McNeese at Utah State - 2025 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 20th 2025 (8:00 PM EDT)
Utah State -23.5 (63.0) (-2500) Open: -23.5 | 61.5
Utah State 48 - McNeese: 7

Cowboys (0 - 2) (0 - 2 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 9 - 41 (9 - 41 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

USU 2nd straight Home Game
MCNS coming off BYE
USU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -7.5 (SP+ USU -6)
USU Win prob: 96% | Cover: 54%

Aggies (4 - 4) (6 - 2 - 0)
Coach Bronco Mendenhall (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 32 - 32 (39 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.6 - 6.4 (#88)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)

Matchup
Schedules
MCNS Players
USU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

McNeese's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/6	McNeese at Louisiana	+19.0	50.0	L 10 - 34	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20	McNeese at Utah State	+23.5	63.0	L 7 - 48	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for McNeese's Schedule

Utah State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Utah State vs UTEP	-3.5	59.5	W 28 - 16	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Utah State at Texas A&M	+34.5	57.5	L 22 - 44	O	Y
Sat 9/13	Utah State vs Air Force	+4.0	51.5	W 49 - 30	O	Y
Sat 9/20	Utah State vs McNeese	-23.5	63.0	W 48 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/27	Utah State at Vanderbilt	+23.5	57.5	L 35 - 55	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11	Utah State at Hawai'i	-1.5	57.5	L 26 - 44	O	N
Fri 10/17	Utah State vs San José State	-3.0	63.5	W 30 - 25	U	Y
Sat 10/25	Utah State at New Mexico	+3.0	61.5	L 14 - 33	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8	Utah State vs Nevada	-10.0	52.5
Sat 11/15	Utah State at UNLV	+8
Sat 11/22	Utah State at Fresno State	+6
Fri 11/28	Utah State vs Boise State	+10

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Utah State's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MCNS		0%	8.5	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	41	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
USU	#45 (.21)	42% (83)	31.5	43% (80)	2.72 (81)	161	42% (74)	253	4.95 (4)	#121 (.25)	47% (127)	31.8	48% (129)	46% (116)	4.63 (129)	55.3	0.9	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MCNS		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
USU	#34 (.24)	46% (31)		48% (24)	3.41 (12)	199	44% (37)	269	4.42 (24)	#119 (.27)	47% (122)		48% (112)	48% (123)	4.44 (122)	73.8	1.8	1.3

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MCNS Offense	2	8.5	8.5	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
USU Defense	8	31.8	19.5	46.9%	4.63	1	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	48%	46%	11%	.25

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MCNS Defense	2	41	41	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
USU Offense	8	31.5	38.8	41.9%	4.95	0.9	20	414	161	253	4.9	47%	52%	43%	42%	16%	.21

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
McNeese	2	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Utah State	8	26:42	20	30%	63%	7.5	55.3	0.9	1	4	2	0	27.4

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MCNS Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
USU Defense	8	49% (55)	48% (129)	-	-	-	-	.24 (130)	3.12 (116)	74% (92)	6% (135)	1.03 (102)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MCNS Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
USU Offense	8	47% (93)	43% (80)	32.8	160.9	4.9	15 (40)	.16 (41)	2.72 (81)	77% (32)	12% (125)	1.14 (12)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MCNS Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
USU Defense	8	50% (84)	46% (116)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (38)	.26 (83)	1.3 (5)	26% (135)	34% (115)	.34 (93)	5% (98)	1.7 (17)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MCNS Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
USU Offense	8	52% (42)	42% (74)	19.3	29.9	252.9	8.5	13.1	18 (14)	3 (7)	.29 (59)	1.6 (45)	32% (87)	32% (56)	.43 (34)	4% (24)	2.2 (26)

McNeese's Power Ratings
McNeese's Power Rating: NR
McNeese's Offense Rating: NR
McNeese's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
McNeese's 2025 Expected Record: -
McNeese's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
McNeese's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
McNeese's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Southland Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
McNeese: Utah State: -7.665

SP+ Ratings Matchup
McNeese: Utah State: -6.0

Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: -7.665 #126
Utah State's Offense Rating: 9.10 #68
Utah State's Defense Rating: 23.43 #133
2025 Talent Rating: 488.00 #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Utah State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.6 - 6.4
Utah State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.0 #95
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #58
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.8 #125

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

McNeese Scoring
Offense: 8.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 8.5
Defense: 41 PPG
Defense on Road: 41

McNeese's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Utah State 40
McNeese 18

Total Points: 58

Based on Last 4 Games
Utah State 42
McNeese 19

Total Points: 60

Based on Entire Season
Utah State 38
McNeese 17

Total Points: 55

Utah State Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.8
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.5

Utah State's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/20	Utah State	48	McNeese	7	Utah State -23.5	Utah State	63.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Utah State	1	1	0 Overs
McNeese	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#NR) MCNS at (#126) USU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MCNS	USU
Power RatePwr	NR	#126
SP+SP+	NR	#95
Perf GradeGrade	NR	#84
OffenseOff	NR	#83
DefenseDef	NR	#68
Spec TeamsST	NR	#128
TalentTal	NR	#118
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	#101

