Sam Houston Bearkats at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
Saturday, August 23rd 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
Western Kentucky -9.5 (60.5) (-360) Open: -9.5 | 60.5
Western Kentucky 41 - Sam Houston: 24 (Conference USA)
Bearkats (0 - 3) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Phil Longo (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 39 (22 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2.5 - 9.5 (#132)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
Coach Phil Longo (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 39 (22 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2.5 - 9.5 (#132)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
Our Line: Western Kentucky -17.5 (SP+ WKU -16)
Projected Score: SHSU: 22 - WKU: 39 (61)
WKU Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
SHSU Travel: 677 miles
Projected Score: SHSU: 22 - WKU: 39 (61)
WKU Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
SHSU Travel: 677 miles
Hilltoppers (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Tyson Helton (48 - 31)
Avg Score : 39 - 25 (48 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 4 (#41)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
Coach Tyson Helton (48 - 31)
Avg Score : 39 - 25 (48 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 4 (#41)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
| Sam Houston's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/23 | Sam Houston at Western Kentucky | +9.5 | 60.5 | L 24 - 41 | O | N | |
| Fri 8/29 | Sam Houston vs UNLV | +13.5 | 58.5 | L 21 - 38 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Sam Houston at Hawai'i | +7.0 | 47.5 | L 20 - 37 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/20 | Sam Houston at Texas | +40.5 | 51.5 | ||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Thu 10/2 | Sam Houston at New Mexico State | +7 | |||||
| Thu 10/9 | Sam Houston vs Jacksonville State | +3 | |||||
| Wed 10/15 | Sam Houston vs UTEP | +9 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/28 | Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech | +14 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Sam Houston at Oregon State | +18.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Sam Houston vs Delaware | +7.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Sam Houston at Middle Tennessee | -1 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Sam Houston vs Florida International | +8.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 8
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 0
Predictions for Sam Houston's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 8
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 0
| Western Kentucky's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/23 | Western Kentucky vs Sam Houston | -9.5 | 60.5 | W 41 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 8/30 | Western Kentucky vs North Alabama | -27.5 | 60.5 | W 55 - 6 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Western Kentucky at Toledo | +8.5 | 57.5 | L 21 - 45 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/20 | Western Kentucky vs Nevada | -10.5 | 54.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Western Kentucky at Missouri State | -12 | |||||
| Fri 10/3 | Western Kentucky at Delaware | -2 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/14 | Western Kentucky vs Florida International | -6.5 | |||||
| Tue 10/21 | Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech | -1 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Western Kentucky vs New Mexico State | -13 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee | -20.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Western Kentucky at LSU | +29.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State | -7 | |||||
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 9
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHSU | #123 (.05) | 37% (111) | 21.7 | 38% (105) | 2.79 (87) | 136 | 37% (108) | 185 | 3.14 (113) | #85 (.16) | 44% (103) | 38.7 | 40% (72) | 49% (118) | 4.38 (100) | 68 | 1 | 1.7 |
| WKU | #80 (.16) | 42% (83) | 39 | 37% (112) | 2.71 (96) | 110 | 45% (59) | 358 | 5 (32) | #91 (.18) | 35% (37) | 25 | 39% (67) | 32% (30) | 3.08 (53) | 64 | 1.3 | 1 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHSU | #115 (.1) | 39% (107) | 41% (100) | 3.18 (44) | 180 | 38% (105) | 168 | 2.97 (129) | #31 (.11) | 42% (70) | 47% (105) | 37% (27) | 3.84 (75) | 37.9 | 1.2 | 2.1 | ||
| WKU | #66 (.19) | 42% (83) | 38% (117) | 2.78 (108) | 110 | 45% (33) | 265 | 3.83 (78) | #95 (.21) | 45% (102) | 48% (113) | 40% (60) | 3.66 (54) | 41.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHSU Offense | 3 | 21.7 | 22 | 37.4% | 3.14 | 1 | 18 | 321 | 136 | 185 | 4.2 | 44% | 55% | 38% | 37% | 19% | .05 |
| WKU Defense | 3 | 25 | 15 | 35.2% | 3.08 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 49% | 39% | 32% | 17% | .18 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHSU Defense | 3 | 38.7 | 39 | 44.5% | 4.38 | 1.7 | - | - | - | - | - | 44% | 56% | 40% | 49% | 16% | .16 |
| WKU Offense | 3 | 39 | 48 | 42.1% | 5 | 1.3 | 23 | 468 | 110 | 358 | 3.5 | 34% | 66% | 37% | 45% | 12% | .16 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Houston | 3 | 28:09 | 17.7 | 14% | 30% | 7 | 68 | 1 | 1.7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 27.4 |
| Western Kentucky | 3 | 29:54 | 23.3 | 49% | 20% | 6 | 64 | 1.3 | 1 | 5.7 | 1.3 | 0 | 29.5 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHSU Offense | 3 | 44% (103) | 38% (105) | 32.3 | 135.7 | 4.2 | 4 (79) | .06 (93) | 2.79 (87) | 73% (66) | 12% (114) | 1.13 (39) |
| WKU Defense | 3 | 51% (77) | 39% (67) | - | - | - | - | .19 (108) | 3.03 (94) | 71% (72) | 10% (76) | 1.27 (121) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHSU Defense | 3 | 44% (30) | 40% (72) | - | - | - | - | -.08 (24) | 2.97 (89) | 69% (66) | 9% (80) | 0.68 (10) |
