Oregon State Beavers at App State Mountaineers
Saturday, October 4th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Kidd Brewer Stadium - Boone, NC
Beavers (0 - 3) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Trent Bray (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 16 - 38 (7 - 45 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 6.7 (#95)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 6)
Coach Trent Bray (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 16 - 38 (7 - 45 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 6.7 (#95)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 6)
ORST is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Oregon State -4.5 (SP+ APP -1)
Projected Score: ORST: 26 - APP: 21 (47)
ORST Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
ORST Travel: 2238 miles, 3 hrs behind
Our Line: Oregon State -4.5 (SP+ APP -1)
Projected Score: ORST: 26 - APP: 21 (47)
ORST Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
ORST Travel: 2238 miles, 3 hrs behind
Mountaineers (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Dowell Loggains (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 25 - 21 (20 - 13 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 5.4 (#69)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 6)
Coach Dowell Loggains (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 25 - 21 (20 - 13 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 5.4 (#69)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 6)
| Oregon State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Oregon State vs California | -3.0 | 51.5 | L 15 - 34 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Oregon State vs Fresno State | -1.0 | 45.5 | L 27 - 36 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Oregon State at Texas Tech | +24.5 | 61.5 | L 7 - 45 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | Oregon State at Oregon | +35.5 | 55.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Oregon State vs Houston | +5.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Oregon State at App State | -4.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Oregon State vs Wake Forest | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Oregon State vs Lafayette | -20.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/1 | Oregon State vs Washington State | -7.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Oregon State vs Sam Houston | -18.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Oregon State at Tulsa | -6 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/29 | Oregon State at Washington State | -2.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Predictions for Oregon State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
| App State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Fri 8/29 | App State vs Charlotte | -8.5 | 53.5 | W 34 - 11 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | App State vs Lindenwood | -31.5 | 56.0 | W 20 - 13 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | App State at Southern Miss | -3.0 | 55.5 | L 22 - 38 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/27 | App State at Boise State | +17 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | App State vs Oregon State | +4.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | App State at Georgia State | -8 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | App State vs Coastal Carolina | -6.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | App State at Old Dominion | +11.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Thu 11/6 | App State vs Georgia Southern | -10.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | App State at James Madison | +16 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | App State vs Marshall | -6 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | App State vs Arkansas State | -8 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Predictions for App State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORST | #55 (.24) | 48% (40) | 16.3 | 44% (68) | 2.25 (123) | 76 | 50% (32) | 296 | 4.23 (55) | #89 (.18) | 37% (54) | 38.3 | 34% (34) | 41% (73) | 4 (89) | 37.7 | 2 | 1 |
| APP | #105 (.1) | 48% (38) | 25.3 | 58% (11) | 3.44 (29) | 162 | 41% (85) | 357 | 3.21 (109) | #78 (.15) | 39% (69) | 20.7 | 41% (81) | 38% (60) | 4.23 (96) | 81 | 2.7 | 1.7 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORST | #87 (.16) | 44% (59) | 47% (25) | 3.34 (20) | 189 | 39% (100) | 201 | 3.87 (75) | #117 (.27) | 48% (125) | 50% (126) | 45% (112) | 4.35 (117) | 45.7 | 1.3 | 1 | ||
| APP | #57 (.21) | 44% (60) | 45% (58) | 3.01 (75) | 157 | 43% (62) | 273 | 3.89 (71) | #123 (.3) | 49% (127) | 51% (130) | 47% (119) | 4.78 (132) | 57 | 2 | 1.2 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORST Offense | 3 | 16.3 | 7 | 47.9% | 4.23 | 2 | 22 | 372 | 76 | 296 | 2.8 | 42% | 57% | 44% | 50% | 18% | .24 |
| APP Defense | 3 | 20.7 | 13 | 39.3% | 4.23 | 1.7 | - | - | - | - | - | 44% | 56% | 41% | 38% | 27% | .15 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORST Defense | 3 | 38.3 | 45 | 36.9% | 4 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 55% | 44% | 34% | 41% | 16% | .18 |
| APP Offense | 3 | 25.3 | 20 | 48.4% | 3.21 | 2.7 | 26 | 519 | 162 | 357 | 4.5 | 44% | 56% | 58% | 41% | 15% | .1 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oregon State | 3 | 32:58 | 21.7 | 45% | 60% | 5.7 | 37.7 | 2 | 1 | 5.7 | 0.3 | 0 | 29.7 |
| App State | 3 | 31:48 | 26.3 | 41% | 50% | 8.3 | 81 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 9.3 | 3 | 0 | 28 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORST Offense | 3 | 42% (115) | 44% (68) | 27.3 | 76 | 2.8 | 2 (109) | -.02 (111) | 2.25 (123) | 90% (14) | 10% (86) | 0.68 (127) |
