Washington State at Utah State - 2025 Matchup Preview
Washington State logo Washington State Cougars vs Utah State AggiesUtah State logo
Monday, December 22nd 2025 (2:00 PM EST)
Utah State -1.0 (50.0) (-180)  Open: -4.0 | 52.5
Washington State 34 - Utah State: 21  (Famous Idaho Potato Bowl)

 
Cougars (7 - 6) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Jimmy Rogers (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (16 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 6.3 (#71)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Light Rain Predicted
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Washington State -5.5  (SP+ WSU -3.5)

Projected Score: WSU: 27 - USU: 22 (49)
USU Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
WSU Travel: 434 miles, 1 hrs behind
Aggies (6 - 7) (10 - 3 - 0)
Coach Bronco Mendenhall (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 31 - 29 (38 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.3 - 6.7 (#79)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
Washington State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Washington State vs Idaho-16.550.5W 13 - 10UN
Sat 9/6 Washington State vs San Diego State-2.046.5W 36 - 13OY
Sat 9/13 Washington State at North Texas+6.557.5L 10 - 59ON
Sat 9/20 Washington State vs Washington+21.051.5L 24 - 59ON
Sat 9/27 Washington State at Colorado State+4.548.5W 20 - 3UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Washington State at Ole Miss+33.558.5L 21 - 24UY
Sat 10/18 Washington State at Virginia+16.556.5L 20 - 22UY
Sat 10/25 Washington State vs Toledo+1.544.5W 28 - 7UY
Sat 11/1 Washington State at Oregon State-3.547.5L 7 - 10UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Washington State vs Louisiana Tech-10.043.5W 28 - 3UY
Sat 11/22 Washington State at James Madison+15.044.5L 20 - 24UY
Sat 11/29 Washington State vs Oregon State-14.042.5W 32 - 8UY
Mon 12/22 Washington State vs Utah State+1.050.0W 34 - 21OY

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Washington State's Schedule
Utah State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Utah State vs UTEP-3.559.5W 28 - 16UY
Sat 9/6 Utah State at Texas A&M+34.557.5L 22 - 44OY
Sat 9/13 Utah State vs Air Force+4.051.5W 49 - 30OY
Sat 9/20 Utah State vs McNeese-23.563.0W 48 - 7UY
Sat 9/27 Utah State at Vanderbilt+23.557.5L 35 - 55OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Utah State at Hawai'i-1.557.5L 26 - 44ON
Fri 10/17 Utah State vs San José State-3.063.5W 30 - 25UY
Sat 10/25 Utah State at New Mexico+3.061.5L 14 - 33UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Utah State vs Nevada-10.052.5W 51 - 14OY
Sat 11/15 Utah State at UNLV+4.568.5L 26 - 29UY
Sat 11/22 Utah State at Fresno State+1.550.5W 28 - 17UY
Fri 11/28 Utah State vs Boise State+1.554.5L 24 - 25UY
Mon 12/22 Utah State vs Washington State-1.050.0L 21 - 34ON

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 2, Poor: 0

Predictions for Utah State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WSU#92 (.13)42% (74)22.543% (69)2.82 (95)11041% (74)1823.93 (50)#24 (.07)40% (55)20.244% (93)37% (30)3.14 (28)50.51.40.8
USU#48 (.2)41% (91)30.942% (87)2.87 (82)15841% (83)2324.49 (18)#111 (.22)43% (91)28.745% (100)42% (70)3.77 (75)54.50.81.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WSU#19 (.29)48% (15)47% (27)3.1 (54)15949% (8)2484.43 (23)#99 (.22)46% (112)51% (129)43% (91)4.18 (107)54.80.81.7
USU#34 (.24)46% (31)48% (24)3.41 (12)19944% (37)2694.42 (24)#119 (.27)47% (122)48% (112)48% (123)4.44 (122)73.81.81.3



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WSU Offense1322.516.341.9%3.931.4172921101823.649%50%43%41%16%.13
USU Defense1328.719.543.4%3.771.1 - - - - - 47%52%45%42%13%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WSU Defense1320.223.740.5%3.140.8 - - - - - 51%47%44%37%15%.07
USU Offense1330.938.340.9%4.490.8203901582324.947%52%42%41%16%.2

