Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech - 2025 Matchup Preview
Sam Houston logo Sam Houston Bearkats at Louisiana Tech BulldogsLouisiana Tech logo
Tuesday, October 28th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Joe Aillet Stadium - Ruston, LA  (Conference USA)

 
Bearkats (0 - 3) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Phil Longo (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 39 (22 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2.5 - 9.5 (#132)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 8)
LT 2nd straight Home Game
SHSU coming off BYE
Our Line: Louisiana Tech -14   (SP+ LT -13)

Projected Score: SHSU: 19 - LT: 33 (51)
LT Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
SHSU Travel: 211 miles
Bulldogs (2 - 1) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Sonny Cumbie (11 - 25)
Avg Score : 27 - 12 (37 - 7 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.5 - 4.5 (#49)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
 
Sam Houston's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Sam Houston at Western Kentucky+9.560.5L 24 - 41ON
Fri 8/29 Sam Houston vs UNLV+13.558.5L 21 - 38ON
Sat 9/6 Sam Houston at Hawai'i+7.047.5L 20 - 37ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Sam Houston at Texas+40.551.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/2 Sam Houston at New Mexico State+7
Thu 10/9 Sam Houston vs Jacksonville State+3
Wed 10/15 Sam Houston vs UTEP+9
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/28 Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech+14
Sat 11/8 Sam Houston at Oregon State+18.5
Sat 11/15 Sam Houston vs Delaware+7.5
Sat 11/22 Sam Houston at Middle Tennessee-1
Sat 11/29 Sam Houston vs Florida International+8.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 7, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 3, Poor: 0

Predictions for Sam Houston's Schedule
Louisiana Tech's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Louisiana Tech vs SE Louisiana-14.550.5W 24 - 0UY
Sat 9/6 Louisiana Tech at LSU+36.549.5L 7 - 23UY
Sat 9/13 Louisiana Tech vs New Mexico State-10.042.5W 49 - 14OY
Sat 9/20 Louisiana Tech vs Southern Miss-3.051.5
Sat 9/27 Louisiana Tech at UTEP+2.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 Louisiana Tech at Kennesaw State-9
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/21 Louisiana Tech vs Western Kentucky+1
Tue 10/28 Louisiana Tech vs Sam Houston-14
Sat 11/8 Louisiana Tech at Delaware+1.5
Sat 11/15 Louisiana Tech at Washington State+2
Sat 11/22 Louisiana Tech vs Liberty+2.5
Sat 11/29 Louisiana Tech at Missouri State-8.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 6, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 6, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Louisiana Tech's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SHSU#123 (.05)37% (111)21.738% (105)2.79 (87)13637% (108)1853.14 (113)#85 (.16)44% (103)38.740% (72)49% (118)4.38 (100)6811.7
LT#129 (-.01)38% (109)26.745% (66)2.18 (127)18130% (128)1493.43 (99)#24 (-.01)39% (67)12.336% (48)43% (93)1.45 (6)93.70.32.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SHSU#115 (.1)39% (107)41% (100)3.18 (44)18038% (105)1682.97 (129)#31 (.11)42% (70)47% (105)37% (27)3.84 (75)37.91.22.1
LT#130 (.02)37% (119)37% (122)2.62 (125)10938% (111)2113.09 (124)#26 (.1)37% (13)39% (36)35% (11)3.72 (61)46.71.51.2



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SHSU Offense321.72237.4%3.141183211361854.244%55%38%37%19%.05
LT Defense312.3739.1%1.452.3 - - - - - 50%49%36%43%25%-.01
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SHSU Defense338.73944.5%4.381.7 - - - - - 44%56%40%49%16%.16
LT Offense326.736.537.6%3.430.3183301811494.451%49%45%30%19%-.01

