Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech Game Matchup
Sam Houston logo Sam Houston Bearkats at Louisiana Tech BulldogsLouisiana Tech logo
Tuesday, October 28th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Joe Aillet Stadium - Ruston, LA  (Conference USA)

 
Bearkats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Phil Longo (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 24 - 21 (25 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.5 - 7.5 (#110)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 11)
LT 2nd straight Home Game
SHSU coming off BYE
Our Line: Louisiana Tech -3.5   (SP+ SHSU -1)

Projected Score: SHSU: 21 - LT: 25 (43)
LT Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
SHSU Travel: 211 miles
Bulldogs (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Sonny Cumbie (11 - 25)
Avg Score : 21 - 21 (30 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.2 - 6.8 (#88)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
 
Sam Houston's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/22 Sam Houston at Western Kentucky+7.50.0
Fri 8/29 Sam Houston vs UNLV+13.50.0
Sat 9/6 Sam Houston at Hawai'i+8.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Sam Houston at Texas+48.5
Thu 10/2 Sam Houston at New Mexico State+1
Thu 10/9 Sam Houston vs Jacksonville State-4.5
Wed 10/15 Sam Houston vs UTEP+1
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/28 Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech+3.5
Sat 11/8 Sam Houston at Oregon State+16.5
Sat 11/15 Sam Houston vs Delaware-2
Sat 11/22 Sam Houston at Middle Tennessee+2
Sat 11/29 Sam Houston vs Florida International-0

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 9
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 9
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Sam Houston's Schedule
Louisiana Tech's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Louisiana Tech vs SE Louisiana-7.5
Sat 9/6 Louisiana Tech at LSU+44.5
Sat 9/13 Louisiana Tech vs New Mexico State-5
Sat 9/20 Louisiana Tech vs Southern Miss+5
Sat 9/27 Louisiana Tech at UTEP+5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 Louisiana Tech at Kennesaw State-2
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/21 Louisiana Tech vs Western Kentucky+2
Tue 10/28 Louisiana Tech vs Sam Houston-3.5
Sat 11/8 Louisiana Tech at Delaware+2
Sat 11/15 Louisiana Tech at Washington State+8.5
Sat 11/22 Louisiana Tech vs Liberty+14
Sat 11/29 Louisiana Tech at Missouri State+0.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 9
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 9
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Louisiana Tech's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SHSU#115 (.1)39% (107)23.841% (100)3.18 (44)18038% (105)1682.97 (129)#31 (.11)42% (70)20.547% (105)37% (27)3.84 (75)37.91.22.1
LT#130 (.02)37% (119)20.937% (122)2.62 (125)10938% (111)2113.09 (124)#26 (.1)37% (13)2139% (36)35% (11)3.72 (61)46.71.51.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SHSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
LT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SHSU Offense1323.824.639.3%2.971.2193491801684.357%43%41%38%15%.1
LT Defense132119.237.2%3.721.2 - - - - - 56%43%39%35%15%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SHSU Defense1320.523.641.8%3.842.1 - - - - - 51%48%47%37%17%.11
LT Offense1320.929.537.5%3.091.5173191092113.149%51%37%38%17%.02

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Sam Houston1332:1018.839%67%4.637.91.22.15.42.2230.4
Louisiana Tech1329:3417.240%35%4.946.71.51.25.21.6033.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SHSU Offense1357% (25)41% (100)42.5180.44.321 (59).1 (83)3.18 (44)68% (104)10% (69)0.9 (98)
LT Defense1356% (121)39% (36) - - - - .09 (54)2.9 (50)70% (48)11% (52)1.01 (82)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SHSU Defense1351% (74)47% (105) - - - - .17 (92)3.37 (119)75% (75)10% (56)0.83 (9)
LT Offense1349% (78)37% (122)35.2108.53.114 (98)-.09 (134)2.62 (125)66% (114)12% (116)0.69 (134)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SHSU Offense1343% (113)38% (105)16.726.8168.26.310.115 (98)9 (48).13 (114)1.5 (106)30% (51)24% (126).13 (130)5% (47)2 (95)
LT Defense1343% (9)35% (11) - - - - - - 5 (117).15 (26)1.6 (72)35% (20)29% (46).28 (56)5% (112)1.9 (30)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SHSU Defense1348% (60)37% (27) - - - - - - 16 (10).06 (6)1.4 (9)32% (57)25% (11).21 (32)6% (58)1.8 (12)
LT Offense1351% (56)38% (111)18.829.8210.97.111.218 (68)7 (26).13 (115)1.7 (35)33% (103)26% (117).15 (127)5% (22)2.1 (27)

Sam Houston's Power Ratings
Sam Houston's Power Rating: -23.45 #132
Sam Houston's Offense Rating: 3.00 #126
Sam Houston's Defense Rating: 26.45 #127
2025 Talent Rating: 396.00 #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Sam Houston's 2025 Expected Record: 4.5 - 7.5
Sam Houston's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.1 #107
Sam Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.7 #118
Sam Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #90

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 385.5
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31

