San José State at Utah State - 2025 Matchup Preview
San José State logo San José State Spartans at Utah State AggiesUtah State logo
Saturday, October 18th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Romney Stadium - Logan, UT  (Mountain West)

 
Spartans (0 - 2) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach Ken Niumatalolo (7 - 5)
Avg Score : 11 - 27 (7 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#84)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 10)
SJSU 2nd straight Road Game
SJSU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: San José State -1   (SP+ USU -3)

Projected Score: SJSU: 27 - USU: 26 (52)
SJSU Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
SJSU Travel: 617 miles, 1 hrs behind
Aggies (2 - 1) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Bronco Mendenhall (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 33 - 30 (39 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.6 - 6.4 (#87)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)
 
San José State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 San José State vs Central Michigan-11.550.5L 14 - 16UN
Sat 9/6 San José State at Texas+37.052.5L 7 - 38UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 San José State vs Idaho-14.5
Sat 9/27 San José State at Stanford+10
Sat 10/4 San José State vs New Mexico-8
Sat 10/11 San José State at Wyoming+6
Sat 10/18 San José State at Utah State-1
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 San José State vs Hawai'i-2.5
Sat 11/8 San José State vs Air Force-6
Sat 11/15 San José State at Nevada-5.5
Sat 11/22 San José State at San Diego State+6
Sat 11/29 San José State vs Fresno State+0.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for San José State's Schedule
Utah State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Utah State vs UTEP-3.559.5W 28 - 16UY
Sat 9/6 Utah State at Texas A&M+34.557.5L 22 - 44OY
Sat 9/13 Utah State vs Air Force+4.051.5W 49 - 30OY
Sat 9/20 Utah State vs McNeese-11
Sat 9/27 Utah State at Vanderbilt+33.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Utah State at Hawai'i+6
Sat 10/18 Utah State vs San José State+1
Sat 10/25 Utah State at New Mexico+0.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Utah State vs Nevada-7
Sat 11/15 Utah State at UNLV+13.5
Sat 11/22 Utah State at Fresno State+9
Sat 11/29 Utah State vs Boise State+14.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Utah State's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SJSU#132 (-.02)40% (102)10.544% (70)2.81 (86)8038% (102)2481.4 (132)#83 (.16)42% (81)2744% (93)38% (56)3.13 (55)273.51
USU#72 (.2)40% (101)3334% (121)2.49 (112)13045% (61)2315.31 (21)#94 (.18)47% (115)3050% (118)43% (91)5.38 (130)57.70.31.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SJSU#71 (.18)44% (56)41% (98)2.27 (133)8846% (28)3223.6 (96)#27 (.1)41% (57)42% (66)39% (47)3.58 (44)61.52.22.2
USU#34 (.24)46% (31)48% (24)3.41 (12)19944% (37)2694.42 (24)#119 (.27)47% (122)48% (112)48% (123)4.44 (122)73.81.81.3



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SJSU Offense210.5739.7%1.43.51832880248336%63%44%38%19%-.02
USU Defense3302346.7%5.381.7 - - - - - 57%42%50%43%12%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SJSU Defense2273842%3.131 - - - - - 67%33%44%38%13%.16
USU Offense33338.539.8%5.310.3193601302313.947%53%34%45%19%.2

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
San José State228:0017.539%0%3.5273.513.50.5027
Utah State326:0419.323%100%957.70.31.752029.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SJSU Offense236% (134)44% (70)26.58031 (127)-.16 (132)2.81 (86)50% (124)7% (40)0.39 (136)
USU Defense357% (117)50% (118) - - - - .21 (113)2.9 (83)75% (80)7% (109)0.9 (61)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SJSU Defense267% (135)44% (93) - - - - .08 (76)3.08 (101)63% (43)7% (114)0.78 (30)
USU Offense347% (92)34% (121)33.3129.73.97 (38).18 (52)2.49 (112)50% (124)15% (131)1.56 (5)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SJSU Offense263% (6)38% (102)22.5432485.8112 (102)3 (92).13 (109)1.3 (117)32% (88)21% (123)-.08 (132)11% (136)1.3 (131)
USU Defense342% (20)43% (91) - - - - - - 4 (12).16 (54)1.2 (15)24% (130)20% (26)-.04 (16)5% (94)1.3 (4)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SJSU Defense233% (3)38% (56) - - - - - - 1 (87).32 (103)1.9 (122)33% (66)14% (9).14 (41)6% (76)2.4 (118)
USU Offense353% (44)45% (61)17.327230.78.513.36 (34)0 (1).21 (86)1.4 (101)36% (120)28% (93).16 (107)4% (38)2 (60)

