Sam Houston at Oregon State - 2025 Matchup Preview
Sam Houston logo Sam Houston Bearkats at Oregon State BeaversOregon State logo
Saturday, November 8th 2025 (10:00 PM EST)
Oregon State -21 (52.5) (-1450)  Open: -17.5
Sam Houston 21 - Oregon State: 17

 
Bearkats (2 - 10) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Phil Longo (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 18 - 38 (15 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#126)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 7)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
SHSU 2nd straight Road Game
ORST 4th straight Home Game
Our Line: Oregon State -17  (SP+ ORST -12)

Projected Score: SHSU: 17 - ORST: 34 (52)
ORST Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
SHSU Travel: 1781 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Beavers (2 - 10) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Ryan Gunderson (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 18 - 29 (22 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#126)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
 
Sam Houston's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Sam Houston at Western Kentucky+9.560.5L 24 - 41ON
Fri 8/29 Sam Houston vs UNLV+13.558.5L 21 - 38ON
Sat 9/6 Sam Houston at Hawai'i+7.047.5L 20 - 37ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Sam Houston at Texas+39.551.5L 0 - 55ON
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/2 Sam Houston at New Mexico State-1.553.5L 10 - 37UN
Thu 10/9 Sam Houston vs Jacksonville State+7.053.5L 27 - 29OY
Wed 10/15 Sam Houston vs UTEP+3.546.5L 17 - 35ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/31 Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech+16.548.0L 14 - 55ON
Sat 11/8 Sam Houston at Oregon State+21.052.5W 21 - 17UY
Sat 11/15 Sam Houston vs Delaware+11.556.5W 26 - 23UY
Sat 11/22 Sam Houston at Middle Tennessee+6.553.5L 17 - 31UN
Sat 11/29 Sam Houston vs Florida International+10.550.5L 16 - 56ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 3, Poor: 4

Predictions for Sam Houston's Schedule
Oregon State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Oregon State vs California-3.051.5L 15 - 34UN
Sat 9/6 Oregon State vs Fresno State-1.045.5L 27 - 36ON
Sat 9/13 Oregon State at Texas Tech+24.561.5L 7 - 45UN
Sat 9/20 Oregon State at Oregon+33.558.5L 7 - 41UN
Fri 9/26 Oregon State vs Houston+11.548.5L 24 - 27OY
Sat 10/4 Oregon State at App State+1.553.5L 23 - 27UN
Sat 10/11 Oregon State vs Wake Forest+1.547.5L 14 - 39ON
Sat 10/18 Oregon State vs Lafayette-21.056.5W 45 - 13OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Oregon State vs Washington State+3.547.5W 10 - 7UY
Sat 11/8 Oregon State vs Sam Houston-21.052.5L 17 - 21UN
Sat 11/15 Oregon State at Tulsa+1.550.5L 14 - 31UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Oregon State at Washington State+14.042.5L 8 - 32UN

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 2

Predictions for Oregon State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SHSU#131 (.01)37% (121)17.840% (105)2.67 (116)13335% (127)1842.79 (129)#109 (.22)48% (129)37.847% (118)50% (133)3.85 (88)59.41.31.5
ORST#123 (.05)42% (69)17.644% (67)2.82 (90)12742% (70)2252.89 (128)#74 (.18)38% (28)29.441% (52)36% (19)3.41 (45)49.91.70.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SHSU#115 (.1)39% (107)41% (100)3.18 (44)18038% (105)1682.97 (129)#31 (.11)42% (70)47% (105)37% (27)3.84 (75)37.91.22.1
ORST#87 (.16)44% (59)47% (25)3.34 (20)18939% (100)2013.87 (75)#117 (.27)48% (125)50% (126)45% (112)4.35 (117)45.71.31



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SHSU Offense1217.815.136.9%2.791.3173171331844.343%55%40%35%20%.01
ORST Defense1229.425.338.3%3.410.8 - - - - - 49%49%41%36%17%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SHSU Defense1237.83947.8%3.851.5 - - - - - 51%47%47%50%14%.22
ORST Offense1217.621.742.3%2.891.7203531272253.846%52%44%42%16%.05

