Kennesaw State at New Mexico State - 2025 Matchup Preview
Kennesaw State logo   Kennesaw State Owls at New Mexico State Aggies  New Mexico State logo
Saturday, November 8th 2025 (4:00 PM EST)
Kennesaw State -11.5 (52.5) (-425)  Open: -6.5
Kennesaw State 24 - New Mexico State: 21  (Conference USA)

 
Owls (10 - 4) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jerry Mack (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 27 - 26 (26 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 3.5 (#16)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
NMSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Kennesaw State -8.5  (SP+ KENN -10)

Projected Score: KENN: 30 - NMSU: 21 (51)
KENN Win prob: 77% | Cover: 45%
KENN Travel: 1286 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Aggies (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tony Sanchez (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 22 - 28 (23 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
 
Kennesaw State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Kennesaw State at Wake Forest+17.551.5L 9 - 10UY
Sat 9/6 Kennesaw State at Indiana+35.551.5L 9 - 56ON
Sat 9/13 Kennesaw State vs Merrimack-17.544.5W 27 - 13UN
Sat 9/20 Kennesaw State vs Arkansas State+4.557.5W 28 - 21UY
Sat 9/27 Kennesaw State vs Middle Tennessee-7.054.5W 24 - 16UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 Kennesaw State vs Louisiana Tech+4.546.5W 35 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/21 Kennesaw State at Florida International-3.048.5W 45 - 26OY
Tue 10/28 Kennesaw State vs UTEP-12.553.5W 33 - 20UY
Sat 11/8 Kennesaw State at New Mexico State-11.552.5W 24 - 21UN
Sat 11/15 Kennesaw State at Jacksonville State-3.556.5L 26 - 35ON
Sat 11/22 Kennesaw State vs Missouri State-6.554.0W 41 - 34OY
Sat 11/29 Kennesaw State at Liberty-2.555.5W 48 - 42OY
Fri 12/5 Kennesaw State at Jacksonville State-3.062.5W 19 - 15UY
Fri 12/19 Kennesaw State vs Western Michigan+3.047.0L 6 - 41UN

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Kennesaw State's Schedule
New Mexico State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 New Mexico State vs Bryant-19.552.5W 19 - 3UN
Sat 9/6 New Mexico State vs Tulsa+3.052.5W 21 - 14UY
Sat 9/13 New Mexico State at Louisiana Tech+10.042.5L 14 - 49ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 New Mexico State at New Mexico+16.553.5L 20 - 38ON
Thu 10/2 New Mexico State vs Sam Houston+1.553.5W 37 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14 New Mexico State at Liberty+10.548.5L 27 - 30OY
Wed 10/22 New Mexico State vs Missouri State+2.551.5L 17 - 24UN
Sat 11/1 New Mexico State at Western Kentucky+7.553.5L 16 - 35UN
Sat 11/8 New Mexico State vs Kennesaw State+11.552.5L 21 - 24UY
Sat 11/15 New Mexico State at Tennessee+41.559.5L 9 - 42UY
Sat 11/22 New Mexico State at UTEP+4.044.5W 34 - 31OY
Sat 11/29 New Mexico State vs Middle Tennessee-3.552.0L 24 - 31ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 3, Poor: 2

Predictions for New Mexico State's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KENN#134 (-.04)31% (133)26.731% (134)2.16 (134)11632% (129)1363.5 (103)#93 (.21)46% (114)25.545% (91)48% (122)4.15 (102)46.31.51
NMSU#119 (.08)39% (106)21.646% (41)3.33 (21)17930% (132)1433.8 (82)#115 (.26)41% (64)27.643% (69)40% (68)3.7 (60)48.11.90.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KENN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NMSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KENN Offense1226.725.731.4%3.51.5142521161363.158%41%31%32%17%-.04
NMSU Defense1227.617.741.3%3.70.8 - - - - - 50%50%43%40%12%.26
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KENN Defense1225.529.346.2%4.151 - - - - - 52%48%45%48%14%.21
NMSU Offense1221.623.239.3%3.81.9193221791434.458%42%46%30%18%.08

