App State at Charlotte - 2025 Matchup Preview
App State logo App State Mountaineers vs Charlotte 49ersCharlotte logo
Friday, August 29th 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
App State -8.5 (53.5) (-325)  Open: -8.5 | 53.5
App State 34 - Charlotte: 11  (Duke’s Mayo Classic)

 
Mountaineers (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Dowell Loggains (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 25 - 21 (22 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 5.4 (#69)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
Our Line: App State -7   (SP+ APP -7.5)
Projected Score: APP: 30 - CHAR: 23 (52)
APP Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
APP Travel: 82 miles
49ers (1 - 2) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Tim Albin (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 30 (23 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.3 - 9.7 (#133)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 7)
 
App State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 App State vs Charlotte-8.553.5W 34 - 11UY
Sat 9/6 App State vs Lindenwood-31.556.0W 20 - 13UN
Sat 9/13 App State at Southern Miss-3.055.5L 22 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 App State at Boise State+17
Sat 10/4 App State vs Oregon State+4.5
Sat 10/11 App State at Georgia State-8
Sat 10/18 App State vs Coastal Carolina-6.5
Sat 10/25 App State at Old Dominion+11.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/6 App State vs Georgia Southern-10.5
Sat 11/15 App State at James Madison+16
Sat 11/22 App State vs Marshall-6
Sat 11/29 App State vs Arkansas State-8

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for App State's Schedule
Charlotte's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Charlotte vs App State+8.553.5L 11 - 34UN
Sat 9/6 Charlotte vs North Carolina+16.549.5L 3 - 20UN
Sat 9/13 Charlotte vs Monmouth-3.066.5W 42 - 35OY
Thu 9/18 Charlotte vs Rice+2.542.5
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/3 Charlotte at South Florida+23
Sat 10/11 Charlotte at Army+13
Sat 10/18 Charlotte vs Temple+13
Fri 10/24 Charlotte vs North Texas+19
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Charlotte at East Carolina+21
Sat 11/15 Charlotte vs UTSA+14.5
Sat 11/22 Charlotte at Georgia+46
Sat 11/29 Charlotte at Tulane+24

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Charlotte's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
APP#105 (.1)48% (38)25.358% (11)3.44 (29)16241% (85)3573.21 (109)#78 (.15)39% (69)20.741% (81)38% (60)4.23 (96)812.71.7
CHAR#89 (.14)44% (65)18.741% (91)1.92 (132)9447% (42)2583.24 (108)#110 (.24)50% (127)29.752% (126)49% (119)4.32 (99)66.72.30.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
APP#57 (.21)44% (60)45% (58)3.01 (75)15743% (62)2733.89 (71)#123 (.3)49% (127)51% (130)47% (119)4.78 (132)5721.2
CHAR#116 (.1)37% (122)39% (110)2.75 (113)11935% (120)2243.9 (70)#113 (.25)45% (107)48% (111)42% (83)3.87 (81)65.31.81



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
APP Offense325.32248.4%3.212.7265191623574.544%56%58%41%15%.1
CHAR Defense329.727.550.2%4.320.3 - - - - - 40%60%52%49%10%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
APP Defense320.73839.3%4.231.7 - - - - - 44%56%41%38%27%.15
CHAR Offense318.722.543.9%3.242.322352942582.949%50%41%47%16%.14

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
App State331:4826.341%50%8.3812.71.79.33028
Charlotte329:5021.745%60%7.766.72.30.351.7027.8
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
APP Offense344% (105)58% (11)36.31624.53 (95).11 (83)3.44 (29)74% (62)6% (25)0.54 (134)
CHAR Defense340% (13)52% (126) - - - - .11 (93)3.08 (102)73% (77)7% (106)0.71 (19)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
APP Defense344% (26)41% (81) - - - - .02 (53)2.35 (32)78% (100)17% (5)0.84 (45)
CHAR Offense349% (78)41% (91)32.793.72.93 (95)-.06 (121)1.92 (132)77% (45)9% (73)0.77 (118)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
APP Offense356% (29)41% (85)27.745.3357.37.912.96 (34)4 (121).1 (117)1.5 (76)31% (77)36% (38).34 (67)9% (131)1.8 (98)
CHAR Defense360% (128)49% (119) - - - - - - 0.32 (105)1.4 (47)31% (89)33% (95).25 (65)3% (125)1.8 (48)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
APP Defense356% (110)38% (60) - - - - - - 4 (12).28 (95)1.7 (107)37% (24)30% (72).37 (95)10% (8)2.2 (100)
CHAR Offense350% (61)47% (42)21.3322588.112.14 (72)4 (121).36 (56)1.6 (40)32% (83)35% (49).33 (71)8% (118)1.7 (109)

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: -10.05 #106
App State's Offense Rating: 6.10 #98
App State's Defense Rating: 16.15 #105
2025 Talent Rating: 650.00 #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
App State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4
App State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.6 #100
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #100
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #100

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
App State: -10.05   Charlotte: -16.795

SP+ Ratings Matchup
App State: -9.6   Charlotte: -17.3




Charlotte's Power Ratings
Charlotte's Power Rating: -16.795 #120
Charlotte's Offense Rating: 3.08 #113
Charlotte's Defense Rating: 19.37 #116
2025 Talent Rating: 588.00 #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Charlotte's 2025 Expected Record: 2.3 - 9.7
Charlotte's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.3 #124
Charlotte's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #118
Charlotte's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.3 #123

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


App State Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 22
Defense: 20.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 38

App State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
App State 30
Charlotte 23


Total Points: 52

Charlotte Scoring
Offense: 18.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 22.5
Defense: 29.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.5

