Bryant at New Mexico State - 2025 Matchup Preview

Bryant Bulldogs at New Mexico State Aggies

Saturday, August 30th 2025 (9:00 PM EDT)
New Mexico State -19.5 (52.5) (-1200) Open: -19.5 | 53.5
New Mexico State 19 - Bryant: 3

Bulldogs (1 - 1) (2 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 15 - 23 (15 - 23 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -11 (SP+ NMSU -15)
NMSU Win prob: 88% | Cover: 46%

Aggies (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tony Sanchez (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 22 - 28 (23 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)

Matchup
Schedules
BRY Players
NMSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Bryant's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Bryant at New Mexico State	+19.5	52.5	L 3 - 19	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Bryant at Massachusetts	+14.5	52.0	W 27 - 26	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Bryant's Schedule

New Mexico State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	New Mexico State vs Bryant	-19.5	52.5	W 19 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/6	New Mexico State vs Tulsa	+3.0	52.5	W 21 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/13	New Mexico State at Louisiana Tech	+10.0	42.5	L 14 - 49	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27	New Mexico State at New Mexico	+16.5	53.5	L 20 - 38	O	N
Thu 10/2	New Mexico State vs Sam Houston	+1.5	53.5	W 37 - 10	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14	New Mexico State at Liberty	+10.5	48.5	L 27 - 30	O	Y
Wed 10/22	New Mexico State vs Missouri State	+2.5	51.5	L 17 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/1	New Mexico State at Western Kentucky	+7.5	53.5	L 16 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/8	New Mexico State vs Kennesaw State	+11.5	52.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/15	New Mexico State at Tennessee	+41.5	59.5	L 9 - 42	U	Y
Sat 11/22	New Mexico State at UTEP	+4.0	44.5	W 34 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/29	New Mexico State vs Middle Tennessee	-3.5	52.0	L 24 - 31	O	N

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 9
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 8
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for New Mexico State's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BRY		0%	15	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	22.5	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NMSU	#124 (.05)	37% (123)	21.6	33% (135)	2.13 (134)	77	40% (92)	250	3.21 (113)	#41 (.11)	42% (72)	27.6	41% (54)	44% (106)	3.29 (36)	54.4	2	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BRY		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NMSU	#119 (.08)	39% (106)		46% (41)	3.33 (21)	179	30% (132)	143	3.8 (82)	#115 (.26)	41% (64)		43% (69)	40% (68)	3.7 (60)	48.1	1.9	0.8

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BRY Offense	2	15	15	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
NMSU Defense	12	27.6	17.7	42%	3.29	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	50%	48%	41%	44%	16%	.11

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BRY Defense	2	22.5	22.5	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
NMSU Offense	12	21.6	23.2	36.7%	3.21	2	20	328	77	250	2.6	39%	59%	33%	40%	20%	.05

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Bryant	2	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
New Mexico State	12	30:05	20.3	42%	41%	6.2	54.4	2	1.9	5	1.5	1	28.4

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BRY Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
NMSU Defense	12	50% (60)	41% (54)	-	-	-	-	(15)	2.99 (92)	71% (69)	9% (106)	0.92 (46)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BRY Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
NMSU Offense	12	39% (130)	33% (135)	29.7	77.4	2.6	9 (132)	-.09 (135)	2.13 (134)	69% (88)	11% (106)	0.91 (88)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BRY Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
NMSU Defense	12	48% (64)	44% (106)	-	-	-	-	-	-	15 (31)	.26 (77)	1.5 (42)	31% (69)	27% (28)	.23 (47)	7% (24)	2.1 (103)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BRY Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
NMSU Offense	12	59% (7)	40% (92)	23	39.3	250.3	6.4	10.9	17 (86)	16 (34)	.17 (111)	1.4 (109)	36% (130)	27% (108)	.2 (106)	10% (136)	1.9 (100)

Bryant's Power Ratings
Bryant's Power Rating: NR
Bryant's Offense Rating: NR
Bryant's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Bryant's 2025 Expected Record: -
Bryant's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Bryant's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Bryant's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big South Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Bryant: New Mexico State: -10.82

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bryant: New Mexico State: -15.2

New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: -10.82 #117
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: 2.60 #108
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: 14.04 #105
2025 Talent Rating: 306.00 #132
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
New Mexico State's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
New Mexico State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2 #124
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #113
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #119

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Bryant Scoring
Offense: 15 PPG
Offense on Road: 15
Defense: 22.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.5

Bryant's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
New Mexico State 28
Bryant 25

Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
New Mexico State 34
Bryant 30

Total Points: 64

Based on Entire Season
New Mexico State 22
Bryant 19

Total Points: 41

New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.2
Defense: 27.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7

New Mexico State's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	08/30	New Mexico State	19	Bryant	3	New Mexico State -19.5	Bryant	52.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
New Mexico State	1	0	0 Overs
Bryant	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#NR) BRY at (#117) NMSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BRY	NMSU
Power RatePwr	NR	#117
SP+SP+	NR	#124
Perf GradeGrade	NR	#110
OffenseOff	NR	#125
DefenseDef	NR	#61
Spec TeamsST	NR	#29
TalentTal	NR	#132
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	#101

Bryant Injury Report

New Mexico State Notes(10/22) Run Off worst in CFB, Pass Off avg, Expl plays or bust
(10/22) Must have nothing at backup QB, Fife is unplayable
(10/22) RB Calloway lacks vision & does not fight for yards
(10/22) DC Joe Morris doing incredible things, wasted by Off
(10/14) Hard L @ Liberty, box score W, held to 3-10 on 3rd
(10/14) Special teams an utter disaster vs Liberty, cost game
(10/8) DL Peterson & Christensen are top 10 in QB Hurries
(10/3) Def bows up and makes plays. Good Def Success #'s
(10/2) QB Fife threw some dimes under pressure vs SHSU
(9/24) Pass 60%, Run Off worst in CFB in Success
(9/24) QB Fife has been OK, has 2 WR & TE look decent
(9/24) Def much improved esp vs Run, top 20 Success
New Mexico State Injury Report

Bryant on Offense


CategoryCat	BRY Off	NMSU Def
Perf GradePerf	NR	#61
SuccessSuc	NR	#72
ExplosiveExp	NR	#46
PPAPPA	NR	#41
PowerPwr	NR	#105
SP+SP+	NR	#119
Pts POPPO	NR	#36
HavocHav	NR	#70

Bryant Run Game


CategoryCat	BRY Off	NMSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	#92
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	#54
Run ExplRExp	NR	#46
PPAExp	NR	#15
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	#92
Stuff RateStuff	NR	#60
TackleTak	-	#47

Bryant Pass Game


CategoryCat	BRY Off	NMSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	#41
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	#106
Pass ExplPExl	NR	#42
PPAExp	NR	#77
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	#47
F7 HavocF7	NR	#106
DB HavocDB	NR	#24

New Mexico State on Offense

Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 39%
CategoryCat	NMSU Off	BRY Def
Perf GradePerf	#125	NR
SuccessSuc	#123	NR
ExplosiveExp	#57	NR
PPAPPA	#124	NR
PowerPwr	#108	NR
SP+SP+	#113	NR
Pts POPPO	#113	NR
HavocHav	#133	NR

New Mexico State Run Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 39%
CategoryCat	NMSU Off	BRY Def
Run GameRun	#135	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#135	NR
Run ExplRExp	#88	NR
PPAExp	#135	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#95	-
OL YdsOLY	#134	NR
Stuff RateStuff	#134	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

New Mexico State Pass Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 39%
CategoryCat	NMSU Off	BRY Def
Pass GamePass	#98	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#92	NR
Pass ExplPExl	#109	NR
PPAExp	#111	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#125	NR
F7 HavocF7	#106	NR
DB HavocDB	#136	NR

Program Comparison
NMSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Poor G5

BRY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Aggie Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 81° - Wind: 6 mph

Rematch from Week 1
New Mexico State -19.5 (52.5)
New Mexico State won vs Bryant this year (19-3)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

BRY's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Brennan Myer	103	180	57%	1193	7	7	6.6
Jaden Keefner	67	128	52%	821	4	3	6.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Elijah Elliott	205	805	12	3.9	46
Dylan Kedzior	36	211	3	5.9	49
Jaden Keefner	44	201	2	4.6	18
Grant Robinson	55	182	2	3.3	12

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Zyheem Collick	35	670	4	19.1	72
Tristen Riley	46	483	2	10.5	48
Aldrich Doe	37	467	2	12.6	35
Elijah Elliott	44	380	2	8.6	59

View Bryant's Full Roster

BRY's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Brandon Perkins (Tr)	20	2	0	0
Lonnie Rice	12	1	1	0
Azarel Juste	11	1	1	1
Liam Lindo (Tr)	9	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Michael Otty	7	3	2	1
Beau Shugarts	1	1	1	0
Gideon Bedada	2	1	1	2
Brandon Perkins (Tr)	20	2	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Kaden Hamilton	2	0	0	1
Azarel Juste	11	1	1	1
Liam Lindo (Tr)	9	0	0	1

NMSU's OC Tyler Wright (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Logan Fife (Tr)	203	361	56%	2232	11	12	6.2
Adam Damante	70	104	67%	711	5	4	6.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kadarius Calloway (Tr)	117	450	3	3.8	29
Dijon Stanley (Tr)	73	297	2	4.1	57
Isaiah Rudison	42	158	2	3.8	36
Tyler King (Tr)	8	18	0	2.3	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Donovan Faupel	61	661	7	10.8	55
Tyler King (Tr)	41	588	3	14.3	64
Gavin Harris (Tr)	36	514	1	14.3	34
Glynn Johnson Jr	27	335	3	12.4	40

View New Mexico State's Full Roster

NMSU's DC Joe Morris (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Naeten Mitchell	92	2	0	0	7
Tory Gethers	87	5	3	1	2
Sone Aupiu	68	6	1	3	4
Nicolas Sessions	61	3	0	1	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ezra Christensen (Tr)	41	11	5	10	2
Jamall Thompson	61	8	4	4	0
Tory Gethers	87	5	3	1	2
Ta'Avili Tuitama	19	4	2	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Naeten Mitchell	92	2	7
Zechariah Rodriguez-Brown	17	3	6
Stilton McKelvey	18	2	5