West Virginia at Kansas - 2025 Matchup Preview
West Virginia logo West Virginia Mountaineers at Kansas JayhawksKansas logo
Saturday, September 20th 2025 (6:00 PM EDT)
Kansas -12.5 (54.5) (-455)  Open: -10.5
Kansas 41 - West Virginia: 10  (Big 12)

 
Mountaineers (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Rich Rodriguez (60 - 26)
Avg Score : 22 - 31 (21 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 3) (Good: 4) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
KU coming off BYE
WVU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Kansas -12  (SP+ KU -11)

Projected Score: WVU: 21 - KU: 33 (55)
KU Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
WVU Travel: 818 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Jayhawks (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Lance Leipold (22 - 28)
Avg Score : 28 - 27 (33 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#86)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
 
West Virginia's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 West Virginia vs Robert Morris-40.056.5W 45 - 3UY
Sat 9/6 West Virginia at Ohio-3.558.5L 10 - 17UN
Sat 9/13 West Virginia vs Pittsburgh+6.554.5W 31 - 24OY
Sat 9/20 West Virginia at Kansas+12.554.5L 10 - 41UN
Sat 9/27 West Virginia vs Utah+13.546.5L 14 - 48ON
Fri 10/3 West Virginia at BYU+19.546.5L 24 - 38OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 West Virginia at UCF+6.546.5L 13 - 45ON
Sat 10/25 West Virginia vs TCU+16.555.5L 17 - 23UY
Sat 11/1 West Virginia at Houston+13.548.5W 45 - 35OY
Sat 11/8 West Virginia vs Colorado-6.551.5W 29 - 22UY
Sat 11/15 West Virginia at Arizona State+10.046.5L 23 - 25OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 West Virginia vs Texas Tech+24.553.5L 0 - 49UN

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for West Virginia's Schedule
Kansas's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Kansas vs Fresno State-14.051.5W 31 - 7UY
Fri 8/29 Kansas vs Wagner-45.557.5W 46 - 7UN
Sat 9/6 Kansas at Missouri+5.551.0L 31 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Kansas vs West Virginia-12.554.5W 41 - 10UY
Sat 9/27 Kansas vs Cincinnati-5.555.5L 34 - 37ON
Sat 10/4 Kansas at UCF-4.053.5W 27 - 20UY
Sat 10/11 Kansas at Texas Tech+13.558.5L 17 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Kansas vs Kansas State-3.555.5L 17 - 42ON
Sat 11/1 Kansas vs Oklahoma State-24.554.5W 38 - 21ON
Sat 11/8 Kansas at Arizona+5.556.5L 20 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Kansas at Iowa State+3.055.5L 14 - 38UN
Fri 11/28 Kansas vs Utah+10.559.5L 21 - 31UY

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Kansas's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WVU#63 (.2)43% (69)21.844% (75)3.05 (64)19641% (73)2104.6 (16)#124 (.3)45% (103)30.841% (46)49% (128)4.74 (131)33.91.51.1
KU#9 (.32)48% (16)28.149% (15)3.6 (3)21348% (11)2094.68 (11)#108 (.23)45% (99)26.846% (104)43% (95)3.83 (73)38.41.41.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WVU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
KU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WVU Offense1321.820.842.5%4.61.5234061962104.956%44%44%41%16%.2
KU Defense1226.822.144.5%3.831.4 - - - - - 50%50%46%43%17%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WVU Defense1330.833.544.8%4.741.1 - - - - - 51%49%41%49%13%.3
KU Offense1228.132.648.1%4.681.4224212132095.658%41%49%48%12%.32

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
West Virginia1331:3622.642%62%4.333.91.51.14.81.5128.4
Kansas1230:5421.551%67%4.538.41.41.45.82.3225.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WVU Offense1356% (28)44% (75)40.11964.927 (30).16 (52)3.05 (64)78% (33)10% (82)1.07 (35)
KU Defense1250% (58)46% (104) - - - - .22 (117)3.4 (124)82% (117)10% (62)1 (78)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WVU Defense1351% (68)41% (46) - - - - .08 (46)2.83 (41)64% (21)9% (97)1.02 (86)
KU Offense1258% (19)49% (15)37.8212.75.629 (18).33 (4)3.6 (3)83% (8)7% (20)1.08 (29)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WVU Offense1344% (107)41% (73)17.428.6210.37.412.120 (58)14 (115).26 (65)1.8 (16)34% (117)32% (63).37 (52)6% (75)2.3 (8)
KU Defense1250% (72)43% (95) - - - - - - 12 (39).3 (101)1.7 (110)32% (60)33% (104).29 (61)7% (31)2.1 (80)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WVU Defense1349% (68)49% (128) - - - - - - 5 (117).53 (133)1.8 (127)31% (84)38% (128).61 (133)4% (126)2.3 (123)
KU Offense1241% (122)48% (11)14.725.5208.88.214.215 (98)12 (85).38 (17)1.6 (62)30% (38)36% (26).38 (51)5% (31)1.9 (117)