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kennesaw State1229:2013.735%39%5.646.31.514.81.8328.9
New Mexico State1229:2619.338%38%5.448.11.90.83.81.2127
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KENN Offense1258% (17)31% (134)37.4115.53.113 (105)-.05 (130)2.16 (134)74% (62)12% (115)1.01 (51)
NMSU Defense1250% (55)43% (69) - - - - .18 (98)3.17 (93)58% (5)7% (134)1.04 (95)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KENN Defense1252% (85)45% (91) - - - - .16 (86)3.04 (75)73% (65)9% (93)1 (73)
NMSU Offense1258% (20)46% (41)41.3179.34.416 (90).11 (81)3.33 (21)77% (37)11% (103)0.98 (61)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KENN Offense1241% (117)32% (129)1324.8136.35.510.56 (133)14 (115)- (133)1.6 (52)38% (131)23% (130).16 (124)5% (24)2.1 (60)
NMSU Defense1250% (76)40% (68) - - - - - - 9 (76).36 (118)1.9 (132)31% (80)29% (42).42 (107)6% (78)2.3 (126)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KENN Defense1248% (50)48% (122) - - - - - - 4 (125).27 (86)1.3 (8)26% (131)30% (51).31 (71)5% (119)2 (63)
NMSU Offense1242% (116)30% (132)11.826.7143.25.412.212 (118)12 (85).05 (128)1.8 (17)33% (100)30% (87).13 (131)7% (104)1.7 (132)

Kennesaw State's Power Ratings
Kennesaw State's Power Rating: -6.30  #83
Kennesaw State's Offense Rating: 10.45  #85
Kennesaw State's Defense Rating: 16.75  #92
2025 Talent Rating: 358.00  #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Kennesaw State's 2025 Expected Record: 10.5 - 3.5
Kennesaw State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.4  #89
Kennesaw State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.4  #72
Kennesaw State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.2  #93

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 436
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Kennesaw State: -6.30   New Mexico State: -14.33

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kennesaw State: -5.4   New Mexico State: -15.5




New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: -14.33  #128
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: 2.60  #127
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: 20.76  #115
2025 Talent Rating: 306.00  #132
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
New Mexico State's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
New Mexico State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.5  #123
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.7  #112
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.9  #120

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 436
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Kennesaw State Scoring
Offense: 26.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.7
Defense: 25.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.3

Kennesaw State's 2025 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 9
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Kennesaw State 30
New Mexico State 21


Projected Total Points: 51
New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.2
Defense: 27.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7

New Mexico State's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/08New Mexico State21Kennesaw State24Kennesaw State -11.5New Mexico State52.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
New Mexico State010 Overs
Kennesaw State101 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0
Road Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0

