App State at James Madison - 2025 Matchup Preview
App State logo App State Mountaineers at James Madison DukesJames Madison logo
Saturday, November 15th 2025 (3:30 PM EST)
James Madison -21 (53.5) (-1800)  Open: -19.5
James Madison 58 - App State: 10  (Sun Belt)

 
Mountaineers (5 - 8) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Dowell Loggains (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (22 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.5 - 7.5 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Our Line: James Madison -23  (SP+ JMU -24)
Projected Score: APP: 16 - JMU: 39 (55)
JMU Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
APP Travel: 218 miles
Dukes (12 - 2) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Bob Chesney (8 - 4)
Avg Score : 37 - 18 (40 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 12.1 - 1.9 (#2)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
 
App State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 App State vs Charlotte-8.553.5W 34 - 11UY
Sat 9/6 App State vs Lindenwood-31.556.0W 20 - 13UN
Sat 9/13 App State at Southern Miss-3.055.5L 22 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 App State at Boise State+16.559.5L 14 - 47ON
Sat 10/4 App State vs Oregon State-1.553.5W 27 - 23UY
Sat 10/11 App State at Georgia State-3.055.5W 41 - 20OY
Sat 10/18 App State vs Coastal Carolina-10.548.5L 37 - 45ON
Sat 10/25 App State at Old Dominion+12.560.5L 21 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/6 App State vs Georgia Southern-4.562.5L 23 - 25UN
Sat 11/15 App State at James Madison+21.053.5L 10 - 58ON
Sat 11/22 App State vs Marshall+3.557.5W 26 - 24UY
Sat 11/29 App State vs Arkansas State-1.054.5L 29 - 30ON
Mon 12/29 App State vs Georgia Southern+10.058.5L 10 - 29UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 2

Predictions for App State's Schedule
James Madison's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 James Madison vs Weber State-26.554.5W 45 - 10OY
Fri 9/5 James Madison at Louisville+15.057.0L 14 - 28UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 James Madison at Liberty-7.546.5W 31 - 13UY
Sat 9/27 James Madison vs Georgia Southern-14.554.5W 35 - 10UY
Sat 10/4 James Madison at Georgia State-19.552.5W 14 - 7UN
Sat 10/11 James Madison vs Louisiana-18.544.5W 24 - 14UN
Sat 10/18 James Madison vs Old Dominion-3.047.5W 63 - 27OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/28 James Madison at Texas State-7.555.5W 52 - 20OY
Sat 11/8 James Madison at Marshall-13.553.5W 35 - 23ON
Sat 11/15 James Madison vs App State-21.053.5W 58 - 10OY
Sat 11/22 James Madison vs Washington State-15.044.5W 24 - 20UN
Sat 11/29 James Madison at Coastal Carolina-24.054.5W 59 - 10OY
Fri 12/5 James Madison vs Troy-24.547.5W 31 - 14UN
Sat 12/20 James Madison at Oregon+22.547.5L 34 - 51OY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for James Madison's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
APP#57 (.21)44% (60)24.245% (58)3.01 (75)15743% (62)2733.89 (71)#123 (.3)49% (127)29.851% (130)47% (119)4.78 (132)5721.2
JMU#88 (.16)44% (61)37.147% (29)3.28 (30)19440% (87)2163.93 (66)#4 (.03)34% (1)18.434% (5)34% (3)3.64 (53)54.80.72.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
APP0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
JMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
APP Offense1124.221.643.6%3.892244301572734.548%51%45%43%16%.21
JMU Defense1318.41533.9%3.642.5 - - - - - 46%54%34%34%20%.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
APP Defense1129.837.449%4.781.2 - - - - - 56%44%51%47%12%.3
JMU Offense1337.14043.6%3.930.7214101942164.952%48%47%40%14%.16