San José State's Power Ratings
San José State's Power Rating: -6.26 #96
San José State's Offense Rating: 3.95 #111
San José State's Defense Rating: 10.21 #83
2025 Talent Rating: 504.00 #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
San José State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
San José State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.8 #111
San José State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #108
San José State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.1 #106

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
San José State: -6.26   Utah State: -10

SP+ Ratings Matchup
San José State: -11.8   Utah State: -9.3




Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: -10 #117
Utah State's Offense Rating: 8.15 #89
Utah State's Defense Rating: 23.85 #130
2025 Talent Rating: 488.00 #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Utah State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.6 - 6.4
Utah State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.3 #98
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #68
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.0 #127

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


San José State Scoring
Offense: 10.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 7
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense on Road: 38

San José State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
San José State 27
Utah State 26


Total Points: 52

Utah State Scoring
Offense: 33 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.5
Defense: 30 PPG
Defense at Home: 23

Utah State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/21San José State42Utah State21San José StateSan José State -4San José State65.0Under
202211/19Utah State35San José State31Utah StateUtah State -1Utah State51.0Over
202111/13San José State17Utah State48Utah StateSan José State -4.5Utah State58.0Over
201811/10Utah State62San José State24Utah StateUtah State -31Utah State63.5Over
201709/23San José State10Utah State61Utah StateUtah State -1.5Utah State55.0Over
201411/21Utah State41San José State7Utah StateUtah State -9.5Utah State0
201309/27San José State12Utah State40Utah StateUtah State -9.5Utah State0
201210/13San José State27Utah State49Utah State
201111/12Utah State34San José State33Utah State
201011/13San José State34Utah State38Utah State
200911/14Utah State24San José State9Utah State
200810/11San José State30Utah State7San José State
200709/22Utah State20San José State23San José State
200610/14San José State21Utah State14San José State
200510/08Utah State24San José State17Utah State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Utah State1164 Overs
San José State411 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 64 - 34 - 10 - 2
Road Teams6 - 93 - 42 - 01 - 4

(#96) San José State Info
Power Rating: -6.26 #96
Offense Rating: 3.95 #111
Defense Rating: 10.21 #83
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.8 #111
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #108
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.1 #106
Talent Rating: 504.00 #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 36%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 1.4 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Awful OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.13 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 44%
Avg Pass Def Success 38%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

San José State has lost 6 straight
San José State has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

San José State Notes
(8/30) Off & esp run game awful vs CMU, bad start
(8/1) Top 10 fastest offense to help OL struggles LY
(7/31) RB Chalk back, better depth. More run TY?
(6/6) Spread & Shred Off = most pass heavy @ 63%
(5/4) QB Eget back, gunslinger fun, depth?
(5/4) WR rebuild, Coleman good. 4 portals added
(5/4) TE Jackson Canaan undersized but productive
(5/4) OL 4/5 back, grades are rough. No portals?
(5/4) Def bad LY, 5 portals, LB Pollard a machine
(5/4) Great job by Niumatalolo & staff with 8 W's

San José State Highlights
San José State commits very few Penalties (#1)

