UTEP at Sam Houston - 2025 Matchup Preview
UTEP logo UTEP Miners vs Sam Houston BearkatsSam Houston logo
Wednesday, October 15th 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
UTEP -3.5 (46.5) (-175)  Open: -2.5
UTEP 35 - Sam Houston: 17  (Conference USA)

 
Miners (2 - 10) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Scotty Walden (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 23 - 30 (20 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#126)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)
SHSU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: UTEP -12  (SP+ UTEP -10.5)

Projected Score: UTEP: 29 - SHSU: 17 (46)
UTEP Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
UTEP Travel: 652 miles, 1 hrs behind
Bearkats (2 - 10) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Phil Longo (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 18 - 38 (18 - 38 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#126)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)
 
UTEP's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 UTEP at Utah State+3.559.5L 16 - 28UN
Sat 9/6 UTEP vs UT Martin-7.549.5W 42 - 17OY
Sat 9/13 UTEP at Texas+39.552.5L 10 - 27UY
Sat 9/20 UTEP vs UL Monroe-5.547.5L 25 - 31ON
Sat 9/27 UTEP vs Louisiana Tech+3.548.5L 11 - 30UN
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/8 UTEP vs Liberty+1.546.5L 8 - 19UN
Wed 10/15 UTEP vs Sam Houston-3.546.5W 35 - 17OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/28 UTEP at Kennesaw State+12.553.5L 20 - 33UN
Sat 11/8 UTEP vs Jacksonville State+1.546.5L 27 - 30ON
Sat 11/15 UTEP at Missouri State+6.547.5L 24 - 38ON
Sat 11/22 UTEP vs New Mexico State-4.044.5L 31 - 34ON
Sat 11/29 UTEP at Delaware+4.555.5L 31 - 61ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 9
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 3

Predictions for UTEP's Schedule
Sam Houston's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Sam Houston at Western Kentucky+9.560.5L 24 - 41ON
Fri 8/29 Sam Houston vs UNLV+13.558.5L 21 - 38ON
Sat 9/6 Sam Houston at Hawai'i+7.047.5L 20 - 37ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Sam Houston at Texas+39.551.5L 0 - 55ON
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/2 Sam Houston at New Mexico State-1.553.5L 10 - 37UN
Thu 10/9 Sam Houston vs Jacksonville State+7.053.5L 27 - 29OY
Wed 10/15 Sam Houston vs UTEP+3.546.5L 17 - 35ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/31 Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech+16.548.0L 14 - 55ON
Sat 11/8 Sam Houston at Oregon State+21.052.5W 21 - 17UY
Sat 11/15 Sam Houston vs Delaware+11.556.5W 26 - 23UY
Sat 11/22 Sam Houston at Middle Tennessee+6.553.5L 17 - 31UN
Sat 11/29 Sam Houston vs Florida International+10.550.5L 16 - 56ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 3

Predictions for Sam Houston's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTEP#130 (.02)33% (135)23.336% (129)2.14 (133)11631% (135)2163.42 (95)#45 (.11)39% (42)30.437% (14)42% (75)3.85 (88)57.121
SHSU#131 (.01)37% (121)17.840% (104)2.67 (116)13335% (127)1842.79 (129)#109 (.22)48% (129)37.847% (118)50% (133)3.85 (89)59.41.31.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTEP#121 (.07)37% (124)38% (118)2.8 (106)12136% (117)2002.81 (132)#46 (.13)40% (42)40% (42)39% (46)3.85 (78)50.91.61.5
SHSU#115 (.1)39% (107)41% (100)3.18 (44)18038% (105)1682.97 (129)#31 (.11)42% (70)47% (105)37% (27)3.84 (75)37.91.22.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTEP Offense1223.320.233%3.422173321162163.744%54%36%31%19%.02
SHSU Defense1237.837.847.8%3.851.5 - - - - - 51%47%47%50%14%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTEP Defense1230.437.439.3%3.851 - - - - - 54%45%37%42%16%.11
SHSU Offense1217.817.836.9%2.791.3173171331844.343%55%40%35%20%.01