West Virginia's Power Ratings
West Virginia's Power Rating: -3.16  #74
West Virginia's Offense Rating: 7.84  #100
West Virginia's Defense Rating: 11.00  #52
2025 Talent Rating: 808.00  #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 4%  #56
West Virginia's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
West Virginia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.8  #93
West Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.8  #102
West Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0  #91

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
West Virginia: -3.16   Kansas: 7.025

SP+ Ratings Matchup
West Virginia: -6.8   Kansas: 4.1




Kansas's Power Ratings
Kansas's Power Rating: 7.025  #51
Kansas's Offense Rating: 19.97  #27
Kansas's Defense Rating: 15.02  #78
2025 Talent Rating: 770.00  #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 2  #79
Kansas's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Kansas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.1  #58
Kansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.9  #48
Kansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.5  #76

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


West Virginia Scoring
Offense: 21.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.8
Defense: 30.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.5

West Virginia's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Kansas 33
West Virginia 21


Projected Total Points: 55
Kansas Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.6
Defense: 26.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.1

Kansas's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/20Kansas41West Virginia10Kansas -12.5Kansas54.5Under
202409/21West Virginia32Kansas28West Virginia -1.5West Virginia56.0Over
202209/10West Virginia42Kansas55West Virginia -14Kansas59.5Over
202111/27Kansas28West Virginia34West Virginia -15.5Kansas55.5Over
202010/17West Virginia38Kansas17West Virginia -21.5Kansas49.0Over
201909/21Kansas24West Virginia29West Virginia -4.5West Virginia49.0Over
201810/06West Virginia38Kansas22West Virginia -27Kansas61.0Under
201709/23Kansas34West Virginia56West Virginia -24Kansas70.5Over
201611/05West Virginia48Kansas21West Virginia -32Kansas53.5Over
201511/21Kansas0West Virginia49West Virginia -28West Virginia56.0Under
201410/04West Virginia33Kansas14West Virginia -23.5Kansas0
201311/16Kansas31West Virginia19West Virginia -7.5Kansas0
201212/01West Virginia59Kansas10
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kansas397 Overs
West Virginia1033 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 55 - 72 - 53 - 2
Road Teams5 - 87 - 52 - 35 - 2

