Missouri State at Kennesaw State - 2025 Matchup Preview

Missouri State Bears at Kennesaw State Owls

Saturday, November 22nd 2025 (2:00 PM EST)
Kennesaw State -6.5 (54.0) (-235) Open: -6.5 | 58.5
Kennesaw State 41 - Missouri State: 34 (Conference USA)

Bears (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Ryan Beard (12 - 11)
Avg Score : 26 - 29 (23 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.5 - 5.5 (#61)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)

KENN is playing their 5th straight game
MOST is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Kennesaw State -7 (SP+ KENN -5)
Projected Score: MOST: 23 - KENN: 30 (54)
KENN Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
MOST Travel: 536 miles, 1 hrs behind

Owls (10 - 4) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jerry Mack (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 27 - 26 (31 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 3.5 (#16)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)

Matchup
Schedules
MOST Players
KENN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Missouri State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Missouri State at USC	+34.5	59.5	L 13 - 73	O	N
Sat 9/6	Missouri State at Marshall	+7.0	53.5	W 21 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/13	Missouri State vs SMU	+29.5	60.5	L 10 - 28	U	Y
Sat 9/20	Missouri State vs UT Martin	-14.0	55.5	W 42 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/27	Missouri State vs Western Kentucky	+3.5	59.5	L 22 - 27	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/8	Missouri State at Middle Tennessee	-2.5	52.5	W 22 - 20	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/22	Missouri State at New Mexico State	-2.5	51.5	W 24 - 17	U	Y
Wed 10/29	Missouri State vs Florida International	-3.0	50.0	W 28 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/8	Missouri State at Liberty	+7.5	51.5	W 21 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/15	Missouri State vs UTEP	-6.5	47.5	W 38 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/22	Missouri State at Kennesaw State	+6.5	54.0	L 34 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/29	Missouri State vs Louisiana Tech	-2.5	45.0	L 30 - 42	O	N
Thu 12/18	Missouri State vs Arkansas State	+1.5	55.5	L 28 - 34	O	N

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 6
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Missouri State's Schedule

Kennesaw State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	Kennesaw State at Wake Forest	+17.5	51.5	L 9 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Kennesaw State at Indiana	+35.5	51.5	L 9 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/13	Kennesaw State vs Merrimack	-17.5	44.5	W 27 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/20	Kennesaw State vs Arkansas State	+4.5	57.5	W 28 - 21	U	Y
Sat 9/27	Kennesaw State vs Middle Tennessee	-7.0	54.5	W 24 - 16	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9	Kennesaw State vs Louisiana Tech	+4.5	46.5	W 35 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/21	Kennesaw State at Florida International	-3.0	48.5	W 45 - 26	O	Y
Tue 10/28	Kennesaw State vs UTEP	-12.5	53.5	W 33 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/8	Kennesaw State at New Mexico State	-11.5	52.5	W 24 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/15	Kennesaw State at Jacksonville State	-3.5	56.5	L 26 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/22	Kennesaw State vs Missouri State	-6.5	54.0	W 41 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/29	Kennesaw State at Liberty	-2.5	55.5	W 48 - 42	O	Y
Fri 12/5	Kennesaw State at Jacksonville State	-3.0	62.5	W 19 - 15	U	Y
Fri 12/19	Kennesaw State vs Western Michigan	+3.0	47.0	L 6 - 41	U	N

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Kennesaw State's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MOST		0%	25.6	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	28.8	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
KENN	#134 (-.04)	31% (133)	26.7	31% (134)	2.16 (134)	116	32% (129)	136	3.5 (103)	#93 (.21)	46% (114)	25.5	45% (91)	48% (122)	4.15 (102)	46.3	1.5	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MOST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
KENN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MOST Offense	1	25.6	22.5	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
KENN Defense	12	25.5	18.5	46.2%	4.15	1	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	45%	48%	14%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MOST Defense	1	28.8	31.3	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
KENN Offense	12	26.7	31.3	31.4%	3.5	1.5	14	252	116	136	3.1	58%	41%	31%	32%	17%	-.04

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Missouri State	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Kennesaw State	12	29:20	13.7	35%	39%	5.6	46.3	1.5	1	4.8	1.8	3	28.9

