App State at Old Dominion - 2025 Matchup Preview
App State logo App State Mountaineers at Old Dominion MonarchsOld Dominion logo
Saturday, October 25th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Foreman Field - Norfolk, VA  (Sun Belt)

 
Mountaineers (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Dowell Loggains (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 25 - 21 (22 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 5.4 (#69)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 6)
ODU is playing their 5th straight game
APP is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Old Dominion -11.5   (SP+ ODU -6)

Projected Score: APP: 23 - ODU: 34 (57)
ODU Win prob: 77% | Cover: 45%
APP Travel: 302 miles
Monarchs (2 - 1) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Ricky Rahne (20 - 30)
Avg Score : 38 - 20 (54 - 6 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.9 - 3.1 (#25)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
 
App State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 App State vs Charlotte-8.553.5W 34 - 11UY
Sat 9/6 App State vs Lindenwood-31.556.0W 20 - 13UN
Sat 9/13 App State at Southern Miss-3.055.5L 22 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 App State at Boise State+17
Sat 10/4 App State vs Oregon State+4.5
Sat 10/11 App State at Georgia State-8
Sat 10/18 App State vs Coastal Carolina-6.5
Sat 10/25 App State at Old Dominion+11.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/6 App State vs Georgia Southern-10.5
Sat 11/15 App State at James Madison+16
Sat 11/22 App State vs Marshall-6
Sat 11/29 App State vs Arkansas State-8

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for App State's Schedule
Old Dominion's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Old Dominion at Indiana+23.554.5L 14 - 27UY
Sat 9/6 Old Dominion vs North Carolina Central-22.050.5W 54 - 6OY
Sat 9/13 Old Dominion at Virginia Tech+5.550.5W 45 - 26OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Old Dominion vs Liberty-4
Sat 10/4 Old Dominion vs Coastal Carolina-15.5
Sat 10/11 Old Dominion at Marshall-10.5
Sat 10/18 Old Dominion at James Madison+6.5
Sat 10/25 Old Dominion vs App State-11.5
Sat 11/1 Old Dominion at UL Monroe-17
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/13 Old Dominion vs Troy-9
Sat 11/22 Old Dominion at Georgia Southern-14.5
Sat 11/29 Old Dominion vs Georgia State-22.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Old Dominion's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
APP#105 (.1)48% (38)25.358% (11)3.44 (29)16241% (85)3573.21 (109)#78 (.15)39% (69)20.741% (81)38% (60)4.23 (96)812.71.7
ODU#9 (.49)51% (29)37.751% (38)3.57 (23)24652% (27)2166.43 (1)#36 (.03)45% (107)19.755% (132)32% (32)2.84 (45)74.71.72
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
APP#57 (.21)44% (60)45% (58)3.01 (75)15743% (62)2733.89 (71)#123 (.3)49% (127)51% (130)47% (119)4.78 (132)5721.2
ODU#47 (.22)42% (71)45% (55)3.24 (34)21140% (89)1934.75 (6)#71 (.17)39% (33)38% (22)40% (64)3.64 (50)54.21.71.4



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
APP Offense325.32248.4%3.212.7265191623574.544%56%58%41%15%.1
ODU Defense319.7645%2.842 - - - - - 57%43%55%32%21%.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
APP Defense320.73839.3%4.231.7 - - - - - 44%56%41%38%27%.15
ODU Offense337.75450.7%6.431.7224622462167.653%46%51%52%13%.49