| APP Defense | 3 | 44% (26) | 41% (81) | - | - | - | - | .02 (53) | 2.35 (32) | 78% (100) | 17% (5) | 0.84 (45) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORST Defense | 3 | 55% (104) | 34% (34) | - | - | - | - | .02 (54) | 2.17 (18) | 67% (53) | 9% (85) | 1.14 (102) |
| APP Offense | 3 | 44% (105) | 58% (11) | 36.3 | 162 | 4.5 | 3 (95) | .11 (83) | 3.44 (29) | 74% (62) | 6% (25) | 0.54 (134) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORST Offense | 3 | 57% (26) | 50% (32) | 25.7 | 42 | 295.7 | 7 | 11.5 | 5 (54) | 5 (129) | .39 (47) | 1.4 (102) | 31% (72) | 33% (54) | .23 (94) | 8% (121) | 1.7 (112) |
| APP Defense | 3 | 56% (110) | 38% (60) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 (12) | .28 (95) | 1.7 (107) | 37% (24) | 30% (72) | .37 (95) | 10% (8) | 2.2 (100) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORST Defense | 3 | 44% (31) | 41% (73) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 (28) | .38 (114) | 1.9 (121) | 29% (111) | 28% (65) | .55 (119) | 7% (41) | 2.9 (134) |
| APP Offense | 3 | 56% (29) | 41% (85) | 27.7 | 45.3 | 357.3 | 7.9 | 12.9 | 6 (34) | 4 (121) | .1 (117) | 1.5 (76) | 31% (77) | 36% (38) | .34 (67) | 9% (131) | 1.8 (98) |
Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: 4.95 #68
Oregon State's Offense Rating: 13.01 #67
Oregon State's Defense Rating: 8.06 #72
2025 Talent Rating: 772.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Oregon State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7
Oregon State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5 #107
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #92
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #112
Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 748
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Oregon State's Power Rating: 4.95 #68
Oregon State's Offense Rating: 13.01 #67
Oregon State's Defense Rating: 8.06 #72
2025 Talent Rating: 772.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Oregon State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7
Oregon State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5 #107
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #92
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #112
Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 748
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: 4.95 App State: -7.325
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: -10.5 App State: -9.6
Oregon State: 4.95 App State: -7.325
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: -10.5 App State: -9.6
App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: -7.325 #106
App State's Offense Rating: 6.10 #98
App State's Defense Rating: 16.15 #105
2025 Talent Rating: 650.00 #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
App State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4
App State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.6 #100
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #100
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #100
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
App State's Power Rating: -7.325 #106
App State's Offense Rating: 6.10 #98
App State's Defense Rating: 16.15 #105
2025 Talent Rating: 650.00 #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
App State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4
App State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.6 #100
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #100
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #100
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 16.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 7
Defense: 38.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 45
Oregon State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Offense: 16.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 7
Defense: 38.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 45
Oregon State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Oregon State 26
App State 21
Total Points: 47
Oregon State 26
App State 21
Total Points: 47
App State Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 20
Defense: 20.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 13
App State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 1 - 0
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 20
Defense: 20.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 13
App State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| App State | 0 | 0 | 0 Overs |
| Oregon State | 0 | 0 | 0 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 |
(#68) Oregon State Info
Power Rating: 4.95 #68
Offense Rating: 13.01 #67
Defense Rating: 8.06 #72
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5 #107
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #92
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #112
Talent Rating: 772.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 42%
Good Offense Success Rate of 48%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.23 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Good Pass Success 50%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 37%
Poor in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Good Run Def Success 34%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Oregon State has lost 5 straight
Oregon State has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Oregon State Notes
(7/31) RB Hankerson a great back, have depth
(7/31) Bray 1st yr finished 1-6. Will DC this year
(7/31) Schedule front loaded but lots of rebuild opps
(7/31) OC Gunderson great QB coach, 1st time OC
(7/31) DL lacks exp, will struggle up front both lines
(6/14) OL returns 1/5. 4 portals, only 2 clear starters
(5/10) QB G Johnson is fast and will get packages
(5/10) OL is a big concern. Depth, Spring injuries
(5/10) Big TEs, but looking for deep ball w/ WR core
(3/22) WR returns most, Walker + TE Terry.
