Sam Houston at Oregon State - 2025 Matchup Preview
Sam Houston logo Sam Houston Bearkats at Oregon State BeaversOregon State logo
Saturday, November 8th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Reser Stadium - Corvallis, OR

 
Bearkats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Phil Longo (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 24 - 21 (25 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.4 - 7.6 (#111)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 11)
SHSU 2nd straight Road Game
ORST 4th straight Home Game
Our Line: Oregon State -17   (SP+ ORST -9)
Projected Score: SHSU: 17 - ORST: 34 (49)
ORST Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
SHSU Travel: 1781 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Beavers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Trent Bray (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (30 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.2 - 4.8 (#48)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
 
Sam Houston's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Sam Houston at Western Kentucky+9.561.5
Fri 8/29 Sam Houston vs UNLV+13.558.5
Sat 9/6 Sam Houston at Hawai'i+9
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Sam Houston at Texas+49
Thu 10/2 Sam Houston at New Mexico State+1.5
Thu 10/9 Sam Houston vs Jacksonville State-0
Wed 10/15 Sam Houston vs UTEP+1.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/28 Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech+4
Sat 11/8 Sam Houston at Oregon State+17
Sat 11/15 Sam Houston vs Delaware-1
Sat 11/22 Sam Houston at Middle Tennessee+3
Sat 11/29 Sam Houston vs Florida International+0.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 9
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 9
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Sam Houston's Schedule
Oregon State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Oregon State vs California-3.051.5
Sat 9/6 Oregon State vs Fresno State-6
Sat 9/13 Oregon State at Texas Tech+18
Sat 9/20 Oregon State at Oregon+32.5
Sat 9/27 Oregon State vs Houston+1.5
Sat 10/4 Oregon State at App State-8
Sat 10/11 Oregon State vs Wake Forest-6
Sat 10/18 Oregon State vs Lafayette-20
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Oregon State vs Washington State-9.5
Sat 11/8 Oregon State vs Sam Houston-17
Sat 11/15 Oregon State at Tulsa-12
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Oregon State at Washington State-4.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oregon State's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SHSU#115 (.1)39% (107)23.841% (100)3.18 (44)18038% (105)1682.97 (129)#31 (.11)42% (70)20.547% (105)37% (27)3.84 (75)37.91.22.1
ORST#87 (.16)44% (59)24.347% (25)3.34 (20)18939% (100)2013.87 (75)#117 (.27)48% (125)29.950% (126)45% (112)4.35 (117)45.71.31
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SHSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ORST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SHSU Offense1323.824.639.3%2.971.2193491801684.357%43%41%38%15%.1
ORST Defense1229.930.148%4.351 - - - - - 56%44%50%45%13%.27
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SHSU Defense1320.523.641.8%3.842.1 - - - - - 51%48%47%37%17%.11
ORST Offense1224.329.743.6%3.871.3223911892014.755%45%47%39%15%.16

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Sam Houston1332:1018.839%67%4.637.91.22.15.42.2230.4
Oregon State1233:0922.344%52%5.145.71.313.80.6124.9
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SHSU Offense1357% (25)41% (100)42.5180.44.321 (59).1 (83)3.18 (44)68% (104)10% (69)0.9 (98)
ORST Defense1256% (125)50% (126) - - - - .23 (120)3.39 (123)81% (114)8% (122)0.96 (55)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SHSU Defense1351% (74)47% (105) - - - - .17 (92)3.37 (119)75% (75)10% (56)0.83 (9)
ORST Offense1255% (33)47% (25)40.3189.24.729 (18).22 (25)3.34 (20)76% (46)9% (50)0.97 (65)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SHSU Offense1343% (113)38% (105)16.726.8168.26.310.115 (98)9 (48).13 (114)1.5 (106)30% (51)24% (126).13 (130)5% (47)2 (95)
ORST Defense1244% (13)45% (112) - - - - - - 5 (117).31 (104)1.5 (41)27% (126)33% (102).46 (121)6% (75)2.1 (70)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SHSU Defense1348% (60)37% (27) - - - - - - 16 (10).06 (6)1.4 (9)32% (57)25% (11).21 (32)6% (58)1.8 (12)
ORST Offense1245% (101)39% (100)1830201.46.711.27 (130)11 (72).09 (125)1.4 (123)28% (20)31% (78).16 (123)6% (84)1.8 (124)

Sam Houston's Power Ratings
Sam Houston's Power Rating: -24.82 #134
Sam Houston's Offense Rating: 2.29 #129
Sam Houston's Defense Rating: 27.11 #130
2025 Talent Rating: 376.00 #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #97
Sam Houston's 2025 Expected Record: 4.4 - 7.6
Sam Houston's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.1 #107
Sam Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.7 #118
Sam Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #90

