Idaho at San José State - 2025 Matchup Preview
Idaho logo Idaho Vandals at San José State SpartansSan José State logo
Saturday, September 20th 2025 (5:00 PM EDT)
San José State -14.5 (51.5) (-675)  Open: -14.5 | 50.5
San José State 31 - Idaho: 28

 
Vandals (0 - 2) (2 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 19 - 22 (19 - 22 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 13.7 MPH
IDHO coming off BYE
SJSU coming off BYE
Our Line: -5.5  (SP+ SJSU -8)
SJSU Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
Spartans (3 - 5) (4 - 4 - 0)
Coach Ken Niumatalolo (7 - 5)
Avg Score : 27 - 30 (31 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.8 - 7.2 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 10)
 
Idaho's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Idaho at Washington State+16.550.5L 10 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Idaho at San José State+14.551.5L 28 - 31OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Idaho's Schedule
San José State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 San José State vs Central Michigan-11.550.5L 14 - 16UN
Sat 9/6 San José State at Texas+37.052.5L 7 - 38UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 San José State vs Idaho-14.551.5W 31 - 28ON
Sat 9/27 San José State at Stanford+3.049.5L 29 - 30OY
Fri 10/3 San José State vs New Mexico-1.558.5W 35 - 28OY
Sat 10/11 San José State at Wyoming-1.550.5L 28 - 35ON
Fri 10/17 San José State at Utah State+3.063.5L 25 - 30UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 San José State vs Hawai'i-2.555.5W 45 - 38OY
Sat 11/8 San José State vs Air Force-6.067.5
Sat 11/15 San José State at Nevada-6
Sat 11/22 San José State at San Diego State+19.5
Sat 11/29 San José State vs Fresno State-1.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for San José State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IDHO0%190%000%000%220%0%0000
SJSU#32 (.25)44% (49)26.845% (54)2.85 (65)12244% (50)3333.21 (114)#112 (.22)43% (91)30.443% (81)44% (95)4.02 (97)54.31.51.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IDHO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
SJSU#71 (.18)44% (56)41% (98)2.27 (133)8846% (28)3223.6 (96)#27 (.1)41% (57)42% (66)39% (47)3.58 (44)61.52.22.2



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IDHO Offense219190%00000000%0%0%0%0%
SJSU Defense830.427.543.2%4.021.4 - - - - - 46%54%43%44%14%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IDHO Defense222220%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
SJSU Offense826.831.344.4%3.211.5214551223334.738%61%45%44%14%.25

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Idaho20:000NAN%0%0000000100
San José State829:0921.446%25%6.454.31.51.44.82027.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IDHO Offense20%0%000000%0%0
SJSU Defense846% (30)43% (81) - - - - .07 (61)2.48 (38)74% (83)8% (114)0.91 (51)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IDHO Defense20%0% - - - - 00%0%0
SJSU Offense838% (132)45% (54)261224.711 (107).11 (66)2.85 (65)66% (111)6% (6)1.01 (49)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IDHO Offense20%0%000000000%0%0%0
SJSU Defense854% (113)44% (95) - - - - - - 6 (38).37 (121)1.7 (128)33% (58)32% (99).46 (125)6% (73)2.2 (126)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IDHO Defense20%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
SJSU Offense861% (5)44% (50)24.842.5332.97.813.517 (30)4 (34).36 (38)1.6 (47)33% (94)34% (39).34 (59)8% (126)1.8 (110)

Idaho's Power Ratings
Idaho's Power Rating: NR
Idaho's Offense Rating: NR
Idaho's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Idaho's 2025 Expected Record: -
Idaho's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Idaho's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Idaho's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Sky Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Idaho:    San José State: -5.35

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Idaho:    San José State: -8.3




San José State's Power Ratings
San José State's Power Rating: -5.35  #102
San José State's Offense Rating: 10.00  #60
San José State's Defense Rating: 17.40  #119
2025 Talent Rating: 504.00  #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
San José State's 2025 Expected Record: 4.8 - 7.2
San José State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3  #101
San José State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8  #69
San José State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.7  #116

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Idaho Scoring
Offense: 19 PPG
Offense on Road: 19
Defense: 22 PPG
Defense on Road: 22

Idaho's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Idaho 22
San José State 22

Total Points: 44

Based on Last 4 Games
Idaho 20
San José State 20

Total Points: 40

Based on Entire Season
San José State 25
Idaho 24

Total Points: 49
San José State Scoring
Offense: 26.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.3
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.5