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Sam Houston1228:3016.722%30%6.459.41.31.55.31.8326.8
Oregon State1231:5220.436%40%5.949.91.70.85.31.3028.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SHSU Offense1243% (118)40% (105)30.8132.84.310 (122).07 (92)2.67 (116)66% (108)13% (128)1.09 (20)
ORST Defense1249% (55)41% (52) - - - - .07 (53)2.6 (17)68% (41)10% (56)0.94 (59)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SHSU Defense1251% (77)47% (118) - - - - .15 (96)2.89 (71)68% (42)10% (60)0.96 (73)
ORST Offense1246% (99)44% (67)33.9127.33.815 (60).01 (120)2.82 (90)77% (30)9% (60)0.73 (135)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SHSU Offense1255% (20)35% (127)17.832.41845.710.412 (103)10 (60).01 (133)1.4 (129)35% (124)22% (135).01 (135)7% (108)2 (64)
ORST Defense1249% (80)36% (19) - - - - - - 8 (55).31 (95)2 (136)33% (42)29% (69).44 (126)7% (21)2.5 (136)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SHSU Defense1247% (58)50% (133) - - - - - - 8 (100).36 (115)1.5 (49)27% (131)35% (125).17 (21)5% (113)1.8 (12)
ORST Offense1252% (35)42% (70)21.735.9225.46.310.414 (61)13 (127).11 (123)1.3 (133)31% (73)28% (93).05 (133)7% (111)1.7 (134)

Sam Houston's Power Ratings
Sam Houston's Power Rating: -19.54  #134
Sam Houston's Offense Rating: 0.53  #124
Sam Houston's Defense Rating: 20.07  #130
2025 Talent Rating: 476.00  #121
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Sam Houston's 2025 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Sam Houston's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -27.2  #135
Sam Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.5  #130
Sam Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 42.1  #135

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Sam Houston: -19.54   Oregon State: -6.49

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Sam Houston: -27.2   Oregon State: -14.8




Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: -6.49  #83
Oregon State's Offense Rating: 1.36  #120
Oregon State's Defense Rating: 4.54  #42
2025 Talent Rating: 772.00  #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 3  #65
Oregon State's 2025 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Oregon State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.8  #121
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.6  #126
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.6  #93

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 748
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Sam Houston Scoring
Offense: 17.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.1
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 39

Sam Houston's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Projected Score
Oregon State 34
Sam Houston 17


Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
Oregon State 33
Sam Houston 18

Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
Oregon State 29
Sam Houston 22

Total Points: 51
Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.7
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.3

