Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at Missouri State Bears
Saturday, November 29th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Plaster Sports Complex - Springfield, MO
Bulldogs (2 - 1) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Sonny Cumbie (11 - 25)
Avg Score : 27 - 12 (7 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.5 - 4.5 (#49)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
Coach Sonny Cumbie (11 - 25)
Avg Score : 27 - 12 (7 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.5 - 4.5 (#49)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
MOST is playing their 6th straight game
LT is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Louisiana Tech -8.5 (SP+ LT -15)
Projected Score: LT: 25 - MOST: 16 (41)
LT Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
LT Travel: 324 miles
LT is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Louisiana Tech -8.5 (SP+ LT -15)
Projected Score: LT: 25 - MOST: 16 (41)
LT Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
LT Travel: 324 miles
Bears (1 - 2) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Ryan Beard (12 - 11)
Avg Score : 15 - 40 (10 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.3 - 7.7 (#110)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
Coach Ryan Beard (12 - 11)
Avg Score : 15 - 40 (10 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.3 - 7.7 (#110)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
| Louisiana Tech's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Louisiana Tech vs SE Louisiana | -14.5 | 50.5 | W 24 - 0 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Louisiana Tech at LSU | +36.5 | 49.5 | L 7 - 23 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Louisiana Tech vs New Mexico State | -10.0 | 42.5 | W 49 - 14 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Louisiana Tech vs Southern Miss | -3.0 | 51.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Louisiana Tech at UTEP | +2.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Thu 10/9 | Louisiana Tech at Kennesaw State | -9 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/21 | Louisiana Tech vs Western Kentucky | +1 | |||||
| Tue 10/28 | Louisiana Tech vs Sam Houston | -14 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Louisiana Tech at Delaware | +1.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Louisiana Tech at Washington State | +2 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Louisiana Tech vs Liberty | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Louisiana Tech at Missouri State | -8.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 6, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 6, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Louisiana Tech's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 6, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Missouri State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Missouri State at USC | +34.5 | 59.5 | L 13 - 73 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Missouri State at Marshall | +7.0 | 53.5 | W 21 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Missouri State vs SMU | +29.5 | 60.5 | L 10 - 28 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Missouri State vs UT Martin | -5.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/27 | Missouri State vs Western Kentucky | +12 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 10/8 | Missouri State at Middle Tennessee | -1.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 10/22 | Missouri State at New Mexico State | +6.5 | |||||
| Wed 10/29 | Missouri State vs Florida International | +8 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Missouri State at Liberty | +18.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Missouri State vs UTEP | +8.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Missouri State at Kennesaw State | +1.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Missouri State vs Louisiana Tech | +8.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 5, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 5, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Missouri State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 5, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LT | #129 (-.01) | 38% (109) | 26.7 | 45% (66) | 2.18 (127) | 181 | 30% (128) | 149 | 3.43 (99) | #24 (-.01) | 39% (67) | 12.3 | 36% (48) | 43% (93) | 1.45 (6) | 93.7 | 0.3 | 2.3 |
| MOST | #76 (.19) | 36% (121) | 14.7 | 31% (129) | 2.01 (130) | 68 | 40% (92) | 274 | 1.63 (131) | #133 (.43) | 47% (113) | 40.3 | 44% (97) | 49% (117) | 5 (121) | 75 | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LT | #130 (.02) | 37% (119) | 37% (122) | 2.62 (125) | 109 | 38% (111) | 211 | 3.09 (124) | #26 (.1) | 37% (13) | 39% (36) | 35% (11) | 3.72 (61) | 46.7 | 1.5 | 1.2 | ||
| MOST | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LT Offense | 3 | 26.7 | 7 | 37.6% | 3.43 | 0.3 | 18 | 330 | 181 | 149 | 4.4 | 51% | 49% | 45% | 30% | 19% | -.01 |
| MOST Defense | 3 | 40.3 | 28 | 46.5% | 5 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 52% | 45% | 44% | 49% | 13% | .43 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LT Defense | 3 | 12.3 | 23 | 39.1% | 1.45 | 2.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 50% | 49% | 36% | 43% | 25% | -.01 |
| MOST Offense | 3 | 14.7 | 10 | 35.7% | 1.63 | 2.3 | 16 | 342 | 68 | 274 | 2.2 | 46% | 54% | 31% | 40% | 26% | .19 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisiana Tech | 3 | 30:15 | 18 | 40% | 50% | 9.3 | 93.7 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 8.3 | 3 | 0 | 29.1 |
| Missouri State | 3 | 32:51 | 16 | 24% | 67% | 7 | 75 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 0 | 29.8 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LT Offense | 3 | 51% (70) | 45% (66) | 41.3 | 181.3 | 4.4 | 4 (79) | -.03 (113) | 2.18 (127) | 100% (1) | 12% (117) | 0.75 (120) |
| MOST Defense | 3 | 52% (93) | 44% (97) | - | - | - | - | .21 (110) | 3.24 (115) | 50% (19) | 7% (110) | 0.92 (67) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LT Defense | 3 | 50% (65) | 36% (48) | - | - | - | - | -.07 (30) | 2.71 (62) | 63% (43) | 15% (16) | 1.1 (97) |
| MOST Offense | 3 | 46% (96) | 31% (129) | 31.3 | 68 | 2.2 | 0 (135) | -.09 (129) | 2.01 (130) | 60% (103) | 20% (136) | 1.21 (28) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LT Offense | 3 | 49% (66) | 30% (128) | 13.3 | 21.7 | 149 | 6.9 | 11.2 | 4 (72) | 1 (23) | .02 (127) | 1.2 (125) | 34% (107) | 16% (131) | - (123) | 7% (104) | 2 (72) |
| MOST Defense | 3 | 45% (37) | 49% (117) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 (56) | .67 (133) | 1.9 (123) | 29% (108) | 32% (86) | .66 (128) | 6% (62) | 2.8 (132) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LT Defense | 3 | 49% (63) | 43% (93) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5 (6) | .13 (48) | 1.2 (18) | 35% (52) | 33% (93) | .31 (82) | 10% (11) | 2 (71) |
| MOST Offense | 3 | 54% (42) | 40% (92) | 21.7 | 32.7 | 274 | 8.4 | 12.7 | 5 (54) | 6 (132) | .44 (36) | 2.2 (3) | 41% (132) | 35% (50) | .4 (55) | 6% (86) | 2.3 (28) |
Louisiana Tech's Power Ratings
Louisiana Tech's Power Rating: -8.47 #103
Louisiana Tech's Offense Rating: -0.42 #134
Louisiana Tech's Defense Rating: 8.05 #71
2025 Talent Rating: 472.00 #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #79
Louisiana Tech's 2025 Expected Record: 7.5 - 4.5
Louisiana Tech's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.1 #90
Louisiana Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #114
Louisiana Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #64
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Louisiana Tech's Power Rating: -8.47 #103
Louisiana Tech's Offense Rating: -0.42 #134
Louisiana Tech's Defense Rating: 8.05 #71
2025 Talent Rating: 472.00 #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #79
Louisiana Tech's 2025 Expected Record: 7.5 - 4.5
Louisiana Tech's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.1 #90
Louisiana Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #114
Louisiana Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #64
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Louisiana Tech: -8.47 Missouri State: -15.615
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisiana Tech: -6.1 Missouri State: -21.2
Louisiana Tech: -8.47 Missouri State: -15.615
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisiana Tech: -6.1 Missouri State: -21.2
Missouri State's Power Ratings
Missouri State's Power Rating: -15.615 #116
Missouri State's Offense Rating: 4.83 #106
Missouri State's Defense Rating: 19.86 #119
2025 Talent Rating: 310.00 #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #38
Missouri State's 2025 Expected Record: 4.3 - 7.7
Missouri State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.2 #129
Missouri State's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #106
Missouri State's Defense SP+ Rating: 43.1 #135
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Missouri State's Power Rating: -15.615 #116
Missouri State's Offense Rating: 4.83 #106
Missouri State's Defense Rating: 19.86 #119
2025 Talent Rating: 310.00 #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #38
Missouri State's 2025 Expected Record: 4.3 - 7.7
Missouri State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.2 #129
Missouri State's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #106
Missouri State's Defense SP+ Rating: 43.1 #135
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Louisiana Tech Scoring
Offense: 26.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 7
Defense: 12.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 23
Louisiana Tech's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Offense: 26.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 7
Defense: 12.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 23
Louisiana Tech's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Louisiana Tech 25
Missouri State 16
Total Points: 41
Louisiana Tech 25
Missouri State 16
Total Points: 41
Missouri State Scoring
Offense: 14.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 10
Defense: 40.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 28
Missouri State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 0
Offense: 14.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 10
Defense: 40.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 28
Missouri State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri State | 0 | 0 | 0 Overs |
| Louisiana Tech | 0 | 0 | 0 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 |
(#103) Louisiana Tech Info
Power Rating: -8.47 #103
Offense Rating: -0.42 #134
Defense Rating: 8.05 #71
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.1 #90
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #114
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #64
Talent Rating: 472.00 #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #79
Expected Record: 7.5 - 4.5
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 38%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.43 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Awful Pass Success 30%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 39%
Great in Scoring Position 1.45 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 36%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Louisiana Tech has lost 8 straight
Louisiana Tech has lost 5 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
Louisiana Tech Notes
(5/20) OC Franklin - a legend of tempo, simplicity
(5/2) TE Eli Finley a good target, best on team
(3/24) QB Bullock back, JAG. Baker depth
(3/24) RB Wiggins has exp. No portals? Yikes
(3/24) WR rebuild, some exp. 2 portal adds
(3/24) OL awful LY, 3/5 back. 2 FCS portals
(3/24) Def played well LY, loses a ton. 3 portals?
