Georgia Southern at App State - 2025 Matchup Preview

Georgia Southern Eagles at App State Mountaineers

Thursday, November 6th 2025 (7:30 PM EST)
App State -4.5 (62.5) (-198) Open: -5.5
Georgia Southern 25 - App State: 23 (Sun Belt)

Eagles (7 - 6) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Clay Helton (20 - 18)
Avg Score : 28 - 32 (20 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 6.5 (#75)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)

GASO coming off BYE
APP coming off BYE
Our Line: App State -3.5 (SP+ APP -1)
Projected Score: GASO: 28 - APP: 32 (60)
APP Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
GASO Travel: 263 miles

Mountaineers (5 - 8) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Dowell Loggains (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (27 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.5 - 7.5 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)

Matchup
Schedules
GASO Players
APP Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Georgia Southern's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Georgia Southern at Fresno State	+2.5	54.5	L 14 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/6	Georgia Southern at USC	+29.0	61.5	L 20 - 59	O	N
Sat 9/13	Georgia Southern vs Jacksonville State	-3.0	59.0	W 41 - 34	O	Y
Sat 9/20	Georgia Southern vs Maine	-22.0	57.5	W 45 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/27	Georgia Southern at James Madison	+14.5	54.5	L 10 - 35	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9	Georgia Southern vs Southern Miss	+3.0	59.5	L 35 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/18	Georgia Southern vs Georgia State	-6.5	58.5	W 41 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/25	Georgia Southern at Arkansas State	-1.5	59.5	L 24 - 34	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/6	Georgia Southern at App State	+4.5	62.5	W 25 - 23	U	Y
Sat 11/15	Georgia Southern vs Coastal Carolina	-3.0	59.5	W 45 - 40	O	Y
Sat 11/22	Georgia Southern vs Old Dominion	+10.0	62.0	L 10 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/29	Georgia Southern at Marshall	+10.5	61.5	W 24 - 19	U	Y
Mon 12/29	Georgia Southern vs App State	-10.0	58.5	W 29 - 10	U	Y

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2

Predictions for Georgia Southern's Schedule

App State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	App State vs Charlotte	-8.5	53.5	W 34 - 11	U	Y
Sat 9/6	App State vs Lindenwood	-31.5	56.0	W 20 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/13	App State at Southern Miss	-3.0	55.5	L 22 - 38	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27	App State at Boise State	+16.5	59.5	L 14 - 47	O	N
Sat 10/4	App State vs Oregon State	-1.5	53.5	W 27 - 23	U	Y
Sat 10/11	App State at Georgia State	-3.0	55.5	W 41 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/18	App State vs Coastal Carolina	-10.5	48.5	L 37 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/25	App State at Old Dominion	+12.5	60.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/6	App State vs Georgia Southern	-4.5	62.5	L 23 - 25	U	N
Sat 11/15	App State at James Madison	+21.0	53.5	L 10 - 58	O	N
Sat 11/22	App State vs Marshall	+3.5	57.5	W 26 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/29	App State vs Arkansas State	-1.0	54.5	L 29 - 30	O	N
Mon 12/29	App State vs Georgia Southern	+10.0	58.5	L 10 - 29	U	N

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 1

Predictions for App State's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GASO	#39 (.21)	45% (41)	27.9	46% (43)	3.2 (22)	137	45% (36)	234	4.01 (40)	#133 (.3)	49% (133)	32.3	51% (134)	47% (125)	4.45 (130)	47.3	0.9	1.2
APP	#93 (.13)	41% (85)	24.2	43% (73)	2.99 (58)	114	40% (85)	242	3.69 (71)	#77 (.18)	45% (109)	29.8	45% (97)	45% (114)	4.18 (116)	58.9	1.4	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GASO	#68 (.19)	43% (65)		46% (44)	2.84 (101)	128	40% (85)	238	4.57 (17)	#105 (.23)	45% (108)		47% (109)	44% (102)	3.81 (71)	48.3	1.7	1.5
APP	#57 (.21)	44% (60)		45% (58)	3.01 (75)	157	43% (62)	273	3.89 (71)	#123 (.3)	49% (127)		51% (130)	47% (119)	4.78 (132)	57	2	1.2

