New Mexico State at UTEP Game Matchup
New Mexico State logo New Mexico State Aggies at UTEP MinersUTEP logo
Saturday, November 22nd 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Sun Bowl Stadium - El Paso, TX  (Conference USA)

 
Aggies (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Tony Sanchez (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 22 - 36 (13 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.7 - 7.3 (#105)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
NMSU 2nd straight Road Game
UTEP is playing their 4th straight game
NMSU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: UTEP -7.5   (SP+ NMSU -0)

Projected Score: NMSU: 23 - UTEP: 31 (55)
UTEP Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
NMSU Travel: 38 miles
Miners (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Scotty Walden (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 20 - 32 (26 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.3 - 5.7 (#71)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
 
New Mexico State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 New Mexico State vs Bryant-5
Sat 9/6 New Mexico State vs Tulsa-1.5
Sat 9/13 New Mexico State at Louisiana Tech+5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 New Mexico State at New Mexico+5
Thu 10/2 New Mexico State vs Sam Houston-1
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14 New Mexico State at Liberty+21.5
Wed 10/22 New Mexico State vs Missouri State-2
Sat 11/1 New Mexico State at Western Kentucky+9.5
Sat 11/8 New Mexico State vs Kennesaw State-4.5
Sat 11/15 New Mexico State at Tennessee+38.5
Sat 11/22 New Mexico State at UTEP+7.5
Sat 11/29 New Mexico State vs Middle Tennessee-1.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 10
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 10
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for New Mexico State's Schedule
UTEP's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 UTEP at Utah State+3.50.0
Sat 9/6 UTEP vs UT Martin-9.5
Sat 9/13 UTEP at Texas+45
Sat 9/20 UTEP vs UL Monroe-3.5
Sat 9/27 UTEP vs Louisiana Tech-5
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/8 UTEP vs Liberty+11.5
Wed 10/15 UTEP at Sam Houston-1
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/28 UTEP at Kennesaw State-4.5
Sat 11/8 UTEP vs Jacksonville State-7.5
Sat 11/15 UTEP at Missouri State-2
Sat 11/22 UTEP vs New Mexico State-7.5
Sat 11/29 UTEP at Delaware-0.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 10
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 10
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UTEP's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NMSU#119 (.08)39% (106)21.646% (41)3.33 (21)17930% (132)1433.8 (82)#115 (.26)41% (64)36.343% (69)40% (68)3.7 (60)48.11.90.8
UTEP#121 (.07)37% (124)19.538% (118)2.8 (106)12136% (117)2002.81 (132)#46 (.13)40% (42)32.340% (42)39% (46)3.85 (78)50.91.61.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NMSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UTEP0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NMSU Offense1221.612.639.3%3.81.9193221791434.458%42%46%30%18%.08
UTEP Defense1232.328.839.7%3.851.5 - - - - - 54%46%40%39%18%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NMSU Defense1236.338.441.3%3.70.8 - - - - - 50%50%43%40%12%.26
UTEP Offense1219.526.237%2.811.6173211212003.352%47%38%36%20%.07

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
New Mexico State1229:2619.338%38%5.448.11.90.83.81.2127
UTEP1227:5716.733%30%5.750.91.61.57.12.9227.1
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NMSU Offense1258% (20)46% (41)41.3179.34.416 (90).11 (81)3.33 (21)77% (37)11% (103)0.98 (61)
UTEP Defense1254% (103)40% (42) - - - - .07 (40)2.85 (44)59% (7)12% (18)1.07 (102)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NMSU Defense1250% (55)43% (69) - - - - .18 (98)3.17 (93)58% (5)7% (134)1.04 (95)
UTEP Offense1252% (56)38% (118)36.4120.83.39 (125).02 (118)2.8 (106)59% (127)13% (125)0.88 (114)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NMSU Offense1242% (116)30% (132)11.826.7143.25.412.212 (118)12 (85).05 (128)1.8 (17)33% (100)30% (87).13 (131)7% (104)1.7 (132)
UTEP Defense1246% (36)39% (46) - - - - - - 11 (52).21 (54)1.7 (115)34% (34)30% (56).28 (59)6% (66)2.1 (75)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NMSU Defense1250% (76)40% (68) - - - - - - 9 (76).36 (118)1.9 (132)31% (80)29% (42).42 (107)6% (78)2.3 (126)
UTEP Offense1247% (81)36% (117)18.630.42006.610.815 (98)12 (85).15 (108)1.5 (112)34% (111)23% (128).23 (104)7% (110)2.2 (20)

New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: -21.48 #130
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: 3.54 #124
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: 25.02 #119
2025 Talent Rating: 224.00 #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
New Mexico State's 2025 Expected Record: 4.7 - 7.3
New Mexico State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.0 #122
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #106
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.8 #124

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 385.5
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: -21.48   UTEP: -11.335

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: -16.0   UTEP: -16.1




UTEP's Power Ratings
UTEP's Power Rating: -11.335 #97
UTEP's Offense Rating: 5.91 #119
UTEP's Defense Rating: 17.48 #85
2025 Talent Rating: 566.00 #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
UTEP's 2025 Expected Record: 6.3 - 5.7
UTEP's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.1 #123
UTEP's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #122
UTEP's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.1 #113

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 385.5
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.6
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.4

New Mexico State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UTEP 31
New Mexico State 23


Projected Total Points: 55
UTEP Scoring
Offense: 19.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.2
Defense: 32.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.8

