Oregon State at App State Game Matchup

Oregon State Beavers at App State Mountaineers

Saturday, October 4th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Kidd Brewer Stadium - Boone, NC

Beavers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Trent Bray (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (17 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.2 - 4.8 (#48)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)

ORST is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Oregon State -8.5 (SP+ ORST -6.5)
Projected Score: ORST: 31 - APP: 23 (57)
ORST Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
ORST Travel: 2238 miles, 3 hrs behind

Mountaineers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Dowell Loggains (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 27 - 33 (29 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.9 - 7.1 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)

Matchup
Schedules
ORST Players
APP Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Oregon State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	Oregon State vs California	-1.5	0.0
Sat 9/6	Oregon State vs Fresno State	-5.5
Sat 9/13	Oregon State at Texas Tech	+18
Sat 9/20	Oregon State at Oregon	+32.5
Sat 9/27	Oregon State vs Houston	+1
Sat 10/4	Oregon State at App State	-8.5
Sat 10/11	Oregon State vs Wake Forest	-6.5
Sat 10/18	Oregon State vs Lafayette	-20.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1	Oregon State vs Washington State	-9.5
Sat 11/8	Oregon State vs Sam Houston	-16.5
Sat 11/15	Oregon State at Tulsa	-12
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29	Oregon State at Washington State	-4.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oregon State's Schedule

App State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	App State vs Charlotte	-8.5	0.0
Sat 9/6	App State vs Lindenwood	-9
Sat 9/13	App State at Southern Miss	+8
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27	App State at Boise State	+26.5
Sat 10/4	App State vs Oregon State	+8.5
Sat 10/11	App State at Georgia State	+0
Sat 10/18	App State vs Coastal Carolina	+0.5
Sat 10/25	App State at Old Dominion	+6.5
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/6	App State vs Georgia Southern	+8
Sat 11/15	App State at James Madison	+18.5
Sat 11/22	App State vs Marshall	-5.5
Sat 11/29	App State vs Arkansas State	+0.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for App State's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ORST	#87 (.16)	44% (59)	24.3	47% (25)	3.34 (20)	189	39% (100)	201	3.87 (75)	#117 (.27)	48% (125)	29.9	50% (126)	45% (112)	4.35 (117)	45.7	1.3	1
APP	#57 (.21)	44% (60)	26.6	45% (58)	3.01 (75)	157	43% (62)	273	3.89 (71)	#123 (.3)	49% (127)	32.9	51% (130)	47% (119)	4.78 (132)	57	2	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ORST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
APP		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ORST Offense	12	24.3	16.6	43.6%	3.87	1.3	22	391	189	201	4.7	55%	45%	47%	39%	15%	.16
APP Defense	11	32.9	24.8	49%	4.78	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	56%	44%	51%	47%	12%	.3

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ORST Defense	12	29.9	29.6	48%	4.35	1	-	-	-	-	-	56%	44%	50%	45%	13%	.27
APP Offense	11	26.6	29.4	43.6%	3.89	2	24	430	157	273	4.5	48%	51%	45%	43%	16%	.21

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Oregon State	12	33:09	22.3	44%	52%	5.1	45.7	1.3	1	3.8	0.6	1	24.9
App State	11	30:06	23.9	43%	59%	6	57	2	1.2	4.3	2.1	1	27.6

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ORST Offense	12	55% (33)	47% (25)	40.3	189.2	4.7	29 (18)	.22 (25)	3.34 (20)	76% (46)	9% (50)	0.97 (65)
APP Defense	11	56% (124)	51% (130)	-	-	-	-	.26 (128)	3.41 (125)	77% (94)	9% (89)	1.04 (94)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ORST Defense	12	56% (125)	50% (126)	-	-	-	-	.23 (120)	3.39 (123)	81% (114)	8% (122)	0.96 (55)
APP Offense	11	48% (81)	45% (58)	34.9	157.4	4.5	13 (105)	.1 (89)	3.01 (75)	80% (21)	7% (15)	0.89 (104)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ORST Offense	12	45% (101)	39% (100)	18	30	201.4	6.7	11.2	7 (130)	11 (72)	.09 (125)	1.4 (123)	28% (20)	31% (78)	.16 (123)	6% (84)	1.8 (124)
APP Defense	11	44% (10)	47% (119)	-	-	-	-	-	-	4 (125)	.37 (119)	1.5 (46)	26% (133)	35% (115)	.38 (100)	2% (134)	2 (62)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ORST Defense	12	44% (13)	45% (112)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (117)	.31 (104)	1.5 (41)	27% (126)	33% (102)	.46 (121)	6% (75)	2.1 (70)
APP Offense	11	51% (53)	43% (62)	19.8	35.6	272.9	7.7	13.8	23 (41)	16 (124)	.32 (41)	1.8 (13)	35% (122)	37% (15)	.46 (19)	9% (130)	2.2 (18)

Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: -3.81 #78
Oregon State's Offense Rating: 14.15 #68
Oregon State's Defense Rating: 17.96 #88
2025 Talent Rating: 770.00 #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #73
Oregon State's 2025 Expected Record: 7.2 - 4.8
Oregon State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.4 #73
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #56
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.3 #85