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GASO Offense	13	27.9	19.5	45%	4.01	0.9	20	371	137	234	4.2	49%	49%	46%	45%	14%	.21
APP Defense	13	29.8	26.7	44.7%	4.18	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	45%	53%	45%	45%	17%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GASO Defense	13	32.3	35.3	49.1%	4.45	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	51%	47%	15%	.3
APP Offense	13	24.2	27	41.5%	3.69	1.4	19	356	114	242	3.9	42%	56%	43%	40%	17%	.13

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Georgia Southern	13	27:09	20.4	45%	53%	5	47.3	0.9	1.2	4.3	0.9	1	28.5
App State	13	26:01	19.5	33%	63%	6.3	58.9	1.4	1.4	5.4	2.2	1	28

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GASO Offense	13	49% (75)	46% (43)	32.5	136.7	4.2	16 (60)	.16 (45)	3.2 (22)	73% (60)	9% (54)	0.92 (87)
APP Defense	13	45% (16)	45% (97)	-	-	-	-	.05 (44)	2.8 (55)	70% (57)	10% (57)	0.82 (10)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GASO Defense	13	51% (86)	51% (134)	-	-	-	-	.28 (135)	3.4 (134)	74% (88)	9% (83)	1.07 (116)
APP Offense	13	42% (121)	43% (73)	29	114	3.9	11 (99)	.07 (92)	2.99 (58)	67% (96)	8% (29)	0.77 (131)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GASO Offense	13	49% (66)	45% (36)	19.6	31.1	233.8	7.5	11.9	25 (33)	8 (88)	.3 (48)	1.6 (64)	29% (38)	36% (20)	.46 (17)	5% (30)	2.1 (59)
APP Defense	13	53% (122)	45% (114)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (22)	.31 (96)	1.5 (52)	32% (55)	32% (93)	.36 (103)	7% (24)	2.2 (116)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GASO Defense	13	47% (55)	47% (125)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (75)	.37 (117)	1.5 (54)	29% (105)	37% (133)	.36 (101)	6% (73)	1.8 (20)
APP Offense	13	56% (15)	40% (85)	21.8	36.8	241.8	6.6	11.1	23 (33)	11 (108)	.23 (79)	1.6 (60)	33% (99)	33% (35)	.33 (59)	9% (133)	1.9 (107)

Georgia Southern's Power Ratings
Georgia Southern's Power Rating: -11.87 #118
Georgia Southern's Offense Rating: 11.75 #53
Georgia Southern's Defense Rating: 23.62 #135
2025 Talent Rating: 586.00 #99
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Georgia Southern's 2025 Expected Record: 6.5 - 6.5
Georgia Southern's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.3 #111
Georgia Southern's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.1 #66
Georgia Southern's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.3 #131

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia Southern: -11.87 App State: -8.315

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia Southern: -11.3 App State: -10.6

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: -8.315 #112
App State's Offense Rating: 3.41 #105
App State's Defense Rating: 14.44 #108
2025 Talent Rating: 650.00 #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
App State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.5 - 7.5
App State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.6 #108
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #92
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #119

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Georgia Southern Scoring
Offense: 27.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.5
Defense: 32.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.3

Georgia Southern's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
App State 32
Georgia Southern 28

Total Points: 60

Based on Last 4 Games
App State 33
Georgia Southern 27

Total Points: 59

Based on Entire Season
App State 30
Georgia Southern 26

Total Points: 56

App State Scoring
Offense: 24.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 27
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.7

