Washington State at Utah State - 2025 Matchup Preview

Washington State Cougars vs Utah State Aggies

Monday, December 22nd 2025 (2:00 PM EST)
Utah State -1.0 (50.0) (-180) Open: -4.0 | 52.5
Washington State 34 - Utah State: 21 (Famous Idaho Potato Bowl)

Cougars (7 - 6) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Jimmy Rogers (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (16 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 6.3 (#71)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Washington State -8 (SP+ WSU -7)
Projected Score: WSU: 29 - USU: 21 (51)
USU Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
WSU Travel: 221 miles, 1 hrs behind

Aggies (6 - 7) (10 - 3 - 0)
Coach Bronco Mendenhall (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 31 - 29 (38 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.3 - 6.7 (#79)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
WSU Players
USU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Washington State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Washington State vs Idaho	-16.5	50.5	W 13 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/6	Washington State vs San Diego State	-2.0	46.5	W 36 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/13	Washington State at North Texas	+6.5	57.5	L 10 - 59	O	N
Sat 9/20	Washington State vs Washington	+21.0	51.5	L 24 - 59	O	N
Sat 9/27	Washington State at Colorado State	+4.5	48.5	W 20 - 3	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11	Washington State at Ole Miss	+33.5	58.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/18	Washington State at Virginia	+16.5	56.5	L 20 - 22	U	Y
Sat 10/25	Washington State vs Toledo	+1.5	44.5	W 28 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/1	Washington State at Oregon State	-3.5	47.5	L 7 - 10	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	Washington State vs Louisiana Tech	-10.0	43.5	W 28 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/22	Washington State at James Madison	+15.0	44.5	L 20 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/29	Washington State vs Oregon State	-14.0	42.5	W 32 - 8	U	Y
Mon 12/22	Washington State vs Utah State	+1.0	50.0	W 34 - 21	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Washington State's Schedule

Utah State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Utah State vs UTEP	-3.5	59.5	W 28 - 16	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Utah State at Texas A&M	+34.5	57.5	L 22 - 44	O	Y
Sat 9/13	Utah State vs Air Force	+4.0	51.5	W 49 - 30	O	Y
Sat 9/20	Utah State vs McNeese	-23.5	63.0	W 48 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/27	Utah State at Vanderbilt	+23.5	57.5	L 35 - 55	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11	Utah State at Hawai'i	-1.5	57.5	L 26 - 44	O	N
Fri 10/17	Utah State vs San José State	-3.0	63.5	W 30 - 25	U	Y
Sat 10/25	Utah State at New Mexico	+3.0	61.5	L 14 - 33	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8	Utah State vs Nevada	-10.0	52.5	W 51 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/15	Utah State at UNLV	+4.5	68.5	L 26 - 29	U	Y
Sat 11/22	Utah State at Fresno State	+1.5	50.5	W 28 - 17	U	Y
Fri 11/28	Utah State vs Boise State	+1.5	54.5	L 24 - 25	U	Y
Mon 12/22	Utah State vs Washington State	-1.0	50.0	L 21 - 34	O	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WSU	#19 (.29)	48% (15)	22.5	47% (27)	3.1 (54)	159	49% (8)	248	4.43 (23)	#99 (.22)	46% (112)	20.2	51% (129)	43% (91)	4.18 (107)	54.8	0.8	1.7
USU	#34 (.24)	46% (31)	30.9	48% (24)	3.41 (12)	199	44% (37)	269	4.42 (24)	#119 (.27)	47% (122)	28.7	48% (112)	48% (123)	4.44 (122)	73.8	1.8	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
USU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WSU Offense	13	22.5	16.3	48.1%	4.43	0.8	21	407	159	248	4.7	51%	49%	47%	49%	14%	.29
USU Defense	12	28.7	19.5	47.4%	4.44	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	48%	48%	15%	.27

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WSU Defense	13	20.2	23.7	46%	4.18	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	44%	55%	51%	43%	15%	.22
USU Offense	12	30.9	38.3	45.6%	4.42	1.8	23	468	199	269	5.7	46%	54%	48%	44%	16%	.24

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Washington State	13	26:19	21.1	41%	54%	5.9	54.8	0.8	1.7	4.6	1.5	3	30.1
Utah State	12	27:19	22.5	40%	50%	7.8	73.8	1.8	1.3	6	2.3	1	28.1

