Utah State Aggies at Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
Saturday, October 11th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex - Honolulu, HI (Mountain West)
Aggies (2 - 1) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Bronco Mendenhall (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 33 - 30 (22 - 44 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.6 - 6.4 (#87)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)
Coach Bronco Mendenhall (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 33 - 30 (22 - 44 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.6 - 6.4 (#87)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)
USU coming off BYE
HAW coming off BYE
Our Line: Hawai'i -6 (SP+ USU -1)
Projected Score: USU: 24 - HAW: 30 (54)
HAW Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
USU Travel: 3010 miles, 4 hrs ahead
HAW coming off BYE
Our Line: Hawai'i -6 (SP+ USU -1)
Projected Score: USU: 24 - HAW: 30 (54)
HAW Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
USU Travel: 3010 miles, 4 hrs ahead
Rainbow Warriors (3 - 1) (2 - 2 - 0)
Coach Timmy Chang (13 - 25)
Avg Score : 22 - 21 (28 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 5 (#63)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 8)
Coach Timmy Chang (13 - 25)
Avg Score : 22 - 21 (28 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 5 (#63)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 8)
| Utah State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Utah State vs UTEP | -3.5 | 59.5 | W 28 - 16 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Utah State at Texas A&M | +34.5 | 57.5 | L 22 - 44 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Utah State vs Air Force | +4.0 | 51.5 | W 49 - 30 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Utah State vs McNeese | -11 | |||||
| Sat 9/27 | Utah State at Vanderbilt | +33.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/11 | Utah State at Hawai'i | +6 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Utah State vs San José State | +1 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Utah State at New Mexico | +0.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/8 | Utah State vs Nevada | -7 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Utah State at UNLV | +13.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Utah State at Fresno State | +9 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Utah State vs Boise State | +14.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Utah State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Hawai'i's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/23 | Hawai'i vs Stanford | -1.5 | 53.5 | W 23 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 8/30 | Hawai'i at Arizona | +13.5 | 55.5 | L 6 - 40 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Hawai'i vs Sam Houston | -7.0 | 47.5 | W 37 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Hawai'i vs Portland State | -35.5 | 54.5 | W 23 - 3 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | Hawai'i vs Fresno State | +3.0 | 47.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Hawai'i at Air Force | -1.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/11 | Hawai'i vs Utah State | -6 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Hawai'i at Colorado State | +4 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/1 | Hawai'i at San José State | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Hawai'i vs San Diego State | +1 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/22 | Hawai'i at UNLV | +10 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Hawai'i vs Wyoming | +1 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 7, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 6, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Hawai'i's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 6, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USU | #72 (.2) | 40% (101) | 33 | 34% (121) | 2.49 (112) | 130 | 45% (61) | 231 | 5.31 (21) | #94 (.18) | 47% (115) | 30 | 50% (118) | 43% (91) | 5.38 (130) | 57.7 | 0.3 | 1.7 |