Oregon State Highlights
Oregon State offense is good on 3rd downs
Oregon State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#26)
Oregon State Defensive Line is very good (#18)
Oregon State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Oregon State Deficiencies
Oregon State has a really bad Offense
Oregon State has a bad TO Margin (#116)
Oregon State Can Not Run the Ball (#128)
Oregon State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#129)
Oregon State offense is not Explosive (#100)
Oregon State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#107)
Oregon State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Oregon State does not Sack the QB (#130)
Oregon State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#118)
Power Rating: 4.95 #68
Offense Rating: 13.01 #67
Defense Rating: 8.06 #72
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5 #107
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #92
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #112
Talent Rating: 772.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 42%
Good Offense Success Rate of 48%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.23 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Good Pass Success 50%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 37%
Poor in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Good Run Def Success 34%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Oregon State has lost 5 straight
Oregon State has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Oregon State Notes
(7/31) RB Hankerson a great back, have depth
(7/31) Bray 1st yr finished 1-6. Will DC this year
(7/31) Schedule front loaded but lots of rebuild opps
(7/31) OC Gunderson great QB coach, 1st time OC
(7/31) DL lacks exp, will struggle up front both lines
(6/14) OL returns 1/5. 4 portals, only 2 clear starters
(5/10) QB G Johnson is fast and will get packages
(5/10) OL is a big concern. Depth, Spring injuries
(5/10) Big TEs, but looking for deep ball w/ WR core
(3/22) WR returns most, Walker + TE Terry.
Oregon State Highlights
Oregon State offense is good on 3rd downs
Oregon State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#26)
Oregon State Defensive Line is very good (#18)
Oregon State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Oregon State Deficiencies
Oregon State has a really bad Offense
Oregon State has a bad TO Margin (#116)
Oregon State Can Not Run the Ball (#128)
Oregon State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#129)
Oregon State offense is not Explosive (#100)
Oregon State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#107)
Oregon State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Oregon State does not Sack the QB (#130)
Oregon State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#118)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | APP | ORST |
| OverallOver | #56 | #79 |
| OffenseOff | #62 | #68 |
| DefenseDef | #41 | #86 |
| Special TeamsST | #93 | #113 |
| PassingPass | #45 | #51 |
| RushingRush | #24 | #94 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #70 | #68 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #95 | #70 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #62 | #41 |
| TacklingTkl | #78 | #108 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #18 | #79 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #26 | #103 |
| Coverage DefCov | #57 | #89 |
(#106) App State Info
Power Rating: -7.325 #106
Offense Rating: 6.10 #98
Defense Rating: 16.15 #105
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.6 #100
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #100
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #100
Talent Rating: 650.00 #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44%
Good Offense Success Rate of 48%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.21 PPO
Great Run Success 58%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Bad OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 39%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.23 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 41%
Avg Pass Def Success 38%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
App State has lost 2 straight
App State has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
App State Notes
(8/1) Poss worst DL in SBC, 7 portal adds are meh
(8/1) Entire new team, portals meh, no bowl TY
(8/1) Def bottomed out LY. DL weak. LB avg, CB OK
(8/1) Don't love Loggains hire, SC was done w/ him
(7/13) WR rebuild, Stroman exp'd, 4 portal adds
(6/3) Watch WR J Barnes (A Peay) 1k yds, slot guy
(6/3) QB JJ Kohl (ISU) had best spring, Swann (LSU)?
