UTEP at Missouri State Game Matchup
UTEP logo UTEP Miners at Missouri State BearsMissouri State logo
Saturday, November 15th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Plaster Sports Complex - Springfield, MO

 
Miners (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Scotty Walden (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 20 - 32 (15 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.3 - 5.7 (#71)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
MOST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: UTEP -2   (SP+ UTEP -1.5)
Projected Score: UTEP: 33 - MOST: 31 (64)
UTEP Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
UTEP Travel: 840 miles, 1 hrs behind
Bears (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Ryan Beard (12 - 11)
Avg Score : 34 - 42 (34 - 42 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.7 - 7.3 (#124)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
 
UTEP's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 UTEP at Utah State+3.50.0
Sat 9/6 UTEP vs UT Martin-9.5
Sat 9/13 UTEP at Texas+45
Sat 9/20 UTEP vs UL Monroe-3.5
Sat 9/27 UTEP vs Louisiana Tech-5
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/8 UTEP vs Liberty+11.5
Wed 10/15 UTEP at Sam Houston-1
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/28 UTEP at Kennesaw State-4.5
Sat 11/8 UTEP vs Jacksonville State-7.5
Sat 11/15 UTEP at Missouri State-2
Sat 11/22 UTEP vs New Mexico State-7.5
Sat 11/29 UTEP at Delaware-0.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 10
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 10
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UTEP's Schedule
Missouri State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Missouri State at USC+32.50.0
Sat 9/6 Missouri State at Marshall+3.5
Sat 9/13 Missouri State vs SMU+29.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Missouri State vs Western Kentucky+4
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/8 Missouri State at Middle Tennessee+3.5
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/22 Missouri State at New Mexico State+2
Wed 10/29 Missouri State vs Florida International+1
Sat 11/8 Missouri State at Liberty+21
Sat 11/15 Missouri State vs UTEP+2
Sat 11/22 Missouri State at Kennesaw State+0
Sat 11/29 Missouri State vs Louisiana Tech-0.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 8
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Missouri State's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTEP#121 (.07)37% (124)19.538% (118)2.8 (106)12136% (117)2002.81 (132)#46 (.13)40% (42)32.340% (42)39% (46)3.85 (78)50.91.61.5
MOST0%340%000%000%420%0%0000
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTEP0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MOST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTEP Offense1219.514.737%2.811.6173211212003.352%47%38%36%20%.07
MOST Defense142420%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTEP Defense1232.334.939.7%3.851.5 - - - - - 54%46%40%39%18%.13
MOST Offense134340%00000000%0%0%0%0%

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UTEP1227:5716.733%30%5.750.91.61.57.12.9227.1
Missouri State10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTEP Offense1252% (56)38% (118)36.4120.83.39 (125).02 (118)2.8 (106)59% (127)13% (125)0.88 (114)
MOST Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTEP Defense1254% (103)40% (42) - - - - .07 (40)2.85 (44)59% (7)12% (18)1.07 (102)
MOST Offense10%0%000000%0%0

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTEP Offense1247% (81)36% (117)18.630.42006.610.815 (98)12 (85).15 (108)1.5 (112)34% (111)23% (128).23 (104)7% (110)2.2 (20)
MOST Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTEP Defense1246% (36)39% (46) - - - - - - 11 (52).21 (54)1.7 (115)34% (34)30% (56).28 (59)6% (66)2.1 (75)
MOST Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0

UTEP's Power Ratings
UTEP's Power Rating: -11.57 #97
UTEP's Offense Rating: 5.91 #119
UTEP's Defense Rating: 17.48 #85
2025 Talent Rating: 566.00 #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
UTEP's 2025 Expected Record: 6.3 - 5.7
UTEP's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.1 #123
UTEP's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #122
UTEP's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.1 #113

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 385.5
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
UTEP: -11.57   Missouri State: -15.87

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UTEP: -16.1   Missouri State: -17.6




Missouri State's Power Ratings
Missouri State's Power Rating: -15.87 #120
Missouri State's Offense Rating: 12.14 #80
Missouri State's Defense Rating: 31.28 #136
2025 Talent Rating: 220.00 #132
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #37
Missouri State's 2025 Expected Record: 3.7 - 7.3
Missouri State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.6 #127
Missouri State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #75
Missouri State's Defense SP+ Rating: 43.8 #136