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Washington State1329:3817.237%74%6.250.51.40.84.82.2029
Utah State1325:2219.635%54%7.154.50.81.14.22.1128.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WSU Offense1349% (76)43% (69)30.4109.83.615 (122).09 (78)2.82 (95)68% (94)9% (60)0.85 (118)
USU Defense1347% (30)45% (100) - - - - .21 (124)3.18 (116)70% (59)7% (127)1.04 (105)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WSU Defense1351% (88)44% (93) - - - - .08 (56)2.96 (80)71% (69)10% (53)0.83 (14)
USU Offense1347% (96)42% (87)32.2158.34.924 (40).19 (33)2.87 (82)71% (74)11% (119)1.16 (9)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WSU Offense1350% (63)41% (74)17.927.7181.76.610.116 (61)12 (108).21 (93)1.4 (121)32% (77)27% (100).15 (122)7% (91)1.9 (114)
USU Defense1352% (111)42% (70) - - - - - - 10 (38).24 (61)1.5 (26)29% (111)33% (115).37 (109)6% (59)1.9 (27)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WSU Defense1347% (43)37% (30) - - - - - - 5.11 (19)1.4 (18)31% (68)23% (8).06 (2)5% (115)1.9 (28)
USU Offense1352% (44)41% (83)17.528.9232813.224 (14)4 (7).24 (70)1.5 (68)33% (98)31% (56).36 (48)5% (30)2.1 (62)

Washington State's Power Ratings
Washington State's Power Rating: -1.04  #72
Washington State's Offense Rating: 2.59  #109
Washington State's Defense Rating: 3.63  #37
2025 Talent Rating: 724.00  #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Washington State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.7 - 6.3
Washington State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.1  #60
Washington State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.4  #97
Washington State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5  #28

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 748
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Washington State: -1.04   Utah State: -4.695

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Washington State: 3.1   Utah State: -0.3




Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: -4.695  #104
Utah State's Offense Rating: 8.21  #71
Utah State's Defense Rating: 17.30  #120
2025 Talent Rating: 488.00  #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
Utah State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.3 - 6.7
Utah State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.3  #74
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7  #51
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4  #91

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Washington State Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.3
Defense: 20.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.7

Washington State's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Washington State 27
Utah State 22


Total Points: 49

Based on Last 4 Games
Utah State 25
Washington State 19

Total Points: 44

Based on Entire Season
Utah State 29
Washington State 22

Total Points: 51
Utah State Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.3
Defense: 28.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.5

Utah State's 2025 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202512/22Utah State21Washington State34Utah State -1.0Washington State50.0Over
202411/09Washington State49Utah State28Washington State -20.5Washington State69.0Over
202109/04Washington State23Utah State26Washington State -17.5Utah State66.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Utah State112 Overs
Washington State221 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 21 - 21 - 20 - 0
Road Teams2 - 12 - 10 - 02 - 1

Washington State Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2025Potato Bowl Washington State vs Utah State+1.050.0W 34 - 21
2024Holiday Bowl Washington State vs Syracuse+19.058.5L 35 - 52
2022La Bowl Washington State vs Fresno State+5.554.0L 6 - 29
2021Sun Bowl Washington State vs Central Michigan-5.556.0L 21 - 24
2019It Bowl Washington State vs Air Force+3.073.0L 21 - 31
Utah State Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2025Potato Bowl Utah State vs Washington State-1.050.0L 21 - 34
2023Potato Bowl Utah State vs Georgia State-2.058.0L 22 - 45
2022Responder Bowl Utah State vs Memphis+8.057.0L 10 - 38
2021La Bowl Utah State vs Oregon State+7.068.0W 24 - 13
2019Frisco Bowl Utah State vs Kent State-7.571.5L 41 - 51
  
