New Mexico State Aggies at Liberty Flames
Tuesday, October 14th 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
Liberty -10.5 (48.5) (-440) Open: -9.5
Liberty 30 - New Mexico State: 27 (Conference USA)
Aggies (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tony Sanchez (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 22 - 28 (20 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)
Coach Tony Sanchez (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 22 - 28 (20 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)
NMSU coming off BYE
Our Line: Liberty -8 (SP+ LIB -7)
Projected Score: NMSU: 21 - LIB: 29 (50)
LIB Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
NMSU Travel: 1597 miles, 2 hrs behind
Our Line: Liberty -8 (SP+ LIB -7)
Projected Score: NMSU: 21 - LIB: 29 (50)
LIB Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
NMSU Travel: 1597 miles, 2 hrs behind
Flames (4 - 8) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Jamey Chadwell (21 - 5)
Avg Score : 26 - 27 (32 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)
Coach Jamey Chadwell (21 - 5)
Avg Score : 26 - 27 (32 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)
| New Mexico State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | New Mexico State vs Bryant | -19.5 | 52.5 | W 19 - 3 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | New Mexico State vs Tulsa | +3.0 | 52.5 | W 21 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | New Mexico State at Louisiana Tech | +10.0 | 42.5 | L 14 - 49 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/27 | New Mexico State at New Mexico | +16.5 | 53.5 | L 20 - 38 | O | N | |
| Thu 10/2 | New Mexico State vs Sam Houston | +1.5 | 53.5 | W 37 - 10 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/14 | New Mexico State at Liberty | +10.5 | 48.5 | L 27 - 30 | O | Y | |
| Wed 10/22 | New Mexico State vs Missouri State | +2.5 | 51.5 | L 17 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/1 | New Mexico State at Western Kentucky | +7.5 | 53.5 | L 16 - 35 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/8 | New Mexico State vs Kennesaw State | +11.5 | 52.5 | L 21 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/15 | New Mexico State at Tennessee | +41.5 | 59.5 | L 9 - 42 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/22 | New Mexico State at UTEP | +4.0 | 44.5 | W 34 - 31 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/29 | New Mexico State vs Middle Tennessee | -3.5 | 52.0 | L 24 - 31 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Predictions for New Mexico State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
| Liberty's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Liberty vs Maine | -25.5 | 51.0 | W 28 - 7 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Liberty at Jacksonville State | -6.0 | 50.5 | L 24 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Liberty at Bowling Green | -6.0 | 51.5 | L 13 - 23 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | Liberty vs James Madison | +7.5 | 46.5 | L 13 - 31 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/27 | Liberty at Old Dominion | +14.5 | 53.5 | L 7 - 21 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 10/8 | Liberty at UTEP | -1.5 | 46.5 | W 19 - 8 | U | Y | |
| Tue 10/14 | Liberty vs New Mexico State | -10.5 | 48.5 | W 30 - 27 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/1 | Liberty vs Delaware | -3.5 | 52.5 | W 59 - 30 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/8 | Liberty vs Missouri State | -7.5 | 51.5 | L 17 - 21 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/15 | Liberty at Florida International | -2.5 | 51.5 | L 27 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/22 | Liberty at Louisiana Tech | -1.5 | 45.5 | L 28 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/29 | Liberty vs Kennesaw State | +2.5 | 55.5 | L 42 - 48 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Predictions for Liberty's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Important Stats (2025)
Overall Stats 2025
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NMSU | #124 (.05) | 37% (123) | 21.6 | 33% (135) | 2.13 (134) | 77 | 40% (92) | 250 | 3.21 (113) | #41 (.11) | 42% (72) | 27.6 | 41% (54) | 44% (106) | 3.29 (36) | 54.4 | 2 | 1.9 |
| LIB | #73 (.17) | 44% (50) | 25.6 | 47% (39) | 2.91 (74) | 193 | 40% (86) | 196 | 3.68 (73) | #101 (.21) | 42% (69) | 26.5 | 45% (95) | 39% (41) | 3.55 (58) | 55.6 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NMSU | #119 (.08) | 39% (106) | 46% (41) | 3.33 (21) | 179 | 30% (132) | 143 | 3.8 (82) | #115 (.26) | 41% (64) | 43% (69) | 40% (68) | 3.7 (60) | 48.1 | 1.9 | 0.8 | ||
