Missouri State Bears at New Mexico State Aggies
Wednesday, October 22nd 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Aggie Memorial Stadium - Las Cruces, NM
Bears (1 - 2) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Ryan Beard (12 - 11)
Avg Score : 15 - 40 (17 - 47 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.3 - 7.7 (#110)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
Coach Ryan Beard (12 - 11)
Avg Score : 15 - 40 (17 - 47 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.3 - 7.7 (#110)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
MOST coming off BYE
Our Line: New Mexico State -6.5 (SP+ NMSU -3)
Projected Score: MOST: 20 - NMSU: 26 (46)
NMSU Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
MOST Travel: 835 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Our Line: New Mexico State -6.5 (SP+ NMSU -3)
Projected Score: MOST: 20 - NMSU: 26 (46)
NMSU Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
MOST Travel: 835 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Aggies (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Tony Sanchez (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 18 - 22 (20 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.1 - 5.9 (#79)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 8)
Coach Tony Sanchez (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 18 - 22 (20 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.1 - 5.9 (#79)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 8)
| Missouri State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Missouri State at USC | +34.5 | 59.5 | L 13 - 73 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Missouri State at Marshall | +7.0 | 53.5 | W 21 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Missouri State vs SMU | +29.5 | 60.5 | L 10 - 28 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Missouri State vs UT Martin | -5.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/27 | Missouri State vs Western Kentucky | +12 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 10/8 | Missouri State at Middle Tennessee | -1.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 10/22 | Missouri State at New Mexico State | +6.5 | |||||
| Wed 10/29 | Missouri State vs Florida International | +8 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Missouri State at Liberty | +18.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Missouri State vs UTEP | +8.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Missouri State at Kennesaw State | +1.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Missouri State vs Louisiana Tech | +8.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 5, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 5, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Missouri State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 5, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| New Mexico State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | New Mexico State vs Bryant | -19.5 | 52.5 | W 19 - 3 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | New Mexico State vs Tulsa | +3.0 | 52.5 | W 21 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | New Mexico State at Louisiana Tech | +10.0 | 42.5 | L 14 - 49 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/27 | New Mexico State at New Mexico | +2 | |||||
| Thu 10/2 | New Mexico State vs Sam Houston | -7 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/14 | New Mexico State at Liberty | +14.5 | |||||
| Wed 10/22 | New Mexico State vs Missouri State | -6.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | New Mexico State at Western Kentucky | +13 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | New Mexico State vs Kennesaw State | -7.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | New Mexico State at Tennessee | +39.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | New Mexico State at UTEP | +9.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | New Mexico State vs Middle Tennessee | -10.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Predictions for New Mexico State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOST | #76 (.19) | 36% (121) | 14.7 | 31% (129) | 2.01 (130) | 68 | 40% (92) | 274 | 1.63 (131) | #133 (.43) | 47% (113) | 40.3 | 44% (97) | 49% (117) | 5 (121) | 75 | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| NMSU | #111 (.08) | 35% (128) | 18 | 22% (136) | 1.43 (136) | 48 | 43% (73) | 253 | 3.33 (104) | #19 (-.03) | 33% (22) | 22 | 23% (4) | 44% (99) | 2.13 (18) | 73.3 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOST | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| NMSU | #119 (.08) | 39% (106) | 46% (41) | 3.33 (21) | 179 | 30% (132) | 143 | 3.8 (82) | #115 (.26) | 41% (64) | 43% (69) | 40% (68) | 3.7 (60) | 48.1 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOST Offense | 3 | 14.7 | 17 | 35.7% | 1.63 | 2.3 | 16 | 342 | 68 | 274 | 2.2 | 46% | 54% | 31% | 40% | 26% | .19 |
| NMSU Defense | 3 | 22 | 8.5 | 32.9% | 2.13 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 50% | 49% | 23% | 44% | 16% | -.03 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOST Defense | 3 | 40.3 | 46.5 | 46.5% | 5 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 52% | 45% | 44% | 49% | 13% | .43 |
| NMSU Offense | 3 | 18 | 20 | 34.5% | 3.33 | 1.7 | 17 | 301 | 48 | 253 | 1.9 | 40% | 59% | 22% | 43% | 15% | .08 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri State | 3 | 32:51 | 16 | 24% | 67% | 7 | 75 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 0 | 29.8 |
| New Mexico State | 3 | 27:50 | 16.7 | 34% | 100% | 7.7 | 73.3 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6.3 | 1.7 | 0 | 28.8 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOST Offense | 3 | 46% (96) | 31% (129) | 31.3 | 68 | 2.2 | 0 (135) | -.09 (129) | 2.01 (130) | 60% (103) | 20% (136) | 1.21 (28) |
| NMSU Defense | 3 | 50% (66) | 23% (4) | - | - | - | - | -.22 (5) | 2.19 (20) | 43% (10) | 9% (91) | 1.05 (91) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOST Defense | 3 | 52% (93) | 44% (97) | - | - | - | - | .21 (110) | 3.24 (115) | 50% (19) | 7% (110) | 0.92 (67) |
| NMSU Offense | 3 | 40% (124) | 22% (136) | 25 | 48 | 1.9 | 1 (127) | -.26 (136) | 1.43 (136) | 75% (52) | 10% (91) | 0.81 (104) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOST Offense | 3 | 54% (42) | 40% (92) | 21.7 | 32.7 | 274 | 8.4 | 12.7 | 5 (54) | 6 (132) | .44 (36) | 2.2 (3) | 41% (132) | 35% (50) | .4 (55) | 6% (86) | 2.3 (28) |
| NMSU Defense | 3 | 49% (57) | 44% (99) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 (12) | .18 (57) | 1.2 (20) | 37% (30) | 20% (25) | .04 (24) | 8% (30) | 2.1 (88) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOST Defense | 3 | 45% (37) | 49% (117) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 (56) | .67 (133) | 1.9 (123) | 29% (108) | 32% (86) | .66 (128) | 6% (62) | 2.8 (132) |
| NMSU Offense | 3 | 59% (14) | 43% (73) | 19.7 | 36.3 | 253.3 | 7 | 12.9 | 5 (54) | 3 (92) | .28 (70) | 1.5 (72) | 43% (135) | 27% (98) | .29 (80) | 5% (72) | 2.2 (41) |
Missouri State's Power Ratings
Missouri State's Power Rating: -15.03 #116
Missouri State's Offense Rating: 4.83 #106
Missouri State's Defense Rating: 19.86 #119
2025 Talent Rating: 310.00 #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #38
Missouri State's 2025 Expected Record: 4.3 - 7.7
Missouri State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.2 #129
Missouri State's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #106
Missouri State's Defense SP+ Rating: 43.1 #135
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Missouri State's Power Rating: -15.03 #116
Missouri State's Offense Rating: 4.83 #106
Missouri State's Defense Rating: 19.86 #119
2025 Talent Rating: 310.00 #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #38
Missouri State's 2025 Expected Record: 4.3 - 7.7
Missouri State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.2 #129
Missouri State's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #106
Missouri State's Defense SP+ Rating: 43.1 #135
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Missouri State: -15.03 New Mexico State: -11.61
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Missouri State: -21.2 New Mexico State: -18.5
Missouri State: -15.03 New Mexico State: -11.61
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Missouri State: -21.2 New Mexico State: -18.5
New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: -11.61 #105
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: 1.27 #128
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: 10.99 #85
2025 Talent Rating: 306.00 #132
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
New Mexico State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.1 - 5.9
New Mexico State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.5 #125
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.1 #123
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #125
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
New Mexico State's Power Rating: -11.61 #105
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: 1.27 #128
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: 10.99 #85
2025 Talent Rating: 306.00 #132
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
New Mexico State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.1 - 5.9
New Mexico State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.5 #125
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.1 #123
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #125
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Missouri State Scoring
Offense: 14.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 40.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 46.5
Missouri State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 14.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 40.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 46.5
Missouri State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
New Mexico State 26
Missouri State 20
Total Points: 46
New Mexico State 26
Missouri State 20
Total Points: 46
New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 18 PPG
Offense at Home: 20
Defense: 22 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.5
New Mexico State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 18 PPG
Offense at Home: 20
Defense: 22 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.5
New Mexico State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico State | 0 | 0 | 0 Overs |
| Missouri State | 0 | 0 | 0 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 |
(#116) Missouri State Info
Power Rating: -15.03 #116
Offense Rating: 4.83 #106
Defense Rating: 19.86 #119
Overall SP+ Rating: -21.2 #129
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #106
Defense SP+ Rating: 43.1 #135
Talent Rating: 310.00 #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #38
Expected Record: 4.3 - 7.7
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 36%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 1.63 PPO
Awful Run Success 31%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Awful in Scoring Position 5 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 44%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Missouri State has lost 4 straight
Missouri State has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 1 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Missouri State Notes
(4/7) Bears use WR1 a ton, BlackStrain (GT) that guy
(4/7) RB Lawrence (FIU) starts, watch Fr King Davis
(3/26) QB Clark back, 3K yds, 26 TD. Looks good
(3/26) WR/TE some exp, TE Mason good. 1 portal
(3/26) OL no clue, looks really weak, no portals
(3/26) Def limited, lots of shootouts LY. Some exp
(3/26) HC Beard in his 3rd, improved to 8-4 LY.
