Central Michigan at San José State

Central Michigan at San José State - 2025 Matchup Preview

Central Michigan Chippewas at San José State Spartans

Friday, August 29th 2025 (10:30 PM EDT)
San José State -11.5 (50.5) (-425) Open: -11.5 | 50.5
Central Michigan 16 - San José State: 14

Chippewas (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Matt Drinkall (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 24 (19 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#66)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)

Our Line: Central Michigan -3 (SP+ CMU -7.5)
Projected Score: CMU: 26 - SJSU: 23 (50)
SJSU Win prob: 77% | Cover: 45%
CMU Travel: 1981 miles, 3 hrs ahead

Spartans (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Ken Niumatalolo (7 - 5)
Avg Score : 21 - 33 (26 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#117)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)

Matchup
Schedules
CMU Players
SJSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Central Michigan's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	Central Michigan at San José State	+11.5	50.5	W 16 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Central Michigan at Pittsburgh	+21.5	48.5	L 17 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/13	Central Michigan at Michigan	+27.5	42.5	L 3 - 63	O	N
Sat 9/20	Central Michigan vs Wagner	-29.0	47.0	W 49 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/27	Central Michigan vs Eastern Michigan	-3.0	55.5	W 24 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/4	Central Michigan at Akron	-7.0	47.5	L 22 - 28	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18	Central Michigan at Bowling Green	+3.0	43.5	W 27 - 6	U	Y
Sat 10/25	Central Michigan vs Massachusetts	-16.5	46.5	W 38 - 13	O	Y
Sat 11/1	Central Michigan at Western Michigan	+6.0	43.5	L 21 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/12	Central Michigan vs Buffalo	-2.5	44.5	W 38 - 19	O	Y
Wed 11/19	Central Michigan at Kent State	-7.5	50.5	W 28 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/29	Central Michigan vs Toledo	+11.5	46.5	L 3 - 21	U	N
Fri 12/26	Central Michigan vs Northwestern	+13.5	43.5	L 7 - 34	U	N

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 8
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Central Michigan's Schedule

San José State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	San José State vs Central Michigan	-11.5	50.5	L 14 - 16	U	N
Sat 9/6	San José State at Texas	+37.0	52.5	L 7 - 38	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20	San José State vs Idaho	-14.5	51.5	W 31 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/27	San José State at Stanford	+3.0	49.5	L 29 - 30	O	Y
Fri 10/3	San José State vs New Mexico	-1.5	58.5	W 35 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/11	San José State at Wyoming	-1.5	50.5	L 28 - 35	O	N
Fri 10/17	San José State at Utah State	+3.0	63.5	L 25 - 30	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1	San José State vs Hawai'i	-2.5	55.5	W 45 - 38	O	Y
Sat 11/8	San José State vs Air Force	-6.0	67.5	L 16 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/15	San José State at Nevada	-10.0	49.5	L 10 - 55	O	N
Sat 11/22	San José State at San Diego State	+10.0	50.5	L 3 - 25	U	N
Sat 11/29	San José State vs Fresno State	+3.5	46.0	L 14 - 41	O	N

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for San José State's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CMU	#70 (.17)	41% (89)	22.5	40% (103)	2.79 (102)	158	44% (41)	153	3.6 (79)	#38 (.1)	40% (45)	23.5	41% (56)	39% (43)	3.14 (27)	45.2	0.9	1.5
SJSU	#66 (.18)	44% (55)	21.4	47% (29)	3.06 (44)	120	41% (73)	283	2.77 (130)	#98 (.2)	42% (78)	32.5	42% (66)	43% (82)	4.04 (106)	54.8	2.3	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CMU	#96 (.15)	39% (115)		42% (88)	3.2 (41)	169	34% (124)	163	3.82 (80)	#96 (.21)	40% (44)		41% (48)	39% (50)	3.6 (45)	60.9	2	0.4
SJSU	#71 (.18)	44% (56)		41% (98)	2.27 (133)	88	46% (28)	322	3.6 (96)	#27 (.1)	41% (57)		42% (66)	39% (47)	3.58 (44)	61.5	2.2	2.2

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CMU Offense	13	22.5	19.1	41.1%	3.6	0.9	16	311	158	153	4.1	63%	35%	40%	44%	16%	.17
SJSU Defense	12	32.5	29.5	42.1%	4.04	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	54%	44%	42%	43%	12%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CMU Defense	13	23.5	28	39.5%	3.14	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	47%	51%	41%	39%	17%	.1
SJSU Offense	12	21.4	25.8	43.5%	2.77	2.3	20	403	120	283	4.6	38%	60%	47%	41%	15%	.18

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Central Michigan	13	29:35	15.8	35%	60%	5.6	45.2	0.9	1.5	4.9	2.2	2	29
San José State	12	27:47	20.1	43%	26%	5.8	54.8	2.3	1.2	4.3	1.5	1	27.2