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
App State331:4826.341%50%8.3812.71.79.33028
Old Dominion325:3721.738%100%7.774.71.7282.3026
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
APP Offense344% (105)58% (11)36.31624.53 (95).11 (83)3.44 (29)74% (62)6% (25)0.54 (134)
ODU Defense357% (114)55% (132) - - - - .13 (97)3.26 (116)56% (26)13% (30)0.78 (32)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
APP Defense344% (26)41% (81) - - - - .02 (53)2.35 (32)78% (100)17% (5)0.84 (45)
ODU Offense353% (56)51% (38)32.3245.77.610 (10).42 (7)3.57 (23)71% (67)8% (62)1.42 (10)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
APP Offense356% (29)41% (85)27.745.3357.37.912.96 (34)4 (121).1 (117)1.5 (76)31% (77)36% (38).34 (67)9% (131)1.8 (98)
ODU Defense343% (22)32% (32) - - - - - - 3 (28)-.09 (14)1.2 (21)23% (131)31% (81).33 (87)8% (26)1.6 (27)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
APP Defense356% (110)38% (60) - - - - - - 4 (12).28 (95)1.7 (107)37% (24)30% (72).37 (95)10% (8)2.2 (100)
ODU Offense346% (83)52% (27)16.324.3216.38.913.25 (54)3 (92).57 (16)1.6 (44)27% (39)44% (19).67 (21)5% (56)2.2 (37)

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: -10.05 #106
App State's Offense Rating: 6.10 #98
App State's Defense Rating: 16.15 #105
2025 Talent Rating: 650.00 #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
App State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4
App State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.6 #100
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #100
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #100

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
App State: -10.05   Old Dominion: 1.855

SP+ Ratings Matchup
App State: -9.6   Old Dominion: -3.5




Old Dominion's Power Ratings
Old Dominion's Power Rating: 1.855 #75
Old Dominion's Offense Rating: 15.86 #48
Old Dominion's Defense Rating: 13.65 #96
2025 Talent Rating: 328.00 #130
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #79
Old Dominion's 2025 Expected Record: 8.9 - 3.1
Old Dominion's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5 #81
Old Dominion's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #72
Old Dominion's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #94

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


App State Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 22
Defense: 20.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 38

App State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Old Dominion 34
App State 23


Total Points: 57

Old Dominion Scoring
Offense: 37.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 54
Defense: 19.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 6

Old Dominion's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/02App State28Old Dominion20App StateOld Dominion -2.5App State58.0Under
202310/21Old Dominion28App State21Old DominionAppalachian State -6Old Dominion56.0Under
202211/19App State27Old Dominion14App StateAppalachian State -16.5Old Dominion50.5Under
201609/10App State31Old Dominion7App StateAppalachian State -21App State54.0Under
201509/26Old Dominion0App State49App StateAppalachian State -7App State54.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Old Dominion120 Overs
App State435 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 13 - 21 - 12 - 1
Road Teams1 - 42 - 31 - 21 - 1

(#106) App State Info
Power Rating: -10.05 #106
Offense Rating: 6.10 #98
Defense Rating: 16.15 #105
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.6 #100
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #100
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #100
Talent Rating: 650.00 #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44%
Good Offense Success Rate of 48%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.21 PPO
Great Run Success 58%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Bad OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 39%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.23 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 41%
Avg Pass Def Success 38%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

App State has lost 5 straight
App State has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

App State Notes
(8/1) Poss worst DL in SBC, 7 portal adds are meh
(8/1) Entire new team, portals meh, no bowl TY
(8/1) Def bottomed out LY. DL weak. LB avg, CB OK
(8/1) Don't love Loggains hire, SC was done w/ him
(7/13) WR rebuild, Stroman exp'd, 4 portal adds
(6/3) Watch WR J Barnes (A Peay) 1k yds, slot guy
(6/3) QB JJ Kohl (ISU) had best spring, Swann (LSU)?
(6/3) OL 3/5 back, bad LY. 8 portals, weak in spring
(3/23) RB rebuild. Dubinion (Ark), Keith (Tenn) added
(3/23) Loggains will OC, DC Smith co-DC @ Mizzu

App State Highlights
App State has a top Offensive Line (#29)
App State does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#15)

App State Defense Sacks the QB a lot

App State Front 7 is disruptive (#5)
App State Secondary is very good (#8)
App State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)

App State Deficiencies
App State has a bad TO Margin (#131)
App State Fumbles a Lot (#128)
App State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#121)
App State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
App State offense is not Explosive (#127)
App State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#109)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatODUAPP
OverallOver#34#56
OffenseOff#23#62
DefenseDef#62#41
Special TeamsST#66#93
PassingPass#14#45
RushingRush#32#24
Run BlockRBLK#93#70
Pass BlockPBLK#34#95
Route RunningWR Rt#9#62
TacklingTkl#86#78
Run DefenseR Def#89#18
Pass Rush DefPRush#87#26
Coverage DefCov#17#57

