San José State at Wyoming - 2025 Matchup Preview
San José State logo   San José State Spartans at Wyoming Cowboys  Wyoming logo
Saturday, October 11th 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
San José State -1.5 (50.5) (-122)  Open: -1.5
Wyoming 35 - San José State: 28  (Mountain West)

 
Spartans (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Ken Niumatalolo (7 - 5)
Avg Score : 21 - 33 (17 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#117)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 6)
WYO 2nd straight Home Game
SJSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Wyoming -4.5  (SP+ WYO -3)

Projected Score: SJSU: 22 - WYO: 26 (48)
SJSU Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
SJSU Travel: 912 miles, 1 hrs behind
Cowboys (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jay Sawvel (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 16 - 21 (21 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 6)
 
San José State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 San José State vs Central Michigan-11.550.5L 14 - 16UN
Sat 9/6 San José State at Texas+37.052.5L 7 - 38UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 San José State vs Idaho-14.551.5W 31 - 28ON
Sat 9/27 San José State at Stanford+3.049.5L 29 - 30OY
Fri 10/3 San José State vs New Mexico-1.558.5W 35 - 28OY
Sat 10/11 San José State at Wyoming-1.550.5L 28 - 35ON
Fri 10/17 San José State at Utah State+3.063.5L 25 - 30UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 San José State vs Hawai'i-2.555.5W 45 - 38OY
Sat 11/8 San José State vs Air Force-6.067.5L 16 - 26UN
Sat 11/15 San José State at Nevada-10.049.5L 10 - 55ON
Sat 11/22 San José State at San Diego State+10.050.5L 3 - 25UN
Sat 11/29 San José State vs Fresno State+3.546.0L 14 - 41ON

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for San José State's Schedule
Wyoming's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Wyoming at Akron-8.549.5W 10 - 0UY
Sat 9/6 Wyoming vs Northern Iowa-14.047.5W 31 - 7UY
Sat 9/13 Wyoming vs Utah+24.547.5L 6 - 31UN
Sat 9/20 Wyoming at Colorado+12.545.5L 20 - 37ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Wyoming vs UNLV+4.550.5L 17 - 31UN
Sat 10/11 Wyoming vs San José State+1.550.5W 35 - 28OY
Sat 10/18 Wyoming at Air Force+4.056.5L 21 - 24UY
Sat 10/25 Wyoming vs Colorado State-5.546.5W 28 - 0UY
Sat 11/1 Wyoming at San Diego State+10.042.5L 7 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Wyoming at Fresno State+3.040.5L 3 - 24UN
Sat 11/22 Wyoming vs Nevada-6.039.5L 7 - 13UN
Sat 11/29 Wyoming at Hawai'i+8.545.0L 7 - 27UN

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Wyoming's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SJSU#71 (.18)44% (56)21.441% (98)2.27 (133)8846% (28)3223.6 (96)#27 (.1)41% (57)32.542% (66)39% (47)3.58 (44)61.52.22.2
WYO#127 (.05)36% (126)1639% (111)2.64 (122)13834% (125)1893.07 (126)#102 (.23)44% (96)20.543% (70)45% (113)3.97 (86)49.61.30.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SJSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WYO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SJSU Offense1321.41743.9%3.62.222410883223.637%63%41%46%18%.18
WYO Defense1220.518.344%3.970.9 - - - - - 52%48%43%45%15%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SJSU Defense1332.535.540.8%3.582.2 - - - - - 53%47%42%39%17%.1
WYO Offense121620.736.4%3.071.3173271381893.654%46%39%34%17%.05