(6/3) OL 3/5 back, bad LY. 8 portals, weak in spring
(3/23) RB rebuild. Dubinion (Ark), Keith (Tenn) added
(3/23) Loggains will OC, DC Smith co-DC @ Mizzu
App State Highlights
App State is Undefeated at Home
App State has a top Offensive Line (#29)
App State does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#15)
App State Defense Sacks the QB a lot
App State Front 7 is disruptive (#5)
App State Secondary is very good (#8)
App State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
App State Deficiencies
App State has a really bad Offense at Home
App State has a bad TO Margin (#131)
App State Fumbles a Lot (#128)
App State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#121)
App State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
App State offense is not Explosive (#127)
App State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#109)
Power Rating: -7.325 #106
Offense Rating: 6.10 #98
Defense Rating: 16.15 #105
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.6 #100
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #100
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #100
Talent Rating: 650.00 #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44%
Good Offense Success Rate of 48%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.21 PPO
Great Run Success 58%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Bad OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 39%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.23 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 41%
Avg Pass Def Success 38%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
App State has lost 2 straight
App State has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
App State Notes
(8/1) Poss worst DL in SBC, 7 portal adds are meh
(8/1) Entire new team, portals meh, no bowl TY
(8/1) Def bottomed out LY. DL weak. LB avg, CB OK
(8/1) Don't love Loggains hire, SC was done w/ him
(7/13) WR rebuild, Stroman exp'd, 4 portal adds
(6/3) Watch WR J Barnes (A Peay) 1k yds, slot guy
(6/3) QB JJ Kohl (ISU) had best spring, Swann (LSU)?
(6/3) OL 3/5 back, bad LY. 8 portals, weak in spring
(3/23) RB rebuild. Dubinion (Ark), Keith (Tenn) added
(3/23) Loggains will OC, DC Smith co-DC @ Mizzu
App State Highlights
App State is Undefeated at Home
App State has a top Offensive Line (#29)
App State does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#15)
App State Defense Sacks the QB a lot
App State Front 7 is disruptive (#5)
App State Secondary is very good (#8)
App State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
App State Deficiencies
App State has a really bad Offense at Home
App State has a bad TO Margin (#131)
App State Fumbles a Lot (#128)
App State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#121)
App State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
App State offense is not Explosive (#127)
App State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#109)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maalik Murphy (Tr) | 76 | 124 | 61% | 893 | 6 | 5 | 7.2 |
| Gabarri Johnson | 2 | 4 | 50% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Hankerson | 51 | 190 | 1 | 3.7 | 26 |
| Salahadin Allah | 8 | 36 | 0 | 4.5 | 16 |
| Gabarri Johnson | 5 | 15 | 0 | 3.0 | 7 |
| Cornell Hatcher Jr. | 1 | 10 | 0 | 10.0 | 10 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Walker | 23 | 302 | 0 | 13.1 | 31 |
| Tastean Reddicks | 15 | 213 | 0 | 14.2 | 37 |
| David Wells Jr. | 10 | 151 | 1 | 15.1 | 56 |
| Bryce Caufield | 12 | 67 | 1 | 5.6 | 10 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dexter Foster | 25 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Skyler Thomas | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Jaheim Patterson | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sailasa Vadrawale | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tahjae Mullix (Tr) | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Thomas Collins | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Shamar Meikle | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Dexter Foster | 25 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skyler Thomas | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Jalil Tucker | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Trey Glasper | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Swann (Tr) | 65 | 103 | 63% | 878 | 5 | 4 | 8.5 |
| Noah Gillon | 11 | 24 | 46% | 109 | 0 | 0 | 4.5 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rashod Dubinion (Tr) | 71 | 400 | 2 | 5.6 | 26 |
| Jaquari Lewis | 11 | 48 | 1 | 4.4 | 10 |
| AJ Swann (Tr) | 9 | 46 | 0 | 5.1 | 19 |
| Khamani Alexander | 4 | 14 | 0 | 3.5 | 6 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Barnes (Tr) | 24 | 337 | 3 | 14.0 | 59 |
| Dalton Stroman | 15 | 294 | 1 | 19.6 | 72 |
| Izayah Cummings (Tr) | 16 | 172 | 0 | 10.8 | 30 |
| William Fowles | 5 | 74 | 0 | 14.8 | 19 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colton Phares | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Dylan Hasz (Tr) | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Thomas Davis | 13 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Ja'Den Mcburrows (Tr) | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Davis | 13 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Caleb Sandstrom (Tr) | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Aiden Benton | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Kevin Abrams-Verwayne | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Johnson | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Zyeir Gamble | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Kevin Abrams-Verwayne | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |