UTEP at Utah State Game Matchup
UTEP logo UTEP Miners at Utah State AggiesUtah State logo
Friday, August 29th 2025 (4:00 PM EDT)
Utah State -3.5 (0.0) (0)  Open: -3.5
Romney Stadium - Logan, UT

 
Miners (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Scotty Walden (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 20 - 32 (15 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.3 - 5.7 (#71)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
Our Line: Utah State -0.5   (SP+ USU -1)
Projected Score: UTEP: 30 - USU: 30 (61)
USU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
UTEP Travel: 749 miles
Aggies (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Bronco Mendenhall (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 32 - 38 (39 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#120)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
 
UTEP's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 UTEP at Utah State+3.50.0
Sat 9/6 UTEP vs UT Martin-9.5
Sat 9/13 UTEP at Texas+45
Sat 9/20 UTEP vs UL Monroe-3.5
Sat 9/27 UTEP vs Louisiana Tech-5
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/8 UTEP vs Liberty+11.5
Wed 10/15 UTEP at Sam Houston-1
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/28 UTEP at Kennesaw State-4.5
Sat 11/8 UTEP vs Jacksonville State-7.5
Sat 11/15 UTEP at Missouri State-2
Sat 11/22 UTEP vs New Mexico State-7.5
Sat 11/29 UTEP at Delaware-0.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 10
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 10
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UTEP's Schedule
Utah State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Utah State vs UTEP-3.50.0
Sat 9/6 Utah State at Texas A&M+40.5
Sat 9/13 Utah State vs Air Force+1.5
Sat 9/20 Utah State vs McNeese-7.5
Sat 9/27 Utah State at Vanderbilt+23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Utah State at Hawai'i+7
Sat 10/18 Utah State vs San José State+8.5
Sat 10/25 Utah State at New Mexico+2
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Utah State vs Nevada-4
Sat 11/15 Utah State at UNLV+13
Sat 11/22 Utah State at Fresno State+12
Sat 11/29 Utah State vs Boise State+23

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Utah State's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTEP#121 (.07)37% (124)19.538% (118)2.8 (106)12136% (117)2002.81 (132)#46 (.13)40% (42)32.340% (42)39% (46)3.85 (78)50.91.61.5
USU#34 (.24)46% (31)31.948% (24)3.41 (12)19944% (37)2694.42 (24)#119 (.27)47% (122)37.848% (112)48% (123)4.44 (122)73.81.81.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTEP0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTEP Offense1219.514.737%2.811.6173211212003.352%47%38%36%20%.07
USU Defense1237.830.347.4%4.441.3 - - - - - 51%49%48%48%15%.27
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTEP Defense1232.334.939.7%3.851.5 - - - - - 54%46%40%39%18%.13
USU Offense1231.938.745.6%4.421.8234681992695.746%54%48%44%16%.24

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UTEP1227:5716.733%30%5.750.91.61.57.12.9227.1
Utah State1227:1922.540%50%7.873.81.81.362.3128.1
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTEP Offense1252% (56)38% (118)36.4120.83.39 (125).02 (118)2.8 (106)59% (127)13% (125)0.88 (114)
USU Defense1251% (69)48% (112) - - - - .25 (124)3.45 (128)76% (85)10% (70)0.96 (56)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTEP Defense1254% (103)40% (42) - - - - .07 (40)2.85 (44)59% (7)12% (18)1.07 (102)
USU Offense1246% (102)48% (24)35.1199.35.721 (59).26 (13)3.41 (12)65% (117)8% (39)1.11 (18)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTEP Offense1247% (81)36% (117)18.630.42006.610.815 (98)12 (85).15 (108)1.5 (112)34% (111)23% (128).23 (104)7% (110)2.2 (20)
USU Defense1249% (64)48% (123) - - - - - - 13 (31).32 (106)1.5 (30)27% (129)32% (97).32 (75)5% (99)1.8 (21)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTEP Defense1246% (36)39% (46) - - - - - - 11 (52).21 (54)1.7 (115)34% (34)30% (56).28 (59)6% (66)2.1 (75)
USU Offense1254% (36)44% (37)24.538.2269.17.11129 (12)17 (127).25 (69)1.5 (118)29% (30)33% (54).4 (38)8% (124)2.1 (31)

UTEP's Power Ratings
UTEP's Power Rating: -11.57 #97
UTEP's Offense Rating: 5.91 #119
UTEP's Defense Rating: 17.48 #85
2025 Talent Rating: 566.00 #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
UTEP's 2025 Expected Record: 6.3 - 5.7
UTEP's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.1 #123
UTEP's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #122
UTEP's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.1 #113

