Hawai'i at San José State - 2025 Matchup Preview
Hawai Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors at San José State SpartansSan José State logo
Saturday, November 1st 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Spartan Stadium - San Jose, CA  (Mountain West)

 
Rainbow Warriors (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Timmy Chang (13 - 25)
Avg Score : 22 - 26 (16 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 6 (#74)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 11)
HAW coming off BYE
SJSU coming off BYE
Our Line: San José State -8.5   (SP+ SJSU -6)
Projected Score: HAW: 22 - SJSU: 31 (52)
SJSU Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
HAW Travel: 2413 miles, 3 hrs behind
Spartans (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Ken Niumatalolo (7 - 5)
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (29 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 4 (#30)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 11)
 
Hawai'i's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Hawai'i vs Stanford+2.50.0
Sat 8/30 Hawai'i at Arizona+13.00.0
Sat 9/6 Hawai'i vs Sam Houston-9.5
Sat 9/13 Hawai'i vs Portland State-12.5
Sat 9/20 Hawai'i vs Fresno State+1.5
Sat 9/27 Hawai'i at Air Force+2
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Hawai'i vs Utah State-7
Sat 10/18 Hawai'i at Colorado State+4
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Hawai'i at San José State+8.5
Sat 11/8 Hawai'i vs San Diego State-3.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Hawai'i at UNLV+8.5
Sat 11/29 Hawai'i vs Wyoming-4.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Hawai'i's Schedule
San José State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 San José State vs Central Michigan-10.50.0
Sat 9/6 San José State at Texas+36
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 San José State vs Idaho-18.5
Sat 9/27 San José State at Stanford+2
Sat 10/4 San José State vs New Mexico-13.5
Sat 10/11 San José State at Wyoming-5.5
Sat 10/18 San José State at Utah State-8
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 San José State vs Hawai'i-8.5
Sat 11/8 San José State vs Air Force-9
Sat 11/15 San José State at Nevada-9.5
Sat 11/22 San José State at San Diego State-4.5
Sat 11/29 San José State vs Fresno State-4

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 9
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 9
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for San José State's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
HAW#82 (.17)44% (52)22.346% (45)3.29 (26)9944% (50)2683.81 (81)#81 (.19)42% (71)2645% (85)40% (58)4.15 (103)70.31.60.9
SJSU#71 (.18)44% (56)28.441% (98)2.27 (133)8846% (28)3223.6 (96)#27 (.1)41% (57)27.542% (66)39% (47)3.58 (44)61.52.22.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
HAW0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
SJSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
HAW Offense1222.315.644.2%3.811.621367992683.636%64%46%44%19%.17
SJSU Defense1327.525.640.8%3.582.2 - - - - - 53%47%42%39%17%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
HAW Defense12263542%4.150.9 - - - - - 50%50%45%40%16%.19
SJSU Offense1328.42943.9%3.62.222410883223.637%63%41%46%18%.18

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Hawai'i1230:1920.837%55%870.31.60.95.72.3125.6
San José State1326:2321.740%53%761.52.22.27.21.9228.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
HAW Offense1236% (134)46% (45)27.8993.67 (131).13 (68)3.29 (26)80% (23)11% (88)0.83 (124)
SJSU Defense1353% (94)42% (66) - - - - .03 (21)2.71 (23)77% (96)11% (41)0.86 (16)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
HAW Defense1250% (57)45% (85) - - - - .16 (90)3.27 (108)79% (103)10% (74)0.97 (62)
SJSU Offense1337% (131)41% (98)24.687.93.613 (105)-.06 (131)2.27 (133)70% (91)9% (57)0.81 (127)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
HAW Offense1264% (1)44% (50)23.840.1268.26.711.325 (31)15 (123).21 (92)1.4 (130)32% (80)33% (49).31 (81)8% (127)2 (94)
SJSU Defense1347% (43)39% (47) - - - - - - 21 (1).19 (48)1.7 (105)34% (36)29% (45).24 (38)6% (56)2.1 (87)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
HAW Defense1250% (79)40% (58) - - - - - - 6 (109).22 (58)1.4 (19)31% (82)30% (63).31 (72)6% (73)1.8 (13)
SJSU Offense1363% (3)46% (28)24.342.3321.87.613.231 (6)16 (124).33 (39)1.6 (74)30% (53)34% (46).38 (49)9% (131)2.1 (65)

Hawai'i's Power Ratings
Hawai'i's Power Rating: -10.76 #95
Hawai'i's Offense Rating: 9.05 #100
Hawai'i's Defense Rating: 19.81 #97
2025 Talent Rating: 398.00 #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #97
Hawai'i's 2025 Expected Record: 6.0 - 6.0
Hawai'i's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.5 #108
Hawai'i's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #120
Hawai'i's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #87

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 498.5
Average Power Five Talent: 856.63
Average FBS Talent: 681.13

Power Ratings Matchup
Hawai'i: -10.76   San José State: -2.67

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Hawai'i: -11.5   San José State: -5.2




San José State's Power Ratings
San José State's Power Rating: -2.67 #81
San José State's Offense Rating: 11.10 #86
San José State's Defense Rating: 16.24 #76
2025 Talent Rating: 488.00 #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #97
San José State's 2025 Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
San José State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.2 #83
San José State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #81
San José State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.9 #92

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 498.5
Average Power Five Talent: 856.63
Average FBS Talent: 681.13


Hawai'i Scoring
Offense: 22.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.6
Defense: 26 PPG
Defense on Road: 35

Hawai'i's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
San José State 31
Hawai'i 22