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Sam Houston328:0917.714%30%76811.752127.4
Louisiana Tech330:151840%50%9.393.70.32.38.33029.1
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SHSU Offense344% (103)38% (105)32.3135.74.24 (79).06 (93)2.79 (87)73% (66)12% (114)1.13 (39)
LT Defense350% (65)36% (48) - - - - -.07 (30)2.71 (62)63% (43)15% (16)1.1 (97)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SHSU Defense344% (30)40% (72) - - - - -.08 (24)2.97 (89)69% (66)9% (80)0.68 (10)
LT Offense351% (70)45% (66)41.3181.34.44 (79)-.03 (113)2.18 (127)100% (1)12% (117)0.75 (120)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SHSU Offense355% (37)37% (108)18.73118569.92 (102)3 (92).07 (121)1.3 (112)40% (130)22% (116)-.07 (131)7% (110)1.7 (105)
LT Defense349% (63)43% (93) - - - - - - 5 (6).13 (48)1.2 (18)35% (52)33% (93).31 (82)10% (11)2 (71)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SHSU Defense356% (108)49% (118) - - - - - - 2 (56).36 (110)1.6 (89)31% (90)36% (116).17 (47)7% (45)1.8 (52)
LT Offense349% (66)30% (128)13.321.71496.911.24 (72)1 (23).02 (127)1.2 (125)34% (107)16% (131)- (123)7% (104)2 (72)

Sam Houston's Power Ratings
Sam Houston's Power Rating: -18.55 #125
Sam Houston's Offense Rating: -0.11 #132
Sam Houston's Defense Rating: 18.43 #113
2025 Talent Rating: 476.00 #121
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Sam Houston's 2025 Expected Record: 2.5 - 9.5
Sam Houston's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.6 #126
Sam Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.9 #126
Sam Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #117

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Sam Houston: -18.55   Louisiana Tech: -4.785

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Sam Houston: -18.6   Louisiana Tech: -6.1




Louisiana Tech's Power Ratings
Louisiana Tech's Power Rating: -4.785 #103
Louisiana Tech's Offense Rating: -0.42 #134
Louisiana Tech's Defense Rating: 8.05 #71
2025 Talent Rating: 472.00 #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #79
Louisiana Tech's 2025 Expected Record: 7.5 - 4.5
Louisiana Tech's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.1 #90
Louisiana Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #114
Louisiana Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #64

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Sam Houston Scoring
Offense: 21.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 22
Defense: 38.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 39

Sam Houston's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Louisiana Tech 33
Sam Houston 19


Total Points: 51

Louisiana Tech Scoring
Offense: 26.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.5
Defense: 12.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 7

Louisiana Tech's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/29Sam Houston9Louisiana Tech3Sam HoustonSam Houston -10.5Louisiana Tech45.5Under
202311/11Louisiana Tech27Sam Houston42Sam HoustonLouisiana Tech -8.5Sam Houston49.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Louisiana Tech011 Overs
Sam Houston211 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 10 - 20 - 20 - 0
Road Teams1 - 12 - 00 - 02 - 0

(#125) Sam Houston Info
Power Rating: -18.55 #125
Offense Rating: -0.11 #132
Defense Rating: 18.43 #113
Overall SP+ Rating: -18.6 #126
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.9 #126
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #117
Talent Rating: 476.00 #121
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 2.5 - 9.5

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 44%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.14 PPO
Poor Run Success 38%
Poor Pass Success 37%
Poor OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.38 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 40%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Sam Houston has lost 7 straight
Sam Houston has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 2 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Sam Houston Notes
(8/23) QB1? Watson running air raid likely not good
(7/13) Home games 70 miles off campus (Shell Energy)
(7/11) QB Mettauer big arm, was Longo's pick at Wisc
(7/11) Over Bet Watch. Def down, Pass Off up
(6/6) Not a fan of HC Phil Long hire at all.
(6/6) Could be a bottom Def in CFB, DBs are JUCOs
(5/23) SHSU was 6-0 in 1 score games LY
(3/26) QB Watson JAG w/ mobility. No depth exp
(3/26) RB complete rebuild. 2 portals inc. Green (IU)
(3/26) WR some exp, replacing a lot. 2 portal adds