| HAW | #114 (.07) | 40% (97) | 22.3 | 41% (92) | 2.82 (85) | 99 | 40% (94) | 244 | 3.26 (106) | #50 (.07) | 35% (38) | 20.8 | 37% (58) | 34% (37) | 3.15 (56) | 86.5 | 2 | 0.8 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USU | #34 (.24) | 46% (31) | 48% (24) | 3.41 (12) | 199 | 44% (37) | 269 | 4.42 (24) | #119 (.27) | 47% (122) | 48% (112) | 48% (123) | 4.44 (122) | 73.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 | ||
| HAW | #82 (.17) | 44% (52) | 46% (45) | 3.29 (26) | 99 | 44% (50) | 268 | 3.81 (81) | #81 (.19) | 42% (71) | 45% (85) | 40% (58) | 4.15 (103) | 70.3 | 1.6 | 0.9 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USU Offense | 3 | 33 | 22 | 39.8% | 5.31 | 0.3 | 19 | 360 | 130 | 231 | 3.9 | 47% | 53% | 34% | 45% | 19% | .2 |
| HAW Defense | 4 | 20.8 | 14.3 | 35.2% | 3.15 | 0.8 | - | - | - | - | - | 47% | 52% | 37% | 34% | 16% | .07 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USU Defense | 3 | 30 | 44 | 46.7% | 5.38 | 1.7 | - | - | - | - | - | 57% | 42% | 50% | 43% | 12% | .18 |
| HAW Offense | 4 | 22.3 | 27.7 | 40% | 3.26 | 2 | 21 | 343 | 99 | 244 | 3.4 | 36% | 64% | 41% | 40% | 17% | .07 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah State | 3 | 26:04 | 19.3 | 23% | 100% | 9 | 57.7 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 29.7 |
| Hawai'i | 4 | 31:39 | 20.8 | 37% | 71% | 8.5 | 86.5 | 2 | 0.8 | 4.8 | 2.3 | 1 | 28.5 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USU Offense | 3 | 47% (92) | 34% (121) | 33.3 | 129.7 | 3.9 | 7 (38) | .18 (52) | 2.49 (112) | 50% (124) | 15% (131) | 1.56 (5) |
| HAW Defense | 4 | 47% (50) | 37% (58) | - | - | - | - | .1 (89) | 3.07 (100) | 86% (112) | 9% (90) | 1.11 (100) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USU Defense | 3 | 57% (117) | 50% (118) | - | - | - | - | .21 (113) | 2.9 (83) | 75% (80) | 7% (109) | 0.9 (61) |
| HAW Offense | 4 | 36% (131) | 41% (92) | 28.8 | 99 | 3.4 | 0 (135) | -.12 (130) | 2.82 (85) | 67% (86) | 9% (80) | 0.64 (130) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USU Offense | 3 | 53% (44) | 45% (61) | 17.3 | 27 | 230.7 | 8.5 | 13.3 | 6 (34) | 0 (1) | .21 (86) | 1.4 (101) | 36% (120) | 28% (93) | .16 (107) | 4% (38) | 2 (60) |
| HAW Defense | 4 | 52% (85) | 34% (37) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 (28) | .08 (33) | 1.2 (9) | 35% (49) | 23% (36) | .17 (50) | 8% (30) | 1.9 (54) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USU Defense | 3 | 42% (20) | 43% (91) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 (12) | .16 (54) | 1.2 (15) | 24% (130) | 20% (26) | -.04 (16) | 5% (94) | 1.3 (4) |
| HAW Offense | 4 | 64% (4) | 40% (94) | 26.8 | 43.8 | 244.3 | 5.6 | 9.1 | 7 (23) | 4 (121) | .18 (97) | 1.4 (109) | 35% (110) | 29% (87) | .3 (77) | 8% (122) | 2 (64) |
Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: -15.70 #117
Utah State's Offense Rating: 8.15 #89
Utah State's Defense Rating: 23.85 #130
2025 Talent Rating: 488.00 #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Utah State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.6 - 6.4
Utah State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.3 #98
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #68
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.0 #127
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Utah State's Power Rating: -15.70 #117
Utah State's Offense Rating: 8.15 #89
Utah State's Defense Rating: 23.85 #130
2025 Talent Rating: 488.00 #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Utah State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.6 - 6.4
Utah State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.3 #98
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #68
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.0 #127
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Utah State: -15.70 Hawai'i: -6.295
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Utah State: -9.3 Hawai'i: -10.3
Utah State: -15.70 Hawai'i: -6.295
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Utah State: -9.3 Hawai'i: -10.3
Hawai'i's Power Ratings
Hawai'i's Power Rating: -6.295 #100
Hawai'i's Offense Rating: 2.77 #117
Hawai'i's Defense Rating: 10.06 #82
2025 Talent Rating: 454.00 #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Hawai'i's 2025 Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0