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UTEP1225:3816.830%54%5.957.1216.82.3128.5
Sam Houston1228:3016.722%30%6.459.41.31.55.31.8326.8
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTEP Offense1244% (113)36% (129)31.3115.63.714 (99).05 (105)2.14 (133)60% (127)11% (106)1.17 (5)
SHSU Defense1251% (80)47% (118) - - - - .15 (95)2.89 (72)68% (45)10% (61)0.96 (70)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTEP Defense1254% (113)37% (14) - - - - .02 (24)2.63 (22)64% (22)11% (33)0.98 (79)
SHSU Offense1243% (116)40% (104)30.8132.84.310 (122).07 (91)2.67 (116)66% (107)13% (128)1.09 (20)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTEP Offense1254% (27)31% (135)18.734.2216.36.311.621 (61)20 (136).03 (130)1.7 (17)34% (116)24% (125).21 (103)8% (128)2.1 (31)
SHSU Defense1247% (57)50% (133) - - - - - - 8 (100).36 (115)1.5 (51)27% (130)35% (126).17 (21)5% (115)1.8 (11)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTEP Defense1245% (25)42% (75) - - - - - - 5 (123).24 (64)1.4 (22)32% (51)27% (36).12 (10)5% (110)1.5 (1)
SHSU Offense1255% (21)35% (127)17.832.41845.710.412 (103)10 (60).01 (133)1.4 (129)35% (124)22% (135).01 (135)7% (106)2 (66)

UTEP's Power Ratings
UTEP's Power Rating: -6.22  #91
UTEP's Offense Rating: 0.12  #128
UTEP's Defense Rating: 6.34  #55
2025 Talent Rating: 662.00  #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 1%  #88
UTEP's 2025 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
UTEP's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.6  #129
UTEP's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.3  #112
UTEP's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.3  #125

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UTEP: -6.22   Sam Houston: -23.37

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UTEP: -16.6   Sam Houston: -27.2




Sam Houston's Power Ratings
Sam Houston's Power Rating: -23.37  #134
Sam Houston's Offense Rating: 0.53  #124
Sam Houston's Defense Rating: 20.07  #130
2025 Talent Rating: 476.00  #121
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
Sam Houston's 2025 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Sam Houston's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -27.2  #135
Sam Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.5  #130
Sam Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 42.1  #135

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


UTEP Scoring
Offense: 23.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.2
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.4

UTEP's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UTEP 29
Sam Houston 17


Total Points: 46

Based on Last 4 Games
Sam Houston 17
UTEP 16

Total Points: 33

Based on Entire Season
UTEP 30
Sam Houston 26

Total Points: 56
Sam Houston Scoring
Offense: 17.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 17.8
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 37.8

Sam Houston's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/15Sam Houston17UTEP35UTEP -3.5UTEP46.5Over
202410/03UTEP21Sam Houston41Sam Houston -10Sam Houston49.5Over
202310/25Sam Houston34UTEP37Sam Houston State -4UTEP38.5Over
200309/27UTEP59Sam Houston14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Sam Houston113 Overs
UTEP320 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 30 - 30 - 10 - 2
Road Teams3 - 13 - 02 - 01 - 0

