App State at James Madison - 2025 Matchup Preview
App State logo App State Mountaineers at James Madison DukesJames Madison logo
Saturday, November 15th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Bridgeforth Stadium - Harrisonburg, VA  (Sun Belt)

 
Mountaineers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Dowell Loggains (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 27 - 33 (24 - 40 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.9 - 7.1 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
Our Line: James Madison -18   (SP+ JMU -12)
Projected Score: APP: 20 - JMU: 38 (57)
JMU Win prob: 91% | Cover: 49%
APP Travel: 218 miles
Dukes (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Bob Chesney (9 - 4)
Avg Score : 33 - 21 (36 - 13 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 2.9 (#15)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
 
App State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 App State vs Charlotte-8.553.5
Sat 9/6 App State vs Lindenwood-9.5
Sat 9/13 App State at Southern Miss+7.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 App State at Boise State+26
Sat 10/4 App State vs Oregon State+8
Sat 10/11 App State at Georgia State-0.5
Sat 10/18 App State vs Coastal Carolina+0
Sat 10/25 App State at Old Dominion+6
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/6 App State vs Georgia Southern+7.5
Sat 11/15 App State at James Madison+18
Sat 11/22 App State vs Marshall-6
Sat 11/29 App State vs Arkansas State+0

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for App State's Schedule
James Madison's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 James Madison vs Weber State-25.5
Sat 9/6 James Madison at Louisville+12.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 James Madison at Liberty+0.5
Sat 9/27 James Madison vs Georgia Southern-8
Sat 10/4 James Madison at Georgia State-16
Sat 10/11 James Madison vs Louisiana-11
Sat 10/18 James Madison vs Old Dominion-14.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/28 James Madison at Texas State-4
Sat 11/8 James Madison at Marshall-16.5
Sat 11/15 James Madison vs App State-18
Sat 11/22 James Madison vs Washington State-14.5
Sat 11/29 James Madison at Coastal Carolina-10.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for James Madison's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
APP#57 (.21)44% (60)26.645% (58)3.01 (75)15743% (62)2733.89 (71)#123 (.3)49% (127)32.951% (130)47% (119)4.78 (132)5721.2
JMU#88 (.16)44% (61)33.347% (29)3.28 (30)19440% (87)2163.93 (66)#4 (.03)34% (1)20.534% (5)34% (3)3.64 (53)54.80.72.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
APP0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
JMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
APP Offense1126.624.343.6%3.892244301572734.548%51%45%43%16%.21
JMU Defense1320.512.833.9%3.642.5 - - - - - 46%54%34%34%20%.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
APP Defense1132.939.749%4.781.2 - - - - - 56%44%51%47%12%.3
JMU Offense1333.336.343.6%3.930.7214101942164.952%48%47%40%14%.16

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
App State1130:0623.943%59%65721.24.32.1127.6
James Madison1331:4520.841%40%754.80.72.57.13.2632.9
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
APP Offense1148% (81)45% (58)34.9157.44.513 (105).1 (89)3.01 (75)80% (21)7% (15)0.89 (104)
JMU Defense1346% (19)34% (5) - - - - (14)2.46 (5)65% (26)13% (15)1.07 (106)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
APP Defense1156% (124)51% (130) - - - - .26 (128)3.41 (125)77% (94)9% (89)1.04 (94)
JMU Offense1352% (54)47% (29)39.8193.74.920 (67).17 (45)3.28 (30)72% (82)10% (61)0.98 (58)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
APP Offense1151% (53)43% (62)19.835.6272.97.713.823 (41)16 (124).32 (41)1.8 (13)35% (122)37% (15).46 (19)9% (130)2.2 (18)
JMU Defense1354% (116)34% (3) - - - - - - 17 (5).07 (10)1.8 (118)40% (1)26% (18).16 (11)7% (24)2.3 (125)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
APP Defense1144% (10)47% (119) - - - - - - 4 (125).37 (119)1.5 (46)26% (133)35% (115).38 (100)2% (134)2 (62)
JMU Offense1348% (79)40% (87)17.829.3215.97.412.228 (15)4 (1).18 (99)1.5 (103)31% (61)29% (95).26 (95)4% (18)2.1 (38)

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: -18.76 #118
App State's Offense Rating: 6.85 #112
App State's Defense Rating: 25.61 #121
2025 Talent Rating: 586.00 #83
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #97
App State's 2025 Expected Record: 4.9 - 7.1
App State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.8 #98
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #94
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #103

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 525.43
Average Power Five Talent: 860.18
Average FBS Talent: 682.74

Power Ratings Matchup
App State: -18.76   James Madison: 4.305

SP+ Ratings Matchup
App State: -8.8   James Madison: 3.0




James Madison's Power Ratings
James Madison's Power Rating: 4.305 #64
James Madison's Offense Rating: 14.52 #64
James Madison's Defense Rating: 13.91 #62
2025 Talent Rating: 432.00 #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #80
James Madison's 2025 Expected Record: 9.1 - 2.9
James Madison's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #49
James Madison's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #49
James Madison's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #52