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MOST Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
KENN Defense	12	52% (85)	45% (91)	-	-	-	-	.16 (86)	3.04 (75)	73% (65)	9% (93)	1 (73)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MOST Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
KENN Offense	12	58% (17)	31% (134)	37.4	115.5	3.1	13 (105)	-.05 (130)	2.16 (134)	74% (62)	12% (115)	1.01 (51)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MOST Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
KENN Defense	12	48% (50)	48% (122)	-	-	-	-	-	-	4 (125)	.27 (86)	1.3 (8)	26% (131)	30% (51)	.31 (71)	5% (119)	2 (63)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MOST Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
KENN Offense	12	41% (117)	32% (129)	13	24.8	136.3	5.5	10.5	6 (133)	14 (115)	- (133)	1.6 (52)	38% (131)	23% (130)	.16 (124)	5% (24)	2.1 (60)

Missouri State's Power Ratings
Missouri State's Power Rating: -9.50 #99
Missouri State's Offense Rating: 11.31 #79
Missouri State's Defense Rating: 20.81 #115
2025 Talent Rating: 310.00 #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #38
Missouri State's 2025 Expected Record: 7.5 - 5.5
Missouri State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.7 #108
Missouri State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #77
Missouri State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #118

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 436
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Missouri State: -9.50 Kennesaw State: -3.35

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Missouri State: -10.7 Kennesaw State: -5.4

Kennesaw State's Power Ratings
Kennesaw State's Power Rating: -3.35 #82
Kennesaw State's Offense Rating: 10.45 #85
Kennesaw State's Defense Rating: 16.75 #91
2025 Talent Rating: 358.00 #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Kennesaw State's 2025 Expected Record: 10.5 - 3.5
Kennesaw State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.4 #89
Kennesaw State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.4 #72
Kennesaw State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #93

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 436
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Missouri State Scoring
Offense: 25.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.5
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.3

Missouri State's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Kennesaw State 30
Missouri State 23

Projected Total Points: 54

Kennesaw State Scoring
Offense: 26.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.3
Defense: 25.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.5

Kennesaw State's 2025 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 9
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/22	Kennesaw State	41	Missouri State	34	Kennesaw State -6.5	Kennesaw State	54.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Kennesaw State	1	1	1 Overs
Missouri State	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#99) MOST at (#82) KENN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MOST	KENN
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#99	#82
SP+SP+	#108	#89
Perf GradeGrade	#100	#99
OffenseOff	#67	#82
DefenseDef	#100	#81
Spec TeamsST	#135	#109
TalentTal	#131	#129
Blue ChipsBC%	#38	#101

Missouri State Notes(12/18) Hired Casey Woods (SMU OC) as new HC
(11/23) Off Success #'s awful but leaders in Expl? Odd
(10/29) RB Shomari Lawrence can scoot. Decent RB
(10/22) QB Jacob Clark is back from inj vs Delaware (10/22)
(10/22) OL is the worst in CFB in Sacks/TFL allowed (week 9)
(10/8) QB Bailey is tiny, 6' 170 lbs. Young but has some skills
(10/1) QB2 is true Fr Deuce Bailey w/ Clark out, mobile
(9/23) QB Jacob Clark has been good, Run Off bad
(9/23) Off all or nothing, Success awful, Expl great
(4/7) Bears use WR1 a ton, BlackStrain (GT) that guy
(4/7) RB Lawrence (FIU) starts, watch Fr King Davis
(3/26) QB Clark back, 3K yds, 26 TD. Looks good
Missouri State Injury Report

Kennesaw State Notes(12/6) CUSA champs, cannot overstate job Mack did
(12/3) Owls have major injuries at LB into CUSA title game
(11/29) Beat Liberty in 2 OT. Owls will play Jax St in CUSA Title
(10/29) Even game vs UTEP, Off awful, Def & STs saved
(10/29) 300 yds and 3-14 on 3rd down vs UTEP? Still W
(10/22) HC Mack & staff incredible job. Current CUSA fav
(10/22) QB Amari Odom went down vs FIU, monitor
(10/21) RB Coleman Bennett has real speed, good weapon
(10/9) So QB Amari Odom taken QB1 job, been much better
(9/24) Run Def held Ark St to 92 yds, Pass Def was OK
(9/20) Huge W vs Ark St, QB Odom a revelation 300+
(8/16) QB D. Williams (GSU) will start, S Williams #2
Kennesaw State Injury Report