(3/26) Passing offense was 2nd in FCS 39 PPG LY
(3/26) Bears were a middling FCS program, why FBS?
Missouri State Highlights
Missouri State offense is explosive (#2)
Missouri State Deficiencies
Missouri State has a really bad Offense
Missouri State has a bad TO Margin (#125)
Missouri State Can Not Run the Ball (#132)
Missouri State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#132)
Missouri State offense is really bad (#121)
Missouri State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#135)
Missouri State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#131)
Missouri State run game is really bad (#129)
Missouri State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Missouri State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Missouri State has a bad defense (#113)
Missouri State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#112)
Missouri State Does Not Stuff Runs (#123)
Missouri State has a bad defensive line (#115)
Missouri State has a bad red zone defense (#121)
Power Rating: -15.03 #116
Offense Rating: 4.83 #106
Defense Rating: 19.86 #119
Overall SP+ Rating: -21.2 #129
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #106
Defense SP+ Rating: 43.1 #135
Talent Rating: 310.00 #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #38
Expected Record: 4.3 - 7.7
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 36%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 1.63 PPO
Awful Run Success 31%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Awful in Scoring Position 5 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 44%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Missouri State has lost 4 straight
Missouri State has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 1 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Missouri State Notes
(4/7) Bears use WR1 a ton, BlackStrain (GT) that guy
(4/7) RB Lawrence (FIU) starts, watch Fr King Davis
(3/26) QB Clark back, 3K yds, 26 TD. Looks good
(3/26) WR/TE some exp, TE Mason good. 1 portal
(3/26) OL no clue, looks really weak, no portals
(3/26) Def limited, lots of shootouts LY. Some exp
(3/26) HC Beard in his 3rd, improved to 8-4 LY.
(3/26) Passing offense was 2nd in FCS 39 PPG LY
(3/26) Bears were a middling FCS program, why FBS?
Missouri State Highlights
Missouri State offense is explosive (#2)
Missouri State Deficiencies
Missouri State has a really bad Offense
Missouri State has a bad TO Margin (#125)
Missouri State Can Not Run the Ball (#132)
Missouri State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#132)
Missouri State offense is really bad (#121)
Missouri State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#135)
Missouri State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#131)
Missouri State run game is really bad (#129)
Missouri State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Missouri State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Missouri State has a bad defense (#113)
Missouri State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#112)
Missouri State Does Not Stuff Runs (#123)
Missouri State has a bad defensive line (#115)
Missouri State has a bad red zone defense (#121)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | NMSU | MOST |
| OverallOver | #78 | #103 |
| OffenseOff | #100 | #102 |
| DefenseDef | #67 | #89 |
| Special TeamsST | #25 | #102 |
| PassingPass | #87 | #70 |
| RushingRush | #106 | #104 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #75 | #116 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #115 | #80 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #41 | #63 |
| TacklingTkl | #106 | #113 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #81 | #73 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #51 | #106 |
| Coverage DefCov | #58 | #75 |
(#105) New Mexico State Info
Power Rating: -11.61 #105
Offense Rating: 1.27 #128
Defense Rating: 10.99 #85
Overall SP+ Rating: -18.5 #125
Offense SP+ Rating: 18.1 #123
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #125
Talent Rating: 306.00 #132
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 6.1 - 5.9
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 40%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.33 PPO
Awful Run Success 22%
Bad Pass Success 43%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 33%
Great in Scoring Position 2.13 PPO
Great Run Def Success 23%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position
New Mexico State has lost 4 straight
New Mexico State has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
New Mexico State Notes
(7/15) RB Calloway good in '23 (Cal), 3 P4 portals
(7/12) QB Fife (Mont) QB1 over Awad, who had exp LY
(7/12) Def bad LY, returns some. 8 portal DL adds
(5/18) RB Dijon Stanley (Utah) has tremendous speed
(5/2) JUCO WR Jackson Owens has promise
(4/7) WRs bad, lotta drops. Pride led LY w/ 374 yds.