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CMU Offense	13	63% (7)	40% (103)	38.8	158.1	4.1	17 (78)	.07 (87)	2.79 (102)	75% (49)	12% (121)	0.92 (85)
SJSU Defense	12	54% (117)	42% (66)	-	-	-	-	.11 (69)	3.02 (97)	80% (121)	8% (123)	0.9 (37)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CMU Defense	13	47% (39)	41% (56)	-	-	-	-	.04 (32)	2.83 (57)	62% (12)	10% (61)	0.9 (38)
SJSU Offense	12	38% (132)	47% (29)	26.1	120.1	4.6	14 (107)	.12 (66)	3.06 (44)	71% (78)	6% (2)	0.94 (78)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CMU Offense	13	35% (130)	44% (41)	11.9	17.5	153.4	8.8	12.9	15 (106)	6 (3)	.4 (23)	1.6 (40)	32% (73)	26% (115)	.31 (69)	4% (16)	2.1 (35)
SJSU Defense	12	44% (21)	43% (82)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (38)	.34 (110)	1.8 (128)	31% (85)	28% (54)	.32 (84)	5% (119)	2.1 (111)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CMU Defense	13	51% (97)	39% (43)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (12)	.19 (44)	1.5 (64)	32% (59)	27% (33)	.25 (55)	7% (24)	2 (74)
SJSU Offense	12	60% (5)	41% (73)	22.8	40.6	283.2	7	12.5	17 (30)	17 (34)	.22 (82)	1.5 (106)	32% (86)	32% (47)	.29 (72)	9% (135)	1.8 (124)

Central Michigan's Power Ratings
Central Michigan's Power Rating: -5.43 #89
Central Michigan's Offense Rating: 4.11 #100
Central Michigan's Defense Rating: 9.54 #78
2025 Talent Rating: 514.00 #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Central Michigan's 2025 Expected Record: 7.3 - 5.7
Central Michigan's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.9 #92
Central Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.5 #115
Central Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #57

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Central Michigan: -5.43 San José State: -8.89

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Central Michigan: -5.9 San José State: -13.5

San José State's Power Ratings
San José State's Power Rating: -8.89 #106
San José State's Offense Rating: 4.69 #91
San José State's Defense Rating: 13.97 #104
2025 Talent Rating: 504.00 #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
San José State's 2025 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
San José State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.5 #116
San José State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #107
San José State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #115

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Central Michigan Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.1
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 28

Central Michigan's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Central Michigan 26
San José State 23

Total Points: 50

Based on Last 4 Games
San José State 26
Central Michigan 22

Total Points: 48

Based on Entire Season
Central Michigan 26
San José State 25

Total Points: 51

San José State Scoring
Offense: 21.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.8
Defense: 32.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.5

San José State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	08/29	San José State	14	Central Michigan	16	San José State -11.5	Central Michigan	50.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
San José State	0	0	0 Overs
Central Michigan	1	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#89) CMU at (#106) SJSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CMU	SJSU
Power RatePwr	#89	#106
SP+SP+	#92	#116
Perf GradeGrade	#78	#109
OffenseOff	#75	#115
DefenseDef	#70	#74
Spec TeamsST	#117	#29
TalentTal	#116	#117
Blue ChipsBC%	#101	#101

Central Michigan Notes(10/31) QB1 Labas meh but QB2 Flores incredible runner
(10/31) 5-1 outside of paycheck games but lost @ Akron
(8/30) Ground & Pound offense, good vs SJSU 200+
(8/25) QB1 - Joe Labas starting, inj after 6 starts LY
(7/28) Is Drinkall running Army offense?
(6/12) Skill positions very weak on paper. Risers?
(3/26) QB Labas PT starter LY, Glasser has exp
(3/26) RB rebuild, Cornist (Tul) added, some depth
(3/26) WR complete rebuild, 13 rec back. No portals
(3/26) OL 3/5 back, meh LY. 4 portals, 3 via Valpo
(3/26) Def bad LY, return some. 3 portals
(3/26) New HC Drinkall was Army OL coach.
Central Michigan Injury Report

San José State Notes(11/21) DC Derrick Odum fired after Nevada blowout
(10/18) Box score W in L @ USU, 534 yds, 8 flags + 1 TO diff
(10/18) Pass Def awful, torched for 300+ in 5 of last 6 games
(10/12) Loss @ Wyoming may end goals. Regressing hard
(9/6) Cannot kick FG, cost them opener vs CMU
(8/30) Off & esp run game awful vs CMU, bad start
(8/1) Top 10 fastest offense to help OL struggles LY
(7/31) RB Chalk back, better depth. More run TY?
(6/6) Spread & Shred Off = most pass heavy @ 63%
(5/4) QB Eget back, gunslinger fun, depth?
(5/4) WR rebuild, Coleman good. 4 portals added
(5/4) TE Jackson Canaan undersized but productive
San José State Injury Report