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 388.83
Average Power Five Talent: 860.18
Average FBS Talent: 682.74

Power Ratings Matchup
Sam Houston: -24.82   Oregon State: -0.825

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Sam Houston: -11.1   Oregon State: -2.4




Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: -0.825 #79
Oregon State's Offense Rating: 13.86 #69
Oregon State's Defense Rating: 18.11 #88
2025 Talent Rating: 758.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #70
Oregon State's 2025 Expected Record: 7.2 - 4.8
Oregon State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.4 #73
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #56
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.3 #85

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 669
Average Power Five Talent: 860.18
Average FBS Talent: 682.74


Sam Houston Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.6
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.6

Sam Houston's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Oregon State 34
Sam Houston 17

Projected Total Points: 49
Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.7
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.1

Oregon State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oregon State000 Overs
Sam Houston000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#134) Sam Houston Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -24.82 #134
Offense Rating: 2.29 #129
Defense Rating: 27.11 #130
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.1 #107
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.7 #118
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #90
Talent Rating: 376.00 #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #97
Expected Record: 4.4 - 7.6

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.97 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.84 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Sam Houston Notes
(7/11) QB Mettauer big arm, was Longo's pick at Wisc
(7/11) Over Bet Watch. Def down, Pass Off up
(6/6) Not a fan of HC Phil Long hire at all.
(6/6) Could be a bottom Def in CFB, DBs are JUCOs
(5/23) SHSU was 6-0 in 1 score games LY
(3/26) QB Watson JAG w/ mobility. No depth exp
(3/26) RB complete rebuild. 2 portals inc. Green (IU)
(3/26) WR some exp, replacing a lot. 2 portal adds
(3/26) OL returns 6 w/ starting exp. Good rush LY
(3/26) Def awful, returns little. 9 portals, 5 DBs
Sam Houston     Ratings Matchup     Oregon State
Power #134
#79
Off #129
#69
Def #130
#88
Talent #125
#58
SP+ #107
#73
SP+ Off #118
#56
SP+ Def #90
#85

Weather Forecast
Playing in Reser Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: SHSU | ORST
Depth Chart: SHSU | ORST
Rosters: SHSU | ORST
(#79) Oregon State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -0.825 #79
Offense Rating: 13.86 #69
Defense Rating: 18.11 #88
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.4 #73
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #56
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.3 #85
Talent Rating: 758.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #70
Expected Record: 7.2 - 4.8

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.87 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.35 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 45%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Oregon State Notes
(5/10) QB G Johnson is fast and will get packages
(5/10) OL is a big concern. Depth, Spring injuries
(5/10) Big TEs, but looking for deep ball w/ WR core
(5/10) DC Heyward left for Cal DBs? Bray will DC TY
(5/10) Schedule really front loaded, rough start
(5/10) OC Gunderson 1st time calling plays
(3/22) RB Hankerson (1k LY) back, Allah has exp
(3/22) WR returns most, Walker + TE Terry.
(3/22) Def bad LY, returns a lot. Needs DE/CB
(3/22) Bray 1st yr finished 1-6. Team looks better TY


  
Sam Houston's OC Zack Patterson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hunter Watson15225360%15981186.3
Mabrey Mettauer (Tr)11100%2002.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Hunter Watson15262374.146
Elijah Green (Tr)2920156.951
Qua'Vez Humphreys32107.010
Alton McCaskill (Tr)71702.46
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Qua'Vez Humphreys18362420.167
Michael Phoenix II13205315.850
Malik Phillips225012.513
Shane Johnson21407.07

View Sam Houston's Full Roster
Sam Houston's DC Freddie Aughtry-Lindsay
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
CJ Brown (Tr)732012
Cecil Powell (Tr)241001
Chatavies Johnson151000
Emon Allen122001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
CJ Brown (Tr)732012
Jace Arnold (Tr)10000
Railyn Adams10000
Gannon Tullos10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
CJ Brown (Tr)732012
Cecil Powell (Tr)241001
Emon Allen122001

Oregon State's OC Ryan Gunderson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Maalik Murphy (Tr)25442160%293226127.0
Gabarri Johnson152952%174016.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Anthony Hankerson2321082154.783
Salahadin Allah5525814.721
Marquis Crosby (Tr)5722413.931
Gabarri Johnson2610614.123
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Trent Walker81901211.143
Jermaine Terry II23375116.343
Darrius Clemons25292211.744
Tastean Reddicks17222013.129

View Oregon State's Full Roster
Oregon State's DC Trent Bray
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Skyler Thomas810009
Nikko Taylor468373
Dexter Foster432120
Tyrice Ivy Jr.351001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nikko Taylor468373
Oluwaseyi Omotosho141160
Dexter Foster432120
Semisi Saluni345132
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Skyler Thomas810009
Sailasa Vadrawale301004
Nikko Taylor468373