San José State at Wyoming - 2025 Matchup Preview
San José State logo San José State Spartans at Wyoming CowboysWyoming logo
Saturday, October 11th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
War Memorial Stadium - Laramie, WY  (Mountain West)

 
Spartans (0 - 2) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach Ken Niumatalolo (7 - 5)
Avg Score : 11 - 27 (7 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#84)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 10)
WYO 2nd straight Home Game
SJSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Wyoming -6   (SP+ WYO -4)

Projected Score: SJSU: 16 - WYO: 22 (38)
WYO Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
SJSU Travel: 912 miles, 1 hrs behind
Cowboys (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Jay Sawvel (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 16 - 13 (19 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.2 - 4.8 (#60)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
 
San José State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 San José State vs Central Michigan-11.550.5L 14 - 16UN
Sat 9/6 San José State at Texas+37.052.5L 7 - 38UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 San José State vs Idaho-14.5
Sat 9/27 San José State at Stanford+10
Sat 10/4 San José State vs New Mexico-8
Sat 10/11 San José State at Wyoming+6
Sat 10/18 San José State at Utah State-1
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 San José State vs Hawai'i-2.5
Sat 11/8 San José State vs Air Force-6
Sat 11/15 San José State at Nevada-5.5
Sat 11/22 San José State at San Diego State+6
Sat 11/29 San José State vs Fresno State+0.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for San José State's Schedule
Wyoming's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Wyoming at Akron-8.549.5W 10 - 0UY
Sat 9/6 Wyoming vs Northern Iowa-14.047.5W 31 - 7UY
Sat 9/13 Wyoming vs Utah+24.547.5L 6 - 31UN
Sat 9/20 Wyoming at Colorado+12.544.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Wyoming vs UNLV+1.5
Sat 10/11 Wyoming vs San José State-6
Sat 10/18 Wyoming at Air Force-4.5
Sat 10/25 Wyoming vs Colorado State-4
Sat 11/1 Wyoming at San Diego State+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Wyoming at Fresno State+2
Sat 11/22 Wyoming vs Nevada-14
Sat 11/29 Wyoming at Hawai'i-1

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Wyoming's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SJSU#132 (-.02)40% (102)10.544% (70)2.81 (86)8038% (102)2481.4 (132)#83 (.16)42% (81)2744% (93)38% (56)3.13 (55)273.51
WYO#102 (.1)44% (60)15.747% (49)2.93 (74)12542% (82)1692.82 (119)#7 (-.12)36% (45)12.741% (82)33% (36)0.77 (2)53.311.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SJSU#71 (.18)44% (56)41% (98)2.27 (133)8846% (28)3223.6 (96)#27 (.1)41% (57)42% (66)39% (47)3.58 (44)61.52.22.2
WYO#127 (.05)36% (126)39% (111)2.64 (122)13834% (125)1893.07 (126)#102 (.23)44% (96)43% (70)45% (113)3.97 (86)49.61.30.9



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SJSU Offense210.5739.7%1.43.51832880248336%63%44%38%19%-.02
WYO Defense312.71936.1%0.771.3 - - - - - 45%53%41%33%10%-.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SJSU Defense2273842%3.131 - - - - - 67%33%44%38%13%.16
WYO Offense315.718.544.3%2.821172951251694.151%49%47%42%15%.1