Central Michigan on Offense

Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 34%
CategoryCat	CMU Off	SJSU Def
Perf GradePerf	#75	#74
SuccessSuc	#89	#78
ExplosiveExp	#110	#100
PPAPPA	#70	#98
PowerPwr	#100	#104
SP+SP+	#115	#115
Pts POPPO	#79	#106
HavocHav	#71	#129

Central Michigan Run Game

Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 34%
CategoryCat	CMU Off	SJSU Def
Run GameRun	#66	#27
Run SuccessRSuc	#103	#66
Run ExplRExp	#85	#37
PPAExp	#87	#69
Run BlockR Blk	#87	-
OL YdsOLY	#102	#97
Stuff RateStuff	#81	#128
TackleTak	-	#81

Central Michigan Pass Game

Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 34%
CategoryCat	CMU Off	SJSU Def
Pass GamePass	#59	#121
Pass SuccessPSuc	#41	#82
Pass ExplPExl	#40	#128
PPAExp	#23	#110
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#134	#84
F7 HavocF7	#121	#123
DB HavocDB	#16	#119

San José State on Offense

Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 38%
CategoryCat	SJSU Off	CMU Def
Perf GradePerf	#115	#70
SuccessSuc	#55	#45
ExplosiveExp	#59	#55
PPAPPA	#66	#38
PowerPwr	#91	#78
SP+SP+	#107	#57
Pts POPPO	#130	#27
HavocHav	#69	#45

San José State Run Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 38%
CategoryCat	SJSU Off	CMU Def
Run GameRun	#61	#117
Run SuccessRSuc	#29	#56
Run ExplRExp	#78	#38
PPAExp	#66	#32
Run BlockR Blk	#122	-
OL YdsOLY	#44	#57
Stuff RateStuff	#84	#29
TackleTak	-	#36

San José State Pass Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 38%
CategoryCat	SJSU Off	CMU Def
Pass GamePass	#100	#43
Pass SuccessPSuc	#73	#43
Pass ExplPExl	#106	#64
PPAExp	#82	#44
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#128	#21
F7 HavocF7	#2	#61
DB HavocDB	#135	#24

Program Comparison
SJSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

CMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 62° - Wind: 6 mph

Rematch from Week 1
San José State -11.5 (50.5)
Central Michigan won at San José State this year (16-14)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

CMU's OC Jim Chapin (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Joey Labas	147	208	71%	1854	13	6	8.9
Angel H Flores	19	28	68%	195	2	1	7.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nahree Biggins	105	540	2	5.1	58
Angel H Flores	107	527	8	4.9	37
Trey Cornist (Tr)	104	469	1	4.5	29
Brock Townsend	82	418	4	5.1	46

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Langston Lewis	43	596	3	13.9	77
Tommy Mcintosh	31	422	3	13.6	47
Tyson Davis	25	323	2	12.9	36
Nahree Biggins	19	185	1	9.7	88

View Central Michigan's Full Roster

CMU's DC Sean Cronin (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Kwiatkowski	112	14	3	2	4
Dakota Cochran	81	6	1	5	3
Caleb Spann	54	1	0	0	4
Kalen Carroll (Tr)	49	2	0	1	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Michael Heldman	48	17	12	8	4
Korver Demma	28	9	4	5	1
Jordan Kwiatkowski	112	14	3	2	4
Jaion Jackson	45	4	2	2	7

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brenden Deasfernandes	25	0	0	0	8
Jaion Jackson	45	4	2	2	7
Jordan Kwiatkowski	112	14	3	2	4

SJSU's OC Craig Stutzmann (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Walker Eget	232	393	59%	3058	17	9	7.8
Tama Amisone	26	50	52%	205	0	3	4.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Steve Chavez-Soto	87	448	7	5.1	66
Lamar Radcliffe	66	340	1	5.2	30
Jabari Bates	27	192	2	7.1	87
Tama Amisone	34	160	1	4.7	23

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Danny Scudero (Tr)	88	1297	10	14.7	72
Kyri Shoels	59	768	2	13.0	43
Leland Smith (Tr)	43	695	3	16.2	45
Jackson Canaan	33	315	0	9.5	44

View San José State's Full Roster

SJSU's DC Bojay Filimoeatu (Int) (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Pollard	108	5	3	4	4
Taniela Latu	65	6	1	1	3
Noah McNeal-Franklin	63	6	1	3	2
Jaylen Thomas	59	1	0	0	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Vili Taufatofua (Tr)	34	7	4	7	1
Gafa Faga	47	6	3	5	0
Jordan Pollard	108	5	3	4	4
Quincy Likio	41	5	2	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaylen Thomas	59	1	0	0	6
Jalen Bainer	44	1	1	0	5
Jordan Pollard	108	5	3	4	4