McNeese Injury Report

Utah State Notes(10/18) Nice W SJSU, Box score L, OGd by 70, only 5-15 3rd
(9/28) Off has been good, QB Bryson Barnes upped his game
(8/30) Def good vs UTEP, Run game meh, Barnes good
(8/1) 10 (of 29) portal adds from NM w/ Bronco
(8/1) WR 7 portal adds, no exp, TE room decent
(8/1) Def god awful LY. 13 portal adds, new DC
(8/1) Over bet watch, Off tempo + Def will be awful
(7/19) OL 2/5 back, good LY. Only 2 portal adds
(3/29) QB Barnes started early/late LY. Garcia (AZ) add
(3/29) RB rebuild Jacobs(NM), Davis(BYU), added
(3/29) New OC McGiven longtime OC, SJSU PGC LY
(3/22) New HC Mendenhall from NM (UVA/BYU)
Utah State Injury Report

McNeese on Offense


CategoryCat	MCNS Off	USU Def
Perf GradePerf	NR	#68
SuccessSuc	NR	#127
ExplosiveExp	NR	#32
PPAPPA	NR	#121
PowerPwr	NR	#133
SP+SP+	NR	#125
Pts POPPO	NR	#129
HavocHav	NR	#132

McNeese Run Game


CategoryCat	MCNS Off	USU Def
Run GameRun	NR	#63
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	#129
Run ExplRExp	NR	#102
PPAExp	NR	#130
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	#116
Stuff RateStuff	NR	#114
TackleTak	-	#99

McNeese Pass Game


CategoryCat	MCNS Off	USU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	#71
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	#116
Pass ExplPExl	NR	#5
PPAExp	NR	#83
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	#98
F7 HavocF7	NR	#135
DB HavocDB	NR	#98

Utah State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	USU Off	MCNS Def
Perf GradePerf	#83	NR
SuccessSuc	#83	NR
ExplosiveExp	#11	NR
PPAPPA	#45	NR
PowerPwr	#68	NR
SP+SP+	#58	NR
Pts POPPO	#4	NR
HavocHav	#90	NR

Utah State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	USU Off	MCNS Def
Run GameRun	#81	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#80	NR
Run ExplRExp	#12	NR
PPAExp	#41	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#127	-
OL YdsOLY	#81	NR
Stuff RateStuff	#79	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Utah State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	USU Off	MCNS Def
Pass GamePass	#41	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#74	NR
Pass ExplPExl	#45	NR
PPAExp	#59	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#116	NR
F7 HavocF7	#125	NR
DB HavocDB	#24	NR

Program Comparison
USU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'25 Profile: Remains Average G5

MCNS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Romney Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 75° - Wind: 5 mph

Rematch from Week 4
Utah State -23.5 (63.0)
Utah State won vs McNeese this year (48-7)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

MCNS's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jake Strong (Tr)	129	225	57%	1562	9	10	6.9
Alex Flores	9	18	50%	98	0	0	5.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Trevonte' Citizen	63	406	4	6.4	79
Coleby Hamm	68	328	3	4.8	21
Jake Strong (Tr)	85	303	6	3.6	35
Bryce Strong	50	272	2	5.4	68

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jonathan Harris	22	262	5	11.9	57
Joshua Jackson	20	258	0	12.9	55
Logan Mauldin	15	238	2	15.9	52
Kameran Senegal	17	208	0	12.2	45

View McNeese's Full Roster

MCNS's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Landon Barrett	18	2	1	0	0
Emauri Sibley	15	1	1	0	0
Shuyab Brinkley	14	1	0	1	0
Javon Davis	14	0	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS
Landon Barrett	18	2	1
Emauri Sibley	15	1	1
Safir Stills-Bey	1	0	0
Cejae Ceasar	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Jermaine Hargraves	6	0	2
Javon Davis	14	0	1
Phillip Bradford	4	1	1

USU's OC Kevin McGiven (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Bryson Barnes	134	209	64%	1808	14	3	8.7
Jacob Conover	15	25	60%	156	2	0	6.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Miles Davis (Tr)	85	576	4	6.8	64
Bryson Barnes	104	367	7	3.5	35
Javen Jacobs (Tr)	47	242	2	5.1	58
Noah White	15	52	0	3.5	20

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Braden Pegan (Tr)	39	654	5	16.8	54
Brady Boyd (Tr)	29	431	3	14.9	53
Broc Lane	17	211	2	12.4	52
Javen Jacobs (Tr)	24	201	2	8.4	30

View Utah State's Full Roster

USU's DC Nick Howell (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
John Miller	72	7	6	5	1
Brevin Hamblin (Tr)	61	0	0	0	6
Noah Avinger (Tr)	54	0	0	0	5
Bronson Olevao	52	5	3	5	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
John Miller	72	7	6	5	1
Bronson Olevao	52	5	3	5	1
Chris Joe	22	3	2	2	0
William Holmes	38	6	2	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Brevin Hamblin (Tr)	61	0	6
Noah Avinger (Tr)	54	0	5
Bryson Taylor (Tr)	23	2	4