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 385.5
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


UTEP Scoring
Offense: 19.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 14.7
Defense: 32.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.9

UTEP's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UTEP 33
Missouri State 31

Projected Total Points: 64
Missouri State Scoring
Offense: 34 PPG
Offense at Home: 34
Defense: 42 PPG
Defense at Home: 42

Missouri State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Missouri State000 Overs
UTEP000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#97) UTEP Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -11.57 #97
Offense Rating: 5.91 #119
Defense Rating: 17.48 #85
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.1 #123
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #122
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.1 #113
Talent Rating: 566.00 #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Expected Record: 6.3 - 5.7

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.81 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Awful Pass Success 36%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


UTEP Notes
(3/24) RB rebuild. Wilson (Char) a good add
(3/24) WR #1 Odom back, little depth. 2 portals
(3/24) OL bad LY, 2/5 back, 2 more with a lot of exp
(3/24) Def bad LY, replacing a lot. 11 portal adds
(3/24) HC Walden fun, really great crootin
(3/24) New OC Cala was TCU QB coach past 2 yrs
(3/24) New DC Daly was Mont St DC past 6 yrs
(3/19) QB Locklear back, 5* Nelson DNP @ USC/Boise
UTEP     Ratings Matchup     Missouri State
Power #97
#120
Off #119
#80
Def #85
#136
Talent #88
#132
SP+ #123
#127
SP+ Off #122
#75
SP+ Def #113
#136

Weather Forecast
Playing in Plaster Sports Complex
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UTEP | MOST
Depth Chart: UTEP | MOST
Rosters: UTEP | MOST
(#120) Missouri State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -15.87 #120
Offense Rating: 12.14 #80
Defense Rating: 31.28 #136
Overall SP+ Rating: -17.6 #127
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #75
Defense SP+ Rating: 43.8 #136
Talent Rating: 220.00 #132
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #37
Expected Record: 3.7 - 7.3

Team Profile






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Missouri State Notes
(4/7) Bears use WR1 a ton, BlackStrain (GT) that guy
(4/7) RB Lawrence (FIU) starts, watch Fr King Davis
(3/26) QB Clark back, 3K yds, 26 TD. Looks good
(3/26) WR/TE some exp, TE Mason good. 1 portal
(3/26) OL no clue, looks really weak, no portals
(3/26) Def limited, lots of shootouts LY. Some exp
(3/26) HC Beard in his 3rd, improved to 8-4 LY.
(3/26) Passing offense was 2nd in FCS 39 PPG LY
(3/26) Bears were a middling FCS program, why FBS?


  
UTEP's OC Mark Cala
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Skyler Locklear14923663%15911066.7
Cade McConnell407156%540437.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Shane Porter9764856.779
Hahsaun Wilson (Tr)9155976.165
Skyler Locklear8023723.018
Kam Thomas132702.111
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kenny Odom47761816.276
Kam Thomas46512211.169
Jaden Smith2117708.441
Shane Porter169105.713

View UTEP's Full Roster
UTEP's DC Bobby Daly
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nate Dyman8410234
Xavier Smith781005
Lantz Russell545202
Kadarion Johnson398411
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kadarion Johnson398411
Lantz Russell545202
Jayden Wilson (Tr)323220
Nate Dyman8410234
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Smith781005
Nate Dyman8410234
Jaylon Shelton260003

Missouri State's OC Nick Petrino
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jacob Clark25736970%35482669.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Shomari Lawrence (Tr)4717713.815
Iverson Young85907.428
Jmariyae Robinson84735.923
Reggie Branch61803.010
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jmariyae Robinson38585415.444
James BlackStrain23353315.337
Alred Luke14194213.932
Gary Clinton65208.713

View Missouri State's Full Roster
Missouri State's DC L.D. Scott
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Todric McGee161000
Kanye Young53200
Dylan Simmons31002
Jordan Dunbar (Tr)30001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kanye Young53200
Todric McGee161000
Dylan Simmons31002
Jordan Dunbar (Tr)30001
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dylan Simmons31002
Jordan Dunbar (Tr)30001
Ryan Williams20001