New Mexico State at Louisiana Tech - 2025 Matchup Preview
New Mexico State logo New Mexico State Aggies at Louisiana Tech BulldogsLouisiana Tech logo
Saturday, September 13th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Joe Aillet Stadium - Ruston, LA  (Conference USA)

 
Aggies (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Tony Sanchez (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 22 - 36 (13 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.7 - 7.3 (#104)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
Our Line: Louisiana Tech -5   (SP+ LT -4)
Projected Score: NMSU: 23 - LT: 28 (50)
LT Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
NMSU Travel: 821 miles, 1 hrs behind
Bulldogs (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Sonny Cumbie (11 - 25)
Avg Score : 21 - 21 (30 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.2 - 6.8 (#90)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
 
New Mexico State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 New Mexico State vs Bryant-5
Sat 9/6 New Mexico State vs Tulsa-1.5
Sat 9/13 New Mexico State at Louisiana Tech+5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 New Mexico State at New Mexico+4.5
Thu 10/2 New Mexico State vs Sam Houston-1.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14 New Mexico State at Liberty+21.5
Wed 10/22 New Mexico State vs Missouri State-2
Sat 11/1 New Mexico State at Western Kentucky+9.5
Sat 11/8 New Mexico State vs Kennesaw State-4.5
Sat 11/15 New Mexico State at Tennessee+38.5
Sat 11/22 New Mexico State at UTEP+7.5
Sat 11/29 New Mexico State vs Middle Tennessee-1.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 10
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 10
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for New Mexico State's Schedule
Louisiana Tech's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Louisiana Tech vs SE Louisiana-7.5
Sat 9/6 Louisiana Tech at LSU+44.5
Sat 9/13 Louisiana Tech vs New Mexico State-5
Sat 9/20 Louisiana Tech vs Southern Miss+5
Sat 9/27 Louisiana Tech at UTEP+5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 Louisiana Tech at Kennesaw State-2
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/21 Louisiana Tech vs Western Kentucky+2
Tue 10/28 Louisiana Tech vs Sam Houston-4
Sat 11/8 Louisiana Tech at Delaware+2
Sat 11/15 Louisiana Tech at Washington State+8.5
Sat 11/22 Louisiana Tech vs Liberty+14
Sat 11/29 Louisiana Tech at Missouri State+0.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 9
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 9
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Louisiana Tech's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NMSU#119 (.08)39% (106)21.646% (41)3.33 (21)17930% (132)1433.8 (82)#115 (.26)41% (64)36.343% (69)40% (68)3.7 (60)48.11.90.8
LT#130 (.02)37% (119)20.937% (122)2.62 (125)10938% (111)2113.09 (124)#26 (.1)37% (13)2139% (36)35% (11)3.72 (61)46.71.51.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NMSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
LT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NMSU Offense1221.612.639.3%3.81.9193221791434.458%42%46%30%18%.08
LT Defense132119.237.2%3.721.2 - - - - - 56%43%39%35%15%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NMSU Defense1236.338.441.3%3.70.8 - - - - - 50%50%43%40%12%.26
LT Offense1320.929.537.5%3.091.5173191092113.149%51%37%38%17%.02

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
New Mexico State1229:2619.338%38%5.448.11.90.83.81.2127
Louisiana Tech1329:3417.240%35%4.946.71.51.25.21.6033.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NMSU Offense1258% (20)46% (41)41.3179.34.416 (90).11 (81)3.33 (21)77% (37)11% (103)0.98 (61)
LT Defense1356% (121)39% (36) - - - - .09 (54)2.9 (50)70% (48)11% (52)1.01 (82)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NMSU Defense1250% (55)43% (69) - - - - .18 (98)3.17 (93)58% (5)7% (134)1.04 (95)
LT Offense1349% (78)37% (122)35.2108.53.114 (98)-.09 (134)2.62 (125)66% (114)12% (116)0.69 (134)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NMSU Offense1242% (116)30% (132)11.826.7143.25.412.212 (118)12 (85).05 (128)1.8 (17)33% (100)30% (87).13 (131)7% (104)1.7 (132)
LT Defense1343% (9)35% (11) - - - - - - 5 (117).15 (26)1.6 (72)35% (20)29% (46).28 (56)5% (112)1.9 (30)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NMSU Defense1250% (76)40% (68) - - - - - - 9 (76).36 (118)1.9 (132)31% (80)29% (42).42 (107)6% (78)2.3 (126)
LT Offense1351% (56)38% (111)18.829.8210.97.111.218 (68)7 (26).13 (115)1.7 (35)33% (103)26% (117).15 (127)5% (22)2.1 (27)

New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: -21.48 #131
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: 3.54 #125
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: 25.02 #120
2025 Talent Rating: 242.00 #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #97
New Mexico State's 2025 Expected Record: 4.7 - 7.3
New Mexico State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.0 #122
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #106
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.8 #124

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 388.83
Average Power Five Talent: 860.18
Average FBS Talent: 682.74

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: -21.48   Louisiana Tech: -13.725

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: -16.0   Louisiana Tech: -11.9




Louisiana Tech's Power Ratings
Louisiana Tech's Power Rating: -13.725 #126
Louisiana Tech's Offense Rating: 0.29 #135
Louisiana Tech's Defense Rating: 20.84 #102
2025 Talent Rating: 416.00 #123
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #97
Louisiana Tech's 2025 Expected Record: 5.2 - 6.8
Louisiana Tech's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.9 #109
Louisiana Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #126
Louisiana Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #80

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 388.83
Average Power Five Talent: 860.18
Average FBS Talent: 682.74


New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.6
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.4

New Mexico State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Louisiana Tech 28
New Mexico State 23

Projected Total Points: 50
Louisiana Tech Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.5
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.2

Louisiana Tech's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/15New Mexico State33Louisiana Tech30New Mexico StateLouisiana Tech -12.5New Mexico State49.0Over
202310/24Louisiana Tech24New Mexico State27New Mexico StateLouisiana Tech -3New Mexico State55.0Under
201210/27New Mexico State14Louisiana Tech28Louisiana Tech
201111/26Louisiana Tech44New Mexico State0Louisiana Tech
201011/13New Mexico State20Louisiana Tech41Louisiana Tech
200910/17Louisiana Tech45New Mexico State7Louisiana Tech
200811/22New Mexico State31Louisiana Tech35Louisiana Tech
200710/13Louisiana Tech22New Mexico State21Louisiana Tech
200612/02New Mexico State50Louisiana Tech23New Mexico State
200510/01Louisiana Tech34New Mexico State14Louisiana Tech
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Louisiana Tech701 Overs
New Mexico State321 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 41 - 10 - 11 - 0
Road Teams4 - 61 - 10 - 11 - 0

(#131) New Mexico State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -21.48 #131
Offense Rating: 3.54 #125
Defense Rating: 25.02 #120
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.0 #122
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #106
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.8 #124
Talent Rating: 242.00 #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #97
Expected Record: 4.7 - 7.3

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.8 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Awful Pass Success 30%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.7 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


New Mexico State Notes
(7/15) RB Calloway good in '23 (Cal), 3 P4 portals
(7/12) QB Fife (Mont) QB1 over Awad, who had exp LY
(7/12) Def bad LY, returns some. 8 portal DL adds
(5/18) RB Dijon Stanley (Utah) has tremendous speed
(5/2) JUCO WR Jackson Owens has promise
(4/7) WRs bad, lotta drops. Pride led LY w/ 374 yds.
(3/26) OL good run LY, 2/5 back. 2 portal adds
(3/26) HC Sanchez the definition of why bother
New Mexico State     Ratings Matchup     Louisiana Tech
Power #131
#126
Off #125
#135
Def #120
#102
Talent #131
#123
SP+ #122
#109
SP+ Off #106
#126
SP+ Def #124
#80

Previous Matchups
New Mexico State beat Louisiana Tech last year (33-30)
New Mexico State beat Louisiana Tech in 2023 (27-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Joe Aillet Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: NMSU | LT
Depth Chart: NMSU | LT
Rosters: NMSU | LT
(#126) Louisiana Tech Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -13.725 #126
Offense Rating: 0.29 #135
Defense Rating: 20.84 #102
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.9 #109
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #126
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #80
Talent Rating: 416.00 #123
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #97
Expected Record: 5.2 - 6.8

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.09 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Awful Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.72 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Great Pass Def Success 35%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Louisiana Tech Notes
(5/20) OC Franklin - a legend of tempo, simplicity
(5/2) TE Eli Finley a good target, best on team
(3/24) QB Bullock back, JAG. Baker depth
(3/24) RB Wiggins has exp. No portals? Yikes
(3/24) WR rebuild, some exp. 2 portal adds
(3/24) OL awful LY, 3/5 back. 2 FCS portals
(3/24) Def played well LY, loses a ton. 3 portals?
(3/24) HC Cumbie is killing this program.


  
New Mexico State's OC Tyler Wright
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Logan Fife (Tr)15724664%17811327.2
Parker Awad7415947%1079746.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kadarius Calloway (Tr)2612414.860
Logan Fife (Tr)5212052.322
Larenzo McMillan7111115.984
Parker Awad6010911.825
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
TJ Pride34374211.053
Glynn Johnson Jr19346218.254
Tyler King (Tr)17236013.936
Gavin Harris (Tr)11173115.760

View New Mexico State's Full Roster
New Mexico State's DC Joe Morris
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Martinez943101
Sone Aupiu554025
Dakerric Hobbs363016
Nicolas Sessions301003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Martinez943101
Gabe Peterson (Tr)61100
Larry Jones III (Tr)51120
Glynn Johnson Jr20000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dakerric Hobbs363016
Sone Aupiu554025
Nicolas Sessions301003

Louisiana Tech's OC Tony Franklin
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Evan Bullock19930266%21071437.0
Blake Baker183453%314139.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Omiri Wiggins11152744.735
Fred Robertson3312603.820
Patrick Rea126026.026
Jay Wilkerson115015.015
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eli Finley25314212.653
Jay Wilkerson13262220.255
Marlion Jackson14222115.939
Omiri Wiggins2012626.316

View Louisiana Tech's Full Roster
Louisiana Tech's DC Luke Olson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kolbe Fields719231
Jacob Fields546004
Sifa Leota426411
Jakari Foster330001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sifa Leota426411
Kolbe Fields719231
Mekhi Mason284111
Jacob Bradford20000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cedric Woods300005
Jhamal Shelby Jr.130004
Jacob Fields546004