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
San José State228:0017.539%0%3.5273.513.50.5027
Wyoming324:2416.739%33%753.311.32.72024.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SJSU Offense236% (134)44% (70)26.58031 (127)-.16 (132)2.81 (86)50% (124)7% (40)0.39 (136)
WYO Defense345% (35)41% (82) - - - - (47)3.09 (103)60% (34)5% (133)0.69 (13)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SJSU Defense267% (135)44% (93) - - - - .08 (76)3.08 (101)63% (43)7% (114)0.78 (30)
WYO Offense351% (67)47% (49)30.3125.34.12 (109).05 (96)2.93 (74)54% (122)10% (96)0.85 (96)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SJSU Offense263% (6)38% (102)22.5432485.8112 (102)3 (92).13 (109)1.3 (117)32% (88)21% (123)-.08 (132)11% (136)1.3 (131)
WYO Defense353% (95)33% (36) - - - - - - 3 (28)-.09 (15)1 (6)35% (44)18% (21)-.12 (8)6% (73)1.4 (7)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SJSU Defense233% (3)38% (56) - - - - - - 1 (87).32 (103)1.9 (122)33% (66)14% (9).14 (41)6% (76)2.4 (118)
WYO Offense349% (70)42% (82)14.324.3169.3711.83 (90)1 (23).16 (99)1.3 (116)28% (50)19% (126).1 (116)5% (72)1.9 (78)

San José State's Power Ratings
San José State's Power Rating: -6.26 #96
San José State's Offense Rating: 3.95 #111
San José State's Defense Rating: 10.21 #83
2025 Talent Rating: 504.00 #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
San José State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
San José State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.8 #111
San José State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #108
San José State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.1 #106

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
San José State: -6.26   Wyoming: -3.02

SP+ Ratings Matchup
San José State: -11.8   Wyoming: -8.1




Wyoming's Power Ratings
Wyoming's Power Rating: -3.02 #85
Wyoming's Offense Rating: 4.85 #105
Wyoming's Defense Rating: 7.79 #70
2025 Talent Rating: 562.00 #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Wyoming's 2025 Expected Record: 7.2 - 4.8
Wyoming's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.1 #92
Wyoming's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #115
Wyoming's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


San José State Scoring
Offense: 10.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 7
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense on Road: 38

San José State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Wyoming 22
San José State 16


Total Points: 38

Wyoming Scoring
Offense: 15.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.5
Defense: 12.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 19

Wyoming's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/19San José State24Wyoming14San José StateSan José State -13Wyoming53.0Under
202210/01Wyoming16San José State33San José StateSan José State -2.5San José State42.5Over
202110/30San José State27Wyoming21San José StateSan José State -3San José State40.0Over
201811/03Wyoming24San José State9WyomingWyoming -17.5San José State38.0Under
201711/25San José State20Wyoming17San José StateWyoming -19San José State48.5Under
201410/18Wyoming20San José State27San José StateWyoming -1.5San José State0
201310/26San José State51Wyoming44San José StateSan José State -5.5San José State0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Wyoming112 Overs
San José State663 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 23 - 42 - 31 - 1
Road Teams2 - 54 - 31 - 13 - 2

(#96) San José State Info
Power Rating: -6.26 #96
Offense Rating: 3.95 #111
Defense Rating: 10.21 #83
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.8 #111
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #108
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.1 #106
Talent Rating: 504.00 #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 36%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 1.4 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Awful OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.13 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 44%
Avg Pass Def Success 38%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

San José State has lost 5 straight
San José State has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

San José State Notes
(8/30) Off & esp run game awful vs CMU, bad start
(8/1) Top 10 fastest offense to help OL struggles LY
(7/31) RB Chalk back, better depth. More run TY?
(6/6) Spread & Shred Off = most pass heavy @ 63%
(5/4) QB Eget back, gunslinger fun, depth?
(5/4) WR rebuild, Coleman good. 4 portals added
(5/4) TE Jackson Canaan undersized but productive
(5/4) OL 4/5 back, grades are rough. No portals?
(5/4) Def bad LY, 5 portals, LB Pollard a machine
(5/4) Great job by Niumatalolo & staff with 8 W's

San José State Highlights
San José State commits very few Penalties (#1)