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
San José State1326:2321.740%53%761.52.22.27.21.9228.5
Wyoming1230:5217.336%60%5.549.61.30.951.3228
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SJSU Offense1337% (131)41% (98)24.687.93.613 (105)-.06 (131)2.27 (133)70% (91)9% (57)0.81 (127)
WYO Defense1252% (82)43% (70) - - - - .21 (112)3.09 (85)62% (12)9% (87)1.19 (128)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SJSU Defense1353% (94)42% (66) - - - - .03 (21)2.71 (23)77% (96)11% (41)0.86 (16)
WYO Offense1254% (40)39% (111)38.2138.13.614 (98).02 (117)2.64 (122)62% (121)11% (92)0.94 (83)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SJSU Offense1363% (3)46% (28)24.342.3321.87.613.231 (6)16 (124).33 (39)1.6 (74)30% (53)34% (46).38 (49)9% (131)2.1 (65)
WYO Defense1248% (55)45% (113) - - - - - - 6 (109).25 (78)1.4 (10)31% (81)32% (85).32 (73)5% (102)1.8 (16)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SJSU Defense1347% (43)39% (47) - - - - - - 21 (1).19 (48)1.7 (105)34% (36)29% (45).24 (38)6% (56)2.1 (87)
WYO Offense1246% (93)34% (125)15.128.9188.66.512.511 (122)11 (72).08 (126)1.8 (19)34% (110)25% (118).15 (126)6% (72)2.1 (62)

San José State's Power Ratings
San José State's Power Rating: -8.77  #95
San José State's Offense Rating: 10.64  #84
San José State's Defense Rating: 19.41  #103
2025 Talent Rating: 504.00  #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
San José State's 2025 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
San José State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.3  #118
San José State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.6  #108
San José State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.4  #115

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 500.89
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
San José State: -8.77   Wyoming: -6.825

SP+ Ratings Matchup
San José State: -14.3   Wyoming: -11.3




Wyoming's Power Ratings
Wyoming's Power Rating: -6.825  #87
Wyoming's Offense Rating: 8.24  #98
Wyoming's Defense Rating: 15.59  #85
2025 Talent Rating: 562.00  #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
Wyoming's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Wyoming's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.3  #110
Wyoming's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.3  #129
Wyoming's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.7  #55

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 500.89
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


San José State Scoring
Offense: 21.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 32.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.5

San José State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Wyoming 26
San José State 22


Projected Total Points: 48
Wyoming Scoring
Offense: 16 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.7
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.3

Wyoming's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 10
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/11Wyoming35San José State28San José State -1.5Wyoming50.5Over
202410/19San José State24Wyoming14San José State -13Wyoming53.0Under
202210/01Wyoming16San José State33San José State -2.5San José State42.5Over
202110/30San José State27Wyoming21San José State -3San José State40.0Over
201811/03Wyoming24San José State9Wyoming -17.5San José State38.0Under
201711/25San José State20Wyoming17Wyoming -19San José State48.5Under
201410/18Wyoming20San José State27Wyoming -1.5San José State0
201310/26San José State51Wyoming44San José State -5.5San José State0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Wyoming223 Overs
San José State663 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 24 - 42 - 32 - 1
Road Teams2 - 64 - 41 - 23 - 2

