UTEP Miners at Missouri State Bears
Saturday, November 15th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Plaster Sports Complex - Springfield, MO
Miners (1 - 2) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Scotty Walden (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 23 - 24 (13 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 4.6 (#52)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
Coach Scotty Walden (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 23 - 24 (13 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 4.6 (#52)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
MOST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: UTEP -8.5 (SP+ UTEP -7)
Projected Score: UTEP: 27 - MOST: 18 (45)
UTEP Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
UTEP Travel: 840 miles, 1 hrs behind
Our Line: UTEP -8.5 (SP+ UTEP -7)
Projected Score: UTEP: 27 - MOST: 18 (45)
UTEP Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
UTEP Travel: 840 miles, 1 hrs behind
Bears (1 - 2) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Ryan Beard (12 - 11)
Avg Score : 15 - 40 (10 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.3 - 7.7 (#110)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
Coach Ryan Beard (12 - 11)
Avg Score : 15 - 40 (10 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.3 - 7.7 (#110)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
| UTEP's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | UTEP at Utah State | +3.5 | 59.5 | L 16 - 28 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | UTEP vs UT Martin | -7.5 | 49.5 | W 42 - 17 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | UTEP at Texas | +39.5 | 52.5 | L 10 - 27 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | UTEP vs UL Monroe | -5.5 | 47.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | UTEP vs Louisiana Tech | -2.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 10/8 | UTEP vs Liberty | +2.5 | |||||
| Wed 10/15 | UTEP at Sam Houston | -9 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/28 | UTEP at Kennesaw State | -9 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | UTEP vs Jacksonville State | -8.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | UTEP at Missouri State | -8.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | UTEP vs New Mexico State | -9.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | UTEP at Delaware | +1.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Predictions for UTEP's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
| Missouri State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Missouri State at USC | +34.5 | 59.5 | L 13 - 73 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Missouri State at Marshall | +7.0 | 53.5 | W 21 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Missouri State vs SMU | +29.5 | 60.5 | L 10 - 28 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Missouri State vs UT Martin | -5.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/27 | Missouri State vs Western Kentucky | +12 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 10/8 | Missouri State at Middle Tennessee | -1.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 10/22 | Missouri State at New Mexico State | +6.5 | |||||
| Wed 10/29 | Missouri State vs Florida International | +8 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Missouri State at Liberty | +18.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Missouri State vs UTEP | +8.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Missouri State at Kennesaw State | +1.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Missouri State vs Louisiana Tech | +8.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 5, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 5, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Missouri State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 5, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTEP | #88 (.14) | 37% (115) | 22.7 | 40% (100) | 1.86 (134) | 116 | 35% (112) | 223 | 4.36 (49) | #39 (.04) | 40% (71) | 24 | 38% (63) | 42% (85) | 3.35 (61) | 45.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| MOST | #76 (.19) | 36% (121) | 14.7 | 31% (129) | 2.01 (130) | 68 | 40% (92) | 274 | 1.63 (131) | #133 (.43) | 47% (113) | 40.3 | 44% (97) | 49% (117) | 5 (121) | 75 | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTEP | #121 (.07) | 37% (124) | 38% (118) | 2.8 (106) | 121 | 36% (117) | 200 | 2.81 (132) | #46 (.13) | 40% (42) | 40% (42) | 39% (46) | 3.85 (78) | 50.9 | 1.6 | 1.5 | ||
| MOST | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTEP Offense | 3 | 22.7 | 13 | 36.9% | 4.36 | 1.3 | 15 | 338 | 116 | 223 | 4.2 | 43% | 57% | 40% | 35% | 16% | .14 |
| MOST Defense | 3 | 40.3 | 28 | 46.5% | 5 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 52% | 45% | 44% | 49% | 13% | .43 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTEP Defense | 3 | 24 | 27.5 | 39.8% | 3.35 | 0.7 | - | - | - | - | - | 57% | 43% | 38% | 42% | 18% | .04 |
| MOST Offense | 3 | 14.7 | 10 | 35.7% | 1.63 | 2.3 | 16 | 342 | 68 | 274 | 2.2 | 46% | 54% | 31% | 40% | 26% | .19 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTEP | 3 | 24:05 | 15.3 | 30% | 40% | 5.7 | 45.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 9.3 | 3.3 | 0 | 26.6 |
| Missouri State | 3 | 32:51 | 16 | 24% | 67% | 7 | 75 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 0 | 29.8 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTEP Offense | 3 | 43% (114) | 40% (100) | 27.7 | 115.7 | 4.2 | 4 (79) | .08 (88) | 1.86 (134) | 67% (86) | 11% (100) | 1.13 (37) |
| MOST Defense | 3 | 52% (93) | 44% (97) | - | - | - | - | .21 (110) | 3.24 (115) | 50% (19) | 7% (110) | 0.92 (67) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTEP Defense | 3 | 57% (112) | 38% (63) | - | - | - | - | -.02 (43) | 2.5 (42) | 47% (18) | 13% (32) | 0.92 (69) |
| MOST Offense | 3 | 46% (96) | 31% (129) | 31.3 | 68 | 2.2 | 0 (135) | -.09 (129) | 2.01 (130) | 60% (103) | 20% (136) | 1.21 (28) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTEP Offense | 3 | 57% (27) | 35% (112) | 20.7 | 33.7 | 222.7 | 6.6 | 10.8 | 5 (54) | 3 (92) | .21 (87) | 1.5 (71) | 28% (46) | 24% (110) | .4 (54) | 5% (60) | 2.6 (9) |
| MOST Defense | 3 | 45% (37) | 49% (117) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 (56) | .67 (133) | 1.9 (123) | 29% (108) | 32% (86) | .66 (128) | 6% (62) | 2.8 (132) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTEP Defense | 3 | 43% (26) | 42% (85) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 (87) | .13 (44) | 1.4 (38) | 30% (101) | 28% (64) | .11 (32) | 5% (88) | 1.4 (8) |
| MOST Offense | 3 | 54% (42) | 40% (92) | 21.7 | 32.7 | 274 | 8.4 | 12.7 | 5 (54) | 6 (132) | .44 (36) | 2.2 (3) | 41% (132) | 35% (50) | .4 (55) | 6% (86) | 2.3 (28) |
UTEP's Power Ratings
UTEP's Power Rating: -0.57 #81
UTEP's Offense Rating: 4.82 #107
UTEP's Defense Rating: 5.38 #57
2025 Talent Rating: 662.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
UTEP's 2025 Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6
UTEP's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.0 #119
UTEP's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #117
UTEP's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.8 #102
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
UTEP's Power Rating: -0.57 #81
UTEP's Offense Rating: 4.82 #107
UTEP's Defense Rating: 5.38 #57
2025 Talent Rating: 662.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
UTEP's 2025 Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6
UTEP's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.0 #119
UTEP's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #117
UTEP's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.8 #102
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
UTEP: -0.57 Missouri State: -15.615
SP+ Ratings Matchup
UTEP: -14.0 Missouri State: -21.2
UTEP: -0.57 Missouri State: -15.615
SP+ Ratings Matchup
UTEP: -14.0 Missouri State: -21.2
Missouri State's Power Ratings
Missouri State's Power Rating: -15.615 #116
Missouri State's Offense Rating: 4.83 #106
Missouri State's Defense Rating: 19.86 #119
2025 Talent Rating: 310.00 #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #38
Missouri State's 2025 Expected Record: 4.3 - 7.7
Missouri State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.2 #129
Missouri State's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #106
Missouri State's Defense SP+ Rating: 43.1 #135
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Missouri State's Power Rating: -15.615 #116
Missouri State's Offense Rating: 4.83 #106
Missouri State's Defense Rating: 19.86 #119
2025 Talent Rating: 310.00 #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #38
Missouri State's 2025 Expected Record: 4.3 - 7.7
Missouri State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.2 #129
Missouri State's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #106
Missouri State's Defense SP+ Rating: 43.1 #135
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
UTEP Scoring
Offense: 22.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 13
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.5
UTEP's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 22.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 13
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.5
UTEP's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
UTEP 27
Missouri State 18
Total Points: 45
UTEP 27
Missouri State 18
Total Points: 45
Missouri State Scoring
Offense: 14.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 10
Defense: 40.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 28
Missouri State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 0
Offense: 14.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 10
Defense: 40.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 28
Missouri State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri State | 0 | 0 | 0 Overs |
| UTEP | 0 | 0 | 0 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 |
(#81) UTEP Info
Power Rating: -0.57 #81
Offense Rating: 4.82 #107
Defense Rating: 5.38 #57
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.0 #119
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #117
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.8 #102
Talent Rating: 662.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.36 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 40%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.35 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 38%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
UTEP has lost 7 straight
UTEP has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 2 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
UTEP Notes
(8/30) Run game/Off awful vs USU. QB Nelson bad
(8/21) QB1 M Nelson (BSU) beats Locklear for starter
(8/2) 8 new Def starters, but 3* croots as talent rises
(8/2) Def replaces most, 19 portal adds, better talent
(7/24) WR #1 Odom back, depth a ? 6 portals (3 FCS)
(7/24) K Thomas all purpose weapon, All CUSA as PR
(7/12) Last year in CUSA, join MWC in '26
(6/22) Proj #1 CB J Shelton arrested/left UTEP in June
(3/24) RB rebuild. Wilson (Char) a good add
(3/24) OL bad LY, 2/5 back, 2 more with a lot of exp
UTEP Highlights
UTEP Defense Sacks the QB a lot
UTEP Deficiencies
UTEP Can Not Run the Ball (#112)
UTEP offense is really bad (#115)
UTEP Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#123)
UTEP run game is really bad (#100)
UTEP pass game is really bad (#112)
UTEP offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Power Rating: -0.57 #81
Offense Rating: 4.82 #107
Defense Rating: 5.38 #57
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.0 #119
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #117
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.8 #102
Talent Rating: 662.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.36 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 40%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.35 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 38%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
UTEP has lost 7 straight
UTEP has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 2 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
UTEP Notes
(8/30) Run game/Off awful vs USU. QB Nelson bad
(8/21) QB1 M Nelson (BSU) beats Locklear for starter
(8/2) 8 new Def starters, but 3* croots as talent rises
(8/2) Def replaces most, 19 portal adds, better talent
(7/24) WR #1 Odom back, depth a ? 6 portals (3 FCS)
(7/24) K Thomas all purpose weapon, All CUSA as PR
(7/12) Last year in CUSA, join MWC in '26
(6/22) Proj #1 CB J Shelton arrested/left UTEP in June
(3/24) RB rebuild. Wilson (Char) a good add
(3/24) OL bad LY, 2/5 back, 2 more with a lot of exp
UTEP Highlights
UTEP Defense Sacks the QB a lot
UTEP Deficiencies
UTEP Can Not Run the Ball (#112)
UTEP offense is really bad (#115)
UTEP Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#123)
UTEP run game is really bad (#100)
UTEP pass game is really bad (#112)
UTEP offense is bad on 3rd Downs
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | MOST | UTEP |
| OverallOver | #103 | #86 |
| OffenseOff | #102 | #101 |
| DefenseDef | #89 | #74 |
| Special TeamsST | #102 | #73 |
| PassingPass | #70 | #107 |
| RushingRush | #104 | #41 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #116 | #88 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #80 | #91 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #63 | #96 |
| TacklingTkl | #113 | #1 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #73 | #76 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #106 | #32 |
| Coverage DefCov | #75 | #92 |
(#116) Missouri State Info
Power Rating: -15.615 #116
Offense Rating: 4.83 #106
Defense Rating: 19.86 #119
Overall SP+ Rating: -21.2 #129
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #106
Defense SP+ Rating: 43.1 #135
Talent Rating: 310.00 #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #38
Expected Record: 4.3 - 7.7
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 36%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 1.63 PPO
Awful Run Success 31%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Awful in Scoring Position 5 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 44%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Missouri State has lost 7 straight
Missouri State has lost 4 straight at Home
Record at home: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
Missouri State Notes
(4/7) Bears use WR1 a ton, BlackStrain (GT) that guy
(4/7) RB Lawrence (FIU) starts, watch Fr King Davis
(3/26) QB Clark back, 3K yds, 26 TD. Looks good
(3/26) WR/TE some exp, TE Mason good. 1 portal
(3/26) OL no clue, looks really weak, no portals
(3/26) Def limited, lots of shootouts LY. Some exp
(3/26) HC Beard in his 3rd, improved to 8-4 LY.
(3/26) Passing offense was 2nd in FCS 39 PPG LY
(3/26) Bears were a middling FCS program, why FBS?
Missouri State Highlights
Missouri State is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Missouri State is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
Missouri State offense is explosive (#2)
Missouri State Deficiencies
Missouri State has a really bad Offense
Missouri State has a really bad Offense at Home
Missouri State has a bad TO Margin (#125)
Missouri State Can Not Run the Ball (#132)
Missouri State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#132)
Missouri State offense is really bad (#121)
Missouri State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#135)
Missouri State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#131)
Missouri State run game is really bad (#129)
Missouri State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Missouri State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Missouri State has a bad defense (#113)
Missouri State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#112)
Missouri State Does Not Stuff Runs (#123)
Missouri State has a bad defensive line (#115)
Missouri State has a bad red zone defense (#121)
Power Rating: -15.615 #116
Offense Rating: 4.83 #106
Defense Rating: 19.86 #119
Overall SP+ Rating: -21.2 #129
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #106
Defense SP+ Rating: 43.1 #135
Talent Rating: 310.00 #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #38
Expected Record: 4.3 - 7.7
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 36%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 1.63 PPO
Awful Run Success 31%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Awful in Scoring Position 5 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 44%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Missouri State has lost 7 straight
Missouri State has lost 4 straight at Home
Record at home: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
Missouri State Notes
(4/7) Bears use WR1 a ton, BlackStrain (GT) that guy
(4/7) RB Lawrence (FIU) starts, watch Fr King Davis
(3/26) QB Clark back, 3K yds, 26 TD. Looks good
(3/26) WR/TE some exp, TE Mason good. 1 portal
(3/26) OL no clue, looks really weak, no portals
(3/26) Def limited, lots of shootouts LY. Some exp
(3/26) HC Beard in his 3rd, improved to 8-4 LY.
(3/26) Passing offense was 2nd in FCS 39 PPG LY
(3/26) Bears were a middling FCS program, why FBS?
Missouri State Highlights
Missouri State is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Missouri State is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
Missouri State offense is explosive (#2)
Missouri State Deficiencies
Missouri State has a really bad Offense
Missouri State has a really bad Offense at Home
Missouri State has a bad TO Margin (#125)
Missouri State Can Not Run the Ball (#132)
Missouri State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#132)
Missouri State offense is really bad (#121)
Missouri State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#135)
Missouri State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#131)
Missouri State run game is really bad (#129)
Missouri State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Missouri State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Missouri State has a bad defense (#113)
Missouri State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#112)
Missouri State Does Not Stuff Runs (#123)
Missouri State has a bad defensive line (#115)
Missouri State has a bad red zone defense (#121)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malachi Nelson (Tr) | 60 | 96 | 63% | 665 | 5 | 3 | 6.9 |
| Skyler Locklear | 1 | 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hahsaun Wilson (Tr) | 14 | 156 | 1 | 11.1 | 94 |
| Ashten Emory | 27 | 72 | 2 | 2.7 | 12 |
| Skyler Locklear | 3 | 37 | 0 | 12.3 | 63 |
| Kam Thomas | 16 | 36 | 0 | 2.3 | 17 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenny Odom | 19 | 236 | 2 | 12.4 | 74 |
| Toric Goins Jr. | 9 | 170 | 1 | 18.9 | 49 |
| Trevon Tate (Tr) | 9 | 74 | 0 | 8.2 | 43 |
| Eric Willis III | 9 | 64 | 0 | 7.1 | 14 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micah Davey (Tr) | 31 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Udoka Ezeani (Tr) | 19 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Xavier Smith | 19 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Joshua Rudolph (Tr) | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udoka Ezeani (Tr) | 19 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Ashaad Hall (Tr) | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Elijah Baldwin | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Micah Davey (Tr) | 31 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neil Campbell (Tr) | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Donte Thompson (Tr) | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Ashaad Hall (Tr) | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Clark | 60 | 92 | 65% | 781 | 5 | 6 | 8.5 |
| Cole Feuerbacher | 4 | 4 | 100% | 12 | 0 | 0 | 3.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shomari Lawrence (Tr) | 42 | 143 | 0 | 3.4 | 23 |
| Ramone Green Jr. | 10 | 34 | 0 | 3.4 | 12 |
| Jmariyae Robinson | 1 | 21 | 0 | 21.0 | 21 |
| Reggie Branch | 4 | 20 | 0 | 5.0 | 9 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ramone Green Jr. | 9 | 164 | 1 | 18.2 | 57 |
| Jmariyae Robinson | 9 | 164 | 1 | 18.2 | 52 |
| Alred Luke | 10 | 129 | 1 | 12.9 | 27 |
| Tristian Gardner | 7 | 104 | 1 | 14.9 | 33 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maguire Neal | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Thomas Anderson | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Christian Ford (Tr) | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jared Lloyd | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Toney | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Caleb Dietlin | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jared Lloyd | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Maguire Neal | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Dunbar (Tr) | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Davon Townley Jr. | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Mitchell Toney | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 |