(#91) UTEP at (#134) SHSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUTEPSHSU
Power RatePwr #91 #134
SP+SP+ #129 #135
Perf GradeGrade #126 #133
OffenseOff #131 #133
DefenseDef #106 #119
Spec TeamsST #110 #36
TalentTal #82 #121
Blue ChipsBC% #88 #101
UTEP Notes
(10/29) Even game w/ Kenn St, St's & 2-16 3rd down killed
(10/8) This offense is pathetic. New OC Mark Cala a disaster
(9/29) QB Nelson benched, Skyler Locklear will take over
(9/28) Off is near worst in CFB. QB Nelson a disaster so far
(9/25) 20 1st Half points in 3 games vs FBS teams
(9/21) Ugly L vs ULM, Run Def mauled, Run Off shit
(9/17) Patchwork OL might be OK once in CUSA play
(9/13) Great fight at Tex, Def played hard, QB OK
(8/30) Run game/Off awful vs USU. QB Nelson bad
(8/21) QB1 M Nelson (BSU) beats Locklear for starter
(8/2) 8 new Def starters, but 3* croots as talent rises
(8/2) Def replaces most, 19 portal adds, better talent
UTEP Injury Report
Sam Houston Notes
(10/10) Def could not hold vs Jax St, QB Watson is tough
(10/3) Hilarious mistakes vs NMSU, no wonder still 0 wins
(10/3) Def awful, Off somehow worse. Longo grade F-
(8/30) QB Watson cannot run this system, big issue
(8/23) QB1? Watson running air raid likely not good
(7/13) Home games 70 miles off campus (Shell Energy)
(7/11) QB Mettauer big arm, was Longo's pick at Wisc
(7/11) Over Bet Watch. Def down, Pass Off up
(6/6) Not a fan of HC Phil Long hire at all.
(6/6) Could be a bottom Def in CFB, DBs are JUCOs
(5/23) SHSU was 6-0 in 1 score games LY
(3/26) QB Watson JAG w/ mobility. No depth exp
Sam Houston Injury Report
UTEP on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat
UTEP OffSHSU Def
Perf GradePerf #131 #119
SuccessSuc #135 #129
ExplosiveExp #2 #59
PPAPPA #130 #109
PowerPwr #128 #130
SP+SP+ #112 #135
Pts POPPO #95 #89
HavocHav #123 #100
UTEP Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat
UTEP OffSHSU Def
Run GameRun #96 #102
Run SuccessRSuc #129 #118
Run ExplRExp #5 #70
PPAExp #105 #95
Run BlockR Blk #120 -
OL YdsOLY #133 #72
Stuff RateStuff #124 #95
TackleTak -  #123
UTEP Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat
UTEP OffSHSU Def
Pass GamePass #127 #120
Pass SuccessPSuc #135 #133
Pass ExplPExl #17 #51
PPAExp #130 #115
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #88 #104
F7 HavocF7 #106 #61
DB HavocDB #128 #115
Sam Houston on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCatSHSU OffUTEP Def
Perf GradePerf #133 #106
SuccessSuc #121 #42
ExplosiveExp #71 #47
PPAPPA #131 #45
PowerPwr #124 #55
SP+SP+ #130 #125
Pts POPPO #129 #88
HavocHav #132 #67
Sam Houston Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
SHSU OffUTEP Def
Run GameRun #122 #68
Run SuccessRSuc #104 #14
Run ExplRExp #20 #79
PPAExp #91 #24
Run BlockR Blk #116 -
OL YdsOLY #116 #22
Stuff RateStuff #132 #20
TackleTak -  #30
Sam Houston Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCatSHSU OffUTEP Def
Pass GamePass #122 #112
Pass SuccessPSuc #127 #75
Pass ExplPExl #129 #22
PPAExp #133 #64
Pass Block/RushP Blk #74 #97
F7 HavocF7 #128 #33
DB HavocDB #106 #110
Program Comparison
SHSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

UTEP 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in BBVA Compass Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 83° - Wind: 11 mph
Rematch from Week 8
UTEP 3.5 (46.5)
UTEP won at Sam Houston this year (35-17)

Previous Matchups
Sam Houston beat UTEP last year (41-21)
UTEP beat Sam Houston in 2023 (37-34)

  
UTEP's OC Mark Cala (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Skyler Locklear11721156%141813116.7
Malachi Nelson (Tr)10419055%1163896.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ashten Emory11956944.856
Skyler Locklear10339683.863
Hahsaun Wilson (Tr)4622514.994
Kenny Odom135704.413
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Wondame Davis Jr.25604624.275
Kenny Odom6258269.474
Eric Willis III27290210.743
Josh Schuchts21232311.064

View UTEP's Full Roster

UTEP's DC Bobby Daly (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Micah Davey (Tr)1148130
Jayden Wilson (Tr)928160
Xavier Smith602014
Solo Barnes (Tr)592114
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Udoka Ezeani (Tr)4110531
Kadarion Johnson5510451
Elijah Baldwin236444
Ashaad Hall (Tr)244371
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Justin Content586016
Xavier Smith602014
Solo Barnes (Tr)592114

SHSU's OC Zack Patterson (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hunter Watson10418257%1108546.1
Landyn Locke7114150%765445.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Landan Brown8448755.863
Elijah Green (Tr)5839126.780
Alton McCaskill (Tr)8837114.252
Hunter Watson7427623.755
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Reed30460515.354
Grady O'Neill (Tr)38392110.329
Landan Brown3723706.424
Tim Burns Jr.12228119.059

View Sam Houston's Full Roster

SHSU's DC Freddie Aughtry-Lindsay (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Antavious Fish (Tr)786110
CJ Brown (Tr)642004
Tyler Bailey451102
Cecil Powell (Tr)424014
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christopher Eaton Jr. (Tr)269550
Chauncey Chidi314300
Dylan Frazier414222
Dean Ford326220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Emon Allen404005
CJ Brown (Tr)642004
Cecil Powell (Tr)424014