App State at James Madison - 2025 Matchup Preview
App State logo App State Mountaineers at James Madison DukesJames Madison logo
Saturday, November 15th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Bridgeforth Stadium - Harrisonburg, VA  (Sun Belt)

 
Mountaineers (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Dowell Loggains (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 25 - 21 (22 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 5.4 (#69)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 6)
Our Line: James Madison -16   (SP+ JMU -13)
Projected Score: APP: 18 - JMU: 34 (52)
JMU Win prob: 88% | Cover: 54%
APP Travel: 218 miles
Dukes (1 - 1) (2 - 0 - 0)
Coach Bob Chesney (9 - 4)
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (45 - 10 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.4 - 2.6 (#15)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 10)
 
App State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 App State vs Charlotte-8.553.5W 34 - 11UY
Sat 9/6 App State vs Lindenwood-31.556.0W 20 - 13UN
Sat 9/13 App State at Southern Miss-3.055.5L 22 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 App State at Boise State+17
Sat 10/4 App State vs Oregon State+4.5
Sat 10/11 App State at Georgia State-8
Sat 10/18 App State vs Coastal Carolina-6.5
Sat 10/25 App State at Old Dominion+11.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/6 App State vs Georgia Southern-10.5
Sat 11/15 App State at James Madison+16
Sat 11/22 App State vs Marshall-6
Sat 11/29 App State vs Arkansas State-8

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for App State's Schedule
James Madison's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 James Madison vs Weber State-26.554.5W 45 - 10OY
Fri 9/5 James Madison at Louisville+15.057.0L 14 - 28UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 James Madison at Liberty-9.548.5
Sat 9/27 James Madison vs Georgia Southern-24
Sat 10/4 James Madison at Georgia State-21.5
Sat 10/11 James Madison vs Louisiana-16
Sat 10/18 James Madison vs Old Dominion-6.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/28 James Madison at Texas State-2.5
Sat 11/8 James Madison at Marshall-14.5
Sat 11/15 James Madison vs App State-16
Sat 11/22 James Madison vs Washington State-14
Sat 11/29 James Madison at Coastal Carolina-15

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for James Madison's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
APP#105 (.1)48% (38)25.358% (11)3.44 (29)16241% (85)3573.21 (109)#78 (.15)39% (69)20.741% (81)38% (60)4.23 (96)812.71.7
JMU#97 (.12)44% (68)29.548% (46)3.3 (36)22039% (97)1413.69 (85)#16 (-.05)24% (2)1924% (5)24% (5)2.29 (25)8522
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
APP#57 (.21)44% (60)45% (58)3.01 (75)15743% (62)2733.89 (71)#123 (.3)49% (127)51% (130)47% (119)4.78 (132)5721.2
JMU#88 (.16)44% (61)47% (29)3.28 (30)19440% (87)2163.93 (66)#4 (.03)34% (1)34% (5)34% (3)3.64 (53)54.80.72.5



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
APP Offense325.32248.4%3.212.7265191623574.544%56%58%41%15%.1
JMU Defense2191024.1%2.292 - - - - - 53%47%24%24%25%-.05
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
APP Defense320.73839.3%4.231.7 - - - - - 44%56%41%38%27%.15
JMU Offense229.54543.8%3.692213612201414.856%43%48%39%17%.12

