Sam Houston Bearkats at New Mexico State Aggies
Thursday, October 2nd 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Aggie Memorial Stadium - Las Cruces, NM (Conference USA)
Bearkats (0 - 3) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Phil Longo (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 39 (22 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2.5 - 9.5 (#132)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 8)
Coach Phil Longo (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 39 (22 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2.5 - 9.5 (#132)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 8)
SHSU coming off BYE
Our Line: New Mexico State -7 (SP+ NMSU -0)
Projected Score: SHSU: 21 - NMSU: 28 (48)
NMSU Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
SHSU Travel: 668 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Our Line: New Mexico State -7 (SP+ NMSU -0)
Projected Score: SHSU: 21 - NMSU: 28 (48)
NMSU Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
SHSU Travel: 668 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Aggies (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Tony Sanchez (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 18 - 22 (20 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.1 - 5.9 (#79)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 8)
Coach Tony Sanchez (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 18 - 22 (20 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.1 - 5.9 (#79)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 8)
| Sam Houston's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/23 | Sam Houston at Western Kentucky | +9.5 | 60.5 | L 24 - 41 | O | N | |
| Fri 8/29 | Sam Houston vs UNLV | +13.5 | 58.5 | L 21 - 38 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Sam Houston at Hawai'i | +7.0 | 47.5 | L 20 - 37 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/20 | Sam Houston at Texas | +40.5 | 51.5 | ||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Thu 10/2 | Sam Houston at New Mexico State | +7 | |||||
| Thu 10/9 | Sam Houston vs Jacksonville State | +3 | |||||
| Wed 10/15 | Sam Houston vs UTEP | +9 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/28 | Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech | +14 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Sam Houston at Oregon State | +18.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Sam Houston vs Delaware | +7.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Sam Houston at Middle Tennessee | -1 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Sam Houston vs Florida International | +8.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 7, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 3, Poor: 0
Predictions for Sam Houston's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 3, Poor: 0
| New Mexico State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | New Mexico State vs Bryant | -19.5 | 52.5 | W 19 - 3 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | New Mexico State vs Tulsa | +3.0 | 52.5 | W 21 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | New Mexico State at Louisiana Tech | +10.0 | 42.5 | L 14 - 49 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/27 | New Mexico State at New Mexico | +2 | |||||
| Thu 10/2 | New Mexico State vs Sam Houston | -7 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/14 | New Mexico State at Liberty | +14.5 | |||||
| Wed 10/22 | New Mexico State vs Missouri State | -6.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | New Mexico State at Western Kentucky | +13 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | New Mexico State vs Kennesaw State | -7.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | New Mexico State at Tennessee | +39.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | New Mexico State at UTEP | +9.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | New Mexico State vs Middle Tennessee | -10.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Predictions for New Mexico State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHSU | #123 (.05) | 37% (111) | 21.7 | 38% (105) | 2.79 (87) | 136 | 37% (108) | 185 | 3.14 (113) | #85 (.16) | 44% (103) | 38.7 | 40% (72) | 49% (118) | 4.38 (100) | 68 | 1 | 1.7 |
| NMSU | #111 (.08) | 35% (128) | 18 | 22% (136) | 1.43 (136) | 48 | 43% (73) | 253 | 3.33 (104) | #19 (-.03) | 33% (22) | 22 | 23% (4) | 44% (99) | 2.13 (18) | 73.3 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHSU | #115 (.1) | 39% (107) | 41% (100) | 3.18 (44) | 180 | 38% (105) | 168 | 2.97 (129) | #31 (.11) | 42% (70) | 47% (105) | 37% (27) | 3.84 (75) | 37.9 | 1.2 | 2.1 | ||
| NMSU | #119 (.08) | 39% (106) | 46% (41) | 3.33 (21) | 179 | 30% (132) | 143 | 3.8 (82) | #115 (.26) | 41% (64) | 43% (69) | 40% (68) | 3.7 (60) | 48.1 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHSU Offense | 3 | 21.7 | 22 | 37.4% | 3.14 | 1 | 18 | 321 | 136 | 185 | 4.2 | 44% | 55% | 38% | 37% | 19% | .05 |
| NMSU Defense | 3 | 22 | 8.5 | 32.9% | 2.13 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 50% | 49% | 23% | 44% | 16% | -.03 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHSU Defense | 3 | 38.7 | 39 | 44.5% | 4.38 | 1.7 | - | - | - | - | - | 44% | 56% | 40% | 49% | 16% | .16 |
| NMSU Offense | 3 | 18 | 20 | 34.5% | 3.33 | 1.7 | 17 | 301 | 48 | 253 | 1.9 | 40% | 59% | 22% | 43% | 15% | .08 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Houston | 3 | 28:09 | 17.7 | 14% | 30% | 7 | 68 | 1 | 1.7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 27.4 |
| New Mexico State | 3 | 27:50 | 16.7 | 34% | 100% | 7.7 | 73.3 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6.3 | 1.7 | 0 | 28.8 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHSU Offense | 3 | 44% (103) | 38% (105) | 32.3 | 135.7 | 4.2 | 4 (79) | .06 (93) | 2.79 (87) | 73% (66) | 12% (114) | 1.13 (39) |
| NMSU Defense | 3 | 50% (66) | 23% (4) | - | - | - | - | -.22 (5) | 2.19 (20) | 43% (10) | 9% (91) | 1.05 (91) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHSU Defense | 3 | 44% (30) | 40% (72) | - | - | - | - | -.08 (24) | 2.97 (89) | 69% (66) | 9% (80) | 0.68 (10) |