UTEP's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30New Mexico State35UTEP42UTEPNew Mexico State -3.5UTEP51.5Over
202310/18UTEP7New Mexico State28New Mexico StateNew Mexico State -3New Mexico State48.5Under
202209/10UTEP20New Mexico State13UTEPUTEP -17New Mexico State46.5Under
202108/28New Mexico State3UTEP30UTEPUTEP -9.5UTEP59.0Under
201911/23New Mexico State44UTEP35New Mexico StateNew Mexico State -8New Mexico State56.0Over
201809/22UTEP20New Mexico State27New Mexico StateNew Mexico State -4.5New Mexico State50.5Under
201709/23New Mexico State41UTEP14New Mexico StateNew Mexico State -17.5New Mexico State59.0Under
201609/03UTEP38New Mexico State22UTEPUTEP -3.5UTEP58.0Over
201509/19New Mexico State47UTEP50UTEPUTEP -4New Mexico State59.5Over
201409/13UTEP42New Mexico State24UTEPUTEP -11UTEP0
201309/14New Mexico State21UTEP42UTEPUTEP -6.5UTEP0
201209/15UTEP41New Mexico State28UTEP
201109/17New Mexico State10UTEP16UTEP
201009/18UTEP42New Mexico State10UTEP
200909/19New Mexico State12UTEP38UTEP
200809/20UTEP33New Mexico State34New Mexico State
200709/15New Mexico State29UTEP24New Mexico State
200609/30UTEP44New Mexico State38UTEP
200509/03New Mexico State17UTEP34UTEP
200410/02UTEP45New Mexico State0UTEP
200210/05New Mexico State49UTEP14New Mexico State
200009/29UTEP41New Mexico State31UTEP
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UTEP1554 Overs
New Mexico State765 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 105 - 64 - 21 - 4
Road Teams10 - 126 - 54 - 12 - 4

(#130) New Mexico State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -21.48 #130
Offense Rating: 3.54 #124
Defense Rating: 25.02 #119
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.0 #122
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #106
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.8 #124
Talent Rating: 224.00 #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Expected Record: 4.7 - 7.3

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.8 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Awful Pass Success 30%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.7 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


New Mexico State Notes
(5/18) RB Dijon Stanley (Utah) has tremendous speed
(5/2) JUCO WR Jackson Owens has promise
(4/7) WRs bad, lotta drops. Pride led LY w/ 374 yds.
(3/26) QB Fife (Mont), Awad started late LY
(3/26) RB McGowan good, 2 P4 portals added
(3/26) OL good run LY, 2/5 back. 2 portal adds
(3/26) Def bad LY, returns some. 6 portal DL adds
(3/26) HC Sanchez the definition of why bother
New Mexico State     Ratings Matchup     UTEP
Power #130
#97
Off #124
#119
Def #119
#85
Talent #131
#88
SP+ #122
#123
SP+ Off #106
#122
SP+ Def #124
#113

Previous Matchups
UTEP beat New Mexico State last year (42-35)
New Mexico State beat UTEP in 2023 (28-7)
UTEP beat New Mexico State in 2022 (20-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Bowl Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: NMSU | UTEP
Depth Chart: NMSU | UTEP
Rosters: NMSU | UTEP
(#97) UTEP Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -11.335 #97
Offense Rating: 5.91 #119
Defense Rating: 17.48 #85
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.1 #123
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #122
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.1 #113
Talent Rating: 566.00 #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Expected Record: 6.3 - 5.7

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.81 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Awful Pass Success 36%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


UTEP Notes
(3/24) RB rebuild. Wilson (Char) a good add
(3/24) WR #1 Odom back, little depth. 2 portals
(3/24) OL bad LY, 2/5 back, 2 more with a lot of exp
(3/24) Def bad LY, replacing a lot. 11 portal adds
(3/24) HC Walden fun, really great crootin
(3/24) New OC Cala was TCU QB coach past 2 yrs
(3/24) New DC Daly was Mont St DC past 6 yrs
(3/19) QB Locklear back, 5* Nelson DNP @ USC/Boise


  
New Mexico State's OC Tyler Wright
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Logan Fife (Tr)15724664%17811327.2
Parker Awad7415947%1079746.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kadarius Calloway (Tr)2612414.860
Logan Fife (Tr)5212052.322
Larenzo McMillan7111115.984
Parker Awad6010911.825
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
TJ Pride34374211.053
Glynn Johnson Jr19346218.254
Tyler King (Tr)17236013.936
Gavin Harris (Tr)11173115.760

View New Mexico State's Full Roster
New Mexico State's DC Joe Morris
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Martinez943101
Sone Aupiu554025
Dakerric Hobbs363016
Nicolas Sessions301003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Martinez943101
Gabe Peterson (Tr)61100
Larry Jones III (Tr)51120
Glynn Johnson Jr20000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dakerric Hobbs363016
Sone Aupiu554025
Nicolas Sessions301003

UTEP's OC Mark Cala
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Skyler Locklear14923663%15911066.7
Cade McConnell407156%540437.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Shane Porter9764856.779
Hahsaun Wilson (Tr)9155976.165
Skyler Locklear8023723.018
Kam Thomas132702.111
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kenny Odom47761816.276
Kam Thomas46512211.169
Jaden Smith2117708.441
Shane Porter169105.713

View UTEP's Full Roster
UTEP's DC Bobby Daly
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nate Dyman8410234
Xavier Smith781005
Lantz Russell545202
Kadarion Johnson398411
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kadarion Johnson398411
Lantz Russell545202
Jayden Wilson (Tr)323220
Nate Dyman8410234
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Smith781005
Nate Dyman8410234
Jaylon Shelton260003