Projected Total Points: 52
San José State Scoring
Offense: 28.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.6

San José State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/28Hawai'i0San José State35San José StateSan José State -10.5San José State57.0Under
202211/26San José State27Hawai'i14San José StateSan José State -15.5Hawai'i58.5Under
202109/19Hawai'i13San José State17San José StateSan José State -8Hawai'i62.5Under
202012/05San José State35Hawai'i24San José StateHawai'i -2.5San José State59.0Push
201911/09Hawai'i42San José State40Hawai'iHawai'i -7.5San José State78.5Over
201809/29San José State41Hawai'i44Hawai'iHawai'i -9San José State63.5Over
201710/14Hawai'i37San José State26Hawai'iHawai'i -17San José State59.5Over
201610/08San José State17Hawai'i34Hawai'iSan José State -3.5Hawai'i62.5Under
201511/21Hawai'i23San José State42San José StateSan José State -9San José State52.5Over
201411/15San José State0Hawai'i13Hawai'iSan José State -10Hawai'i0
201310/06Hawai'i27San José State37San José StateSan José State -4.5San José State0
201110/14San José State28Hawai'i27San José State
201011/20Hawai'i41San José State7Hawai'i
200911/21San José State10Hawai'i17Hawai'i
200809/28Hawai'i17San José State20San José State
200710/12San José State35Hawai'i42Hawai'i
200611/18Hawai'i54San José State17Hawai'i
200510/22San José State38Hawai'i45Hawai'i
200410/24Hawai'i46San José State28Hawai'i
200311/01San José State10Hawai'i13Hawai'i
200211/03Hawai'i40San José State31Hawai'i
200111/04Hawai'i34San José State10Hawai'i
200010/27Hawai'i48San José State57San José State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
San José State974 Overs
Hawai'i1444 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 133 - 80 - 53 - 3
Road Teams13 - 108 - 33 - 35 - 0

(#95) Hawai'i Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -10.76 #95
Offense Rating: 9.05 #100
Defense Rating: 19.81 #97
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.5 #108
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #120
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #87
Talent Rating: 398.00 #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #97
Expected Record: 6.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 64%, Run: 36%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.81 PPO
Avg Run Success 46%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.15 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 45%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Hawai'i Notes
(6/14) WR good, Ashlock & Cenacle back. Have depth
(4/7) New QB SO. Micah Alejado has good command
(4/7) RB no used much, JAGs at best
(4/7) Portal WR Harris (Stan) may take #2 job
(4/7) OL 4/5 back, good LY, some size/depth
(4/7) Def bad LY, returns some. 4 portal DL added
(4/7) HC Chang slow build, needs a good year, bowl
(4/7) Offense could jump TY, can Def improve?
Hawai'i     Ratings Matchup     San José State
Power #95
#81
Off #100
#86
Def #97
#76
Talent #124
#108
SP+ #108
#83
SP+ Off #120
#81
SP+ Def #87
#92

Previous Matchups
San José State beat Hawai'i in 2023 (35-0)
San José State beat Hawai'i in 2022 (27-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: HAW | SJSU
Depth Chart: HAW | SJSU
Rosters: HAW | SJSU
(#81) San José State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.67 #81
Offense Rating: 11.10 #86
Defense Rating: 16.24 #76
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.2 #83
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #81
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.9 #92
Talent Rating: 488.00 #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #97
Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.6 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Good Pass Success 46%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Good in Scoring Position 3.58 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


San José State Notes
(6/6) Spread & Shred Off = most pass heavy @ 63%
(5/4) QB Eget back, gunslinger fun, depth?
(5/4) RB Chalk back, some depth. Better TY?
(5/4) WR rebuild, Coleman good. 4 portals added
(5/4) TE Jackson Canaan undersized but productive
(5/4) OL 4/5 back, grades are rough. No portals?
(5/4) Def bad LY, 5 portals, LB Pollard a machine
(5/4) Great job by Niumatalolo & staff with 8 W's


  
Hawai'i's OC Timmy Chang
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Micah Alejado497070%585608.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Landon Sims7135114.929
Cam Barfield3315804.821
Christian Vaughn1710906.430
Micah Alejado195903.119
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Nicholas Cenacle63721611.462
Pofele Ashlock61629610.330
Landon Sims13153011.852
Karsyn Pupunu680013.325

View Hawai'i's Full Roster
Hawai'i's DC Dennis Thurman
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jamih Otis555220
Logan Taylor521000
Elijah Robinson5111510
Peter Manuma430003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jackie Johnson III205550
Elijah Robinson5111510
Wynden Ho'Ohuli144231
Lesterlaisene Lagafuaina133200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Palmer325005
Kilinahe Mendiola-Jensen331004
Jaheim Wilson-Jones161003

San José State's OC Craig Stutzmann
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Walker Eget18832857%250413107.6
Xavier Ward1333%16015.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Floyd Chalk IV154721104.766
Jabari Bates5925414.331
Lamar Radcliffe3314114.318
Walker Eget299903.432
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Danny Scudero (Tr)50650413.041
Matthew Coleman34401211.833
Jackson Canaan28314211.258
Cooper Hoch107607.617

View San José State's Full Roster
San José State's DC Derrick Odum
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Pollard11514223
Taniela Latu717132
Isiah Revis716125
Noah McNeal-Franklin534120
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
John Ward467341
Jordan Pollard11514223
Justin Stearns284220
Taniela Latu717132
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isiah Revis716125
Jordan Pollard11514223
Ethan Powell446133