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WSU Offense	13	51% (66)	47% (27)	33.6	158.8	4.7	27 (30)	.23 (22)	3.1 (54)	67% (108)	10% (72)	1.12 (14)
USU Defense	12	51% (69)	48% (112)	-	-	-	-	.25 (124)	3.45 (128)	76% (85)	10% (70)	0.96 (56)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WSU Defense	13	44% (7)	51% (129)	-	-	-	-	.25 (123)	3.28 (110)	69% (45)	9% (102)	1.03 (89)
USU Offense	12	46% (102)	48% (24)	35.1	199.3	5.7	21 (59)	.26 (13)	3.41 (12)	65% (117)	8% (39)	1.11 (18)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WSU Offense	13	49% (69)	49% (8)	17.8	27.4	248.2	9.1	13.9	30 (9)	7 (26)	.37 (20)	1.6 (68)	27% (13)	37% (14)	.43 (27)	4% (19)	2.1 (44)
USU Defense	12	49% (64)	48% (123)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (31)	.32 (106)	1.5 (30)	27% (129)	32% (97)	.32 (75)	5% (99)	1.8 (21)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WSU Defense	13	55% (126)	43% (91)	-	-	-	-	-	-	14 (23)	.24 (74)	1.5 (54)	30% (98)	32% (93)	.35 (87)	6% (64)	2.2 (114)
USU Offense	12	54% (36)	44% (37)	24.5	38.2	269.1	7.1	11	29 (12)	17 (127)	.25 (69)	1.5 (118)	29% (30)	33% (54)	.4 (38)	8% (124)	2.1 (31)

Washington State's Power Ratings
Washington State's Power Rating: -7.66 #92
Washington State's Offense Rating: 6.10 #114
Washington State's Defense Rating: 13.76 #69
2025 Talent Rating: 724.00 #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Washington State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.7 - 6.3
Washington State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.8 #61
Washington State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #86
Washington State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #32

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 650.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Washington State: -7.66 Utah State: -9.985

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Washington State: 3.8 Utah State: -3.1

Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: -9.985 #124
Utah State's Offense Rating: 6.59 #111
Utah State's Defense Rating: 23.46 #130
2025 Talent Rating: 488.00 #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Utah State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.3 - 6.7
Utah State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.1 #79
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #53
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #98

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 650.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Washington State Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.3
Defense: 20.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.7

Washington State's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Washington State 29
Utah State 21

Projected Total Points: 51

Utah State Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.3
Defense: 28.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.5

Utah State's 2025 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	12/22	Utah State	21	Washington State	34	Utah State -1.0	Washington State	50.0	Over
2024	11/09	Washington State	49	Utah State	28	Washington State -20.5	Washington State	69.0	Over
2021	09/04	Washington State	23	Utah State	26	Washington State -17.5	Utah State	66.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Utah State	1	1	2 Overs
Washington State	2	2	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 2	1 - 2	1 - 2	0 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 1	2 - 1	0 - 0	2 - 1

Washington State Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2025	Potato Bowl	Washington State vs Utah State	+1.0	50.0	W 34 - 21
2024	Holiday Bowl	Washington State vs Syracuse	+19.0	58.5	L 35 - 52
2022	La Bowl	Washington State vs Fresno State	+5.5	54.0	L 6 - 29
2021	Sun Bowl	Washington State vs Central Michigan	-5.5	56.0	L 21 - 24
2019	It Bowl	Washington State vs Air Force	+3.0	73.0	L 21 - 31

Utah State Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2025	Potato Bowl	Utah State vs Washington State	-1.0	50.0	L 21 - 34
2023	Potato Bowl	Utah State vs Georgia State	-2.0	58.0	L 22 - 45
2022	Responder Bowl	Utah State vs Memphis	+8.0	57.0	L 10 - 38
2021	La Bowl	Utah State vs Oregon State	+7.0	68.0	W 24 - 13
2019	Frisco Bowl	Utah State vs Kent State	-7.5	71.5	L 41 - 51

(#92) WSU at (#124) USU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WSU	USU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#92	#124
SP+SP+	#61	#79
Perf GradeGrade	#88	#97
OffenseOff	#101	#87
DefenseDef	#40	#85
Spec TeamsST	#97	#121
TalentTal	#70	#118
Blue ChipsBC%	#101	#101

Washington State Notes(12/13) Hired Kirby Moore (Mizzu OC) as HC ijn '26
(12/6) HC Rogers leaving for Iowa St. Another 1 yr HC
(10/19) 2 straight close L's @ Ole Miss & UVA. Improving
(10/7) Sched has been sneaky brutal and gets worse in Oct
(9/3) QB1 Potter, but Ekhaus didn't play as #2?
(8/5) QB Dugger (Pitt) very mobile, played bowl vs Tol
(7/31) 18 (of 36) portals from S Dakota w/ staff
(7/31) QB ?, Ekhaus is mobile vs So. Potter
(7/31) RB rebuild, Pulalasi has exp, 3 SDSt portals
(7/31) Moving to a ground & pound offense w/ Rogers
(7/31) 70+ new players, 27 FCS, 1/2 starters via SDSt
(3/22) HC Rogers was 27-3 @ S Dakota
Washington State Injury Report

Utah State Notes(10/18) Nice W SJSU, Box score L, OGd by 70, only 5-15 3rd
(9/28) Off has been good, QB Bryson Barnes upped his game
(8/30) Def good vs UTEP, Run game meh, Barnes good
(8/1) 10 (of 29) portal adds from NM w/ Bronco
(8/1) WR 7 portal adds, no exp, TE room decent
(8/1) Def god awful LY. 13 portal adds, new DC
(8/1) Over bet watch, Off tempo + Def will be awful
(7/19) OL 2/5 back, good LY. Only 2 portal adds
(3/29) QB Barnes started early/late LY. Garcia (AZ) add
(3/29) RB rebuild Jacobs(NM), Davis(BYU), added
(3/29) New OC McGiven longtime OC, SJSU PGC LY
(3/22) New HC Mendenhall from NM (UVA/BYU)
Utah State Injury Report