(#95) SJSU at (#87) WYO
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSJSUWYO
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #95 #87
SP+SP+ #118 #110
Perf GradeGrade #116 #109
OffenseOff #114 #126
DefenseDef #91 #51
Spec TeamsST #44 #128
TalentTal #117 #103
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #101
San José State Notes
(11/21) DC Derrick Odum fired after Nevada blowout
(10/18) Box score W in L @ USU, 534 yds, 8 flags + 1 TO diff
(10/18) Pass Def awful, torched for 300+ in 5 of last 6 games
(10/12) Loss @ Wyoming may end goals. Regressing hard
(9/6) Cannot kick FG, cost them opener vs CMU
(8/30) Off & esp run game awful vs CMU, bad start
(8/1) Top 10 fastest offense to help OL struggles LY
(7/31) RB Chalk back, better depth. More run TY?
(6/6) Spread & Shred Off = most pass heavy @ 63%
(5/4) QB Eget back, gunslinger fun, depth?
(5/4) WR rebuild, Coleman good. 4 portals added
(5/4) TE Jackson Canaan undersized but productive
San José State Injury Report
Wyoming Notes
(8/1) OL was awful LY, but 4/5 back. No portals?
(8/1) Def was awful, lost a ton, added 12 portals
(8/1) Back 7 of Def has almost no exp. Pass D awful
(5/2) QB K Anderson likely. JAG- so far, depth??
(5/2) RB Scott back, Kellman (Char) added. Meh
(5/2) WR Sargent electric, Durr back as well. C+
(5/2) HC Sawvel awful 1st year. Doesn't look better TY
(5/2) TE Gyllenborg a nice target w/ 55 career rec
Wyoming Injury Report
San José State on Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 38%
CategoryCat
SJSU OffWYO Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #114 #51
SuccessSuc #56 #96
ExplosiveExp #54 #65
PPAPPA #71 #102
PowerPwr #84 #85
SP+SP+ #108 #55
Pts POPPO #96 #86
HavocHav #110 #92
San José State Run Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 38%
CategoryCat
SJSU OffWYO Def
Run GameRun #76 #55
Run SuccessRSuc #98 #70
Run ExplRExp #127 #128
PPAExp #131 #112
Run BlockR Blk #132 -
OL YdsOLY #133 #85
Stuff RateStuff #134 #58
TackleTak -  #63
San José State Pass Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 38%
CategoryCat
SJSU OffWYO Def
Pass GamePass #102 #39
Pass SuccessPSuc #28 #113
Pass ExplPExl #74 #10
PPAExp #39 #78
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #117 #117
F7 HavocF7 #57 #87
DB HavocDB #131 #102
Wyoming on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatWYO OffSJSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #126 #91
SuccessSuc #126 #57
ExplosiveExp #60 #48
PPAPPA #127 #27
PowerPwr #98 #103
SP+SP+ #129 #115
Pts POPPO #126 #44
HavocHav #86 #47
Wyoming Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
WYO OffSJSU Def
Run GameRun #96 #40
Run SuccessRSuc #111 #66
Run ExplRExp #83 #16
PPAExp #117 #21
Run BlockR Blk #61 -
OL YdsOLY #122 #23
Stuff RateStuff #108 #30
TackleTak -  #107
Wyoming Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatWYO OffSJSU Def
Pass GamePass #124 #127
Pass SuccessPSuc #125 #47
Pass ExplPExl #19 #105
PPAExp #126 #48
Pass Block/RushP Blk #104 #96
F7 HavocF7 #92 #41
DB HavocDB #72 #56
Program Comparison
WYO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

SJSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in War Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 7
San José State 1.5 (50.5)
Wyoming won vs San José State this year (35-28)

Previous Matchups
Wyoming beat San José State last year (35-28)
San José State beat Wyoming in 2024 (24-14)

  
SJSU's OC Craig Stutzmann (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Walker Eget23239359%30581797.8
Tama Amisone265052%205034.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Steve Chavez-Soto8744875.166
Lamar Radcliffe6634015.230
Jabari Bates2719227.187
Tama Amisone3416014.723
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Danny Scudero (Tr)8812971014.772
Kyri Shoels59768213.043
Leland Smith (Tr)43695316.245
Jackson Canaan3331509.544

View San José State's Full Roster

SJSU's DC Derrick Odum (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Pollard1085344
Taniela Latu656113
Noah McNeal-Franklin636132
Jaylen Thomas591006
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Vili Taufatofua (Tr)347471
Jordan Pollard1085344
Gafa Faga476350
Quincy Likio415210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Thomas591006
Jalen Bainer441105
Jordan Pollard1085344

WYO's OC Jay Johnson (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kaden Anderson18933656%197112105.9
Mason Drube203853%187014.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Samuel Harris10055215.550
Sam Scott8940824.637
Terron Kellman (Tr)6533145.133
Landon Sims159716.537
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Durr Jr.46513411.249
Jaylen Sargent20240012.029
Michael Fitzgerald (Tr)16228314.335
Johnmichael Gyllenborg2421719.024

View Wyoming's Full Roster

WYO's DC Aaron Bohl (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brayden Johnson (Tr)745013
Evan Eller627221
Jones Thomas461004
Tyce Westland438242
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ben Florentine336413
Brayden Wilson (Tr)224210
Tyce Westland438242
Evan Eller627221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Desman Hearns (Tr)283005
Tyrese Boss360005
Dainsus Miller253005