App State's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/06	App State	23	Georgia Southern	25	App State -4.5	Georgia Southern	62.5	Under
2025	12/29	App State	10	Georgia Southern	29	Georgia Southern -10	Georgia Southern	58.5	Under
2024	11/30	Georgia Southern	29	App State	20	Georgia Southern -2.5	Georgia Southern	60.5	Under
2023	11/25	App State	55	Georgia Southern	27	Appalachian State -7.5	App State	62.5	Over
2022	11/26	Georgia Southern	51	App State	48	Appalachian State -6.5	Georgia Southern	66.0	Over
2021	11/27	App State	27	Georgia Southern	3	Appalachian State -24.5	Georgia Southern	55.0	Under
2020	12/12	Georgia Southern	26	App State	34	Appalachian State -9	Georgia Southern	45.0	Over
2019	10/31	App State	21	Georgia Southern	24	Appalachian State -15	Georgia Southern	44.5	Over
2018	10/25	Georgia Southern	34	App State	14	Appalachian State -11	Georgia Southern	47.5	Over
2017	11/09	App State	27	Georgia Southern	6	Appalachian State -17.5	App State	51.5	Under
2016	10/27	Georgia Southern	10	App State	34	Appalachian State -4	App State	46.5	Under
2015	10/22	App State	31	Georgia Southern	13	Appalachian State -6	App State	60.0	Under
2014	09/25	Georgia Southern	34	App State	14	Georgia Southern -17	Georgia Southern	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
App State	6	4	5 Overs
Georgia Southern	7	9	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 5	8 - 5	5 - 3	3 - 2
Road Teams	5 - 8	5 - 8	2 - 3	3 - 5

(#118) GASO at (#112) APP

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	GASO	APP
Power RatePwr	#118	#112
SP+SP+	#111	#108
Perf GradeGrade	#112	#90
OffenseOff	#61	#98
DefenseDef	#134	#53
Spec TeamsST	#115	#36
TalentTal	#99	#84
Blue ChipsBC%	#65	#101

Georgia Southern Notes(10/22) DL is statistically bottom 5 in CFB, line yds & havoc
(10/22) Defense is worst in CFB in Success Rate, Off Avg
(10/9) French 3 INT, team 12 flags, comeback short vs USM
(8/25) Will stay out West between @ Fresno & USC
(8/1) Two West coast games to open. Impact?
(8/1) QB French way to many TOs under pressure LY
(8/1) QB/RB/WR combo great potential as tops in SBC
(8/1) DBs could be strong TY but F7 has lots of ?
(7/12) Helton QBs are historically TO prone
(4/7) WR Brown (Aub) impressive. QB as good depth
(3/24) QB French back. Helton (WKU) added
(3/24) RB Arnold, Mbadinga exp'd. Gibbs big croot
Georgia Southern Injury Report

App State Notes(10/19) Horrific home loss to C Car, Run Def mauled 240+
(10/19) So QB JJ Kohl taken over for Swann (was injured)
(9/22) App has lost 5 straight road games into Boise St
(8/30) Swann great vs Char, Run game decent, Def imp
(8/1) Poss worst DL in SBC, 7 portal adds are meh
(8/1) Entire new team, portals meh, no bowl TY
(8/1) Def bottomed out LY. DL weak. LB avg, CB OK
(8/1) Don't love Loggains hire, SC was done w/ him
(7/13) WR rebuild, Stroman exp'd, 4 portal adds
(6/3) Watch WR J Barnes (A Peay) 1k yds, slot guy
(6/3) QB JJ Kohl (ISU) had best spring, Swann (LSU)?
(6/3) OL 3/5 back, bad LY. 8 portals, weak in spring
App State Injury Report

Georgia Southern on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	GASO Off	APP Def
Perf GradePerf	#61	#53
SuccessSuc	#41	#109
ExplosiveExp	#67	#44
PPAPPA	#39	#77
PowerPwr	#53	#108
SP+SP+	#66	#119
Pts POPPO	#40	#116
HavocHav	#44	#42

Georgia Southern Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	GASO Off	APP Def
Run GameRun	#71	#24
Run SuccessRSuc	#43	#97
Run ExplRExp	#87	#10
PPAExp	#45	#44
Run BlockR Blk	#61	-
OL YdsOLY	#22	#55
Stuff RateStuff	#45	#78
TackleTak	-	#61