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
App State1130:0623.943%59%65721.24.32.1127.6
James Madison1331:4520.841%40%754.80.72.57.13.2632.9
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
APP Offense1148% (81)45% (58)34.9157.44.513 (105).1 (89)3.01 (75)80% (21)7% (15)0.89 (104)
JMU Defense1346% (19)34% (5) - - - - (14)2.46 (5)65% (26)13% (15)1.07 (106)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
APP Defense1156% (124)51% (130) - - - - .26 (128)3.41 (125)77% (94)9% (89)1.04 (94)
JMU Offense1352% (54)47% (29)39.8193.74.920 (67).17 (45)3.28 (30)72% (82)10% (61)0.98 (58)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
APP Offense1151% (53)43% (62)19.835.6272.97.713.823 (41)16 (124).32 (41)1.8 (13)35% (122)37% (15).46 (19)9% (130)2.2 (18)
JMU Defense1354% (116)34% (3) - - - - - - 17 (5).07 (10)1.8 (118)40% (1)26% (18).16 (11)7% (24)2.3 (125)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
APP Defense1144% (10)47% (119) - - - - - - 4 (125).37 (119)1.5 (46)26% (133)35% (115).38 (100)2% (134)2 (62)
JMU Offense1348% (79)40% (87)17.829.3215.97.412.228 (15)4 (1).18 (99)1.5 (103)31% (61)29% (95).26 (95)4% (18)2.1 (38)

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: -15.18  #119
App State's Offense Rating: 4.88  #118
App State's Defense Rating: 20.06  #108
2025 Talent Rating: 650.00  #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
App State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.5 - 7.5
App State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.4  #111
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0  #100
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.2  #122

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 564.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
App State: -15.18   James Madison: 9.515

SP+ Ratings Matchup
App State: -11.4   James Madison: 12.3




James Madison's Power Ratings
James Madison's Power Rating: 9.515  #59
James Madison's Offense Rating: 13.81  #63
James Madison's Defense Rating: 12.08  #55
2025 Talent Rating: 482.00  #120
Blue Chip Ratio: 2  #79
James Madison's 2025 Expected Record: 12.1 - 1.9
James Madison's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.3  #27
James Madison's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.9  #18
James Madison's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.4  #39

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 564.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


App State Scoring
Offense: 24.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.6
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.4

App State's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
James Madison 39
App State 16


Projected Total Points: 55
James Madison Scoring
Offense: 37.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 40
Defense: 18.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 15

James Madison's 2025 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/15James Madison58App State10James Madison -21James Madison53.5Over
202411/23App State34James Madison20James Madison -7.5App State57.5Under
202311/18James Madison23App State26James Madison -10.0App State56.5Under
202209/24App State28James Madison32Appalachian State -6James Madison57.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
James Madison222 Overs
App State222 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 22 - 21 - 21 - 0
Road Teams2 - 22 - 20 - 12 - 1