| WKU Offense | 3 | 34% (136) | 37% (112) | 31.7 | 109.7 | 3.5 | 4 (79) | -.16 (131) | 2.71 (96) | 60% (103) | 7% (44) | 0.8 (107) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHSU Offense | 3 | 55% (37) | 37% (108) | 18.7 | 31 | 185 | 6 | 9.9 | 2 (102) | 3 (92) | .07 (121) | 1.3 (112) | 40% (130) | 22% (116) | -.07 (131) | 7% (110) | 1.7 (105) |
| WKU Defense | 3 | 49% (58) | 32% (30) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 (56) | .19 (61) | 1.6 (77) | 37% (28) | 15% (12) | -.01 (20) | 7% (44) | 1.8 (51) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHSU Defense | 3 | 56% (108) | 49% (118) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 (56) | .36 (110) | 1.6 (89) | 31% (90) | 36% (116) | .17 (47) | 7% (45) | 1.8 (52) |
| WKU Offense | 3 | 66% (1) | 45% (59) | 29 | 43 | 358 | 8.3 | 12.3 | 11 (5) | 1 (23) | .32 (63) | 1.7 (28) | 34% (105) | 37% (35) | .1 (117) | 5% (63) | 1.7 (108) |
Sam Houston's Power Ratings
Sam Houston's Power Rating: -18.55 #125
Sam Houston's Offense Rating: -0.11 #132
Sam Houston's Defense Rating: 18.43 #113
2025 Talent Rating: 476.00 #121
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Sam Houston's 2025 Expected Record: 2.5 - 9.5
Sam Houston's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.6 #126
Sam Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.9 #126
Sam Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #117
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Sam Houston's Power Rating: -18.55 #125
Sam Houston's Offense Rating: -0.11 #132
Sam Houston's Defense Rating: 18.43 #113
2025 Talent Rating: 476.00 #121
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Sam Houston's 2025 Expected Record: 2.5 - 9.5
Sam Houston's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.6 #126
Sam Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.9 #126
Sam Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #117
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Sam Houston: -18.55 Western Kentucky: -1.28
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Sam Houston: -18.6 Western Kentucky: -2.5
Sam Houston: -18.55 Western Kentucky: -1.28
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Sam Houston: -18.6 Western Kentucky: -2.5
Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: -1.28 #91
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: 7.41 #91
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: 12.47 #93
2025 Talent Rating: 620.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Western Kentucky's 2025 Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Western Kentucky's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #77
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #84
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #81
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: -1.28 #91
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: 7.41 #91
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: 12.47 #93
2025 Talent Rating: 620.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Western Kentucky's 2025 Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Western Kentucky's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #77
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #84
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #81
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Sam Houston Scoring
Offense: 21.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 22
Defense: 38.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 39
Sam Houston's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Offense: 21.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 22
Defense: 38.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 39
Sam Houston's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Western Kentucky 39
Sam Houston 22
Total Points: 61
Western Kentucky 39
Sam Houston 22
Total Points: 61
Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 39 PPG
Offense at Home: 48
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense at Home: 15
Western Kentucky's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Offense: 39 PPG
Offense at Home: 48
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense at Home: 15
Western Kentucky's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 08/23 | Western Kentucky | 41 | Sam Houston | 24 | Western Kentucky | Western Kentucky -9.5 | Western Kentucky | 60.5 | Over |
| 2024 | 10/16 | Sam Houston | 14 | Western Kentucky | 31 | Western Kentucky | Sam Houston -1.5 | Western Kentucky | 55.0 | Under |
| 2023 | 11/18 | Western Kentucky | 28 | Sam Houston | 23 | Western Kentucky | Western Kentucky -12.5 | Sam Houston | 52.0 | Under |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Western Kentucky | 3 | 2 | 1 Overs |
| Sam Houston | 0 | 1 | 2 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 2 - 1 | 1 - 2 | 1 - 2 | 0 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 1 - 2 | 2 - 1 | 0 - 0 | 2 - 1 |
(#125) Sam Houston Info
Power Rating: -18.55 #125
Offense Rating: -0.11 #132
Defense Rating: 18.43 #113
Overall SP+ Rating: -18.6 #126
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.9 #126
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #117
Talent Rating: 476.00 #121
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 2.5 - 9.5
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 44%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.14 PPO
Poor Run Success 38%
Poor Pass Success 37%
Poor OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.38 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 40%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Record on Road: 0 - 2 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )
Sam Houston Notes
(8/23) QB1? Watson running air raid likely not good
(7/13) Home games 70 miles off campus (Shell Energy)
(7/11) QB Mettauer big arm, was Longo's pick at Wisc
(7/11) Over Bet Watch. Def down, Pass Off up
(6/6) Not a fan of HC Phil Long hire at all.