San José State Deficiencies
San José State has a really bad Offense
San José State has a bad TO Margin (#125)
San José State Fumbles a Lot (#128)
San José State Can Not Run the Ball (#134)
San José State offense is really bad (#102)
San José State offense is not Explosive (#134)
San José State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#132)
San José State pass game is really bad (#102)
San José State does not Sack the QB (#130)
San José State has a bad defensive line (#101)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatUSUSJSU
OverallOver#57#109
OffenseOff#59#108
DefenseDef#60#97
Special TeamsST#103#37
PassingPass#33#93
RushingRush#90#102
Run BlockRBLK#70#102
Pass BlockPBLK#79#118
Route RunningWR Rt#43#89
TacklingTkl#70#75
Run DefenseR Def#61#75
Pass Rush DefPRush#99#82
Coverage DefCov#44#115

Previous Matchups
San José State beat Utah State in 2023 (42-21)
Utah State beat San José State in 2022 (35-31)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Romney Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: SJSU | USU
Depth Chart: SJSU | USU
Rosters: SJSU | USU
(#117) Utah State Info
Power Rating: -10 #117
Offense Rating: 8.15 #89
Defense Rating: 23.85 #130
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.3 #98
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #68
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.0 #127
Talent Rating: 488.00 #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 5.6 - 6.4

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.31 PPO
Awful Run Success 34%
Avg Pass Success 45%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.38 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Utah State has lost 3 straight
Utah State has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Utah State Notes
(8/30) Def good vs UTEP, Run game meh, Barnes good
(8/1) 10 (of 29) portal adds from NM w/ Bronco
(8/1) WR 7 portal adds, no exp, TE room decent
(8/1) Def god awful LY. 13 portal adds, new DC
(8/1) Over bet watch, Off tempo + Def will be awful
(7/19) OL 2/5 back, good LY. Only 2 portal adds
(3/29) QB Barnes started early/late LY. Garcia (AZ) add
(3/29) RB rebuild Jacobs(NM), Davis(BYU), added
(3/29) New OC McGiven longtime OC, SJSU PGC LY
(3/22) New HC Mendenhall from NM (UVA/BYU)

Utah State Highlights
Utah State is Undefeated vs Spread
Utah State is Undefeated at Home
Utah State is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Utah State is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs

Utah State offense is explosive (#17)
Utah State offense is good in red zone (#21)
Utah State defense does not give up big plays (#12)
Utah State has a great TO Margin (#11)
Utah State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)

Utah State Deficiencies
Utah State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#129)
Utah State offense is really bad (#101)
Utah State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#116)
Utah State run game is really bad (#121)
Utah State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Utah State has a bad defense (#115)
Utah State has a bad red zone defense (#130)


  
San José State's OC Craig Stutzmann
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Walker Eget458553%496235.8
Tama Amisone010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Floyd Chalk IV208304.211
Jabari Bates104414.413
Lamar Radcliffe123102.68
Tama Amisone52304.610
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Danny Scudero (Tr)16255115.946
Kyri Shoels108708.716
Leland Smith (Tr)250125.039
Jackson Canaan63906.512

View San José State's Full Roster
San José State's DC Derrick Odum
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Pollard200012
Taniela Latu153001
Jalen Apalit-Williams140011
Noah McNeal-Franklin132000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Vili Taufatofua (Tr)82121
Jordan Pollard200012
Justin Stearns50000
Dejon Roney10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Pollard200012
Jalen Apalit-Williams140011
Isiah Revis80001

Utah State's OC Kevin McGiven
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bryson Barnes518064%689508.6
Anthony Garcia (Tr)11100%3103.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Miles Davis (Tr)3119216.258
Javen Jacobs (Tr)2111515.552
Bryson Barnes466941.518
Anthony Garcia (Tr)117117.017
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Braden Pegan (Tr)14208314.954
Brady Boyd (Tr)13190014.624
Miles Davis (Tr)97027.830
Javen Jacobs (Tr)75507.918

View Utah State's Full Roster
Utah State's DC Nick Howell
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
John Miller335430
Noah Avinger (Tr)260000
Brevin Hamblin (Tr)230003
William Holmes192020
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
John Miller335430
Bronson Olevao183211
Tyree Morris (Tr)152100
Mataira Brown40000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brevin Hamblin (Tr)230003
Carl Nesmith40001
Dylan Tucker (Tr)100001