Missouri State on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	MOST Off	KENN Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#67	#81
SuccessSuc	NR	#114
ExplosiveExp	NR	#23
PPAPPA	NR	#93
PowerPwr	#79	#91
SP+SP+	#77	#93
Pts POPPO	NR	#102
HavocHav	NR	#112

Missouri State Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	MOST Off	KENN Def
Run GameRun	#98	#79
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	#91
Run ExplRExp	NR	#73
PPAExp	NR	#86
Run BlockR Blk	#134	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	#75
Stuff RateStuff	NR	#36
TackleTak	-	#92

Missouri State Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	MOST Off	KENN Def
Pass GamePass	#24	#72
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	#122
Pass ExplPExl	NR	#8
PPAExp	NR	#86
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#34	#59
F7 HavocF7	NR	#93
DB HavocDB	NR	#119

Kennesaw State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 44%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	KENN Off	MOST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#82	#100
SuccessSuc	#133	NR
ExplosiveExp	#78	NR
PPAPPA	#134	NR
PowerPwr	#85	#115
SP+SP+	#72	#118
Pts POPPO	#103	NR
HavocHav	#84	NR

Kennesaw State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 44%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	KENN Off	MOST Def
Run GameRun	#64	#101
Run SuccessRSuc	#134	NR
Run ExplRExp	#51	NR
PPAExp	#130	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#127	-
OL YdsOLY	#134	NR
Stuff RateStuff	#128	NR
TackleTak	-	#107

Kennesaw State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 44%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	KENN Off	MOST Def
Pass GamePass	#57	#69
Pass SuccessPSuc	#129	NR
Pass ExplPExl	#52	NR
PPAExp	#133	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#93	#70
F7 HavocF7	#115	NR
DB HavocDB	#24	NR

Program Comparison
KENN 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

MOST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Fifth Third Bank Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 75° - Wind: 9 mph

Rematch from Week 13
Kennesaw State -6.5 (54.0)
Kennesaw State won vs Missouri State this year (41-34)

Previous Matchups
Kennesaw State beat Missouri State last year (41-34)

MOST's OC Nick Petrino (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jacob Clark	247	376	66%	3244	28	11	8.6
Deuce Bailey	23	47	49%	335	2	0	7.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Shomari Lawrence (Tr)	199	1021	7	5.1	70
Ramone Green Jr.	52	278	1	5.3	45
Deuce Bailey	27	81	1	3.0	20
Ronnel Johnson	1	38	0	38.0	38

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Alred Luke	43	640	5	14.9	59
Jmariyae Robinson	44	632	7	14.4	52
Tristian Gardner	30	465	6	15.5	42
Ronnel Johnson	35	463	2	13.2	35

View Missouri State's Full Roster

MOST's DC L.D. Scott (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kanye Young	77	6	1	5	4
Jared Lloyd	76	4	2	2	2
Maguire Neal	63	1	0	0	5
Thomas Anderson	60	2	1	0	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
DJ Wesolak (Tr)	30	6	4	5	2
Caleb Dietlin	19	3	3	6	2
Mitchell Toney	23	5	3	6	2
Cooper Roy	11	4	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Jordan Dunbar (Tr)	21	1	0	11
Maguire Neal	63	1	0	5
Thomas Anderson	60	2	1	5

KENN's OC Mitch Militello (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Amari Odom	189	291	65%	2594	19	8	8.9
Dexter Williams II (Tr)	67	125	54%	787	6	3	6.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Coleman Bennett (Tr)	157	764	4	4.9	30
Chase Belcher (Tr)	107	566	2	5.3	46
Amari Odom	120	347	7	2.9	24
Alexander Diggs	72	281	2	3.9	25

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Gabriel Benyard	60	949	9	15.8	54
Christian Moss	44	682	2	15.5	70
Coleman Bennett (Tr)	27	314	3	11.6	76
Clayton Coppock	28	311	5	11.1	55

View Kennesaw State's Full Roster

KENN's DC Marc Mattioli (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Baron Hopson	139	10	1	2	6
Tywon Christopher	81	5	2	1	2
Isaac Paul	57	0	0	0	2
Milon Jones	53	3	0	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Elijah Hill	22	12	9	6	0
Tylon Dunlap	40	11	5	1	1
Donovan Westmoreland	35	6	4	1	1
Kody Jones (Tr)	29	7	2	4	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Caleb Offord (Tr)	47	7	0	0	12
JeRico Washington Jr.	43	2	1	0	10
Baron Hopson	139	10	1	2	6