(6/6) Could be a bottom Def in CFB, DBs are JUCOs
(5/23) SHSU was 6-0 in 1 score games LY
(3/26) QB Watson JAG w/ mobility. No depth exp
(3/26) RB complete rebuild. 2 portals inc. Green (IU)
(3/26) WR some exp, replacing a lot. 2 portal adds
Sam Houston Highlights
Sam Houston Deficiencies
Sam Houston offense is really bad (#111)
Sam Houston Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#112)
Sam Houston offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#113)
Sam Houston run game is really bad (#105)
Sam Houston pass game is really bad (#108)
Sam Houston offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Sam Houston Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Sam Houston has a bad defense (#103)
Sam Houston has a bad red zone defense (#100)
Power Rating: -18.55 #125
Offense Rating: -0.11 #132
Defense Rating: 18.43 #113
Overall SP+ Rating: -18.6 #126
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.9 #126
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #117
Talent Rating: 476.00 #121
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 2.5 - 9.5
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 44%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.14 PPO
Poor Run Success 38%
Poor Pass Success 37%
Poor OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.38 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 40%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Record on Road: 0 - 2 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )
Sam Houston Notes
(8/23) QB1? Watson running air raid likely not good
(7/13) Home games 70 miles off campus (Shell Energy)
(7/11) QB Mettauer big arm, was Longo's pick at Wisc
(7/11) Over Bet Watch. Def down, Pass Off up
(6/6) Not a fan of HC Phil Long hire at all.
(6/6) Could be a bottom Def in CFB, DBs are JUCOs
(5/23) SHSU was 6-0 in 1 score games LY
(3/26) QB Watson JAG w/ mobility. No depth exp
(3/26) RB complete rebuild. 2 portals inc. Green (IU)
(3/26) WR some exp, replacing a lot. 2 portal adds
Sam Houston Highlights
Sam Houston Deficiencies
Sam Houston offense is really bad (#111)
Sam Houston Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#112)
Sam Houston offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#113)
Sam Houston run game is really bad (#105)
Sam Houston pass game is really bad (#108)
Sam Houston offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Sam Houston Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Sam Houston has a bad defense (#103)
Sam Houston has a bad red zone defense (#100)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | WKU | SHSU |
| OverallOver | #47 | #98 |
| OffenseOff | #60 | #110 |
| DefenseDef | #67 | #71 |
| Special TeamsST | #4 | #43 |
| PassingPass | #44 | #104 |
| RushingRush | #64 | #103 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #109 | #91 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #73 | #96 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #23 | #103 |
| TacklingTkl | #94 | #96 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #91 | #48 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #22 | #59 |
| Coverage DefCov | #57 | #86 |
Rematch from Week 1
Western Kentucky -9.5 (60.5)
Western Kentucky won vs Sam Houston this year (41-24)
Previous Matchups
Western Kentucky beat Sam Houston last year (31-14)
Western Kentucky beat Sam Houston in 2023 (28-23)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Houchens Industries-L. T. Smith Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: SHSU | WKU
Depth Chart: SHSU | WKU
Rosters: SHSU | WKU
(#91) Western Kentucky Info
Power Rating: -1.28 #91
Offense Rating: 7.41 #91
Defense Rating: 12.47 #93
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #77
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #84
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #81
Talent Rating: 620.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 66%, Run: 34%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Avg Pass Success 45%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 35%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.08 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 39%
Good Pass Def Success 32%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
Western Kentucky Notes
(8/2) Over Bet Watch, McIvor off great, Def rough
(7/25) Def portal adds include 11 DL, 3 LB, 8 DBs.
(7/25) WR complete rebuild. Took 7 portals + 2 TEs
(7/25) OL rebuild. 10 portal adds. Will take some time
(7/11) Portal hits big, 2 starters back. 46 portals signed
(7/11) QB McIvor (3k yds/30 TD) combo w/ OC McIvor
(5/2) WR Henry (FCS W Ill) 1,179 yds, 6 TD LY
(3/22) Def avg CUSA, but must rebuild most
(3/22) Almost 60% new roster, new OC/DC.