Georgia Southern Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	GASO Off	APP Def
Pass GamePass	#75	#105
Pass SuccessPSuc	#36	#114
Pass ExplPExl	#64	#52
PPAExp	#48	#96
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#20	#9
F7 HavocF7	#54	#57
DB HavocDB	#30	#24

App State on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	APP Off	GASO Def
Perf GradePerf	#98	#134
SuccessSuc	#85	#133
ExplosiveExp	#97	#82
PPAPPA	#93	#133
PowerPwr	#105	#135
SP+SP+	#92	#131
Pts POPPO	#71	#130
HavocHav	#99	#84

App State Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	APP Off	GASO Def
Run GameRun	#87	#136
Run SuccessRSuc	#73	#134
Run ExplRExp	#131	#116
PPAExp	#92	#135
Run BlockR Blk	#99	-
OL YdsOLY	#58	#134
Stuff RateStuff	#27	#116
TackleTak	-	#79

App State Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	APP Off	GASO Def
Pass GamePass	#74	#81
Pass SuccessPSuc	#85	#125
Pass ExplPExl	#60	#54
PPAExp	#79	#117
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#115	#133
F7 HavocF7	#29	#83
DB HavocDB	#133	#73

Program Comparison
APP 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

GASO 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kidd Brewer Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 41°

Rematch from Week 1
Georgia Southern 10.0 (58.5)
Georgia Southern won at App State this year (29-10)

Previous Matchups
Georgia Southern beat App State last year (29-20)
App State beat Georgia Southern in 2023 (55-27)
Georgia Southern beat App State in 2022 (51-48)

GASO's OC Ryan Aplin (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
JC French	231	365	63%	2753	19	8	7.5
Turner Helton (Tr)	14	26	54%	74	1	0	2.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
OJ Arnold	133	885	5	6.7	62
JC French	121	277	6	2.3	21
David Mbadinga	49	196	1	4.0	16
Taeo Todd	26	102	0	3.9	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Camden Brown (Tr)	63	1049	14	16.7	73
Marcus Sanders Jr.	45	725	4	16.1	52
Dalen Cobb	52	471	3	9.1	43
OJ Arnold	17	201	1	11.8	41

View Georgia Southern's Full Roster

GASO's DC Brandon Bailey (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Jusfin Meyers	82	1	1	5
Brandon Tyson (Tr)	79	2	6	2
Brendan Harrington (Tr)	77	2	0	3
Ayden Jackson	71	4	1	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
MJ Stroud	31	15	7	6	2
Caleb Moore (Tr)	21	3	2	2	1
CJ Allen	16	2	1	1	0
Devin Collier	20	1	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tracy Hill Jr.	39	4	1	0	6
Jusfin Meyers	82	1	0	1	5
Elijah McDowell	8	0	0	0	4

APP's OC Vacant (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
AJ Swann (Tr)	130	222	59%	1494	10	8	6.7
J.J. Kohl (Tr)	133	216	62%	1465	12	2	6.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rashod Dubinion (Tr)	174	868	4	5.0	39
Jaquari Lewis	124	563	6	4.5	27
J.J. Kohl (Tr)	30	50	1	1.7	32
Khamani Alexander	7	28	0	4.0	6

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaden Barnes (Tr)	55	608	7	11.1	59
Dalton Stroman	32	569	4	17.8	72
Davion Dozier (Tr)	20	448	5	22.4	68
Izayah Cummings (Tr)	37	374	1	10.1	30

View App State's Full Roster

APP's DC D. J. Smith (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Colton Phares	89	9	2	2	3
Zyeir Gamble	66	3	0	0	4
DJ Burks	65	2	0	0	5
Elijah Mc-Cantos	52	1	0	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kevin Abrams-Verwayne	39	7	5	5	2
Aiden Benton	34	5	4	6	0
Caleb Sandstrom (Tr)	19	4	4	3	2
Thomas Davis	25	6	3	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Ethan Johnson	40	1	11
DJ Burks	65	2	5
Emory Floyd Jr. (Tr)	47	1	4