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 675
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31

Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: -3.81 App State: -11.78

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: -2.4 App State: -8.8

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: -11.78 #123
App State's Offense Rating: 6.35 #114
App State's Defense Rating: 26.11 #124
2025 Talent Rating: 548.00 #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
App State's 2025 Expected Record: 4.9 - 7.1
App State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.8 #98
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #94
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #103

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 526.43
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31

Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.6
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.6

Oregon State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Oregon State 31
App State 23

Projected Total Points: 57

App State Scoring
Offense: 26.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.4
Defense: 32.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.8

App State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
App State	0	0	0 Overs
Oregon State	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0

(#78) Oregon State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -3.81 #78
Offense Rating: 14.15 #68
Defense Rating: 17.96 #88
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.4 #73
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #56
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.3 #85
Talent Rating: 770.00 #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #73
Expected Record: 7.2 - 4.8

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.87 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.35 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 45%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Oregon State Notes
(5/10) OL is a big concern. Depth, Spring injuries
(5/10) Big TEs, but looking for deep ball w/ WR core
(5/10) DC Heyward left for Cal DBs? Bray will DC TY
(5/10) Schedule really front loaded, rough start
(5/10) OC Gunderson 1st time calling plays
(3/22) RB Hankerson (1k LY) back, Allah has exp
(3/22) WR returns most, Walker + TE Terry.
(3/22) OL returns 1/5. Added 3 via portal
(3/22) Def bad LY, returns a lot. Needs DE/CB
(3/22) Bray 1st yr finished 1-6. Team looks better TY

Oregon State Ratings Matchup App State

Power #78

#123

Off #68

#114

Def #88

#124

Talent #54

#98

SP+ #73

#98

SP+ Off #56

#94

SP+ Def #85

#103

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kidd Brewer Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ORST | APP
Depth Chart: ORST | APP
Rosters: ORST | APP

(#123) App State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -11.78 #123
Offense Rating: 6.35 #114
Defense Rating: 26.11 #124
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.8 #98
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #94
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #103
Talent Rating: 548.00 #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Expected Record: 4.9 - 7.1

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.89 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.78 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Awful Pass Def Success 47%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

App State Notes
(3/27) QB portals Swann (LSU) or Kohl (ISU)?
(3/23) RB rebuild. Dubinion (Ark), Keith (Tenn) added
(3/23) WR rebuild, Stroman exp'd, 3 portal adds
(3/23) OL 3/5 back, bad LY. 5 portal adds (3 FBS)
(3/23) Def bad LY, return some. DL weak. CB's good?
(3/23) Loggains was S Car OC, in for fired S. Clark
(3/23) Loggains will OC, DC Smith co-DC @ Mizzu

Oregon State's OC Ryan Gunderson

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Maalik Murphy (Tr)	254	421	60%	2932	26	12	7.0
Gabarri Johnson	15	29	52%	174	0	1	6.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Anthony Hankerson	232	1082	15	4.7	83
Salahadin Allah	55	258	1	4.7	21
Marquis Crosby (Tr)	57	224	1	3.9	31
Gabarri Johnson	26	106	1	4.1	23

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Trent Walker	81	901	2	11.1	43
Jermaine Terry II	23	375	1	16.3	43
Darrius Clemons	25	292	2	11.7	44
Tastean Reddicks	17	222	0	13.1	29

View Oregon State's Full Roster

Oregon State's DC Trent Bray

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Skyler Thomas	81	0	0	0	9
Nikko Taylor	46	8	3	7	3
Dexter Foster	43	2	1	2	0
Tyrice Ivy Jr.	35	1	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nikko Taylor	46	8	3	7	3
Oluwaseyi Omotosho	14	1	1	6	0
Dexter Foster	43	2	1	2	0
Semisi Saluni	34	5	1	3	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Skyler Thomas	81	0	0	0	9
Sailasa Vadrawale	30	1	0	0	4
Nikko Taylor	46	8	3	7	3

App State's OC Vacant

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
AJ Swann (Tr)	2	4	50%	10	0	0	2.5
Billy Wiles	0	1	0%	0	0	1	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rashod Dubinion (Tr)	56	335	2	6.0	23
Khalifa Keith (Tr)	21	100	1	4.8	23
Jaylon Calhoun	1	2	0	2.0	2

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dalton Stroman	20	307	5	15.4	47
Rashod Dubinion (Tr)	16	122	0	7.6	23
Kanen Hamlett	4	35	2	8.8	19
Izayah Cummings (Tr)	3	33	0	11.0	19

View App State's Full Roster

App State's DC D. J. Smith

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kyle Arnholt	54	2	0	2	0
DJ Burks	52	3	0	0	0
Thomas Davis	35	6	4	1	0
Jordan Favors	33	1	0	0	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Thomas Davis	35	6	4	1	0
Shawn Collins	16	3	2	4	1
Rondarius Porter (Tr)	7	1	1	0	0
Kevin Abrams-Verwayne	9	1	1	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Jordan Favors	33	1	0	4
Cristian Conyer (Tr)	9	0	0	3
Ethan Johnson	22	0	1	2