San José State Deficiencies
San José State has a really bad Offense
San José State has a bad TO Margin (#125)
San José State Fumbles a Lot (#128)
San José State Can Not Run the Ball (#134)
San José State offense is really bad (#102)
San José State offense is not Explosive (#134)
San José State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#132)
San José State pass game is really bad (#102)
San José State does not Sack the QB (#130)
San José State has a bad defensive line (#101)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatWYOSJSU
OverallOver#67#109
OffenseOff#82#108
DefenseDef#56#97
Special TeamsST#48#37
PassingPass#83#93
RushingRush#65#102
Run BlockRBLK#69#102
Pass BlockPBLK#60#118
Route RunningWR Rt#92#89
TacklingTkl#61#75
Run DefenseR Def#62#75
Pass Rush DefPRush#99#82
Coverage DefCov#23#115

Previous Matchups
San José State beat Wyoming last year (24-14)
San José State beat Wyoming in 2022 (33-16)

Weather Forecast
Playing in War Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: SJSU | WYO
Depth Chart: SJSU | WYO
Rosters: SJSU | WYO
(#85) Wyoming Info
Power Rating: -3.02 #85
Offense Rating: 4.85 #105
Defense Rating: 7.79 #70
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.1 #92
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #115
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Talent Rating: 562.00 #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 7.2 - 4.8

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.82 PPO
Avg Run Success 47%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 36%
Great in Scoring Position 0.77 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 41%
Good Pass Def Success 33%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Wyoming has lost 3 straight
Wyoming has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 1 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Wyoming Notes
(8/1) OL was awful LY, but 4/5 back. No portals?
(8/1) Def was awful, lost a ton, added 12 portals
(8/1) Back 7 of Def has almost no exp. Pass D awful
(5/2) QB K Anderson likely. JAG- so far, depth??
(5/2) RB Scott back, Kellman (Char) added. Meh
(5/2) WR Sargent electric, Durr back as well. C+
(5/2) HC Sawvel awful 1st year. Doesn't look better TY
(5/2) TE Gyllenborg a nice target w/ 55 career rec

Wyoming Highlights
Wyoming defense does not give up big plays (#3)
Wyoming defense is really good in red zone (#2)
Wyoming defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Wyoming Deficiencies
Wyoming has a really bad Offense
Wyoming has a really bad Offense at Home
Wyoming Can Not Run the Ball (#100)
Wyoming offense is not Explosive (#122)
Wyoming Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#104)
Wyoming offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#119)
Wyoming Does Not Stuff Runs (#109)
Wyoming has a bad defensive line (#103)


  
San José State's OC Craig Stutzmann
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Walker Eget458553%496235.8
Tama Amisone010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Floyd Chalk IV208304.211
Jabari Bates104414.413
Lamar Radcliffe123102.68
Tama Amisone52304.610
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Danny Scudero (Tr)16255115.946
Kyri Shoels108708.716
Leland Smith (Tr)250125.039
Jackson Canaan63906.512

View San José State's Full Roster
San José State's DC Derrick Odum
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Pollard200012
Taniela Latu153001
Jalen Apalit-Williams140011
Noah McNeal-Franklin132000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Vili Taufatofua (Tr)82121
Jordan Pollard200012
Justin Stearns50000
Dejon Roney10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Pollard200012
Jalen Apalit-Williams140011
Isiah Revis80001

Wyoming's OC Jay Johnson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kaden Anderson488259%535326.5
Landon Sims33100%23007.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Sam Scott4420314.628
Terron Kellman (Tr)1813717.633
Samuel Harris1813017.228
Max White (Tr)82202.810
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Durr Jr.17284216.749
Johnmichael Gyllenborg884110.523
Jackson Holman (Tr)43809.520
Samuel Harris43609.032

View Wyoming's Full Roster
Wyoming's DC Aaron Bohl
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Andrew Johnson201100
Evan Eller201010
Brayden Johnson (Tr)200011
Jones Thomas140003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ben Florentine103300
Lucas Samsula52200
Andrew Johnson201100
Chisom Ifeanyi (Tr)41110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jones Thomas140003
Tyrese Boss130002
Dainsus Miller60001