Sam Houston Highlights

Sam Houston Deficiencies
Sam Houston offense is really bad (#111)
Sam Houston Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#112)
Sam Houston offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#113)
Sam Houston run game is really bad (#105)
Sam Houston pass game is really bad (#108)
Sam Houston offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Sam Houston Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Sam Houston has a bad defense (#103)
Sam Houston has a bad red zone defense (#100)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatLTSHSU
OverallOver#41#98
OffenseOff#46#110
DefenseDef#48#71
Special TeamsST#28#43
PassingPass#91#104
RushingRush#5#103
Run BlockRBLK#25#91
Pass BlockPBLK#98#96
Route RunningWR Rt#85#103
TacklingTkl#38#96
Run DefenseR Def#44#48
Pass Rush DefPRush#82#59
Coverage DefCov#32#86

Previous Matchups
Sam Houston beat Louisiana Tech last year (9-3)
Sam Houston beat Louisiana Tech in 2023 (42-27)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Joe Aillet Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: SHSU | LT
Depth Chart: SHSU | LT
Rosters: SHSU | LT
(#103) Louisiana Tech Info
Power Rating: -4.785 #103
Offense Rating: -0.42 #134
Defense Rating: 8.05 #71
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.1 #90
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #114
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #64
Talent Rating: 472.00 #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #79
Expected Record: 7.5 - 4.5

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 38%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.43 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Awful Pass Success 30%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 39%
Great in Scoring Position 1.45 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 36%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Louisiana Tech has lost 4 straight
Louisiana Tech has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Louisiana Tech Notes
(5/20) OC Franklin - a legend of tempo, simplicity
(5/2) TE Eli Finley a good target, best on team
(3/24) QB Bullock back, JAG. Baker depth
(3/24) RB Wiggins has exp. No portals? Yikes
(3/24) WR rebuild, some exp. 2 portal adds
(3/24) OL awful LY, 3/5 back. 2 FCS portals
(3/24) Def played well LY, loses a ton. 3 portals?
(3/24) HC Cumbie is killing this program.

Louisiana Tech Highlights
Louisiana Tech is Undefeated vs Spread
Louisiana Tech is Undefeated at Home
Louisiana Tech is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Louisiana Tech Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Louisiana Tech defense is really good in red zone (#6)
Louisiana Tech Front 7 is disruptive (#16)
Louisiana Tech Secondary is very good (#11)
Louisiana Tech has a great TO Margin (#11)
Louisiana Tech defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#6)

Louisiana Tech Deficiencies
Louisiana Tech Commits a Lot of Penalties (#131)
Louisiana Tech offense is really bad (#109)
Louisiana Tech offense is not Explosive (#133)
Louisiana Tech pass game is really bad (#128)


  
Sam Houston's OC Zack Patterson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hunter Watson305258%310016.0
Mabrey Mettauer (Tr)203165%177125.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Hunter Watson2410824.555
Landan Brown139417.253
Elijah Green (Tr)247603.211
Alton McCaskill (Tr)117216.552
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Elijah Green (Tr)11124111.335
Grady O'Neill (Tr)665010.829
Malik Phillips660010.022
Tim Burns Jr.159159.059

View Sam Houston's Full Roster
Sam Houston's DC Freddie Aughtry-Lindsay
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
CJ Brown (Tr)211003
Emon Allen183001
Antavious Fish (Tr)170000
Chatavies Johnson170000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
AJ Edwards163102
JaMair Diaz (Tr)131110
Tokyo Gordon122100
Chauncey Chidi112100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
CJ Brown (Tr)211003
Cecil Powell (Tr)120003
AJ Edwards163102

Louisiana Tech's OC Tony Franklin
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Trey Kukuk284070%224215.6
Blake Baker112446%228209.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Clay Thevenin2415116.333
Blake Baker2111615.538
Trey Kukuk2510404.224
Omiri Wiggins227213.317
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Gandy (Tr)378126.033
Eli Finley87709.623
David Pierro364021.356
Marques Singleton Jr.95806.413

View Louisiana Tech's Full Roster
Louisiana Tech's DC Luke Olson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kolbe Fields292100
Mekhi Mason237301
Sifa Leota174022
Jacob Fields161003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mekhi Mason237301
Jadon Mayfield93200
Kameron Carter41100
Christian Davis41100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jhamal Shelby Jr.101005
Jacob Fields161003
Sifa Leota174022