(#74) WVU at (#51) KU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWVUKU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #74 #51
SP+SP+ #93 #58
Perf GradeGrade #127 #38
OffenseOff #131 #38
DefenseDef #115 #64
Spec TeamsST #53 #30
TalentTal #50 #62
Blue ChipsBC% #56 #79
West Virginia Notes
(10/27) Def spirited vs TCU, Fox 300 yds, but can't run
(10/18) Getting real bad, killed by UCF. Just too many injuries
(10/18) Outgained 550+ to 200 yds vs UCF? Coming unglued
(10/4) QB1 is Fr Khalil Wilkins, mobile and not ready. Woof
(10/1) Starting QB Marchiol redshirting & transferring
(9/20) Killed by KU, just don't have Off weapons or QB
(9/14) Gutsy comeback W vs Pitt. Plays hard for staff
(9/8) Star RB Jahiem White out for season (knee)
(9/8) Starting WR J Bray out for season (leg)
(8/30) Ran for nearly 400< Marchiol efficient vs RMU
(8/20) DE/LB Robinson likely academically ineligible
(6/11) RB White a top B12 RB, Edwards (FCS) 1k LY
West Virginia Injury Report
Kansas Notes
(9/24) RB Hinshaw doubtful for Cincy game
(9/24) Off good success not expl, Daniels a weapon
(9/24) Def Success #'s really good early, but bad Expl
(9/20) Run Off mauled WVU, Daniels efficient, Def decent
(7/30) RB Williams was Iowa leader (800+) in '23
(7/19) Replacing career 4.5k RB yds, 7k WR yds
(5/23) KU was 1-5 in 1 score games LY (of 7 L's)
(4/4) QB Daniels back, electric when healthy
(4/4) RB rebuild. Hishaw exp'd, added Williams (Iowa)
(4/4) OL 2/5 back, good LY. 3 portal adds
(4/4) Def bad LY, replaces a lot. 11 portal adds
(3/21) WR total rebuild. 3 portals. Pickett (BG) #1?
Kansas Injury Report
West Virginia on Offense
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
WVU OffKU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #131 #64
SuccessSuc #69 #99
ExplosiveExp #13 #101
PPAPPA #63 #108
PowerPwr #100 #78
SP+SP+ #102 #76
Pts POPPO #16 #73
HavocHav #79 #54
West Virginia Run Game
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
WVU OffKU Def
Run GameRun #133 #89
Run SuccessRSuc #75 #104
Run ExplRExp #35 #78
PPAExp #52 #117
Run BlockR Blk #123 -
OL YdsOLY #64 #124
Stuff RateStuff #74 #118
TackleTak -  #88
West Virginia Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
WVU OffKU Def
Pass GamePass #127 #54
Pass SuccessPSuc #73 #95
Pass ExplPExl #16 #110
PPAExp #65 #101
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #64 #53
F7 HavocF7 #82 #62
DB HavocDB #75 #31
Kansas on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatKU OffWVU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #38 #115
SuccessSuc #16 #103
ExplosiveExp #63 #128
PPAPPA #9 #124
PowerPwr #27 #52
SP+SP+ #48 #91
Pts POPPO #11 #131
HavocHav #19 #119
Kansas Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
KU OffWVU Def
Run GameRun #39 #70
Run SuccessRSuc #15 #46
Run ExplRExp #29 #86
PPAExp #4 #46
Run BlockR Blk #16 -
OL YdsOLY #3 #41
Stuff RateStuff #5 #53
TackleTak -  #123
Kansas Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatKU OffWVU Def
Pass GamePass #53 #122
Pass SuccessPSuc #11 #128
Pass ExplPExl #62 #127
PPAExp #17 #133
Pass Block/RushP Blk #88 #101
F7 HavocF7 #20 #97
DB HavocDB #31 #126
Program Comparison
KU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

WVU 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 75° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 4
Kansas -12.5 (54.5)
Kansas won vs West Virginia this year (41-10)

Previous Matchups
Kansas beat West Virginia last year (41-10)
West Virginia beat Kansas in 2024 (32-28)

  
WVU's OC Chad Scott (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Scotty Fox Jr.10117059%1276767.5
Nicco Marchiol669867%720227.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Diore Hubbard9633543.529
Cyncir Bowers6324924.026
Khalil Wilkins5824324.222
Scotty Fox Jr.8420132.459
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Vaughn (Tr)35540415.446
Jeff Weimer (Tr)21383218.275
Rodney Gallagher2824308.726
Grayson Barnes (Tr)21232211.034

View West Virginia's Full Roster

WVU's DC Zac Alley (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Fred Perry (Tr)7810323
Darrian Lewis (Tr)751010
Reid Carrico698551
Chase Wilson (Tr)465312
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Reid Carrico698551
Fred Perry (Tr)7810323
Chase Wilson (Tr)465312
Devin Grant (Tr)205301
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Michael Coats Jr. (Tr)302007
Jason Chambers (Tr)343004
Derek Carter (Tr)312004

KU's OC Matt Lubick (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jalon Daniels19831962%25042277.8
Cole Ballard102246%108114.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Daniel Hishaw Jr.12458754.722
Leshon Williams (Tr)9756575.862
Jalon Daniels11742343.638
Isaiah Marshall15160010.743
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Emmanuel Henderson Jr. (Tr)45766517.093
Boden Groen (Tr)36450512.546
Cam Pickett (Tr)45449310.038
Levi Wentz16258216.150

View Kansas's Full Roster

KU's DC D.K. McDonald (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trey Lathan (Tr)867265
Lyrik Rawls (Tr)721037
Bangally Kamara (Tr)549114
Austin Alexander464002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Leroy Harris III (Tr)317518
D.J. Withers165310
Tommy Dunn264321
Jalen Todd442214
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Leroy Harris III (Tr)317518
Lyrik Rawls (Tr)721037
Trey Lathan (Tr)867265