Hawai'i's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.3 #105
Hawai'i's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #128
Hawai'i's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Hawai'i's Power Rating: -6.295 #100
Hawai'i's Offense Rating: 2.77 #117
Hawai'i's Defense Rating: 10.06 #82
2025 Talent Rating: 454.00 #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Hawai'i's 2025 Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0
Hawai'i's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.3 #105
Hawai'i's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #128
Hawai'i's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Utah State Scoring
Offense: 33 PPG
Offense on Road: 22
Defense: 30 PPG
Defense on Road: 44
Utah State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Offense: 33 PPG
Offense on Road: 22
Defense: 30 PPG
Defense on Road: 44
Utah State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Hawai'i 30
Utah State 24
Total Points: 54
Hawai'i 30
Utah State 24
Total Points: 54
Hawai'i Scoring
Offense: 22.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.7
Defense: 20.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.3
Hawai'i's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 1 - 0
Offense: 22.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.7
Defense: 20.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.3
Hawai'i's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/16 | Utah State | 55 | Hawai'i | 10 | Utah State | Hawai'i -2.5 | Utah State | 62.0 | Over |
| 2022 | 11/12 | Hawai'i | 34 | Utah State | 41 | Utah State | Utah State -10 | Hawai'i | 55.0 | Over |
| 2021 | 10/30 | Utah State | 51 | Hawai'i | 31 | Utah State | Utah State -3.5 | Utah State | 66.0 | Over |
| 2018 | 11/03 | Hawai'i | 17 | Utah State | 56 | Utah State | Utah State -19 | Utah State | 71.0 | Over |
| 2017 | 11/18 | Utah State | 38 | Hawai'i | 0 | Utah State | Utah State -10.5 | Utah State | 56.5 | Under |
| 2014 | 11/01 | Hawai'i | 14 | Utah State | 35 | Utah State | Utah State -3 | Utah State | 41.5 | Over |
| 2013 | 11/02 | Utah State | 47 | Hawai'i | 10 | Utah State | Utah State -21 | Utah State | 0 | |
| 2011 | 11/06 | Hawai'i | 31 | Utah State | 35 | Utah State | ||||
| 2010 | 10/23 | Utah State | 7 | Hawai'i | 45 | Hawai'i | ||||
| 2009 | 11/07 | Hawai'i | 49 | Utah State | 36 | Hawai'i | ||||
| 2008 | 11/01 | Utah State | 30 | Hawai'i | 14 | Utah State | ||||
| 2007 | 10/07 | Hawai'i | 52 | Utah State | 37 | Hawai'i | ||||
| 2006 | 11/04 | Utah State | 10 | Hawai'i | 63 | Hawai'i | ||||
| 2005 | 11/12 | Hawai'i | 50 | Utah State | 23 | Hawai'i |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hawai'i | 5 | 1 | 5 Overs |
| Utah State | 9 | 6 | 1 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 8 - 6 | 5 - 2 | 3 - 0 | 2 - 2 |
| Road Teams | 6 - 8 | 2 - 5 | 2 - 2 | 0 - 3 |
(#117) Utah State Info
Power Rating: -15.70 #117
Offense Rating: 8.15 #89
Defense Rating: 23.85 #130
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.3 #98
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #68
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.0 #127
Talent Rating: 488.00 #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 5.6 - 6.4
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.31 PPO
Awful Run Success 34%
Avg Pass Success 45%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.38 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Utah State has lost 2 straight
Utah State has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
Utah State Notes
(8/30) Def good vs UTEP, Run game meh, Barnes good
(8/1) 10 (of 29) portal adds from NM w/ Bronco
(8/1) WR 7 portal adds, no exp, TE room decent
(8/1) Def god awful LY. 13 portal adds, new DC
(8/1) Over bet watch, Off tempo + Def will be awful
(7/19) OL 2/5 back, good LY. Only 2 portal adds
(3/29) QB Barnes started early/late LY. Garcia (AZ) add
(3/29) RB rebuild Jacobs(NM), Davis(BYU), added
(3/29) New OC McGiven longtime OC, SJSU PGC LY
(3/22) New HC Mendenhall from NM (UVA/BYU)
Utah State Highlights
Utah State is Undefeated vs Spread
Utah State offense is explosive (#17)
Utah State offense is good in red zone (#21)
Utah State defense does not give up big plays (#12)