Charlotte's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202508/29Charlotte11App State34App StateApp State -8.5App State53.5Under
202009/12App State35Charlotte20App StateAppalachian State -17Charlotte59.0Under
201909/07App State56Charlotte41App StateAppalachian State -23Charlotte54.0Over
201809/08Charlotte9App State45App StateAppalachian State -14.5App State48.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Charlotte022 Overs
App State422 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 20 - 40 - 20 - 2
Road Teams2 - 24 - 02 - 02 - 0

(#106) App State Info
Power Rating: -10.05 #106
Offense Rating: 6.10 #98
Defense Rating: 16.15 #105
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.6 #100
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #100
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #100
Talent Rating: 650.00 #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44%
Good Offense Success Rate of 48%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.21 PPO
Great Run Success 58%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Bad OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 39%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.23 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 41%
Avg Pass Def Success 38%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Record on Road: 1 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

App State Notes
(8/1) Poss worst DL in SBC, 7 portal adds are meh
(8/1) Entire new team, portals meh, no bowl TY
(8/1) Def bottomed out LY. DL weak. LB avg, CB OK
(8/1) Don't love Loggains hire, SC was done w/ him
(7/13) WR rebuild, Stroman exp'd, 4 portal adds
(6/3) Watch WR J Barnes (A Peay) 1k yds, slot guy
(6/3) QB JJ Kohl (ISU) had best spring, Swann (LSU)?
(6/3) OL 3/5 back, bad LY. 8 portals, weak in spring
(3/23) RB rebuild. Dubinion (Ark), Keith (Tenn) added
(3/23) Loggains will OC, DC Smith co-DC @ Mizzu

App State Highlights
App State has a top Offensive Line (#29)
App State does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#15)

App State Defense Sacks the QB a lot

App State Front 7 is disruptive (#5)
App State Secondary is very good (#8)
App State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)

App State Deficiencies
App State has a bad TO Margin (#131)
App State Fumbles a Lot (#128)
App State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#121)
App State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
App State offense is not Explosive (#127)
App State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#109)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatCHARAPP
OverallOver#92#56
OffenseOff#74#62
DefenseDef#104#41
Special TeamsST#63#93
PassingPass#37#45
RushingRush#94#24
Run BlockRBLK#87#70
Pass BlockPBLK#107#95
Route RunningWR Rt#28#62
TacklingTkl#49#78
Run DefenseR Def#100#18
Pass Rush DefPRush#92#26
Coverage DefCov#100#57

Rematch from Week 1
App State 8.5 (53.5)
App State won at Charlotte this year (34-11)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bank of America Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: APP | CHAR
Depth Chart: APP | CHAR
Rosters: APP | CHAR
(#120) Charlotte Info
Power Rating: -16.795 #120
Offense Rating: 3.08 #113
Defense Rating: 19.37 #116
Overall SP+ Rating: -17.3 #124
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #118
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.3 #123
Talent Rating: 588.00 #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Expected Record: 2.3 - 9.7

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.24 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Good Pass Success 47%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 50%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.32 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 52%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Record at home: 1 - 1 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Charlotte Notes
(8/30) QB Harrell bad, Run game putrid vs App St
(8/30) Def torched for 580+ vs App St, Pass D worse?
(3/24) QB Connor Harrell (NC) or G Loftis (Duke)
(3/24) RB rebuild. Chaney (Lou) added, depth?
(3/24) WR complete rebuild. 5 portals.
(3/24) OL rebuild 1/5 back. Only 1 portal add?

Charlotte Highlights
Charlotte offense is good on 3rd downs
Charlotte defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)

Charlotte Deficiencies
Charlotte has a really bad Offense
Charlotte has a bad TO Margin (#125)
Charlotte Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Charlotte Can Not Run the Ball (#124)
Charlotte Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
Charlotte throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
Charlotte Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#104)
Charlotte offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#108)
Charlotte has a bad defense (#127)
Charlotte Does Not Stuff Runs (#118)
Charlotte has a bad defensive line (#102)


  
App State's OC Vacant
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
AJ Swann (Tr)6510363%878548.5
Noah Gillon112446%109004.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rashod Dubinion (Tr)7140025.626
Jaquari Lewis114814.410
AJ Swann (Tr)94605.119
Khamani Alexander41403.56
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaden Barnes (Tr)24337314.059
Dalton Stroman15294119.672
Izayah Cummings (Tr)16172010.830
William Fowles574014.819

View App State's Full Roster
App State's DC D. J. Smith
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Colton Phares214001
Dylan Hasz (Tr)141001
Thomas Davis134210
Ja'Den Mcburrows (Tr)112011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Thomas Davis134210
Caleb Sandstrom (Tr)52210
Aiden Benton62210
Kevin Abrams-Verwayne102222
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Johnson71004
Zyeir Gamble81002
Kevin Abrams-Verwayne102222

Charlotte's OC Todd Fitch
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Conner Harrell (Tr)568368%664428.0
Grayson Loftis (Tr)81362%110028.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
C.J. Stokes329603.016
Rod Gainey Jr.239414.111
Conner Harrell (Tr)254521.817
Cameren Smith (Tr)142902.19
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
E. Jai Mason16284317.862
Javen Nicholas (Tr)17177010.428
Miles Burris672012.017
Justin Olson256028.047

View Charlotte's Full Roster
Charlotte's DC Nate Faanes
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ja'Qurious Conley200000
Shay Taylor (Tr)192110
Jamarrion Solomon (Tr)142010
Collin Gill (Tr)131000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Reid Williford113200
Curtis Simpson (Tr)102220
Macyo Williams (Tr)41100
Shay Taylor (Tr)192110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dwight Bootle II (Tr)70001
Braden Mullen (Tr)10001
Gavin Willis (Tr)50001