Power Ratings Matchup
Sam Houston: -23.45   Louisiana Tech: -13.725

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Sam Houston: -11.1   Louisiana Tech: -11.9




Louisiana Tech's Power Ratings
Louisiana Tech's Power Rating: -13.725 #127
Louisiana Tech's Offense Rating: 0.29 #135
Louisiana Tech's Defense Rating: 20.84 #102
2025 Talent Rating: 426.00 #123
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Louisiana Tech's 2025 Expected Record: 5.2 - 6.8
Louisiana Tech's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.9 #109
Louisiana Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #126
Louisiana Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #80

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 385.5
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31


Sam Houston Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.6
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.6

Sam Houston's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Louisiana Tech 25
Sam Houston 21


Projected Total Points: 43
Louisiana Tech Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.5
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.2

Louisiana Tech's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/29Sam Houston9Louisiana Tech3Sam HoustonSam Houston -10.5Louisiana Tech45.5Under
202311/11Louisiana Tech27Sam Houston42Sam HoustonLouisiana Tech -8.5Sam Houston49.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Louisiana Tech011 Overs
Sam Houston211 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 10 - 20 - 20 - 0
Road Teams1 - 12 - 00 - 02 - 0

(#132) Sam Houston Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -23.45 #132
Offense Rating: 3.00 #126
Defense Rating: 26.45 #127
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.1 #107
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.7 #118
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #90
Talent Rating: 396.00 #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Expected Record: 4.5 - 7.5

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.97 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.84 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Sam Houston Notes
(5/23) SHSU was 6-0 in 1 score games LY
(3/26) QB Watson JAG w/ mobility. No depth exp
(3/26) RB complete rebuild. 2 portals inc. Green (IU)
(3/26) WR some exp, replacing a lot. 2 portal adds
(3/26) OL returns 6 w/ starting exp. Good rush LY
(3/26) Def awful, returns little. 9 portals, 5 DBs
(3/26) HC Longo interesting hire. Bad OC fit @ Wisc
(3/26) OC Patterson was SHSU RB coach past 2 yrs
Sam Houston     Ratings Matchup     Louisiana Tech
Power #132
#127
Off #126
#135
Def #127
#102
Talent #125
#123
SP+ #107
#109
SP+ Off #118
#126
SP+ Def #90
#80

Previous Matchups
Sam Houston beat Louisiana Tech last year (9-3)
Sam Houston beat Louisiana Tech in 2023 (42-27)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Joe Aillet Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: SHSU | LT
Depth Chart: SHSU | LT
Rosters: SHSU | LT
(#127) Louisiana Tech Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -13.725 #127
Offense Rating: 0.29 #135
Defense Rating: 20.84 #102
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.9 #109
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #126
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #80
Talent Rating: 426.00 #123
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Expected Record: 5.2 - 6.8

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.09 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Awful Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.72 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Great Pass Def Success 35%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Louisiana Tech Notes
(5/20) OC Franklin - a legend of tempo, simplicity
(5/2) TE Eli Finley a good target, best on team
(3/24) QB Bullock back, JAG. Baker depth
(3/24) RB Wiggins has exp. No portals? Yikes
(3/24) WR rebuild, some exp. 2 portal adds
(3/24) OL awful LY, 3/5 back. 2 FCS portals
(3/24) Def played well LY, loses a ton. 3 portals?
(3/24) HC Cumbie is killing this program.


  
Sam Houston's OC Zack Patterson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hunter Watson15225360%15981186.3
Mabrey Mettauer (Tr)11100%2002.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Hunter Watson15262374.146
Elijah Green (Tr)2920156.951
Qua'Vez Humphreys32107.010
Alton McCaskill (Tr)71702.46
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Qua'Vez Humphreys18362420.167
Michael Phoenix II13205315.850
Malik Phillips225012.513
Shane Johnson21407.07

View Sam Houston's Full Roster
Sam Houston's DC Freddie Aughtry-Lindsay
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
CJ Brown (Tr)732012
Cecil Powell (Tr)241001
Chatavies Johnson151000
Emon Allen122001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
CJ Brown (Tr)732012
Grady O'Neill (Tr)20000
AJ Edwards10001
Gannon Tullos10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
CJ Brown (Tr)732012
AJ Edwards10001
Emon Allen122001

Louisiana Tech's OC Tony Franklin
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Evan Bullock19930266%21071437.0
Blake Baker183453%314139.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Omiri Wiggins11152744.735
Fred Robertson3312603.820
Patrick Rea126026.026
Dakota Williams32107.015
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eli Finley25314212.653
Jay Wilkerson13262220.255
Marlion Jackson14222115.939
Omiri Wiggins2012626.316

View Louisiana Tech's Full Roster
Louisiana Tech's DC Luke Olson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kolbe Fields719231
Jacob Fields546004
Sifa Leota426411
Jakari Foster330001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sifa Leota426411
Kolbe Fields719231
Mekhi Mason284111
Jacob Bradford20000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cedric Woods300005
Jhamal Shelby Jr.130004
Jacob Fields546004