford746420
Kadin Schmitz (Tr)651032
Ja'Qurious Conley640002
Shay Taylor (Tr)626260
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Reid Williford746420
Curtis Simpson (Tr)315341
Shay Taylor (Tr)626260
Yamil Talib284251
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Thailand Baldwin (Tr)200004
Ja'Qurious Conley640002
Derrick Edwards191002