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 385.5
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
UTEP: -11.57   Utah State: -13.26

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UTEP: -16.1   Utah State: -14.8




Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: -13.26 #114
Utah State's Offense Rating: 9.08 #99
Utah State's Defense Rating: 25.80 #122
2025 Talent Rating: 480.00 #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Utah State's 2025 Expected Record: 3.9 - 8.1
Utah State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.8 #117
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #88
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.4 #132

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 505.83
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


UTEP Scoring
Offense: 19.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 14.7
Defense: 32.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.9

UTEP's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Utah State 30
UTEP 30


Projected Total Points: 61
Utah State Scoring
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.7
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.3

Utah State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201412/20UTEP6Utah State21Utah StateUtah State -10Utah State45.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Utah State110 Overs
UTEP001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0

(#97) UTEP Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -11.57 #97
Offense Rating: 5.91 #119
Defense Rating: 17.48 #85
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.1 #123
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #122
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.1 #113
Talent Rating: 566.00 #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Expected Record: 6.3 - 5.7

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.81 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Awful Pass Success 36%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


UTEP Notes
(3/24) RB rebuild. Wilson (Char) a good add
(3/24) WR #1 Odom back, little depth. 2 portals
(3/24) OL bad LY, 2/5 back, 2 more with a lot of exp
(3/24) Def bad LY, replacing a lot. 11 portal adds
(3/24) HC Walden fun, really great crootin
(3/24) New OC Cala was TCU QB coach past 2 yrs
(3/24) New DC Daly was Mont St DC past 6 yrs
(3/19) QB Locklear back, 5* Nelson DNP @ USC/Boise
UTEP     Ratings Matchup     Utah State
Power #97
#114
Off #119
#99
Def #85
#122
Talent #88
#112
SP+ #123
#117
SP+ Off #122
#88
SP+ Def #113
#132

Weather Forecast
Playing in Romney Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UTEP | USU
Depth Chart: UTEP | USU
Rosters: UTEP | USU
(#114) Utah State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -13.26 #114
Offense Rating: 9.08 #99
Defense Rating: 25.80 #122
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.8 #117
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #88
Defense SP+ Rating: 39.4 #132
Talent Rating: 480.00 #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Expected Record: 3.9 - 8.1

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.42 PPO
Good Run Success 48%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.44 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Utah State Notes
(3/29) QB Barnes started early/late LY. Garcia (AZ) add
(3/29) RB rebuild Jacobs(NM), Davis(BYU), added
(3/29) WR 6 portal adds, Hestera exp. TE Sterzer OK
(3/29) OL 2/5 back, good LY. Only 1 portal add
(3/29) Def god awful LY. 8 portal adds, new DC
(3/29) New OC McGiven longtime OC, SJSU PGC LY
(3/22) New HC Mendenhall from NM (UVA/BYU)
(3/22) 7 (of 21) portal adds from NM w/ Bronco


  
UTEP's OC Mark Cala
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Skyler Locklear14923663%15911066.7
Cade McConnell407156%540437.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Shane Porter9764856.779
Hahsaun Wilson (Tr)9155976.165
Skyler Locklear8023723.018
Kam Thomas132702.111
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kenny Odom47761816.276
Kam Thomas46512211.169
Jaden Smith2117708.441
Shane Porter169105.713

View UTEP's Full Roster
UTEP's DC Bobby Daly
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nate Dyman8410234
Xavier Smith781005
Lantz Russell545202
Kadarion Johnson398411
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kadarion Johnson398411
Lantz Russell545202
Jayden Wilson (Tr)323220
Nate Dyman8410234
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Smith781005
Nate Dyman8410234
Jaylon Shelton260003

Utah State's OC Kevin McGiven
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bryson Barnes7712661%8561266.8
Jacob Conover2450%22005.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bryson Barnes6853057.863
Javen Jacobs (Tr)4027736.950
Derrick Jameson1514029.372
Miles Davis (Tr)187604.237
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Josh Sterzer20202410.137
Broc Lane19197210.426
Javen Jacobs (Tr)1713017.633
Miles Davis (Tr)568113.626

View Utah State's Full Roster
Utah State's DC Nick Howell
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Noah Avinger (Tr)822005
Ike Larsen802009
Bryson Taylor (Tr)5620010
John Miller526242
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bronson Olevao234430
John Miller526242
William Holmes62210
Isaiah Bruce192102
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryson Taylor (Tr)5620010
Ike Larsen802009
Noah Avinger (Tr)822005