(3/24) HC Cumbie is killing this program.
Louisiana Tech Highlights
Louisiana Tech is Undefeated vs Spread
Louisiana Tech Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Louisiana Tech defense is really good in red zone (#6)
Louisiana Tech Front 7 is disruptive (#16)
Louisiana Tech Secondary is very good (#11)
Louisiana Tech has a great TO Margin (#11)
Louisiana Tech defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#6)
Louisiana Tech Deficiencies
Louisiana Tech Commits a Lot of Penalties (#131)
Louisiana Tech offense is really bad (#109)
Louisiana Tech offense is not Explosive (#133)
Louisiana Tech pass game is really bad (#128)
Power Rating: -8.47 #103
Offense Rating: -0.42 #134
Defense Rating: 8.05 #71
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.1 #90
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #114
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #64
Talent Rating: 472.00 #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #79
Expected Record: 7.5 - 4.5
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 38%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.43 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Awful Pass Success 30%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 39%
Great in Scoring Position 1.45 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 36%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Louisiana Tech has lost 8 straight
Louisiana Tech has lost 5 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
Louisiana Tech Notes
(5/20) OC Franklin - a legend of tempo, simplicity
(5/2) TE Eli Finley a good target, best on team
(3/24) QB Bullock back, JAG. Baker depth
(3/24) RB Wiggins has exp. No portals? Yikes
(3/24) WR rebuild, some exp. 2 portal adds
(3/24) OL awful LY, 3/5 back. 2 FCS portals
(3/24) Def played well LY, loses a ton. 3 portals?
(3/24) HC Cumbie is killing this program.
Louisiana Tech Highlights
Louisiana Tech is Undefeated vs Spread
Louisiana Tech Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Louisiana Tech defense is really good in red zone (#6)
Louisiana Tech Front 7 is disruptive (#16)
Louisiana Tech Secondary is very good (#11)
Louisiana Tech has a great TO Margin (#11)
Louisiana Tech defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#6)
Louisiana Tech Deficiencies
Louisiana Tech Commits a Lot of Penalties (#131)
Louisiana Tech offense is really bad (#109)
Louisiana Tech offense is not Explosive (#133)
Louisiana Tech pass game is really bad (#128)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | MOST | LT |
| OverallOver | #103 | #41 |
| OffenseOff | #102 | #46 |
| DefenseDef | #89 | #48 |
| Special TeamsST | #102 | #28 |
| PassingPass | #70 | #91 |
| RushingRush | #104 | #5 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #116 | #25 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #80 | #98 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #63 | #85 |
| TacklingTkl | #113 | #38 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #73 | #44 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #106 | #82 |
| Coverage DefCov | #75 | #32 |
(#116) Missouri State Info
Power Rating: -15.615 #116
Offense Rating: 4.83 #106
Defense Rating: 19.86 #119
Overall SP+ Rating: -21.2 #129
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #106
Defense SP+ Rating: 43.1 #135
Talent Rating: 310.00 #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #38
Expected Record: 4.3 - 7.7
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 36%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 1.63 PPO
Awful Run Success 31%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Awful in Scoring Position 5 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 44%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Missouri State has lost 9 straight
Missouri State has lost 5 straight at Home
Record at home: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
Missouri State Notes
(4/7) Bears use WR1 a ton, BlackStrain (GT) that guy
(4/7) RB Lawrence (FIU) starts, watch Fr King Davis
(3/26) QB Clark back, 3K yds, 26 TD. Looks good
(3/26) WR/TE some exp, TE Mason good. 1 portal
(3/26) OL no clue, looks really weak, no portals
(3/26) Def limited, lots of shootouts LY. Some exp
(3/26) HC Beard in his 3rd, improved to 8-4 LY.
(3/26) Passing offense was 2nd in FCS 39 PPG LY
(3/26) Bears were a middling FCS program, why FBS?
Missouri State Highlights
Missouri State is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Missouri State is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
Missouri State offense is explosive (#2)
Missouri State Deficiencies
Missouri State has a really bad Offense
Missouri State has a really bad Offense at Home
Missouri State has a bad TO Margin (#125)
Missouri State Can Not Run the Ball (#132)
Missouri State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#132)
Missouri State offense is really bad (#121)
Missouri State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#135)
Missouri State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#131)
Missouri State run game is really bad (#129)
Missouri State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Missouri State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Missouri State has a bad defense (#113)
Missouri State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#112)
Missouri State Does Not Stuff Runs (#123)
Missouri State has a bad defensive line (#115)
Missouri State has a bad red zone defense (#121)
Power Rating: -15.615 #116
Offense Rating: 4.83 #106
Defense Rating: 19.86 #119
Overall SP+ Rating: -21.2 #129
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #106
Defense SP+ Rating: 43.1 #135
Talent Rating: 310.00 #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #38
Expected Record: 4.3 - 7.7
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 36%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 1.63 PPO
Awful Run Success 31%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Awful in Scoring Position 5 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 44%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Missouri State has lost 9 straight
Missouri State has lost 5 straight at Home
Record at home: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
Missouri State Notes
(4/7) Bears use WR1 a ton, BlackStrain (GT) that guy
(4/7) RB Lawrence (FIU) starts, watch Fr King Davis
(3/26) QB Clark back, 3K yds, 26 TD. Looks good
(3/26) WR/TE some exp, TE Mason good. 1 portal
(3/26) OL no clue, looks really weak, no portals
(3/26) Def limited, lots of shootouts LY. Some exp
(3/26) HC Beard in his 3rd, improved to 8-4 LY.
(3/26) Passing offense was 2nd in FCS 39 PPG LY
(3/26) Bears were a middling FCS program, why FBS?
Missouri State Highlights
Missouri State is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Missouri State is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
Missouri State offense is explosive (#2)
Missouri State Deficiencies
Missouri State has a really bad Offense
Missouri State has a really bad Offense at Home
Missouri State has a bad TO Margin (#125)
Missouri State Can Not Run the Ball (#132)
Missouri State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#132)
Missouri State offense is really bad (#121)
Missouri State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#135)
Missouri State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#131)
Missouri State run game is really bad (#129)
Missouri State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Missouri State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Missouri State has a bad defense (#113)
Missouri State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#112)
Missouri State Does Not Stuff Runs (#123)
Missouri State has a bad defensive line (#115)
Missouri State has a bad red zone defense (#121)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Kukuk | 28 | 40 | 70% | 224 | 2 | 1 | 5.6 |
| Blake Baker | 11 | 24 | 46% | 228 | 2 | 0 | 9.5 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clay Thevenin | 24 | 151 | 1 | 6.3 | 33 |
| Blake Baker | 21 | 116 | 1 | 5.5 | 38 |
| Trey Kukuk | 25 | 104 | 0 | 4.2 | 24 |
| Omiri Wiggins | 22 | 72 | 1 | 3.3 | 17 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Gandy (Tr) | 3 | 78 | 1 | 26.0 | 33 |
| Eli Finley | 8 | 77 | 0 | 9.6 | 23 |
| David Pierro | 3 | 64 | 0 | 21.3 | 56 |
| Marques Singleton Jr. | 9 | 58 | 0 | 6.4 | 13 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kolbe Fields | 29 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Mekhi Mason | 23 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Sifa Leota | 17 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Jacob Fields | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mekhi Mason | 23 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Jadon Mayfield | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Kameron Carter | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Christian Davis | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jhamal Shelby Jr. | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Jacob Fields | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Sifa Leota | 17 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Clark | 60 | 92 | 65% | 781 | 5 | 6 | 8.5 |
| Cole Feuerbacher | 4 | 4 | 100% | 12 | 0 | 0 | 3.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shomari Lawrence (Tr) | 42 | 143 | 0 | 3.4 | 23 |
| Ramone Green Jr. | 10 | 34 | 0 | 3.4 | 12 |
| Jmariyae Robinson | 1 | 21 | 0 | 21.0 | 21 |
| Reggie Branch | 4 | 20 | 0 | 5.0 | 9 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ramone Green Jr. | 9 | 164 | 1 | 18.2 | 57 |
| Jmariyae Robinson | 9 | 164 | 1 | 18.2 | 52 |
| Alred Luke | 10 | 129 | 1 | 12.9 | 27 |
| Tristian Gardner | 7 | 104 | 1 | 14.9 | 33 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maguire Neal | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Thomas Anderson | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Christian Ford (Tr) | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jared Lloyd | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Toney | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Caleb Dietlin | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jared Lloyd | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Maguire Neal | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Dunbar (Tr) | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Davon Townley Jr. | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Mitchell Toney | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 |