San José State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 5
Record vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/20San José State31Idaho28San José State -14.5Idaho51.5Over
201211/03Idaho13San José State42
201111/05San José State29Idaho32
201012/04Idaho26San José State23
200910/10San José State25Idaho29
200811/01Idaho24San José State30
200710/06San José State28Idaho20
200611/25Idaho13San José State28
200511/26San José State26Idaho18
TeamWinsCoversO/U
San José State601 Overs
Idaho310 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 50 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams5 - 41 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#NR) IDHO at (#102) SJSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatIDHOSJSU
Power RatePwrNR #102
SP+SP+NR #101
Perf GradeGradeNR #106
OffenseOffNR #100
DefenseDefNR #94
Spec TeamsSTNR #47
TalentTalNR #117
Blue ChipsBC%NR #101
San José State Notes
(10/18) Box score W in L @ USU, 534 yds, 8 flags + 1 TO diff
(10/18) Pass Def awful, torched for 300+ in 5 of last 6 games
(10/12) Loss @ Wyoming may end goals. Regressing hard
(9/6) Cannot kick FG, cost them opener vs CMU
(8/30) Off & esp run game awful vs CMU, bad start
(8/1) Top 10 fastest offense to help OL struggles LY
(7/31) RB Chalk back, better depth. More run TY?
(6/6) Spread & Shred Off = most pass heavy @ 63%
(5/4) QB Eget back, gunslinger fun, depth?
(5/4) WR rebuild, Coleman good. 4 portals added
(5/4) TE Jackson Canaan undersized but productive
(5/4) OL 4/5 back, grades are rough. No portals?
San José State Injury Report
Idaho on Offense
CategoryCat
IDHO OffSJSU Def
Perf GradePerfNR #94
SuccessSucNR #91
ExplosiveExpNR #117
PPAPPANR #112
PowerPwrNR #119
SP+SP+NR #116
Pts POPPONR #97
HavocHavNR #103
Idaho Run Game
CategoryCat
IDHO OffSJSU Def
Run GameRunNR #30
Run SuccessRSucNR #81
Run ExplRExpNR #51
PPAExpNR #61
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #38
Stuff RateStuffNR #119
TackleTak -  #118
Idaho Pass Game
CategoryCat
IDHO OffSJSU Def
Pass GamePassNR #127
Pass SuccessPSucNR #95
Pass ExplPExlNR #128
PPAExpNR #121
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #78
F7 HavocF7NR #114
DB HavocDBNR #73
San José State on Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 37%
CategoryCatSJSU OffIDHO Def
Perf GradePerf #100NR
SuccessSuc #49NR
ExplosiveExp #18NR
PPAPPA #32NR
PowerPwr #60NR
SP+SP+ #69NR
Pts POPPO #114NR
HavocHav #52NR
San José State Run Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat
SJSU OffIDHO Def
Run GameRun #51NR
Run SuccessRSuc #54NR
Run ExplRExp #49NR
PPAExp #66NR
Run BlockR Blk #135 -
OL YdsOLY #65NR
Stuff RateStuff #114NR
TackleTak - NR
San José State Pass Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 37%
CategoryCatSJSU OffIDHO Def
Pass GamePass #50NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #50NR
Pass ExplPExl #47NR
PPAExp #38NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #125NR
F7 HavocF7 #6NR
DB HavocDB #126NR
Program Comparison
SJSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

IDHO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 81° - Wind: 14 mph
Rematch from Week 4
San José State -14.5 (51.5)
San José State won vs Idaho this year (31-28)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
IDHO's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Joshua Wood (Tr)10818359%13661227.5
Jack Wagner294564%324237.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Joshua Wood (Tr)5839566.859
Nate Thomas8434014.014
Elisha Cummings6031525.329
Art Williams6029124.968
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ryan Jezioro25329413.262
Emmerson Cortez-Menjivar21271112.947
Elisha Cummings19266314.064
Marquawn McCraney13179213.826

View Idaho's Full Roster

IDHO's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isiah King143110
Dylan Layne101000
Matt Irwin80001
Cruz Hepburn60000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isiah King143110
Will Cornelson30000
Trevor Miller10000
Brody Michael10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tim Jackson40002
Matt Irwin80001
Isiah King143110

SJSU's OC Craig Stutzmann (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Walker Eget19032059%26181738.2
Xavier Ward31030%15011.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Lamar Radcliffe5729515.230
Steve Chavez-Soto4725165.366
Jabari Bates2719227.187
Floyd Chalk IV3514124.016
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Danny Scudero (Tr)6310911017.372
Kyri Shoels46587212.843
Leland Smith (Tr)28506318.145
Jackson Canaan2322309.744

View San José State's Full Roster

SJSU's DC Derrick Odum (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Pollard644343
Taniela Latu485112
Noah McNeal-Franklin435132
Jaylen Thomas431006
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Vili Taufatofua (Tr)266461
Jordan Pollard644343
Quincy Likio244210
Gafa Faga255250
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Thomas431006
Jalen Apalit-Williams360014
Jalen Bainer331104