(3/22) New OC Bowie (Alb. Chr.) brought QB McIvor
Western Kentucky Highlights
Western Kentucky is Undefeated at Home
Western Kentucky is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Western Kentucky offense is explosive (#19)
Western Kentucky offense is good on 3rd downs
Western Kentucky has a good pass defense (#30)
Western Kentucky Deficiencies
Western Kentucky Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Western Kentucky Can Not Run the Ball (#117)
Western Kentucky Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#114)
Western Kentucky run game is really bad (#112)
Western Kentucky gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#105)
Power Rating: -1.28 #91
Offense Rating: 7.41 #91
Defense Rating: 12.47 #93
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #77
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #84
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #81
Talent Rating: 620.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 66%, Run: 34%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Avg Pass Success 45%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 35%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.08 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 39%
Good Pass Def Success 32%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
Western Kentucky Notes
(8/2) Over Bet Watch, McIvor off great, Def rough
(7/25) Def portal adds include 11 DL, 3 LB, 8 DBs.
(7/25) WR complete rebuild. Took 7 portals + 2 TEs
(7/25) OL rebuild. 10 portal adds. Will take some time
(7/11) Portal hits big, 2 starters back. 46 portals signed
(7/11) QB McIvor (3k yds/30 TD) combo w/ OC McIvor
(5/2) WR Henry (FCS W Ill) 1,179 yds, 6 TD LY
(3/22) Def avg CUSA, but must rebuild most
(3/22) Almost 60% new roster, new OC/DC.
(3/22) New OC Bowie (Alb. Chr.) brought QB McIvor
Western Kentucky Highlights
Western Kentucky is Undefeated at Home
Western Kentucky is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Western Kentucky offense is explosive (#19)
Western Kentucky offense is good on 3rd downs
Western Kentucky has a good pass defense (#30)
Western Kentucky Deficiencies
Western Kentucky Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Western Kentucky Can Not Run the Ball (#117)
Western Kentucky Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#114)
Western Kentucky run game is really bad (#112)
Western Kentucky gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#105)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Watson | 30 | 52 | 58% | 310 | 0 | 1 | 6.0 |
| Mabrey Mettauer (Tr) | 20 | 31 | 65% | 177 | 1 | 2 | 5.7 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Watson | 24 | 108 | 2 | 4.5 | 55 |
| Landan Brown | 13 | 94 | 1 | 7.2 | 53 |
| Elijah Green (Tr) | 24 | 76 | 0 | 3.2 | 11 |
| Alton McCaskill (Tr) | 11 | 72 | 1 | 6.5 | 52 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Green (Tr) | 11 | 124 | 1 | 11.3 | 35 |
| Grady O'Neill (Tr) | 6 | 65 | 0 | 10.8 | 29 |
| Malik Phillips | 6 | 60 | 0 | 10.0 | 22 |
| Tim Burns Jr. | 1 | 59 | 1 | 59.0 | 59 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Brown (Tr) | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Emon Allen | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Antavious Fish (Tr) | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chatavies Johnson | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Edwards | 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| JaMair Diaz (Tr) | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Tokyo Gordon | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Chauncey Chidi | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Brown (Tr) | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Cecil Powell (Tr) | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| AJ Edwards | 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maverick McIvor (Tr) | 80 | 120 | 67% | 941 | 10 | 1 | 7.8 |
| Rodney Tisdale Jr. | 6 | 8 | 75% | 94 | 1 | 0 | 11.8 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvis Parrish | 23 | 93 | 0 | 4.0 | 22 |
| Jaden McGill (Tr) | 16 | 63 | 1 | 3.9 | 15 |
| George Hart III | 17 | 59 | 1 | 3.5 | 12 |
| La'Vell Wright (Tr) | 11 | 39 | 1 | 3.5 | 12 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moussa Barry | 11 | 210 | 0 | 19.1 | 48 |
| Matthew Henry (Tr) | 11 | 198 | 3 | 18.0 | 55 |
| K.D. Hutchinson | 12 | 184 | 3 | 15.3 | 78 |
| Marvis Parrish | 14 | 100 | 1 | 7.1 | 22 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dave Herard | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaylen Lewis (Tr) | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jaylen Wester (Tr) | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Dylan Flowers | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harper Holloman | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Dominic Oliver (Tr) | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jayden Gray (Tr) | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Jaden Hardy (Tr) | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harper Holloman | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Al-Ma'Hi Ali (Tr) | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Lataj Wright | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |