Tulsa Golden Hurricane at New Mexico State Aggies
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (9:00 PM EDT)
Tulsa -3.0 (52.5) (-130) Open: -2.5 | 53.5
New Mexico State 21 - Tulsa: 14
Golden Hurricane (1 - 2) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Tre Lamb (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 24 - 23 (14 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.6 - 8.4 (#122)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 8)
Coach Tre Lamb (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 24 - 23 (14 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.6 - 8.4 (#122)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 8)
NMSU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Tulsa -0.5 (SP+ TLSA -7.5)
Projected Score: TLSA: 23 - NMSU: 22 (45)
TLSA Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
TLSA Travel: 672 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Our Line: Tulsa -0.5 (SP+ TLSA -7.5)
Projected Score: TLSA: 23 - NMSU: 22 (45)
TLSA Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
TLSA Travel: 672 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Aggies (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Tony Sanchez (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 18 - 22 (20 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.1 - 5.9 (#79)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 8)
Coach Tony Sanchez (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 18 - 22 (20 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.1 - 5.9 (#79)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 8)
| Tulsa's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Tulsa vs Abilene Christian | -5.0 | 59.5 | W 35 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Tulsa at New Mexico State | -3.0 | 52.5 | L 14 - 21 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Tulsa vs Navy | +14.0 | 52.5 | L 23 - 42 | O | N | |
| Fri 9/19 | Tulsa at Oklahoma State | +13.5 | 55.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Tulsa vs Tulane | +13 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Tulsa at Memphis | +29 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Thu 10/16 | Tulsa at East Carolina | +15.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Tulsa vs Temple | +7 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/8 | Tulsa at Florida Atlantic | +5 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Tulsa vs Oregon State | +6 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Tulsa at Army | +7 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Tulsa vs UAB | -5.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| New Mexico State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | New Mexico State vs Bryant | -19.5 | 52.5 | W 19 - 3 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | New Mexico State vs Tulsa | +3.0 | 52.5 | W 21 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | New Mexico State at Louisiana Tech | +10.0 | 42.5 | L 14 - 49 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/27 | New Mexico State at New Mexico | +2 | |||||
| Thu 10/2 | New Mexico State vs Sam Houston | -7 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/14 | New Mexico State at Liberty | +14.5 | |||||
| Wed 10/22 | New Mexico State vs Missouri State | -6.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | New Mexico State at Western Kentucky | +13 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | New Mexico State vs Kennesaw State | -7.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | New Mexico State at Tennessee | +39.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | New Mexico State at UTEP | +9.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | New Mexico State vs Middle Tennessee | -10.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 9
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 8
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for New Mexico State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 8
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TLSA | #99 (.11) | 41% (88) | 24 | 37% (111) | 2.61 (103) | 183 | 47% (49) | 220 | 3.82 (79) | #68 (.13) | 44% (102) | 23.3 | 43% (90) | 45% (103) | 3.83 (83) | 40.7 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| NMSU | #111 (.08) | 35% (128) | 18 | 22% (136) | 1.43 (136) | 48 | 43% (73) | 253 | 3.33 (104) | #19 (-.03) | 33% (22) | 22 | 23% (4) | 44% (99) | 2.13 (18) | 73.3 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TLSA | #124 (.06) | 34% (131) | 35% (128) | 2.88 (97) | 151 | 33% (126) | 239 | 3.54 (100) | #127 (.31) | 42% (75) | 38% (23) | 46% (115) | 4.7 (130) | 51 | 1.9 | 1.3 | ||
| NMSU | #119 (.08) | 39% (106) | 46% (41) | 3.33 (21) | 179 | 30% (132) | 143 | 3.8 (82) | #115 (.26) | 41% (64) | 43% (69) | 40% (68) | 3.7 (60) | 48.1 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TLSA Offense | 3 | 24 | 14 | 41.4% | 3.82 | 1.3 | 24 | 403 | 183 | 220 | 4.9 | 50% | 49% | 37% | 47% | 13% | .11 |
| NMSU Defense | 3 | 22 | 8.5 | 32.9% | 2.13 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 50% | 49% | 23% | 44% | 16% | -.03 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TLSA Defense | 3 | 23.3 | 21 | 44.3% | 3.83 | 1.7 | - | - | - | - | - | 56% | 43% | 43% | 45% | 14% | .13 |
| NMSU Offense | 3 | 18 | 20 | 34.5% | 3.33 | 1.7 | 17 | 301 | 48 | 253 | 1.9 | 40% | 59% | 22% | 43% | 15% | .08 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tulsa | 3 | 28:57 | 24.3 | 38% | 67% | 6.7 | 40.7 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 6.7 | 2.7 | 0 | 26.9 |
| New Mexico State | 3 | 27:50 | 16.7 | 34% | 100% | 7.7 | 73.3 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6.3 | 1.7 | 0 | 28.8 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TLSA Offense | 3 | 50% (71) | 37% (111) | 37.7 | 183 | 4.9 | 5 (62) | .04 (97) | 2.61 (103) | 59% (108) | 6% (27) | 1.2 (30) |
| NMSU Defense | 3 | 50% (66) | 23% (4) | - | - | - | - | -.22 (5) | 2.19 (20) | 43% (10) | 9% (91) | 1.05 (91) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TLSA Defense | 3 | 56% (111) | 43% (90) | - | - | - | - | .04 (59) | 2.62 (51) | 68% (61) | 10% (72) | 0.94 (72) |
| NMSU Offense | 3 | 40% (124) | 22% (136) | 25 | 48 | 1.9 | 1 (127) | -.26 (136) | 1.43 (136) | 75% (52) | 10% (91) | 0.81 (104) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TLSA Offense | 3 | 49% (69) | 47% (49) | 23.7 | 37 | 220 | 6 | 9.3 | 4 (72) | 3 (92) | .2 (89) | 1.1 (132) | 32% (85) | 26% (105) | .14 (110) | 7% (104) | 2 (61) |
| NMSU Defense | 3 | 49% (57) | 44% (99) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 (12) | .18 (57) | 1.2 (20) | 37% (30) | 20% (25) | .04 (24) | 8% (30) | 2.1 (88) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TLSA Defense | 3 | 43% (25) | 45% (103) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 (28) | .22 (72) | 1.3 (28) | 31% (91) | 36% (114) | .42 (102) | 4% (110) | 2 (73) |
| NMSU Offense | 3 | 59% (14) | 43% (73) | 19.7 | 36.3 | 253.3 | 7 | 12.9 | 5 (54) | 3 (92) | .28 (70) | 1.5 (72) | 43% (135) | 27% (98) | .29 (80) | 5% (72) | 2.2 (41) |
Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: -10.98 #107
Tulsa's Offense Rating: 4.03 #110
Tulsa's Defense Rating: 15.01 #101
2025 Talent Rating: 628.00 #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Tulsa's 2025 Expected Record: 3.6 - 8.4
Tulsa's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.1 #108
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.7 #101
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #109
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Tulsa's Power Rating: -10.98 #107
Tulsa's Offense Rating: 4.03 #110
Tulsa's Defense Rating: 15.01 #101
2025 Talent Rating: 628.00 #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Tulsa's 2025 Expected Record: 3.6 - 8.4
Tulsa's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.1 #108
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.7 #101
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #109
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: -10.98 New Mexico State: -11.61
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: -11.1 New Mexico State: -18.5
Tulsa: -10.98 New Mexico State: -11.61
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: -11.1 New Mexico State: -18.5
New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: -11.61 #105
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: 1.27 #128
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: 10.99 #85
2025 Talent Rating: 306.00 #132
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
New Mexico State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.1 - 5.9
New Mexico State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.5 #125
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.1 #123
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #125
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
New Mexico State's Power Rating: -11.61 #105
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: 1.27 #128
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: 10.99 #85
2025 Talent Rating: 306.00 #132
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
New Mexico State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.1 - 5.9
New Mexico State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.5 #125
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.1 #123
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #125
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense on Road: 14
Defense: 23.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 21
Tulsa's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense on Road: 14
Defense: 23.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 21
Tulsa's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Tulsa 23
New Mexico State 22
Total Points: 45
Tulsa 23
New Mexico State 22
Total Points: 45
New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 18 PPG
Offense at Home: 20
Defense: 22 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.5
New Mexico State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Offense: 18 PPG
Offense at Home: 20
Defense: 22 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.5
New Mexico State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 09/06 | New Mexico State | 21 | Tulsa | 14 | New Mexico State | Tulsa -3.0 | New Mexico State | 52.5 | Under |
| 2001 | 10/06 | Tulsa | 7 | New Mexico State | 24 | New Mexico State | ||||
| 2000 | 10/13 | New Mexico State | 42 | Tulsa | 28 | New Mexico State |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico State | 3 | 1 | 0 Overs |
| Tulsa | 0 | 0 | 1 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 2 - 1 | 1 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 1 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 1 - 2 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 0 |
(#107) Tulsa Info
Power Rating: -10.98 #107
Offense Rating: 4.03 #110
Defense Rating: 15.01 #101
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.1 #108
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.7 #101
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #109
Talent Rating: 628.00 #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 3.6 - 8.4
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 41%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.82 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Avg Pass Success 47%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.83 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 43%
Poor Pass Def Success 45%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Tulsa has won 1 straight
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Tulsa Notes
(9/13) QB1 Kirk Francis out vs Navy (concussion)
(5/23) QB Francis, meh LY but was a Fr. Depth??
(5/23) RB rebuild. 4 portals, nothing special looking
(5/23) WR complete rebuild. 5 good looking portals
(5/23) OL bad LY, 1/5 back, 8 portal adds, some exp
(5/23) Def awful LY, return some, 12 meh portals
(5/23) New HC Lamb a fast riser, ETSU LY, G. Webb
(3/24) Roster looks rough, year 0 situation
Tulsa Highlights
Tulsa defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Tulsa Deficiencies
Tulsa Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#117)
Tulsa run game is really bad (#111)
Tulsa has a bad defense (#102)
Power Rating: -10.98 #107
Offense Rating: 4.03 #110
Defense Rating: 15.01 #101
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.1 #108
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.7 #101
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #109
Talent Rating: 628.00 #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 3.6 - 8.4
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 41%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.82 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Avg Pass Success 47%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.83 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 43%
Poor Pass Def Success 45%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Tulsa has won 1 straight
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Tulsa Notes
(9/13) QB1 Kirk Francis out vs Navy (concussion)
(5/23) QB Francis, meh LY but was a Fr. Depth??
(5/23) RB rebuild. 4 portals, nothing special looking
(5/23) WR complete rebuild. 5 good looking portals
(5/23) OL bad LY, 1/5 back, 8 portal adds, some exp
(5/23) Def awful LY, return some, 12 meh portals
(5/23) New HC Lamb a fast riser, ETSU LY, G. Webb
(3/24) Roster looks rough, year 0 situation
Tulsa Highlights
Tulsa defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Tulsa Deficiencies
Tulsa Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#117)
Tulsa run game is really bad (#111)
Tulsa has a bad defense (#102)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | NMSU | TLSA |
| OverallOver | #78 | #43 |
| OffenseOff | #100 | #83 |
| DefenseDef | #67 | #5 |
| Special TeamsST | #25 | #65 |
| PassingPass | #87 | #81 |
| RushingRush | #106 | #40 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #75 | #99 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #115 | #68 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #41 | #83 |
| TacklingTkl | #106 | #31 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #81 | #5 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #51 | #2 |
| Coverage DefCov | #58 | #63 |
(#105) New Mexico State Info
Power Rating: -11.61 #105
Offense Rating: 1.27 #128
Defense Rating: 10.99 #85
Overall SP+ Rating: -18.5 #125
Offense SP+ Rating: 18.1 #123
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #125
Talent Rating: 306.00 #132
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 6.1 - 5.9
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 40%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.33 PPO
Awful Run Success 22%
Bad Pass Success 43%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 33%
Great in Scoring Position 2.13 PPO
Great Run Def Success 23%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position
New Mexico State has won 1 straight
New Mexico State has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
New Mexico State Notes
(7/15) RB Calloway good in '23 (Cal), 3 P4 portals
(7/12) QB Fife (Mont) QB1 over Awad, who had exp LY
(7/12) Def bad LY, returns some. 8 portal DL adds
(5/18) RB Dijon Stanley (Utah) has tremendous speed
(5/2) JUCO WR Jackson Owens has promise
(4/7) WRs bad, lotta drops. Pride led LY w/ 374 yds.
(3/26) OL good run LY, 2/5 back. 2 portal adds
(3/26) HC Sanchez the definition of why bother
New Mexico State Highlights
New Mexico State is Undefeated at Home
New Mexico State is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
New Mexico State offense is explosive (#29)
New Mexico State has a really good defense (#22)
New Mexico State defense is really good in red zone (#18)
New Mexico State has a good run defense (#4)
New Mexico State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#23)
New Mexico State Defensive Line is very good (#20)
New Mexico State Secondary is very good (#30)
New Mexico State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
New Mexico State Deficiencies
New Mexico State has a really bad Offense
New Mexico State has a really bad Offense at Home
New Mexico State has a bad TO Margin (#107)
New Mexico State Can Not Run the Ball (#136)
New Mexico State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
New Mexico State offense is really bad (#128)
New Mexico State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#136)
New Mexico State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#104)
New Mexico State run game is really bad (#136)
New Mexico State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Power Rating: -11.61 #105
Offense Rating: 1.27 #128
Defense Rating: 10.99 #85
Overall SP+ Rating: -18.5 #125
Offense SP+ Rating: 18.1 #123
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #125
Talent Rating: 306.00 #132
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 6.1 - 5.9
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 40%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.33 PPO
Awful Run Success 22%
Bad Pass Success 43%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 33%
Great in Scoring Position 2.13 PPO
Great Run Def Success 23%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position
New Mexico State has won 1 straight
New Mexico State has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
New Mexico State Notes
(7/15) RB Calloway good in '23 (Cal), 3 P4 portals
(7/12) QB Fife (Mont) QB1 over Awad, who had exp LY
(7/12) Def bad LY, returns some. 8 portal DL adds
(5/18) RB Dijon Stanley (Utah) has tremendous speed
(5/2) JUCO WR Jackson Owens has promise
(4/7) WRs bad, lotta drops. Pride led LY w/ 374 yds.
(3/26) OL good run LY, 2/5 back. 2 portal adds
(3/26) HC Sanchez the definition of why bother
New Mexico State Highlights
New Mexico State is Undefeated at Home
New Mexico State is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
New Mexico State offense is explosive (#29)
New Mexico State has a really good defense (#22)
New Mexico State defense is really good in red zone (#18)
New Mexico State has a good run defense (#4)
New Mexico State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#23)
New Mexico State Defensive Line is very good (#20)
New Mexico State Secondary is very good (#30)
New Mexico State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
New Mexico State Deficiencies
New Mexico State has a really bad Offense
New Mexico State has a really bad Offense at Home
New Mexico State has a bad TO Margin (#107)
New Mexico State Can Not Run the Ball (#136)
New Mexico State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
New Mexico State offense is really bad (#128)
New Mexico State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#136)
New Mexico State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#104)
New Mexico State run game is really bad (#136)
New Mexico State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baylor Hayes (Tr) | 36 | 54 | 67% | 324 | 2 | 2 | 6.0 |
| Kirk Francis | 33 | 54 | 61% | 318 | 2 | 1 | 5.9 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominic Richardson (Tr) | 53 | 296 | 2 | 5.6 | 57 |
| Ajay Allen (Tr) | 18 | 110 | 1 | 6.1 | 40 |
| Braylin Presley | 14 | 99 | 0 | 7.1 | 28 |
| Baylor Hayes (Tr) | 12 | 27 | 2 | 2.3 | 24 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Booker (Tr) | 23 | 214 | 1 | 9.3 | 36 |
| Micah Tease (Tr) | 7 | 119 | 0 | 17.0 | 27 |
| Mekhi Miller (Tr) | 9 | 58 | 0 | 6.4 | 8 |
| Brody Foley (Tr) | 3 | 52 | 2 | 17.3 | 22 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray Coney (Tr) | 36 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Zach Williams | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Lento Smith Jr. (Tr) | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tim Hardiman (Tr) | 14 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J'Dan Burnett (Tr) | 10 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| Byron Turner Jr. (Tr) | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Nahki Johnson (Tr) | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Ray Coney (Tr) | 36 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Green | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Ray Coney (Tr) | 36 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| J'Dan Burnett (Tr) | 10 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Fife (Tr) | 58 | 108 | 54% | 756 | 5 | 3 | 7.0 |
| Glynn Johnson Jr | 1 | 1 | 100% | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kadarius Calloway (Tr) | 24 | 58 | 1 | 2.4 | 17 |
| Dijon Stanley (Tr) | 18 | 47 | 0 | 2.6 | 13 |
| Logan Fife (Tr) | 23 | 37 | 0 | 1.6 | 14 |
| Isaiah Rudison | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1.3 | 4 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glynn Johnson Jr | 13 | 211 | 2 | 16.2 | 40 |
| Donovan Faupel | 13 | 177 | 1 | 13.6 | 55 |
| Gavin Harris (Tr) | 9 | 130 | 1 | 14.4 | 34 |
| Brodrick Malone | 5 | 68 | 1 | 13.6 | 41 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Martinez | 24 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Jamall Thompson | 22 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Naeten Mitchell | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sone Aupiu | 20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamall Thompson | 22 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Sone Aupiu | 20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Tory Gethers | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Ezra Christensen (Tr) | 14 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Martinez | 24 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Nicolas Sessions | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Ezra Christensen (Tr) | 14 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 |