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 525.43
Average Power Five Talent: 860.18
Average FBS Talent: 682.74


App State Scoring
Offense: 26.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.3
Defense: 32.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 39.7

App State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
James Madison 38
App State 20

Projected Total Points: 57
James Madison Scoring
Offense: 33.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.3
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 12.8

James Madison's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/23App State34James Madison20App StateJames Madison -7.5App State57.5Under
202311/18James Madison23App State26App StateJames Madison -10.0App State56.5Under
202209/24App State28James Madison32James MadisonAppalachian State -6James Madison57.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
James Madison111 Overs
App State222 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 21 - 20 - 21 - 0
Road Teams2 - 12 - 10 - 12 - 0

(#118) App State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -18.76 #118
Offense Rating: 6.85 #112
Defense Rating: 25.61 #121
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.8 #98
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #94
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #103
Talent Rating: 586.00 #83
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #97
Expected Record: 4.9 - 7.1

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.89 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.78 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Awful Pass Def Success 47%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


App State Notes
(7/13) WR rebuild, Stroman exp'd, 4 portal adds
(6/3) Watch WR J Barnes (A Peay) 1k yds, slot guy
(6/3) QB JJ Kohl (ISU) had best spring, Swann (LSU)?
(6/3) OL 3/5 back, bad LY. 8 portals, weak in spring
(3/23) RB rebuild. Dubinion (Ark), Keith (Tenn) added
(3/23) Def bad LY, return some. DL weak. CB's good?
(3/23) Loggains was S Car OC, in for fired S. Clark
(3/23) Loggains will OC, DC Smith co-DC @ Mizzu
App State     Ratings Matchup     James Madison
Power #118
#64
Off #112
#64
Def #121
#62
Talent #83
#119
SP+ #98
#49
SP+ Off #94
#49
SP+ Def #103
#52

Previous Matchups
App State beat James Madison last year (34-20)
App State beat James Madison in 2023 (26-23)
James Madison beat App State in 2022 (32-28)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bridgeforth Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: APP | JMU
Depth Chart: APP | JMU
Rosters: APP | JMU
(#64) James Madison Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.305 #64
Offense Rating: 14.52 #64
Defense Rating: 13.91 #62
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #49
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #49
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #52
Talent Rating: 432.00 #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #80
Expected Record: 9.1 - 2.9

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.93 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 34%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.64 PPO
Great Run Def Success 34%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


James Madison Notes
(7/13) QB1 Sluka (UNLV) played for Chesney at H.C.
(7/12) HC Chesney taking lots of FCS portals w/ exp
(5/29) RB loaded w/ Pettaway & Knight back. Top SBC?
(5/29) WR portal losses, 6 portals, good FCS adds
(5/29) OL 4/5 back. Could be top SBC? Have depth
(5/29) Pass rush from portal DE's? Holmes (Maine) int.
(5/29) Def rebuild, took 14 portals, 6 DL, 6 DBs
(5/29) QB Coleman, WRs Ellis & DeGennaro (Richmond)
(5/29) QB Barnett ? for season, a top SBC QB (leg inj)
(5/1) Fr WR M Scott to step in for massive portal losses


  
App State's OC Vacant
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
AJ Swann (Tr)2450%10002.5
Billy Wiles010%0010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rashod Dubinion (Tr)5633526.023
Khalifa Keith (Tr)2110014.823
Jaden Barnes (Tr)250125.036
Jaylon Calhoun1202.02
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaden Barnes (Tr)581066918.473
Dalton Stroman20307515.447
Rashod Dubinion (Tr)1612207.623
Kanen Hamlett43528.819

View App State's Full Roster
App State's DC D. J. Smith
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyle Arnholt542020
DJ Burks523000
Thomas Davis356410
Jordan Favors331004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Thomas Davis356410
Shawn Collins163241
Rondarius Porter (Tr)71100
Kevin Abrams-Verwayne91110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Favors331004
Cristian Conyer (Tr)90003
Ethan Johnson220012

James Madison's OC Dean Kennedy
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Alonza Barnett21235460%25962647.3
Camden Coleman (Tr)16024964%20311458.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
George Pettaway16397656.031
Alonza Barnett13545073.350
Wayne Knight7744925.859
Camden Coleman (Tr)7533864.559
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Landon Ellis (Tr)50588411.861
Nick DeGennaro (Tr)40576414.460
Jaylan Sanchez (Tr)33483314.672
Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen21254012.151

View James Madison's Full Roster
James Madison's DC Lyle Hemphill
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Thomas738113
Xavier Holmes (Tr)710470
Trent Hendrick549331
DJ Barksdale425122
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Holmes (Tr)710470
Trent Hendrick549331
Immanuel Bush345231
Mychal Mcmullin142200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Thomas738113
KJ Flowe181013
Amar Thomas192212