Utah State has a great TO Margin (#11)
Utah State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
Utah State Deficiencies
Utah State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#129)
Utah State offense is really bad (#101)
Utah State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#116)
Utah State run game is really bad (#121)
Utah State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Utah State has a bad defense (#115)
Utah State has a bad red zone defense (#130)
Power Rating: -15.70 #117
Offense Rating: 8.15 #89
Defense Rating: 23.85 #130
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.3 #98
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #68
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.0 #127
Talent Rating: 488.00 #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 5.6 - 6.4
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.31 PPO
Awful Run Success 34%
Avg Pass Success 45%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.38 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Utah State has lost 2 straight
Utah State has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
Utah State Notes
(8/30) Def good vs UTEP, Run game meh, Barnes good
(8/1) 10 (of 29) portal adds from NM w/ Bronco
(8/1) WR 7 portal adds, no exp, TE room decent
(8/1) Def god awful LY. 13 portal adds, new DC
(8/1) Over bet watch, Off tempo + Def will be awful
(7/19) OL 2/5 back, good LY. Only 2 portal adds
(3/29) QB Barnes started early/late LY. Garcia (AZ) add
(3/29) RB rebuild Jacobs(NM), Davis(BYU), added
(3/29) New OC McGiven longtime OC, SJSU PGC LY
(3/22) New HC Mendenhall from NM (UVA/BYU)
Utah State Highlights
Utah State is Undefeated vs Spread
Utah State offense is explosive (#17)
Utah State offense is good in red zone (#21)
Utah State defense does not give up big plays (#12)
Utah State has a great TO Margin (#11)
Utah State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
Utah State Deficiencies
Utah State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#129)
Utah State offense is really bad (#101)
Utah State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#116)
Utah State run game is really bad (#121)
Utah State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Utah State has a bad defense (#115)
Utah State has a bad red zone defense (#130)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | HAW | USU |
| OverallOver | #87 | #57 |
| OffenseOff | #107 | #59 |
| DefenseDef | #47 | #60 |
| Special TeamsST | #59 | #103 |
| PassingPass | #101 | #33 |
| RushingRush | #82 | #90 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #84 | #70 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #102 | #79 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #105 | #43 |
| TacklingTkl | #90 | #70 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #98 | #61 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #45 | #99 |
| Coverage DefCov | #4 | #44 |
(#100) Hawai'i Info
Power Rating: -6.295 #100
Offense Rating: 2.77 #117
Defense Rating: 10.06 #82
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.3 #105
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #128
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69
Talent Rating: 454.00 #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 64%, Run: 36%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.26 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 35%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.15 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 37%
Good Pass Def Success 34%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Hawai'i has lost 2 straight
Hawai'i has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 0 (2 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
Hawai'i Notes
(8/1) QB M. Alejado fun find late LY, but vs bad teams
(8/1) Front 7 are strength of defense, DL improved?
(8/1) Chang is 2-15 on the road & road sched rough
(8/1) 1/2 schedule by Sept 27 when at Air Force, yikes
(6/14) WR good, Ashlock & Cenacle back. Have depth
(4/7) RB no used much, JAGs at best
(4/7) Portal WR Harris (Stan) may take #2 job
(4/7) OL 4/5 back, good LY, some size/depth
(4/7) Def bad LY, returns some. 4 portal DL added
(4/7) Offense could jump TY, can Def improve?
