Central Michigan at San José State - 2025 Matchup Preview
Central Michigan logo Central Michigan Chippewas at San José State SpartansSan José State logo
Friday, August 29th 2025 (10:30 PM EDT)
San José State -11.5 (50.5) (-425)  Open: -11.5 | 50.5
Central Michigan 16 - San José State: 14

 
Chippewas (1 - 2) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Matt Drinkall (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 12 - 41 (12 - 41 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.2 - 7.8 (#112)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
Our Line: San José State -15   (SP+ SJSU -11)
Projected Score: CMU: 16 - SJSU: 31 (47)
SJSU Win prob: 77% | Cover: 45%
CMU Travel: 1981 miles, 3 hrs ahead
Spartans (0 - 2) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach Ken Niumatalolo (7 - 5)
Avg Score : 11 - 27 (14 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#84)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
 
Central Michigan's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Central Michigan at San José State+11.550.5W 16 - 14UY
Sat 9/6 Central Michigan at Pittsburgh+21.548.5L 17 - 45ON
Sat 9/13 Central Michigan at Michigan+27.542.5L 3 - 63ON
Sat 9/20 Central Michigan vs Wagner-2
Sat 9/27 Central Michigan vs Eastern Michigan+1
Sat 10/4 Central Michigan at Akron+5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Central Michigan at Bowling Green+13
Sat 10/25 Central Michigan vs Massachusetts-5
Sat 11/1 Central Michigan at Western Michigan+6.5
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/12 Central Michigan vs Buffalo+14.5
Wed 11/19 Central Michigan at Kent State+4.5
Sat 11/29 Central Michigan vs Toledo+27

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 8
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Central Michigan's Schedule
San José State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 San José State vs Central Michigan-11.550.5L 14 - 16UN
Sat 9/6 San José State at Texas+37.052.5L 7 - 38UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 San José State vs Idaho-14.5
Sat 9/27 San José State at Stanford+10
Sat 10/4 San José State vs New Mexico-8
Sat 10/11 San José State at Wyoming+6
Sat 10/18 San José State at Utah State-1
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 San José State vs Hawai'i-2.5
Sat 11/8 San José State vs Air Force-6
Sat 11/15 San José State at Nevada-5.5
Sat 11/22 San José State at San Diego State+6
Sat 11/29 San José State vs Fresno State+0.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for San José State's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CMU#122 (.05)33% (130)1234% (122)2.69 (100)12232% (124)1173.58 (89)#125 (.34)48% (121)40.745% (99)52% (124)4.7 (114)3811.7
SJSU#132 (-.02)40% (102)10.544% (70)2.81 (86)8038% (102)2481.4 (132)#83 (.16)42% (81)2744% (93)38% (56)3.13 (55)273.51
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CMU#96 (.15)39% (115)42% (88)3.2 (41)16934% (124)1633.82 (80)#96 (.21)40% (44)41% (48)39% (50)3.6 (45)60.920.4
SJSU#71 (.18)44% (56)41% (98)2.27 (133)8846% (28)3223.6 (96)#27 (.1)41% (57)42% (66)39% (47)3.58 (44)61.52.22.2



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CMU Offense3121232.9%3.58114239122117363%37%34%32%17%.05
SJSU Defense2271642%3.131 - - - - - 67%33%44%38%13%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CMU Defense340.740.748.5%4.71.7 - - - - - 40%59%45%52%10%.34
SJSU Offense210.51439.7%1.43.51832880248336%63%44%38%19%-.02

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Central Michigan332:2713.731%44%5.73811.720.7030.7
San José State228:0017.539%0%3.5273.513.50.5027
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CMU Offense363% (11)34% (122)41.312232 (109)- (108)2.69 (100)70% (79)13% (125)0.95 (71)
SJSU Defense267% (135)44% (93) - - - - .08 (76)3.08 (101)63% (43)7% (114)0.78 (30)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CMU Defense340% (12)45% (99) - - - - .19 (106)3 (91)67% (53)3% (135)1.02 (84)
SJSU Offense236% (134)44% (70)26.58031 (127)-.16 (132)2.81 (86)50% (124)7% (40)0.39 (136)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CMU Offense337% (125)32% (124)1320117.35.991 (123)1 (23).15 (103)1.5 (79)40% (129)17% (130).16 (109)4% (51)2.2 (45)
SJSU Defense233% (3)38% (56) - - - - - - 1 (87).32 (103)1.9 (122)33% (66)14% (9).14 (41)6% (76)2.4 (118)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CMU Defense359% (124)52% (124) - - - - - - 4 (12).5 (120)1.6 (83)28% (113)40% (126).69 (130)7% (48)2 (72)
SJSU Offense263% (6)38% (102)22.5432485.8112 (102)3 (92).13 (109)1.3 (117)32% (88)21% (123)-.08 (132)11% (136)1.3 (131)

Central Michigan's Power Ratings
Central Michigan's Power Rating: -20.37 #130
Central Michigan's Offense Rating: 1.25 #129
Central Michigan's Defense Rating: 21.66 #124
2025 Talent Rating: 514.00 #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Central Michigan's 2025 Expected Record: 4.2 - 7.8
Central Michigan's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.9 #132
Central Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 13.5 #132
Central Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.5 #124

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Central Michigan: -20.37   San José State: -6.53

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Central Michigan: -22.9   San José State: -11.8




San José State's Power Ratings
San José State's Power Rating: -6.53 #96
San José State's Offense Rating: 3.95 #111
San José State's Defense Rating: 10.21 #83
2025 Talent Rating: 504.00 #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
San José State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
San José State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.8 #111
San José State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #108
San José State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.1 #106

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Central Michigan Scoring
Offense: 12 PPG
Offense on Road: 12
Defense: 40.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 40.7