| NMSU Offense | 3 | 40% (124) | 22% (136) | 25 | 48 | 1.9 | 1 (127) | -.26 (136) | 1.43 (136) | 75% (52) | 10% (91) | 0.81 (104) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHSU Offense | 3 | 55% (37) | 37% (108) | 18.7 | 31 | 185 | 6 | 9.9 | 2 (102) | 3 (92) | .07 (121) | 1.3 (112) | 40% (130) | 22% (116) | -.07 (131) | 7% (110) | 1.7 (105) |
| NMSU Defense | 3 | 49% (57) | 44% (99) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 (12) | .18 (57) | 1.2 (20) | 37% (30) | 20% (25) | .04 (24) | 8% (30) | 2.1 (88) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHSU Defense | 3 | 56% (108) | 49% (118) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 (56) | .36 (110) | 1.6 (89) | 31% (90) | 36% (116) | .17 (47) | 7% (45) | 1.8 (52) |
| NMSU Offense | 3 | 59% (14) | 43% (73) | 19.7 | 36.3 | 253.3 | 7 | 12.9 | 5 (54) | 3 (92) | .28 (70) | 1.5 (72) | 43% (135) | 27% (98) | .29 (80) | 5% (72) | 2.2 (41) |
Sam Houston's Power Ratings
Sam Houston's Power Rating: -18.55 #125
Sam Houston's Offense Rating: -0.11 #132
Sam Houston's Defense Rating: 18.43 #113
2025 Talent Rating: 476.00 #121
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Sam Houston's 2025 Expected Record: 2.5 - 9.5
Sam Houston's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.6 #126
Sam Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.9 #126
Sam Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #117
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Sam Houston's Power Rating: -18.55 #125
Sam Houston's Offense Rating: -0.11 #132
Sam Houston's Defense Rating: 18.43 #113
2025 Talent Rating: 476.00 #121
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Sam Houston's 2025 Expected Record: 2.5 - 9.5
Sam Houston's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.6 #126
Sam Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.9 #126
Sam Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #117
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Sam Houston: -18.55 New Mexico State: -11.61
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Sam Houston: -18.6 New Mexico State: -18.5
Sam Houston: -18.55 New Mexico State: -11.61
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Sam Houston: -18.6 New Mexico State: -18.5
New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: -11.61 #105
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: 1.27 #128
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: 10.99 #85
2025 Talent Rating: 306.00 #132
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
New Mexico State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.1 - 5.9
New Mexico State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.5 #125
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.1 #123
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #125
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
New Mexico State's Power Rating: -11.61 #105
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: 1.27 #128
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: 10.99 #85
2025 Talent Rating: 306.00 #132
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
New Mexico State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.1 - 5.9
New Mexico State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.5 #125
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.1 #123
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #125
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Sam Houston Scoring
Offense: 21.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 22
Defense: 38.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 39
Sam Houston's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 2 - 0
Offense: 21.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 22
Defense: 38.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 39
Sam Houston's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
New Mexico State 28
Sam Houston 21
Total Points: 48
New Mexico State 28
Sam Houston 21
Total Points: 48
New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 18 PPG
Offense at Home: 20
Defense: 22 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.5
New Mexico State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 18 PPG
Offense at Home: 20
Defense: 22 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.5
New Mexico State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 09/21 | Sam Houston | 31 | New Mexico State | 11 | Sam Houston | Sam Houston -15.5 | Sam Houston | 44.5 | Under |
| 2023 | 10/11 | New Mexico State | 27 | Sam Houston | 13 | New Mexico State | New Mexico State -4.5 | New Mexico State | 43.0 | Under |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico State | 1 | 1 | 0 Overs |
| Sam Houston | 1 | 1 | 2 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 2 - 0 | 2 - 0 | 2 - 0 | 0 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 0 - 2 | 0 - 2 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 2 |
(#125) Sam Houston Info
Power Rating: -18.55 #125
Offense Rating: -0.11 #132
Defense Rating: 18.43 #113
Overall SP+ Rating: -18.6 #126
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.9 #126
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #117
Talent Rating: 476.00 #121
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 2.5 - 9.5
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 44%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.14 PPO
Poor Run Success 38%
Poor Pass Success 37%
Poor OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.38 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 40%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Sam Houston has lost 4 straight
Sam Houston has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 2 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )
Sam Houston Notes
(8/23) QB1? Watson running air raid likely not good
(7/13) Home games 70 miles off campus (Shell Energy)
(7/11) QB Mettauer big arm, was Longo's pick at Wisc
(7/11) Over Bet Watch. Def down, Pass Off up
(6/6) Not a fan of HC Phil Long hire at all.
(6/6) Could be a bottom Def in CFB, DBs are JUCOs
(5/23) SHSU was 6-0 in 1 score games LY
(3/26) QB Watson JAG w/ mobility. No depth exp
(3/26) RB complete rebuild. 2 portals inc. Green (IU)
(3/26) WR some exp, replacing a lot. 2 portal adds
Sam Houston Highlights
Sam Houston Deficiencies
Sam Houston offense is really bad (#111)
Sam Houston Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#112)
Sam Houston offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#113)
Sam Houston run game is really bad (#105)
Sam Houston pass game is really bad (#108)
Sam Houston offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Sam Houston Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Sam Houston has a bad defense (#103)
Sam Houston has a bad red zone defense (#100)
Power Rating: -18.55 #125
Offense Rating: -0.11 #132
Defense Rating: 18.43 #113
Overall SP+ Rating: -18.6 #126
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.9 #126
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #117
Talent Rating: 476.00 #121
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 2.5 - 9.5
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 44%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.14 PPO
Poor Run Success 38%
Poor Pass Success 37%
Poor OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.38 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 40%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Sam Houston has lost 4 straight
Sam Houston has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 2 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )
Sam Houston Notes
(8/23) QB1? Watson running air raid likely not good
(7/13) Home games 70 miles off campus (Shell Energy)
(7/11) QB Mettauer big arm, was Longo's pick at Wisc
(7/11) Over Bet Watch. Def down, Pass Off up
(6/6) Not a fan of HC Phil Long hire at all.
(6/6) Could be a bottom Def in CFB, DBs are JUCOs
(5/23) SHSU was 6-0 in 1 score games LY
(3/26) QB Watson JAG w/ mobility. No depth exp
(3/26) RB complete rebuild. 2 portals inc. Green (IU)
(3/26) WR some exp, replacing a lot. 2 portal adds
Sam Houston Highlights
Sam Houston Deficiencies
Sam Houston offense is really bad (#111)
Sam Houston Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#112)
Sam Houston offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#113)
Sam Houston run game is really bad (#105)
Sam Houston pass game is really bad (#108)
Sam Houston offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Sam Houston Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Sam Houston has a bad defense (#103)
Sam Houston has a bad red zone defense (#100)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | NMSU | SHSU |
| OverallOver | #78 | #98 |
| OffenseOff | #100 | #110 |
| DefenseDef | #67 | #71 |
| Special TeamsST | #25 | #43 |
| PassingPass | #87 | #104 |
| RushingRush | #106 | #103 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #75 | #91 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #115 | #96 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #41 | #103 |
| TacklingTkl | #106 | #96 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #81 | #48 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #51 | #59 |
| Coverage DefCov | #58 | #86 |
(#105) New Mexico State Info
Power Rating: -11.61 #105
Offense Rating: 1.27 #128
Defense Rating: 10.99 #85
Overall SP+ Rating: -18.5 #125
Offense SP+ Rating: 18.1 #123
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #125
Talent Rating: 306.00 #132
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 6.1 - 5.9
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 40%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.33 PPO
Awful Run Success 22%
Bad Pass Success 43%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 33%
Great in Scoring Position 2.13 PPO
Great Run Def Success 23%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position
New Mexico State has lost 2 straight
New Mexico State has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
New Mexico State Notes
(7/15) RB Calloway good in '23 (Cal), 3 P4 portals
(7/12) QB Fife (Mont) QB1 over Awad, who had exp LY
(7/12) Def bad LY, returns some. 8 portal DL adds
(5/18) RB Dijon Stanley (Utah) has tremendous speed
(5/2) JUCO WR Jackson Owens has promise
(4/7) WRs bad, lotta drops. Pride led LY w/ 374 yds.
(3/26) OL good run LY, 2/5 back. 2 portal adds
(3/26) HC Sanchez the definition of why bother
New Mexico State Highlights
New Mexico State is Undefeated at Home
New Mexico State is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
New Mexico State offense is explosive (#29)
New Mexico State has a really good defense (#22)
New Mexico State defense is really good in red zone (#18)
New Mexico State has a good run defense (#4)
New Mexico State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#23)
New Mexico State Defensive Line is very good (#20)
New Mexico State Secondary is very good (#30)
New Mexico State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
New Mexico State Deficiencies
New Mexico State has a really bad Offense
New Mexico State has a really bad Offense at Home
New Mexico State has a bad TO Margin (#107)
New Mexico State Can Not Run the Ball (#136)
New Mexico State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
New Mexico State offense is really bad (#128)
New Mexico State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#136)
New Mexico State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#104)
New Mexico State run game is really bad (#136)
New Mexico State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Power Rating: -11.61 #105
Offense Rating: 1.27 #128
Defense Rating: 10.99 #85
Overall SP+ Rating: -18.5 #125
Offense SP+ Rating: 18.1 #123
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #125
Talent Rating: 306.00 #132
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 6.1 - 5.9
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 40%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.33 PPO
Awful Run Success 22%
Bad Pass Success 43%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 33%
Great in Scoring Position 2.13 PPO
Great Run Def Success 23%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position
New Mexico State has lost 2 straight
New Mexico State has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
New Mexico State Notes
(7/15) RB Calloway good in '23 (Cal), 3 P4 portals
(7/12) QB Fife (Mont) QB1 over Awad, who had exp LY
(7/12) Def bad LY, returns some. 8 portal DL adds
(5/18) RB Dijon Stanley (Utah) has tremendous speed
(5/2) JUCO WR Jackson Owens has promise
(4/7) WRs bad, lotta drops. Pride led LY w/ 374 yds.
(3/26) OL good run LY, 2/5 back. 2 portal adds
(3/26) HC Sanchez the definition of why bother
New Mexico State Highlights
New Mexico State is Undefeated at Home
New Mexico State is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
New Mexico State offense is explosive (#29)
New Mexico State has a really good defense (#22)
New Mexico State defense is really good in red zone (#18)
New Mexico State has a good run defense (#4)
New Mexico State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#23)
New Mexico State Defensive Line is very good (#20)
New Mexico State Secondary is very good (#30)
New Mexico State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
New Mexico State Deficiencies
New Mexico State has a really bad Offense
New Mexico State has a really bad Offense at Home
New Mexico State has a bad TO Margin (#107)
New Mexico State Can Not Run the Ball (#136)
New Mexico State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
New Mexico State offense is really bad (#128)
New Mexico State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#136)
New Mexico State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#104)
New Mexico State run game is really bad (#136)
New Mexico State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Watson | 30 | 52 | 58% | 310 | 0 | 1 | 6.0 |
| Mabrey Mettauer (Tr) | 20 | 31 | 65% | 177 | 1 | 2 | 5.7 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Watson | 24 | 108 | 2 | 4.5 | 55 |
| Landan Brown | 13 | 94 | 1 | 7.2 | 53 |
| Elijah Green (Tr) | 24 | 76 | 0 | 3.2 | 11 |
| Alton McCaskill (Tr) | 11 | 72 | 1 | 6.5 | 52 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Green (Tr) | 11 | 124 | 1 | 11.3 | 35 |
| Grady O'Neill (Tr) | 6 | 65 | 0 | 10.8 | 29 |
| Malik Phillips | 6 | 60 | 0 | 10.0 | 22 |
| Tim Burns Jr. | 1 | 59 | 1 | 59.0 | 59 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Brown (Tr) | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Emon Allen | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Antavious Fish (Tr) | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chatavies Johnson | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Edwards | 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| JaMair Diaz (Tr) | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Tokyo Gordon | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Chauncey Chidi | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Brown (Tr) | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Cecil Powell (Tr) | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| AJ Edwards | 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Fife (Tr) | 58 | 108 | 54% | 756 | 5 | 3 | 7.0 |
| Glynn Johnson Jr | 1 | 1 | 100% | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kadarius Calloway (Tr) | 24 | 58 | 1 | 2.4 | 17 |
| Dijon Stanley (Tr) | 18 | 47 | 0 | 2.6 | 13 |
| Logan Fife (Tr) | 23 | 37 | 0 | 1.6 | 14 |
| Isaiah Rudison | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1.3 | 4 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glynn Johnson Jr | 13 | 211 | 2 | 16.2 | 40 |
| Donovan Faupel | 13 | 177 | 1 | 13.6 | 55 |
| Gavin Harris (Tr) | 9 | 130 | 1 | 14.4 | 34 |
| Brodrick Malone | 5 | 68 | 1 | 13.6 | 41 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Martinez | 24 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Jamall Thompson | 22 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Naeten Mitchell | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sone Aupiu | 20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamall Thompson | 22 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Sone Aupiu | 20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Tory Gethers | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Ezra Christensen (Tr) | 14 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Martinez | 24 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Nicolas Sessions | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Ezra Christensen (Tr) | 14 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 |