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
App State331:4826.341%50%8.3812.71.79.33028
James Madison234:492147%33%985226.51.5034.8
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
APP Offense344% (105)58% (11)36.31624.53 (95).11 (83)3.44 (29)74% (62)6% (25)0.54 (134)
JMU Defense253% (97)24% (5) - - - - -.13 (16)1.26 (3)38% (4)13% (35)1.26 (119)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
APP Defense344% (26)41% (81) - - - - .02 (53)2.35 (32)78% (100)17% (5)0.84 (45)
JMU Offense256% (37)48% (46)45.5219.54.85 (62).25 (39)3.3 (36)70% (79)11% (110)1.02 (54)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
APP Offense356% (29)41% (85)27.745.3357.37.912.96 (34)4 (121).1 (117)1.5 (76)31% (77)36% (38).34 (67)9% (131)1.8 (98)
JMU Defense247% (42)24% (5) - - - - - - 3 (28).04 (27)1.8 (115)37% (34)9% (1)-.19 (4)12% (2)1.3 (3)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
APP Defense356% (110)38% (60) - - - - - - 4 (12).28 (95)1.7 (107)37% (24)30% (72).37 (95)10% (8)2.2 (100)
JMU Offense243% (101)39% (97)17.5291414.98.13 (90)2 (60).02 (126)1.3 (113)31% (69)36% (40).19 (103)5% (76)1.4 (129)

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: -10.05 #106
App State's Offense Rating: 6.10 #98
App State's Defense Rating: 16.15 #105
2025 Talent Rating: 650.00 #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
App State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4
App State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.6 #100
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #100
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #100

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
App State: -10.05   James Madison: 6.045

SP+ Ratings Matchup
App State: -9.6   James Madison: 3.6




James Madison's Power Ratings
James Madison's Power Rating: 6.045 #71
James Madison's Offense Rating: 6.87 #93
James Madison's Defense Rating: 3.38 #46
2025 Talent Rating: 482.00 #120
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #79
James Madison's 2025 Expected Record: 9.4 - 2.6
James Madison's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.6 #63
James Madison's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #60
James Madison's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #56

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


App State Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 22
Defense: 20.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 38

App State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
James Madison 34
App State 18


Total Points: 52

James Madison Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 45
Defense: 19 PPG
Defense at Home: 10

James Madison's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/23App State34James Madison20App StateJames Madison -7.5App State57.5Under
202311/18James Madison23App State26App StateJames Madison -10.0App State56.5Under
202209/24App State28James Madison32James MadisonAppalachian State -6James Madison57.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
James Madison111 Overs
App State222 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 21 - 20 - 21 - 0
Road Teams2 - 12 - 10 - 12 - 0

(#106) App State Info
Power Rating: -10.05 #106
Offense Rating: 6.10 #98
Defense Rating: 16.15 #105
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.6 #100
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #100
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #100
Talent Rating: 650.00 #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44%
Good Offense Success Rate of 48%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.21 PPO
Great Run Success 58%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Bad OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 39%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.23 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 41%
Avg Pass Def Success 38%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

App State has lost 7 straight
App State has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

App State Notes
(8/1) Poss worst DL in SBC, 7 portal adds are meh
(8/1) Entire new team, portals meh, no bowl TY
(8/1) Def bottomed out LY. DL weak. LB avg, CB OK
(8/1) Don't love Loggains hire, SC was done w/ him
(7/13) WR rebuild, Stroman exp'd, 4 portal adds
(6/3) Watch WR J Barnes (A Peay) 1k yds, slot guy
(6/3) QB JJ Kohl (ISU) had best spring, Swann (LSU)?
(6/3) OL 3/5 back, bad LY. 8 portals, weak in spring
(3/23) RB rebuild. Dubinion (Ark), Keith (Tenn) added
(3/23) Loggains will OC, DC Smith co-DC @ Mizzu

App State Highlights
App State has a top Offensive Line (#29)
App State does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#15)

App State Defense Sacks the QB a lot

App State Front 7 is disruptive (#5)
App State Secondary is very good (#8)
App State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)

App State Deficiencies
App State has a bad TO Margin (#131)
App State Fumbles a Lot (#128)
App State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#121)
App State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
App State offense is not Explosive (#127)
App State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#109)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatJMUAPP
OverallOver#65#56
OffenseOff#97#62
DefenseDef#28#41
Special TeamsST#79#93
PassingPass#113#45
RushingRush#44#24
Run BlockRBLK#56#70
Pass BlockPBLK#109#95
Route RunningWR Rt#96#62
TacklingTkl#18#78
Run DefenseR Def#21#18
Pass Rush DefPRush#48#26
Coverage DefCov#31#57