(3/26) OL good run LY, 2/5 back. 2 portal adds
(3/26) HC Sanchez the definition of why bother
New Mexico State Highlights
New Mexico State is Undefeated at Home
New Mexico State is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
New Mexico State offense is explosive (#29)
New Mexico State has a really good defense (#22)
New Mexico State defense is really good in red zone (#18)
New Mexico State has a good run defense (#4)
New Mexico State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#23)
New Mexico State Defensive Line is very good (#20)
New Mexico State Secondary is very good (#30)
New Mexico State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
New Mexico State Deficiencies
New Mexico State has a really bad Offense
New Mexico State has a really bad Offense at Home
New Mexico State has a bad TO Margin (#107)
New Mexico State Can Not Run the Ball (#136)
New Mexico State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
New Mexico State offense is really bad (#128)
New Mexico State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#136)
New Mexico State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#104)
New Mexico State run game is really bad (#136)
New Mexico State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Power Rating: -11.61 #105
Offense Rating: 1.27 #128
Defense Rating: 10.99 #85
Overall SP+ Rating: -18.5 #125
Offense SP+ Rating: 18.1 #123
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #125
Talent Rating: 306.00 #132
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 6.1 - 5.9
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 40%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.33 PPO
Awful Run Success 22%
Bad Pass Success 43%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 33%
Great in Scoring Position 2.13 PPO
Great Run Def Success 23%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position
New Mexico State has lost 4 straight
New Mexico State has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
New Mexico State Notes
(7/15) RB Calloway good in '23 (Cal), 3 P4 portals
(7/12) QB Fife (Mont) QB1 over Awad, who had exp LY
(7/12) Def bad LY, returns some. 8 portal DL adds
(5/18) RB Dijon Stanley (Utah) has tremendous speed
(5/2) JUCO WR Jackson Owens has promise
(4/7) WRs bad, lotta drops. Pride led LY w/ 374 yds.
(3/26) OL good run LY, 2/5 back. 2 portal adds
(3/26) HC Sanchez the definition of why bother
New Mexico State Highlights
New Mexico State is Undefeated at Home
New Mexico State is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
New Mexico State offense is explosive (#29)
New Mexico State has a really good defense (#22)
New Mexico State defense is really good in red zone (#18)
New Mexico State has a good run defense (#4)
New Mexico State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#23)
New Mexico State Defensive Line is very good (#20)
New Mexico State Secondary is very good (#30)
New Mexico State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
New Mexico State Deficiencies
New Mexico State has a really bad Offense
New Mexico State has a really bad Offense at Home
New Mexico State has a bad TO Margin (#107)
New Mexico State Can Not Run the Ball (#136)
New Mexico State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
New Mexico State offense is really bad (#128)
New Mexico State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#136)
New Mexico State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#104)
New Mexico State run game is really bad (#136)
New Mexico State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Clark | 60 | 92 | 65% | 781 | 5 | 6 | 8.5 |
| Cole Feuerbacher | 4 | 4 | 100% | 12 | 0 | 0 | 3.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shomari Lawrence (Tr) | 42 | 143 | 0 | 3.4 | 23 |
| Ramone Green Jr. | 10 | 34 | 0 | 3.4 | 12 |
| Jmariyae Robinson | 1 | 21 | 0 | 21.0 | 21 |
| Reggie Branch | 4 | 20 | 0 | 5.0 | 9 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ramone Green Jr. | 9 | 164 | 1 | 18.2 | 57 |
| Jmariyae Robinson | 9 | 164 | 1 | 18.2 | 52 |
| Alred Luke | 10 | 129 | 1 | 12.9 | 27 |
| Tristian Gardner | 7 | 104 | 1 | 14.9 | 33 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maguire Neal | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Thomas Anderson | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Christian Ford (Tr) | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jared Lloyd | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Toney | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Caleb Dietlin | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jared Lloyd | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Maguire Neal | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Dunbar (Tr) | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Davon Townley Jr. | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Mitchell Toney | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Fife (Tr) | 58 | 108 | 54% | 756 | 5 | 3 | 7.0 |
| Glynn Johnson Jr | 1 | 1 | 100% | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kadarius Calloway (Tr) | 24 | 58 | 1 | 2.4 | 17 |
| Dijon Stanley (Tr) | 18 | 47 | 0 | 2.6 | 13 |
| Logan Fife (Tr) | 23 | 37 | 0 | 1.6 | 14 |
| Isaiah Rudison | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1.3 | 4 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glynn Johnson Jr | 13 | 211 | 2 | 16.2 | 40 |
| Donovan Faupel | 13 | 177 | 1 | 13.6 | 55 |
| Gavin Harris (Tr) | 9 | 130 | 1 | 14.4 | 34 |
| Brodrick Malone | 5 | 68 | 1 | 13.6 | 41 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Martinez | 24 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Jamall Thompson | 22 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Naeten Mitchell | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sone Aupiu | 20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamall Thompson | 22 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Sone Aupiu | 20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Tory Gethers | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Ezra Christensen (Tr) | 14 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Martinez | 24 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Nicolas Sessions | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Ezra Christensen (Tr) | 14 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 |