(#119) APP at (#59) JMU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatAPPJMU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #119 #59
SP+SP+ #111 #27
Perf GradeGrade #94 #10
OffenseOff #100 #32
DefenseDef #54 #9
Spec TeamsST #77 #50
TalentTal #84 #120
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #79
App State Notes
(10/19) Horrific home loss to C Car, Run Def mauled 240+
(10/19) So QB JJ Kohl taken over for Swann (was injured)
(9/22) App has lost 5 straight road games into Boise St
(8/30) Swann great vs Char, Run game decent, Def imp
(8/1) Poss worst DL in SBC, 7 portal adds are meh
(8/1) Entire new team, portals meh, no bowl TY
(8/1) Def bottomed out LY. DL weak. LB avg, CB OK
(8/1) Don't love Loggains hire, SC was done w/ him
(7/13) WR rebuild, Stroman exp'd, 4 portal adds
(6/3) Watch WR J Barnes (A Peay) 1k yds, slot guy
(6/3) QB JJ Kohl (ISU) had best spring, Swann (LSU)?
(6/3) OL 3/5 back, bad LY. 8 portals, weak in spring
App State Injury Report
James Madison Notes
(12/6) Sun Belt champs, beat Troy. Could be CFP bound?
(12/5) Hiring Billy Napier (UF) after Chesney took UCLA job
(12/4) Only its 4th FBS season & could make CFP. Incredible
(12/3) HC Bob Chesney has taken UCLA job, will coach '25
(10/29) Just murdering SBC, very much a G5 CFP threat
(10/22) Leads CFB in Defensive Success Rate, Off Good
(10/21) Off shredded ODU for 624, 311 rushing, 12-16 on 3rd
(9/20) Good W @ Liberty, Def incredible. Run Off good
(9/5) QB Barnett holds too long, not pocket aware
(9/5) Def front 7 dominant. Shut down Louisville
(9/2) QB Barnett started opener, Run Off mauled FCS
(8/25) QB Barnett cleared to play, is a top SBC QB
James Madison Injury Report
App State on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat
APP OffJMU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #100 #9
SuccessSuc #60 #1
ExplosiveExp #28 #125
PPAPPA #57 #4
PowerPwr #118 #55
SP+SP+ #100 #39
Pts POPPO #71 #53
HavocHav #66 #8
App State Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat
APP OffJMU Def
Run GameRun #82 #9
Run SuccessRSuc #58 #5
Run ExplRExp #104 #106
PPAExp #89 #14
Run BlockR Blk #83 -
OL YdsOLY #75 #5
Stuff RateStuff #87 #9
TackleTak -  #20
App State Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat
APP OffJMU Def
Pass GamePass #97 #11
Pass SuccessPSuc #62 #3
Pass ExplPExl #13 #118
PPAExp #41 #10
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #117 #19
F7 HavocF7 #15 #15
DB HavocDB #130 #24
James Madison on Offense
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCatJMU OffAPP Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #32 #54
SuccessSuc #61 #127
ExplosiveExp #104 #53
PPAPPA #88 #123
PowerPwr #63 #108
SP+SP+ #18 #122
Pts POPPO #66 #132
HavocHav #35 #132
James Madison Run Game
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCat
JMU OffAPP Def
Run GameRun #8 #28
Run SuccessRSuc #29 #130
Run ExplRExp #58 #94
PPAExp #45 #128
Run BlockR Blk #20 -
OL YdsOLY #30 #125
Stuff RateStuff #33 #113
TackleTak -  #48
James Madison Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCatJMU OffAPP Def
Pass GamePass #96 #91
Pass SuccessPSuc #87 #119
Pass ExplPExl #103 #46
PPAExp #99 #119
Pass Block/RushP Blk #43 #17
F7 HavocF7 #61 #89
DB HavocDB #18 #134
Program Comparison
JMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4

APP 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bridgeforth Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 66° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 12
James Madison -21.0 (53.5)
James Madison won vs App State this year (58-10)

Previous Matchups
James Madison beat App State last year (58-10)
App State beat James Madison in 2024 (34-20)
App State beat James Madison in 2023 (26-23)

  
APP's OC Vacant (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
AJ Swann (Tr)13022259%14941086.7
J.J. Kohl (Tr)13321662%14651226.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rashod Dubinion (Tr)17486845.039
Jaquari Lewis14061864.427
Matthew Wilson1211019.228
J.J. Kohl (Tr)305011.732
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Dalton Stroman35665419.072
Jaden Barnes (Tr)55608711.159
Davion Dozier (Tr)20448522.468
Izayah Cummings (Tr)37374110.130

View App State's Full Roster

APP's DC D. J. Smith (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Colton Phares10110223
DJ Burks732005
Zyeir Gamble724004
Kyle Arnholt561110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kevin Abrams-Verwayne437552
Aiden Benton385580
Caleb Sandstrom (Tr)224432
Thomas Davis256320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Johnson4420011
Emory Floyd Jr. (Tr)491005
DJ Burks732005

JMU's OC Dean Kennedy (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Alonza Barnett21637058%28062387.6
Matthew Sluka (Tr)81173%100329.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Wayne Knight207137396.673
Alonza Barnett127589154.658
Jordan Fuller (Tr)8241555.126
Jobi Malary4334948.173
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Landon Ellis (Tr)36624517.362
Nick DeGennaro (Tr)28500517.976
Wayne Knight4039719.957
Jaylan Sanchez (Tr)30396113.280

View James Madison's Full Roster

JMU's DC Lyle Hemphill (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trent Hendrick967323
Tyler Brown715105
Jacob Thomas653237
Drew Spinogatti517163
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sahir West4614774
Xavier Holmes (Tr)317664
Aiden Gobaira (Tr)338530
Trent Hendrick967323
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
DJ Barksdale3630112
Justin Eaglin350008
Elijah Culp (Tr)444017