Hawai'i Highlights
Hawai'i is Undefeated at Home
Hawai'i Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Hawai'i Secondary is very good (#30)
Hawai'i defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Hawai'i Deficiencies
Hawai'i has a bad TO Margin (#131)
Hawai'i Fumbles a Lot (#128)
Hawai'i Commits a Lot of Penalties (#136)
Hawai'i throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
Hawai'i offense is not Explosive (#113)
Hawai'i offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#106)
Hawai'i Does Not Stuff Runs (#108)
Hawai'i has a bad defensive line (#100)
Power Rating: -6.295 #100
Offense Rating: 2.77 #117
Defense Rating: 10.06 #82
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.3 #105
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #128
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69
Talent Rating: 454.00 #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 64%, Run: 36%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.26 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 35%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.15 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 37%
Good Pass Def Success 34%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Hawai'i has lost 2 straight
Hawai'i has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 0 (2 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
Hawai'i Notes
(8/1) QB M. Alejado fun find late LY, but vs bad teams
(8/1) Front 7 are strength of defense, DL improved?
(8/1) Chang is 2-15 on the road & road sched rough
(8/1) 1/2 schedule by Sept 27 when at Air Force, yikes
(6/14) WR good, Ashlock & Cenacle back. Have depth
(4/7) RB no used much, JAGs at best
(4/7) Portal WR Harris (Stan) may take #2 job
(4/7) OL 4/5 back, good LY, some size/depth
(4/7) Def bad LY, returns some. 4 portal DL added
(4/7) Offense could jump TY, can Def improve?
Hawai'i Highlights
Hawai'i is Undefeated at Home
Hawai'i Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Hawai'i Secondary is very good (#30)
Hawai'i defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Hawai'i Deficiencies
Hawai'i has a bad TO Margin (#131)
Hawai'i Fumbles a Lot (#128)
Hawai'i Commits a Lot of Penalties (#136)
Hawai'i throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
Hawai'i offense is not Explosive (#113)
Hawai'i offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#106)
Hawai'i Does Not Stuff Runs (#108)
Hawai'i has a bad defensive line (#100)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryson Barnes | 51 | 80 | 64% | 689 | 5 | 0 | 8.6 |
| Anthony Garcia (Tr) | 1 | 1 | 100% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Davis (Tr) | 31 | 192 | 1 | 6.2 | 58 |
| Javen Jacobs (Tr) | 21 | 115 | 1 | 5.5 | 52 |
| Bryson Barnes | 46 | 69 | 4 | 1.5 | 18 |
| Anthony Garcia (Tr) | 1 | 17 | 1 | 17.0 | 17 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Pegan (Tr) | 14 | 208 | 3 | 14.9 | 54 |
| Brady Boyd (Tr) | 13 | 190 | 0 | 14.6 | 24 |
| Miles Davis (Tr) | 9 | 70 | 2 | 7.8 | 30 |
| Javen Jacobs (Tr) | 7 | 55 | 0 | 7.9 | 18 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Miller | 33 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| Noah Avinger (Tr) | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brevin Hamblin (Tr) | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| William Holmes | 19 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Miller | 33 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| Bronson Olevao | 18 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Tyree Morris (Tr) | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Mataira Brown | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brevin Hamblin (Tr) | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Carl Nesmith | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Dylan Tucker (Tr) | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Weaver | 61 | 102 | 60% | 600 | 5 | 3 | 5.9 |
| Micah Alejado | 45 | 70 | 64% | 367 | 2 | 1 | 5.2 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Landon Sims | 39 | 154 | 0 | 3.9 | 19 |
| Cam Barfield | 21 | 89 | 0 | 4.2 | 13 |
| Luke Weaver | 27 | 73 | 0 | 2.7 | 13 |
| Christian Vaughn | 3 | 22 | 0 | 7.3 | 13 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pofele Ashlock | 26 | 235 | 3 | 9.0 | 47 |
| Landon Sims | 18 | 155 | 1 | 8.6 | 28 |
| Karsyn Pupunu | 13 | 114 | 0 | 8.8 | 15 |
| Brandon White (Tr) | 12 | 111 | 0 | 9.3 | 27 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Manuma | 25 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| Jalen Smith | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Elijah Palmer | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Jamih Otis | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackie Johnson III | 9 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Lesterlaisene Lagafuaina | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Qwyn Williams (Tr) | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Peter Manuma | 25 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Manuma | 25 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| Elijah Palmer | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Kilinahe Mendiola-Jensen | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |