Missouri State at Marshall Game Matchup
Missouri State logo Missouri State Bears at Marshall Thundering HerdMarshall logo
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Joan C. Edwards Stadium - Huntington, WV

 
Bears (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Ryan Beard (12 - 11)
Avg Score : 34 - 42 (34 - 42 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.7 - 7.3 (#124)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
MOST 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: Marshall -3.5   (SP+ MRSH -8)
Projected Score: MOST: 31 - MRSH: 35 (66)
MRSH Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
MOST Travel: 598 miles, 1 hrs behind
Thundering Herd (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Tony Gibson (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 32 - 23 (36 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#120)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
 
Missouri State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Missouri State at USC+32.50.0
Sat 9/6 Missouri State at Marshall+3.5
Sat 9/13 Missouri State vs SMU+29.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Missouri State vs Western Kentucky+4
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/8 Missouri State at Middle Tennessee+3.5
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/22 Missouri State at New Mexico State+2
Wed 10/29 Missouri State vs Florida International+1
Sat 11/8 Missouri State at Liberty+21
Sat 11/15 Missouri State vs UTEP+2
Sat 11/22 Missouri State at Kennesaw State+0
Sat 11/29 Missouri State vs Louisiana Tech-0.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 8
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Missouri State's Schedule
Marshall's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Marshall at Georgia+39.50.0
Sat 9/6 Marshall vs Missouri State-3.5
Sat 9/13 Marshall vs Eastern Kentucky-6.5
Sat 9/20 Marshall at Middle Tennessee+2
Sat 9/27 Marshall at Louisiana+13
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Marshall vs Old Dominion+4.5
Sat 10/18 Marshall vs Texas State+10
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/30 Marshall at Coastal Carolina+8.5
Sat 11/8 Marshall vs James Madison+16.5
Sat 11/15 Marshall at Georgia State+3
Sat 11/22 Marshall at App State+5.5
Sat 11/29 Marshall vs Georgia Southern+11

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Marshall's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MOST0%340%000%000%420%0%0000
MRSH#60 (.21)43% (66)31.845% (47)3.35 (18)20340% (88)1813.93 (66)#47 (.13)40% (46)23.143% (75)37% (21)3.87 (79)42.50.71.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MOST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MRSH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MOST Offense134340%00000000%0%0%0%0%
MRSH Defense1323.120.340%3.871.5 - - - - - 53%46%43%37%19%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MOST Defense142420%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
MRSH Offense1331.836.342.9%3.930.7203842031815.259%41%45%40%13%.21

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Missouri State10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Marshall1328:3919.840%59%5.442.50.71.56.62.6231.1
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MOST Offense10%0%000000%0%0
MRSH Defense1353% (99)43% (75) - - - - .17 (93)2.95 (57)70% (50)12% (30)1.11 (118)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MOST Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
MRSH Offense1359% (12)45% (47)38.8202.55.221 (59).22 (27)3.35 (18)76% (49)8% (32)1.06 (39)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MOST Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
MRSH Defense1346% (37)37% (21) - - - - - - 13 (31).13 (23)1.6 (58)34% (37)26% (14).24 (40)7% (25)2.2 (102)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MOST Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
MRSH Offense1341% (123)40% (88)14.925.6181.17.112.127 (20)4 (1).23 (82)1.7 (36)30% (36)30% (84).25 (98)5% (52)2 (76)

Missouri State's Power Ratings
Missouri State's Power Rating: -19.14 #120
Missouri State's Offense Rating: 12.14 #80
Missouri State's Defense Rating: 31.28 #136
2025 Talent Rating: 220.00 #132
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #37
Missouri State's 2025 Expected Record: 3.7 - 7.3
Missouri State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.6 #127
Missouri State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #75
Missouri State's Defense SP+ Rating: 43.8 #136

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 385.5
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Missouri State: -19.14   Marshall: -14.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Missouri State: -17.6   Marshall: -9.4




Marshall's Power Ratings
Marshall's Power Rating: -14.7 #134
Marshall's Offense Rating: 1.32 #131
Marshall's Defense Rating: 26.32 #125
2025 Talent Rating: 478.00 #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Marshall's 2025 Expected Record: 3.9 - 8.1
Marshall's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4 #99
Marshall's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #87
Marshall's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #110

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 527
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Missouri State Scoring
Offense: 34 PPG
Offense on Road: 34
Defense: 42 PPG
Defense on Road: 42

Missouri State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Marshall 35
Missouri State 31

Projected Total Points: 66
Marshall Scoring
Offense: 31.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.3
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.3

Marshall's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Marshall000 Overs
Missouri State000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#120) Missouri State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -19.14 #120
Offense Rating: 12.14 #80
Defense Rating: 31.28 #136
Overall SP+ Rating: -17.6 #127
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #75
Defense SP+ Rating: 43.8 #136
Talent Rating: 220.00 #132
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #37
Expected Record: 3.7 - 7.3

Team Profile






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Missouri State Notes
(4/7) Bears use WR1 a ton, BlackStrain (GT) that guy
(4/7) RB Lawrence (FIU) starts, watch Fr King Davis
(3/26) QB Clark back, 3K yds, 26 TD. Looks good
(3/26) WR/TE some exp, TE Mason good. 1 portal
(3/26) OL no clue, looks really weak, no portals
(3/26) Def limited, lots of shootouts LY. Some exp
(3/26) HC Beard in his 3rd, improved to 8-4 LY.
(3/26) Passing offense was 2nd in FCS 39 PPG LY
(3/26) Bears were a middling FCS program, why FBS?
Missouri State     Ratings Matchup     Marshall
Power #120
#134
Off #80
#131
Def #136
#125
Talent #132
#113
SP+ #127
#99
SP+ Off #75
#87
SP+ Def #136
#110

Weather Forecast
Playing in Joan C. Edwards Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MOST | MRSH
Depth Chart: MOST | MRSH
Rosters: MOST | MRSH
(#134) Marshall Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -14.7 #134
Offense Rating: 1.32 #131
Defense Rating: 26.32 #125
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4 #99
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #87
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #110
Talent Rating: 478.00 #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Expected Record: 3.9 - 8.1

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.93 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.87 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Great Pass Def Success 37%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Marshall Notes
(3/22) 47 portals: 6 QB, 7 WR, 6 OL, 7 DL, 6 LB, 8 DB
(3/22) 3/4 of roster is new, along with staff
(3/22) QB Rio-Wilson(SU), Turner(JS), Shockey(NC St)
(3/22) RB Houston back, Barbie (McNeese) added
(3/22) WR complete rebuild, 7 portals, Harmon (MSU)
(3/22) OL 2/5 back, 6 portal adds.
(3/22) Def complete rebuild. 21 portal adds
(3/22) Shameful '24, bowl decline, Huff pushed out
(3/22) New OC Smith was RichRod's OC @ Jax St


  
Missouri State's OC Nick Petrino
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jacob Clark25736970%35482669.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Shomari Lawrence (Tr)4717713.815
Iverson Young85907.428
Jmariyae Robinson84735.923
Reggie Branch61803.010
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jmariyae Robinson38585415.444
James BlackStrain23353315.337
Alred Luke14194213.932
Gary Clinton65208.713

View Missouri State's Full Roster
Missouri State's DC L.D. Scott
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Todric McGee161000
Kanye Young53200
Dylan Simmons31002
Jordan Dunbar (Tr)30001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kanye Young53200
Todric McGee161000
Dylan Simmons31002
Jordan Dunbar (Tr)30001
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dylan Simmons31002
Jordan Dunbar (Tr)30001
Ryan Williams20001

Marshall's OC Rod Smith
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Zion Turner (Tr)010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Houston11159225.345
Michael Allen (Tr)1910805.736
Demarcus Lacey (Tr)51302.64
Zion Turner (Tr)1303.03
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Houston13173113.375
Toby Payne1716869.932
Demarcus Lacey (Tr)884010.517
Bryan Robinson882010.320

View Marshall's Full Roster
Marshall's DC Shannon Morrison
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marvae Myers-Glover (Tr)411004
TyQaze Leggs386162
Jadarius Green-McKnight381113
Jibreel Al-Amin (Tr)230010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jadarius Green-McKnight381113
RaQuan Thompson203120
Monroe Beard173100
Braydin Ward142101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marvae Myers-Glover (Tr)411004
Jadarius Green-McKnight381113
TyQaze Leggs386162