Previous Matchups
App State beat Old Dominion last year (28-20)
Old Dominion beat App State in 2023 (28-21)
App State beat Old Dominion in 2022 (27-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Foreman Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: APP | ODU
Depth Chart: APP | ODU
Rosters: APP | ODU
(#75) Old Dominion Info
Power Rating: 1.855 #75
Offense Rating: 15.86 #48
Defense Rating: 13.65 #96
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5 #81
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #72
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #94
Talent Rating: 328.00 #130
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #79
Expected Record: 8.9 - 3.1

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
Good Offense Success Rate of 51%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 6.43 PPO
Good Run Success 51%
Good Pass Success 52%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Avg in Scoring Position 2.84 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 55%
Good Pass Def Success 32%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Old Dominion has lost 4 straight
Old Dominion has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Old Dominion Notes
(9/7) LB Henderson retired. Big loss & blow to Def
(8/30) Run game good vs IU, Run Def torched 300+
(8/1) QB Joseph back, mobile. Good red zone runner
(8/1) WR/TE rebuild, little exp. Rahne like units though
(8/1) Def Avg LY, returns a ton. Added 8 DB portals
(8/1) Emerging team with upward trajectory this year
(8/1) QB Joseph, like all ODU, must limit TOs
(5/23) ODU was 3-6 in 1 score games LY
(5/16) Best G5 LB core w/ Henderson back from inj?
(3/24) RB rebuild, Duke/Roche have exp. Little depth

Old Dominion Highlights
Old Dominion is Undefeated vs Spread
Old Dominion is Undefeated at Home
Old Dominion is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Old Dominion has Really Good Running Game (#7)
Old Dominion offense is efficent (#29)
Old Dominion offense is explosive (#13)
Old Dominion has a top Offensive Line (#23)
Old Dominion offense is good in red zone (#1)
Old Dominion defense does not give up big plays (#4)
Old Dominion Front 7 is disruptive (#30)
Old Dominion Secondary is very good (#26)
Old Dominion defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Old Dominion Deficiencies
Old Dominion has a bad TO Margin (#107)
Old Dominion Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
Old Dominion has a bad defense (#107)
Old Dominion has a bad defensive line (#116)


  
App State's OC Vacant
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
AJ Swann (Tr)6510363%878548.5
Noah Gillon112446%109004.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rashod Dubinion (Tr)7140025.626
Jaquari Lewis114814.410
AJ Swann (Tr)94605.119
Khamani Alexander41403.56
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaden Barnes (Tr)24337314.059
Dalton Stroman15294119.672
Izayah Cummings (Tr)16172010.830
William Fowles574014.819

View App State's Full Roster
App State's DC D. J. Smith
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Colton Phares214001
Dylan Hasz (Tr)141001
Thomas Davis134210
Ja'Den Mcburrows (Tr)112011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Thomas Davis134210
Caleb Sandstrom (Tr)52210
Aiden Benton62210
Kevin Abrams-Verwayne102222
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Johnson71004
Zyeir Gamble81002
Kevin Abrams-Verwayne102222

Old Dominion's OC Kevin Decker
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Colton Joseph466868%629539.3
Quinn Henicle3560%20004.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Colton Joseph29294410.178
Trequan Jones18264414.793
Maurki James237913.410
Ke'Travion Hargrove (Tr)156804.512
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ja'Cory Thomas11193117.538
Na'eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding10140214.044
Tre' Brown III10136113.645
TJ Lott454113.534

View Old Dominion's Full Roster
Old Dominion's DC Blake Seiler
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mario Easterly261011
Jeremy Mack Jr.203201
Jerome Carter200001
Jahleel Culbreath162110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jeremy Mack Jr.203201
Javen Gibson62210
Jahleel Culbreath162110
Cole Daniels72101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Botros Alisandro (Tr)160004
Zion Frink90003
Nickendre Stiger (Tr)161002