(#83) KENN at (#128) NMSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatKENNNMSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #83 #128
SP+SP+ #89 #123
Perf GradeGrade #99 #112
OffenseOff #82 #127
DefenseDef #81 #76
Spec TeamsST #109 #23
TalentTal #129 #132
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #101
Kennesaw State Notes
(12/6) CUSA champs, cannot overstate job Mack did
(12/3) Owls have major injuries at LB into CUSA title game
(11/29) Beat Liberty in 2 OT. Owls will play Jax St in CUSA Title
(10/29) Even game vs UTEP, Off awful, Def & STs saved
(10/29) 300 yds and 3-14 on 3rd down vs UTEP? Still W
(10/22) HC Mack & staff incredible job. Current CUSA fav
(10/22) QB Amari Odom went down vs FIU, monitor
(10/21) RB Coleman Bennett has real speed, good weapon
(10/9) So QB Amari Odom taken QB1 job, been much better
(9/24) Run Def held Ark St to 92 yds, Pass Def was OK
(9/20) Huge W vs Ark St, QB Odom a revelation 300+
(8/16) QB D. Williams (GSU) will start, S Williams #2
Kennesaw State Injury Report
New Mexico State Notes
(10/22) Run Off worst in CFB, Pass Off avg, Expl plays or bust
(10/22) Must have nothing at backup QB, Fife is unplayable
(10/22) RB Calloway lacks vision & does not fight for yards
(10/22) DC Joe Morris doing incredible things, wasted by Off
(10/14) Hard L @ Liberty, box score W, held to 3-10 on 3rd
(10/14) Special teams an utter disaster vs Liberty, cost game
(10/8) DL Peterson & Christensen are top 10 in QB Hurries
(10/3) Def bows up and makes plays. Good Def Success #'s
(10/2) QB Fife threw some dimes under pressure vs SHSU
(9/24) Pass 60%, Run Off worst in CFB in Success
(9/24) QB Fife has been OK, has 2 WR & TE look decent
(9/24) Def much improved esp vs Run, top 20 Success
New Mexico State Injury Report
Kennesaw State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 44%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
KENN OffNMSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #82 #76
SuccessSuc #133 #64
ExplosiveExp #78 #127
PPAPPA #134 #115
PowerPwr #85 #115
SP+SP+ #72 #120
Pts POPPO #103 #60
HavocHav #84 #128
Kennesaw State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 44%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
KENN OffNMSU Def
Run GameRun #64 #98
Run SuccessRSuc #134 #69
Run ExplRExp #51 #95
PPAExp #130 #98
Run BlockR Blk #127 -
OL YdsOLY #134 #93
Stuff RateStuff #128 #66
TackleTak -  #42
Kennesaw State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 44%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
KENN OffNMSU Def
Pass GamePass #57 #63
Pass SuccessPSuc #129 #68
Pass ExplPExl #52 #132
PPAExp #133 #118
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #93 #57
F7 HavocF7 #115 #134
DB HavocDB #24 #78
New Mexico State on Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 39%
CategoryCatNMSU OffKENN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #127 #81
SuccessSuc #106 #114
ExplosiveExp #95 #23
PPAPPA #119 #93
PowerPwr #127 #92
SP+SP+ #112 #93
Pts POPPO #82 #102
HavocHav #112 #112
New Mexico State Run Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 39%
CategoryCat
NMSU OffKENN Def
Run GameRun #135 #79
Run SuccessRSuc #41 #91
Run ExplRExp #61 #73
PPAExp #81 #86
Run BlockR Blk #97 -
OL YdsOLY #21 #75
Stuff RateStuff #28 #36
TackleTak -  #92
New Mexico State Pass Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 39%
CategoryCatNMSU OffKENN Def
Pass GamePass #99 #72
Pass SuccessPSuc #132 #122
Pass ExplPExl #17 #8
PPAExp #128 #86
Pass Block/RushP Blk #123 #59
F7 HavocF7 #103 #93
DB HavocDB #104 #119
Program Comparison
NMSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Poor G5

KENN 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Aggie Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 11
Kennesaw State 11.5 (52.5)
Kennesaw State won at New Mexico State this year (24-21)

Previous Matchups
Kennesaw State beat New Mexico State last year (24-21)

  
KENN's OC Mitch Militello (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Amari Odom18929165%25941988.9
Dexter Williams II (Tr)6712554%787636.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Coleman Bennett (Tr)15776444.930
Chase Belcher (Tr)10756625.346
Amari Odom12034772.924
Alexander Diggs7228123.925
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Gabriel Benyard60949915.854
Christian Moss44682215.570
Coleman Bennett (Tr)27314311.676
Clayton Coppock28311511.155

View Kennesaw State's Full Roster

KENN's DC Marc Mattioli (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Baron Hopson13910126
Tywon Christopher815212
Isaac Paul570002
Milon Jones533011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Hill2212960
Tylon Dunlap4011511
Donovan Westmoreland356411
Kody Jones (Tr)297243
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caleb Offord (Tr)4770012
JeRico Washington Jr.4321010
Baron Hopson13910126

NMSU's OC Tyler Wright (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Logan Fife (Tr)20336156%223211126.2
Adam Damante7010467%711546.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kadarius Calloway (Tr)11745033.829
Dijon Stanley (Tr)7329724.157
Isaiah Rudison4215823.836
Tyler King (Tr)81802.313
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Donovan Faupel61661710.855
Tyler King (Tr)41588314.364
Gavin Harris (Tr)36514114.334
Glynn Johnson Jr27335312.440

View New Mexico State's Full Roster

NMSU's DC Joe Morris (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Naeten Mitchell922007
Tory Gethers875312
Sone Aupiu686134
Jamall Thompson618440
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ezra Christensen (Tr)41115102
Jamall Thompson618440
Tory Gethers875312
Ta'Avili Tuitama194230
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Naeten Mitchell922007
Zechariah Rodriguez-Brown173006
Stilton McKelvey182005