Central Michigan's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
San José State 31
Central Michigan 16


Total Points: 47

San José State Scoring
Offense: 10.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 14
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense at Home: 16

San José State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202508/29San José State14Central Michigan16Central MichiganSan José State -11.5Central Michigan50.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
San José State000 Overs
Central Michigan111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#130) Central Michigan Info
Power Rating: -20.37 #130
Offense Rating: 1.25 #129
Defense Rating: 21.66 #124
Overall SP+ Rating: -22.9 #132
Offense SP+ Rating: 13.5 #132
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.5 #124
Talent Rating: 514.00 #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 4.2 - 7.8

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 63%, Pass: 37%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 33%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.58 PPO
Awful Run Success 34%
Awful Pass Success 32%
Awful OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.7 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 45%
Awful Pass Def Success 52%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

Record on Road: 1 - 2 (1 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Central Michigan Notes
(8/25) QB1 - Joe Labas starting, inj after 6 starts LY
(7/28) Is Drinkall running Army offense?
(6/12) Skill positions very weak on paper. Risers?
(3/26) QB Labas PT starter LY, Glasser has exp
(3/26) RB rebuild, Cornist (Tul) added, some depth
(3/26) WR complete rebuild, 13 rec back. No portals
(3/26) OL 3/5 back, meh LY. 4 portals, 3 via Valpo
(3/26) Def bad LY, return some. 3 portals
(3/26) New HC Drinkall was Army OL coach.
(3/26) New OC Chapin had success at E Wash

Central Michigan Highlights
Central Michigan defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)

Central Michigan Deficiencies
Central Michigan has a really bad Offense
Central Michigan Can Not Run the Ball (#102)
Central Michigan offense is really bad (#130)
Central Michigan run game is really bad (#122)
Central Michigan pass game is really bad (#124)
Central Michigan offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Central Michigan Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Central Michigan does not Sack the QB (#122)
Central Michigan has a bad defense (#121)
Central Michigan has a bad red zone defense (#114)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatSJSUCMU
OverallOver#109#110
OffenseOff#108#104
DefenseDef#97#106
Special TeamsST#37#71
PassingPass#93#88
RushingRush#102#89
Run BlockRBLK#102#113
Pass BlockPBLK#118#120
Route RunningWR Rt#89#50
TacklingTkl#75#99
Run DefenseR Def#75#106
Pass Rush DefPRush#82#72
Coverage DefCov#115#111

Rematch from Week 1
San José State -11.5 (50.5)
Central Michigan won at San José State this year (16-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: CMU | SJSU
Depth Chart: CMU | SJSU
Rosters: CMU | SJSU
(#96) San José State Info
Power Rating: -6.53 #96
Offense Rating: 3.95 #111
Defense Rating: 10.21 #83
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.8 #111
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #108
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.1 #106
Talent Rating: 504.00 #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 36%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 1.4 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Awful OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.13 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 44%
Avg Pass Def Success 38%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Record at home: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

San José State Notes
(8/30) Off & esp run game awful vs CMU, bad start
(8/1) Top 10 fastest offense to help OL struggles LY
(7/31) RB Chalk back, better depth. More run TY?
(6/6) Spread & Shred Off = most pass heavy @ 63%
(5/4) QB Eget back, gunslinger fun, depth?
(5/4) WR rebuild, Coleman good. 4 portals added
(5/4) TE Jackson Canaan undersized but productive
(5/4) OL 4/5 back, grades are rough. No portals?
(5/4) Def bad LY, 5 portals, LB Pollard a machine
(5/4) Great job by Niumatalolo & staff with 8 W's

San José State Highlights
San José State commits very few Penalties (#1)

San José State Deficiencies
San José State has a really bad Offense
San José State has a really bad Offense at Home
San José State has a bad TO Margin (#125)
San José State Fumbles a Lot (#128)
San José State Can Not Run the Ball (#134)
San José State offense is really bad (#102)
San José State offense is not Explosive (#134)
San José State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#132)
San José State pass game is really bad (#102)
San José State does not Sack the QB (#130)
San José State has a bad defensive line (#101)


  
Central Michigan's OC Jim Chapin
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Joey Labas203263%181115.7
Angel H Flores121867%93005.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Trey Cornist (Tr)3112814.129
Angel H Flores3012404.120
Nahree Biggins2811404.117
Brock Townsend6801.34
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tommy Mcintosh585017.047
Justin Ruffin Jr.64207.018
Langston Lewis339013.021
Tyson Davis63606.013

View Central Michigan's Full Roster
Central Michigan's DC Sean Cronin
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Kwiatkowski171001
Elijah Gordon160001
Dakota Cochran150010
Caleb Spann150002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Michael Heldman82100
Fernando Sanchez III81110
Jordan Kwiatkowski171001
Keshawn Hayden40000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caleb Spann150002
Kalen Carroll (Tr)140002
Daniel Bennett30002

San José State's OC Craig Stutzmann
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Walker Eget458553%496235.8
Tama Amisone010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Floyd Chalk IV208304.211
Jabari Bates104414.413
Lamar Radcliffe123102.68
Tama Amisone52304.610
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Danny Scudero (Tr)16255115.946
Kyri Shoels108708.716
Leland Smith (Tr)250125.039
Jackson Canaan63906.512

View San José State's Full Roster
San José State's DC Derrick Odum
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Pollard200012
Taniela Latu153001
Jalen Apalit-Williams140011
Noah McNeal-Franklin132000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Vili Taufatofua (Tr)82121
Jordan Pollard200012
Justin Stearns50000
Dejon Roney10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Pollard200012
Jalen Apalit-Williams140011
Isiah Revis80001