Washington State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	WSU Off	USU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#101	#85
SuccessSuc	#15	#122
ExplosiveExp	#24	#42
PPAPPA	#19	#119
PowerPwr	#114	#130
SP+SP+	#86	#98
Pts POPPO	#23	#122
HavocHav	#43	#81

Washington State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	WSU Off	USU Def
Run GameRun	#81	#69
Run SuccessRSuc	#27	#112
Run ExplRExp	#14	#56
PPAExp	#22	#124
Run BlockR Blk	#133	-
OL YdsOLY	#54	#128
Stuff RateStuff	#99	#95
TackleTak	-	#111

Washington State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	WSU Off	USU Def
Pass GamePass	#79	#65
Pass SuccessPSuc	#8	#123
Pass ExplPExl	#68	#30
PPAExp	#20	#106
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#131	#110
F7 HavocF7	#72	#70
DB HavocDB	#19	#99

Utah State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	USU Off	WSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#87	#40
SuccessSuc	#31	#112
ExplosiveExp	#59	#82
PPAPPA	#34	#99
PowerPwr	#111	#69
SP+SP+	#53	#32
Pts POPPO	#24	#107
HavocHav	#81	#88

Utah State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	USU Off	WSU Def
Run GameRun	#68	#84
Run SuccessRSuc	#24	#129
Run ExplRExp	#18	#89
PPAExp	#13	#123
Run BlockR Blk	#118	-
OL YdsOLY	#12	#110
Stuff RateStuff	#46	#82
TackleTak	-	#136

Utah State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	USU Off	WSU Def
Pass GamePass	#61	#40
Pass SuccessPSuc	#37	#91
Pass ExplPExl	#118	#54
PPAExp	#69	#74
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#98	#36
F7 HavocF7	#39	#102
DB HavocDB	#124	#64

Program Comparison
USU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'25 Profile: Up to Top G5

WSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Albertsons Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Utah State -1.0 (50.0)
Washington State won at Utah State this year (34-21)

Previous Matchups
Washington State beat Utah State last year (34-21)
Washington State beat Utah State in 2024 (49-28)

WSU's OC Danny Freund (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Zevi Eckhaus	192	306	63%	2092	15	12	6.8
Jaxon Potter	67	95	71%	604	4	3	6.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kirby Vorhees (Tr)	138	576	5	4.2	46
Zevi Eckhaus	114	371	8	3.3	22
Angel Johnson (Tr)	75	252	1	3.4	50
Maxwell Woods (Tr)	36	225	0	6.3	48

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Josh Meredith	57	725	3	12.7	48
Tony Freeman	54	588	3	10.9	48
Jeremiah Noga (Tr)	20	221	1	11.1	35
Trey Leckner	23	174	3	7.6	32

View Washington State's Full Roster

WSU's DC Jesse Bobbit (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Parker McKenna	83	5	2	1	1
Caleb Francl (Tr)	82	6	2	5	3
Tucker Large (Tr)	71	3	0	0	6
Anthony Palano (Tr)	65	1	1	4	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Isaac Terrell	28	12	7	6	1
Buddha Peleti (Tr)	22	7	4	5	0
Soni Finau (Tr)	12	4	4	3	0
Malaki Ta'ase (Tr)	17	4	3	3	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tucker Large (Tr)	71	3	0	0	6
Jamorri Colson	22	1	0	0	3
Caleb Francl (Tr)	82	6	2	5	3

USU's OC Kevin McGiven (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Bryson Barnes	211	356	59%	2802	18	5	7.9
Jacob Conover	24	39	62%	323	4	0	8.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Bryson Barnes	189	740	10	3.9	58
Miles Davis (Tr)	131	732	8	5.6	64
Javen Jacobs (Tr)	65	429	5	6.6	58
Noah White	25	93	0	3.7	20

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Braden Pegan (Tr)	60	925	5	15.4	54
Brady Boyd (Tr)	46	743	8	16.2	53
Javen Jacobs (Tr)	43	379	3	8.8	30
Anthony Garcia (Tr)	20	348	2	17.4	74

View Utah State's Full Roster

USU's DC Nick Howell (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
John Miller	118	10	8	8	3
Brevin Hamblin (Tr)	110	3	2	0	8
Bronson Olevao	88	8	4	6	3
Noah Avinger (Tr)	81	4	1	1	10

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
John Miller	118	10	8	8	3
Bronson Olevao	88	8	4	6	3
Tyree Morris (Tr)	46	6	4	1	1
Chris Joe	41	6	4	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Noah Avinger (Tr)	81	4	1	1	10
Brevin Hamblin (Tr)	110	3	2	0	8
Bryson Taylor (Tr)	32	2	0	1	5