Oregon State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/08Oregon State17Sam Houston21Oregon State -21Sam Houston52.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oregon State000 Overs
Sam Houston111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#134) SHSU at (#83) ORST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSHSUORST
Power RatePwr #134 #83
SP+SP+ #135 #121
Perf GradeGrade #133 #113
OffenseOff #133 #103
DefenseDef #119 #93
Spec TeamsST #36 #136
TalentTal #121 #61
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #65
Sam Houston Notes
(10/10) Def could not hold vs Jax St, QB Watson is tough
(10/3) Hilarious mistakes vs NMSU, no wonder still 0 wins
(10/3) Def awful, Off somehow worse. Longo grade F-
(8/30) QB Watson cannot run this system, big issue
(8/23) QB1? Watson running air raid likely not good
(7/13) Home games 70 miles off campus (Shell Energy)
(7/11) QB Mettauer big arm, was Longo's pick at Wisc
(7/11) Over Bet Watch. Def down, Pass Off up
(6/6) Not a fan of HC Phil Long hire at all.
(6/6) Could be a bottom Def in CFB, DBs are JUCOs
(5/23) SHSU was 6-0 in 1 score games LY
(3/26) QB Watson JAG w/ mobility. No depth exp
Sam Houston Injury Report
Oregon State Notes
(11/28) Hired Bama Co-OC JaMarcus Shepard as HC
(11/10) Interim HC Robb Akey fired? That's new
(11/10) OC Ryan Gunderson now interim HC
(10/19) QB Murphy benched vs FCS Laf. Were losing at half
(10/12) HC Bray fired after 0-7 start
(10/7) 2 heart breaking L's, Off is improving, WR Walker great
(8/31) Murphy meh, Run Off awful, Pass Def torched
(7/31) RB Hankerson a great back, have depth
(7/31) Bray 1st yr finished 1-6. Will DC this year
(7/31) Schedule front loaded but lots of rebuild opps
(7/31) OC Gunderson great QB coach, 1st time OC
(7/31) DL lacks exp, will struggle up front both lines
Oregon State Injury Report
Sam Houston on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
SHSU OffORST Def
Perf GradePerf #133 #93
SuccessSuc #121 #28
ExplosiveExp #73 #132
PPAPPA #131 #74
PowerPwr #124 #42
SP+SP+ #130 #93
Pts POPPO #129 #45
HavocHav #132 #38
Sam Houston Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
SHSU OffORST Def
Run GameRun #122 #90
Run SuccessRSuc #105 #52
Run ExplRExp #20 #59
PPAExp #92 #53
Run BlockR Blk #116 -
OL YdsOLY #116 #17
Stuff RateStuff #132 #23
TackleTak -  #126
Sam Houston Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
SHSU OffORST Def
Pass GamePass #122 #90
Pass SuccessPSuc #127 #19
Pass ExplPExl #129 #136
PPAExp #133 #95
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #74 #64
F7 HavocF7 #128 #56
DB HavocDB #108 #21
Oregon State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatORST OffSHSU Def
Perf GradePerf #103 #119
SuccessSuc #69 #129
ExplosiveExp #135 #60
PPAPPA #123 #109
PowerPwr #120 #130
SP+SP+ #126 #135
Pts POPPO #128 #88
HavocHav #90 #95
Oregon State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
ORST OffSHSU Def
Run GameRun #118 #102
Run SuccessRSuc #67 #118
Run ExplRExp #135 #73
PPAExp #120 #96
Run BlockR Blk #70 -
OL YdsOLY #90 #71
Stuff RateStuff #24 #95
TackleTak -  #123
Oregon State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatORST OffSHSU Def
Pass GamePass #106 #120
Pass SuccessPSuc #70 #133
Pass ExplPExl #133 #49
PPAExp #123 #115
Pass Block/RushP Blk #86 #104
F7 HavocF7 #60 #60
DB HavocDB #111 #113
Program Comparison
ORST 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Poor G5

SHSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Reser Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 11
Oregon State -21.0 (52.5)
Sam Houston won at Oregon State this year (21-17)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
SHSU's OC Zack Patterson (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hunter Watson10418257%1108546.1
Landyn Locke7114150%765445.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Landan Brown8448755.863
Elijah Green (Tr)5839126.780
Alton McCaskill (Tr)8837114.252
Hunter Watson7427623.755
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Reed30460515.354
Grady O'Neill (Tr)38392110.329
Landan Brown3723706.424
Tim Burns Jr.12228119.059

View Sam Houston's Full Roster

SHSU's DC Freddie Aughtry-Lindsay (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Antavious Fish (Tr)786110
CJ Brown (Tr)642004
Tyler Bailey451102
Cecil Powell (Tr)424014
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christopher Eaton Jr. (Tr)269550
Chauncey Chidi314300
Dean Ford326220
Dylan Frazier414222
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Emon Allen404005
Cecil Powell (Tr)424014
AJ Edwards413114

ORST's OC Ryan Gunderson (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Maalik Murphy (Tr)16027658%1802986.5
Gabarri Johnson6210062%501235.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Anthony Hankerson247108894.465
Cornell Hatcher Jr.5229225.642
Gabarri Johnson3411913.552
Salahadin Allah197103.716
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Trent Walker68823212.143
David Wells Jr.44466410.656
Tastean Reddicks30391013.037
Bryce Caufield2921917.630

View Oregon State's Full Roster

ORST's DC Trent Bray (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Skyler Thomas780024
Aiden Sullivan727151
Jaheim Patterson671014
Dexter Foster523041
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jojo Johnson187380
Jacob Schuster142202
Takari Hickle385250
Shamar Meikle286240
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trey Glasper232005
Sailasa Vadrawale311015
Jalil Tucker251015