Previous Matchups
App State beat James Madison last year (34-20)
App State beat James Madison in 2023 (26-23)
James Madison beat App State in 2022 (32-28)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bridgeforth Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: APP | JMU
Depth Chart: APP | JMU
Rosters: APP | JMU
(#71) James Madison Info
Power Rating: 6.045 #71
Offense Rating: 6.87 #93
Defense Rating: 3.38 #46
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.6 #63
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #60
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #56
Talent Rating: 482.00 #120
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #79
Expected Record: 9.4 - 2.6

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 43%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 44%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.69 PPO
Avg Run Success 48%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Bad OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 24%
Good in Scoring Position 2.29 PPO
Great Run Def Success 24%
Great Pass Def Success 24%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

James Madison has lost 8 straight
James Madison has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

James Madison Notes
(9/5) Def front 7 dominant. Shut down Louisville
(9/2) QB Barnett started opener, Run Off mauled FCS
(8/25) QB Barnett cleared to play, is a top SBC QB
(8/1) New DC Hitschler was co-DC at Bama/Wisc/Cincy
(8/1) Class of the Sun Belt, good on both sides + staff
(8/1) Great QB depth big w/ Barnett inj, QB run game
(7/13) QB1 Sluka (UNLV) played for Chesney at H.C.
(7/12) HC Chesney taking lots of FCS portals w/ exp
(5/29) RB loaded w/ Pettaway & Knight back. Top SBC?
(5/29) WR portal losses, 6 portals, good FCS adds

James Madison Highlights
James Madison is Undefeated vs Spread
James Madison is Undefeated at Home
James Madison is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

James Madison offense is good on 3rd downs
James Madison has a really good defense (#2)
James Madison defense is really good in red zone (#25)
James Madison has a good run defense (#5)
James Madison has a good pass defense (#5)
James Madison Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#2)
James Madison Defensive Line is very good (#3)
James Madison Secondary is very good (#2)
James Madison defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

James Madison Deficiencies
James Madison offense is not Explosive (#105)
James Madison does not Sack the QB (#112)
James Madison gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#119)


  
App State's OC Vacant
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
AJ Swann (Tr)6510363%878548.5
Noah Gillon112446%109004.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rashod Dubinion (Tr)7140025.626
Jaquari Lewis114814.410
AJ Swann (Tr)94605.119
Khamani Alexander41403.56
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaden Barnes (Tr)24337314.059
Dalton Stroman15294119.672
Izayah Cummings (Tr)16172010.830
William Fowles574014.819

View App State's Full Roster
App State's DC D. J. Smith
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Colton Phares214001
Dylan Hasz (Tr)141001
Thomas Davis134210
Ja'Den Mcburrows (Tr)112011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Thomas Davis134210
Caleb Sandstrom (Tr)52210
Aiden Benton62210
Kevin Abrams-Verwayne102222
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Johnson71004
Zyeir Gamble81002
Kevin Abrams-Verwayne102222

James Madison's OC Dean Kennedy
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Alonza Barnett294762%232204.9
Matthew Sluka (Tr)6967%50125.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
George Pettaway1512008.035
Matthew Sluka (Tr)2711324.218
Wayne Knight1210118.459
Jordan Fuller (Tr)73104.48
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Landon Ellis (Tr)575115.026
Wayne Knight64307.212
Michael Scott43809.514
Logan Kyle338012.723

View James Madison's Full Roster
James Madison's DC Colin Hitschler
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trent Hendrick132000
Gannon Weathersby111100
Jacob Thomas91102
Mychal Mcmullin91000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Immanuel Bush62120
Jacob Thomas91102
Gannon Weathersby111100
Trent Hendrick132000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
DJ Barksdale62003
Jacob Thomas91102
Tyler Brown80002