(#72) WSU at (#104) USU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWSUUSU
Power RatePwr #72 #104
SP+SP+ #60 #74
Perf GradeGrade #99 #90
OffenseOff #105 #80
DefenseDef #72 #80
Spec TeamsST #101 #114
TalentTal #70 #118
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #101
Washington State Notes
(12/13) Hired Kirby Moore (Mizzu OC) as HC ijn '26
(12/6) HC Rogers leaving for Iowa St. Another 1 yr HC
(10/19) 2 straight close L's @ Ole Miss & UVA. Improving
(10/7) Sched has been sneaky brutal and gets worse in Oct
(9/3) QB1 Potter, but Ekhaus didn't play as #2?
(8/5) QB Dugger (Pitt) very mobile, played bowl vs Tol
(7/31) 18 (of 36) portals from S Dakota w/ staff
(7/31) QB ?, Ekhaus is mobile vs So. Potter
(7/31) RB rebuild, Pulalasi has exp, 3 SDSt portals
(7/31) Moving to a ground & pound offense w/ Rogers
(7/31) 70+ new players, 27 FCS, 1/2 starters via SDSt
(3/22) HC Rogers was 27-3 @ S Dakota
Washington State Injury Report
Utah State Notes
(10/18) Nice W SJSU, Box score L, OGd by 70, only 5-15 3rd
(9/28) Off has been good, QB Bryson Barnes upped his game
(8/30) Def good vs UTEP, Run game meh, Barnes good
(8/1) 10 (of 29) portal adds from NM w/ Bronco
(8/1) WR 7 portal adds, no exp, TE room decent
(8/1) Def god awful LY. 13 portal adds, new DC
(8/1) Over bet watch, Off tempo + Def will be awful
(7/19) OL 2/5 back, good LY. Only 2 portal adds
(3/29) QB Barnes started early/late LY. Garcia (AZ) add
(3/29) RB rebuild Jacobs(NM), Davis(BYU), added
(3/29) New OC McGiven longtime OC, SJSU PGC LY
(3/22) New HC Mendenhall from NM (UVA/BYU)
Utah State Injury Report
Washington State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
WSU OffUSU Def
Perf GradePerf #105 #80
SuccessSuc #74 #91
ExplosiveExp #132 #63
PPAPPA #92 #111
PowerPwr #109 #120
SP+SP+ #97 #91
Pts POPPO #50 #75
HavocHav #72 #113
Washington State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
WSU OffUSU Def
Run GameRun #93 #82
Run SuccessRSuc #69 #100
Run ExplRExp #118 #105
PPAExp #78 #124
Run BlockR Blk #114 -
OL YdsOLY #95 #116
Stuff RateStuff #97 #110
TackleTak -  #106
Washington State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
WSU OffUSU Def
Pass GamePass #81 #49
Pass SuccessPSuc #74 #70
Pass ExplPExl #121 #26
PPAExp #93 #61
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #132 #110
F7 HavocF7 #60 #127
DB HavocDB #91 #59
Utah State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatUSU OffWSU Def
Perf GradePerf #80 #72
SuccessSuc #91 #55
ExplosiveExp #19 #6
PPAPPA #48 #24
PowerPwr #71 #37
SP+SP+ #51 #28
Pts POPPO #18 #28
HavocHav #88 #91
Utah State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
USU OffWSU Def
Run GameRun #81 #87
Run SuccessRSuc #87 #93
Run ExplRExp #9 #14
PPAExp #33 #56
Run BlockR Blk #103 -
OL YdsOLY #82 #80
Stuff RateStuff #101 #75
TackleTak -  #135
Utah State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatUSU OffWSU Def
Pass GamePass #36 #75
Pass SuccessPSuc #83 #30
Pass ExplPExl #68 #18
PPAExp #70 #19
Pass Block/RushP Blk #96 #59
F7 HavocF7 #119 #53
DB HavocDB #30 #115
Program Comparison
USU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'25 Profile: Up to Top G5

WSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Albertsons Stadium
Conditions: Light Rain
Temp: 52°
Rematch from Week 1
Utah State -1.0 (50.0)
Washington State won at Utah State this year (34-21)

Previous Matchups
Washington State beat Utah State last year (49-28)

  
WSU's OC Danny Freund (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Zevi Eckhaus19230663%209215126.8
Jaxon Potter679571%604436.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kirby Vorhees (Tr)13857654.246
Zevi Eckhaus11437183.322
Angel Johnson (Tr)7525213.450
Maxwell Woods (Tr)3622506.348
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Josh Meredith57725312.748
Tony Freeman54588310.948
Jeremiah Noga (Tr)20221111.135
Trey Leckner2317437.632

View Washington State's Full Roster

WSU's DC Jesse Bobbit (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Parker McKenna835211
Caleb Francl (Tr)826253
Tucker Large (Tr)713006
Anthony Palano (Tr)651142
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaac Terrell2812761
Buddha Peleti (Tr)227450
Soni Finau (Tr)124430
Malaki Ta'ase (Tr)174332
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tucker Large (Tr)713006
Jamorri Colson221003
Caleb Francl (Tr)826253

USU's OC Kevin McGiven (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bryson Barnes21135659%28021857.9
Jacob Conover244060%323418.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bryson Barnes189740103.958
Miles Davis (Tr)13173285.664
Javen Jacobs (Tr)6542956.658
Noah White259303.720
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Braden Pegan (Tr)60925515.454
Brady Boyd (Tr)46743816.253
Javen Jacobs (Tr)4337938.830
Anthony Garcia (Tr)20348217.474

View Utah State's Full Roster

USU's DC Nick Howell (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
John Miller11810883
Brevin Hamblin (Tr)1103208
Bronson Olevao888463
Noah Avinger (Tr)8141110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
John Miller11810883
Bronson Olevao888463
Chris Joe416431
Tyree Morris (Tr)466411
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Noah Avinger (Tr)8141110
Brevin Hamblin (Tr)1103208
Ike Larsen563015