| LIB | #24 (.26) | 50% (7) | 54% (2) | 3.56 (7) | 238 | 43% (60) | 161 | 4.21 (43) | #24 (.1) | 39% (39) | 39% (30) | 40% (66) | 3.68 (58) | 64.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NMSU Offense | 12 | 21.6 | 20 | 36.7% | 3.21 | 2 | 20 | 328 | 77 | 250 | 2.6 | 39% | 59% | 33% | 40% | 20% | .05 |
| LIB Defense | 12 | 26.5 | 27.3 | 41.7% | 3.55 | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | - | 54% | 44% | 45% | 39% | 13% | .21 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NMSU Defense | 12 | 27.6 | 37.5 | 42% | 3.29 | 1.9 | - | - | - | - | - | 50% | 48% | 41% | 44% | 16% | .11 |
| LIB Offense | 12 | 25.6 | 31.5 | 43.9% | 3.68 | 1.8 | 20 | 389 | 193 | 196 | 4.6 | 58% | 40% | 47% | 40% | 16% | .17 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico State | 12 | 30:05 | 20.3 | 42% | 41% | 6.2 | 54.4 | 2 | 1.9 | 5 | 1.5 | 1 | 28.4 |
| Liberty | 12 | 30:39 | 20.3 | 40% | 52% | 6.2 | 55.6 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 4.1 | 1.3 | 1 | 29.1 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NMSU Offense | 12 | 39% (130) | 33% (135) | 29.7 | 77.4 | 2.6 | 9 (132) | -.09 (135) | 2.13 (134) | 69% (88) | 11% (106) | 0.91 (88) |
| LIB Defense | 12 | 54% (114) | 45% (95) | - | - | - | - | .19 (117) | 3.18 (115) | 72% (75) | 8% (123) | 1.01 (93) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NMSU Defense | 12 | 50% (60) | 41% (54) | - | - | - | - | (15) | 2.99 (92) | 71% (69) | 9% (106) | 0.92 (46) |
| LIB Offense | 12 | 58% (13) | 47% (39) | 41.7 | 193 | 4.6 | 25 (99) | .18 (37) | 2.91 (74) | 73% (62) | 9% (54) | 0.98 (62) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NMSU Offense | 12 | 59% (7) | 40% (92) | 23 | 39.3 | 250.3 | 6.4 | 10.9 | 17 (86) | 16 (34) | .17 (111) | 1.4 (109) | 36% (130) | 27% (108) | .2 (106) | 10% (136) | 1.9 (100) |
| LIB Defense | 12 | 44% (22) | 39% (41) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7 (55) | .25 (68) | 1.6 (106) | 31% (80) | 32% (102) | .5 (133) | 6% (76) | 2.3 (134) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NMSU Defense | 12 | 48% (64) | 44% (106) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 15 (31) | .26 (77) | 1.5 (42) | 31% (69) | 27% (28) | .23 (47) | 7% (24) | 2.1 (103) |
| LIB Offense | 12 | 40% (123) | 40% (86) | 14.5 | 26.3 | 195.5 | 7.4 | 13.5 | 11 (114) | 13 (88) | .21 (87) | 1.5 (69) | 29% (26) | 31% (67) | .27 (82) | 7% (106) | 2 (83) |
New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: -11.44 #117
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: 2.60 #108
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: 14.04 #105
2025 Talent Rating: 306.00 #132
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
New Mexico State's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
New Mexico State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2 #124
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #113
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #119
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
New Mexico State's Power Rating: -11.44 #117
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: 2.60 #108
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: 14.04 #105
2025 Talent Rating: 306.00 #132
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
New Mexico State's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
New Mexico State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2 #124
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #113
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #119
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: -11.44 Liberty: -5.5
SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: -15.2 Liberty: -8.4
New Mexico State: -11.44 Liberty: -5.5
SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: -15.2 Liberty: -8.4
Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: -5.5 #97
Liberty's Offense Rating: 4.58 #93
Liberty's Defense Rating: 12.18 #96
2025 Talent Rating: 606.00 #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Liberty's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Liberty's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.4 #98
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.9 #86
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.0 #103
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Liberty's Power Rating: -5.5 #97
Liberty's Offense Rating: 4.58 #93
Liberty's Defense Rating: 12.18 #96
2025 Talent Rating: 606.00 #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Liberty's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Liberty's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.4 #98
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.9 #86
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.0 #103
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 27.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.5
New Mexico State's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 27.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.5
New Mexico State's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Liberty 29
New Mexico State 21
Total Points: 50
Based on Last 4 Games
Liberty 24
New Mexico State 23
Total Points: 47
Based on Entire Season
Liberty 31
New Mexico State 24
Total Points: 55
Liberty 29
New Mexico State 21
Total Points: 50
Based on Last 4 Games
Liberty 24
New Mexico State 23
Total Points: 47
Based on Entire Season
Liberty 31
New Mexico State 24
Total Points: 55
Liberty Scoring
Offense: 25.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.5
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3
Liberty's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Offense: 25.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.5
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3
Liberty's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 10/14 | Liberty | 30 | New Mexico State | 27 | Liberty -10.5 | New Mexico State | 48.5 | Over |
| 2024 | 09/07 | New Mexico State | 24 | Liberty | 30 | Liberty -22.5 | New Mexico State | 54.5 | Under |
| 2023 | 09/09 | Liberty | 33 | New Mexico State | 17 | Liberty -9 | Liberty | 54.5 | Under |
| 2023 | 12/01 | Liberty | 49 | New Mexico State | 35 | Liberty -10.5 | Liberty | 54.0 | Over |
| 2022 | 11/26 | Liberty | 14 | New Mexico State | 49 | Liberty -24.0 | New Mexico State | 51.0 | Over |
| 2019 | 10/05 | New Mexico State | 13 | Liberty | 20 | Liberty -4.5 | Liberty | 62.5 | Under |
| 2019 | 11/30 | Liberty | 49 | New Mexico State | 28 | Liberty -14.5 | Liberty | 68.0 | Over |
| 2018 | 10/06 | New Mexico State | 49 | Liberty | 41 | Liberty -3 | New Mexico State | 64.0 | Over |
| 2018 | 11/24 | Liberty | 28 | New Mexico State | 21 | Liberty -7 | Push | 72.5 | Under |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liberty | 7 | 4 | 5 Overs |
| New Mexico State | 2 | 4 | 4 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 6 - 3 | 5 - 3 | 3 - 2 | 2 - 1 |
| Road Teams | 3 - 6 | 3 - 5 | 1 - 2 | 2 - 3 |
| Overall StatsOvr | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | NMSU | LIB |
| Power RatePwr | #117 | #97 |
| SP+SP+ | #124 | #98 |
| Perf GradeGrade | #110 | #67 |
| OffenseOff | #125 | #60 |
| DefenseDef | #61 | #83 |
| Spec TeamsST | #29 | #103 |
| TalentTal | #132 | #93 |
| Blue ChipsBC% | #101 | #88 |
(10/22) Must have nothing at backup QB, Fife is unplayable
(10/22) RB Calloway lacks vision & does not fight for yards
(10/22) DC Joe Morris doing incredible things, wasted by Off
(10/14) Hard L @ Liberty, box score W, held to 3-10 on 3rd
(10/14) Special teams an utter disaster vs Liberty, cost game
(10/8) DL Peterson & Christensen are top 10 in QB Hurries
(10/3) Def bows up and makes plays. Good Def Success #'s
(10/2) QB Fife threw some dimes under pressure vs SHSU
(9/24) Pass 60%, Run Off worst in CFB in Success
(9/24) QB Fife has been OK, has 2 WR & TE look decent
(9/24) Def much improved esp vs Run, top 20 Success
(10/14) Lucky W vs NMSU, OG'd, only 3-10 on 3rd, KR TD
(10/14) QB Ethan Vasko JAG-, even rushing has regressed
(9/25) QB Vasko ? for ODU game, inj vs JMU
(9/20) QUIT WATCH. 1-3, QBs are awful, Off sucks
(9/20) Team this talented should not be this bad
(9/14) Awful situational team. TO's, FP, RZ issues
(9/7) Run Def awful, gave up 370+ in L to Jax St
(7/11) Losing DE Bush in spring a blow, Bazile good
(4/7) Fr QB Houck a goal line runner that will play
(4/7) RB rebuild. Blue some exp, Gray moved from WR
(4/7) QB Vasko (C Car) vs Merdinger (NC) for QB1
| Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 39% | ||
|---|---|---|
| NMSU Off | LIB Def | |
| Perf GradePerf | #125 | #83 |
| SuccessSuc | #123 | #69 |
| ExplosiveExp | #57 | #98 |
| PPAPPA | #124 | #101 |
| PowerPwr | #108 | #96 |
| SP+SP+ | #113 | #103 |
| Pts POPPO | #113 | #58 |
| HavocHav | #133 | #116 |
| Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 39% | ||
|---|---|---|
| NMSU Off | LIB Def | |
| Run GameRun | #135 | #99 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | #135 | #95 |
| Run ExplRExp | #88 | #93 |
| PPAExp | #135 | #117 | Run BlockR Blk | #95 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | #134 | #115 |
| Stuff RateStuff | #134 | #89 |
| TackleTak | - | #66 |
| Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 39% | ||
|---|---|---|
| NMSU Off | LIB Def | |
| Pass GamePass | #98 | #35 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | #92 | #41 |
| Pass ExplPExl | #109 | #106 |
| PPAExp | #111 | #68 |
| Pass Rush/BlockP Blk | #125 | #93 |
| F7 HavocF7 | #106 | #123 |
| DB HavocDB | #136 | #76 |
| Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40% | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | LIB Off | NMSU Def |
| Perf GradePerf | #60 | #61 |
| SuccessSuc | #50 | #72 |
| ExplosiveExp | #101 | #46 |
| PPAPPA | #73 | #41 |
| PowerPwr | #93 | #105 |
| SP+SP+ | #86 | #119 |
| Pts POPPO | #73 | #36 |
| HavocHav | #76 | #70 |
| Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40% | ||
|---|---|---|
| LIB Off | NMSU Def | |
| Run GameRun | #55 | #92 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | #39 | #54 |
| Run ExplRExp | #62 | #46 |
| PPAExp | #37 | #15 | Run BlockR Blk | #34 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | #74 | #92 |
| Stuff RateStuff | #42 | #60 |
| TackleTak | - | #47 |
| Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40% | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | LIB Off | NMSU Def |
| Pass GamePass | #114 | #41 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | #86 | #106 |
| Pass ExplPExl | #69 | #42 |
| PPAExp | #87 | #77 |
| Pass Block/RushP Blk | #95 | #47 |
| F7 HavocF7 | #54 | #106 |
| DB HavocDB | #106 | #24 |
Program Comparison
LIB 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5
NMSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Poor G5
LIB 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5
NMSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Poor G5
Weather Forecast
Playing in Williams Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 63°
Playing in Williams Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 63°
Liberty -10.5 (48.5)
Liberty won vs New Mexico State this year (30-27)
Previous Matchups
Liberty beat New Mexico State last year (30-24)
Liberty beat New Mexico State in 2023 (49-35)
New Mexico State beat Liberty in 2022 (49-14)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Fife (Tr) | 203 | 361 | 56% | 2232 | 11 | 12 | 6.2 |
| Adam Damante | 70 | 104 | 67% | 711 | 5 | 4 | 6.8 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kadarius Calloway (Tr) | 117 | 450 | 3 | 3.8 | 29 |
| Dijon Stanley (Tr) | 73 | 297 | 2 | 4.1 | 57 |
| Isaiah Rudison | 42 | 158 | 2 | 3.8 | 36 |
| Tyler King (Tr) | 8 | 18 | 0 | 2.3 | 13 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Faupel | 61 | 661 | 7 | 10.8 | 55 |
| Tyler King (Tr) | 41 | 588 | 3 | 14.3 | 64 |
| Gavin Harris (Tr) | 36 | 514 | 1 | 14.3 | 34 |
| Glynn Johnson Jr | 27 | 335 | 3 | 12.4 | 40 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naeten Mitchell | 92 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Tory Gethers | 87 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Sone Aupiu | 68 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| Nicolas Sessions | 61 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ezra Christensen (Tr) | 41 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 2 |
| Jamall Thompson | 61 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| Tory Gethers | 87 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Ta'Avili Tuitama | 19 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naeten Mitchell | 92 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Zechariah Rodriguez-Brown | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Stilton McKelvey | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Vasko (Tr) | 151 | 266 | 57% | 1961 | 10 | 12 | 7.4 |
| Michael Merdinger (Tr) | 21 | 41 | 51% | 350 | 1 | 0 | 8.5 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Dickens (Tr) | 228 | 1325 | 16 | 5.8 | 95 |
| Ethan Vasko (Tr) | 100 | 258 | 5 | 2.6 | 24 |
| Caden Williams | 56 | 243 | 0 | 4.3 | 25 |
| Vaughn Blue | 47 | 234 | 2 | 5.0 | 22 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donte Lee Jr | 32 | 589 | 5 | 18.4 | 62 |
| Jamari Person (Tr) | 28 | 315 | 0 | 11.3 | 20 |
| Julian Gray | 18 | 218 | 1 | 12.1 | 72 |
| Reese Smith | 23 | 209 | 1 | 9.1 | 23 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrell Farrar (Tr) | 71 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Joseph Carter | 53 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Damond Harmon | 48 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| Christian Bodnar | 44 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Hall | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| Brenton Williams | 27 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Christian Bodnar | 44 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| CJ Bazile Jr. | 27 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damond Harmon | 48 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| Brylan Green | 39 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Amarian Williams | 29 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 |